Deprivation levels and trends across East Sussex: Understanding the IMD2007 East Sussex Strategic Partnership Board 27 th November 2008 Tom Smith and Stefan Noble Oxford Consultants for Social Inclusion (OCSI) Overview 1.What does the IMD identify? 2.How is East Sussex performing (on other indicators)? 3.Understanding the IMD results Two health warnings IMD is part of the story - not the only source Most recent data is from 2007, recent economic events not covered Deprivation levels IMD 2007 Blue = more deprived Yellow = less deprived Change in deprivation IMD Blue = increasing deprivation Yellow = decreasing deprivation 1) What does the IMD identify? IMD 2004 to 2007 suggests East Sussex more deprived Moved from 11 th to 7 th most deprived shire County All five Districts are more deprived in IMD 2007 78% of small areas are more deprived in IMD 2007 IMD domain analysis Increased relative deprivation levels in key IMD domains (Income, Employment, Health, Crime) Education domain little change over time-points Sharp deterioration in the Living Environment Domain 2) How is East Sussex performing? Summary of East Sussex performance Improving situationWorsening situation Direction of travel Economic: Rising levels of jobs and enterprises, rising workplace earnings. Education: Rising pupil attainment and adult skill levels. Health: Increases in life expectancy and falling mortality from key diseases. Crime: Reduction in acquisitive crime Health: Rising levels of people claiming benefits as a result of poor health and disability - Incapacity Benefit (IB), Attendance Allowance (AA), Disability Living Allowance (DLA) Crime: Increase in violent crime. Relative performan ce Skills: East Sussex has seen greater improvements in Adult Skill levels than the national average Crime: Greater reduction in non-violent crime than across England as a whole. Economic: Smaller increases in enterprise levels and wages than the national average. Benefits: East Sussex experienced an increase in the overall proportion of working age people claiming benefit. Faster rises in health benefits (AA, DLA, IB), smaller reductions in Jobseekers Allowance and Income Support. Education: Smaller improvements in raising pupil attainment levels at KS2-4 than the national average Health: Less significant reduction in mortality rates from key diseases 3) Understanding the IMD results County is improving on a range of key indicators But, not keeping pace with other areas Relative increase in deprivation levels Caution over using modelled data to assess change Living environment - biggest increase in deprivation across County 19 of 21 LADs with greatest increases in combined air pollution levels are coastal Districts, including all 5 East Sussex Removing the 2 modelled domains results in Hastings position not changing between IMD 2004 and 2007 Living Environment and Barriers to Housing and Services over-estimate increase in relative deprivation Change in deprivation IMD Blue = increasing deprivation Yellow = decreasing deprivation Change excluding domains Blue = increasing deprivation Yellow = decreasing deprivation Other findings Living conditions have improved since the IMD2007 Improved faster than between IMD2004 and 2007 But still not keeping pace with other areas The most deprived areas fared better than the average The 13 areas in most deprived national 10% improved ranking Hastings IMD position is stable, once impact of living environment is removed Income and crime domains showed improvement 50% of areas in Hastings are improving Some indicators show good news, eg adult skills, crime Not all these indicators included in the IMD Summary Living conditions generally improving but not keeping pace with elsewhere Leading to increase in relative deprivation levels (IMD) IMD likely to overstate the increase in relative deprivation levels Impact of modelled domains is significant Analysis of change over time should focus on direct measures of deprivation, not modelled Key socio-economic indicators show good news on direction of travel, but Challenges where County not keeping pace