25
ALTAIR Management Consultants C3AID_2018 / 1 Enterprise Analytical Management “Business Transformation in the New Era of the Digital Revolution” Madrid, November 13, 2019

Enterprise Analytical Management s · analytics expertise a requirement for leadership position Securing buy-in further down the organization Embed & plug analytics into the critical

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    3

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 1

Enterprise Analytical Management “Business Transformation in the New Era

of the Digital Revolution”

Madrid, November 13, 2019

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 2

Content

Lessons learned from Evolution of Species

Digital Transformation: Driving Forces and Value at Stake

Enterprise Analytical Management - EAM

– Embedding analytics in the business value chain

– Key EAM principles

Round Table

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 3 AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

A

LT

AIR

Ma

na

ge

me

nt C

on

su

lta

nts

Universe Evolution & Age

-1,00,01,02,03,04,05,06,07,08,09,010,011,012,013,014,015,0

Universe Creation

– 13.8 bn years ago

Water Molecule

– 11.0 bn years ago

Hominids

– 4 m years ago

First Cell

– 3.8 bn years ago

Earth Creation

– 4.5 bn years ago

bn years ago

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 4

Discontinuity, Driven by Disruption, is the Rule

Evolutionary development is marked by isolated episodes of rapid speciation

between long periods of little or no change

Equilibrium Equilibrium Equilibrium

Disruption Disruption

Rapid decline Rapid mass speciation

Source: “Punctuated Equilibrium”, Stephen J. Gould; Digital Transformation, Tom M. Siebel

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 5

Evolutionary Mass Extinction Events

Ordovician-Siluri

an

Late Devonian Permian-Triassic Triassic-Jurassic

Millions Years Ago & Percentage of Species Extinct

-75% -86%

-75%

-96% -80% -76%

2000 m 445 m 340 m 250 m 200 m 65 m

Glaciation &

Falling Sea

Levels

Drop of CO2 and

Weather Cooling

Volcanic

Eruptions,

Global Warming

& Oceans

Acidification

Climate Change,

CO2 & CH4

Greenhouse

Effects

Cretaceous-Terti

ary

Asteroid Impact,

Volcanic Activity

& Climate

Change

Great

Oxydation Event

Oxygen

Atmosphere

Aerobic

Life

Pluricellular

Source: Digital Transformation, Tom M. Siebel

Shorten Change Cycles: In the past million years, the world

has experienced disrupted events 10 times

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 6

Same Principles Applies to Evolutionary Enterprise Extinction

Events

Massive

declining of

existing species

&

Rapid

speciation of

new species

External

Driving Forces

Shortening

Change Cycles

Accelerating

Speed Change

• Digital Transformation Forces

• Since 2000, 52% of the Fortune

500 have been either acquired

or bankrupt

• Digital disruption will wipe out

40% of Fortune 500 firms in

next 10 years, say c-suite

execs

• IT sector has grown from

$50bn in 1980 to $3.8tn in 2018

and expected $4.5tn by 2022

• New speciation of players with

different DNA Amazon, Google,

Facebook, Lyft, Zelle, Square,

Airbnb, Twilio, Shopify,

Zappos, Uber,…

As of 2019, the Fortune 500 companies represent approximately two-thirds of the United States's Gross Domestic Product with approximately $13.7 trillion in revenue,

$1.1 trillion in profits, and $22.6 trillion in total market value

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 7 AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

Core of Digital Transformation

Confluence of Four Disruptive Technologies

Big Data Internet of Things

Cloud Computing Artificial Inteligence

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 8

Digital Transformation Will Create Trillions of Dollars of Value

Potential Economic Impact

Increase in Global Business and Social Value Timeframe Source

$100 Trillion 2016-2030 World Economic Forum, 2016

Increase in Annual Global GDP

$ 15.7 Trillion (driven by AI) By 2030 PwC, 2017

$ 13.0 Trillion (driven by AI) By 2030 McKinsey, 2018

$ 11.1 Trillion (driven by IoT) By 2025 McKinsey, 2015

$ 3.9 Trillion (driven by AI) By 2022 Gartner, 2018

Source: Digital Transformation, Tom M. Siebel

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 9

Many companies launch analytical initiatives but struggle to

capture tangible value

Pitfalls that we have found so far

Vision People Involvement Persistence

“Wrong vision on

value at stake and

change

management

needed”

“Not having the

necessary

capabilities and

talent”

“Analytics Talent

Data Scientist”

“Lack of

collaboration with

business users

during

development

phase”

“Moving on to

next use case

before value has

been captured”

Data

“Struggling to get

access to data or

use all the data

available”

“Map out a fully

reimagined 3-5

years vision for

the whole value

chain using

analytics rather

than to focus on

current process

pain points”

“Look for talent

beyond data

scientist and hire

translators,

DevOps experts,

Cloud specialist,

data

engineers,…”

“Involving actual

users in the

solution design

from planning to

implementation”

“Developing a set

of KPI’s that

measures

progress from

model

development to

value capture”

“Building a strong

pull process

based on

business needs,

technical solutions

and then the data

needed rather

than “data push”

approaches”

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 10

Embedding analytics management in the value chain is inspired

in key lessons learned from similar great transformations

Embedding Strategic Function into Value Chain

Total Quality Management

Total Quality Management (TQM)

From: Quality is a control function

To: Quality embedded into all value chain

Logistics Sales Procurement Manufacturing New

Product

Quality

Control

Logistics Sales Procurement Manufacturing New

Product

Kaizen

Heijunka Jidoka

Enterprise Risk Management

Enterprise Risk Management (ERM)

From: Risk is a central function

To: Risk embedded into all value chain

Channels Sales Control Products Risk IT

Channels Sales Control Products IT

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 11

EAM management is based on

Simultaneous Engineering

EAM is a Factory that integrates all

key elements

Analytical Vision & Strategy

Decision Making Processes

(Analytical Areas)

Analytical Areas & Cases

Development

Implementation and Value

Capture

Analytical

Vision

Business

Objectives &

Value Creation

People, Organization & Technology

Governance Model

Enterprise Analytical Management (EAM)

Data (Pull vs. Push)

Analytical

Knowledge

Enterprise Analytical Management (EAM) encompasses all

elements to catalyze analytical transformation

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 12

Adopting EAM across all lines of business and functions requires a

strong, coordinated strategy and a robust operating model

EAM Vision

Unified commitment from

all levels of management

Leadership team is

completely aligned on an

analytics vision & strategy

Vision to integrate

analytics across all

operations

HR policy: making

analytics expertise a

requirement for leadership

position

Securing buy-in further

down the organization

Embed & plug analytics

into the critical strategic

areas of the company

Assessment of impact

within market positioning,

client loyalty and profit

impact

Extract the value of

analytics

– Make analytics

user-friendly

– Embrace analytics as

essential tool that

challenges established

thinking

Short & Long term plans

Spend more on analytics

and plan to increase

investment further

Analytics budget has an

important participation

– Data

– Technology

– Analytics talent

– Embedding analytics

into business-process

workflows

Increase analytics spend

in the next years

Combine in-house spend

with third-party alliances

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 13

EAM is essentially seeing an evolution of the science of

Decision Making

EAM Decision Making Roadmap

In every organization, thousands of decisions affect business outcomes every

day and all of these could be informed by data insights, so we need to identify

those decisions that will drive the most value

Inventory of

Decisions

List of key

decisions of

the business

Decisions

definition:

– Frequency

– Number

– Impact

Map of

decisions

Selection &

prioritization

Transform

decision into

Analytical

Areas

Define

Analytical

Areas

High-Level

business

case

EAM

roadmap:

sizing and

planning each

Analytical

Area

Classify

Decisions

Set

Analytical

Areas

Petrochemical Company

(Analytical Areas)

Daily

Annual

Monthly

Weekly

Pricing

Low High

Predictive

Maintenance

People

Scheduling

Synchronous

Manufacturing Product

Portfolio

Annual

Investments

Fre

qu

en

cy

Business impact

Size of circle show Number of Decisions / time

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 14

EAM needs to define data management approach

Develop a data strategy that supports the wider analytics strategy and avoid

investing heavily in collecting & cleaning data before having a clear strategy

Data Push vs. Pull as key approach in Analytics Strategy Definition

With all data available,

what kind of business

issues can be solved?

Data Model Business

impact

Trigger questions

Knowing my business

needs, how analytics can

help and which data is

really needed?

Push

Business

needs Data Model Pull

Business

Value

Captured

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 15

In the last 15 years Advanced Analytics have move from the back office

to the board of the top tier companies around the world

Advanced Analytics Evolution C

om

pe

titi

ve

Ad

va

nta

ge

Sophistication of Inteligence

Standard Reports

“What Happened”

Add hoc reports

“How Many, How Often, Where?”

Query Drill down

“What exactly is the problem?”

Alerts

“What actions are needed?”

Statistical Analysis

“Why is this happening”

Forecasting/extrapolation

“What if this trends continue?”

Predictive Modeling

“What will happend next?”

Experimental Design

“What happend if we try this”

Optimization

“What is the best that

can happend?”

Machine Learning

“What can we learn

from the data?”

“Competing On Analytics”, Thomas H. Davenport

Autonomous

Analytics

Optimization

Predictions

Segmentation

& Classification

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 16

EAM develops a professional team with a combination of the key

skills required

EAM Main Analytics Roles

Business

Translator

Model

Strategist

Analytics

Analyst

Data

Engineer

Translate

business

problems

Scientific

supervisor

Model and

tools

development

Extract,

clean and

prepare the

data

Focuses on understanding business requirements

Serves as a link between a client and the analytics team

Has experience managing analytical/quantitative

projects and good understanding of

assumptions/limitations of the employed models

Has advanced knowledge of mathematics and statistics

Experience building and testing statistical models

Experience with statistical packages and tools

Has an advanced knowledge of coding and statistics

Advanced programming skills in statistical/programming

languages like R, Python, Scala, SAS (or generic

purpose like C++, Java)

Knowledge of visualization techniques and libraries

IT or Computer Science Background

Advanced knowledge of data management and

architectures (Structured, non-structured, real time)

Experience in ETL

Project, team

and customer

relationship

management

Define modeling

approach

Ensure model

quality

Model

development

Unitary testing

and validation

Provide quality

data to the

Analytics

modeling team

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 17

EAM team is organized as a shop floor which enables collaborative

work

Analytical U-Cell

Client

Mo

del D

evelo

pm

en

t

Data Curation Enterprise Analytical

Management

Model Run Business

improvements

Analytics

Analyst

Data Engineer

Model

Strategist

Business

Translator

Generally, we organize as many U-Cells as Analytical Areas

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 18

EAM has to embed analytics inside the company organization

EAM Organizational Interaction Development Best Practices

Analytical transformation provided by EAM has to be manage as a top

strategic topic of the top management agenda

Embed critical EAM-CDO capabilities across

the whole company organization, not just in

an analytical center of excellence

Secure senior management commitment

and appoint the right leader to act as a

bridge (first level function)

Establish the right culture with CEO and top

executives emphasizing the importance of

analytics

– i.e. Ask top executives to come up with at

least 3 ideas about how analytics would

improve their business areas

Implement a digital and analytics

organization that fits the company’s:

governance model, maturity, potential for

standardization and best-practice sharing

Centralized 1 Decentralized 2 Hybrid 3

CEO

BU3 BU1 BU2 EAM-CDO

AAL AAL AAL

1

3

2

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 19

EAM Governance is based on developing several lines of action

Analytical Areas Scope Lines of Action Governance & Roles

Attack

(Efficacy)

Defense

(Efficiency)

An

aly

tical A

RE

AS

Revenue Growth

Demand Forecast

Customer Experience

Product Development

Pricing Optimization

Loyalty Increase

Cost Optimization

Risk Management

Resource Allocation

Regulatory &

Compliance

Capital Management

1st Line

of Action

EAM Model Owners & Model

Users that identify cases and

jointly develop or acquire,

operate and maintain model

2nd Line

of Action

EAM Central Group provides

view, knowledge, support,

resources & challenge to the

first line of action. Also

provides strategic analytics

guidance

3rd Line

of Action

EAM Auditors: review the

quality & risk of the models

developed according to

company EAM program

requirements

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 20

EAM Auditing is a key role because they have to assess the risk

of managing each model

All models will be assigned a risk rating reflecting their risk to the company

taking into account model’s business use and materiality

Sources of Analytical Model Risk

(EAM Auditing Team)

Data

Data quality

Data completeness

Data availability

Method

Proper statistical method

Estimators confidence

intervals

Hypothesis,

approximations and

simplifications

Validation methodology

Usage

Continuous calibration

Lack of update

Usage outside current

data range

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 21

The “build it yourself” approach requires numerous integrations

resulting in a high degree of complexity

Batch

Processing

Azure Analysis Services

Amazon Sage Maker

Amazon DynamoDB

Amazon RDS

Stream

Processing

Machine

Learning

Framework

and Services

UI and Data

Visualization Tools

Data Exploration

Tools

Platform

Management

Services

Data

Integration

No SQL

Storage

Data Connectors, APIs,

Enterprise Application

Infrastructure

Relational

Database

Cloud Object

Storage

Databricks

Amazon

DynamoDB

Stream

Analytics

Azure Events Hubs

Amazon

Lambda

Azure Data

Lake

Amazon S3

SQL Data

Warehouse

Amazon

Aurora

Non-Relational

Database

Hadoop

Storage

Application

Development

Tools

Azure Data

Explorer

Trusted

Advisor

Amazon API Gateway

Amazon CloudFront

Amazon CloudWatch

Elastic Load Balancing

AWS CloudTrail

Azure Data Factory

Azure Data Catalog

Amazon

DynamoDB

AWS IoT

Amazon Kinesis

HDInsight

AWS Labs Formation

AWS IoT Events

Amazon SNS

Amazon SQS

Amazon Firehose

AWS CloudFormation

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 22

Building the Platform: Model-Driven Al Architecture…

A model-driven architecture provides an abstraction layer that vastly simplifies

and accelerates the development and deployment of AI and IoT applications

Logging

Auto Scaling

Integrated

Development Tools

Microservices &

Applications

Profiling

Device Integration Integration Services

Stream Services

Encryption

Authentication

Message Queue

RDBMs APIs

Authorization

Monitoring

Multi-Dimensional

Distributed

In-Memory Service

AI / Machine

Learning

Scheduling Time Series

Service

Key-Value

Store

M2M

& IoT

End

User

Business

Analyst

Application

Developer

Data

Scientist

Data

Engineer

Distributed File System

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 23

… and integrating it: Multi-Cloud Deployment

Organizations require an AL architecture that enables them to deploy

applications on multiple public cloud platforms as well as on bare metal behind

the firewall in a private cloud or data center

Pa

aS

Ia

aS

Amazon

SQS

Amazon

S3

Amazon

Redshift

Amazon

Kinesis

Amazon

DynamoDB

Azure

Stack

Azure

Blob

Storage

Azure

Event

Monitor

Azure

Database for

PostgreSQL

Azure

Event

Hub

Google

Mpas

Google

Spanner

Google

BigQuery

Google

Cloud

Speech

Google

Cloud

Translation

Intel

Nervana

Intel Deep

Learning

System

Intel

Computer

Vision

Intel

Movidius

Intel

GNA

Predictive

Maintenance

Inventory

Optimization

Energy

Management

Precision

Health

Anti-Money

Laundering

Mfg. Quality

Optimization CRM AI

Sa

aS

Cu

sto

mer

Exte

nsio

n

SaaS APPLICATIONS CUSTOMER APPLICATIONS

Logging

Metadata Management

MapReduce

Continuous Analytic

Processing

Queue

Stream

Batch

Access Control

Al

Suite

Integrated

Development Tools

Microservices &

Applications

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 24

Closing Summary

Context Leadership Set Goals Organization

Disruptive

Change

Frequency

Velocity

Agenda

Resources &

Investments

Decision

Making

Process

Short term &

Long Term

Bet on

growing

knowledge

on the

business

Move on

Technologies

Short term

lab

Make vs.

buy

AL

TA

IR M

an

ag

em

ent C

on

su

lta

nts

C3AID_2018 / 25

Round Table

People & Leadership

Make vs. Buy

Alliances

Investment & Return

Current Situation & Change