EU Market Situation for Poultry Common · 2018. 5. 22. · EU Poultry meat Imports EU market situation for Poultry 22 March 2018 E U I M P O R T S T R A D E B r o i l e r 28 758 23

EU Market Situation

for Poultry

Committee for the

Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets

22 March 2018

EU market situation for Poultry 22 March 2018

P R O D U C T I O N 11

.8%

11.2

%

7.3%

6.3%

5.1%

4.6%

4.5%

3.8%

3.3%

2.7%

2.4%

1.5%

1.1%

1.0%

0.8%

0.8%

0.5%

0.3%

-0.2

%

-0.8

%

-1.1

%

-2.4

%

-2.9

%

-3.3

%

-4.2

%

-4.5

%

0.8%

-8%

-3%

2%

7%

12%

17%

LV DK SI LT CY IE PT RO PL FI UK CZ AT ES EL HR BE SE NL DE FR BG IT SK MT HU EU

Change in Poultry Meat Production in % 2017/2016 (up to December)

Source= Eurostat


P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Chicks hatched for fattening(1 000 pieces) 2015 2016 2017 2018



0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

800 000

900 000

1 000 000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Production forecast of broiler(In tonnes) 2016 2017 2018



BE BG CZ DK DE EE GR ES FR HR IE IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK

Parameter

National Average Live

weight (kg) at Slaughter2.40 2.10 1.90 2.10 2.11 2.39 2.40 2.66 2.02 1.99 2.04 2.60 2.64 2.10 2.44 2.40 2.33 2.55 2.23 1.83 2.44 1.85 2.20 2.20 2.12 2.34 1.91 2.23

National Average Carcass

yield (%)68% 73.0% 74.0% 75.0% 70.0% 71.0% 75.0% 70.2% 67.0% 69.4% 71.7% 70.1% 77.0% 74.4% 75.1% 68% 70.1% 74.0% 66.0% 75.0% 69.9% 72.4% 70.5% 72.5% 72.5% 75.0% 69.0%

National Average

Mortality (%)2.0% 4.3% 4.0% 2.5%

3.0-

3.5%

(l.w)

4.0%

(h.w.)

2,5%

-

3,0%

6.0% 5.2% 4.2% 3.7% 2.9% 5.0% 3.2% 3.3% 5.0% 2.0% 4.2% 6.5% 3.5% 4.2% 4.2% 2.6% 2.5% 3.9% 3.5% 3.5% 4.8%

National Average Period

of rearing (days)40.0 51* 35.0 35.0

30 -

3837 - 40 45.0 43.5 37.7 35.0 36.9 35/46 47.4 37.1 40.0 40.0 41.5 45.0 41.0 35.00 42.0 37.8 41.0 37.7 38.5 37.0 42.0

New parameters for the calculation of the estimated production of broilers


P R O D U C T I O N

Euro – US Dollar exchange rate

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

01/99 01/00 01/01 01/02 01/03 01/04 01/05 01/06 01/07 01/08 01/09 01/10 01/11 01/12 01/13 01/14 01/15 01/16 01/17 01/18

Exchange rate: Spot, ECB reference - U.S. Dollar/Euro

16/03/2018: 1 EUR = 1.23 USD


P R O D U C T I O N

Euro – Argentine Peso and Brazilian Real

exchange rate

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

20.0

22.0

24.0

26.0

Exchange rate: ARG Peso/Euro, Spot, ECB reference and local market quotes

Exchange rate: BRA Real/Euro, Spot, ECB reference

16/03/2018: 1 EUR = 25.04 ARS = 4.05 BRL


C e r e a l P r i c e s

World cereal prices ($/t)

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

$ /

to

nn

e

Wheat - Black Sea Milling $ 208

Wheat - US SRW Gulf $ 216

Wheat - FR Cl. 1 Rouen $ 208

Maize - FR Bordeaux $ 195

Maize - US 3YC Gulf $ 190

Barley-FR Dlvd Rouen feed $ 207



US CME SRW wheat futures

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

07/15 01/16 07/16 01/17 07/17 01/18

$/t

Daily

tra

ded v

olu

me (

1000 c

ontr

acts

of 136 to

nnes)

Chicago (CME) SRW futures

Daily volume

MAY 2018 (R)

SEP 2018 (R)

MAY 2019 (R)

172

184

201

170

180

190

200

210

220

0

50

100

150

200

03/03/18 07/03/18 11/03/18 15/03/18

$/t

Daily

tra

ded v

olu

me (

1000 c

ontr

acts

of 136 to

nnes)

Chicago (CME) SRW futures

Last 14 days



CME maize futures

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

0

160

320

480

640

800

960

1 120

12/14 06/15 12/15 06/16 12/16 06/17 12/17

$/t

Daily

tra

ded v

olu

me (

1000 c

ontr

acts

of 127 to

nnes)

Chicago (CME) Maize futures

Daily volume

MAY 2018 (R)

SEP 2018 (R)

MAY 2019 (R)

151

156

163

150

155

160

165

170

0

150

300

450

600

03/03/18 07/03/18 11/03/18 15/03/18

$/t

Daily

tra

ded v

olu

me (

1000 c

ontr

acts

of 127 to

nnes)

Chicago (CME) Maize futures

Last 14 days



CME soya futures

300

310

320

330

340

350

360

370

380

390

400

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

11/14 05/15 11/15 05/16 11/16 05/17 11/17

$/t

Daily

tra

ded v

olu

me (

1000 c

ontr

acts

of 136 t)

Chicago (CME) soybeans futures

Daily volume

MAY 2018 (R)

JUL 2018 (R)

AUG 2018 (R)

MAY 2019 (R)

386

390

390

381

375

380

385

390

395

400

0

100

200

300

03/03/18 10/03/18

$/t

Da

ily

tra

de

d v

olu

me

(1

00

0 c

on

tra

cts

of

13

6 t)

Chicago (CME) soybeans futures

Last 14 days



Soyameal world quotations $/ton

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

May

-16

Jun-

16

Jul-1

6

Aug-

16

Sep-

16

Oct-1

6

Nov-

16

Dec-

16

Jan-

17

Feb-

17

Mar

-17

Apr-1

7

May

-17

Jun-

17

Jul-1

7

Aug-

17

Sep-

17

Oct-1

7

Nov-

17

Dec-

17

Jan-

18

Feb-

18

$/to

n

Brazil Paranagua

US Gulf

Argentina Up River

Source: IGC

401.0 449.0432.0


P R I C E S

Pric

es

- 0.6% + 0.8% + 3.0%

EUW E E K P R I C E S 11

last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR

BROILER

€/100 kg carcase weight

184.38

170

175

180

185

190

195

€/ 1

00

k

g

E V O L U T I O N S I N C E


P R I C E S

E U E V O L U T I O N

B R O I L E R

165

175

185

195

205

€uro

/ 1

00

kg

Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Broiler

Avg. 2013-17 2017 2018

Latest price ==> 184.38 EUR/100 kg

Evolution compared same period last year (Week 11) : + 3.0%

Source: MSs notifications (Commission Implementing Regulation (EC) 2017/1185)


P R I C E S

E U E V O L U T I O N

B R O I L E R

50

70

90

110

130

150

170

190

210

230

In €

uro

/100

kg

Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazil

EU US BR

Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices - Broiler 65%

US = weekly USDA prices - Fresh chicken grade A ,ChicagoBR = average of prices in main producing states - (Aveworld.com.br)

184.38 155.79 79.72

Imports of Poultry meat from selected origins


E U I M P O R T S

B r o i l e r P r o d u c t s T R A D E

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-janv 17

Thailand 251 185 29.7% 274 524 31.4% 290 309 32.2% 265 738 32.9% 26 988 38.6% + 14%

Brazil 507 355 60.0% 501 327 57.3% 504 796 56.0% 401 465 49.7% 24 862 35.6% - 46%

Ukraine 19 958 2.4% 42 513 4.9% 48 083 5.3% 80 083 9.9% 8 694 12.4% +++

Chile 25 815 3.1% 22 232 2.5% 28 808 3.2% 24 973 3.1% 4 584 6.6% + 26%

China 19 761 2.3% 18 403 2.1% 16 946 1.9% 19 203 2.4% 1 938 2.8% + 14%

Turkey 16 0.0% 441 0.0% 173 0.0% 1 479 2.1% +++

Argentina 10 996 1.3% 8 529 1.0% 6 463 0.7% 6 300 0.8% 834 1.2% + 9%

Switzerland 4 307 0.5% 2 424 0.3% 2 548 0.3% 2 752 0.3% 242 0.3% + 65%

Others 6 351 0.8% 4 984 0.6% 3 656 0.4% 6 616 0.8% 242 0.3% #N/A

Extra-EU 845 743 874 937 902 051 807 303 69 862

% change + 3.5% + 3.1% - 10.5% - 9.7%

2014 2015 2016 Jan-janv 182017

EU Poultry meat Imports


E U I M P O R T S

B r o i l e r T R A D E

28 75823 752 26 988

44 30946 249

24 862

1 527199

8 694

80 345 77 408

69 862

0

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

50 000

60 000

70 000

80 000

90 000

Jan-janv 16 Jan-janv 17 Jan-janv 18

TO

NN

ES

c

w

EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe)

Thailand Brazil Ukraine Chile China Other origins

9883 88

8597

54

203 200

179

0

50

100

150

200

250


Mil

lio

ns E

UR

EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (Millions EUR)

Thailand Brazil Ukraine Chile China Other origins

Exports of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations


T R A D E E U E X P O R T S

B r o i l e r P r o d u c t s

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-janv 17

Ukraine 80 084 5.3% 90 850 6.1% 114 891 7.1% 163 057 9.8% 15 975 12.3% + 54%

Ghana 56 900 3.8% 68 283 4.6% 77 018 4.8% 135 298 8.1% 11 726 9.1% + 27%

Philippines 57 641 3.8% 100 719 6.8% 126 733 7.8% 128 245 7.7% 11 603 9.0% + 115%

Hong Kong 136 177 9.1% 100 944 6.8% 123 771 7.7% 148 272 8.9% 11 063 8.6% - 29%

Benin 163 844 10.9% 138 414 9.3% 116 858 7.2% 106 557 6.4% 9 255 7.2% + 2%

Saudi Arabia 123 574 8.2% 142 496 9.6% 121 645 7.5% 98 797 5.9% 7 322 5.7% - 29%

Vietnam 19 884 1.3% 27 128 1.8% 36 180 2.2% 53 544 3.2% 5 323 4.1% + 35%

South Africa 203 412 13.5% 213 577 14.3% 271 092 16.8% 76 180 4.6% 5 154 4.0% - 43%

For.JRep.Mac 33 503 2.2% 31 404 2.1% 31 384 1.9% 34 020 2.0% 2 883 2.2% + 35%

Switzerland 31 511 2.1% 30 857 2.1% 31 921 2.0% 31 408 1.9% 2 732 2.1% + 6%

Russia 68 363 4.5% 1 223 0.1% 1 109 0.1% 993 0.1% 53 0.0% - 32%

Other Destinations 529 090 35.2% 543 975 36.5% 564 117 34.9% 686 657 41.3% 46 268 35.8%

Extra-EU 1 503 984 1 489 871 1 616 720 1 663 029 129 356

% change - 0.9% + 8.5% + 2.9% + 9.0%

2014 2015 2016 Jan-janv 182017

EU Poultry meat Export


T R A D E E U E X P O R T S

B r o i l e r

12 426 10 340 15 9755 801 9 233

11 72613 099 5 390

11 6038 600 15 650

11 0637 908 9 0829 255

67 869 69 001

69 733

115 703 118 697

129 356

0

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

140 000


TO

NN

ES

cw

EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe)

Ukraine Ghana Philippines Hong Kong Benin Other destinations *

7 6 74 6 95 4 612

22 1657 9

106

104 108

139150

155

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180


Mil

lio

ns

EU

R

EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Millions EUR)

Ukraine Ghana Philippines Hong Kong Benin Other destinations *

* countries trading less than 155 ('Millions EUR)

EU Poultry meat Trade Balance


T R A D E B A L A N C E

302277 292 310

371

676

794

480

614 616

858891 876

821857 855

807846

875902

807

70

1 017

1 101 1 1161 153

1 114

1 275

1 063 1 046997 997

867

9821 016

1 265

1 504

1 431 1 428

1 504 1 490

1 6171 663

129

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-janv18

in 1

000

Tonn

es c

we

IMPORTS EXPORTS

EU Poultry meat trade balance (in 1000 euros)


T R A D E B A L A N C E

2 241 2 234

2 097

2 190

2 342

2 161

2 025

179

1 853

2 066 2 0892 055

2 121

1 9541 995

155

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-janv 18

in Millions EurosIMPORTS EXPORTS



Weekly epidemic curve for HPAI H5 outbreaks in poultry reported via ADNS (01/10/2016 - 19/03/2018)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

HPAI in poultry, captive birds and wild birds 01/10/2016-19/03/2018 (MS affected in 2017 in red, 2018

outbreaks in blue)

Member State Wild birds Poultry Captive birds

GERMANY 1261 92 15

FRANCE 72 486 3

ITALY 24 83 (3)

NETHERLANDS 189 10(2) 11 (1)

BELGIUM 4 2 13

LUXEMBOURG 4

UNITED KINGDOM 133 13

IRELAND 13

DENMARK 78 1 1

GREECE 12 6

SPAIN 3 10

PORTUGAL 1

AUSTRIA 21 2 1

FINLAND 14 1

SWEDEN 40 4 2

CYPRUS 1

CZECH REPUBLIC 49 38 1

HUNGARY 196 240 5

POLAND 303 65

SLOVENIA 273

BULGARIA 20 76 (1) 2

LITHUANIA 13

ROMANIA 143 45 2

SLOVAKIA 252 9 2

CROATIA 48 11


Where to find data:

• http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/markets/index_en.htm

• Click on link: Poultry

• Click on link: Presentations and prices

(righthand side under: in this chapter)

• Choose the item (link) you want

• Poultry dashboard

• http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/dashboards/poultry-meat-dashboard_en.pdf

EUROPA SITE MARKETS

http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/markets/index_en.htm









http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/dashboards/poultry-meat-dashboard_en.pdf





Documents

EU Market Situation for Poultry Common · 2018. 5. 22. · EU Poultry meat Imports EU market situation for Poultry 22 March 2018 E U I M P O R T S T R A D E B r o i l e r 28 758 23