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Fuel Economy with Aluminum The road to fuel efficiency is enabled by Aluminum. Aluminum technology will support an additional 1.5 – 2.0 mpg save. Todd Summe Chief Research & Development Officer, Novelis Inc May 2019

Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

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Page 1: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

Fuel Economy

with AluminumThe road to fuel efficiency is enabled by Aluminum. Aluminum technology will support an additional 1.5 – 2.0 mpg save.

Todd SummeChief Research & Development Officer, Novelis Inc

May 2019

Page 2: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

The Aluminum Transportation Group

120+ Association Member Companies

Nearly 700,000 jobs supported

$3B invested since 2013

Page 3: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

50 Years of Automotive Aluminum Growth

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

Heat Exchangers

100%

Hoods

71%

Bumpers

51%

Blocks

88%

Heads

97%

Wheels

76%

25% 6%Doors BIW

Opportunity

Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

2020 Aluminum

Share

Po

un

ds

Pe

r V

eh

icle

(P

PV

)

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Increase in Total

Aluminum Content

for Light Vehicles

Growth of North America Aluminum in Automotive from 2012 to 2020.

63%Demonstrated in high volume for BIW applications.

APPLICATIONS:

High volume sheet applications mainly hang-on parts.

PRIMARY APPLICATIONS:

Heat Exchangers, Wheels, Engine Blocks and Heads, Hoods and Decklids

NICHE APPLICATIONS:

Aluminum body, doors, bumpers and crash systems.

Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

THEN 2012 NOW 2020

Status Quo: Heat Exchangers, Wheels, Engine Blocks and Heads, Hoods, Decklids, Bodyside

Conversion Underway: Doors (25% of Market by 2020)

Demonstrated Next Step: High Volume Aluminum body(6% of Market by 2020)

Page 5: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

Market Share

Market Leadership Expanded1

Consumer Price

Reported New Model Price

Increase2

Curb Weight

Aluminum intensive body

with steel frame.1

Fuel Economy

Up to 19% better fuel

economy1 (3-5 mpg3)

1.7ppts $395 700 lb 19%

The 2015 Ford F-150 Changed the Game

1. Ford’s Use of Aluminum in the F-Series Truck Program By George Luckey, Ford Motor Company, Presented at the Aluminum USA Conference, Oct 25-26, 2017 Nashville TN2. https://www.caranddriver.com/news/a15362316/all-new-2015-ford-f-150-pricing-goes-live-starts-at-26615/ [caranddriver.com] – F150 XL and XLT 3. EPA - fuel economy for 2014 and 2019.

Page 6: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

802 lb Body with doors

91.5 % Aluminum Body Content by Wt.

234 mile range on a single charge.

Battery box is primarily 6xxx aluminum construction

Jaguar I-PACE

Lb

Al

Mi

EV

I-Pace – Vehicle Overview, Attributes, & Sustainability, Stuart Rawlings, Euro Car Body, 2018

Page 7: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

Production Vehicle

Closures BIW

Al ApplicationComponent Weight

ReductionAl Application

Component Weight

Reduction

2012 Range Rover1,2 Doors, Hood, Fender, Bodyside

est. 40% Al intensive BIW 39%

2014 Cadillac CTS3 Hood, Doors est. 30% - -

2015 Ford F1504 Hood, Fenders, Bodyside, Doors

39%Aluminum BIW on Steel

Frame43%

2015 Cadillac CT65 Hood, Bodyside, Doors, Decklid, Roof

39%Aluminum/Steel Hybrid

BIW17%

2019 Chevrolet

Silverado6Hood, Doors, Tailgate 36% - -

Automakers continue to refine aluminum designs.

1. Bad Nauheim – The all new Range Rover – L4052. Mass Reduction for Light-Duty Vehicles for Model Years 2017-2025 – NHTSA, 20183. A2MAC1 comparing ATS steel doors to CTS aluminum doors

4. EuroCarBody 2015 – F150: The Future of Tough. 5. EuroCarBody 2015 – Cadillac CT6 – Car body benchmarking data summary6. A2MAC1 comparing 2014 to 2019

Page 8: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

The road ahead is enabled by Aluminum

Global Vehicle Platforms with Regional Regulations supported by the aluminum industry

Mixed Powertrain challenges supported by the aluminum advantages

Ridesharing and Autonomy supported by the aluminum advantages

Page 9: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

1. Boston Consulting Group (2019) 2. Average of projections from – Boston Consulting Group, US Market (2017), JP Morgan, NA Market (2018), LMC, US Market (2018), Bloomberg New Energy, US Market (2018) and others

Po

we

rtra

in

Batteries add weight and will remain heavy:

Even as cost and energy density improves – batteries will continue to weigh 880-1,300 lb in the near to midterm.1 Lightweighting of structure can help to offset battery weight and cost.

Lightweighting is a key

enabler for mixed

powertrain platforms

Platform Sharing Adds Weight:

ICE, Hybrid and BEV platform sharing will drive weight addition through due to design trade offs … structure lightweighting can help to offset weight penalty.

ICE Remains Significant2

Hybrid

100%

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%

ICE

BEV

Hybrid

Page 10: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

400

800

600

200

1000

1200

1400

Yiel

d S

tren

gth

(MP

a)

New Ultra High Strength Aluminum (UHSAL) Rises to the Challenge

Standard

Ultra High-Strength

Projected

Commercially Available

STEEL Aluminum 1600

2035

Both Sheet and Extrusion product forms rise to the challenge with new UHSAL grades.

2025

20

35

2025 20

19

2015

-1

9

Page 11: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

New Ultra High Strength Aluminum (UHSAL)Rises to the Challenge

60

120

90

30

150

180

210

Spec

ific

Yie

ld S

tren

gth

(M

Pa/

Kg/

m3 )

240

Projected

Commercially Available

STEEL Aluminum

Ultra High-Strength

Both Sheet and Extrusion product forms rise to the challenge with new UHSAL grades.

Standard

2035

20

35

2025

20

25

20

19

20

15

-19

Page 12: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

Aluminum Intensive Architectures enabled by Ultra High Strength Aluminum (UHSAL)

ATG Silverado Lightweighting Study, EDAG, 2017

Page 13: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

New High Strength Aluminum (UHSAL)Application Map

General Inners

General Outers Safety Cage / BIW

Page 14: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

Ultra High Strength Aluminum (UHSAL):Next steps with BIW

1. High Strength 7xxx Aluminum Alloys: Design and Business Case for Automotive Applications, Bad Nauheim, April 20192. Does not include possible cumulative secondary weight savings such as engine reduction

B Pillar Roof RailA PillarRocker Reinforcement

Door Beam

Stee

l

7xxx

1st

Gen

7xxx

2n

d G

en

2.5-3$/lb-saved

1.5-2.5$/lb-saved

2-3$/lb-saved 2-2.5

$/lb-saved

2-3$/lb-saved

We

igh

t1(l

b)

5

10

Value-in-Use1,2

($/lb-saved)

1

2

3

46%

48%45%

47%46%

Page 15: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

Key Enablers to Increasing Aluminum Value-in-Use

Joining Forming

Recycling Tailored Performance

• Resistance Spot Welding• Remote Laser Welding• Multi-Material Joining

• Hot Forming• Roll Forming• Textures & Lubes

• Closed Loop• Open Loop• End of Life

• Continuous Casting• Tailor Rolling & Welded Blanks• Optimized Extrusion Design• Multi-alloy Sheet

Value Improvement

20-40%

Page 16: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

Aluminum Continuous Casting will play an important role across the industry by 2035

Continuous Casting opens new possibilities for transformational alloys, CO2 footprint, and production efficiency for UHSAL alloys

Strength increase new UHSAL 3rd Gen alloys enabled by continuous casting

1.5X

Significant efficiency improvement for UHSAL alloys

Page 17: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

Recycling Aluminum is a key enabler for the future

1. Automotive Aluminum Recycling Rate Study, Sean Kelly, Diran Apelian, CR3 Center for Resources Recovery & Recycling

Page 18: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

Putting it all together.

Value-in-Use on component level

($/lb-saved)

2019 2025 2035

2019: Mass Reduction for Light-Duty Vehicles for Model Years 2017-2025, High Strength 7xxx Aluminum Alloys: Design and Business Case for Automotive Applications, Bad Nauheim, April 2019 and Ultralight Door Design, Magna, 2019 – DOE Award # DE-EE00073062025-2035: value improvement of 20-40% from strength improvement and key enablers.

Less is more: “Lower” Value-In-Use enables broader use

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

Key Drivers of Value

• Design• Advanced Alloys (UHSAL)• Continuous Casting• Recycling

BIW

Closures + Doors

Page 19: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

May 2019

Aluminum technology will support an

additional 1.5 – 2.0 mpg save …

… economically and sustainably.

Page 20: Fuel Economy with Aluminum1pp2jy1h0dtm6dg8i11qjfb1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/upl… · Aluminum Content in North American Light Vehicles 2016 to 2028, Ducker Worldwide, 2017

May 2019