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EU Market Situation
for Poultry
Committee for the
Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets
24 August 2017
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
P R O D U C T I O N
21.4
%
11.9
%
11.0
%
9.8%
8.4%
6.8%
4.1%
3.6%
3.5%
2.8%
1.9%
1.2%
0.8%
0.8%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
-1.6
%
-1.7
%
-1.7
%
-2.1
%
-2.5
%
-7.2
%
-7.7
%
1.2%
- 20%
- 15%
- 10%
- 5%
+ 0%
+ 5%
+ 10%
+ 15%
+ 20%
+ 25%
SK LV SE IE UK SI CY PL EL AT PT BE FI LT RO ES CZ MT HR EE LU IT DE FR NL DK HU BG EU
Change in Poultry slaughter2017/2016 (up to May)
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Placings of broiler chicks(1 000 pieces) 2015 2016 2017
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
800 000
900 000
1 000 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Forecast and Production of broiler(In tonnes) 2015 2016 2017
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
P R O D U C T I O N
Euro – US Dollar exchange rate
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
01/99 01/00 01/01 01/02 01/03 01/04 01/05 01/06 01/07 01/08 01/09 01/10 01/11 01/12 01/13 01/14 01/15 01/16 01/17
Exchange rate: Spot, ECB reference - U.S. Dollar/Euro
18/08/2017: 1 EUR = 1.17 USD
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
P R O D U C T I O N
Euro – Argentine Peso and Brazilian Real
exchange rate
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
01/99 01/00 01/01 01/02 01/03 01/04 01/05 01/06 01/07 01/08 01/09 01/10 01/11 01/12 01/13 01/14 01/15 01/16 01/17
Exchange rate: ARG Peso/Euro, Spot, ECB reference and local market quotes
Exchange rate: BRA Real/Euro, Spot, ECB reference
18/08/2017: 1 EUR = 20.37 ARS = 3.72 BRL
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
C e r e a l P r i c e s
World cereal prices ($/t)
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
300
$ /
to
nn
e
Wheat - Black Sea Milling $ 193
Wheat - US SRW Gulf $ 179
Wheat - FR Cl. 1 Rouen $ 190
Maize - FR Bordeaux $ 180
Maize - US 3YC Gulf $ 158
Barley-FR Dlvd Rouen feed $ 167
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
C e r e a l P r i c e s
US CME SRW wheat futures
153
171
187
150
160
170
180
190
200
210
0
50
100
150
200
250
05/08/17 09/08/17 13/08/17 17/08/17
$/t
Daily
tra
ded v
olu
me (
1000 c
ontr
acts
of 136 to
nnes)
Chicago (CME) SRW futures
Last 14 days
120
170
220
270
320
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
07/14 01/15 07/15 01/16 07/16 01/17 07/17
$/t
Daily
tra
ded v
olu
me (
1000 c
ontr
acts
of 136 to
nnes)
Chicago (CME) SRW futures
Daily volume
SEP 2017 (R)
MAR 2018 (R)
SEP 2018 (R)
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
C e r e a l P r i c e s
CME maize futures
153
171
187
150
160
170
180
190
200
210
0
50
100
150
200
250
05/08/17 09/08/17 13/08/17 17/08/17
$/t
Daily
tra
ded v
olu
me (
1000 c
ontr
acts
of 136 to
nnes)
Chicago (CME) SRW futures
Last 14 days
120
170
220
270
320
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
07/14 01/15 07/15 01/16 07/16 01/17 07/17
$/t
Daily
tra
ded v
olu
me (
1000 c
ontr
acts
of 136 to
nnes)
Chicago (CME) SRW futures
Daily volume
SEP 2017 (R)
MAR 2018 (R)
SEP 2018 (R)
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
C e r e a l P r i c e s
CME soya futures
344345
348
352
335
345
355
365
375
0
75
150
225
300
375
05/08/17 12/08/17
$/t
Da
ily
tra
de
d v
olu
me
(1
00
0 c
on
tra
cts
of
13
6 t)
Chicago (CME) soybeans futures
Last 14 days
300
350
400
450
500
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
11/13 05/14 11/14 05/15 11/15 05/16 11/16 05/17
$/t
Daily
tra
ded v
olu
me (
1000 c
ontr
acts
of 136 t)
Chicago (CME) soybeans futures
Daily volume
SEP 2017 (R)
NOV 2017 (R)
JAN 2018 (R)
SEP 2018 (R)
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
C e r e a l P r i c e s
Soyameal world quotations $/ton
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
mai-16 juin-16 juil.-16 août-16 sept.-16 oct.-16 nov.-16 déc.-16 janv.-17 févr.-17mars-17 avr.-17 mai-17 juin-17 juil.-17
$/to
nne
Brazil Paranagua
US Gulf
Argentina Up River
Source: IGC
304.0 325.0299.0
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
P R I C E S
Pric
es
+ 0.4% + 1.3% + 4.9%
EUW E E K P R I C E S 33
last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR
BROILER
€/100 kg carcase weight
186.05
€/
10
0 k
g
E V O L U T I O N S I N C E
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
P R I C E S
E U E V O L U T I O N
B R O I L E R
165
175
185
195
205
€ur
o/ 1
00
kg
Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Broiler
Avg. 2012-16 2015 2016 2017
Latest price ==> 186.05 EUR/100 kg
Evolution compared same period last year (Week 33) : + 4.9%
Source: MSs notifications (Commission Implementing Regulation (EC) 2017/1185)
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
P R I C E S
E U E V O L U T I O N
B R O I L E R
50
70
90
110
130
150
170
190
210
230
In €
uro
/100
kg
Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazil
EU US BR
Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices - Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices - Fresh chicken grade A ,ChicagoBR = average of prices in main producing states - (Aveworld.com.br)
186.05 161.08 88.71
Imports of Poultry meat from selected origins
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
E U I M P O R T S
B r o i l e r P r o d u c t s T R A D E
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jun 16
Brazil 506 374 62.7% 507 355 60.0% 501 327 57.3% 503 291 55.9% 231 633 53.0% - 15%
Thailand 228 238 28.3% 251 185 29.7% 274 524 31.4% 290 186 32.2% 140 274 32.1% - 12%
Ukraine 276 0.0% 19 958 2.4% 42 513 4.9% 48 080 5.3% 34 952 8.0% + 77%
Chile 30 515 3.8% 25 815 3.1% 22 232 2.5% 28 875 3.2% 11 697 2.7% - 32%
China 18 145 2.2% 19 761 2.3% 18 403 2.1% 16 946 1.9% 9 700 2.2% + 16%
Argentina 10 783 1.3% 10 996 1.3% 8 529 1.0% 6 463 0.7% 3 380 0.8% + 13%
South Africa 55 0.0% 701 0.1% 724 0.1% 302 0.0% 2 088 0.5% +++
Sw itzerland 3 817 0.5% 4 307 0.5% 2 424 0.3% 2 548 0.3% 1 153 0.3% - 7%
Others 9 071 1.1% 5 666 0.7% 4 260 0.5% 3 780 0.4% 2 284 0.5% #N/A
Extra-EU 807 274 845 743 874 937 900 470 437 161
% change + 4.8% + 3.5% + 2.9% - 9.3%
2013 2014 2015 Jan-Jun 172016
EU Poultry meat Imports
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
E U I M P O R T S
B r o i l e r T R A D E
254 856 271 096231 633
148 816159 370
140 274
448 022
481 745
437 161
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
Jan-Jun 15 Jan-Jun 16 Jan-Jun 17
TO
NN
ES
cw
EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe)
Brazil Thailand Ukraine Chile China Other origins
570 411 514 036 492 446
547 158494 336
439 281
1 241 977
1 132 124
1 072 335
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
1 200 000
1 400 000
Jan-Jun 15 Jan-Jun 16 Jan-Jun 17
10
00
E
UR
EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (1000 EUR)
Brazil Thailand Ukraine Chile China Other origins
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
W O R L D
M A R K E T
E U I M P O R T S
BROILER MAIN IMPORTERS
Chin
a + H
. Kon
g
Chin
a + H
. Kon
g
Japa
n
Japa
n
EU
EU
Mex
ico
(up
to M
ay)
Mex
ico
(up
to M
ay)
Sout
h Af
rica
Sout
h Af
rica
Cana
da
Cana
da
Russ
ia (u
p to
May
)
Russ
ia (u
p to
May
)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2016 (up to June) 2017 (up to June)
Qty i
n 10
00 To
nnes
Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to June)
Source : GTA Excl. Live animals
Exports of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
T R A D E E U E X P O R T S
B r o i l e r P r o d u c t s
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jun 16
Hong Kong 116 963 8.2% 136 177 9.1% 100 945 6.8% 123 766 7.7% 71 918 9.3% + 18%
Ukraine 75 965 5.3% 80 084 5.3% 90 850 6.1% 114 899 7.1% 65 617 8.5% + 41%
Ghana 75 252 5.3% 56 900 3.8% 68 283 4.6% 77 159 4.8% 58 606 7.6% + 69%
Benin 139 247 9.7% 163 844 10.9% 138 414 9.3% 116 882 7.2% 58 288 7.5% - 19%
Saudi Arabia 154 787 10.8% 123 574 8.2% 142 496 9.6% 121 645 7.5% 52 642 6.8% - 15%
South Africa 158 548 11.1% 203 412 13.5% 213 577 14.3% 270 157 16.7% 49 993 6.5% - 63%
Philippines 35 696 2.5% 57 641 3.8% 100 719 6.8% 126 741 7.8% 48 714 6.3% - 22%
Congo (Dem. Rep.) 28 625 2.0% 33 697 2.2% 35 269 2.4% 44 465 2.8% 29 744 3.8% + 96%
Gabon 25 070 1.8% 29 409 2.0% 37 330 2.5% 31 925 2.0% 26 984 3.5% + 120%
Vietnam 13 564 0.9% 19 884 1.3% 27 128 1.8% 36 140 2.2% 26 887 3.5% + 60%
Russia 95 200 6.7% 68 363 4.5% 1 223 0.1% 1 109 0.1% 428 0.1% - 29%
Other Destinations 509 552 35.7% 530 998 35.3% 533 195 35.8% 551 144 34.1% 284 525 36.7%
Extra-EU 1 428 470 1 503 984 1 489 430 1 616 031 774 346
% change + 5.3% - 1.0% + 8.5% - 1.2%
2013 2014 2015 Jan-Jun 172016
EU Poultry meat Export
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
T R A D E E U E X P O R T S
B r o i l e r
45 285 60 719 71 91832 672 46 490 65 61733 006
34 72358 60687 504 71 59358 28870 639 61 89252 642
443 310508 411 467 274
712 417783 829 774 346
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
800 000
900 000
Jan-Jun 15 Jan-Jun 16 Jan-Jun 17
TO
NN
ES
cw
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe)
Hong Kong Uk raine Ghana Benin Saudi Arabia Other destinations *
65 732 81 239 106 95234 634 35 261 38 32925 364 22 73242 489
118 050 53 32551 248
124 85787 499
70 755
672 495
669 804 609 653
1 041 133
949 860 919 426
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
1 200 000
Jan-Jun 15 Jan-Jun 16 Jan-Jun 17
10
00
EU
R
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (1000 EUR)
Hong Kong Ukraine Ghana Benin Saudi Arabia Other destinations *
* countries trading less than 920 000 ('000 EUR)
EU Poultry meat Trade Balance
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
T R A D E B A L A N C E
302277 292 310
371
676
794
480
614 616
858891 876
821857 855
807846
875900
437
1 017
1 101 1 1161 153
1 114
1 275
1 063 1 046997 997
867
9821 016
1 265
1 428 1 431 1 428
1 504 1 489
1 616
774
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Jun17
in 1000 Tonnes cwe
IMPORTS EXPORTS
EU Poultry meat trade balance (in 1000 euros)
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
T R A D E B A L A N C E
2 240 505 2 233 613
2 097 428
2 190 262
2 341 835
2 158 198
1 072 335
1 852 975
2 066 277 2 089 0252 055 412
2 120 870
1 954 748
919 426
0
500 000
1 000 000
1 500 000
2 000 000
2 500 000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Jun 17
in 1000 EurosIMPORTS EXPORTS
EU market situation for Poultry 24 August 2017
Where to find data:
• http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/markets/index_en.htm
• Click on link: Poultry
• Click on link: Presentations and prices
(righthand side under: in this chapter)
• Choose the item (link) you want
• Poultry dashboard
• http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/dashboards/poultry-meat-dashboard_en.pdf
EUROPA SITE MARKETS