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For Private Circulation Only
Private & Confidential
IMPRESS-Portfolio
Private & Confidential
28th Feb 2018
IMPRESS-Portfolio
nvestments in
ulticap
ortfolio of
ising
nterprises with
ound corporate track record
ustainable business model
For Private Circulation Only
Private & Confidential
IMPRESS-Portfolio Objective & Investment Philosophy
Focus on Return Optimization by investing in multicap
portfolio of rising enterprises with sound corporate track
record and sustainable business model keeping balance
between value and growth strategy.
Objective
Value investing is the art of buying stocks which trade at a significant discount to their
intrinsic value. Portfolio Manager achieve this by looking for companies on cheap valuation metrics,
typically low multiples of their profits or assets, for reasons which are not justified over the longer term .
Growth investing is a style of investment strategy focused on capital appreciation. Portfolio
Manager invest in companies that exhibit signs of above-average growth, even if the share price
appears expensive in terms of metrics such as price-to-earnings or price-to-book ratios.
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IMPRESS-Portfolio Why Multicap Strategy
The table shows outperformance of the Mid Cap and Small Cap Index over the Sensex Index during the Bull Period.
Outperformance of the Mid Cap and small caps happens because of better earnings growth in the bull phase.
The P/E for Mid cap and Small Caps also expands as earnings growth is superior v/s Sensex earnings growth.
Identifying the business within attractive valuation compare to their growth is key factor for outperformance.
Returns delivered from Mid Cap and Small Cap do outperform the Large Cap, however one should keep in mind the risk associated with it as we see the higher volatility in it. Therefore we emphasis on stringent stock selection strategy and create a diversified Multicap portfolio to create alpha over the benchmark.
Today’s Small Cap
Small Cap
are tomorrows Mid cap
Mid Cap
Which may eventually
become Large Cap
Large Cap
Apr-03 Dec-07 CAGR Volatility
Sensex 2960 20287 51.0% 22.0%
BSE Mid Cap 952 9789 64.6% 25.0%
BSE Small Cap 893 13348 78.4% 31.6%
Dec-07 Dec-11 CAGR Volatility
Sensex 20287 15455 -6.6% 31.2%
BSE Mid Cap 9789 5135 -14.9% 40.5%
BSE Small Cap 13348 5550 -19.7% 45.4%
Dec-11 Dec-17 CAGR Volatility
Sensex 15455 34057 14.1% 9.0%
BSE Mid Cap 5135 17822 23.0% 12.0%
BSE Small Cap 5550 19231 23.0% 13.5%
Bull Period
Bear Period
Current Bull period
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Private & Confidential
IMPRESS-Portfolio
Business Model either in 1) Improving Market Share 2) Leadership 3) Niche Business Model
Rising Enterprises 1) Stable and Improving Margins 2) Improving ROE and ROCE
Sustainability 1) Visibility of Earnings over next 2-3 years 2) Predictable business model
Sound Corporate Track Record 1) Management back ground 2) Accounting & Corporate policies
Sector opportunity 1) Sector potential to grow 2) Cyclical / Non
Cyclical 3) Favoring Policies
Diversification 1) Sectorally well diversified portfolio of 15-20
stocks across Market Capitalization
Exposure 1) Single Stock exposure < 10% 2) Single Sector exposure < 30%
Stock Selection
Allocation
Investment Process
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IMPRESS-Portfolio Top Holdings & Market Cap Allocation
5
The current model client portfolio comprise of 20 stocks. Portfolio is well diversified across market capitalization. We have shown top 3 stocks based on current weightage in each of the market capitalization.
Most of the stocks are given more or less equal and sizable weightage in portfolio
Data as on 28th Feb 2018
Large Cap, 28%
Mid Cap, 49%
Small Cap, 22%
Cash, 1%
Market Cap AllocationSr No Large Cap % Holdings
1 Bharat Forge Ltd. 5.7%
2 Bajaj Finance Ltd. 5.3%
3 Larsen & Toubro Ltd. 4.8%
Sr No Mid Cap % Holdings
1 Finolex Cables Ltd. 6.1%
2 Minda Industries Ltd. 5.9%
3 Aarti Industries Ltd. 5.8%
Sr No Small Cap % Holdings
1 Deepak Nitrite Ltd. 7.6%
2 Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd. 5.7%
3 SH Kelkar & Co Ltd. 5.1%
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IMPRESS-Portfolio Diversified Sector
The current portfolio participates
in most of the sectors which are
going to be in fore front of the
growth in the economy.
With positive real interest rates
which is helping to stimulate the
financial savings will in turn provide
stimulus to consumption led
economy.
Most of the company selected
belongs to the sectors which are
also being boosted by the
government reforms such as of
Power, Housing, Clean and Green
India, Digital India, Infrastructure.
etc.
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%
Chemicals
Financials
Auto & Ancillary
Capital Goods
Consumer Durables
Metal Product
Infrastructure
Plastic Product
Shipping
Power
Textiles
Oil & Gas
Agri Chemical
Sector Allocation
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IMPRESS-Portfolio Portfolio Strategy
7 Source : Internal Research, Ace Equity, Bloomberg* (Estimates)
21% Avg
Est.
EPS
CAGR
Growth65%
Value35%
Note: The above stocks are part of model client portfolio.
22x Fwd
P/E
FY19
Risk
Re
wa
rd
Low High
High
IMPRESS
Portfolio
Portfolio Positioning
Medium to High
Risk & Reward
Overall Portfolio
Average Estimated*
EPS expected to grow
at 21% CAGR from
FY17 to FY19
Focus on Quality
Midcap and Small Cap.
No stock less then
1000 cr Market Cap
The portfolio is well
balanced between the
value and growth style
of investment Data as on 28th Feb 2018
*Estimates Data as on 28th Feb 2018
Avg Market Cap (cr)
Large Cap 123199
Midcap 10899
Small Cap 3792
Overall Portfolio 40155
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IMPRESS-Portfolio Portfolio Performance
8 Note: Performance is net of all expenses of the initial client based on Flat Fee Model.
Disclaimer: Past Performance is not necessarily indicative of likely future performance
2.5%
7.7%
15.2%14.0%
1.2%
6.5%
10.9% 11.20%
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
20%
3 Month 6 Month 9 Month Since Inception (31st May 2017)
Absolute Performance as on 28th Feb 2018
IMPRESS Portfolio NIFTY 500
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IMPRESS-Portfolio Supreme Industries Ltd.
Supreme Industries Limited (SI), founded in 1942 is India's leading polymers and resins processing company offering wide range of plastic products. The company operates in various product categories viz. Plastic Piping System, Cross Laminated Films & Products, Protective Packaging Products, Industrial Molded Components, Molded Furniture, Storage & Material Handling Products, Performance Packaging Films & Composite LPG Cylinders.
Supreme Industries has 25 technologically advanced manufacturing facilities located at various places spread across the country and a distribution network of over 2,800 channel partners.
The company currently has a diversified product portfolio with established brand equity along with significant market share in each of its business verticals.
The company has also 29.99% stake in Supreme Petrochem Ltd which is into manufacturing of Polystyrene, Expanded Polystyrene (normal and cup grade), Extruded Polystyrene Insulation Boards, Compounds of Polyolefins products.
Going ahead, the company intends to increase its contribution from value added products to around 40% or more of its total revenues through focusing on technological innovations and designs. The value added products generally has margins of more than 17% for the company which should help increase margins for the company.
The company plans to incur capex of around 400 to 450 crore in FY-18 on setting up greenfield plants in South India, North-East India and Rajasthan while augmenting its capacities at existing facilities in the country. The company has planned to fund this expenditure with internal accruals. The management has also provided revenue guidance for the next financial year at between Rs.5,200 to Rs.5,500 crore.
Outlook: The company’s primary driver is increased volumes through wider and deeper penetration across the country supported by addition of timely manufacturing capacities. The company plans to achieve 7 lakh ton per year installed capacity by FY-21. Currently the company is undergoing expansion of its plastic piping, protective packaging and furniture units.
Key Holdings
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IMPRESS-Portfolio COCHIN SHIPYARD
Cochin Shipyard (CSL), a public sector enterprise, is one of the most stable companies in the Indian shipbuilding and ship repair sector. The company caters to the clients engaged in the defence sector in India along with clients engaged in the commercial sector worldwide. In addition to
shipbuilding, ship repair, CSL also offers marine engineering training. The company’s Indian clients
include the Indian Navy, the Indian Coast Guard, SCI, ONGC, DGLL, DCI, etc, while foreign clients include NPCC, the Clipper Group, Vroon and Sigba AS
Over the years, CSL has emerged as a premier player in the Indian shipbuilding segment with expertise in design, engineering and project implementation. CSL is also a market leader with a market share of ~39% and has undertaken repairs of most complex ships of the country. As on FY17, shipbuilding constitutes 74% of the topline while ship repair comprises the remaining 26%.
Even during turbulent times in the global shipbuilding history, it has delivered topline, bottom line growth of 11.1%, 18.7% CAGR, respectively, in FY07-17. CSL has a strong balance sheet with debt of Rs 123 crore and cash of Rs 1,600 crore.
CSL is consciously improving its business mix by increasing the share of ship-repairs orders (2x profitable than shipbuilding business) in its order book. Better business mix coupled with strong bidding pipeline of over ~Rs 11,900 crore augur well for the company. Currently, CSL has a healthy order book of RS 2,856 crore plus L1 status of Rs 5400 crore. It is also likely to receive order for phase III of IAC, which is likely to be ~Rs 10,900 crore. We believe these orders give strong revenue visibility to CSL till FY23.
Outlook: CSL’s has strong order book and bidding pipeline, core competency in both shipbuilding & ship repair (specially defence), debt-free status, best-in-class working capital cycle, reliability in execution and being a natural beneficiary of large & critical government projects. Hence Buying for long term
10
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IMPRESS-Portfolio
SH KELKAR & CO
SH Kelkar Limited (SHK), incorporated in 1922 as a manufacturer of industrial perfumes is currently India’s largest Fragrance & Flavor company aiming to be a significant domestic and international player. The company’s businesses are primarily spread across three segments Fragrances & Aroma Ingredients, Flavours, and Services of which Fragrance business is the primary contributor to revenues .
SHK is the fourth largest company with a market share of 12% in Indian fragrance & flavour
industry and is the only Indian company having a market share of more than 1% in the
segment. The other larger competitors are five MNC companies having a combined market share of ~60% within them.
Over the years, it has developed a library of 680 flavors categorized under the natural, nature-identical or artificial head sand available in liquid, drymix, emulsion and encapsulated forms. SHK’s R&D team synthesized 128 new molecules in FY16. It has also patented its first molecule listed in U.S. during the year .
Going ahead the company aims to Focus on retaining current domestic market leadership and enhancing market share in fragrance industry in India and emerging markets, introduce new products, strengthen innovation platform to enhance products portfolio, expand presence in the branded small pack portfolio
The Indian F&F industry is expected to continue to grow at a round10% CAGR upto 2020 along with consolidation of market share towards larger players from smaller ones.
Outlook: We believe SHK presents a unique opportunity for investors to take part in this growing segment in medium to long term. The company is currently operating at a 45% utilization levels and is expected to witness improvement in profitability margins going ahead as utilization levels improve. It is also to be noted that every 15% increase in utilizations could increase its revenues by around 100%. Hence Buying for Long Term
11
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IMPRESS-Portfolio Founder & Promoter (Anand Rathi Group)
One of the leading financial and investment experts in India and South-east Asia, Mr. Anand Rathi on
acquiring a Chartered Accountancy qualification had a long, successful and illustrious career of over 40 years as a core member of the legendary late Mr. Aditya Birla’s business group. He was actively involved
in all strategic initiatives, being instrumental in shaping the group’s cement business, and spearheaded its
foray into diverse businesses in manufacturing and services.
In 1999 as the President of BSE, he was the driving force behind the expansion of BOLT, the BSE Online Trading System. He also set up the Trade Guarantee Fund and played a vital role in setting up the Central
Depository Services (CDS).
A respected member of the ICAI, he is popular among chartered accountants and finance professionals as
also public life in general because of his active philanthropy and Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) initiatives. These include training and career opportunities to bright young professionals.
Anand Rathi Founder & Chairman
Pradeep Gupta Co Founder &
Vice Chairman
Mr. Gupta brings with him long experience of setting up and running a variety of business enterprises. His
first exposure was in the family-owned textiles business, however is passion for financial markets led to his
starting Navratan Capital & Securities Pvt. Ltd, later merged with Anand Rathi Financial Services.
At AnandRathi, he has played a pivotal role in laying the foundation of the Institutional Broking and
Investment Services arms of the group. His ground-breaking spirit has helped the firm to rapidly expanding
its footprint and emerge as a leading capital market player in the country.
He has been instrumental in leading the group to bag prestigious accolades and often appears in the media,
sharing his views and insights on macro-economic aspects.
He is also an active member of the Rotary Club of Bombay.
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IMPRESS-Portfolio Fund Management Team
Mayur Shah - Fund Manager
More than 12 years of rich experience in Investment advisory, Product Development
and Portfolio Management
Working with Anand Rathi since 2007 across Portfolio Management and Private
Client Group Equity Advisory
Started Career with “Kotak Securities Ltd” in 2005 as an Investment Advisor
subsequently got into developing Equity products and running the same
Qualified MBA (Finance) from Mumbai University and Certified Financial Planner
Vinod Vaya
More than 12 years of rich experience in Investment advisory, Portfolio Management
and research
Worked in past with Standard Chartered Securities, Religare Securities, Enam
Securities.
PGDBM from Mumbai
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IMPRESS-Portfolio Product Features
Minimum investment
Portfolio:
Themes offered
Type of instruments
Benchmark
Fund Manager
Rs. 25 lakhs.
15-20 STOCKS, diversified across sectors.
Multicap – Spread between Small, Mid and Large Cap
Multicap Portfolio - Balanced between Value and Growth
Most of the companies have adequate analyst coverage.
Most of the stocks will be part of core portfolio.
Equity & Equity Related Instruments, Fixed Income
Instruments, Cash & Cash Equivalent
NIFTY 500
Mayur Shah
Benefits
• Dedicated Web Login for client to monitor portfolio.
• A relationship manager to cater to investment needs
• Constant monitoring of the portfolio
• Audited statement at year end for tax filing purpose.
Support
Back office customer service desk to address client queries.
Name : Vinod Vaya
Tel : 022 – 4001 3947
Email ID : [email protected]
Product Support
Name : Archana Bhor
Tel : 022 – 4001 3878
E-MAIL : [email protected]
Back Office Support
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IMPRESS-Portfolio
PMS registered under : Anand Rathi Advisors Ltd.
PMS Registration Number : INP00000282.
Custodian : IL&FS Securities Services Ltd.
OFFICIAL ADDRESS : 4 th Floor , Silver Metropolis, Jaicoach Compound Opposite Bimbisar Nagar,
Goregaon(East), Mumbai - 400 063. India
BOARD LINES : +91 22 4001 3700
All Investment are subject to Market Risk.
Please read the risk factors before investing in the same.
Past Performance is not necessarily indicative of likely future performance
Specific Disclaimer
Registration Details
Disclaimer & Registration Details
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IMPRESS-Portfolio
Private & Confidential
Disclaimer:-This report has been issued by Anand Rathi Advisors Limited (ARAL), which is regulated by SEBI. The information herein was obtained from various sources; we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities or any options, futures or other derivatives related to such securities ("related investments"). ARAL and its affiliates may trade for their own accounts as market maker / jobber and/or arbitrageur in any securities of this issuer(s) or in related investments, and may be on the opposite side of public orders. ARAL, its affiliates, directors, officers, and employees may have a long or short position in any securities of this issuer(s) or in related investments. ARAL or its affiliates may from time to time perform investment banking or other services for, or solicit investment banking or other business from, any entity mentioned in this report. This research report is prepared for private circulation. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. Investors should note that income from such securities, if any, may fluctuate and that each security's price or value may rise or fall. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Foreign currency rates of exchange may adversely affect the value, price or income of any security or related investment mentioned in this report.