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1 Stock Data Sector Containers & Packaging Face Value(Rs) 2.00 52 wk. High/Low (Rs.) 275.00/90.00 Volume (2 wk. Avg.) 815467 BSE Code 515145 Market Cap(Rs in Mn) 19658.1 Financials (Rs in Mn) FY10A FY11E FY12E Net Sales 13711 15356 17199 EBIDTA 3163 3404 3797 PAT 1552 1674 1888 EPS 17.77 19.17 21.62 P/E 12.6 11.7 10.4 HINDUSTHAN NATIONAL GLASS & INDUSTRIES LTD BUY F I R S T C A L L R E S E A R C H SYNOPSIS We initiated the coverage of Hindusthan National Glass & Industries Ltd and set a target price of Rs.260.00 for medium to long term gains. HNG was founded by Mr. C K Somany in 1946 following the commissioning of India’s first fully automated glass manufacturing plant at Rishra (near Kolkata). At present, it is the key player in India’s container glass industry with a pan India presence and its plants located at Rishra, Bahadurgarh, Rishikesh, Neemrana, Nashik and Puducherry. The company has signed a joint venture with Belgium based OMCO International NV, world’s leading glass mould manufacturers. The revenue of the company for the year ended on March 3 1st increased 3.5% YoY while Profit increased 44% YoY. The topline of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.1% over 2009A to 2012E. 1 Year Comparative Graph HNGIL BSE SENSEX V.S.R. Sastry Equity Research Desk [email protected] Dr. V.V.L.N. Sastry Ph.D. Chief Research Officer [email protected] C.M.P: Target Price: Rs.225.05 Rs.260.00 Share Holding Pattern Date: 8 June 2010

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Stock Data

Sector Containers & Packaging

Face Value(Rs) 2.00

52 wk. High/Low (Rs.) 275.00/90.00

Volume (2 wk. Avg.) 815467

BSE Code 515145

Market Cap(Rs in Mn) 19658.1

Financials (Rs in Mn) FY10A FY11E FY12E

Net Sales 13711 15356 17199

EBIDTA 3163 3404 3797

PAT 1552 1674 1888

EPS 17.77 19.17 21.62

P/E 12.6 11.7 10.4

HINDUSTHAN NATIONAL GLASS &

INDUSTRIES LTD BUY

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T

C

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SYNOPSIS

We initiated the coverage of Hindusthan National Glass & Industries Ltd and set a target price of Rs.260.00 for medium to long term gains.

HNG was founded by Mr. C K Somany in 1946 following the commissioning of India’s first fully automated glass manufacturing plant at Rishra (near Kolkata).

At present, it is the key player in India’s container glass industry with a pan India presence and its plants located at Rishra, Bahadurgarh, Rishikesh, Neemrana, Nashik and Puducherry.

The company has signed a joint venture with Belgium based OMCO International NV, world’s leading glass mould manufacturers.

The revenue of the company for the year ended on March 31st increased 3.5% YoY while Profit increased 44% YoY.

The topline of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.1% over 2009A to 2012E.

1 Year Comparative Graph

HNGIL BSE SENSEX

V.S.R. Sastry

Equity Research Desk

[email protected]

Dr. V.V.L.N. Sastry Ph.D.

Chief Research Officer

[email protected]

C.M.P: Target Price: Rs.225.05 Rs.260.00

Share Holding Pattern

Date: 8 June 2010

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Peer Group Comparison

Name of the company CMP(Rs.)

Market Cap.(Rs.Mn.) EPS(Rs.) P/E(x) P/Bv(x) Dividend (%)

Hindusthan National

Glass Industries Ltd 225.05 19658.1 17.77 12.6 1.99 50

Uflex Ltd 109.15 7095.5 14.3 7.59 0.87 40

Tinplate Company of

India Ltd 72.00 5190.8 9.31 7.73 1.93 12.50

Manaksia Ltd 110.50 7683.5 3.56 31.04 1.45 110

Investment Highlights

FY10 Performance

Net profit of the company has increased at yoy 44% Rs.1552.00mn from

Rs.1077.50mn of same period of last year. Total revenue for the year stood at

Rs.13711.20 mn from Rs.13242.40 which is 3.5% increased than that of a year

ago. EPS for the year stood at Rs.17.77 per equity share of Rs.2.00 each.

Operating profit of the company stood at Rs.3163.40mn. OPM for the year stood at

23%. Expenditure of the company decreased 1.7% YoY to Rs.10781.10 mn.

Interest expenses for the year stood at Rs.471.7mn.

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Results Updates (Q4 FY10)

The bottomline of the company for the quarter decreased at 10% yoy Rs.243.80mn

from Rs.269.40mn of same period of last year. Total revenue for the fourth quarter

stood at Rs.3805.70 mn from Rs.3496.20 which is 9% increased than that of a

year ago.EPS for the quarter stood at Rs.2.79 per equity share of Rs.2.00 each.

Expenditure of the company increased 12.3% YoY to Rs.3208.10mn from

Rs.2856.50mn of same period of last year. Interest expenses for the quarter stood

at Rs.123.90mn. OPM & NPM for the quarter stood at 16% and 6% respectively.

Quarterly Results - Standalone (Rs in mn)

As At Mar-10 Mar-09 %Change

Net sales 3805.7 3496.2 9

PAT 243.8 269.4 (10)

Basic EPS 2.79 15.42

Equity Capital 174.7 174.7

Face Value 2 10

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The improved profitability in the year can be attributed to the focus on the

operational efficiencies during the year. The key highlight of the year has been

the successful implementation of NNPB technology in the plants that makes

glass bottles lighter by 15-20%. While the company have also identified

Greenfield projects in the south, the company’s focus for the year has been

mainly on improved profitability.

HNG signs a joint venture with OMCO - world’s leading glass mould

manufacturers

The company has signed a joint venture with Belgium based OMCO International

NV, world’s leading glass mould manufacturers. According to the venture, OMCO

and HNG will have a 50:50 shareholding pattern and will jointly set up and

operate mould manufacturing facilities in India under the name of OMCO HNG

Engineering Ltd. for designing, manufacturing, marketing and sales of moulds for

glass packaging products like beverages, liquor, food, pharmaceutical and

cosmetic use.

OMCO HNG Engineering Ltd. plans to set up its first plant in Pondicherry with an

estimated investment of Rs. 35 crores. The plant will be equipped with state-of-

the-art foundry and CNC machines to match global standards. The plant is

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expected to be operational by September 2010 with initial capacity of 4000 moulds

per month.

The joint venture is a stride by HNG towards becoming the complete glass

packaging solutions provider globally by strengthening its backward integration. It

is a great opportunity for the company to partner with world’s leading mould

manufacturers for their technical expertise and special designs.

As per the joint venture HNG will be providing civil and technical infrastructure,

while OMCO will be sharing its expertise on special designs and technologies

which are unavailable in India at present.

Company Profile

Hindusthan National Glass (HNG) a CK Somany group was founded by C K

Somany, a visionary entrepreneur in 1952 with the inauguration of India’s first fully

automatic glass container manufacturing plant at Rishra, near Calcutta (INDIA).

The HNG Group was launched under the banner of Hindusthan National Glass

Manufacturing Co. Ltd., subsequently renamed Hindusthan National Glass &

Industries Ltd. (HNGIL).

The company offers premium glass containers for every kind of application. HNGIL

is an acknowledged market leader of today and producing 6 million bottles per day

ranging from 5 ml to 3200 ml containers for multifarious industries like

pharmaceuticals, beverages, processed foods, cosmetics, liquors etc.

Its manufacturing facilities are strategically located at Bahadurgarh near Delhi

(since 1964), Rishikesh, Pondicherry and Nashik with state-of-the-art induction

furnace for manufacturing of castings in its own foundry. HNGIL has incorporated

its technology from the best suppliers in Europe and USA.

HNG Group operates 10 furnaces and 42 production lines with fully automatic IS

(Individual Section) machines up to 12 Sections operating on Double and Triple

Gob.

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All the plants have a thorough electronic inspection system right from the batch

mixing till the final packing. Quality control and R&D Sections are well equipped

with sophisticated instruments enabling production of international quality

glassware.

Well-equipped workshop to manufacture moulds for bottles of all designs & shapes,

backed up by own power generating plants.

The far-sighted and dynamic approach of C K Somany, the highly focused

management strategies and the leadership qualities of his sons Sanjay Somany and

Mukul Somany have turned every challenge into a winning formula.

As a result of which, in the 5 ml-3200 ml segment, HNG Group is the undisputed

market leader catering to around 70% of the Domestic Market in the

pharmaceutical, beverage, processed food, cosmetic and liquor sectors covering

industry majors like, CocaCola, Dabur, GlaxoWellcome, Nestle, Pepsi, Reckitt

Benckiser (India) Ltd., Smithkline Beecham, UB Group etc. Exports to South East,

Middle East, Africa and First World Countries in Europe & North America.

HNGIL has a wide and diversified customer base to its credit. Its clientele includes

leading companies like :

Pepsi Co., Coca-Cola, Cadbury’s, Nestle ,Raun Pollack, Dabur, Bayer, Lakme, Glaxo,

Pfizer, Reckitt & Coleman, Shaw Wallace, UB group

Product range of the company includes:

Premium glass containers like glass bottles/vials, for use in beverages industry,

cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, liquor and processed food industry.

Other companies under the HNG wing are Glass Equipment (India) Ltd. (GEIL),

Ceramic Decorators Ltd. (CDL), Somany Foam Limited (SFL) and Quality Minerals

Ltd. (QML). Besides, there are number of Investment Companies, Partnership Firms

and Charitable Trusts which are also part of the HNG Group.

• Glass Equipment ( India) Limited- GEIL's state-of-the-art technology accounts

for manufacture of sophisticated equipment for glass plants. It is also expert in

manufacturing of critical spares for Glass container manufacturing industries

and provides solutions in setting up glass plants on a turnkey basis.

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• Ceramic Decorators Limited- CDL provides decorative printing on bottles with

the latest machines and Lehrs.

• Somany Foam Limited- Project being set up at BHEL Industrial Area,

Haridwar to manufacture all types of FOAM with an Capital outlay of Rs.36

Crores.

• HNG Float Glass Limited- HNG group is planning to come up with an

integrated 600 TPD Float Glass Project in the State of Gujarat at a capital

outlay of Rs.550 crores. The commercial production for architectural processing

and building glass will start by 1st quarter of 2008-09.

Financials Results

12 Months Ended Profit & Loss Account (Standalone)

Value(Rs.in.mn) FY09A FY10A FY11E FY12E

Description 12m 12m 12m 12m

Net Sales 13,242.40 13,711.20 15356.54 17199.33

Other Income 85 233.3 209.97 220.47

Total Income 13,327.40 13,944.50 15566.51 17419.80

Expenditure -10,968.20 -10,781.10 -12162.38 -13621.87

Operating Profit 2,359.20 3,163.40 3404.13 3797.93

Interest -434.5 -471.7 -509.44 -560.38

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Gross profit 1,924.70 2,691.70 2894.70 3237.55

Depreciation -747.5 -861.2 -947.32 -1042.1

Profit Before Tax 1,177.20 1,830.50 1947.38 2195.50

Tax -99.7 -278.5 -272.63 -307.4

Net Profit 1,077.50 1,552.00 1674.74 1888.13

Equity capital 174.7 174.7 174.70 174.70

Reserves 8,241.60 9,260.70 10,935.44 12,823.57

EPS 61.68 17.77 19.17 21.62

*Face Value has been changed from Rs.10/- to Rs.2/-

Quarterly Ended Profit & Loss Account (Standalone)

Value(Rs.in.mn) Sep-09A Dec-09A Mar-10A June-10E

Description 3m 3m 3m 3m

Net sales 3,024.80 3,577.40 3,805.70 3995.99

Other income 155.4 18.9 10.10 11.11

Total Income 3,180.20 3,596.30 3,815.80 4007.10

Expenditure -2,343.30 -2,861.60 -3,208.10 -3196.79

Operating profit 836.90 734.70 607.70 810.31

Interest -122.2 -125.5 -123.90 -127.62

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Gross profit 714.70 609.20 483.80 682.69

Depreciation -218.4 -233.4 -209.00 -219.45

Profit Before Tax 496.30 375.80 274.80 463.24

Tax -93.3 -45.2 -31.00 -52.26

Net Profit 403.00 330.60 243.80 410.98

Equity capital 174.7 174.7 174.7 174.70

EPS 23.07 3.78 2.79 4.71

*Face Value has been changed from Rs.10/- to Rs.2/-

Key Ratio

Particulars FY09 A FY10 A FY11 E FY12 E

EBIDTA % 18% 23% 22% 22%

PAT % 8% 11% 11% 11%

P/E ratio (x) 3.65 12.67 11.74 10.41

ROCE - % 12% 15% 14% 14%

ROE - % 13% 16% 15% 15%

Price/Book Value 0.47 2.08 1.77 1.51

Debt Equity Ratio 0.60 0.59 0.55 0.52

Book Value (Rs.) 481.76 108.02 127.19 148.81

EV/EBIDITA (x) 1.67 6.21 6.35 6.21

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Charts:

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Outlook and Conclusion

• At the current market price of Rs.225.05, the stock trades at a P/E of 11.74x and

10.41x for FY11E and FY12E respectively.

• On the basis of EV/EBDITA, the stock trades at 6.35x and 6.21x for FY11E and

FY12E respectively.

• Price to Book Value of the stock is expected to be at 1.77 and 1.51 respectively for

FY11E and FY12E.

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• EPS of the company is expected to be at Rs.19.17 and Rs.21.62 for the earnings of

FY11E and FY12E respectively.

• The Net sales of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.1% over 2009 to

2012E.

• Face Value has been changed from Rs.10/- to Rs.2/-

• The company has signed a joint venture with Belgium based OMCO International

NV, world’s leading glass mould manufacturers.

• OMCO HNG Engineering Ltd. plans to set up its first plant in Pondicherry with an

estimated investment of Rs. 35 crores.

• The plant will be equipped with state-of-the-art foundry and CNC machines to

match global standards. The plant is expected to be operational by September

2010 with initial capacity of 4000 moulds per month.

• We recommend ‘BUY’ in this particular scrip with a target price of Rs.260.00 for

Medium to Long Term Gains.

Industry Overview

Indian packaging industry

• Indian packaging industry is estimated at US$ 14 billion and growing at a rate of

more than 15% annually. These figures indicate a change in the industrial and

consumer set up.

• The Indian fascination for rigid packaging remains intact. It is estimated that more

than 80% of the total packaging in India constitutes rigid: packaging, the oldest and

the most conventional form of packaging. The remaining 20% comprises flexible

packaging.

• India's per capita packaging consumption is less than US$ 15 against world wide

average of nearly US$ 100.

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• The large and growing Indian middle class, along with the growth in organised

retail in the country, are driving demand in the packaging industry. Another factor,

providing substantial stimulus to the packaging industry, is the rapid growth of

exports, requiring superior packaging standards for the international market.

[Source: IBEF]

Container glass industry

Overview

The Indian container glass market is estimated at 320 million euro accounting for

12% of the packaging industry. The market for container glass has been growing at

a rate of 8% over the last five years. The demand in the container glass industry is

driven by a growth in end-user segment like processed foods (FMCG), beverages,

beer, liquor, pharmaceutical and retail.

Advantage glass

• Environment friendly

• Natural product

• Lowest pollution (total life cycle) - emissions at various recycling levels are lower in

glass compared to aluminium and PET

• Light and convenient

• Inertness to heat

• Inertness to ultra-violet rays

• Visibility of product

• Lowest cost (per life cycle)

• Longer re-cyclability

• Versatility of design

Glass recycling

• Save energy in manufacturing for each tonne of cullet '.(recyclable glass) used,

energy consumption is reduced by 2.5%

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• Reduces emissions (including Co2)

• Preserves raw materials and landscapes

Each tonne of cullet used means

• 1 tonne less of land fill

• Over 1 tonne less of natural resources depletion

Growth drivers

Growing food processing industry

The Indian food market, according to the 'India Food Report 2008', is estimated at

over US$ 182 billion, and accounts for about two thirds of the total Indian retail

market. Further, according to consultancy firm McKinsey, the retail food sector in

India, is likely to grow from around US$ 70 billion in 2008 to US$ 150 billion by

2025, accounting for a large chunk of the world food industry. This would grow,

from US$ 175 billion to US$ 400 billion by 2025, driving the demand for packaging:

alternatives, especially glass containers. [Source: IBEF] .

Increasing rural consumption

The FMCG industry in India was worth around US$ 16. 03 billion as on August

2008, and the rural market accounted for a robust 57% share of the total FMCG

market in India, overtaking the urban market (43%). The rural per capita

consumption of FMCGs would equal to current urban levels by 2017. Industry

analysts also expect the FMCG sector in rural areas to grow 40% against 25% in

urban. [Source: IBEF]

Growing beer consumption

The Indian beer industry has been witnessing steady growth of 7-9% per year over

the last 10 years. The rate of growth remained steady in recent years, with volumes

passing from mere 70 million cases in 2002 to 155 million cases in 2008. The

Indian beer market is dominated by strong beers (>5% alcohol by volume), which

accounts for 70% of the total beer industry. The premium beer market is a mere 5%

of the total but this segment is rapidly expanding, touching a growth rate between

35-40%. As a result, the demand for container bottle will surge. [Source: All India

Brewers' Association]

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Outlook

The Indian economy is projected to achieve a sustainable GDP growth of around

6.5% whereas the annual growth of the packaging industry is expected to double to

around 20-25%. The container, glass industry, which grew at a compounded annual

growth rate (CAGR) of 8% over five years, is expected to grow over 8% in the future.

[Source: IBEF]

The demand for container glass will grow on account of the forecasts that packaging

material for beverages will mainly be of glass, especially for high quality packaging.

Glass container plants will improve technology levels to produce thin and light-

weighted bottles. Beer bottles should be made in more specifications, meeting the

demands of customers at various levels. Based on the analysis of the current

market demands at home and abroad, tubular vials for antibiotic use will increase

gradually, although injection vials will still remain in the greatest demand

_______________ ____ _________________________

Disclaimer:

This document prepared by our research analysts does not constitute an offer or solicitation

for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any

transaction. The information contained herein is from publicly available data or other

sources believed to be reliable but do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it

should not be relied on as such. Firstcall India Equity Advisors Pvt. Ltd. or any of it’s

affiliates shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any

person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. This document

is provide for assistance only and is not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the

basis for an investment decision.

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