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Background
John HuizingaUniversity of Chicago professor
Saw the talent of Yao Ming Became Yaos agent and got him a contract with Houston Rockets
Started to wonder whether all blocks were alike
The results were quite startling
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Huizingas Formula
John Huizinga and Sandy Weil, unhappy with the current formula to
value of a blocked shot came up with whats called Block Value
Block Value = Points Saved + Points Create
Points Saved is defined as the effect of a block on the opponents expecte
the current possession, and Points Created equals the effect of a block on the defenders own teams
points during the ensuing possession.
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Block Values
GoaltendingW
Blocking the shot back to the opponentX Blocking the shot out of boundsY
Blocking the shot to a team mateZ
A Russell is a situation when player As shot blocked by player B falls into
Player Bs team, which goes on to score from the chance.
Named after Boston Celtic great Bill Russell
W < X < Y < Z
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Most valuable Shot Block performances
Player Season Blocks Value per
Tim Duncan 2008 149 1.12
Andrew Bogut 2008 137 1.10
Tim Duncan 2005 171 1.06
Chris Kaman 2006 110 1.05
Least valuable Shot Block performancPlayer Season Blocks Value per
Dwight Howard 2008 232 0.53
Erick Dampier 2003 165 0.6
Stromile Dampier 2003 119 0.63
Erick Dampier 2004 146 0.66
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Player Salaries A PerspectivePlayer Salaries
Kobe Bryant $21,262,500
Shaquille ONeil $21,000,000
Tim Duncan $20,598,704
Dwight Howard $13,758,000
The Teams seem to realize the fact that Tim Duncan was the more valuable Centre / Power Forward.
Year Defensive MVP2007-08 Kevin Garnett
2008-09 Dwight Howard
2009-10 Dwight Howard
2010-11 Dwight Howard
NBA has awarded the Defensive MVP to Dwight Howard thrice and Tim Duncan ZEROTimes
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Then Why Doesnt the NBA ValueBlocks
Counting is easy; Measuring value is hard
People count quantities rather than measure importance
Leads to faulty decision making
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Limitations of the Study
Not a perfect study; Has not accounted for many factors. For instanc
Increased number of fouls due to aggressive play
Potential increases in offensive rebounds that occur when the shot block
player he is guarding to attempt a swat
Cant account for any intimidation factor
Shots deterred by the mere presence
Causing a shooter to change the trajectory and angle Still, the research highlights that not all blocks are created equal
Its the value of the block and not the block itself that matters
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Other ways of valuing a Block (
Blocked Shots by Shot Clock timing
Another consideration is that perhaps the time left on the shot clock has over the likelihood of a block. It would seem logical when the clock is w
and the defense knows a shot has to be launched quickly.
Shot Type 0-10 11-15 16-20 21+
Jumper 3.7% 3.7% 4.0% 4.1%Close-Up 13.5% 14.7% 14.9% 15.5%
Dunks 1.7% 3.8% 4.5% 7.0%
Totals 7.0% 6.3% 6.4% 6.2%
As it turns out,
type shows the
blocked more o
clock.
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Other ways of valuing a Block (
Def. Rebounding Percentage after a Blocked by Position
Does the position of the shot blocker make a difference as to the expectedefense getting the rebound
Blocker All Jump Close O/B
PG 50% 56% 41% 23%
SG 56% 58% 52% 22%
SF 54% 55% 53% 20%
PF 56% 58% 55% 16%
C 58% 59% 58% 14%
Data Shows
and Power f
have a statis
keeping the
swatting it.
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Examples
Cricket
Vernon Philander 89 Test wickets in 16 Test Matches
On the way to get fastest 100 wickets
But, has played all his matches only on seaming tracks till now
he plays his home matches in South Africa)
What is his value if South Africa tours the Indian sub-continen
Hockey
The value of an empty net-goal in hockey isnt nearly as impor
decisive overtime goal
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Examples Cricket
England tour of India, 2012 Beaten emphatically in the first test match (Pujara 206*)
Worlds best test bowlers Anderson, Broad and Swann helplespure numbers go
Second test match they call upon Monty Panesar (had played n
matches between 20092011 and only 3 in 2012)Takes 11 wickets in Mumbai; swings the series Englands way
Does he have more value than Swann ?
Need Horses for Courses
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Other Parallels
People count quantities rather than measure importan
result sometimes make faulty decisions
We award certificates for perfect attendance but seldom ask wheth
learned more while in school
We care too much about the number of stocks and not enough about
The associates promoted in a law firm often are those who bill clien
but did they do the best work. Eg. Harvey Specter vs LouisSuits(T
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Examples AD length Advertising performance should be measured against the o
advertising in question not based on ad length
The average 15 sec ad can deliver similar performance to the average 30 se So select the right ad length based on the media buy fuller media analy
to determine the media efficiencies of buying different ad lengths
Eg.Scoring 2 edits of the same ad by looking at the average index score on kcredibility, relevance, persuasion, appeal etc.
Shelf Space The same shelf space may carry different value based oprovided by each location
Therefore the rate of various shelf space is calculated not just based on tbut on the value attached to each location. EgPrimary shelf has highest rfloor branding has the least
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America- The Land of opportunities ? Whats happening to GDP per capita doesnt tell us much about wha
American is experiencing
If Bill Gates & Warren Buffetts income go up, the average income gomeaningful is median incomewhich is stagnating or even falling in
UNDP developed IHDI (Income adjusted HDI)
Before adjustment US looks reasonably good in 2011FOURTH
Americas IHDI ranking is 23 behind all of the European nations
Rank change is largest of any of the advanced industrial nations
Scandinavian countries rank higher than US
America now approaching the level of inequality that marks dysfunctIran, Jamaica, Uganda.
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Rank Country IHDI HDILoss
(%)
Rank
change
1 Norway 0.890 0.943 5.6 0
2 Australia 0.856 0.929 7.9 0
3 Sweden 0.851 0.904 5.9 5
4 Netherlands 0.846 0.910 7.0 -1
5 Iceland 0.845 0.898 5.9 5
Rank Country IHDI HDILoss
(%)
Ra
cha1 Norway 0.890 0.943 5.6 0
2 Australia 0.856 0.929 7.9 0
4 Netherlands 0.846 0.910 7.0 -1
23 United States 0.771 0.910 15.3 -19
6 Ireland 0.843 0.908 7.2 0
12 Canada 0.829 0.908 8.7 -7
2011 Rankings of the countries based on Income adjusted HDI
2011 Rankings of the countries based on only on HDI
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norwayhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australiahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swedenhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Netherlandshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Icelandhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norwayhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australiahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Netherlandshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republic_of_Irelandhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canadahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canadahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republic_of_Irelandhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Netherlandshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australiahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norwayhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Icelandhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Netherlandshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swedenhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australiahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norway8/11/2019 Group2_ValueOfTheBlockedShot
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America The Land of opportunities ?
Before the crisis, Europeans looked to America as a model
GDP per capita does not provide the full picture of how well the eco
Success of an economy also depends on living standards
For these workers, American economy is failing to bring increase in
American economic engine has been run to give benefits of growth t
at the top
America managed to increase GDP per capita, from 1980 to 2010 bymost full time workers have seen their incomes falling
Little income mobilitythe notion of America as a land of opportun
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Segmentation The demographic dimensions normally used by marketers are usually, age, gen
structure, income, life-cycle stage, race and religion.
Psychographic segmentation is a method of dividing markets on the bases of th
and lifestyle habits of customers. It segments customers in terms of shared act
choices, interests and opinions.
Psychographic segments usually include demographic information such as age the richer descriptions emerge well beyond these characteristics.
Media PlanningTAM vs TGI data
Case of KFCKFC opened a store in Japan ,huge market - tasted failure initiallydifference in
profile of Japanese as against AmericansEat in less qty - hates waste
Case of Kelloggs India Hot meal vs cold meal
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Thank You!
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