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Greenhouse Gas Inventory
University of North Carolina at Wilmington
August 2017
Acknowledgements ThisreportwaspreparedbygraduatestudentDanielPatewiththehelpofmethodologiesdevelopedbyTheGoodCompany,aEugene,OR-basedsustainabilityresearchandconsultingfirm,andtheAppalachianEnergyCenter.TheprojectwasfundedbyTheGreenInitiativeFund(TGIF).Additionally,informationfromthefollowingsourceswasused:TheUniversityofNorthCarolinaSystem,theAssociationfortheAdvancementofSustainabilityinHigherEducation(AASHE),iCompliSustainability,DavidSuzukiFoundation,theU.S.EnvironmentalProtectionAgency(EPA)andtheUNCWOfficeofInstitutionalResearchandPlanning.AlsomakingcontributionswereUNCWEnvironmentalHealth&SafetyDirectorStanHarts,SustainabilityCaptainKatPohlmanandseveraluniversitydepartmentcontactswhohelpedwithdatacollection.ForadditionalinformationaboutUNCW’ssustainabilityefforts,[email protected]. ExecutiveSummaryThisreportfocusesonuniversityemissionsforFiscalYears(FY)2015,2016and2017andbuildsonpreviousinventories.Inadditiontoreportingemissionsnumbers,thestudyalsofocusesoncomparingtheuniversity’sperformancetopeerinstitutions,projectingfutureemissionsandrecommendingemissionsreductionstrategies.TrackingemissionsisimportantinmonitoringeffortstoachievesustainabilitygoalssuchastheUniversityofNorthCarolinaSustainabilityPolicythatcallsforstateuniversitiestoachievecarbonneutralityby2050.Overall,emissionsbetweenFY2015andFY2017rosemodestlycomparedtopreviousyearswhilestudentenrollmentincreasedrapidlyandcampusbuildingsquarefootagedidnotchange.Theriseinemissionsispartlyduetoanincreaseinelectricityusage,whichispossiblylinkedtoanincreaseinwarmweatherandbuildingadditionsoccurringjustbeforeFY2015.Theincreaseinemissionscanalsobelinkedtoupticksingoodspurchasedbytheuniversityandthenumberofparkingpermitssold.However,naturalgasusagehasbeensteadilydecliningandFY2017emissionsperstudentarenearthelowestlevelofthepastsevenyears. CampusGreenhouseGasInventoryThisreport’smethodologyfollowstheaccountingguidelinesintheGreenhouseGasProtocolCorporateAccountingandReportingStandard(GHGProtocol).TheGHGProtocolistheleadingglobalstandardforGHGaccountingframeworksandservesasthebasisforstandardsthatincludetheAssociationfortheAdvancement
UNCWAtAGlance
*The Association for the Advancement of Sustainability in Higher Education **Sustainability Tracking, Assessment & Rating System
14,463 full-time equivalent
students
4,004,331 building square feet
2,200 faculty & staff
AASHE* STARS** Silver Rating Member
Signed the American College & University Presidents' Climate
Agreement (ACUPCC)
ofSustainabilityinHigherEducation(AASHE)andtheAmericanCollegesandUniversityPresidents’ClimateCommitment(ACUPCC).ThisinventoryincludesemissionsfromUNCW’smaincampusalongwithotheruniversityoperationsinthearea.Thefiscalyearsoffocusforthisreportinclude2015,2016and2017,althoughnumbersfrom2011,2012,2013and2014willbereferencedforcomparison.ThefiscalyearstartsonJuly1andendsJune30.Figures1and2belowshowtheuniversity’soverallemissions.FY2017emissionstotaled85,323*metrictonsofcarbondioxideequivalent(MTCO2e).Thiswasa2.8*percentdecreasefromFY2016anda16.0*percentincreasefromFY2011.ItshouldbenotedthatsomedatafromthefinalmonthsofFY2017wereextrapolatedfromthepreviousyearduetotimeconstraints.
EmissionsbyYear(MTCO2e)
Figure 1: Total emissions for each of the past three Figure 2: Total emissions over the past seven fiscal years fiscal years
2017
85,323*
2016
87,763*
FY2015
85,712*
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
FY2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
MTC
O2e
Fiscal Years of Focus
2015
2016
2017
TheGHGProtocolusesvarious“scopes”basedontheentitythatcontrolstheemissionsofagivensource.Scope1emissionsinvolvesourcescontrolledbyUNCWandincludestationarycombustion,fugitiveemissionsandfleetfuels.Scope2emissionsaremoreindirectandinvolveelectricitypurchasedfromanotherentity.Scope3emissionsarealsoindirectandincludesupplychain,studentandemployeecommutes,businesstravel,solidwasteandtransmissionanddistributionlosses.AlthoughtheGHGProtocoldoesnotrequirereportingofScope3emissions,UNCWtracksthesenumbersforamoreaccurateideaoftheuniversity’scarbonfootprint. Figures4,5and6belowillustrateemissionsbyscopeoverthepastthreefiscalyears.Duringthisspan,Scope3hadthemostemissionsat117,162*MTCO2e.Thetopemissionssourceswerepurchasedelectricityat110,842MTCO2eandsupplychainat50,242*MTCO2e.Itshouldbenotedthatsomebusinesstravel,includingrentalcar,trainandstudentstudyabroad,werenotincludedduetounavailabledata.Figure7showsemissionsbyscopeforeachofthelastsevenyears.
• Stationarycombustion• Fugitiveemissions
• FleetfuelsScope1
• PurchasedelectrictyScope2
• Businesstravel• Commute(students&faculty)
• Solidwaste• Supplychain
• Transmission anddistribution losses
Scope3
Scope 1:12%
Scope 2:43%
Scope 3:45%
FY2015-2017 Emissions
7%
88%
Scope 1 Emissions By Source: FY2015-2017
Fleet Fuels Natural Gas Refrigerants
5%
Figure 4 Figure 5
Figure 3: List of emissions sources by scope
Figure 7
Figures8and9showemissionsfrompurchasedelectricityandon-campusnaturalgascombustionoverthelastsevenyears.Thesearetwoofthehighestemissionsourcesoncampuswithnaturalgasaccountingfor8,595MTCO2eandpurchasedelectricityaccountingfor36,543MTCO2einFY2017.TheuniversitypurchasesitselectricityfromDukeEnergy.
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
FY2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
MTC
O2e
Emissions By Scope
Scope 1 Scope 2 Scope 3
6%
24%
6%
21%
43%
Business Travel
Solid Waste
T&D Losses
Commute
Supply Chain
Figure 6
Whileelectricityhasremainedsteadyoverthepastthreeyears,naturalgascombustionhasdecreased13.4percentsinceFY2014despiteincreasesinstudentenrollment.Inadditiontoenergyefficiencyimprovements,thisdecreaseislikelyduetowarmerweatheroccurringinFY2016andFY2017comparedtoFY2015.Warmerweatherresultsinlessnaturalgasusedforheating,althoughitcanresultinmoreelectricityusedforcooling.Figures10and11showemissionsperfull-timeequivalentstudentandper1,000buildingsquarefeetoverthelastsevenyears.EmissionsperstudentforFY2017was4.58MTCO2e,or7.9percentlowerthanthepreviousyear.Emissionsper1,000squarefeetforFY2017was11.4MTCO2e,or4.5percentlowerthanthepreviousyear.Thedecreasesoverthepastyearcouldbeduetoarecentsharpincreaseinstudentenrollmentandenergyefficiencyimprovementsmadetocampusfacilities.
Figure 2
Figure 8 Figure 9
Figure 10, with a linear trend line
EmissionsPer1,000BuildingSquareFeet
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
5.5
6
FY2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
MTC
O2e
/ FT
E-St
uden
t
EmissionsPerStudent
Figure 11, with a linear trend line
9
9.5
10
10.5
11
11.5
12
12.5
13
FY2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
MTC
O2e
/ 1,
000
Sq. F
t.
GHGBenchmarkingComparingUNCWemissionslevelstopeerinstitutionscanhelptheuniversitygaugeefficacyincarbonreductionefforts.Theinstitutionsbelowwerechosenduetoresemblancesinstudentenrollmentandacademicstructures. Figures12and13compareUNCW’semissionsperfull-timestudentequivalentandper1,000buildingsquarefeetwiththoseofpeerinstitutions.Forthiscomparison,onlyScope1and2emissionsareincludedbecausenotallreportedScope3emissionsnumbersfromtheinstitutionsareequivalent.Additionally,themostrecentdatafromeachinstitutionareused.
GHGMitigationForUNCWtoachievecarbonneutralityby2050asproposedbytheUNCSustainabilityPolicy,theuniversitywillhavetoreduceemissionswhileundergoingrapidstudentandbuildingareagrowth.Carbonneutralitymeansthattheuniversityproducesnonetemissionsanditusuallyinvolvesthepurchaseofoffsetstonegateemissions.Thissectionshowsprojectionsusingbaselineemissions,oremissionsundera“businessasusual”scenario,comparedtostrategiestargetingcarbonneutrality.SomeemissionsassociatedwithUNCWareinthecontrolofoutsideparties.Thesescenariosincludepoliciesthataltertheelectricityproductionprocessatutilitiesandchangesinfuelefficiencyoftransportationusedbyuniversityemployees.Itshouldbenotedthattheseprojectionsareconsideredonlyanassessmentandthatcertaintyofnumbersdecreaseswithtime.Figure14projectsthebaselineemissionsandcomparesittoatargetedratethataimsforcarbonneutrality.Thebaseline,whichisprojectedtobe95,935MTCO2ebyFY2050,wascreatedusinghistoricdatafromeachemissionssource.ProjectionswerecreatedusingcalculationsdevelopedbyTheGoodCompanyinthepreviousgreenhousegasreport.Formoreonthemethodologyoftheseprojections,pleaseseetheAppendix&
Figure 12 Figure 13
5
8
11
14
17
20
MTC
O2e
/ 1,
000
Squa
re F
eet
Peer Institutions: Emissions Per Building Square Feet
0
2
4
6
8
10
MT
CO2e
/ FT
E St
uden
t
Peer Institutions: Emissions Per Full-Time Equivalent Student
AssumptionssectionorAppendixBofthe2014GreenhouseGasInventory,whichisavailableontheUNCWSustainabilitywebsite.
Figure 13: Comparing two emissions projections up to 2050; historic emissions also included
Purchasedelectricityisoneoftheuniversity’slargestemissionssources.Thesource’scarbonintensityisinfluencedbypoliciesonDukeEnergy’selectricitygeneration,whichinturncanaltertheuniversity’scarbonfootprint.Thisscenarioalsoappliestoregulationsonfueleconomyforvehiclesthatcouldbepurchasedbytheuniversity.Currentpoliciesandutilityplanssuggestthatthecarbonintensityofpurchasedelectricityandvehiclefueleconomywillbereducedinthelong-termfuture.ThiswouldhelpUNCWtowardsclosingthegapbetweenbaselineandtargetemissions.Figure15illustratesaprojectionofthisscenario.ThisstrategyisprojectedtoreduceFY2050campusemissionsto66,362MTCO2e,orabout22percentbelowtheFY2017level.
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
2007 2013 2019 2025 2031 2037 2043 2049
Gre
enho
use
Gas
Em
issi
ons
(MTC
O2e
)
Historic/Baseline/Target Campus Emissions
Historic GHG Emissions Baseline GHG Emissions Target Emissions Level
Figure 15: Baseline and target emissions projections up to 2050 with a projection that includes carbon-related policies
Inadditiontotheaforementionedpolicies,theuniversitywillhavetoimplementmitigationeffortsinordertoreachcarbonneutrality.Whiletherearemanymitigationstrategies,thisreportfocusesonEnergyServicesPerformanceContracts(ESPCs)andsolidwastemanagement.ESPCsareagreementswithenergycompaniesthatinvolveupgradestocampusbuildings.UNCWrecentlycompletedESPC2,whichinvolvedupgradesto17buildingsoncampusandisprojectedtosavetheuniversity$577,484inenergycostsduringthefirstyear.ESPC1wascompletedin2011andsavedtheuniversity$357,766inFY2015.Thesecondmitigationstrategyoffocusissolidwastemanagement.Theuniversitycansubstantiallyreduceemissionsbysendingitswastetoalandfillthatrecoversandflaresmethane,apotentgreenhousegas.IfmethaneflaringwascarriedoutinFY2017,theuniversitycouldhavereducedemissionsbyasmuchas7,996MTCO2e.NewHanoverCountyLandfill,thelocationwheretheuniversitydisposesitssolidwaste,plansonimplementingthispracticebyJanuary2019.Additionalsolidwastemanagementstrategiesincludeincreasingcompostingservicesandcontinuingtomarketrecyclingservices.Figure16illustratesprojectedemissionswhencombiningpolicychangesandthecampusmitigationeffortsmentionedabove.ThesetwostrategiesareprojectedtoreduceFY2050campusemissionsto48,459MTCO2e,orabout43percentbelowtheFY2017level.Theuniversitycanimplementadditionalmitigationstrategiestoclosethegapevenfurther.
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2017 2020 2023 2026 2029 2032 2035 2038 2041 2044 2047 2050
Gre
enho
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issi
ons
(MTC
O2e
)
Baseline Emissions Target Emissions Policy-Adjusted Emissions
Policy-AdjustedEmissions
Figure 16: Baseline and target emissions projections up to 2050 with carbon-related policies and campus mitigation strategies incorporated
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ouse
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O2e)
Baseline Emissions Target EmissionsPolicy-Adjusted Emissions Mitigation Strategies
Policy-AdjustedandMitigationStrategyEmissions
Thefollowingarestrategiestheuniversitycanlaunchorcontinueinordertoreduceitscampuscarbonfootprint.
• StartinginAugust2017,UNCWwillcompostorganicsfromWagonerDiningHallandDub'sCafeattheNew HanoverCountyLandfill.
• ThelandfillplansonrecoveringandflaringmethanebyJanuary2019.Thisprocesscanreduceuniversityemissionsbyasmuchas7,996MTCO2eeachyear.
• Theuniversitycancontinuetomarketrecyclingandincreasethenumberofbinsoncampus.
SolidWaste
• Thesecontracts involveenergyefficiencyupgradestocampusfacilities.• Theuniversity recentlycompletedESPC2,whichinvolved 17facilitiesandisprojectedtosaveUNCW$577,484inenergycosts inthefirstyear.Theuniversitysaved$357,766 inFY2015fromESPC1.• Continuingtheseprojectsinthefuturecanhelpmitigatecampusenergydemandwhileincreasingthelongevityofuniversityfacilities.
EnergyServicePerformanceContracts(ESPCs)
• Offsetscanbepurchased fromanotherpartytonegate emissionsproduced bytheuniversity.• Carbonsequestrationis anotheroffsetstrategy.Planting200treesandallowingthemtogrowfor10yearscansequesternearly17,000poundsofCO2e,accordingtotheU.S.EnvironmentalProtectionAgency(EPA).
CarbonOffsets
• Promotingalternativetransportationcanreduceemissionsfrom employeeandfacultycommutes, aleadingsourceofairpollutiononcampus.
• Makingareal-timetrackermapavailablecanencouragetheuseofSeahawkShuttleservices.• Otherrecommendations includeencouragingcarpoolingthroughincentivesandcontinuingtomaintain bike routesandthecampusbike-shareprogram.
GreenTransportation
• Investinginrenewablesourcesorefficientmachinery canreduceemissions inthelongrun.• Examplesincludeinstallingphotovoltaic(PV)panelsandusingcombinedheatandpower(CHP). Statepoliciesthatallowthepurchaseofrenewableenergyfromthirdpartieswouldmakethisoptionmuchmoreaffordable.
SmartEnergyGeneration
• The universitycanfurtherreduceitscarbonfootprintby:• SellingfryeroilfromWagonerDiningHallfor biofueluse• Switchingtoalternativerefrigerants• Continuing tobuildupthesustainability curriculumandstudentenvironmentalopportunitiesattheuniversity
OtherStrategies
Appendix&AssumptionsToensureconsistency,emissionscalculationswerebasedonamethodologycarriedoutbyTheGoodCompanyinthepreviousgreenhousegasinventory.ThemethodologyfollowstheaccountingguidelinesintheGreenhouseGasProtocolCorporateAccountingandReportingStandard(GHGProtocol).Additionally,itshouldbenotedthatseveralkeyassumptionswereinvolvedindeterminingemissions.Theseassumptionsareimportantinaimingforaccurateemissionsnumbersbutalsomeanthatthenumbersshouldnotbetreatedassacrosanct.Forexample,whendeterminingtheemissionsofstudentcommutes,thecalculationsincludedanassumptionthateachstudentmakesonetriptocampusandonetripbackhomeeveryday.Obviously,itisverypossiblethatstudentsmakemultipletripsonanygivendayorevennotrips.Whilethisappendixbrieflydescribesthemethodologyandassumptions,amorein-depthdescriptioncanbefoundintheappendicesofthe2014GreenhouseGasInventoryontheUNCWSustainabilitywebsite.GreenhouseGasInventoryStationarycombustionnumberswerecollectedfromtheUNCWOfficeofFacilitiesandmobilefuelnumberswerecollectedfromUNCWParkingServices.Emissionswerecalculatedusinghighheatingvaluesofthefuelsandfuel-specificemissionsfactors.RefrigerantsdatawerecollectedfromtheOfficeofFacilities.Emissionswerecalculatedusingtheglobalwarmingpower(GWP)ofthegivenrefrigerant.PurchasedelectricitynumberswerecollectedfromtheOfficeofFacilities.EmissionswerecalculatedusingelectricityemissionsfactorsreportedbytheEPA’sEmissionsandGenerationResourceIntegratedDatabase(eGRID)fortheVirginia/Carolinasubregion.UNCWpurchasesitselectricityfromDukeEnergy.University-sponsoredairtraveldatawerenotavailableforFY2015throughFY2017,soemissionswerecalculatedbasedonhistoricnumbers.Thiscalculationincorporatedincreasedstudentandfacultyenrollment,averageaircarriereconomyandstandardemissionsfactors.Solidwastedatawerebasedonhistoricnumbers.EmissionscalculationsincorporatedfactorsfromtheEPAWasteReductionModel(WARM),whichincludeslandfilldisposal,recyclingandcompostingpractices.CommutedatawerecollectedfromUNCWParkingServices.Thedistancesdrivenbystudentsandfacultyweredeterminedusingzipcodesandthenumberofpermitssold.EmissionswerecalculatedusinganaveragevehiclefuelefficiencyfigurefromtheU.S.EnergyInformationAdministration(EIA)andstandardemissionsfactors.
SupplychaindatawerecollectedfromtheUNCWDepartmentofPurchasingServicesandincludedindividualpurchaseinformationfromthepastthreeyears.CalculationsweremadeusingtheEconomicInput-OutputLife-CycleAnalysis(EIOLCA),apublic-domaintooldevelopedbyCarnegieMellonUniversity.Thistoolusesinformationfromeachindustryinvolvedwiththesupplychainofeachgoodtogenerateanemissionsnumber.PeerInstitutionComparisonPeeruniversitieshavesimilarstudentenrollmentandacademicstructuresasUNCW.Thisallowsforacongruentcomparisonwhenlookingatemissionsdata.InformationoneachpeerinstitutionwasfoundonSustainabilityTracking,Assessment&RatingSystem(STARS)profilesontheAssociationfortheAdvancementofSustainabilityinHigherEducation(AASHE)website.Thisinformationincludedsquarefootage,enrollmentnumbersandyearlyemissions.Themostrecentdatafromeachuniversitywasused.ProjectingEmissionsThecalculationsusedforemissionsprojectionswerecarriedoutbyTheGoodCompanyinthepreviousgreenhousegasinventory.Theprojectionslookedatbaselineemissions,emissionstargetedtocarbonneutrality,policy-adjustedemissionsandmitigationstrategyemissions.Allprojectionswerecalculatedusingcustom-builtmodelsinMicrosoftExcel.Baselineemissionswereprojectedusinghistoricemissionsintensitymultipliedbyprojectedfutureactivitymeasures.Thesemeasuresincludegrosssquarefeet,full-timeequivalentstudentsandfull-timeequivalentpersonnel.Theemissionsourcesthatwereincludedwerestationarycombustion,mobilecombustion,fugitiveemissions,purchasedelectricity,transmissionanddistributivelosses,supplychain,airtravelandsolidwaste.Todeterminethetargetedemissionsamounts,alineartrendwasgeneratedusingMicrosoftExcel.Policy-adjustedemissionsinvolvedregulationsonutilitiesandvehiclefueleconomy.TheresourcesusedtoprojectemissionsincludedtheU.S.EnergyInformationAdministration(EIA),anIntegratedResourcePlan(IRP)filingwiththeNorthCarolinaUtilitiesCommissionfromDukeEnergyandSection111(d)oftheCleanAirAct.Formitigationstrategies,historicdataonsolidwastedisposalandEnergyServicesPerformanceContracts(ESPC)wereused.