Deloitte CFO Survey 2010Q1

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    The Deloitte CFO SurveyFinancial repair, economicuncertainty

    2010 Q1 results

    12 April 2010

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    Contents

    The Deloitte CFO Survey 1

    Economic uncertainty 2

    Political uncertainty 3

    Improving financial conditions 4

    Financing the corporate sector 5

    Leverage and M&A 6

    What should be the next UK governments top economic priority? 7

    Data archive 9

    This is the eleventh quarterly survey of Chief Financial Officers and Group

    Finance Directors of major companies in the UK. The 2010 first quarter survey

    took place between 11th and 25th of March. A record 141 CFOs participated

    including the CFOs of 40 FTSE 100 and 45 FTSE 250 companies. The rest were

    CFOs of other FTSE companies, large private companies and UK subsidiaries of

    major companies listed overseas. The combined market value of the 101 UK

    listed companies surveyed is 602 billion, or approximately 33% of the UK

    quoted equity market. The Deloitte CFO Survey is the only survey of major

    corporate users of capital that gauges attitudes to valuations, risk and

    financing.

    For copies of earlier CFO Surveys and full data series, see

    www.deloitte.co.uk/cfosurvey

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    The Deloitte CFO Survey 1

    The Deloitte CFO SurveyFinancial repair, economic uncertainty

    For additional copies of this report, please

    contact Matt Gentle on 020 7303 0294 or

    email [email protected]

    The first quarter 2010 CFO Survey suggests that UK

    CFOs remain cautious about the recovery. 82% of

    respondents say they expect a sluggish recovery and

    the average CFO sees a one third chance of the UK

    economy suffering a double dip, what we define as a

    renewed period of several months of contracting

    economic activity. Against a backdrop of economicuncertainty the first quarter survey witnessed a modest

    decline in financial optimism, the first such fall in

    18 months. Optimism has eased back even though

    CFOs say their companys revenues have, on balance,

    come in stronger than expected so far this year.

    This quarters special questions look at the political

    scene. The answers suggest that CFOs believe UK

    corporates face political as well as economic risks. Most

    CFOs think that a hung parliament would be negative

    for their business and for the economy. We found a

    clear consensus among CFOs about what the next

    government needs to do. 85% said deficit reduction

    should be the new governments top economic priority.

    One CFO summed up the general tenor of the advice,

    Cut public spending and stimulate activity by reducing

    taxation, both corporate and personal.

    Contacts

    Margaret Ewing

    Partner and Vice Chairman

    020 7303 3323

    [email protected]

    Ian Stewart

    Chief Economist

    020 7007 9386

    [email protected]

    Key points

    Most CFOs expect to see a sluggish, but

    sustained UK recovery. Indeed, the average

    CFO sees a one third chance of a double dip

    in the economy.

    CFOs think the economy faces political risks.

    93% of CFOs believe a hung parliament

    would be negative for the UK economy.

    85% of CFOs believe that reducing public

    debt should be the next governments topeconomic priority.

    Credit and financial conditions for corporates

    are improving. Bank borrowing is regaining

    popularity as a source of funding and our

    index of corporate credit availability is back to

    2007 levels.

    For the first time since the Survey started in

    2007 all three forms of external finance

    bank borrowing, corporate bonds and equity

    are rated as being attractive by CFOs.

    Appetite for financial risk is reviving and is

    running at levels last seen in early 2008.

    The good news from this quarters survey is that thefinancial environment for larger corporates is continuing to

    improve. Credit availability, perhaps the broadest measure

    of credit conditions, has returned to pre-recessionary

    levels. This fits with the Bank of Englands latest Credit

    Conditions Survey which reported that banks increased

    credit availability to the corporate sector in the first

    quarter 2010. With credit supply improving bank

    borrowing is starting to regain popularity as a source of

    funding. The CFO Survey shows the largest improvement

    in the attractiveness of bank borrowing since the Survey

    started in 2007. Again, this cross checks against the Credit

    Conditions Survey which reported a recovery in corporate

    demand for bank borrowing in the first quarter. Crucially,

    for the first time all three forms of external finance bank

    borrowing, equity and bond issuance are rated as being

    attractive by a balance of CFOs.

    One aim of the CFO Survey is to track corporate attitudes

    to risk. CFOs have significantly reduced financial risk on

    their balance sheet over the last year, but this process

    seems to be drawing to a close. In the first quarter

    2010 the willingness of CFOs to take risk on to their

    balance sheets rose to levels last seen in late 2007. This

    recovery in risk appetite mirrors the behaviour of

    financial markets where risky assets, such as equities,have outperformed safe assets such as gilts and cash.

    None of this is to argue that financing conditions for

    corporates are back to normal. Even among the large,

    quoted corporates who form the core of our survey panel,

    most continue to rate credit as hard to get and costly.

    But as we have observed in the past, much of the value

    of survey data lie in flagging changes in direction and

    momentum. What emerges from this quarters CFO

    Survey is that financing conditions for larger companies

    are getting better. That still leaves corporates with

    plenty to worry about in terms of the pace of the

    recovery and the election. CFOs see risks ahead.

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    2

    Economic uncertainty

    After a strong recovery in the last year CFO optimismsaw a slight setback in the first quarter 2010, with

    optimism registering the first decline in 18 months.

    The deterioration is modest but is consistent with the

    current, general mood of uncertainty about the pace

    of the UK recovery.

    82% of CFOs expect a sluggish but sustained recovery

    in the economy.

    However, the distribution of views is towards a weaker

    outcome with 16% of CFOs looking for a double dip

    a renewed period of several months of contracting

    activity and just 2% expecting a V shaped recovery.

    Another of this quarters special questions shows that

    the average CFO attaches a 33% probability to there

    being a double dip.

    This mood of caution appears to be at odds with the

    improvement in companies own revenues.

    26% of CFOs say that revenues have come in stronger

    than expected since the start of the year and only 8%

    report they have been below expectations.

    Corporate revenues are growing, but lingering

    uncertainties about the financial sector and the real

    economy mean that most CFOs are expecting a weak

    recovery.

    Chart 1. Financial prospects

    Net % of CFOs who are more optimistic about financial prospects for their company now than

    three months ago

    Le

    ssoptimistic

    Moreoptimistic

    -60%

    -50%

    -40%

    -30%

    -20%

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    2010

    Q1

    2009

    Q4

    2009

    Q3

    2009

    Q2

    2009

    Q1

    2008

    Q4

    2008

    Q3

    2008

    Q2

    2008

    Q1

    2007

    Q4

    2007

    Q3

    40%44%

    38%

    22%

    -30%

    -59%-53%

    -19%

    -9%

    -24%

    -4%

    Chart 2. Expectations for UK recovery

    % of CFOs who expect UK economy to have a double dip, slow or a V shaped recovery

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    16%

    82%

    2%

    Double dip: a renewedperiod of several

    months of contracting

    economic activity

    Slow recovery:a sustained, if possibly

    erratic and sluggish

    recovery in growth

    V shaped recovery:a strong and sustained

    recovery in growth

    Chart 3. Company revenues since the start of 2010

    % of CFOs who said their companys revenues have been better/worse than expected

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    8%

    66%

    26%

    Worse than expected As expected Better than expected

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    The Deloitte CFO Survey 3

    Political uncertainty

    The CFO Survey took place between 11 and 25 March.This period saw a further narrowing in the Conservative

    poll lead over Labour and growing speculation that the

    General Election may deliver a hung parliament.

    In recent weeks political uncertainty has joined

    economic uncertainty as a source of concern for CFOs.

    56% of CFOs think a hung parliament would be

    negative for their business and 93% think it would be

    negative for the economy, with 37% believing a hung

    parliament would be significantly negative for the

    economy.

    There is a strong consensus among CFOs that the next

    governments economic priority should be reducing the

    public sector deficit, with 85% of CFOs taking this view.

    Chart 6. What should be the next UK governments top priority?

    Selected responses from CFOs

    For a more extensive list of quotes, see page 8.

    Cut public spending through headcount reduction, pay freezes and cancellation of

    superfluous programs.

    Issue a credible plan to reduce deficit in a reasonably tight timescale.

    Make decisive steps to cut the budget deficit by thoughtful public sector cost reduction.

    Fix the appalling level of UK government debt and get the cost of government down to

    sustainable levels.

    Support recovery.

    Cut public spending and stimulate activity by reducing taxation, both corporate and

    personal.

    Improve international budget credibility without too much impact to the overall economic

    confidence.

    Improve UK competitiveness as a place to do business and retain businesses and talent.

    Reduce the state as a proportion of UK economy reduce tax and other barriers to

    entrepreneurship.

    Reducing expenditure on public services, i.e. stop wasting billions!

    Chart 4. UK voting intentions, up to 31 March 2010*

    Labour

    * Monthly data, average of all opinion polls published in the month

    Source: UKpollingreport.co.uk

    Jun05

    Sep05

    Dec05

    Mar06

    Jun06

    Sep06

    Dec06

    Mar07

    Jun07

    Sep07

    Dec07

    Mar08

    Jun08

    Sep08

    Dec08

    Mar09

    Jun09

    Sep09

    Dec09

    Mar10

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50 Conservative

    Liberal Democrat

    Chart 5. Effect of a hung parliament

    % of CFOs who think a hung parliament would have a positive/negative effect on their business

    and the UK economy

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    The UK economyYour business

    1%

    Neutral

    6%

    56%

    37%

    4%

    Neutral

    39%43%

    13%

    Somewhat positiveSignificantly positive Little or no effect

    Somewhat negative Significantly negative

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    4

    Improving financial conditions

    CFOs have responded to the recession by reducingthe level of financial risk on their balance sheets.

    The chart shows how risk on corporate balance sheets

    has changed over the last 12 months. The process of

    risk reduction has included cutting corporate debt

    levels, increasing liquidity and cutting capital

    expenditure.

    The decline in risk on corporate balance sheets has

    occurred against the backdrop of a significant fall in

    stress in financial markets.

    The Deloitte Financial Stress Index is now running at

    levels last seen in mid 2008, well before the failure

    of Lehman.

    The process of repair in financial markets has generatedan improvement in the cost and availability of credit for

    corporates over the last 18 months.

    Nonetheless, most CFOs continue to rate credit as hard

    to get and costly.

    -60%

    -40%

    -20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    2010

    Q1

    2009

    Q4

    2009

    Q3

    2009

    Q2

    2009

    Q1

    2008

    Q4

    2008

    Q3

    2008

    Q2

    2008

    Q1

    2007

    Q4

    2007

    Q3

    Chart 7. Financial risk: Change over the last 12 months

    Net % of CFOs who think financial risk on their balance sheet has increased over the last 12 months

    Decreased

    Increased

    -51%

    -42%

    -21%

    13%

    34%

    51%44%

    26%25%

    10%

    25%

    1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20091998 2010

    Chart 8. Deloitte Financial Stress Index

    The Deloitte Financial Stress index is an arithmetic average of the ratio of 3 month LIBOR to base

    rates, the ratio of yield on high yield bonds to yield on government bonds ,the VIX index, the

    ratio of total market return to banking stocks return , the ratio of yield on long term governmentbonds to yield on short term bonds and VIX Index

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    200

    220

    -100%

    -80%

    -60%

    -40%

    -20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    -100%

    -80%

    -60%

    -40%

    -20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    2010

    Q1

    2009

    Q4

    2009

    Q3

    2009

    Q2

    2009

    Q1

    2008

    Q4

    2008

    Q3

    2008

    Q2

    2008

    Q1

    2007

    Q4

    2007

    Q3

    Chart 9. Cost and availability of credit

    Net % of CFOs reporting credit is costly and credit is easily available

    Creditischeap

    Creditiscostly

    Creditis

    hardtoget

    Creditisavailable

    Availability of credit (rhs)

    Cost of credit (lhs)

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    The Deloitte CFO Survey 5

    Financing the corporate sector

    One gauge of credit conditions is the extent to whichbanks ease lending practices, through, for instance,

    restructuring loans or lowering price terms.

    In the last six months more CFOs have reported an

    easing than a tightening of these lending practices.

    A balance of CFOs expects these conditions will

    continue to improve over the next six months.

    Bank borrowing is starting to regain popularity as a

    source of corporate funding with CFOs.

    The first quarter 2010 saw the largest improvement in

    the attractiveness of bank borrowing since the Survey

    started in 2007. And for the first time all three formsof external finance bank borrowing, equity and

    bond issuance are rated as being attractive by a

    balance of CFOs.

    Larger companies are getting better access to a wider

    range of external sources of finance.

    While most CFOs remain cautious about taking risk the

    balance of opinion among CFOs is shifted towards risk

    taking.

    In the first quarter 2010 74% of CFOs thought now

    was a not a good time to be taking greater risk but

    27% took a contrary view. The resulting net balance,

    shown in the chart, at -47%, is the highest since the

    survey started.

    The willingness of UK CFOs to take financial risk is rising

    and is back to levels prevailing before the recession.

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    Chart 10. Bank borrowing lending terms

    % of CFOs who said banks pricing for

    credit (spreads, fees etc) and lendingterms (collateral requirements etc) have

    increased/decreased and/or have

    become easier/harder

    % of CFOs who said banks have become

    more/less willing to forbear/restructureloans over the last six months

    Higher price terms

    and/or easierlending terms

    No

    change

    Lower price terms

    and/or harderlending terms

    More willing to

    forbear/restructure loans

    No

    change

    Less willing

    to forbear/restructure loans

    Diamonds

    show CFOsexpectations

    for the nextsix months

    Chart 11. Favoured source of corporate funding

    Net % of CFOs reporting the following sources of funding as attractive

    Unattractive

    Attractive

    Bank borrowing

    -60%

    -50%

    -40%

    -30%

    -20%

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    2010

    Q1

    2009

    Q4

    2009

    Q3

    2009

    Q2

    2009

    Q1

    2008

    Q4

    2008

    Q3

    2008

    Q2

    2008

    Q1

    2007

    Q4

    2007

    Q3

    Bond issuance

    Equity issuance

    Chart 12. Attitude to greater risk

    Net % of CFOs who think it is a good time to take greater risk onto their balance sheets

    Notag

    oodtimeto

    take

    greaterrisk

    Goodtimetotake

    greaterrisk

    -100%

    -90%-80%

    -70%

    -60%

    -50%

    -40%

    -30%

    -20%

    -10%

    0%

    2010Q1

    2009Q4

    2009Q3

    2009Q2

    2009Q1

    2008Q4

    2008Q3

    2008Q2

    2008Q1

    2007Q4

    2007Q3

    -47%-52%

    -58%

    -81%

    -90%

    -98%

    -88%

    -65%

    -50%-49%

    -60%

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    6

    While most CFOs continue to believe that corporate

    leverage is too high, the net balance of respondents to

    the Survey who take this view has fallen to the lowest

    levels since early 2008.

    Attitudes to leverage have returned to pre-recessionary

    levels.

    CFOs remain positive on the prospects for corporate

    activity. The great majority of CFOs expect M&A activity

    to rise over the next year and a clear majority also see

    private equity activity increasing.

    Chart 15. M&A and PE outlook

    Net % of CFOs who expect M&A and PE activity to increase in the next 12 months

    Willdecrease

    Willincrease

    M&A activity

    -80%

    -60%

    -40%

    -20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    PE activity

    2010

    Q1

    2009

    Q4

    2009

    Q3

    2009

    Q2

    2009

    Q1

    2008

    Q4

    2008

    Q3

    2008

    Q2

    2008

    Q1

    2007

    Q4

    2007

    Q3

    Leverage and M&A

    Chart 14. Leverage

    Net % of CFOs who think UK corporate balance sheets are overleveraged

    Underleveraged

    Ove

    rleveraged

    -30%

    -20%

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    22%

    35%34%

    45%

    60%

    35%

    27%24%

    6%

    -17%

    -27%

    2010

    Q1

    2009

    Q4

    2009

    Q3

    2009

    Q2

    2009

    Q1

    2008

    Q4

    2008

    Q3

    2008

    Q2

    2008

    Q1

    2007

    Q4

    2007

    Q3

    CFOs attitudes to risk often mirror trends in thefinancial markets.

    Over the last year riskier assets, such as equities, have

    outperformed safe assets, such as bonds.

    Increases in risk appetite are generally associated with

    a stronger economic growth.

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    Chart 13. Return on UK equities vs UK government bonds

    Return index of UK equities over return index of UK government bonds

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    55

    60

    65

    70

    75

    Equitiesoutperform

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    The Deloitte CFO Survey 7

    What should be the next UKgovernments top economic priority?

    Spending cuts/reducing the size of the public sector.

    Building momentum in the economy; dont do

    anything to snuff out the very fragile recovery.

    Reduce indebtedness.

    Stimulating growth.

    Reduce debt levels through controlled public

    spending and higher indirect taxation, but not

    through direct taxation.

    Sort out the deficit.

    Reduce debt.

    Support recovery.

    Maintaining the UK as an attractive business location

    while actively reducing the public sector deficit.

    Setting out a defined and credible deficit reduction

    plan, with specific actions and a specific timetable.

    Resolving the public deficit.

    Discipline in public finances to avoid further negative

    consequences on the private sector via tax increases

    and crowding out effect in terms of access to funding.

    Reduce debt whilst not switching off economic

    recovery.

    Stability.

    Cut spending.

    De-gear the country and the financial institutions.

    Getting to grips with public sector spending includingexcessive management layers in the NHS.

    Reducing public sector spending and addressing the

    public sector liabilities, most notably the pension deficit.

    Cut public spending including vastly inflated civil

    services pensions and cut the number of civil servants.

    Reduce public debt and bring certainty.

    Cutting government wasted spending.

    Investment in major infrastructure.

    Reduce systemic budget deficit.

    Tackle the debt mountain and set out new fiscal

    policy.

    Tackling deficit through public spending and tax system.

    Maintenance of low interest rates.

    Control public sector pay and spending.

    Maintain liquidity and manage the public deficit down

    over an extended period (rather than over the very

    short term).

    Cut public spending and stimulate activity by reducing

    taxation, both corporate and personal.

    Reducing public spending to limit tax rises.

    Reposition the UK as a business friendly environment.

    Eliminate residual uncertainty re taxation of

    corporates and incentivise global corporates to retain

    their headquarters in the UK.

    Cut public sector costs and embark on a public sector

    efficiency drive.

    Return to a free market and de-regulate.

    Encourage investment.

    Promoting policies for growth.

    Creating a clear path to a proper level of debt for the

    government.

    Continue to spend on infrastructure. Tackle revenuecosts.

    Avoiding a return to recession.

    Addressing the burden of the public sector by cutting

    current expenditure and taking action to reduce the

    future cost of pensions of those employed by the

    public sector.

    Reduce spending selectively to eliminate wastage

    Extended list of responses from CFOs

    Continued on next page

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    8

    Reducing waste to allow infrastructure spend, reduce

    debt and keep tax levels around current levels.

    To cut government spending by cutting waste and

    making efficiency gains in the public sector.

    Reduce spending and the deficit. Plan to return

    budget to balance over a period.

    Avoid damaging tax rises. For example, pension tax

    on high earners.

    Encourage consumer confidence, so as to help drive

    recovery.

    Reducing fiscal deficit.

    Making the UK attractive from a tax perspective both

    to businesses and individuals.

    Repayment of debt.

    Long-term economic growth.

    Education and debt reduction.

    Clear plan to reduce the level of borrowing to

    sustainable levels over the medium term without

    producing any recovery.

    Clear and measured policies for reducing the budget

    deficit.

    Address public spending and uncompetitive UK tax

    environment.

    Reduce government spending though removing the

    excessive layers of management and governance in

    public services that have evolved during the labour

    tenure.

    Support for economic recovery.

    Clear plan to reduce budget deficit.

    Public sector reform, public sector wages and

    pensions.

    Reducing public sector spending through efficiency

    savings and removing waste.

    Responsible fiscal tightening without squeezing the

    prospects for a sustained recovery.

    Issue a credible plan to reduce deficit in a reasonably

    tight timescale.

    Improve regulatory framework to improve investor

    confidence.

    Avoiding double-dip!

    Continued economic stimulus and fair and progressive

    taxation policies (both corporate and personal).

    Cut public spending; reduce debt; rebalance UK GDP

    in favour of private business rather than government

    and public service.

    What should be the next UKgovernments top economic priority?

    Extended list of responses from CFOs

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    Net Balance -53

    Q4 2008%

    -59

    66

    27

    7

    -27

    47

    33

    20

    16

    24

    36

    40

    58

    8

    26

    66

    -24

    49

    26

    25

    35

    3

    59

    38

    -45

    66

    13

    21

    -46

    66

    14

    20

    -33

    62

    9

    29

    94

    1

    495

    -98

    99

    0

    1

    Less optimistic

    Unchanged

    More optimistic

    Compared with three months ago how do you feel about the financial prospects for your company?

    Net Balance

    Decline

    No change

    Increase

    Volume of acquisitions by private equity in the quoted equity market will

    Net Balance

    Decline

    No change

    Increase

    Levels of M&A in the UK will

    Net Balance

    Lower

    Broadly unchanged

    Higher

    In a years time, FTSE 100 will beNet Balance

    Low

    Normal

    High

    Cash return to shareholder ratios (including share buybacks) are

    Net Balance

    Underleveraged

    Appropriately leveraged

    Overleveraged

    UK corporate balance sheets are

    Net Balance

    Unattractive

    Neither attractive nor unattractive

    Attractive

    Equity raising, as a source of funding, is

    Net Balance

    Unattractive

    Neither attractive nor unattractive

    Attractive

    Corporate debt raising, as a source of funding, is

    Net Balance

    Unattractive

    Neither attractive nor unattractive

    Attractive

    Bank borrowing, as a source of funding, is

    Net Balance

    Cheap

    NeutralCostly

    How would you rate the overall cost of new credit for corporates?

    Net Balance

    Hard to get

    Neutral

    Available

    How would you rate the overall availability of new credit for corporates?

    -19-9-24

    56363140

    41474743

    3172217

    -8-13-50-72

    39457284

    302365

    31322212

    221-22-44

    26375365

    27261614

    48383121

    3312250

    16282530

    35332540

    49405030

    -30-101630

    4527165

    39565260

    15173235

    27246-17

    67622

    61618173

    3332135

    -41-22-53-29

    58517248

    2420933

    17291919

    -548-250

    68315333

    17291933

    14402833

    -1673416

    51402528

    14131628

    35475944

    96886955

    11310

    210252697897264

    -84-61-29

    897755

    6719

    51626

    Q3 2008%

    Q2 2008%

    Q1 2008%

    Q4 2007%

    -30

    45

    40

    15

    -5

    34

    37

    29

    41

    15

    29

    56

    53

    12

    23

    65

    -57

    72

    13

    15

    60

    3

    34

    63

    -18

    45

    28

    27

    -33

    55

    23

    22

    -34

    61

    12

    27

    83

    3

    1186

    -92

    94

    4

    2

    Q1 2009%

    22

    15

    49

    37

    19

    21

    40

    40

    81

    2

    15

    83

    58

    4

    34

    61

    -59

    68

    22

    9

    45

    5

    44

    50

    14

    30

    26

    44

    1

    34

    32

    35

    -23

    50

    22

    27

    79

    3

    1582

    -59

    72

    15

    13

    Q2 2009%

    38

    8

    46

    46

    44

    6

    45

    50

    92

    0

    8

    92

    26

    13

    49

    38

    -62

    68

    26

    6

    34

    4

    57

    39

    26

    24

    26

    50

    28

    19

    33

    48

    -22

    48

    27

    26

    69

    7

    1876

    -63

    73

    16

    11

    Q3 2009%

    44

    2

    52

    46

    52

    6

    36

    58

    91

    0

    9

    91

    31

    13

    42

    45

    -61

    66

    29

    5

    35

    5

    56

    40

    25

    23

    28

    48

    44

    13

    29

    58

    -12

    43

    26

    31

    62

    11

    1673

    -50

    69

    13

    19

    Q4 2009%

    40

    8

    44

    48

    48

    7

    38

    55

    83

    1

    16

    84

    36

    12

    40

    48

    -61

    68

    26

    7

    22

    7

    64

    29

    11

    27

    36

    38

    46

    10

    34

    56

    5

    31

    32

    36

    54

    11

    2465

    -32

    56

    21

    24

    Q1 2010%

    -31

    63

    6

    31

    The Deloitte CFO Survey 9

    A note on methodologyMany of the charts in the Deloitte CFO survey show the results in the form of a net balance. This is the percentage of respondents reporting, for

    instance, that bank credit is attractive less the percentage saying bank credit is unattractive. This is a standard way of presenting survey data used

    by, amongst others, the CBI and the European Commission. To aid interpretation of the results, this table contains a full breakdown of responses

    to the questions covered in this report. Due to rounding answers may not sum to 100.

    Data archive

  • 8/9/2019 Deloitte CFO Survey 2010Q1

    12/12

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    which is a legally separate and independent entity. Please see www.deloitte.co.uk/about for a detailed description of the legal

    structure of DTT and its member firms.

    Deloitte LLP is the United Kingdom member firm of DTT.

    This publication has been written in general terms and therefore cannot be relied on to cover specific situations; application of the

    principles set out will depend upon the particular circumstances involved and we recommend that you obtain professional advice

    before acting or refraining from acting on any of the contents of this publication. Deloitte LLP would be pleased to advise readers

    on how to apply the principles set out in this publication to their specific circumstances. Deloitte LLP accepts no duty of care or

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    Designed and produced by The Creative Studio at Deloitte, London. 3262A

    Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

    We are pleased to announce that from this quarter Thomson Reuters Datastream will be making available to its users all current and historic datafrom the Deloitte CFO Survey. Datastream is the worlds largest financial and economic database and is widely used by analysts and economists in

    financial institutions, research houses and central banks around the world. Datastream already carries data from virtually all of the worlds leading

    business surveys, including the Japanese Tankan, the US ISM and the German Ifo. It will now be possible using Datastream to track and compare

    the results of the Deloitte CFO Survey with millions of other economic and financial data series.

    For information on Datastream see: http://thomsonreuters.com/products_services/financial/contactus?bu=financial&product_name=Datastream

    Below are the Datastream mnemonics for the net balances for all the regular questions from the Deloitte CFO survey.

    For a full breakdown of all the regular data from the Deloitte CFO survey, please search on Datastream navigator under Deloitte and CFO.

    A spreadsheet with the data from the survey is also available each quarter at www.deloitte.co.uk/cfosurvey

    Deloitte CFO survey question Datastream Mnemonic

    How do you currently rate bank borrowing as a source of external funding for UK corporates? UKCFOFBBR

    How do you currently rate corporate bonds as a source of external funding for UK corporates? UKCFOFCBRHow do you currently rate equity as a source of external funding for UK corporates? UKCFOFEQR

    How do you currently rate UK commercial real estate asset valuations? UKCFOVRER

    How do you currently rate UK equity valuations? UKCFOVEQR

    In a years time do you expect the FTSE 100 to be: UKCFOFTYR

    How do you currently rate UK Government bond (Gilt) valuations? UKCFOVGBR

    How would you characterise the current level of short term market interest rates in the UK? UKCFOIRSR

    How would you rate the overall cost of new credit for corporates? UKCFOCCCR

    How would you rate the overall availability of new credit for corporates? UKCFOACCR

    Is now a good time for UK corporates to issue equity? UKCFOIEQR

    Is now a good time for UK corporates to issue bonds? UKCFOICBR

    Generally speaking do you think UK corporate balance sheets are: UKCFOLEVR

    Do you think cash return to shareholder ratios (including share buybacks) are, relative to normal levels: UKCFOCRRR

    Over the next 12 months how do you expect levels of M&A in the UK to change? UKCFOMAYR

    How do you expect the volume of acquisitions by private equity in the quoted equity market to change in the next 12 months? UKCFOPEYR

    Compared with three months ago how do you feel about the financial prospects for your company? UKCFOOVQR

    What is your aim for your level of gearing over the next 12 months? UKCFOGEYR

    How has the level of financial risk on your balance sheet changed over the last 12 months? (Financial risk could include, for

    instance, levels of gearing, uncertainty about the valuation of assets and interest rate and exchange rate sensitivity)

    UKCFORVYR

    Is this a good time to be taking greater risk onto your balance sheets? UKCFORTGR

    Are you likely to issue bonds or arrange new credit facilities over the next 12 months? UKCFODCYR

    Are you likely to issue equity over the next 12 months? UKCFOICYR

    Deloitte CFO Survey now on Datastream