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HBC Downlisting Over 5years (Demographic): Maintain six populations – stable: the trend in adult (age 4+; 200 mm TL) point estimates for each of the six extant populations does not decline significantly; and mean estimated recruitment of age-3 (150–199 mm TL) naturally produced fish equals or exceeds mean annual adult mortality for each of the six extant populations; One Core Population in upper and one in lower Basin >2,100

HBC Downlisting - Bureau of ReclamationHBC Downlisting Over 5‐years (Demographic): Maintain six populations –stable: the trend in adult (age 4+; 200 mm TL) point estimates for

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Page 1: HBC Downlisting - Bureau of ReclamationHBC Downlisting Over 5‐years (Demographic): Maintain six populations –stable: the trend in adult (age 4+; 200 mm TL) point estimates for

HBC DownlistingOver 5‐years (Demographic):

Maintain six populations – stable: the trend in adult (age 4+; 200 mm TL) point

estimates for each of the six extant populations does not declinesignificantly; and

mean estimated recruitment of age-3 (150–199 mm TL) naturally produced fish equals or exceeds mean annual adult mortality for each of the six extant populations;

One Core Population in upper and one in  lower Basin >2,100

Page 2: HBC Downlisting - Bureau of ReclamationHBC Downlisting Over 5‐years (Demographic): Maintain six populations –stable: the trend in adult (age 4+; 200 mm TL) point estimates for
Page 3: HBC Downlisting - Bureau of ReclamationHBC Downlisting Over 5‐years (Demographic): Maintain six populations –stable: the trend in adult (age 4+; 200 mm TL) point estimates for

HBC Status SnapshotStable/Increasing

LCR(GC)

Page 4: HBC Downlisting - Bureau of ReclamationHBC Downlisting Over 5‐years (Demographic): Maintain six populations –stable: the trend in adult (age 4+; 200 mm TL) point estimates for

HBC Status SnapshotDeclining trend (SMB)

Page 5: HBC Downlisting - Bureau of ReclamationHBC Downlisting Over 5‐years (Demographic): Maintain six populations –stable: the trend in adult (age 4+; 200 mm TL) point estimates for

HBC Status SnapshotSmall, but considered stable per CPUE (0.01-0.035/net hour) in 2011

Cataract Canyon

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Page 6: HBC Downlisting - Bureau of ReclamationHBC Downlisting Over 5‐years (Demographic): Maintain six populations –stable: the trend in adult (age 4+; 200 mm TL) point estimates for

HBC Status SnapshotLarge declines in late 1990s; last 4 estimates @ 200-400 fish (>LMB GS in 2012)

Page 7: HBC Downlisting - Bureau of ReclamationHBC Downlisting Over 5‐years (Demographic): Maintain six populations –stable: the trend in adult (age 4+; 200 mm TL) point estimates for

HBC Status SnapshotLarge declines in late 1990s, below 2,100 in 2008; Last 4 estimates @ 1300-1700 fish

Page 8: HBC Downlisting - Bureau of ReclamationHBC Downlisting Over 5‐years (Demographic): Maintain six populations –stable: the trend in adult (age 4+; 200 mm TL) point estimates for

HBC Status SnapshotLarge declines in late 1990s, below 2,100 in 2008; Recruitment limited

Page 9: HBC Downlisting - Bureau of ReclamationHBC Downlisting Over 5‐years (Demographic): Maintain six populations –stable: the trend in adult (age 4+; 200 mm TL) point estimates for

HBC Status Snapshot

Yampa:. Currently unknown if pure humpback chubs occur in Yampa Canyon

Page 10: HBC Downlisting - Bureau of ReclamationHBC Downlisting Over 5‐years (Demographic): Maintain six populations –stable: the trend in adult (age 4+; 200 mm TL) point estimates for

HBC Status SnapshotBreakdown: 

2 of 6 stable (LCR & Cataract) [depends on when 1st data point begins 4 of 6?]

1 of 6 may be functionally extirpated (Yampa)

1 population meets MVP of 2,100 (LCR/GC) 

MVP may change (USFWS in prep.; USBR 2011 Conservation Measure)

Page 11: HBC Downlisting - Bureau of ReclamationHBC Downlisting Over 5‐years (Demographic): Maintain six populations –stable: the trend in adult (age 4+; 200 mm TL) point estimates for

Recovery/Viability 3-Rs Resiliency is defined as the ability of the species to withstand stochastic events (arising from random factors). Healthy populations are more resilient and better able to withstand disturbances such as random fluctuations in birth rates, variations in rainfall, or the effects of anthropogenic activities. 

Redundancy is defined as the ability of a species to withstand catastrophic events (a rare destructive natural event or episode involving many populations and occurring suddenly). 

Representation is defined as the ability of a species to adapt to changing environmental conditions. Representation can be measured through the breadth of genetic diversity within and among populations and the ecological diversity (also called environmental variation or diversity) of populations across the species’ range. 

Page 12: HBC Downlisting - Bureau of ReclamationHBC Downlisting Over 5‐years (Demographic): Maintain six populations –stable: the trend in adult (age 4+; 200 mm TL) point estimates for

KAB Delisting New taxonomic clarification  Species Lead – Region 6 MDL dominating listing actions thru 2016/2017 3 ways to achieve delisting:

Petition 5‐year species review Agency initiative

Action post‐2017 at earliest