Group2_ValueOfTheBlockedShot

8/11/2019 Group2_ValueOfTheBlockedShot

1/19


2/19

Background

John HuizingaUniversity of Chicago professor

Saw the talent of Yao Ming Became Yaos agent and got him a contract with Houston Rockets

Started to wonder whether all blocks were alike

The results were quite startling


3/19

Huizingas Formula

John Huizinga and Sandy Weil, unhappy with the current formula to

value of a blocked shot came up with whats called Block Value

Block Value = Points Saved + Points Create

Points Saved is defined as the effect of a block on the opponents expecte

the current possession, and Points Created equals the effect of a block on the defenders own teams

points during the ensuing possession.


4/19

Block Values

GoaltendingW

Blocking the shot back to the opponentX Blocking the shot out of boundsY

Blocking the shot to a team mateZ

A Russell is a situation when player As shot blocked by player B falls into

Player Bs team, which goes on to score from the chance.

Named after Boston Celtic great Bill Russell

W < X < Y < Z


5/19

Most valuable Shot Block performances

Player Season Blocks Value per

Tim Duncan 2008 149 1.12

Andrew Bogut 2008 137 1.10

Tim Duncan 2005 171 1.06

Chris Kaman 2006 110 1.05

Least valuable Shot Block performancPlayer Season Blocks Value per

Dwight Howard 2008 232 0.53

Erick Dampier 2003 165 0.6

Stromile Dampier 2003 119 0.63

Erick Dampier 2004 146 0.66


6/19

Player Salaries A PerspectivePlayer Salaries

Kobe Bryant $21,262,500

Shaquille ONeil $21,000,000

Tim Duncan $20,598,704

Dwight Howard $13,758,000

The Teams seem to realize the fact that Tim Duncan was the more valuable Centre / Power Forward.

Year Defensive MVP2007-08 Kevin Garnett

2008-09 Dwight Howard



NBA has awarded the Defensive MVP to Dwight Howard thrice and Tim Duncan ZEROTimes


7/19

Then Why Doesnt the NBA ValueBlocks

Counting is easy; Measuring value is hard

People count quantities rather than measure importance

Leads to faulty decision making


8/19

Limitations of the Study

Not a perfect study; Has not accounted for many factors. For instanc

Increased number of fouls due to aggressive play

Potential increases in offensive rebounds that occur when the shot block

player he is guarding to attempt a swat

Cant account for any intimidation factor

Shots deterred by the mere presence

Causing a shooter to change the trajectory and angle Still, the research highlights that not all blocks are created equal

Its the value of the block and not the block itself that matters


9/19

Other ways of valuing a Block (

Blocked Shots by Shot Clock timing

Another consideration is that perhaps the time left on the shot clock has over the likelihood of a block. It would seem logical when the clock is w

and the defense knows a shot has to be launched quickly.

Shot Type 0-10 11-15 16-20 21+

Jumper 3.7% 3.7% 4.0% 4.1%Close-Up 13.5% 14.7% 14.9% 15.5%

Dunks 1.7% 3.8% 4.5% 7.0%

Totals 7.0% 6.3% 6.4% 6.2%

As it turns out,

type shows the

blocked more o

clock.


10/19

Other ways of valuing a Block (

Def. Rebounding Percentage after a Blocked by Position

Does the position of the shot blocker make a difference as to the expectedefense getting the rebound

Blocker All Jump Close O/B

PG 50% 56% 41% 23%

SG 56% 58% 52% 22%

SF 54% 55% 53% 20%

PF 56% 58% 55% 16%

C 58% 59% 58% 14%

Data Shows

and Power f

have a statis

keeping the

swatting it.


11/19

Examples

Cricket

Vernon Philander 89 Test wickets in 16 Test Matches

On the way to get fastest 100 wickets

But, has played all his matches only on seaming tracks till now

he plays his home matches in South Africa)

What is his value if South Africa tours the Indian sub-continen

Hockey

The value of an empty net-goal in hockey isnt nearly as impor

decisive overtime goal


12/19

Examples Cricket

England tour of India, 2012 Beaten emphatically in the first test match (Pujara 206*)

Worlds best test bowlers Anderson, Broad and Swann helplespure numbers go

Second test match they call upon Monty Panesar (had played n

matches between 20092011 and only 3 in 2012)Takes 11 wickets in Mumbai; swings the series Englands way

Does he have more value than Swann ?

Need Horses for Courses


13/19

Other Parallels

People count quantities rather than measure importan

result sometimes make faulty decisions

We award certificates for perfect attendance but seldom ask wheth

learned more while in school

We care too much about the number of stocks and not enough about

The associates promoted in a law firm often are those who bill clien

but did they do the best work. Eg. Harvey Specter vs LouisSuits(T


14/19

Examples AD length Advertising performance should be measured against the o

advertising in question not based on ad length

The average 15 sec ad can deliver similar performance to the average 30 se So select the right ad length based on the media buy fuller media analy

to determine the media efficiencies of buying different ad lengths

Eg.Scoring 2 edits of the same ad by looking at the average index score on kcredibility, relevance, persuasion, appeal etc.

Shelf Space The same shelf space may carry different value based oprovided by each location

Therefore the rate of various shelf space is calculated not just based on tbut on the value attached to each location. EgPrimary shelf has highest rfloor branding has the least


15/19

America- The Land of opportunities ? Whats happening to GDP per capita doesnt tell us much about wha

American is experiencing

If Bill Gates & Warren Buffetts income go up, the average income gomeaningful is median incomewhich is stagnating or even falling in

UNDP developed IHDI (Income adjusted HDI)

Before adjustment US looks reasonably good in 2011FOURTH

Americas IHDI ranking is 23 behind all of the European nations

Rank change is largest of any of the advanced industrial nations

Scandinavian countries rank higher than US

America now approaching the level of inequality that marks dysfunctIran, Jamaica, Uganda.


16/19

Rank Country IHDI HDILoss

(%)

Rank

change

1 Norway 0.890 0.943 5.6 0

2 Australia 0.856 0.929 7.9 0

3 Sweden 0.851 0.904 5.9 5

4 Netherlands 0.846 0.910 7.0 -1

5 Iceland 0.845 0.898 5.9 5

Rank Country IHDI HDILoss

(%)

Ra

cha1 Norway 0.890 0.943 5.6 0

2 Australia 0.856 0.929 7.9 0

4 Netherlands 0.846 0.910 7.0 -1

23 United States 0.771 0.910 15.3 -19

6 Ireland 0.843 0.908 7.2 0

12 Canada 0.829 0.908 8.7 -7

2011 Rankings of the countries based on Income adjusted HDI

2011 Rankings of the countries based on only on HDI
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norwayhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australiahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swedenhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Netherlandshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Icelandhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norwayhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australiahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Netherlandshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republic_of_Irelandhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canadahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canadahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republic_of_Irelandhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Netherlandshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australiahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norwayhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Icelandhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Netherlandshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swedenhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australiahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norway


17/19

America The Land of opportunities ?

Before the crisis, Europeans looked to America as a model

GDP per capita does not provide the full picture of how well the eco

Success of an economy also depends on living standards

For these workers, American economy is failing to bring increase in

American economic engine has been run to give benefits of growth t

at the top

America managed to increase GDP per capita, from 1980 to 2010 bymost full time workers have seen their incomes falling

Little income mobilitythe notion of America as a land of opportun


18/19

Segmentation The demographic dimensions normally used by marketers are usually, age, gen

structure, income, life-cycle stage, race and religion.

Psychographic segmentation is a method of dividing markets on the bases of th

and lifestyle habits of customers. It segments customers in terms of shared act

choices, interests and opinions.

Psychographic segments usually include demographic information such as age the richer descriptions emerge well beyond these characteristics.

Media PlanningTAM vs TGI data

Case of KFCKFC opened a store in Japan ,huge market - tasted failure initiallydifference in

profile of Japanese as against AmericansEat in less qty - hates waste

Case of Kelloggs India Hot meal vs cold meal


19/19

Thank You!

Documents

Group2_ValueOfTheBlockedShot