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Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

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Page 1: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

Institute for Economic Forecasting

Lucian-Liviu AlbuRaluca Polimeni

Radu Lupu

Page 2: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

Beneficiary Number

Beneficiary name Beneficiary short name

Country

1(Coordinator)

Turku School of Economics, Finland Futures Research Centre

TSE/FFRC Finland

2 Parthenope University of Naples UNIPARHENOPE Italy

3 Autonomous University of Barcelona

UAB Spain

4 Free University of Amsterdam, Department of Spatial Economics

VU Netherlands

5 The Macaulay Land Use Research Institute

MLURI UK

6 Institute for Economic Forecasting

IEF Romania

7 Statistics Finland STATFIN Finland

Page 3: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

The consortium participants have developed tools for analysing the different dimensions of sustainability in a FP6 ongoing project DECOIN (Development and Comparison of Sustainability Indicators, 2006-2009).

The objective of the proposed SMILE project is to apply and further develop these tools to analyse the trade-offs and synergies between different aspects of sustainable development.

Page 4: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

The project analyses the trade-offs and synergies in sustainable development objectives by utilising the different indicators developed within the European Sustainable Development Indicator (SDI) Working Group and new types of indicators provided by the tools developed by the consortium partners in previous projects.

The assessment takes place (i) between economic and environmental

aspects, (ii) between economic and social aspects, (iii) between social and environmental aspects,

and (iv) between all three objectives.

Page 5: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

Work package No. Work package titleWP 1 ManagementWP 2 Analytical toolkitWP 3 Case studies

- Catalonia case study (regional level economy, material energy, land use - Romania case study (money, energy, material flows, transition economy) - Laos case study (farming system, land use, farm level analysis) - Finnish case study (forest industry) - Italian case study (agriculture at national, regional, local levels) - EU27 case study (clustering study)- Cairngorms (UK) case study (regional level, multi-sector, trade-offs between statutory objectives)

WP 4 Synergies, Trade-off analysis and scenario buildingWP 5 Interfacing the scientific results with societal/policy processes

(stakeholder participation, sustainable consumption and production patterns) and assess the utility of sustainability assessment tools

WP 6 Dissemination

Page 6: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu
Page 7: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

Task 1.1. Management and project reports to maintain continuous and timely flow of information

Task 1.2. Organisation and coordination of contacts and contracts between beneficiaries

Task 1.3. Identification of deficiencies and problems, as early as possible, and proposals to overcome them

Task 1.4. Monitoring project components Task 1.5. Synthesise and interrelate project results Task 1.6. Produce the project reports to be

submitted and provide all deliverables to the Commission.

Task 1.7. Organise meetings (also Internet-based Skype meetings): Kick-off meeting (month 1), Final project meeting (month 36), Consortium meetings (months 1, 6, 12, 18, 24, 34), and Advisory Board meetings (months 12 and 24).

Page 8: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

Task 2.1. Starting points. The partners, who were not partners in DECOIN, will be familiarised with the functionality and data requirements of the ASA, MSIASEM and SUMMA approaches.

Task 2.2. Demonstration of the use and application examples of the tools in the case study context since the data requirements and modifications needed may vary considerably.

Task 2.3. Development of a procedure for integrated use of the three above procedures, with modelling tools and mathematical links through which they can synergically affect each other.

Page 9: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

SUMMA MSI ASEM ASARAWDATA

ScenariosPerformanceparameters

Cross-scaleconstraints

Environmental stress

Economic production

Social welfareA

B

Environmental stress

Economic production

Social welfareA

BB

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

% o

f 198

0 D

E

DE

DM

GRbPRb(GDP/POP)

PRb(POP)DE

SUMMA MSI ASEM ASARAWDATA

ScenariosPerformanceparameters

Cross-scaleconstraints

Environmental stress

Economic production

Social welfareA

B

Environmental stress

Economic production

Social welfareA

BB

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

% o

f 198

0 D

E

DE

DM

GRbPRb(GDP/POP)

PRb(POP)DE

Page 10: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

a coherent mathematical framework for the analysis of the different dimensions of sustainability

is used for analyzing different driving forces behind environmental, social or economic impacts, or other outcomes of human activities at different levels of society

Page 11: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

Environmental stress

Economic production

Social welfareA

B

Environmental stress

Economic production

Social welfareA

BB

Page 12: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

the explicit goal of establishing a linkage between representations and data referring to different scale and descriptive domains

Page 13: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu
Page 14: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

to overcome the inherent shortcomings of all single-criterion approaches, which constitute the vast majority of the Life Cycle Assessments performed to date in the scientific literature, and which invariably lead to partial and often misleading results.

Page 15: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

Task 3.1 (UAB): Catalonian case study (regional level economy, material energy, land use)

Task 3.2 (IEF): Romanian case study (money, energy, material flows, transition economy)

Task 3.3 (UAB): Lao case study (farming system, land use, farm level analysis)

Task 3.4 (TSE/FFRC and STATFN): Finnish case study (forest industry)

Task 3,5 (UNIPARTHENOPE): Italian case study (agriculture, national, regional, local levels)

Task 3.6 (MLURI): UK Case Study (land use, economic development and social justice, stakeholder participatory analysis)

Task 3.7 (TSE/FFRC): EU27 case study (clustering study)

Task 3.8 (UAB): Writing a final report of all the case studies.

Page 16: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

Task 4.1 (UNIPARTHEOPE): Comparison and scenarios of energy and environmental performance of processes, production sectors, whole economies at different levels of local integration, with special focus on options for energy conservation and increased renewable energy use

Task 4.2 (UAB): Socio-demographic changes (incl. social cohesion, inequalities, poverty reduction) in the context of economic aspects.

Task 4.3 (MLURI): Economic Growth and Environment (flexibility, levels and type of growth, employment, poverty reduction) and environmental aspects (including land use).

Page 17: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

To use the results of WP 2, WP 3 and WP 4 and information acquired from the various stakeholders (governmental agencies, industrial organizations, citizens’ participation groups etc.) in order to form the basis for policy recommendations on improvement of sustainability conditions at various geographical scales.

Page 18: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

The objective of WP6 is to disseminate the results of the project in order to enhance awareness and understanding of the issues dealt with in the project.

Page 19: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

Workpackage WP1 WP2 WP3 WP4 WP5 WP6 TOTAL per

Beneficiary

1. TSE/FFRC 6 3 4 8,5 4 7 32,52.

UNIPARTHE-NOPE

1 3 4 13 5 3 29

3. UAB 1 3 4 13 5 3 294. VU 1 1 8 9 3 22

5. MLURI 1 1 3 11 4 3 236. IEF 1 1 4 8 3 3 20

7. STATFIN 3,5 1 4,5TOTAL 11 12 22,5 61,5 30 23 160

Page 20: Institute for Economic Forecasting Lucian-Liviu Albu Raluca Polimeni Radu Lupu

Milestone No. Milestone nameWP(s)

involvedLead bene-

ficiary

Delivery date from Annex 1 Comments

M1 Kick-off Meeting WP1 1 1 Minutes deliveredM2 Launch of Web site WP6 1 3 Address deliveredM3 1.Toolkit workshop WP2 1 6 Minutes deliveredM4 2.Toolkit workshop WP2 1 12 Minutes deliveredM5 Toolkit WP2 1 15 Report deliveredM6

Reports of the Case Studies – mid-term review

WP3 3 18 Report delivered

M7Reports of synergies and

trade-offs that exist between the different objectives of sustain-able development

WP4 2 30 Report delivered

M8 Research work finalized – final review

WP5 4 36 Final review workshop

M9 Final project meeting WP1 1 38 Invitations and minutes delivered

M10 International conference WP6 1 42 Invitations and minutes delivered