3
 Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries. Pvt Ltd. Email: [email protected] LONG TERM INVESTMENT CALL Accumulate 28 July 2011 Company Report | Q1FY12 Result Update Q1FY12 Result Highlights Hindustan Constructions Co. Ltd. (HCC) reported revenue and net profit below Unicon’s expectation for Q1FY12. While slowdown in order intake and execution was evident, higher than expected interest charge and tax provision took toll on the bottom-line of the company. Revenue at INR 10.5bn grew ~6% YoY, below our estimates of INR 11.1bn. HCC, through better cost control was able to maintain its operating profit margin. The operating profit margin marginally grew by 40 bps to 13% compared to 12.6% during same quarter last year. Redemption of FCCB through fresh borrowings and higher working capital cycle caused 61.5% spike in its interest cost to INR 933Mn. The tax provision for the quarter was 53% of PBT higher than normal tax rate. This led to decline in its net profit by 90% YoY to 29Mn Order-book and Other Update Order book: The current order-book of the company is ~INR 170bn. This does not include contract worth INR 19.4bn in the state of J&K to be executed in JV due to legal issues. The current order-book is ~4x its FY11 revenue. HCC is lowest bidder for two project worth INR 20.7bn. While Company saw weak order inflows during the quarter under review, the outlook for the sector remains weak due to higher interest rate regime in the economy, leading to deferment of capex by private players. Lavasa: Subject to the pre-conditions laid by the Expert Advisory committee, the Ministry of Environment and Forests has agreed to allow start of work at site. Lavasa Corporation Ltd. has approached to the Mumbai High Court to hear the so called pre-conditions and represent its case. The case is adjourned and its hearing is likely in Q2FY12. Stake sale at subsidiary level to r aise cash: HCC aims to raise ~INR 2.4bn through dilution of 14.5% stake in its subsidiary HCC Concessions Ltd. (HCL) to Xander Group. HCL designs, finances, builds and operates transport infrastructure. Outlook and Valuations At the current market price, stock trades at PE multiple of ~23x its consensus FY13e. Given the higher interest rate regime, lower order intake visibility over next 2-3 quarters and its RoE at ~5% in FY13, we reduce our price target to INR 34/share, Accumulate Industry Infrastructure CMP (INR) 30 Target (INR) 34 Upside / (Downside) (%) 13 52 week High/Low (INR) 72 / 28 Market Cap (INR MN) 18,621 3M Avg. Daily Vol (‘000) 4,910 P/E (FY13e) 23 Shareholdin g Pattern (%) Non Institutions 32% Institutions 29% Promoters 39%  Stock Performance 25 35 45 55 65 75      J    u      l      A    u    g      S    e    p      O    c     t      N    o    v      D    e    c      J    a    n      F    e      b      M    a    r      A    p    r      M    a    y      J    u    n H C C NSE Nifty  Performance (%) 1M Month 3 Months 1 Year Company -3.3% -17.0% -53.6% Nifty -2.0% -5.9% 1.1% in Mn) Particulars Actual Estimates Total Income 10,579 11,106 EBIDTA 1,379 1,433 Reported PAT 29 78 * Source: ACEEquity, Unicon Research Analyst Falgesh Sanghvi | [email protected]  

HCC Q1FY12 Result Update

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Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries. Pvt Ltd.Email: [email protected] 

LONG TERM INVESTMENT CALL 

Accumulat28 July 2011 

Company Report | Q1FY12 Result Update

Q1FY12 Result Highlights

Hindustan Constructions Co. Ltd. (HCC) reported revenue andnet profit below Unicon’s expectation for Q1FY12. While

slowdown in order intake and execution was evident, higher

than expected interest charge and tax provision took toll on the

bottom-line of the company.

Revenue at INR 10.5bn grew ~6% YoY, below our estimates of INR

11.1bn. HCC, through better cost control was able to maintain its

operating profit margin. The operating profit margin marginally

grew by 40 bps to 13% compared to 12.6% during same quarter last

year.

Redemption of FCCB through fresh borrowings and higherworking capital cycle caused 61.5% spike in its interest cost to INR

933Mn. The tax provision for the quarter was 53% of PBT higher

than normal tax rate. This led to decline in its net profit by 90%

YoY to 29Mn

Order-book and Other Update

Order book:

The current order-book of the company is ~INR 170bn. This does

not include contract worth INR 19.4bn in the state of J&K to be

executed in JV due to legal issues. The current order-book is ~4x its

FY11 revenue. HCC is lowest bidder for two project worth INR

20.7bn. While Company saw weak order inflows during thequarter under review, the outlook for the sector remains weak due

to higher interest rate regime in the economy, leading to deferment

of capex by private players.

Lavasa:

Subject to the pre-conditions laid by the Expert Advisory

committee, the Ministry of Environment and Forests has agreed to

allow start of work at site. Lavasa Corporation Ltd. has approached

to the Mumbai High Court to hear the so called pre-conditions and

represent its case. The case is adjourned and its hearing is likely in

Q2FY12.

Stake sale at subsidiary level to raise cash:

HCC aims to raise ~INR 2.4bn through dilution of 14.5% stake in its

subsidiary HCC Concessions Ltd. (HCL) to Xander Group. HCL

designs, finances, builds and operates transport infrastructure.

Outlook and Valuations

At the current market price, stock trades at PE multiple of ~23x its

consensus FY13e. Given the higher interest rate regime, lower

order intake visibility over next 2-3 quarters and its RoE at ~5% in

FY13, we reduce our price target to INR 34/share, Accumulate

Industry Infrastructure

CMP (INR)  30

Target (INR) 34

Upside / (Downside) (%) 13

52 week High/Low (INR)  72 / 28

Market Cap (INR MN)  18,621

3M Avg. Daily Vol (‘000) 4,910

P/E (FY13e) 23

Shareholding Pattern (%)

Non

Institutions

32%

Institutions

29%

Promoters

39%

 Stock Performance

25

35

45

55

65

75

     J   u     l

     A   u   g

     S   e   p

     O   c    t

     N   o   v

     D   e   c

     J   a   n

     F   e     b

     M   a   r

     A   p   r

     M   a   y

     J   u   n

H C C NSE Nifty

 Performance (%)

1M

Month

3

Months

1

Year

Company -3.3% -17.0% -53.6%

Nifty -2.0% -5.9% 1.1%in Mn)

Particulars Actual Estimates

Total Income 10,579 11,106

EBIDTA 1,379 1,433

Reported PAT 29 78* Source: ACEEquity, Unicon Research

Analyst

Falgesh Sanghvi | [email protected] 

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Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries. Pvt Ltd.Email: [email protected] 

Financials (INR in mn) 

Particulars Q1FY12 Q1FY11 FY11 YoY%

Income from Operations10,579 9,954 40,907 6.3

Operating Expenditure 9,200 8,696 35,534 5.8

Consumption of materials 2,891 2,967 11,973 (2.6)

Employees Cost 1,126 1,094 4,676 2.9

Construction Expenses 4,706 4,208 16,993 11.8

Other expenditure 478 427 1,892 12.0

EBITDA 1,379 1,258 5,373 9.7

EBITDA (%) 13.0 12.6 13.1 40 bps

Depreciation 392 347 1,527 13.1

EBIT 987 911 3,846 8.3

EBIT (%) 9.3 9.2 9.4 18 bps

Interest (Net) 933 577 2,899 61.5Other Income 7 31 170 (76.5)

PBT 62 364 1,117 (83.1)

Tax Expense 33 81 407 (59.5)

Tax Expense (%) 53.3 22.3 36.4

PAT 29 283 710 (89.9)

PAT (%) 0.3 2.8 1.7 -257 bps

EPS 0.05 0.47 1.17

Source: Company, Unicon Research

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Unicon Investment Ranking Methodology

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Return Range >= 20% 10% to 20% -10% to 10% -10% to -20% <= -20%

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