DG AGRI DASHBOARD: CEREALS - SCANDAGRA€¦ · Last update: 24.11.2016 s ks e r s ... Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16 Aug-16 Nov-16 ¦ /t Maize - monthly avg. export prices (fob) US Gulf EU

DG AGRI DASHBOARD: CEREALS

Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG JRC, DG AGRI, DG TAXUD), European Central Bank, IGC, ICE, The Baltic Exchange, CME, MATIF, France Agrimer

Last update: 24.11.2016P

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EU (milling) & US (SRW) wheat futures - 60 days CME US maize & soybeans futures - 60 days Monthly avg: currency - oil - freight€/t $/t €/t $/t €/t $/t

US Gulf (SRW) 172 182 3% 0% -12% -12%

US Gulf (HRW) 181 192 3% 0% -8% -9%

EU Rouen (grade 1) 176 187 4% 1% -1% -2%

CA St Lawrence (CWAD) 318 337 8% 5% 13% 12%

EU Port-la-Nouvelle n.q. n.q. - - - -

Black sea (feed) 154 163 9% 6% -10% -10%

EU Rouen (feed) 146 154 4% 1% -11% -12%

US Gulf (3YC) 152 161 -1% -3% -4% -4%

EU Bordeaux 170 180 4% 2% 2% 1%

soybeans US Gulf (2Y) 375 398 4% 2% 16% 15%

maize

23 Nov 2016 m/m variation y/y variationExport prices FOB

durum

wheat

wheat

barley

140

155

170

185

200

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

24/09 04/10 14/10 24/10 03/11 13/11 23/11

€/t

Euronext milling wheat futures

Daily Volume

DEC'17: 175

MAY'17: 173

DEC'16: 169

Dai

ly t

rad

ed v

olu

me

(10

00

co

ntr

acts

of

50

to

ns)

115

120

125

130

135

140

145

150

155

160

165

170

0

150

300

450

600

750

900

1050

1200

24/09 04/10 14/10 24/10 03/11 13/11 23/11

$/t

CME Maize futures

Daily volume

DEC'17: 153

MAY'17: 144

DEC'16: 138

Dai

ly t

rad

ed v

olu

me

(10

00

co

ntr

acts

of

12

7 t

on

s)

170

172

168

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16 Aug-16 Nov-16

€/t Wheat - monthly avg. export prices (fob)

US Gulf EU Rouen Black Sea

150

168

156

140

150

160

170

180

190


€/t Maize - monthly avg. export prices (fob)

US Gulf EU Bordeaux Black Sea

2077

1035748

332

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

cereals maize wheat soybeans

World production (million tonnes)

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 (est) 2016/17 (f'cast)

293

134

59 59

0

100

200

300

400

cereals wheat maize barley

EU production (million tonnes)

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 (est) 2016/17 (f'cast)

498

221 233

33

0

100

200

300

400

500

600


World stocks (million tonnes)

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 (est) 2016/17 (f'cast)

43

916

9

0

10

20

30

40

50

60


EU stocks (million tonnes)

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 (est) 2016/17 (f'cast)

47

30

40

50

60

70


Brent Crude Oil $/barrel

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

24/09 04/10 14/10 24/10 03/11 13/11 23/11

$/t

Chicago (CME) SRW futures

DEC'16: 148

MAY'17: 161

DEC'17: 178

Daily volume

Dai

ly t

rad

ed v

olu

me

(10

00

co

ntr

acts

of

13

6 t

on

s)

340

345

350

355

360

365

370

375

380

385

390

0

100

200

300

400

500

24/09 04/10 14/10 24/10 03/11 13/11 23/11

$/t

Chicago soybeans futures

Daily volume

JAN'17: 380

MAR'17: 383

MAY'17: 385

Dai

ly t

rad

ed v

olu

me

(10

00

co

ntr

acts

of

13

6to

ns)

1036

200

400

600

800

1000

1200


Freight (Baltic dry index)

1.09

1.06

1.08

1.10

1.12

1.14


Exchange rate € vs $ $

Wheat imports

Coarse grain imports

Wheat exports

Coarse grain exports

Trade balance

30

20

10

0

10

20

30

40

50

Mil

lio

n to

nn

es

Marketing Year (July-June)

Cereals: 16 marketing years trade evolution (EU28 countries)

2015/1632.6

0

10

20

30

40

0

300

600

900

1200

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

To

tal

MY

-m

illi

on

to

nn

es

Week

ly v

olu

me -

tho

usan

d to

nn

es

w eek

Common wheat & flour - exports

2016/17 9.9

Weeklyvolume

(current MY)2015/16

14.1

0

4

8

12

16

0

100

200

300

400

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

To

tal

MY -

mil

lio

n to

nn

es

We

ek

ly v

olu

me

-th

ou

san

d to

nn

es

w eek

Barley, malt included - exports

2016/17 2.8

Weeklyvolume

(current MY)

2015/1613.3

0

4

8

12

16

0

100

200

300

400

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

To

tal

MY -

mil

lio

n to

nn

es

Week

ly v

olu

me -

tho

usan

d t

on

nes

w eek

Maize - imports

2016/17 3.3

Weeklyvolume

(current MY)

\\net1.cec.eu.int\AGRI\C\4\C5 DATA\5. CEREALES\DASHBOARD\Dashboard_Cereals_Blue.xlsx - 'Dashboard (2)'!W64

back to DashboardPageNext

€/t $/t €/t $/t €/t $/t

US Gulf (SRW) 172 182 3% 0% -12% -12%

US Gulf (HRW) 181 192 3% 0% -8% -9%

EU Rouen (grade 1) 176 187 4% 1% -1% -2%

CA St Lawrence (CWAD) 318 337 8% 5% 13% 12%

EU Port-la-Nouvelle n.q. n.q. - - - -

Black sea (feed) 154 163 9% 6% -10% -10%

EU Rouen (feed) 146 154 4% 1% -11% -12%

US Gulf (3YC) 152 161 -1% -3% -4% -4%

EU Bordeaux 170 180 4% 2% 2% 1%

soybeans US Gulf (2Y) 375 398 4% 2% 16% 15%

maize

23 Nov 2016 m/m variation y/y variationExport prices FOB

durum

wheat

wheat

barley

Sources: International Grains Council, France Agrimer

//net1.cec.eu.int/AGRI/C/4/C5 DATA/5. CEREALES/DASHBOARD/Dashboard_Cereals_Blue.xlsx'Dashboard (2)'!W64
























back to DashboardPrevious

PageNext

170

172

168

140

150

160

170

180

190

200


€/t Wheat - monthly avg. export prices (fob)

US Gulf EU Rouen Black Sea

Source: International Grains Council


























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150

168

156

140

150

160

170

180

190


€/t Maize - monthly avg. export prices (fob)

US Gulf EU Bordeaux Black Sea

Sources: International Grains Council, France Agrimer


























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2077

1035748

332

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500


World production (million tonnes)

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 (est) 2016/17 (f'cast)Source: International Grains Council


























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293

134

59 59

0

100

200

300

400


EU production (million tonnes)

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 (est) 2016/17 (f'cast)Source: European Commission – DG AGRI


























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498

221 233

33

0

100

200

300

400

500

600


World stocks (million tonnes)

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 (est) 2016/17 (f'cast)Source: International Grains Council


























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43

916

9

0

10

20

30

40

50

60


EU stocks (million tonnes)

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 (est) 2016/17 (f'cast)Source: European Commission – DG AGRI


























PageNext

140

155

170

185

200

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

24/09 04/10 14/10 24/10 03/11 13/11 23/11

€/t

Euronext milling wheat futures

Daily Volume

DEC'17: 175

MAY'17: 173

DEC'16: 169

Dai

ly t

rad

ed v

olu

me

(10

00

co

ntr

acts

of

50

to

ns)

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

24/09 04/10 14/10 24/10 03/11 13/11 23/11

$/t

Chicago (CME) SRW futures

DEC'16: 148

MAY'17: 161

DEC'17: 178

Daily volume

Dai

ly t

rad

ed v

olu

me

(10

00

co

ntr

acts

of

13

6 t

on

s)

EU (milling) & US (SRW) wheat futures - 60 days

Source: MATIF Source: CME


























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115

120

125

130

135

140

145

150

155

160

165

170

0

150

300

450

600

750

900

1050

1200

24/09 04/10 14/10 24/10 03/11 13/11 23/11

$/t

CME Maize futures

Daily volume

DEC'17: 153

MAY'17: 144

DEC'16: 138

Dai

ly t

rad

ed v

olu

me

(10

00

co

ntr

acts

of

12

7 t

on

s)

340

345

350

355

360

365

370

375

380

385

390

0

100

200

300

400

500

24/09 04/10 14/10 24/10 03/11 13/11 23/11

$/t

Chicago soybeans futures

Daily volume

JAN'17: 380

MAR'17: 383

MAY'17: 385

Dai

ly t

rad

ed v

olu

me

(10

00

co

ntr

acts

of

13

6to

ns)

CME US maize & soybeans futures - 60 days

Source: CME Source: CME


























PageNext

47

30

40

50

60

70


Brent Crude Oil $/barrel

1036

200

400

600

800

1000

1200


Freight (Baltic dry index)

Monthly avg: currency - oil - freight

Source: Intercontinental Exchange

Source: European Central Bank Source: The Baltic Exchange

1.09

1.06

1.08

1.10

1.12

1.14


Exchange rate € vs $ $


























PageNext

Source: European Commission – DG JRC


























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Source: European Commission – DG TAXUD

2015/1632.6

0

10

20

30

40

0

300

600

900

1200

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

To

tal

MY

-m

illi

on

to

nn

es

We

ek

ly v

olu

me

-th

ou

sa

nd

to

nn

es

w eek

Common wheat & flour - exports

2016/17 9.9

Weeklyvolume

(current MY)


























PageNext


2015/16

14.1

0

4

8

12

16

0

100

200

300

400

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

To

tal

MY -

mil

lio

n to

nn

es

We

ek

ly v

olu

me

-th

ou

san

d to

nn

es

w eek

Barley, malt included - exports

2016/17 2.8

Weeklyvolume

(current MY)


























PageNext


2015/1613.3

0

4

8

12

16

0

100

200

300

400

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

To

tal

MY -

mil

lio

n to

nn

es

Week

ly v

olu

me -

tho

usan

d t

on

nes

w eek

Maize - imports

2016/17 3.3

Weeklyvolume

(current MY)


























Page

Source: Eurostat

Wheat imports

Coarse grain imports

Wheat exports

Coarse grain exports

Trade balance

30

20

10

0

10

20

30

40

50

Mil

lio

n to

nn

es

Marketing Year (July-June)

Cereals: 16 marketing years trade evolution (EU28 countries)
























Documents

DG AGRI DASHBOARD: CEREALS - SCANDAGRA€¦ · Last update: 24.11.2016 s ks e r s ... Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16 Aug-16 Nov-16 ¦ /t Maize - monthly avg. export prices (fob) US Gulf EU