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Tetsuya IKEDA, PhD Chief Researcher ICHARM (International Centre for Water Hazard and Risk Management under the auspices of UNESCO) ICHARM's activities on water-related disaster and flood management in Asia Cases of Philippines, Myanmar and Sri Lanka) 28 August 2018 ASIA FOCUS Water Sensitive & Livable Green Cities in Asia Stockholm World Water Week 1

ICHARM's activities on water-related disaster and flood ... · rainfall for the next 16 days (max) Himawari-8 cloud images Inundation map by satellite data (ALOS-2) 4 hr latency data

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Tetsuya IKEDA, PhD

Chief Researcher

ICHARM

(International Centre for Water Hazard and Risk Management

under the auspices of UNESCO)

ICHARM's activities on water-related disaster

and flood management in Asia

(Cases of Philippines, Myanmar and Sri Lanka)

28 August 2018

ASIA FOCUS – Water Sensitive & Livable Green Cities in Asia

Stockholm World Water Week

1

Three Pillars of ICHARM Activities

2D Diffusion

in Catchment

Subsurface +

Surface

Vertical Infiltration

1D Diffusion

in RiverRainfall

DEM

Land

Cover

Cross

Sec.

Input

Discharge

W. Level

Inundation

Output

Short-term training

Master Course

Ph.D. Course

Follow-up seminars

Local training

(IFAS, ADCP)

Hydro-meteorological models

developed by ICHARM

(IFAS and RRI)

• UNESCO-IHP

• International Flood

Initiative (IFI)

• UN agencies

• Typhoon Committee

• Governments,

NGOs, Academia

etc.

APWS3@Yangon WWF8@Brasilia

Integrated Flood

Analysis System

(IFAS)

Rainfall Runoff

Inundation (RRI)

model

Innovative Research-Advanced Technology-

Efficient Information Networking

Effective Capacity Building

UNESCO, WMO, ISDR, IAHS, IAHR, ICSU, UNESCO-IHE

MLIT, MEXT, NILIM, UNU, ADRC, FRICS, NARBO, IFNet, JWF, JICA, GRIPS, JAXA, DPRI, UY, NIED, JWA

Government of Indonesia

Government of Philippines, ADB

IWHR, IRTCES KDPA, KICT, K-Water

USGS, USBR, IWR

UCD

HidroEX

SHIRCUWM TEHRAN, IWPC

ICIMOD, BWDB, RID, DID, HTC, MRC

Donors

Researchers

CommunitiesNGOs

PolicymakersPractitioners

Typhoon Committee

2

Key products for climate and flood risk reduction

IncreaseMekong

Pampanga

Solo

[mm/year]

Decrease

+0.5±4.8%

+16±10%

Chao Phraya

+15±2.5%

Indus

+38±4%

+10±1%

Basin average yearly

precipitation

●Present Climate

(1979-2003)

● Future Climate

(2075-2099) RCP 8.5

Average and standard

deviation in 4 SSTs

Support for Community-level

Flood Contingency Plans

(Calumpit, Philippines)

Flood Hazard Map in Yangon for 100-year flood

Program for Risk Information on Climate Change

Comparison of 5 River Basins’ Average Yearly Precipitation between Present Climate (1979-2003) and Future Climate (2075-2099)

ADB Project for Myanmar

Transformation of Urban Management

3

Myanmar

Pakistan Philippines

Sri Lanka

Identification

Policy-makingCommunity of

Practice

1. Data

Archiving

2. Model

Development

3. Societal

Benefit

Creation

Societal Change

(land use, population)

Climate Change

Monitoring

Prediction

Tra

nsd

iscip

lina

ry

Inte

rdis

cip

lina

ry

Ca

pa

city

Bu

ildin

g

Integrated Risk Assessment

future

present

past

Damage Hazard Socio-Economic

International Cooperation

Platform on Water Resilience and Disasters

4

International Flood Initiative (IFI)

Establishment of Platforms on Water Resilience and Disasters

In-situ rain gauge data (6 numbers)

Satellite precipitation data(GSMaP)

On-line Information provision

on DIAS:In-situ rainfall, satellite rainfall,

calibrated and forecast rainfall, inundation simulations

Implemented by EDITORIA and ICHARM on

DIAS

ALOS © JAXA (2016)

Inundation

analysis by

using RRI in

DIAS

Simulation and forecasting of river

discharge, water level, inundation extent

Inundation analysis results

Concept of RRI model

Ensemble forecasting rainfall for the next 16 days (max)

Himawari-8 cloud images

Inundation map by satellite data (ALOS-2)

4 hr latency data (NRT)

Real time data (NOW)

Calibration

500mm

Bias-corrected Satellite Rainfall

Real-time Rain Gauge Data

Inundation

EnsembleFlood

Prediction

72hr11 ensembles

every 24hr Issued on May 24

Issued on May 25

DIAS-ICHARM: Flood Information Sharing Support in Sri Lanka

5

Thank you very much

for your kind attentions

URL: http://www.icharm.pwri.go.jp/index.html

E-mail: [email protected]

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