Hispanic Trends Project

A Portrait of Latino StudentsMark Hugo LopezDirector of Hispanic Research

September 4, 2014

Latino School Enrollments

Hispanic Student Enrollments

In 2012, 13 million young Latinos were enrolled in nursery school to high school public institutionsThat is up 58% from 2000 when 8.2 million Latinos were enrolledAmong 18-24 year olds, 2.4 million Latinos were enrolled in college full time, up 175% since 2000 when there were 873,000 Latino students in college full time.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau Historical School Enrollment time series http://www.census.gov/hhes/school/data/cps/historical/index.html

Source: Pew Research Center analysis of the October 2012 Current Population Survey (CPS)

Racial and Ethnic Composition of Public Schools by Grade, 2012

(%)

All

Nursery school

Kindergarten

Elementary school

High school

51.1128210060594

44.912152269399745.90119435396351.568725933366852.5471217524198

24.9860536693277

28.587115666178627.3887079261672

25.33400301356123.1342333163525

15.8218716937578

18.887262079063

16.2323561346363

15.345722417545616.0978094752929

8.07925363085506

7.6134699853587110.47774158523357.751548635526538.22083545593479

White Hispanic Black Other

Source: Pew Research Center analysis of the October Current Population Survey (CPS)

Growing Hispanic Representation in Public Schools and Colleges

1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 20120

5

10

15

20

25 25

19

Pre-K through 12th-grade public school enrollment, ages 3 and older

College enrollment, ages18-24

%

Hispanic share of enrollment

Source: Pew Research Center tabulations of the 2012 American Community Survey and the 2000 decennial census (1% IPUMS)

Hispanic Children Are a Growing Share of Public Kindergarten

ClassesStates where 20% or more of kindergartners are Hispanic

Latino College Enrollment Gains More than

Demography

Source: Pew Research Center analysis of the October Current Population Survey (CPS)

High School Dropout Rates among 18- to 24-Year-Olds

(%)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

109

4.8

15

5.13.5

%

Black

Asian

White

Hispanic

Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the October Current Population Survey (CPS)

Hispanic High School Completion is at a Record Level

(% of 18- to 24-year-old Hispanics)

1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 200850

55

60

65

70

75

8076.3

2011

Source: Pew Research Center analysis of the October Current Population Survey (CPS)

College Enrollment Rates Among High School Completers

(% of 18- to 24-year-old high school completers)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

454749

61.466

Black

Asian

White

Hispanic

2012

Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the October 2013 Current Population Survey (CPS)

Hispanics Now Largest Minority Group at Colleges and

Universities(millions of 18- to 24-year-old students)

2-year college (community) 4-year college or university0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1.8

5.3

0.91.3

0.51.0

0.20.8

White Hisp Black Asian

Hispanic Undergraduates are More Likely to Enroll at 2-year Institutions than Other

Groups

Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the October 2013 Current Population Survey (CPS)

Hisp White Black Asian

58%

74%69%

77%

42%

26%31%

23%

4-year college or university

Latino Youth are Optimistic…

50%

72%

45%

22% 4%

Most aresatisfied with

their lives

and mostexpect to be

better offfiancially than

parents

Source: 2009 National Survey of Latinos

Very Satisfied Mostly Satisfied

Better offAboutthe same

Lesswell off

Percent of Latino 16 to 25 year olds

…And They Say A College Education Is

Important

88%

74%

89%

82%

All Latinos ages 16and older

General populationages 16 and older

Latinos ages 16 to25

General populationages 16 to 25

In order to get ahead in life these days, it’s necessary to get a college education.

Percent who agree

Source: 2009 National Survey of Latinos for Latino sample; 2009 SDT America’s Changing Workforce Survey for general U.S. population

…Yet Educational Expectations Lag

48%

12%

6%

4%

22%18%

60%

4%

9%

5%

Bachelor's degree orhigher

Some college/2 years

Technical or tradeschool

Finish high school

No further

Latinos General population

How much further in school do you plan to go?

Among 18- to 25-year-olds

Source: 2009 National Survey of Latinos for Latino sample; 2007 Generation Next Survey for all youth sample

What's at Stake?

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, National Population Projections, Released 2008

58%

38%

20%

39%

15%11%

4% 6%

% of School-age Population

NH white Hispanic NH black NH asian

Hispanics Projected to be the Largest School-age Population by

2050

Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of October Current Population Surveys (CPS)

Hispanic Educational Attainment,1990 to 2013

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013

8.18.9

9.7

11.2

13.5

15.7

All Hispanics

(% of 25 to 29 year olds with bachelor’s degree or higher)

Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of October Current Population Surveys (CPS)

Hispanic Educational Attainment,1990 to 2013

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013

7.3 7.8 8.3

10.210.8

13.1

9.110.1

11

12.4

16.8

18.6

Hispanic Women

Hispanic Men

(% of 25- to- 29-year olds with bachelor’s degree or higher)

Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the October 2013 Current Population Survey (CPS)

Educational Attainment of 25- to 29-year-olds, 2013

Hispanic NH White NH Black NH Asian

16

39

20

59

(% with bachelor’s degree or higher)

Why Not Continue Your Education?

74%

49%

42%

40%

39%

21%

Need to support family

English skills are limited

Didn't like school

Can't afford to go on in school

Don't need more education

Grades not high enough

Which of the following are reasons you have not continued your education?

Percent of Latino youth ages 16 to 25 with a high school diploma or less, who are not enrolled and have no plans to return to school saying “Yes”

Source: 2009 National Survey of Latinos

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Force Characteristics by Race and Ethnicity, 2011 and ANew Look at Long-term Labor Force Projections to 2050

Civilian Labor Force, 2011 and Projected 2050

Total Hispanic NH White Black Asian0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

2011 2050(in thousands)

40-year Work-life Earnings by Education

for Hispanic Full-time, Full-year Workers

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Education and Synthetic Work-Life Earnings Estimates, September 2011

Male Female

9 - 12th grade 1.1 0.8

High School completer 1.3 1.0

Some college 1.7 1.3

Associate's degree 1.8 1.4

Bachelor's degree 2.1 1.7

Master's degree 2.8 2.3

Professional degree 3.1 2.3

Doctorate degree 3.1 2.6

In millions of $

Contact InformationMark Hugo Lopez

Director of Hispanic Researchmlopez@pewresearch.org

Hispanic Trends Project

About the Hispanic Trends Project

Pew Hispanic Center established in 2001; rebranded in 2013Funded by The Pew Charitable TrustsA part of the Pew Research Center

Purpose is to improve understanding of the diverse Hispanic population in the U.S. and to chronicle the growing impact of this population on the U.S.

“Fact tank,” not a think tank