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Business Summary Decmil Group Limited (DCG) is a design, civil engineering and construction, accommodation services, manufacturing and maintenance company. DCG is focused on delivering integrated solutions to clients in the Australian oil and gas, mining and infrastructure sectors. DCG has three main business sectors being: Construction and Engineering works, Accommodation, and Renewable Energy. Construction and Engineering works: This business division involves the large and small scale concrete civil works on brown and greenfield projects in regional and remote areas; large scale implementation of industrial infrastructure, including industrial buildings, processing plants, workshops and storage facilities; app aspects of project development from design, site preparation and excavation to bulk earthworks, civil works and construction; government structure projects including office buildings, administration buildings and storage facilities; and the manufacture and installation of high pressure piping and tanking. The division operates through the company's wholly owned subsidiary being Decmil Australia Pty Ltd and Eastcoast Development Engineering Pty Ltd. Accommodation: This business division is involve in the design and constrict of permanent and temporary accommodation, including villages in remote areas; and the build, own and operate accommodation villages in remote areas. The division operates through the company's wholly owned subsidiary, Homeground Villages Pty Ltd. Renewable Energy: This division looks into civil works for remote wind and solar projects including site preparation, foundations and pilings. They also provide Structural and mechanical installations including towers for wind farms and framing systems and PV modules for solar projects; and Specialist electrical work for energy storage and distribution. Latest Research Balance sheet under focus Downgrade to Neutral/High Risk Decmil’s share price has been negatively impacted by issues with two of its largest contracts, Sunraysia Solar Farm (~$280 million contract) and NZ Department of Corrections Modular Prisons (~$120 million). While Decmil’s management is optimistic that contract issues could be resolved over the next few months, we downgrade to Neutral/High Risk given i) we see potential that the resolution of the contracts could take longer than expected; and ii) resignation of long standing CFO. For more information see research 9 Jan 2020. GICS - Capital Goods Decmil Group Limited ASX Code: DCG Price: $0.375 12 Mth Target Price: $0.63 Rating: Neutral - High Important Disclaimer - This may affect your legal rights: Because this document has been prepared without consideration of any specific client's financial situation, particular needs and investment objectives, a Bell Potter Securities Limited investment adviser (or the financial services licensee, or the proper authority of such licensee, who has provided you with this report by arrangement with Bell Potter Securities Limited) should be consulted before any investment decision is made. While this document is based on the information from sources which are considered reliable, Bell Potter Securities Limited, its directors, employees and consultants do not represent, warrant or guarantee, expressly or impliedly, that the information contained in this document is complete or accurate. Nor does Bell Potter Securities Limited accept any responsibility to inform you of any matter that subsequently comes to its notice, which may affect any of the information contained in this document. This document is a private communication to clients and is not intended for public circulation or for the use of any third party, without the prior approval of Bell Potter Securities Limited. This is general investment advice only and does not constitute advice to any person. Disclosure of Interest: Bell Potter Securities Limited receives commission from dealing in securities and its authorised representatives, or introducers of business, may directly share in this commission. Bell Potter Securities and its associates may hold shares in the companies recommended. Snapshot Date Market Cap. Shares on issue 12 Month High 12 Month Low 11 February 2020 $90m 239.3m $1.00 $0.36 Rating Rating 12 Mth Target Price Capital Gain Gross Yield Implied Total Return Neutral - High Risk $0.63 63.6% 14.8% 78.5% Investment Fundamentals FYE 30 Jun 2019A 2020F 2021F 2022F Profit $m 14.0 18.0 21.0 17.0 Profit (norm)* $m 14.0 18.0 21.0 17.0 EPS* ¢ 6.0 8.0 9.0 7.0 EPS Growth % 0.0 33.3 12.5 -22.2 P/E* x 6.4 4.8 4.3 5.5 P/E Relative % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 DPS ¢ 3.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 Yield % 7.8 0.0 10.4 7.8 Franking % 0.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 * Adjusted for goodwill and unusual items Source: Based on Citi estimates Share Price Chart Total Return on $10,000 Investment

Decmil Group Limited ASX Code: DCG Price: $0.375 …...Decmil Group Limited ASX Code: DCG Price: $0.375 12 Mth Target Price: $0.63 Rating: Neutral - High Important Disclaimer -This

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Page 1: Decmil Group Limited ASX Code: DCG Price: $0.375 …...Decmil Group Limited ASX Code: DCG Price: $0.375 12 Mth Target Price: $0.63 Rating: Neutral - High Important Disclaimer -This

Business SummaryDecmil Group Limited (DCG) is a design, civil engineering and construction,accommodation services, manufacturing and maintenance company. DCG isfocused on delivering integrated solutions to clients in the Australian oil andgas, mining and infrastructure sectors. DCG has three main business sectorsbeing: Construction and Engineering works, Accommodation, and RenewableEnergy.

Construction and Engineering works: This business division involves thelarge and small scale concrete civil works on brown and greenfield projects inregional and remote areas; large scale implementation of industrialinfrastructure, including industrial buildings, processing plants, workshopsand storage facilities; app aspects of project development from design, sitepreparation and excavation to bulk earthworks, civil works and construction;government structure projects including office buildings, administrationbuildings and storage facilities; and the manufacture and installation of highpressure piping and tanking. The division operates through the company'swholly owned subsidiary being Decmil Australia Pty Ltd and EastcoastDevelopment Engineering Pty Ltd.

Accommodation: This business division is involve in the design andconstrict of permanent and temporary accommodation, including villages inremote areas; and the build, own and operate accommodation villages inremote areas. The division operates through the company's wholly ownedsubsidiary, Homeground Villages Pty Ltd.

Renewable Energy: This division looks into civil works for remote wind andsolar projects including site preparation, foundations and pilings. They alsoprovide Structural and mechanical installations including towers for windfarms and framing systems and PV modules for solar projects; and Specialistelectrical work for energy storage and distribution.

Latest ResearchBalance sheet under focus

Downgrade to Neutral/High Risk — Decmil’s share price has beennegatively impacted by issues with two of its largest contracts, SunraysiaSolar Farm (~$280 million contract) and NZ Department of CorrectionsModular Prisons (~$120 million). While Decmil’s management is optimisticthat contract issues could be resolved over

the next few months, we downgrade to Neutral/High Risk given i) we seepotential that the resolution of the contracts could take longer thanexpected; and ii) resignation of long standing CFO.

For more information see research 9 Jan 2020.

GICS - Capital Goods

Decmil Group Limited

ASX Code: DCG Price: $0.375 12 Mth Target Price: $0.63 Rating: Neutral - High

Important Disclaimer - This may affect your legal rights: Because this document has been prepared without consideration of any specific client's financial situation, particular needs and investmentobjectives, a Bell Potter Securities Limited investment adviser (or the financial services licensee, or the proper authority of such licensee, who has provided you with this report by arrangement withBell Potter Securities Limited) should be consulted before any investment decision is made. While this document is based on the information from sources which are considered reliable, Bell PotterSecurities Limited, its directors, employees and consultants do not represent, warrant or guarantee, expressly or impliedly, that the information contained in this document is complete or accurate.Nor does Bell Potter Securities Limited accept any responsibility to inform you of any matter that subsequently comes to its notice, which may affect any of the information contained in this document.This document is a private communication to clients and is not intended for public circulation or for the use of any third party, without the prior approval of Bell Potter Securities Limited. This is generalinvestment advice only and does not constitute advice to any person.Disclosure of Interest: Bell Potter Securities Limited receives commission from dealing in securities and its authorised representatives, or introducers of business, may directly share in thiscommission. Bell Potter Securities and its associates may hold shares in the companies recommended.

Snapshot

DateMarket Cap.Shares on issue12 Month High12 Month Low

11 February 2020$90m239.3m$1.00$0.36

RatingRating12 Mth Target Price

Capital GainGross Yield

Implied Total Return

Neutral - High Risk$0.6363.6%14.8%78.5%

Investment FundamentalsFYE 30 Jun 2019A 2020F 2021F 2022F

Profit $m 14.0 18.0 21.0 17.0Profit (norm)* $m 14.0 18.0 21.0 17.0

EPS* ¢ 6.0 8.0 9.0 7.0EPS Growth % 0.0 33.3 12.5 -22.2P/E* x 6.4 4.8 4.3 5.5P/E Relative % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

DPS ¢ 3.0 0.0 4.0 3.0Yield % 7.8 0.0 10.4 7.8Franking % 0.0 0.0 100.0 100.0* Adjusted for goodwill and unusual itemsSource: Based on Citi estimates

Share Price Chart

Total Return on $10,000 Investment

Page 2: Decmil Group Limited ASX Code: DCG Price: $0.375 …...Decmil Group Limited ASX Code: DCG Price: $0.375 12 Mth Target Price: $0.63 Rating: Neutral - High Important Disclaimer -This

Profit & Loss ($000)2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A

Sales Revenue 665,387 293,232 278,070 341,853 663,276Total Revenue ex. Int. 666,260 299,836 304,068 341,608 663,276EBITDA 62,817 -69,434 -17,459 5,461 24,100Depreciation & Amort. -6,802 -6,666 -5,604 -2,903 -2,661Goodwill Amortisation -- -- -- -- --EBIT 56,015 -76,100 -23,063 2,558 21,439Net Interest 459 230 -687 -1,461 -1,910Profit Before Tax 56,474 -75,870 -23,750 1,097 19,529Income Tax -16,074 23,806 8,458 -521 -5,511Outside Equity Int. -- -- -- -- --Profit after Tax 40,400 -54,215 -16,272 -5,384 14,018Significant Items after Tax -120 -4,021 -12,075 -747 --Reported Profit after Tax 40,280 -58,236 -28,347 -6,131 14,018Preferred Dividends -- -- -- -- --

Cash Flow ($000)2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A

Receipts from Customers 732,384 329,086 303,708 315,662 564,656Funds from Operations 54,587 -23,653 -7,066 2,089 29,100Net Operating Cashflow 33,465 -20,362 -6,952 627 21,669Capex -5,668 -2,920 -1,346 -1,775 -1,283Acquisitions & Investments -925 -12,825 -- -- --Sale of Invest. & Subsid. -- -- -- 919 --Net Investing Cashflow -5,995 -14,587 24,715 -597 -1,026Proceeds from Issues -- -- -- 200 48,803Dividends Paid -21,923 -17,618 -6,833 -- -2,381Net Financing Cashflow -27,230 -9,522 -15,935 -180 46,083Net Increase Cash 240 -44,471 1,828 -150 66,726Cash at Beginning 59,308 59,548 15,077 16,905 16,755Exchange Rate Adjust. -- -- -- -- --Cash at End 59,548 15,077 16,905 16,755 83,481

Ratios and Substantial Shareholders2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A

Profitability RatiosEBITDA Margin % 9.44 -23.68 -6.28 1.60 3.63EBIT Margin % 8.42 -25.95 -8.29 0.75 3.23Net Profit Margin % 6.07 -17.76 -5.50 0.17 2.11Return on Equity % 12.65 -21.33 -7.28 0.28 5.96Return on Assets % 9.14 -16.07 -5.34 0.53 3.57

Debt/Safety RatiosNet Debt/Equity % -18.40 -2.34 -7.66 -7.70 -33.61Interest Cover x -122.04 330.87 -33.57 1.75 11.22

Top 5 Substantial ShareholdersThorney Opportunities Ltd 11.7%TIGA Trading Pty Ltd 11.7%Denis Criddle 11.6%Thorney Investments Group 10.9%Commonwealth Bank Group 8.6%

Balance Sheet ($000)2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A

Cash & Equivalent 59,548 15,077 16,905 16,755 83,481Receivables 47,827 29,517 34,950 43,672 74,272Inventories 15,782 15,846 11,914 28,882 65,102Other Current Assets 19,042 8,547 5,716 8,561 6,648Current Assets 142,199 68,987 69,485 97,870 229,503Prop. Plant & Equipment 39,040 37,753 10,425 7,565 9,994Intangibles 70,027 86,345 75,482 75,482 75,482Other Non-Current Assets 19,042 8,547 5,716 8,561 6,648Non-Current Assets 301,676 253,964 207,000 205,786 208,696Total Assets 443,875 322,951 276,485 303,656 438,199Interest Bearing Debt 784 9,373 824 859 4,456Other Liabilities 123,740 69,532 65,665 96,484 198,613Total Liabilities 124,524 78,905 66,489 97,343 203,069Net Assets 319,351 244,046 209,996 206,313 235,130Share Capital 161,705 162,254 163,384 165,832 216,858Reserves -- -- -- -- --Retained Earnings 157,646 81,792 46,612 40,481 18,272Outside Equity Int. -- -- -- -- --Total Shareholders Equity 319,351 244,046 209,996 206,313 235,130

Current Analyst Recommendations *

* Source: Morningstar. This chart shows the spread of recommendations from thosebroker analyst's in Australia with research coverage of this stock.

Principals & DirectorsPrincipals

Company Secretary Ms Alison Thompson

Directors

Mr Donald James Argent(Non-Executive Director)Mr William (Bill) Healy(Non-Executive Director)Mr David Saxelby(Non-Executive Director,Non-Executive Chairman)Mr Scott Criddle(Chief Executive Officer,Managing Director)Mr Andries (Dickie) Dique(Non-Executive Director)

To access further Research or for information regarding our recommendations and ratings please seewww.bellpotter.com.au

© 2020 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. Neither Morningstar, its affiliates, nor the content providers guarantee the data or content contained herein to be accurate, complete or timely nor will they have any liabilityfor its use or distribution. Any Morningstar ratings/recommendations contained in this report are based on the full research report available from Morningstar or your adviser. Any general advice or ‘class service’ havebeen prepared by Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892) and/or Morningstar Research Ltd, subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc, without reference to your objectives, financial situation orneeds. Refer to our Financial Services Guide (FSG) for more information at www.morningstar.com.au/s/fsg.pdf. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant ProductDisclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Our publications, ratings and products should be viewed as an additional investment resource, not as your sole source of information. Past performancedoes not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Some material is copyright and published under licence fromASX Operations Pty Ltd ACN 004 523 782.

Decmil Group Limited

Bell Potter Securities Research

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Email [email protected]

Website www.bellpotter.com.au