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ITRS Design ITWG 2012 1
Design + System Drivers Update
Design ITWG
ITRS Public ConferenceHsinchu, 5 Dec 2012
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 2
MTMroadmap
RF+AMS Driver continued
UpdatedDrivers(MPU, SoC,…)
Upgraded DFM, SL, verification sections
Power design technology roadmap
Consumer Stationary,Portable,Networking Drivers
Past Trajectory (2004-2011)
1. Increasingly quantitative roadmap2. Increasingly complete driver set3. Increasing MTM content
2
2004
2005
2006
2007
ExploreDesign metrics
Design Technology metrics
Revised Design metrics
Revised Design Technology Metrics
ConsumerPortableDriver
Consumer Stationary, PortableDrivers
Consumer Stationary,Portable,Networking Drivers
More Than Moore (MTM)analysis + iNEMI
Driver study
System DriversChapter
DesignChapter
2008
Revised Design MetricsDFM extension
Updated Consumer Stationary,Portable,and Networking Drivers
MTM extension+ iNEMI+ SW !!
2009
AdditionalDesign MetricsDFM ExtensionSystem level extension
Updated Consumer Stationary,Portable architecture,and Networking Drivers
MTM extension+ iNEMI synch+ SW !!
MTMRF+AMS Driver start
UpdatedConsumer SOC and MPU Drivers
Upgraded RF+AMS section
2010
2011
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 3
Work Toward 2013 and BeyondDesign Chapter
• Version 2 of the Power-Aware Design Technology roadmap• Version 2 of the 3D IC design technology roadmap• Design technology for More Than Moore fabrics (SW, AMS/RF, MEMS)• Updates of LCP, DFT, Design Verification, Design for Resilience• Design of on-chip memory hits the wall at 16nm HP
System Drivers Chapter• Rethinking the MPU Driver: Core + LLC + “uncore”; microserver class• Revising the SOC-Consumer Portable Driver• Elimination of SOC-Networking, SOC-Consumer Stationary drivers ? • Update of Embedded Memory• Continue development of AMS/RF “sub-driver” of SOC-CP Driver
Cross-TWG• CTSG: node timing pull-in, A-factor updates for FinFET, vertical devices• How will FinFET, UTBB SOI timing change PPA projections?• Renewal of the PIDS HP, LP roadmaps (compact modeling interaction) • 3D effort with other TWGs
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 4
Work Toward 2013 and BeyondDesign Chapter
• Version 2 of the Power-Aware Design Technology roadmap• Version 2 of the 3D IC design technology roadmap• Design technology for More Than Moore fabrics (SW, AMS/RF, MEMS)• Updates of LCP, DFT, Design Verification, Design for Resilience• Design of on-chip memory hits the wall at 16nm HP
System Drivers Chapter• Rethinking the MPU Driver: Core + LLC + “uncore”; microserver class• Revising the SOC-Consumer Portable Driver• Elimination of SOC-Networking, SOC-Consumer Stationary drivers ? • Update of Embedded Memory• Continue development of AMS/RF “sub-driver” of SOC-CP Driver
Cross-TWG• CTSG: node timing pull-in, A-factor updates for FinFET, vertical devices• How will FinFET, UTBB SOI timing change PPA projections?• Renewal of the PIDS HP, LP roadmaps (compact modeling interaction) • 3D effort with other TWGs
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 5
Design Cost Roadmap
$-
$20.0
$40.0
$60.0
$80.0
$100.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ITRS 2011 Cost Chart
Total HW Engineering Costs + EDA Tool Costs Total SW Engineering Costs + ESDA Tool Costs
Total HW Engineering Costs + EDA Tool Costs (smoothed) Total SW Engineering Costs + ESDA Tool Costs (smoothed)
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ITRS Design ITWG 2012 6
Design Power Roadmap
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 7
Low-Power Design Technology Roadmap
NEW: approximate computing, adaptivity, power gating replacement, dark silicon, extreme heterogeneity, …
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 8
NEW in Low-Power Design Tech RoadmapApproximate Computing
• Variable-accuracy computing (e.g., flexibly from 64b 16b)• 4D computing: reconfiguration on the fly• AVS ? (e.g., part of DVFS) Margin reduction?
Adaptivity•Recapture overdesign from wearout, variation marginsPower Gating Replacement
• HVT device as power switch hits headroom, area wall ?Dark Silicon
• “normally-off computing” = “extreme power gating”
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 9
“Dark Silicon” Analysis in 2001 ITRS• Power management gap amount of (switched)
logic content in an SOC goes to zero• Challenge: keeping the chip value above zero
Today: turn on only 2-6% of logic on SOC !
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 10
NEW in Low-Power Design Tech RoadmapApproximate Computing
• Variable-accuracy computing (e.g., flexibly from 64b 16b)• 4D computing: reconfiguration on the fly• AVS ? (e.g., part of DVFS) Margin reduction?
Adaptivity•Recapture overdesign from wearout, variation marginsPower Gating Replacement
• HVT device as power switch hits headroom, area wall ?Dark Silicon
• “normally-off computing” = “extreme power gating”Extreme Heterogeneity• “coprocessor-dominated architectures”
• (pervasive heterogeneity; energy-efficiency from specialization; HW accelerators)
• “10 x 10”, “13 dwarves”, …• Intel “accelerators for MPU” vs. Tensilica (or, GPUs,
xPUs)
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 11
Design Tech for More Than Moore Fabrics
• Key areas: SW, AMS/RF, MEMS, 3D / novel packaging
• Current design technology still insufficient; must broaden beyond current ideas
• New 3D / TSV design flows• New multi-physics modeling, simulation, analysis tools
• Example: thermal / mechanical analysis (base station)
• Example: MEMS + electrical analysis (mobile gaming)
• Example: sensors + signal processing (industrial, medical)
• Example: software + HW simulation (data center network)
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 12
Memory as a Key Factor in Future DT
Figure DESN12 Possible Variability Abstraction Levels
PhysicalPhysical
DeviceDevice
GateGate
ChipChip
Bit CellBit Cell
CircuitCircuit ArrayArray
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 13
Memory as a Key Factor in Future DT
Figure DESN8 Variability-Induced Failure Rates for Three Canonical Circuit Types
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 14
Memory Design Hits The Wall• SRAM hits a brick wall at ~16nm M1 HP
• Area overhead: discrete fin sizing to meet stability targets• Vccmin(SRAM) > Vddmin(logic) due to variability need assist
structures, 8T, or 10T structures for 20nm and beyond • Increased leakage due to increased Vccmin(SRAM) and Vt tradeoffs
• eDRAM, L3 (SRAM), L2 (SRAM) subsystem replacements• STT-RAM – density, non-volatility (~low leakage)• FLASH RRAM• Exploiting 3D integration (monolithic, TSV) schemes
• Logic, register files, L1• Power gating strategies• Backup strategies for retention (transfering data to STT-RAM before
power-off)• Implications for memory hierarchy, architecture, design
• Different sizing of memory subsystems to reflect the energy/latency tradeoffs
• Multi-physics models to analyze Vccmin(SRAM)• Exploiting nonvolatility and fine-grain power gating in logic circuits
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 15
Work Toward 2013 and BeyondDesign Chapter
• Version 2 of the Power-Aware Design Technology roadmap• Version 2 of the 3D IC design technology roadmap• Design technology for More Than Moore fabrics (SW, AMS/RF, MEMS)• Updates of LCP, DFT, Design Verification, Design for Resilience• Design of on-chip memory hits the wall at 16nm HP
System Drivers Chapter• Rethinking the MPU Driver: Core + LLC + “uncore”; microserver class• Revising the SOC-Consumer Portable Driver• Elimination of SOC-Networking, SOC-Consumer Stationary drivers ? • Update of Embedded Memory• Continue development of AMS/RF “sub-driver” of SOC-CP Driver
Cross-TWG• CTSG: node timing pull-in, A-factor updates for FinFET, vertical devices• How will FinFET, UTBB SOI timing change PPA projections?• Renewal of the PIDS HP, LP roadmaps (compact modeling interaction) • 3D effort with other TWGs
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 16
Changes to MPU Model
Item Current 2011 model
Proposed 2013 model
Die area 140mm2 (CP), 260mm2 (HP)
140mm2 (CP), 260mm2 (HP)
Area ratio Core :: 1 Core : LLC : UnCore :: 1: 1: 1
LLC NA 12MB (2011) + 1.4x every tech node[Borkar10, Borkar07]
UnCore NA Uncore Scaling
SRAM A-factor (USRAM)
60F2 (6T), 84F2 (8T) (bulk)
60F2 (6T), 84F2 (8T) (bulk, FinFET)40F2 (6T), 56F2 (8T) (high-density FinFET) ***
* CP – Cost-Performance; HP – High Performance** L2$ and L1$ is per core
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 17
“Uncore” (increasing portion of MPU) consists of:– Memory controller(s)
– Graphics and display controller(s)
– I/O and bus interface controller(s)
Updated MPU Model: UnCore Scaling
Item Proposed model
Memory controller N/2 (CP), N (HP); N = # cores[Borkar07, Borkar11, 80-core, IVB]
Graphics and Display controller 2x every tech node[NHM, SNB, NVIDIA]
I/O and bus interface controller N/6[SNB, IVB]
Logic (# transistors) growth Same as core
Logic density Same as core
SRAM (# bitcells) growth 512MB * # GPU-Cores[IVB, NVIDIA]
SRAM density Same as core
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 18
New Drivers Catching Up to “Old” Ones ?
1. “SoC-ification” of Drivers brings similarities2. Need to isolate the parameters driven by each (and only) driver
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 19
New Drivers Replacing “Old” Ones ?
1. Potential future system driver list (Markets dimension)a) High performance computing MPU – “Office/Server”b) Mobile (Application) MPU – “Consumer Portable”c) Low power computing MPU – “Microserver”
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 20
SoC MPU Convergence: MicroServers ?
• Observation: “mobile” computing SoCs competing in server space
• Beginning to be used in data centers and cloud computing
• Extreme core efficiency (active power < 4W, sleep power < 0.5W)
• #Cores, frequency scaling similar to conventional MPUs
• Microserver product class (Calxeda, Marvell, Intel, …)
re-examine the MPU model – or possibly create a new driver !
• Clock frequency growing at 1.5X every 2 years
• Number of cores growing at 2X every 4 years
• Networking-like SoC scaling: off-chip latency, accelerators, L3 cache
• Power budget under 4W per core (HPC example)
• Off-chip bandwidth as high as 200+ Gbps
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 21
A&DNetwork Consumer/Mobile
Office/Server
Medical Automotive ConsumerStationary
MPU
PE/DSP
AMS
Memory
Fabrics
Markets
System Drivers – So Many ?
1. Fabs will be filled primarily by 2-3 major applications
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 22
A&DNetwork Consumer/Mobile
Office/Server
Medical Automotive ConsumerStationary
MPU
PE/DSP
AMS
Memory
Fabrics
Markets
System Drivers – So Many ?
1. Fabs will be filled primarily by 2-3 major applications2. Drivers will follow suit – applications drive technology
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 23
Evolution of System Drivers Inventory
1. Upcoming years may see a smaller list of key Drivers2. As fabs consolidate, applications and drivers do so as well3. All remaining applications will ride on existing technology curve
System Driver (Market based) Technology Parameters Driven Potential action
High performance (computing) MPU
Frequency, number of cores, memory architecture
Keep
Mobile / consumer MPU Leakage power efficiency Keep
Low power computing MPU “Microserver”
Operating power efficiency Introduce?
Networking switch Number of I/Os / total I/O BW Keep?
Various fabrics (memory, AMS)
Various fabric-specific parameters
Keep
Networking MPU Number of cores, I/O BW Keep??
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 24
Qualitative changes in SoC-CP– High resolution, large screen size video interface require high performance GPU– Cloud-based service over wireless connection eliminates dedicated PEs for speech,
character and image recognition, dictionary, etc.
SoC-CP model– Current model: CPU + PE + Peripheral (+ RF, AMS)
– Next model: CPU + GPU + Logic Block + IO Peripheral
+ Baseband
(+ RF, AMS)
SOC-CP Model Revision
2D/3D graphics
Audio codec, Video codec,
Security
Multi-band multi-protocol SDR
DRAM-IF, USB, MIPI, HDMI, LVDS…
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 25
More Than Moore – AMS/RF “Subdriver”
Several emphases in DT, DFT: System verification, Hetero systems
Plan: paste high-level block model from AMS/RF -- “core model”
– Hope to obtain model from additional groups, market analysis
– E.G. WiFi/GPS/cellular/BT/NFC front-end blocks, tuner/demodulator
blocks
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 26
Work Toward 2013 and BeyondDesign Chapter
• Version 2 of the Power-Aware Design Technology roadmap• Version 2 of the 3D IC design technology roadmap• Design technology for More Than Moore fabrics (SW, AMS/RF, MEMS)• Updates of LCP, DFT, Design Verification, Design for Resilience• Design of on-chip memory hits the wall at 16nm HP
System Drivers Chapter• Rethinking the MPU Driver: Core + LLC + “uncore”; microserver class• Revising the SOC-Consumer Portable Driver• Elimination of SOC-Networking, SOC-Consumer Stationary drivers ? • Update of Embedded Memory• Continue development of AMS/RF “sub-driver” of SOC-CP Driver
Cross-TWG• CTSG: node timing pull-in, A-factor updates for FinFET, vertical devices• How will FinFET, UTBB SOI timing change PPA projections?• Renewal of the PIDS HP, LP roadmaps (compact modeling interaction) • 3D effort with other TWGs
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 27
Ongoing for 2013 revision– Initial draft models developed in April 2012
Many issues to work through– Gridded layout with device grid, metal grid alignment– Dummy poly isolation– Unimportant design rules become important – e.g., gate contact to
active contact spacing– SRAM devices have integral sizing, no Vt control except with Lgate
biasing challenge to maintaining SRAM A-Factor– Current densities and resistivity CD (width) scaling of VDD, VSS traces– Comprehension of wiring loads in future designs– Specs for high-performance, low-power cell libraries
A-Factor Updates (e.g., FinFET)
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 28
Device Model / PIDS interaction
• Agreed to only one low power device in the roadmap
• Removed LOP device flavor from 3 to 2 devices
• Still questioning how much CD variation can be tolerated
• Should Design content change as we move toward 450 mm ?
• Should Design care about node definitions ?
• (foundry names vs. ITRS)
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 29
• Observation: 14 years to get beyond-CMOS idea to products• ITRS groups must start to think about and act on beyond-2020
devices and their use in design • (“technology” by itself is not a complete solution)
• What will be the earliest insertions into which products?• MRAM replaces SRAM• 3D with vertical nanowires (7nm) bring BEOL interfacing
challenge (and: P, N in different vs. same layers?)• Spintronics
• Demands Design ITWG collaboration with PIDS, Litho, Interconnect, ERD/ERM – and expanding the scope of ITRS
Beyond 2020
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 30
1. Design technology continues on roadmap of low-power techniques
2. Design ITWG still clarifying impact of new devices (FinFET A-factor)
3. Design technology for 3D continues to spread across chapter
4. Design technology for resilience a fundamental portion of DFM
5. More Than Moore fabrics will require increasingly specialized DT
6. Memory an increasingly important factor for design technology
7. Still pushing to integrate AMS/RF on SoC/SiP despite 3D prospects
8. System Drivers: SoC-CP revision – and will soaring applications (DTV,
microservers) overhaul the driver list ?
9. ITRS groups must think about Beyond-CMOS based products and
insertion points
Summary: 2012 Design / SysDrivers Messages
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 31
THANK YOU
ITRS Design ITWG 2012 32
Systems
ICs
System – Device Domain Space
Chip level System level
Techrequirements
Marketrequirements
System DemandWill drive device demand