Upload
others
View
2
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
2
IF WE DID ALL THE THINGS WE ARE CAPABLE OF,
WE WOULD LITERALLY ASTOUND OURSELVES.
THOMAS A. EDISON, AMERICAN INVENTOR
“
”
02 Letter from the Managing Partner
05 Sectors of Focus
06 Feature Stories
Is U.S. Renewable Energy Doomed Under Trump?
Capital Formation Trends in Sustainable Technology and Infrastructure
What Does It Mean to Be a Utility?
Storage – Escape Velocity or Fad?
Private Capital for Clean Energy in China: The Good, Bad and Ugly
16 An Investor’s Perspective
18 GCA Investment Management
21 Case Studies
TerraForm Global/Brookfield
LichtBlick/Eneco
Clean Energy/BP
Envision/Velocita
ENGIE/GreenCharge Networks
Renewable Choice Energy/Schneider Electric
Bain Capital - JWD/DBJ
Scatec Solar/Macquarie
29 Recent Transactions
30 Our Senior People
32 Advisory Council
33 Investor Focus in 2016
M&A Volume and Trends
Private Placement Activity
IPO Activity
36 Social and Environmental Responsibility
TABLE OF CONTENTS
2
In 2016, we closed 14 transactions and our GCA Sustainable Growth Public Equity Fund returned 12.6% net of all fees, beating the MSCI World Index by 7.3%. Today, our fund stands at $500 million of invested capital. We advised on the sale of over 11 GW of both contracted and development stage wind and solar assets. We promoted 8 colleagues and added Steve Megyery as a new Partner to run our private placement business, where we have raised over $4 billion for our clients. Our team has never been stronger and more cohesive.
We are focused on accelerating the Sustainable
Transition – the movement through which consumers,
investors and business leaders recognize the positive
economic impact of transitioning our energy, transpor-
tation, food, water and waste infrastructure assets into
intelligent, integrated systems which are lower carbon,
more efficient and more resilient. The Sustainable
Transition is achievable and will deliver greater
prosperity and a healthy planet to future generations.
The improvements in software development tools,
cheap sensing technologies, cloud-based big data
analytics and declining per-unit equipment costs are
coming together rapidly to enable resource innovation,
efficiency to scale, and positive returns on invested
capital. The evolution from single products (solar, smart
meters, demand response, storage, water sensors, etc.)
to integrated systems will further drive down costs and
increase resource efficiency. It is no longer a viable
argument that we have to pollute our environment to
produce jobs and profits. To the contrary, the best job
creation program any country can pursue is one in
which we transform our infrastructure systems to
deliver clean air, water and food. In the U.S., the solar
and wind industries employ approximately 374,000 and
102,000 workers respectively, up 25% and 32% over
2015, whereas the coal industry employs approximately
160,000.1 This is one of dozens of facts which prove the
truth of the Sustainable Transition as a positive GDP
creation force.
The counter-argument is not about economics and
jobs; it is about protectionism, and is made by legacy
industries trying to thwart the forces of progress to
protect themselves and continue environmentally
destructive 20th century business practices. In
America, an ill-informed President has surrounded
himself with men who owe their position and net worth
to fossil fuel companies that are dead set on ignoring
science, economics and 40 years of legislation to
continue to push the wasteful, carbon intensive,
environmentally irresponsible policies of 1950s
America. Here’s the good news – facts are hard things
to ignore, and the American people are not stupid.
Four years is a short time, and bad policy cannot stifle
the forces of progress.
A Letter from the Managing PartnerJEFF MCDERMOTT
1 U.S. Department of Energy, 2017 U.S. Energy and Jobs Report – January 2017.
3GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
And investors are the vanguard. Capitalism is the
greatest force in history for alleviating poverty and
improving living conditions, and our global capital
markets are a dynamic and powerful force. Investor
capitalism has served humanity well over the modern
era, and it will lead the charge as we solve the chal-
lenges of climate change and resource sustainability.
Over the past 15 years, corporate boards have
weathered the activist investor wave, which focuses
obsessively on actions to boost shareholder value
over the very near term. Many CIOs and boards of
the $22.5 trillion of U.S. pension fund assets are
increasingly focused on company long-term behaviors,
whether it is environmental degradation, abusive labor
practices or crony governance, in addition to GAAP
earnings.2 Thankfully, SASB, CERES, UNPRI and other
groups are producing a common set of metrics
against which companies focused on these long-term
behaviors can be benchmarked.
Each year, an increasing number of pension fund
executives decline to invest with managers who
support companies which exhibit negative long-term
behaviors that would undermine pension funds’
multi-decade obligation to their beneficiaries. An
increasing body of evidence demonstrates that such
companies underperform their more broadly focused
peers. Indeed, how can a company create long-term
shareholder value when its executives and board
behave irresponsibly? As this $22.5 trillion wall of
pension capital increasingly speaks to companies
about responsible behavior, including sustainability,
and invests or declines to invest accordingly,
executives listen and take action.
Other positive forces include countries like China, India
and Japan. America has amazing research scientists,
entrepreneurs, VCs and a start up ecosystem that is
unmatched globally. States, such as California and
New York, are enabling Sustainable Infrastructure
2 Willis Towers Watson, Global Pension Assets Study 2017 – January 30, 2017.
“Fight like your world depends on it.” AL GORE
4
businesses to scale and create jobs and profits. In
contrast to the U.S. federal government, China is
enacting policies to actively encourage the Sustainable
Transition and may thereby be in the pole position to
develop 21st century leadership in the renewable
energy and electric vehicle industries, in particular. With
the largest addressable market for renewable energy
(33% forecasted share of global capacity through 2030)
and electric vehicles (7 million annual EV sales targeted
for 2025), Chinese entrepreneurs will benefit from a
huge home market to help them innovate, scale and
achieve a lower cost position.3,4
Our advice to numerous clients is to position themselves
to partner and co-invest with entrepreneurial Asian
companies. The climate crisis can only be mitigated if
China, India and other rapidly developing economies
build and modernize their energy infrastructure
systems with 21st century technologies. We encourage
cross-border discussions with Asian entrepreneurs
and strategics because the right partnership of Western
advanced technology with large addressable markets
is truly win-win. Since our formation, over 50% of
our transactions have been cross border, and we
continue to maintain active engagement with leading
Asian companies.
In our eighth year since founding, we have closed over
75 transactions and, most importantly, have 18 clients
for whom we have been retained for more than one
assignment. We are nothing without our clients. We
work ferociously as a seamless global team to deliver
superior outcomes for them, and the best validation of
our efforts comes from being hired a second time by
a leading industrial or energy company, or a leading
growth company. To all of our clients who believe in
the Sustainable Transition, thank you for your faith.
Change is risky and difficult, but we must press forward.
The biggest challenge we face and the greatest threat
to our prosperity is climate change. If left unchecked,
climate change will destabilize the global economy and
cause millions of people, especially the poor, to suffer.
The Sustainable Transition can prevent this dire
eventuality if we work together. If you have read this
letter you are already on the journey, and I thank you
on behalf of all of us at Greentech for joining the fight!
Keep moving forward!
3 Bloomberg New Energy Finance, New Energy Outlook 2016: Global Overview – June 12, 2016. 4 Bloomberg New Energy Finance, China’s 2025 Auto Plan Targets Electric Vehicle Growth – May 3, 2017.
“ The main thing is keeping the main thing the main thing.” GERMAN PROVERB
GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
AIR & ENVIRONMENT
Credits trading
Environmental remediation
Pollution control
Recycling
Waste management
Waste to energy
WATER
Distribution
Efficiency
Monitoring and compliance
Smart water software
Treatment
INDUSTRIAL IOT & SOFTWARE
Analytics
Data management
Software
Vertical applications
RENEWABLE ENERGY
Biofuel / Biochemicals
Biomass
Efficient natural gas
Geothermal
Hydro
Solar
Wind
ADVANCED MOBILITY
Autonomous systems
Electric vehicles
Emissions control
Natural gas vehicles
Software
Traffic management
AGRICULTURE & CONSUMER
Green chemicals
Green consumer products
Sustainable agriculture
Sustainable forestry
ENERGY EFFICIENCY
Building management
Demand management
E&C / Energy services
LED lighting
Power electronics
Storage technology
Sustainable materials
POWER INFRA / SMART GRID
Advanced metering
Distribution automation
Energy storage
Grid communications
O&M services
Sensors / Controls
T&D equipment
SECTORS OF FOCUS
Focus on Disruptive Change in Essential Infrastructure Systems
5
6
Donald Trump’s bluster, bravado and reality television- worthy sound bites on the campaign trail left many in the renewable energy industry flat-footed and scrambling on the morning following the election. What will the Trump Administration’s energy policy look like, and what will it mean for the future of renewable energy in the U.S.?
On the eve of the presidential election in November,
the U.S. renewable energy industry enjoyed a historic
level of confidence and momentum. In December
2015, Congress passed renewable power tax credit
extensions – the incentive tax credit (ITC) focused on
solar PV, and the production tax credit (PTC) focused
on wind – providing over five years of forward visibility
on incentive levels. The Clean Power Plan (CPP) was
taking shape to transition to a comprehensive,
carbon-based regulatory system for the power
generation sector as PTC and ITC incentives sunsetted.
For renewable fuels, the U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) consistently published Renewable
Volume Obligations (RVOs) under the federal
Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS2) program, increasing
industry confidence in stable and escalating volumes
of renewable fuels, while the re-approval of California’s
Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) a year earlier
provided additional value for a range of renewable
fuels in the country’s largest state-level market.
Despite early headwinds in the aftermath of the
election – the appointment of Scott Pruitt as the Head
of the EPA and Trump’s pledge to dismantle the Clean
Power Plan and revitalize the U.S. coal industry – we
believe that renewable energy markets in the U.S.,
particularly renewable power, will continue to grow
during the Trump Administration. The cost of solar
and wind power continue to fall, driven by declining
installed costs, improved equipment efficiency and
higher penetration. Wind industry participants have
already qualified capital equipment for PTCs prior to
the end of 2016, and estimates suggest that these
purchases can support the addition of 40-45 gigawatts
(GW) of new wind farms over the next four years. In
solar, the cost of solar PV is falling rapidly and is
expected to be under $0.90/watt before 2019 for
large projects.
Demand for renewable power comes from sources
independent of federal policy, including state-level
procurement requirements and, increasingly, large
corporate users and organizations that aggregate retail
demand. Multiple states (California, Oregon, Washing-
ton and several in the Northeastern U.S.) will continue
with state-level cap-and-trade programs to lower
carbon emissions from the power generation sector.
Lowering carbon intensity in energy use is also increas-
ingly driven by large corporate energy users seeking to
manage long-term risk. Nearly 40 corporations in the
U.S. have signed long-term purchase agreements for
wind and solar power in the past four years representing
over 6 GWs of projects. This trend will continue as
wind, and increasingly solar, can be contracted at lower
long-term rates than projected rates for grid power.
Is U.S. Renewable Energy Doomed Under Trump?P.J. DESCHENES
7GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
The largest threat facing the U.S. renewable energy
industry is not opposition under the new administration,
but rather from uncertainty due to the lack of a clearly
articulated energy policy. Trump’s energy policy
appears to be an “all-of-the-above” approach that
supports the development of economical domestic
resources. The President advocates significant
investment in infrastructure, using tax credits to attract
private capital and take advantage of low interest rates,
and aims to refocus the EPA on its “core mission”
of ensuring clean air, clean, safe drinking water and
conserving our natural resources and habitats.
Progress on federal regulation on carbon emissions,
including the CPP, will clearly slow, although removing
the CPP entirely will likely take a year or more.
In terms of specific federal policy and regulatory
changes related to renewable power generation, only
tax reform, and the related impact on cost of capital for
renewable electricity, stands out as a likely threat.
Lower corporate tax rates could impact the value of
accelerated depreciation for wind and solar assets,
impacting the value of these tax shields, and in turn,
the pricing of energy required for these projects. The
PTC and ITC may be repealed, however we think this
is unlikely as the benefits of those tax credits accrue
to private industry, and Trump has intimated support
for further tax credits to motivate private capital for
infrastructure investment.
For renewable fuels, Trump has said that he would
increase volumes from the RFS2 program. Trump
campaigned heavily in the Corn Belt on support for
corn ethanol and will face significant pressure from
the Corn Lobby on any proposed reduction to federal
support for renewable fuels. Trump’s administration
may seek to shift the obligation for compliance with
RFS2 from refiners to blenders. It is not clear that this
will weaken Renewable Identification Number (RIN)
prices (the tradable credit generated with biofuels),
which should be based on the marginal cost of
production rather than point of compliance obligation.
Project financing will still be available for well-structured
renewable energy projects, but a derivative effect of
tax rate cuts may be more rapidly rising interest rates,
which would make financing for projects more
expensive. Additionally, tax equity investors (investors
benefiting from tax-driven economics of renewable
power projects) may struggle with what future
corporate tax rates will look like when valuing tax
benefits, and lowered corporate tax rates may limit
“tax capacity” for financial institutions and the volume
of tax equity investment available.
Across markets, technology and state-level policy,
we are encouraged that growth drivers for renewable
energy outweigh uncertainty at the federal level under
the Trump administration. Furthermore, renewable
energy is predominantly domestic energy, and a
significant portion of the jobs and investment behind
the commodities, equipment, construction and
operations that generate renewable energy are also
domestic. In the coming four years, continued growth
in the U.S. renewable energy industry falls squarely
under Trump’s campaign promise to place “America
First”, and we expect renewable energy technology
and infrastructure to continue to gain a greater share
of the U.S. energy market.
8
While the headlines have trumpeted the end of cleantech investing, the reality is actually very different. Robust private capital markets continue to fund sustainable technology companies and infrastructure.
It’s worth taking a step back and observing that what
was originally defined as “the cleantech sector” in the
2005-2012 venture capital boom cycle was a loose
collection of different markets and technologies.
Indeed, those technologies and markets comprised
just one subset of the full breadth of the sustainable
technology universe, much of which has attracted and
continues to attract substantial investment across the
capital structure.
Among the factors attributed to the challenges of
cleantech were a) the perception that utilities and
large industrials were far more risk averse in terms
of acquisitions than other growth investment sectors;
b) the view that sustainable technology competed
against a commodity in terms of power prices; and,
c) the significant capital costs associated with scaling
the technology.
Even the “cleantech crash”, which was headlined by
the photovoltaic manufacturing sector, was the result
of an extraordinary decline in traditional photovoltaic
panel costs which ultimately enabled accelerating
deployments of solar energy. The cost declines of solar
and wind, coupled with the current low interest rate
environment, continues to attract global asset managers
seeking yield from sustainable projects underpinned by
utility power purchase agreements.
The cleantech boom wasn’t the first attempt to disrupt
traditional energy markets and incumbents. From
1999-2001, the energy technology investment cycle
played out presaging the cleantech cycle and bringing
sustainability as a theme to the public’s attention.
The economic opportunities and drivers for change
in sustainability and energy have not lessened. What
has changed are the lessons learned and then refined
through two funding cycles, which have caused an
evolution and bifurcation of capital available for
sustainable technology.
What’s Different This Time Around?
Today, there is a fundamentally more robust path
ahead. Two of the lauded successes of the cleantech
investment cycle, Nest and Opower, which could
equally be classified as software and technology
companies, foreshadowed the increasing enthusiasm
of growth investors for the converging themes of
advanced transportation, logistics, analytics software,
the industrial internet and the development of IoT
smart cities.
These innovative themes are well reflected in the
sustainable Agtech sector, which is expected to
materially impact the Ag industry with the emergent
segments of agricultural drones, geospatial analytics,
farm data management, remote sensing and robotics.
Although growth capital providers don’t always use
the term “sustainable technology” for these sectors,
these are return opportunities that the growth capital
model was designed to fund, and investor interest
is significant.
Capital Formation Trends in Sustainable Technology and InfrastructureSTEPHEN MEGYERY
9GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
Today, sustainable technology companies in advanced
transportation, software and IoT are delivering a
product with far more dimensions than that of a
commoditized electron. This, along with secular trends,
is causing large corporates to focus on acquiring
sustainable technology companies which in turn is
creating an exit path that is the optimal driver for
investment returns. These large corporates also
bring the ability to scale sustainable technology.
Representative of this trend in 2016, electric vehicle
development and ride sharing platforms attracted
strategic investments and acquisitions.
The other evolution taking place is the involvement
of family offices and sovereign wealth funds investing
in longer dated opportunities that fall outside of
the traditional growth capital model. Along with
European corporate minority investors, who have also
demonstrated an ability to work with longer dated
business models and provide patient capital, these
are increasingly important in funding segments of
sustainable technology.
An example of family offices learning the lessons of
the past is Bill Gates’ Breakthrough Energy Investment
Fund, which is premised on “a different model for
investing in good ideas and moving them from the
lab to the market” with a much longer investment
horizon of 20 years. A theme of the fund is “the need
to fail fast and not spend vast sums on large factories
or refineries that might not work.”
Evolution of Sustainable Infrastructure
Spurred by the continued low yield environment,
investment continues in utility scale Sustainable
Infrastructure and was augmented this year by a strong
increase in investment in solar financing companies.
These companies, using solar loan, PPA and PACE
financing models, attracted significant amounts
of growth and structured financing, accelerating
residential and C&I solar infrastructure.
The evolution of risk profiles, the need for yield and
the emergence of “infrastructure-plus investors” has
increased the availability of capital across Sustainable
Infrastructure. Infrastructure-plus capital is increasingly
focused on non-traditional sustainability sectors such
as environmental services and large asset managers,
who are increasingly focused on direct investments
structured as passive equity.
Green Has to Be Green
Looking forward, what is clear is that
green ultimately has to be profitable.
As successful sustainable business
models evolve to take advantage of
both institutional and specialty sources
of capital, there will be strong returns
for investors who participate in the broad
cyclical trend of sustainable technology
and infrastructure.
10
Public Utility: a business organization performing a public service and subject to special governmental regulation.
For European electric “utilities,” this definition has
been irrelevant for close to a decade. Through
advances in distributed power technologies, the
generation of electricity has been transformed from
a public service into a personal choice. And special
regulation? European Union market liberalization
through the creation of competitive energy retail
markets and the unbundling of production from
distribution and supply has created an environment
where each market participant must stand on its
own two feet.
The zero-marginal cost nature of renewable energy
generation has dramatically shifted load curves in
European power markets. Legacy centralized fossil
fuel generation now commonly sits outside the base
load power stack. As a result, profit pools in traditional
power generation are shrinking. But while profit
pools from generation are shrinking, others are
emerging. The personal choice afforded to today’s
energy consumer, both on the residential, commercial,
and industrial scale, represents new commercial
opportunities to sell energy efficiency and distributed
energy solutions.
The future of the utility lies with the customer and the
ability to retain and monetize customer relationships
through the sale of complementary products and
services. Competition for the supply of products and
services against these new energy opportunities will
not be limited to the traditional utility. In today’s market,
a commercial energy manager in the U.K. might have
CBRE, British Gas, and Accenture all knocking on her
door. A home owner in Germany can decide if she
wants to buy an energy storage solution from Sonnen
or E.ON. Industrial technology companies, technical
What Does It Mean to Be a Utility?ALEX STEIN GCA PRINCIPAL
1 GTM Research, Utility Investments in Distributed Energy – Trends Among North American and European Utilities – March 2017.
11GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
services companies and a range of regional indepen-
dents and start-ups are intent on owning the future
energy customer.
Investment budgets are being reallocated accordingly.
Since 2010, 37 distributed energy companies have
been fully acquired by utility companies. Four of the
five most active utilities for investment in new energy
solutions – Centrica, ENGIE, E.ON, and RWE – are
European. These investments, totaling approximately
$1.78 billion, span solar, storage, customer energy
management, distributed energy resources integration,
energy efficiency and supply contracting, just to name
a few, and far outstrip the $1.1 billion invested by North
American utilities over the same period.1
It is an unenviable position to sell a commodity product
in an open competitive retail market, and with one
electron seeming very much like any other, we expect
no abatement in investment appetite among utilities for
leading customer facing platforms and innovators.
EU Utilities
North America Utilities
Nu
mb
er
of
Inve
stm
en
ts
2010 2012 2014 20162011 2013 2015
65 5 5
6
13
1011
10
16
11
2122
1
Investments in Distributed Energy Companies by Utility Region, 2010-2016
25
20
15
10
5
0
12
Underpinning this growth is the necessity to upgrade
the grid: replenishing obsolete capacity impacted
by the need to integrate renewable energy sources.
Moreover, plummeting Li-Ion costs have allowed for
products and services to be developed economically
thereby proving to regulators the viability of the
solution. Lastly, commercialization of energy storage
systems across all three market segments (Utility,
C&I, and Residential) has unlocked financing models
and opportunities for various investor classes and
strategic acquirers. All of these factors are converging,
making the broad adoption of energy storage one
of the most important technological breakthroughs
of this generation.
Electric Grid Upgrades / Electric Vehicles
Both electric grid upgrades and electric vehicles are
contributing to large investments in energy storage
solutions. The Li-Ion cost curve is now well understood
by the engineering community and investors. Li-Ion
battery prices have come down by ~40% since 2010
and are expected to be reduced further, mostly
driven by the industry learning curve and increased
deployments. Balance-of-system costs have dropped
by an average of 14% each year since 2010. There
appears to be little room or need for alternative
chemistries, as exemplified by the fact that 90% of
commissioned utility-scale projects in 2016 used
lithium-ion batteries. And let’s not forget that Tesla and
others have chosen Li-Ion for their electrical vehicle
platforms, increasing the demand for the technology.
This positive feedback loop is likely to drive costs
down further and faster than most pundits expect
given technology improvements, manufacturing scale
and fierce competition between the major battery
manufacturers chasing market share.
Grid Scale Storage
More than 500 MW of utility-scale energy storage was
commissioned throughout 2016, marking the largest
ever annual deployment. Utility-scale storage is
projected to grow at a 5-year CAGR of ~36% through
Storage – Escape Velocity or Fad?MICHAEL HORWITZ
Energy storage is undergoing high-growth and significant transformation. Nearly 900 MW of new capacity was announced globally in the second half of 2016, extending the sustained increase in activity that began in Q4 2014.
13GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
2021. Within the utility segment there are numerous
use cases. Systems are being deployed to improve
transmission grid performance and assist in the
integration of large-scale variable energy resource
generation like wind and solar. Operational benefits
include voltage support and grid stabilization,
decreased transmission losses and increased system
capacity / reliability. There is constant search for
innovation around possible peaker replacement,
frequency regulation, and systems at the utility
distribution layer.
Behind-the-Meter (BTM) Applications
Distributed energy storage encompassing commercial
and industrial plus residential applications is expected
to reach annual installations of ~73 MW in 2016,
exhibiting 100%+ growth over 2015. By 2024, two thirds
of all installed energy storage is expected to be
behind-the-meter. New business models utilizing
creative financing structures and ongoing services will
help unlock additional profit pools. BTM storage will
be used for grid service applications and opportunities
for aggregation and orchestration of assets across
a region. Microgrids for universities, military bases
and large medical campuses increase reliability and
stability, and are gaining acceptance. Residential
energy storage systems providing backup power and
power quality improvements, coupled with distributed
generation, create a powerful solution that many
homeowners are now demanding. Ultimately,
innovation around software solutions addressing the
BTM market will make up the majority of the available
economic opportunity, as hardware becomes a
decreasing piece of the total cost of deployment.
So what lies ahead? The sector needs capital to
grow. Players across the value chain are actively
seeking capital at both corporate and project levels.
Large acquirers have entered the market as interna-
tional utilities like ENGIE and Enel made significant
strategic acquisitions in the last 12 months. We foresee
continued interest from large utilities and energy
services companies as well as traditional industrials.
Energy storage is an essential part of the future energy
paradigm. Currently many of these global companies
have made minority investments across the energy
storage landscape, but 2017 should see many
more outright acquisitions. Ongoing innovation will
transform the competitive landscape and shape
investment decisions.
Li-Ion Technology Cost Curve1
1 Analysis is based on the premise that for every doubling of production volume, there is a corresponding drop in costs due to accumulated knowledge in
manufacturing. Analysis does not include the effects of any disruptive technology.
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
$1,000
$/k
Wh
(GW
h)
$400
$300
$200
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
$100
2010 20182012 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 20302014 2016
Global EV Li-Ion Production
BNEF Base Case Forecast
Observed Prices
Source: BNEF
2025: $109/kWh 2030:
$73/kWh
14
Nobody said profiting from clean energy in China was going to be easy, and this year the headwinds are especially evident. An early 2017 survey by the American Chamber of Commerce found that only 19% of U.S. companies in China said they expected the business climate to improve this year, a new low, and over half said that laws and regulations in their sector were either stacked against foreign players or outright protectionist. The clean energy sector, dominated by large state-owned enterprises (SOEs), has been relatively closed for private players. Throw in an added dose of uncertainty concerning U.S.-China trade relations, and the narrative is far from upbeat.
At GCA, we believe that in a country as big as China—
by far the number one worldwide investor in wind,
solar, and electric vehicles—there remain plenty of
positive stories. These include the shift towards
distributed energy, the surge in “go abroad” energy
investment outside of China, and growing interest in
green finance.
A Distributed Energy Future
For years, China scaled up wind and solar on the
backs of huge SOEs, which poured money into remote
western provinces like Xinjiang and Gansu. These
entities used local government connections to snap up
sweetheart land deals and juicy feed-in tariff subsidies.
Project economics didn’t pencil out for anyone else.
For years, the central government pushed investors
towards more populous coastal regions, whether
through rooftop solar or mid-size wind and solar
located near industrial parks. But without supportive
policies, these efforts fell flat. That is finally changing.
Over the past year, for the first time, wind and solar saw
strong growth in eastern provinces.1 Hebei province,
which surrounds Beijing and has a population larger
than Germany, saw 2 GW each of wind and solar added
in 2016 as it ramps up for the 2022 Winter Olympics.
Coastal Jiangsu province, home of a large solar
manufacturing industry, crossed 5 GW total installed
capacity, much of that distributed solar. And while
China sources its solar panels from the big Chinese
manufacturers, it still buys manufacturing tools from
abroad to equip solar manufacturing giants, like
Meyer-Burger’s PERC equipment or, looking forward,
1366 Technologies’ new wafer process.
Go Abroad—Opportunities for the U.S.
China’s investment in overseas infrastructure is surging,
but can foreign companies or investors benefit? While
prestige projects (new electric sports car manufacturers)
and efforts to offload excess production capacity
(steel mills and coal plants for Southeast Asia) garner
headlines, China’s infrastructure push also opens
opportunities. The One Belt One Road (OBOR)
initiative could well free up space for investment in
Private Capital for Clean Energy in China: The Good, Bad, and UglyELLE CARBERRY GCA ADVISORY COUNCIL
15GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
clean energy infrastructure and energy efficiency
across Asia. How? In our view, countries in Asia newly
flush with cash may welcome other investors in clean
energy infrastructure as a counterbalance to China.
Places from Bangladesh to Vietnam are part of the
global manufacturing supply chain, and their trading
partners and customers, like the apparel industry,
see direct savings through investing in efficiency or
solar. The IMF argued in a recent report that OBOR
investments in roads and ports throughout the region
will improve growth rates and country credit ratings,2
which in turn should make other clean energy
investments more attractive. Perhaps most importantly,
countries across Southeast Asia are following the
lead of India and China, adopting favorable clean
energy feed-in tariffs or other policies that should
lead to a surge in solar investment. This trend bolsters
our case for rapidly increasing momentum for sustainable
infrastructure investment across the region.
Green Finance Push
China now leads in the growing field of green finance,3
and in a new twist, China is actively seeking foreign
investors and partners for projects within China
and abroad.
Consider green bonds, for example. In 2016, China was
the largest issuer of green bonds, accounting for 36%
of the global total.4 Though one player, China National
Railways, accounted for the bulk of this figure, new
green bond market rules should ensure the market
diversifies. Meanwhile, foreign investment in Chinese
domestic bonds surged by over 50% in 2016,5 increas-
ing pressure to include Chinese bonds—including
green bonds—in international indices. China is also
using green credit standards to attract outside funding
to the Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank, which will
invest in projects worldwide. The bank has said it will
focus on investments that are “lean, clean, and green.”
The government wants to see the private sector
involved. On building energy efficiency, for example,
government financing of building energy retrofits in the
13th Five-Year Plan period may rise by 50%, but still
cover only 7% of the total cost of the projects. That
leaves room for RMB 1.5 trillion in private capital, much
of which could come attached to foreign technologies
ranging from heating-ventilation and cooling (HVAC)
to improved window coatings and seals.6 Notably,
building energy efficiency has been an area of U.S.-
China cooperation under the U.S.-China Clean Energy
Research Program.
GCA continues to hold the view that while the macro
narrative on investing or doing business in China faces
obvious headwinds this year, China will remain a region
of selective opportunities, including in distributed
energy and green finance—precisely the areas where
GCA has expertise.
1 For a summary of 2016 provincial wind and solar data, see http://chinaenergyportal.org/en/2016-pv-installations-utility-distributed-province/,
and http://chinaenergyportal.org/en/2016-wind-power-installations-production-province/.
2 http://cdn.globalcapital.com/Media/documents/euroweek/pdfs/OBOR%20Low%20res2.pdf (Note this is a report from HSBC that doesn’t have a specific citation to the IMF.)
3 https://www.forbes.com/sites/dinamedland/2016/09/10/a-quiet-revolution-on-green-finance-with-china-taking-the-lead/
4 https://www.climatebonds.net/files/files/CBI%20State%20of%20the%20Market%202016%20A4.pdf
5 https://www.ft.com/content/65250ac8-0a5f-11e7-97d1-5e720a26771b
6 http://www.paulsoninstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Green-Finance-for-Low-Carbon-Cities-EN.pdf; see page 31.
China 36%
United States 16%
France 9%
UK 9%
Supranationals 6%
Canda 4%
South Korea 3%
India 2%
Russia 2%
Germany 2%
Rest of the World 2%
Top 10 countries for climate-aligned bonds
16
I believe one such major shift began around the
“Financial Crisis” in 2009. Several things started
coming together during this period:
1. A loss of confidence in major
financial institutions
2. An equivalent loss in confidence
in the financial regulatory
framework
3. A change in societal norms
favoring individual preferences
and “lifestyle”
4. The end of the bull market in bonds
In reaction to these changes, two major shifts occurred:
1. A tilt toward equity or equity-linked products
2. A desire to have a portfolio aligned
to one’s individual mission and values
On September 15, 2014, a paper was published by
the Social Impact Investment Task Force, which was
formalized out of the 39th G8 Summit hosted by the
United Kingdom in 2013. The report stated, “The
financial crash of 2008 highlighted the need for a
renewed effort to ensure that finance helps build a
healthy society”. It goes on to say, “This requires a
paradigm shift in capital market thinking, from two
dimensions to three. By bringing a third dimension,
impact, to the 20th century capital markets discussions
of risk and return, impact investing has the potential to
transform our ability to build a better society for all”.
This committee continues to meet regularly. One
extremely significant outcome of their work culminated
in a revised guideline from the Department of Labor
(“DOL”) in the fall of 2015. Under this new guideline,
Interpretive Bulletin 2015-01, “fiduciaries cannot accept
lower expected returns or greater risks, but may take
ESG benefits into account as tiebreakers when invest-
ments are otherwise equal. When ESG factors have a
direct relationship to the economic and financial value
Over the past 75-100 years of modern investing, we have seen many cycles of investment focus. These have come from new macro themes, market structure changes and fascinations with new products.
An Investor’s PerspectiveBRACEBRIDGE YOUNG JR. GCA ADVISORY COUNCIL FORMER CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER AND PARTNER AT MARINER INVESTMENT GROUP
17GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
of an investment, these factors are more than just
tiebreakers”. Darren Walker, Chairman of the National
Advisory Board on Impact Investment, said “a growing
body of evidence shows that these factors directly
and significantly impact financial returns on invest-
ments”. I believe it likely that several years from now
the consensus will be that one will be directly violating
their DOL fiduciary duty if they do NOT use ESG
considerations in their investment process.
How do we know whether asset owners are actually
implementing ESG considerations into their investment
process? One proxy is the growth in the number of
signatories and the total assets of these institutions
to the UNPRI agreement. The total dollars that these
institutions manage has grown to almost $70 trillion!
The total number of asset owners has grown over the
past 5 years from 1,022 to 1,503. This breaks down
to 550 in Europe, 272 in the U.S. and 681 in the rest
of the world. Clearly, a major change has occurred
representing a significant global macro trend.
I firmly believe we are in this new paradigm for a
prolonged period of time. If global GDP remains low
by historical standards, as many people believe, then
we are in for a prolonged period of extremely low
interest rates. I believe it is a good rule of thumb that
risk assets return approximately 500 basis points
above LIBOR, over a long period of time. This suggests
sub-10% portfolio returns for many years, more likely
averaging around 5%. In this environment, the need
for clearly defined alignment of mission and values in
addition to rigorous focus on risk and return will be
essential for all asset managers.
Firms like GCA, with their advisory and asset
management businesses clearly focusing 100% on
Sustainable Infrastructure, are well positioned to
outperform as they have been early adopters of the
third dimension – making an impact.
1818
When the economics make sense, sustainable
products and services benefit from a demand-pull by
consumers, which should lead to market share gains
for companies that are first movers providing these
products and services. We believe that companies
embracing sustainability will see more resilient
pricing, margins, and cash flow, which provide greater
visibility to investors and should lead to share price
appreciation. Unfortunately, we have to contend
with the opposite view engrained in investors’ minds
due to the long-term underperformance of high-profile
indices focused on “sustainability.”
Investors often equate “cleantech” with “sustainability”
and therefore suffer from a very narrow definition,
which results in index construction with a high
correlation to common factors. The WilderHill New
Energy Global Innovation Index (the “NEX”) is often
considered the proxy for sustainability, but is highly
concentrated in solar, wind, and smart grid/LED lighting
companies (sectors that represent only a fraction of
our sustainability coverage universe). Due to this lack
of end-market diversification, the NEX has underper-
formed the MSCI World Index (the “MXWO”) on a
1-, 5-, and 10-year basis. Since inception of our
Long-Only Fund in late 2014, the NEX has
underperformed the MXWO by nearly 8% annually.
After factoring in the increased volatility of the NEX,
the risk-adjusted performance becomes even more
dismal. With this track record, it is no wonder why
investors are left with a bad taste in their mouth when
considering investing in “sustainability.”
To correct these shortcomings, we crafted our
coverage universe based on an expanded definition
of sustainability that focuses on resource efficiency.
We are looking for companies that are doing more with
less, whether that is power, water, or any other input.
We certainly seek to invest in pure-play sustainability
companies, such as those in the wind, solar, and LED
value chains, but also those “old-economy” companies
that are transitioning to providing more sustainable
products and services. The threshold for incorporation
into the portfolio is at least 25% of revenue coming
Our guiding axiom has always been that investors do not need to sacrifice returns to invest in sustainability and, in fact, should see higher risk-adjusted returns from investing in companies that are good environmental stewards.
A Letter from David Smith of GCA Investment Management
19GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT 19GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
from the sale of sustainable products and services,
faster growth from these segments than corporate
average, and visibility to 50% revenue contribution
within 3-5 years. By incorporating more mature
businesses in the portfolio, we believe we can reduce
volatility, yet still benefit from the appreciation potential
as these businesses see faster growth than peers.
Constructing our portfolio with this expanded view of
sustainability served us well in 2016, as we returned
12.6% (net of all fees) compared to the 5.3% return
of the MXWO and the (8.3%) negative return of the
NEX. The year started with high expectations for
sustainability sectors following on the back of the Paris
Climate Agreement, the announcement of the Clean
Power Plan, and the unexpected extension of the U.S.
Investment Tax Credit and Production Tax Credit, all of
which occurred in 2H15. The enthusiasm quickly faded,
as oil prices began the year in free-fall and the old
correlation to oil prices reared its ugly head. Markets
recovered as oil prices stabilized, but the companies
focused on sustainability were dealt a second blow
with the unanticipated election of President Trump late
in the year. Although still in the early days of his term,
President Trump has proposed a budget that slashes
funding for the EPA, appointed an EPA head that is
a climate change denier, and vowed to dismantle
the Clean Power Plan, withdraw from the Paris
Climate Agreement, and relax mid-term fuel economy
standards that would drastically reduce gasoline
consumption.
Despite President Trump’s outward hostility towards
sustainability, our belief remains that investors do not
need to sacrifice returns to invest in sustainability.
Here, again, we see the benefits of our expanded view
of sustainability. As with any change in regulation,
there will be winners and losers…sustainability is no
different in terms of Trump’s agenda. But, by remaining
steadfast in our approach to investing in companies
whose products make economic sense (“green must
be green”), we continue to find new ideas across
our diversified global coverage universe of ~400
companies and 8 sub-sectors, regardless of the
political agenda in the U.S.
Sustainability decisions will be made by consumers,
regardless of a shifting regulatory environment. People
have a choice. Interestingly, we have spent a lot of time
looking at the secular changes afoot in the automotive
sector recently, particularly autonomous driving and
vehicle electrification. Many OEMs refer to electric
vehicles as a regulatory “requirement” to meet emissions
targets, while some take the approach of creating a
product that appeals to customers and can thrive
regardless of regulation. Simply put, consumers enjoy
GCA Sustainable Growth
Long Only Fund
MXWO (MSCI World Index)
NEX (The Wilderhill
New Energy Global
Innovation Index)
Jan
16
Fe
b 1
6
Ma
r 16
Ap
r 16
Ma
y 1
6
Jun
16
Jul
16
Au
g 1
6
Se
p 1
6
Oct
16
No
v 1
6
De
c 1
6
GCASG LO FUND PERFORMANCE
110
115
120
105
100
95
90
85
20
the instant torque and acceleration of electric vehicles,
like saving 50%+ on “fuel,” and feel more secure with
active safety systems embedded in the vehicle rather
than just passive restraints like seat belts and air bags.
Cars are going the way of the mobile phone, with more
convenience features and infotainment being added
that augment their appeal as consumer devices. The
car is no longer seen as solely a means to get from
Point A to Point B.
Now it is time for automakers to change, or die. This is
the natural evolution and Detroit needs to think about
market share, fixed costs, technology, and for the first
time, sustainability. Tesla has disrupted the entire
industry by constantly pushing for improvement in rider
experience, convenience and safety. The Model S is
the top U.S. luxury 4-door vehicle by market share.
Now Tesla is going after the mass market with the
Model 3 and next the Model Y crossover. The company
attained 400,000 pre-orders for the Model 3 – these
are not new customers to the automotive buyer pool,
but rather customers of Volkswagen, General Motors,
Toyota and Ford. This has created a rapid demand for
evolution, and a sense that OEMs should focus on
consumer desires, rather than begrudgingly satisfying
regulatory requirements. We think this is paramount,
and will determine if the door is open for more
technology-focused upstarts, like Lucid and Faraday,
to take volume from the traditional OEMs. In the end,
this makes for a secular growth opportunity in the value
chain – a disruptive catalyst and an opportunity for
growth with pure-plays like Mobileye, Visteon, Delphi
and Borg Warner. We also believe there will be more
merger-related activity, following recent deals such as
Harman’s acquisition by Samsung, Fleetmatics being
bought by Verizon, and most recently, the announced
Mobileye acquisition by Intel. This is all validation for
the sustainability drivers in the future of the automobile
as it shifts to mobility.
One thing we hope we have made abundantly clear is
that sustainability is about much more than just solar
and wind. Companies do well by associating with
pictures of wind turbines on the cover of annual
reports, but deep down we believe it is important to
own (and understand) not only the disruptors and
pure-play companies, but also the legacy companies
that increasingly are forming the bedrock of
sustainability. We want to own good corporate citizens
across the investment universe and in time believe
that most (if not all) companies will adopt sustainability
both in their processes and the products and services
they sell. Consumers are demanding it, regardless of
regulation (or lack thereof). We are confident that our
broad experience in covering the sector, as well as an
abundance of new ideas, will yield many exciting and
new investment opportunities to generate returns for
our partners in 2017.
21GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
• On March 7, 2017, TerraForm Global (“GLBL”) announced
that Brookfield Asset Management (“Brookfield”) agreed
to acquire GLBL for total consideration of $1,338 million
• On April 21, 2016, SunEdison, the sponsor and owner of
~36% of GLBL, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection,
leading GLBL’s Board of Directors to engage advisors to
evaluate strategic alternatives and coordinate with
SunEdison’s financial advisors
• Immediately prior to the merger, GLBL and SunEdison
will enter into a settlement agreement where SunEdison
will exchange all of its Class B shares for 25% of the
outstanding Class A shares on a fully diluted basis
• Brookfield will purchase all of the outstanding Class A
shares of GLBL for $5.10 per share, adjusted for the
settlement agreement with SunEdison, representing
nearly a 50% premium to the share price prior to GLBL’s
announcement that it’s exploring strategic alternatives
TERRAFORM GLOBAL OVERVIEW
• GLBL is an emerging markets YieldCo that owns and
operates 31 renewable power plants totaling 952 MW
across Brazil, China, India, Malaysia, South Africa, Thailand
and Uruguay
• GLBL was formed by SunEdison and taken public on
July 31, 2015. The company is publicly listed on the
NASDAQ under the symbol GLBL
BROOKFIELD ASSET MANAGEMENT OVERVIEW
• Brookfield Asset Management is a leading global
alternative asset manager with approximately $250 billion
in assets under management
• Brookfield has more than a 100-year history of owning
and operating assets with a focus on property, renewable
power, infrastructure and private equity
• Brookfield offers a range of public and private investment
products and services, and is co-listed on the New York,
Toronto and Euronext stock exchanges under the symbol
BAM, BAM.A and BAMA, respectively
GCA’S ROLE
• GCA advised GLBL’s Board of Directors
and was actively engaged in all aspects
of the transaction, including structuring,
valuation, due diligence and negotiation
• GCA conducted due diligence on a
country-by-country, project-by-project
basis for all 31 assets, evaluated GLBL’s
standalone plan and advised GLBL’s
Board on its strategic alternatives
• Under the Board’s direction, GCA initiated
a strategic outreach process to explore
alternatives for a whole company and
sponsor replacement transaction
• GCA executed a highly competitive
process and contacted over 190 financial
and strategic buyers, which ultimately
culminated in a whole company transaction
that delivered a large premium for GLBL
shareholders
WHAT THE TRANSACTION MEANS
FOR THE YIELDCO MARKET
• Brookfield’s acquisition of GLBL and its
sister company TerraForm Power (“TERP”)
represented a large step in alleviating the
overhang of the SunEdison bankruptcy on
the YieldCo market
• The transaction also provided precedent
transactions for the U.S. Yieldco market
with the whole company and sponsor
replacement transactions for GLBL and
TERP, respectively
Brookfield’s Acquisition of TerraForm Global
Case Study
22
TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
• On January 19, 2017, LichtBlick SE (“LichtBlick”) announced
its combination with Eneco Group (“Eneco”)
LICHTBLICK
• LichtBlick is an energy and IT company founded in 1998
with the vision of providing clean energy – anytime,
anywhere and to anyone
• Today LichtBlick is the leading green energy retailer in
Germany, providing renewable energy to over 645,000
customers
• In response to the increasing use of distributed energy
resources, LichtBlick has developed SchwarmDirigent,
a distributed energy resource management software
(DERMS) platform
ENECO
• Eneco is an international renewable energy company,
headquartered in Rotterdam, the Netherlands
• Eneco operates in the Netherlands, the United Kingdom,
Germany, France and Belgium with 6,700 employees
• In addition to energy production, purchasing, and trade,
Eneco supplies energy to over two million companies
and households
• Eneco’s mission is to make ‘sustainable energy for
everyone’ a reality by ensuring that energy will be
sustainable, available and affordable in the long term
• Eneco is developing into a leading provider of energy
services, focused on energy innovation
• In 2015, Eneco realized a turnover of nearly EUR 4.3 billion
GCA’S ROLE
• GCA served as exclusive financial advisor
to LichtBlick and was closely involved in
all aspects of the transaction, including
structuring, valuation, due diligence and
negotiation
• GCA’s specialist industry knowledge
facilitated LichtBlick’s desire to separately
articulate the development potential of its
energy retail and DERMS activities, which
were at distinctly different points of their
maturation
• Our European utility and financial sponsor
network allowed LichtBlick to run a highly
competitive process with the most relevant
potential partners
WHAT THE TRANSACTION MEANS
FOR THE ENERGY RETAIL SECTOR
• The transaction highlights how shifting
profit pools in energy, from power
generation infrastructure to energy
supply and services, are increasing the
strategic importance of the customer
• A clear value proposition, strong brand,
and an ability to reach customers in
effective and innovative ways made
LichtBlick a compelling partner for Eneco’s
entry into the German market
• Combined with LichtBlick’s commitment to
innovation in the field of energy IT, Eneco
and LichtBlick together create a strong
force in the European energy market
LichtBlick’s Combination with Eneco
Case Study
23GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
• On March 1, 2017, BP p.l.c. (NYSE: BP) and Clean Energy
Fuels Corp. (Nasdaq: CLNE) announced that Clean Energy
would sell its upstream renewable natural gas (RNG)
operations to BP for $155 million and that the companies
would enter into a long-term strategic partnership for
future renewable natural gas sales
CLEAN ENERGY OVERVIEW
• Clean Energy is the leading provider of natural gas fuel
for transportation in North America
• Clean Energy builds and operates CNG and LNG vehicle
fueling stations; manufactures CNG and LNG equipment
and technologies; develops RNG production facilities; and
delivers more CNG and LNG vehicle fuel than any other
company in the U.S.
• Clean Energy is the largest marketer and producer of
RNG in North America and sells its RNG under the
Redeem™ brand. Redeem™ is the cleanest transportation
fuel commercially available, reducing greenhouse gas
emissions by up to 70%
• The partnership expands Clean Energy’s access to RNG
to sell to its growing Redeem™ customer base through a
long-term supply contract with BP
BP OVERVIEW
• BP is a $110 billion market cap multinational oil and gas
company with operations throughout the world
• The partnership with Clean Energy accelerates BP’s
expansion into renewable fuels and establishes BP
as a leading fuel supplier to natural gas vehicles
• BP receives access to Clean Energy’s market leading
natural gas vehicle fueling infrastructure and downstream
fuel customers
GCA’S ROLE
• GCA served as exclusive financial advisor
to Clean Energy and was closely involved
in all aspects of the transaction, including
structuring, valuation, due diligence and
negotiation
• GCA’s industry expertise, relationship
credibility with potential buyers, and
extensive transaction experience allowed
Clean Energy to attract both strategic
and financial buyers and run a highly
competitive process
• GCA used its in-depth knowledge
of renewable fuels to craft a highly
compelling investment case for
Clean Energy
WHAT THE TRANSACTION MEANS
FOR THE RNG SECTOR
• Oil and gas companies are increasingly
interested in reducing their carbon
footprints and integrating renewables
into their fuel mix
• Strategic buyers are seeking out
differentiated platforms with entrenched
downstream customer bases to accelerate
their entry into renewable fuels
BP’s Acquisition of Clean Energy’s Upstream Renewable Natural Gas Operations
Case Study
Case Study
24
TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
• On November 30, 2016, Envision Energy (“Envision”)
announced its acquisition of the French business of
Velocita Energy Developments (“Velocita”)
ENVISION OVERVIEW
• Headquartered in Shanghai, Envision is a leading wind
turbine manufacturer with top five market share in China
and over 7.5 GW of smart wind turbines in operation
• Envision has achieved significant international growth by
acquiring development-stage projects in Sweden, Turkey,
Montenegro, Mexico, Argentina and Chile
• Envision’s OS platform is used to manage over 50 GW of
renewable energy assets, including charging stations and
energy consumption devices globally
• Envision has regional offices across Asia, Europe, North
America and South America, and has established global
R&D engineering centers in Denmark, Germany and the
United States
VELOCITA OVERVIEW
• Velocita is an independent European developer, owner
and operator of onshore wind energy projects
• Velocita was established in 2011 in partnership with
Riverstone Holdings LLC to finance the development,
construction, ownership and operation of utility-scale
wind energy projects in the United Kingdom and France
• Velocita’s French portfolio is comprised of approximately
500 MW of wind projects at various stages of
development, mainly located in Northeast France
GCA’S ROLE
• GCA served as exclusive financial advisor
to Envision and was closely involved in
all aspects of the transaction, including
structuring, valuation, due diligence and
negotiation
• GCA’s deep industry relationships
and extensive transaction experience
allowed Envision to negotiate a complex
transaction structure and significantly
improve deal terms
WHAT THE TRANSACTION MEANS
FOR THE EUROPEAN ONSHORE
WIND SECTOR
• This is a landmark transaction,
representing the first Chinese wind
turbine OEM acquisition of a European
wind development platform
• Envision will dramatically accelerate its
technology deployment in Europe thanks
to Velocita’s robust project pipeline
Envision’s Acquisition of the French Business of Velocita
Case Study
25GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
• On May 10, 2016, ENGIE’s North American business unit
announced its acquisition of an 80 percent stake in Green
Charge Networks, LLC (“Green Charge”)
ENGIE OVERVIEW
• ENGIE is a global utility and independent power producer
with operations in 70+ countries employing 150,000+
people and generating $77 billion in revenue in 2015
• ENGIE provides individuals, cities and businesses with
highly efficient and innovative solutions largely based on
its expertise in four key sectors: renewable energy, energy
efficiency, liquefied natural gas and digital technology
• ENGIE develops its businesses (power, natural gas, energy
services) utilizing a responsible growth model to address
the challenges in transitioning to a low-carbon economy
GREEN CHARGE NETWORKS OVERVIEW
• Green Charge, with offices in Santa Clara, New York
and San Diego, has developed a portfolio of 48 MWh
of battery storage projects either deployed or under
construction across more than 150 sites
• Utilizing its advanced, patented software algorithms and
analytics, Green Charge deploys, owns, operates, and
optimizes battery systems at commercial and industrial
(C&I) and public sector customer sites in the U.S.
• To date, the company has helped customers reduce their
electricity bills up to 30% while leveraging the installed
base to provide ancillary services to the grid
• Green Charge will benefit from the support of a larger
family of ENGIE businesses in North America
GCA’S ROLE
• GCA served as an exclusive financial and
strategic advisor to ENGIE and was closely
involved in all aspects of the transaction,
including structuring, valuation, due
diligence and negotiation
• Acquisition of Green Charge was part of
the overall strategy set forth by ENGIE in
2014 to build an integrated energy services
platform in North America targeting C&I
and public sector clients, with GCA serving
as an advisor on executing this strategy
• Three recent ENGIE acquisitions – Ecova,
OpTerra and now Green Charge – are
fundamentally different businesses but
equally important to a bundled service
offering of energy management & efficiency
as well as distributed energy technologies,
and provide ENGIE with enhanced access
to a C&I customer base and valuable data
around C&I energy use patterns
• GCA’s deep industry knowledge and
extensive transaction experience allowed
ENGIE to negotiate a complex deal struc-
ture and achieve advantageous deal terms
WHAT THE TRANSACTION MEANS
FOR THE ENERGY STORAGE SECTOR
• The transaction represents the first
large-scale entry of a European utility into
the U.S. energy storage market, and
confirms said market is poised for tremen-
dous growth over the next few years
• Green Charge will benefit from ENGIE’s
international capabilities and strong
balance sheet to help execute on C&I
asset roll-outs
ENGIE’s Acquisition of Green Charge Networks
Case Study
26
TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
• On January 18, 2017, Schneider Electric (“Schneider”)
announced its acquisition of Renewable Choice Energy
(“Renewable Choice”) for an undisclosed amount
RENEWABLE CHOICE OVERVIEW
• Founded in 2001 and headquartered in Boulder, Colorado,
Renewable Choice is an integrated renewable energy
advisory platform providing comprehensive sourcing and
advisory services to commercial and industrial customers
• Renewable Choice supports corporate clients’ sustainability
goals by recommending and developing portfolios of
Renewable Energy Credits (RECs) and verified emission
reductions (carbon offsets), as well as assisting with
sourcing and execution of Power Purchase Agreements
for renewable energy
• Clients have included 160 of the Fortune 500 companies
and other large global energy users, and Renewable
Choice has connectivity to more than 115 major renewable
energy project developers
SCHNEIDER OVERVIEW
• Schneider is a EUR 38.4 billion market capitalization
company established in 1836 and headquartered in
France focused on energy management and automation
solutions, spanning hardware, software and services
• Schneider’s strategic objectives include combating climate
change and helping to solve the global energy challenge
by providing customers with smart energy solutions
• Schneider serves customers globally in the Oil & Gas,
Mining, Food & Beverage, Water & Wastewater,
Healthcare, and Cloud & Service Providers sectors
• Schnedier generated EUR 26.6 billion of revenue in 2015
and has over 160,000 employees
GCA’S ROLE
• GCA served as exclusive financial advisor
to Renewable Choice and was closely
involved in all aspects of the transaction,
including structuring, valuation, due
diligence and negotiation
• GCA’s deep industry relationships and
extensive transaction experience allowed
Renewable Choice to attract both strategic
and financial buyers and run a highly
competitive process
WHAT THE TRANSACTION MEANS
FOR THE ENERGY SERVICES SECTOR
• Schneider’s acquisition of Renewable
Choice highlights the continued efforts
of energy services providers to position
themselves as trusted energy advisors
covering the entire renewable energy
landscape
• This transaction also shows the increased
interest by Corporates and C&I customers
to diversify their energy strategies through
renewable energy procurement
Sale of Renewable Choice Energy to Schneider Electric
Case Study
27GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
• On January 13, 2016, Japan Wind Development Co.,
Ltd. (“JWD”), a Bain Capital portfolio company, and
Development Bank of Japan Inc. (“DBJ”) announced
the formation of the Japan Wind Power Joint Fund Co.,
Ltd. (the “Fund”) to acquire and jointly manage an
approximately 200 MW portfolio of operating wind power
generation facilities owned by JWD and its affiliates
• JWD will retain responsibility for the operation and
maintenance of the wind farms
• The transaction enables JWD to reinvest capital into
its 500 MW pipeline of wind farms under development
in Japan
JWD OVERVIEW
• JWD is a pioneer in Japan’s wind power industry,
with more than 15 years of experience as a wind farm
operator and more than 20 years as a developer of
wind power facilities
• Bain Capital acquired a majority interest in JWD in 2015
• Each of JWD’s operating wind power projects benefits
from long-term fixed electricity prices through Japan’s
feed-in-tariff regime
DBJ OVERVIEW
• Founded in 1951 and headquartered in Tokyo, DBJ
provides financing, investment, and consulting and
advisory services in Japan and internationally
• DBJ is a longtime supporter of renewable energy,
investing in wind, solar and biomass projects in Japan
and abroad
• The transaction provides DBJ with the opportunity to
deploy significant capital at attractive risk-adjusted returns
alongside a leading company in Japan’s renewable
energy industry
GCA’S ROLE
• GCA served as a co-advisor to JWD
on the transaction
• GCA’s depth of renewable energy asset
transaction experience combined with its
strong market connectivity resulted in a
highly competitive process
• Broad participation from strategic buyers
and financial investors provided JWD with
multiple strategic options for its platform,
including potential partnerships for its
development and O&M businesses
WHAT THE TRANSACTION MEANS
FOR THE RENEWABLE ENERGY
ASSET SECTOR
• The transaction attracted significant
interest from a diverse universe of
buyers, demonstrating the emergence
of renewable energy infrastructure as a
standalone, highly investable asset class
• The formation of the Fund facilitates the
expansion of wind power in Japan by
providing JWD with efficient access to
low-cost capital and creating a precedent
for other financial institutions interested
in renewable energy
Sale of a 200 MW Wind Portfolio in Japan
Case Study
28
TRANSACTION OVERVIEW
• On October 3, 2016, Scatec Solar ASA (“Scatec”)
announced the sale of its 80 MW Utah Red Hills
Solar Power Plant to Macquarie Infrastructure
Corporation (“MIC”)
SCATEC OVERVIEW
• Scatec is an integrated independent solar power
producer, delivering affordable, rapidly deployable
and sustainable energy worldwide
• Scatec develops, builds, owns, operates and maintains
solar power plants, and has an installation track record
of ~600 MW
• The company produces electricity from 322 MW of
solar power plants in the Czech Republic, South Africa,
Rwanda, Honduras and Jordan, and is growing quickly
with a project backlog and pipeline of 1.8 GW under
development in the Americas, Africa, Asia and the
Middle East
• Scatec is headquartered in Oslo, Norway and listed
on the Oslo Stock Exchange (ticker: SSO)
MIC OVERVIEW
• MIC owns, operates and invests in a portfolio of
infrastructure businesses
• MIC’s businesses consist of an airport services (FBO)
business, one of the largest bulk liquid terminalling
businesses in the U.S., a gas processing and distribution
business, and a portfolio of contracted gas-fired, wind
and solar power facilities in the U.S.
• MIC is headquartered in New York and listed on the
NYSE (ticker: MIC)
GCA’S ROLE
• GCA served as exclusive financial advisor
to Scatec
• GCA was closely involved in all aspects
of the transaction, including structuring,
valuation, due diligence and negotiation
• GCA’s deep market knowledge and
connectivity helped Scatec run a highly
competitive process and maximize value
WHAT THE TRANSACTION MEANS
FOR THE ENERGY SERVICES SECTOR
• The sale process attracted significant
interest from a diverse universe of
domestic and international buyers,
highlighting the emergence of stabilized
renewable energy infrastructure as a
standalone, highly investable asset class
Sale of Scatec’s 80 MW Utah Red Hills Solar Power Plant to Macquarie
GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
Strategic and financial advisor on its acquisition of
February 2016
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on its acquisition of
May 2016
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on its sale of UNIRAC to
April 2016
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on its sale of a 100 MW solar PV
project in Minnesota to
May 2016
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on the sale of a 102 MW solar
project in Texas to
June 2016
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on its combination with
January 2017
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on its acquisition of the commercial and industrial solar operations of
January 2017
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on the sale of its upstream renewable
natural gas operations to
March 2017
$155,000,000
Financial advisor on its sale to
Pending
$1,338,000,000
Exclusive financial advisor on the sale of the 80 MW Utah
Red Hills solar power plant to
December 2016
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on its sale to
January 2017
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor to KK Group on its sale to
November 2016
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on its investment in
October 2016
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on the sale of its utility customer
engagement business to
August 2016
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on its follow-on investment in its
joint venture with
August 2016
$66,000,000
Exclusive financial advisor on its sale of a 200 MW wind
project in Texas to
June 2016
Undisclosed
Exclusive financial advisor on the sale of its solar PV inverter
business to
June 2016
Undisclosed
Financial advisor to Bain Capital and Japan
Wind Development on the sale of a 206 MW
wind portfolio in Japan
June 2016
Undisclosed
RECENT TRANSACTIONS
Exclusive financial advisor on its acquisition of the French
business of
November 2016
Undisclosed
29
30
Jeff McDermott New York, Managing Partner
Sectors of focus at GCA: Large industrials and energy companies, Broad network of senior leaders
• Over 30 years of transaction experience with large, complex mergers and acquisitions
• Previously Joint Global Head of Investment Banking at UBS and Head of the Global Industrials Group at both
UBS and Citigroup
Michael Horwitz San Francisco, Partner
Sectors of focus at GCA: Energy software and services, Energy efficiency, Renewable energy
• Over 30 years of transaction experience, most recently focusing his efforts around Energy Software & Services, Energy Efficiency and Renewables
• Prior roles include Managing Director and Head of Robert W. Baird’s Energy Technology Banking team and Managing Director and Head of Clean Technology research at Stanford Group Company
Derek Bentley New York, Partner
Sectors of focus at GCA: Renewable energy assets, Distributed generation, Water
• Over 12 years of experience advising power and utility companies on M&A, capital raising and project finance transactions
• Previously Director in the Energy and Power Group at Bank of America
Merrill Lynch
Jim Long Zurich, Partner
Sectors of focus at GCA: Energy companies, Utilities
• 25 years of experience as an advisor and investor across the power, energy, infrastructure, environmental and technology sectors
• Previously Co-Chairman of Global Power and Utilities Investment Banking
at Citigroup
Duncan Williams San Francisco, Partner
Sectors of focus at GCA: AgTech, Advanced transportation, Energy efficiency, Industrial IoT and software, Water
• Over 20 years of extensive advisory and capital markets experience in Sustainable Infrastructure and more broadly across the Technology and Industrials spaces, both in North America and Europe
• Prior roles include Managing Director and Head of Industrial Growth Technology at Wedbush Securities and Executive
Director at UBS Investment Bank
PJ Deschenes New York, Partner
Sectors of focus at GCA: Renewable energy assets, Power infrastructure, Renewable energy supply chain, Environmental services
• Over 12 years of experience advising companies and investors in cleaner conventional energy and environmental services along with a variety of other Sustainable Infrastructure sectors
• Previously founding member and partner of Blue Wave Strategies, a cleantech-focused consulting firm
OUR SENIOR PEOPLE
31GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
Stephen Megyery New York, Partner
Sectors of focus at GCA: Private Placements, Cleantech, Power Infrastructure
• Over 15 years of corporate private placement and project finance experience in a variety of sustainable technology and infrastructure sectors
• Previously Director at Coady Diemar
Partners
David Smith New York, Partner and
Portfolio Manager
• Portfolio manager for the GCA Sustainable Growth Funds
• Over 15 years of investment experience in Sustainable Infrastructure sectors
Damien Sauer Zurich, Partner
Sectors of focus at GCA: Energy efficiency, Power infrastructure, Renewable energy supply chain, Smart grid
• Covers the European market, advising leading companies on M&A and capital-raising assignments
• Previously Head of M&A at Areva, where he was responsible for expanding the company’s product portfolio and geographical footprint by executing acquisitions and joint ventures with partners in Europe,
the U.S., Asia and South America
Robert Schultz New York, Partner and COO
Sectors of focus at GCA: Head of Investor Relations and Marketing for asset management
• Serves as the firm’s Chief Operating Officer and Chief Compliance Officer, and is a Principal of Greentech Capital Advisors Securities, LLC (U.S. Broker Dealer) and GCA Investment Management, LLC (Registered Investment Advisor)
• Over 25 years of experience running and building successful businesses
• Previously Managing Director and Chief Operating Officer of Morgan Stanley Fund Services
Seamless global team dedicated to our clients’ success.
SAN FRANCISCO
NEW YORK
ZURICH
TOKYO (Partnership with Sangyo
Sosei Advisory Inc.)
32
Michael Naylor Chairman
• Non Executive Director of the London FTSE - listed Jupiter Green Investment Trust plc, where he is Chairman of the Audit Committee
• A founding board member of the NTR Foundation
• Board member of University of Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership
(CISL)
David Ho Member
• Former President of Greater China for Nokia Corporation and COO of Nortel Networks
• Director of China Ocean Shipping, Sinosteel, Dong Fang Electric, Pentair, Triquint Semiconductor and Air Products
• Extensive relationships across Chinese industry and government
Elle Carberry Member
• Founded China Greentech (CGTI) and upon CGTI’s acquisition by the Paulson Institute, served as the Paulson Institute’s Managing Director, China
• Senior-most leader of four new enterprises in China/Asia including; IBM Global Services – Financial Services Sector, Red Hat, China Greentech, and the Paulson Institute
Thomas Pütter Member
• Former CEO of Allianz Capital Partners where he was responsible for the company’s alternative investment portfolio
• Advisor to the German Private Equity and Venture Capital Association
• Former member of the Advisory Board for Environmental Technology of the German Ministry
of the Environment
Edward A. Cunningham, IV Member
• Director of the Harvard Kennedy School Asia Energy and Sustainability Initiative
• Former program officer for the China Public Policy Program at the Harvard Kennedy School which trained over 1,000 senior government officials in China
• Mandarin speaker with 15 years of experience advising Chinese companies and government on energy issues
Hervé Touati Member
• Managing Director at the Rocky Mountain Institute
• Advisor for and/or direct investor in cleantech startups in Europe
• Founded and was the first CEO of E.ON Connecting Energies, E.ON’s new distributed energy business
R. Foster Duncan Member
• Operating Partner of Bernhard Capital Partners, Senior advisor to EHS Partners and on the Board of Directors of Atlantic Power Corporation
• Former Managing Director of Advantage Capital Partners and Managing Member of KD Capital, an affiliate of KKR
• Extensive knowledge and investing experience in the energy sector
Bracebridge Young Jr. Member
• Chief Executive Officer of Eclat Impact
• Former Chief Executive Officer and Partner at Mariner Investment Group
• Former Partner and Managing Director of Goldman Sachs in Fixed Income in New York, London and Tokyo
• Board Member of GWAVE and Social Finance, Inc.
ADVISORY COUNCIL
GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT 33
M&A Volume and Trends
M&A volumes in the Sustainable Infrastructure sector
increased approximately 4% from 2015 to 2016. The
total number of transactions rose significantly, from
140 to 237, driven by an increase in smaller, asset-level
wind and solar transactions. In turn, the average deal
size decreased by 38%, from $423 million to $259
million. Included amongst the largest transactions
was the merger of Johnson Controls and Tyco, and
Emerson Electric’s acquisition of Pentair’s valves-and-
controls unit. These two transactions accounted for
16.5% of total transaction value in 2016.
Geographically, the North American market declined by
over 40% year over year, while the EMEA region more
than doubled from the previous year. M&A volume in
the APAC region declined by 22% year over year, but
still remained higher than 2014 levels. The greatest
growth was seen in Central and South America,
which hit an all-time high transaction value of $4.4
billion, compared to only $1.4 billion in the prior year.
Most notably, every region saw an increase in the total
number of M&A transactions in 2016 relative to 2015.
The wind and solar sectors continued to account for
a majority of volume in 2016, with 158 transactions
representing 47% of total volume. Highlights in
the solar sector included Tesla’s controversial $2 billion
acquisition of SolarCity; and in the wind sector,
General Electric’s acquisition of LM Wind Power
and the combination of Siemens and Gamesa’s
wind-turbine manufacturing businesses.
INVESTOR FOCUS IN 2016
2014 2015 201620132012
$61,464
34
Private Placement Activity
The private placement market for Sustainable
Infrastructure investments increased in 2016 for
the fifth consecutive year, notably surpassing peak
levels observed in 2011. The total investment volume
increased 30% year-over-year compared to 2015.
For the first time, the APAC region saw the greatest
level of funding, representing 41% of total investment
value. The North American region fell closely behind,
with funding representing around 40% of investment
value. As with M&A, the Central & South American
region saw the greatest growth in private placement
funding from 2015, increasing over three-fold in 2016
to almost $500 million.
Consistent with previous years, the solar sector
received the greatest amount of investor interest,
accounting for 29% of total investment. In North
America, this included residential solar player
Sunnova’s $300 million equity raise from Energy
Capital Partners. A significant portion of investment
in the solar sector was provided by solar financing
companies, including Mosaic, Dividend Solar, Ygrene
and Renew Financial.
Climbing right behind solar was the advanced
transportation sector, which accounted for 27% of total
investment volume. Two Chinese EV manufacturers,
LeSee and WM Motor, led investment in this sector,
raising $1.1 and $1.0 billion, respectively.
The energy efficiency sector continued to garner
significant interest in 2016, raising over $1.2 billion and
accounting for 10% of total investment. Notable
capital raises in this sector included Sigfox, ecobee
and Bidgely.
20162014 201520132012
$11,477$12,000
35GCA 2016 ANNUAL REPORT
IPO Activity
Total IPO volume increased 72% from 2015 to 2016,
with 23 IPOs totaling $5.5 billion. The EMEA and APAC
regions both experienced more than double volume
year over year, while the North American market saw
approximately $1 billion less activity relative to 2015. As
in prior years, there was no IPO activity in Central and
South America.
The largest IPO in 2016, RWE’s green energy business
unit Innogy, was also the largest German IPO since
2000 with over $2 billion raised. Two prominent wind
OEM IPOs also occurred during 2016 – wind blade
manufacturer TPI Composites and turbine manufacturer
Senvion SE.
Phillips Lighting, which raised nearly $1 billion on the
Amsterdam stock exchange, was another notably
large IPO in the energy efficiency sector. In the waste
sector, Advanced Disposal raised approximately $350
million in the fourth quarter.
Significantly, North American YieldCo IPOs, which
historically accounted for large volumes of yearly
issuance since 2013, were entirely absent from the
IPO market in 2016. Market weakness mid-2015 put
pressure on YieldCo performance, and essentially
prevented more YieldCo entities from entering the
public markets since.
INVESTOR FOCUS IN 2016
$5,486
20162014 201520132012
36
Social and EnvironmentalResponsibility
The Three-Pronged Plan
Through our advisory and asset management work, Greentech Capital
Advisors is helping the world transition to a cleaner, more sustainable
energy and resource efficient future. In keeping with that mission we
have chosen to operate our business in a manner that reduces our
environmental impact.
Carbon Reduction
Our carbon reduction strategy centers around doing the little things
that add up to big carbon savings.
• Our New York and San Francisco offices are located in
LEED certified buildings
• Our website is hosted from a 100% solar-powered service
• We use hybrid taxis, rental cars and car services
• We often use videoconferencing instead of air travel
• We use recycled paper, double sided printing, and
paperless presentations
• We recycle paper, cans and bottles
• We turn the lights off at the end of each day
Carbon Offsets
GCA is a carbon neutral company. We have partnered with First Climate to
quantify the size of our carbon footprint and purchase Certified Emission
Reductions to offset our emissions.
Charitable Giving
Each year our employees direct a percentage of the firm’s profits to global
charities that promote sustainable development. In 2016, GCA supported
the following non-profits: Brighter Children, Help for Children, and Family
Research Foundation.
Our mission is to transform
how the world does
business and that is why
we are a member of the
B Corp community. B Corp
companies use the power
of business to solve
social and environmental
problems. What this
means for our clients is
that not only are we saying
that we are striving for
a common goal of global
sustainability but we are
proving it as well.
YOU CAN’T CROSS THE SEA BY MERELY
STARING AT THE WATER.
RABINDRANATH TAGORE
“
”
NEW YORK
640 Fifth Avenue
New York, NY 10019
United States
Phone: +1.212.946.3360
SAN FRANCISCO
555 Mission Street
San Francisco, CA 94105
United States
Phone: +1.415.697.1550
ZÜRICH
Bahnhofstrasse 26
8001 Zürich
Switzerland
Phone: +41.44.578.3900
©2017 Greentech Capital Advisors, LLC
This annual report is printed on recycled paper