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Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries
Andrea Viceré
9th September 2004
Istituto di Fisica dell’Università di UrbinoVia S.Chiara 27, I-61029 Urbino, ITALY
e-mail: [email protected]
AbstractThe purpose of these lessons is to introduce the basic data analysis techniques for the
detection of GW emitted by stars in coalescence. We will focus on the “standard” approachbased on matched filtering, without attempting to cover the broader range of methods, de-vised to cope with possible limitations in the waveform knowledge.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries
An example of signal from a coalescence
In this example I have chosen a BH-BH event, in which the masses of the BH are set at m1 =10M�, m2 = 20M�, and the starting frequency of observation is at 16Hz. The last portion of theevent has been enlarged to show the merger and ringdown phases. However, it is the chirp portionof the signal that will be mostly dealt with during this lessons.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 1
The signal phases
In order to plan for the data analysis we need to take into account the expected shape of thesignal: we can split it into three phases[6]
Inspiral giving a chirping signal, with a definite time-frequency relation[3, 5, 4, 1, 8]
Merger heavily dependent on the details of the collision, and on the equation of state of nuclearmatter for NS-NS coalescences
Ringdown composed by damped sinusoids, with relative amplitudes and phases hard to predict.
The CB detection relies presently mostly on the inspiral phase, although resummation methods[12,13] allow to predict (for binary black-holes) also the waveform in the merger phase, and connect it tothe ringdown phase.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 2
The approximated inspiral signal
(h+
h×
)= A [ν(t)]2/3
(cosφ(t)cos(2θ) cos2 i+1
2 +sinφ(t)sin(2θ)cosi
sinφ(t)cos(2θ)cosi−cosφ(t)sin(2θ) cos2 i+12
)
In this approximation, only the funda-mental harmonic of the signal is consid-ered! i describes the inclination of thebinary orbit wrt the line of sight, while θis the wave polarization; α,δ locate thesource in the sky, while φ(t) is (twice)the orbital phase and ν(t) ≡ φ(t). Theamplitude A depends on the distanceand the masses of the stars.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 3
The signal seen by the detector
The detector will see both polarizations and get a signal
s(t) = F+ (α, δ, t)h+ (t)+F× (α, δ, t)h× (t) (1)
which in principle depends on time also through the antenna patterns F+,×.
This dependence can be neglected for ground based interferometers, because the signal per-manence in the detection bandwidth is short: therefore
s(t) = A [ν(t)]2/3cos(φ(t)+φ0) (2)
is the signal at the output of the receiver, with some unknown constant amplitude A and an unknowninitial phase φ0, which depend both on the binary orbital parameters and on the detector orientation.
This dependence is immaterial, for a single detector analysis, but we will need it when dealingwith a network of interferometers.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 4
Phase and signal at Newtonian order
The Newtonian approximation for the phase φ is inaccurate close to the ISCO, but allows tograsp the main signal characteristics: one has
φ(t) =16πν0τ(ν0)
11
[1−(
1− tτ(ν0)
)5/8]
; ν(t) = ν0
(1− t
τ(ν0)
)−3/8
, (3)
where ν0 is the signal frequency at t = 0 and τ(ν0) is the time remaining before the coalescence.
Albeit approximate, this formula shows that thesignal is a chirp with amplitude and frequencygrowing in time.Up to this order, all the physics is embodied in asingle parameter τ(ν0): this is no more true athigher orders, and the phase formula changes sig-nificantly.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 5
Signal duration
It is instructive to notice that the time-frequency formula can be used to express the permanencetime tu− tl of the signal in a certain band [νl , νu] as
tu− tl = τ(ν0)
[(νl
ν0
)−8/3
−(
νu
ν0
)−8/3]
(4)
which means that extending the band toward smaller frequencies (νl → 0) leads to a rapid increase(faster than 1
ν2l) of the signal length.
As a rule of thumb, and neglecting the dependence on the upper frequency, it is worth remem-bering the following formula
duration≈ 34
(MM�
)−53( νl
40Hz
)−83sec (5)
where M� is the mass of the Sun.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 6
Post-newtonian corrections
A PN2 form of the signal, in the Taylor approximation, is given by
s(t) ∝ [ν(t)]2/3cos[Φ(ν(t))+Φl ] (6)
with ν(t) the instantaneous frequency (a function of time) ; the phase Φ(ν) is a series
Φ(ν) =16π5
τ0νr
[(1−(
ννr
)−53)
+54
τ1
τ0
(1−(
ννr
)−1)
−2516
τ1.5
τ0
(1−(
ννr
)−23)
+52
τ2
τ0
(1−(
ννr
)−13)]
(7)
where νr is a reference frequency, chosen to compute the τ parameters.
The ν(t) is implicitly given by the relation
dνdt
=3νl
8τ0
(ννr
)113[
1− 3τ1
4τ0
(ννr
)23
+5τ1.5ν8τ0νr
− 12
(τ2
τ0− 9
8
(τ1
τ0
)2)(
ννr
)43]
(8)
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 7
which can be inverted to give
t− tr = τ0
[1−(
ννr
)−83]
+ τ1
[1−(
ννr
)−2]
(9)
−τ1.5
[1−(
ννr
)−53]
+ τ2
[1−(
ννr
)−43]
at the same order in the Post Newtonian expansion.
In turn, the parameters τ0,1,1.5,2 depend on the masses of the stars as
τ0 ≡ 5256π
ν−1r (πMνr)−5/3η−1
τ1 ≡ 5192π
ν−1r (πMνr)−1
(743336
+114
η)
η−1
τ1.5 ≡ 18
ν−1r (πMνr)−2/3η−1 (10)
τ2 ≡ 5128π
ν−1r (πMνr)−1/3η−1
(30586731016064
+54291008
η+617144
η2
)through M ≡m1+m2 and η≡ µ
M . The combination M ≡ µ3/5M2/5 = η3/5M is called chirp mass.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 8
The data acquired by the detector
Any detector actually does not have access to the continuous time form s(t) of the signal, but toa discrete time expression s[n], obtained sampling the continuous signal with a sampling frequencyfs, that is every dt = 1
fsseconds.
It is useful then to look at the signal(s) as vector(s)
s≡ (s[0], s[1], . . . s[N−1]) (11)
where N is the length of the vector, corresponding to a duration
T = dt N =Nfs
(12)
of the time window.
The transformation from the continuous to the discrete form is delicate, for instance one canhave an aliasing effect in sampling the theoretical waveform at too low a sampling rate.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 9
Signal and noise
The signal s, if present, will be mixed with the instrumental noise: the output of the interferometerwill be of the form
x = s+n (13)
where the noise n is assumed to be Gaussian, which means that
P(n) = N e−12n·R−1·n (14)
is the probability of a instance n of noise; R is the correlation matrix,
Rab≡ E [nanb] . (15)
For stationary noise, Rab depends only on the difference a−b, and one has
Rab = R
(a−b
fs
)=
fsN
N−1
∑κ=0
12
Sn [κ]ei2πκ(a−b)/N (16)
that is, R and the two-sided spectrum 1/2Sn are Fourier pairs.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 10
The sensitivity h of a detector
To show a detector sensitivity it is customary to plot the quantity
h( f )≡√
Sn( f ) (17)
where Sn( f ) is the one-sided noise spectrum.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 11
Example: signal in VIRGO noise
A chirp emitted by a pair m1 = 4M�, m2 = 5M�(SNR= 10) embedded in VIRGO noise.
Despite the relevant SNR value, no evidence of the signal can be grasped “by eye” in the data.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 12
The detection problem
The output x of the detector is an unknown mixture of signal and noise, that is we have todistinguish among two hypotheses
H0 : no signal is present, that is the outputs are distributed as Gaussian noise
H1 : some signal is present.
In the technical language, H1 is a composite hypothesis, because the signal can come in manyshapes.
A standard way to proceed is to split the problem in two: first one assumes that there is somesignal, and finds which is the most probable one.
Then, one assigns a degree of significance to the supposed signal presence.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 13
The maximum likelihood procedure
Given the output x, the probability of it is
P(x) = P(x|H0)P(H0)+P(x|H1)P(H1) ; (18)
using the Bayes ruleP(H1|x)P(x) = P(x|H1)P(H1) (19)
one can invert the relation among probabilities and obtain
P(H1|x) =Λ(x)
Λ(x)+P(H0)/P(H1): (20)
where Λ(x) = P(x|H1)P(x|H0)
is the likelihood ratio.
Even if we do not know the a priori probabilities P(H0,1), we know that the a posteriori probabilityof H1 is maximum when Λ(x) is maximum. In other words, the signal which maximizes the likelihoodis the most probable one, assuming that H1 is true.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 14
The likelihood expression
Assume that the signal has a certain form s(t) = Acos(φ(t)+φ0), what is the associated like-lihood?
Obviously the combination x−s is distributed as Gaussian noise, hence
P(x|H1,s) = P(x−s|H0) = N e−12(x−s)·R−1·(x−s) (21)
and the likelihood ratio (for a given signal s) is given by
Λ(x|s) = e−12s·R−1·s+s·R−1·x. (22)
We have to recall that we should search the maximum of Λ varying the signal parameters: in partic-ular, we can analytically maximize over the amplitude A and the initial phase φ0.
It is now convenient to introduce a notational abbreviation:
〈a, b〉 ≡ a·R−1 ·b (23)
which is a sort of scalar product among signals.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 15
Amplitude maximization
It is immediate to show that the most probable amplitude is given by
AMLE =〈s, x〉〈s, s〉
(24)
where s(t) = cos(φ(t)+φ0). Hence
maxA
Λ(x|s) = exp
(12〈s, x〉2
〈s, s〉
); (25)
in other words, one has to define the normalized template
v =s√〈s, s〉
(26)
and look for the maximum of the expression |〈v, x〉|: this is the famous matched filtering procedure,invented by Wiener.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 16
Phase maximization
The template v depends on the initial phase φ0: we can maximize the likelihood (or its logarithm)over the possible phases.
This can be done definings= s0cos(φ0)+s1sin(φ0) ; (27)
where s0 ≡ Acos(φ(t)) , s1 ≡−Asin(φ(t)); we have therefore
〈s, x〉2
〈s, s〉=
(〈s0, x〉+ 〈s1, x〉 tanφ0)2
〈s0, s0〉+ tan2φ0〈s1, s1〉+2tanφ0〈s0, s1〉(28)
which can be maximized over tanφ0 obtaining
maxA,φ0
2lnΛ =〈s0,x〉2〈s0,s0〉
+ 〈s1,x〉2〈s1,s1〉
−2〈s0,s1〉〈s0,x〉〈s1,x〉〈s0,s0〉〈s1,s1〉
1− 〈s0,s1〉2〈s0,s0〉〈s1,s1〉
(29)
notice that we could not assume 〈s0, s1〉= 0 (why?).
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 17
Orthogonal templates
The non-orthogonality of the two basis signals s0, s1 is a nuisance: however we are free tochoose new signals sp, sq which are truly in quadrature, by choosing appropriate angles φp, φq whichrender the product
〈sp, sq〉= 〈s0cosφp+s1sinφp, s0cosφq+s1sinφq〉= 0; (30)
in this new basis, the matching procedure is simplified and one gets
maxA,φ0
2lnΛ =〈sp, x〉2
〈sp, sp〉+〈sq, x〉2
〈sq, sq〉(31)
that is, adsorbing the normalization in the templates vp, vq
maxA,φ0
2lnΛ = 〈vp, x〉2+ 〈vq, x〉2 (32)
the usual sum in quadrature of the outputs of the two matched filters.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 18
The scalar product in the frequency domain
It is worth noticing that the scalar product 〈vp, x〉 assumes a simple form in the frequencydomain: remembering that R is the Fourier transform of the noise spectrum, one has
〈vp, x〉= 2Z +∞
0
vp( f ) x∗ ( f )+ v∗p( f ) x( f )Sn( f )
d f (33)
where we have adopted a continuous frequency notation, although this expression should be in-tended in discrete frequency and discrete time.
This expression allows to maximize over the possible shifts in time of the signal: we just noticethat a time shift ∆t of the template corresponds to a phase factor ei2π f ∆t in its Fourier transform:hence we define
〈vp, x〉(∆t) = 2Z +∞
0
[vp( f ) x∗ ( f )
Sn( f )ei2π f ∆t +c.c.
]d f (34)
which is the inverse Fourier transform ofvp( f )x∗( f )
Sn( f ) , whose maximum over ∆t locates in the data themost likely signal.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 19
The matched filtering statistics
The matched filter applied to pure noise has simple statistical properties:
E [〈a, n〉〈b, n〉] = 4ℜZ Z ∞
0a( f ) b∗ ( f ′)
E [n( f ′) n∗ ( f )]Sn( f )Sn( f ′)
d f d f′
= 4ℜZ ∞
0
a( f ) b∗ ( f )Sn( f )
d f = 〈a, b〉 . (35)
Given a signal in noise, we have therefore
SNR≡ E [〈s, s+n〉]√E[〈s, n〉2
] =√〈s, s〉 . (36)
Working with normalized templates v = s√〈s,s〉
, this means that
E [〈v, s+n〉] = SNR (37)
and 〈v, n〉 is a Gaussian variable with zero mean and unit variance!
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 20
SNR distribution
It is worth recalling that we actually use two templates in quadrature, and build the variableρ2 ≡ 〈vp, s+n〉2+ 〈vq, s+n〉2.
In absence of the signal, the two variables 〈vp, n〉 ; 〈vq, n〉 are Gaussian, and uncorrelated:
E [〈vp, n〉〈vq, n〉] = E [〈vp, vq〉] = 0 (38)
The statistic is a Rayleigh variable (a 2 DOF χ2),
with the distribution Pχ22(ρ) = ρe−
ρ2
2 as in figure.In presence of a signal, one would have a non-central χ2.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 21
An example of “detection”
Given the distribution of the statistic ρ, it is clear that detection means assessing whether a“peak” in the output of the correlator ρ2(∆t)
ρ2(∆t)≡ [〈vp, x〉(∆t)]2+[〈vq, x〉(∆t)]2 (39)
is statistically significant.
One expects a time series distributed asPχ2
2and a signal should manifest itself as
a sufficiently high peak above the noise,which corresponds, given our normal-izations, to a sufficiently high SNR.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 22
The Stationary Phase Approximation
It is possible to exploit the approximate identity[8]Zg(t)eiφ(t)dt ≈
∣∣∣∣ 2πiφ′′ (t0)
∣∣∣∣g(t0)eiφ(t0) (40)
where t0 is the stationary point for the phase φ(t), to obtain an analytical form of the Fourier transformof the signal.
Approximately
s( f ) ∝ f−7/6expi[π
4+Φc−2π f tc+Ψ( f )
](41)
where
Ψ( f ) =−2πνr
[3τo
5
(f
νr
)−53
+ τ1
(f
νr
)−1
− 3τ1.5
2
(f
νr
)−23
+3τ2
(f
νr
)−13]
(42)
is the expression of the phase and Φc, tc phase and time at a reference point.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 23
A simplified expression for the SNR
It is worth noting that, as long as the SPA is valid, the expression for the SNR becomes verysimple[6] (for a source optimally oriented wrt the detector):
SNR =
√4
Z |s( f )|2
Sn( f )d f =
GNM 5/6
r (cπ)2/3
(56
)1/2√Z
f−73
Sn( f )d f
= 1.56×10−19
[MM�
]5/6[Mpcr
]√Zf−
73
Sn( f )d f . (43)
This is why in the literature one frequently finds the function f−7/6 plotted against the sensitivityh( f )≡
√Sn( f ); but only the integral has a meaning in the detection.
Substituting the sensitivities for the different instruments, one can exploit the above formula tocompare them as detectors of chirps, (exercise!): and one can choose the frequency limits to imposeon the integral.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 24
Effective band of the instrument
The expression given for the scalar product
〈a, b〉= 2Z +∞
0
a( f ) b∗ ( f )+ a( f )∗ b( f )Sn( f )
d f (44)
needs not to be evaluated over all possible frequencies: at low and high frequencies the noise Sn( f )is large and the contribution to the integral is small.
To be more quantitative, let us consider the ratio
〈s, s〉[νl ,νu]
〈s, s〉[0,∞]=
R νuνl
|s( f )|2Sn( f ) d fR ∞
0|s( f )|2Sn( f ) d f
≈R νu
νl
f−7/3
Sn( f ) d fR ∞0
f−7/3
Sn( f ) d f(45)
for an arbitrary signal s: this is the fraction of SNR2 that templates limited to the interval [νl , νu] canrecover. Actually, νu is set by the limits of the validity of the theoretical waveforms: but νl is morerelevant in practice.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 25
Choice of the lower frequency cutoff
The template length has a rapid dependence on the lower frequency cutoff, which is thereforeof practical importance: we show some prospective noise curves for Virgo, and the correspondingSNR fraction, as a function of νl
the figure shows that a 40Hz cutoff is more than adequate to recover more than 95% of theSNR, at least for a “standard” Virgo.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 26
The search for the maximum likelihood
For the amplitude and the initial phase we have been able to perform the maximization analyti-cally, and for the relative shift between the signal and the template we have exploited the translationproperties of the Fourier transform.
It is unfortunately impossible to maximize analytically over the remaining parameters, and inparticular over the masses of the stars: in order to determine the most likely signal, we need to testseveral templates against the data.
At first sight, given that the masses are a continuous parameter, this procedure appears tough:however we shall see that the templates don’t possess a perfect discriminating capacity amongdifferent signals, and this means that they are sensible, to a lesser extent, also to slightly mismatchedsignals.
The detection becomes therefore of a different nature from the classical Wiener problem: wedeal with filters that cannot be exactly matched to the signal.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 27
The mismatched filter
Suppose that a template is applied to a signal with different physical parameters: masses, timeof coalescence tc, phase at the coalescence Φc: what is the result of the scalar product?
In other words, what is the superposition integral among templates with different parameters?
Apart a normalization,
〈q(Φc, tc,θ), q(Φ′c, t
′c,θ
′)〉 ∝Z +∞
0d f f−
73cos(∆Φc−2π f ∆tc+∆Ψ)
Sn( f ): (46)
regarding one of the templates as the signal, and maximizing over the phase of the other
max∆Φ0
〈q, q′〉 ∝∣∣∣∣Z +∞
0d f f−
73
expi (2π f ∆tc+∆Ψ)Sn( f )
∣∣∣∣ . (47)
This formula is very instructive at the Newtonian approximation: in that case one has
∆Ψ( f ) =−6π5
νr
(f
νr
)−53
∆τ0 ; (48)
the integrand suggests that a difference ∆τ0 can be in part compensated when maximizing over ∆tc.
The expression max∆Φ0,∆tc 〈q, q′〉 is sometimes called match among templates.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 28
The ambiguity function
As a function of the remaining physical parameters, the match is called ambiguity function,because it answers to the question: how sensitive are we to a change of signal parameters?
Or equivalently, how ambiguous is the output of the match, as long as the determination of thesignal parameters is concerned?
Let us take a Newtonian signal and the scalar product in the plane [∆τ0+∆tc,∆τ0−∆tc]
along the direction ∆τ0 + ∆tc = 0 the scalar product remains almost at the maximum (unequalscales!). To some extent, this property remains true at higher orders in the PN expansion.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 29
A metric in the signal space
Close to the maximum of the ambiguity function one can make a quadratic expansion, anddefine[9]
max∆Φc
〈q, q′〉= 1− γi j (λλλ)∆λi∆λ j (49)
where the matrix γγγ is defined as
γi j (λλλ) =−12
[∂2
∂λi∂λ j
(max∆Φl
〈q, q′〉)]
∆λ=0
. (50)
Given γγγ, and assuming that tc is the λ0 parameter, one easily finds
∆tc(optimal) =− 1γ00
∑i=1
γ0i∆λi (51)
and thereforemax
∆Φc,∆tc〈q, q′〉= 1−gi j (θ)∆θi∆θ j (52)
where θθθ are the remaining parameters, and
gi j (θθθ) = γi j (θθθ)−γ0i(θθθ)γ0 j(θθθ)
γ00(θθθ)(53)
is the metric projected on the ∆tc = ∆tc(optimal) variety.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 30
The ambiguity function at work
The matrix g behaves like a metric in the space of signals, and this analogy is quite fruitful,because it allows to apply the methods of differential geometry to the problem of covering in aoptimal way the parameter space.
We can readily verify that a quadratic approximation is sensible, at least for values of the matchclose to 1:
to this end, we display in the figure the contoursof equal match around a certain point in the pa-rameter space, assumed bi-dimensional and pa-rameterized with the ∆τ0, ∆τ1 distances: we haveelliptic contours
We further notice that the axes of the ellipses are parallel to the eigenvectors of g, and the axeslengths are inversely proportional to the square root of the corresponding eigenvalues.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 31
A grid detection strategy
Given the non-zero sensitivity of a template to slightly mismatched signals, a possible strategyis to cover the parameter space with a grid of templates, spaced so as to guarantee that any signalwill be recovered with an efficiency above a certain level.
This level, usually called the minimal match, or MM, tells us how dense the templates shouldbe.
The strategy requires to:
• define the limits of the parameter space
• tile it with templates, in the most efficient way.
Notice that this strategy introduces a bias in the detection: events corresponding to the nodes of thegrid are more likely to be detected. This fact, and the correlation between filter outputs, need to betaken into account when assigning confidence levels.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 32
Example: a 2D parameter space
When parameterizing the signal space, it is convenient to select variables which make the metricas constant as possible: good variables are for instance the θ parameters considered by Owen andSathyaprakash[11], θ1 ≡ 2πνrτ0, θ2 ≡ 2πνrτ1.5.
As an example, we show how it lookslike a parameter space for stars in acertain mass range m1,2∈ [mmin, mmax].Please note the logarithmic axes:smaller masses lead to substantiallylonger signal duration, and larger pa-rameter space.
Covering this space with “ellipses”, how many templates will we need?
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 33
An application of the metric: the number of templates
To make a estimate, set up a regular rectangular lattice of templates spaced by a proper distanceds. The worst case is a signal at the center of an hypercube, at distance gi j ∆θi∆θ j = N
(ds2
)2from
any corner.
We imposeN(ds/2)2 ≤ 1−MM (54)
because we want to recover at least a fraction MM of the signal;
∆V = dsN ≤(
2√
(1−MM)/N)N
(55)
is the condition on the volume. It follows that
ntemplates ≥Rparameterspace dNθ
√detg(
2√
(1−MM)/N)N , (56)
the ratio of the volume available to the “fiducial” volume of each template[9].
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 34
Parameter estimation
Once a signal is detected, how accurately can its parameters be determined?
In other words, given that a signal was present in the data, and its parameters are extractedusing the maximum-likelihood procedure, what is the variance of the estimate?
The Cramer-Rao bound allows to set a lower limit to this variance[7].
We start from the probability distribution P(θθθ|x) of the parameters, conditioned by having re-ceived the data x, and define the Fisher information matrix
Γ≡−E
[∂2 lnP(θθθ|x)
∂θi∂θ j
]: (57)
let us assume that it is positive definite: then it is possible to prove that
varθi ≥[Γ−1(θθθ)
]ii, (58)
a limit which the MLE is not guaranteed to attain.
For the case at hand, we know that
− lnP(θθθ|x) =12〈x−s(θθθ) |x−s(θθθ)〉 (59)
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 35
where we include also the amplitude among the parameters, hence we get
Γi j = E
[12
⟨∂2s(θθθ)∂θi∂θ j
, s(θθθ)−x⟩
+⟨
∂s(θθθ)∂θi
,∂s(θθθ)∂θ j
⟩]=
⟨∂s(θθθ)
∂θi,
∂s(θθθ)∂θ j
⟩(60)
where the first term is zero (s−x is zero-mean Gaussian noise).
The detailed form of Γ and its inverse are complicated, but one result is apparent: Γ is propor-tional to the square of the signal amplitude1 that is to the SNR2; therefore stddevθi ∝ 1
SNR.
1If we choose as amplitude parameter lnA !
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 36
Network data analysis
Things get slightly more complicated if we are interested in exploiting several detectors, forinstance building a LIGO-Virgo network, or even considering the three LIGOs.
We have two possible approaches to the detection problem:
coincidence analysis: it amounts to build independent lists of candidates for each detector, esti-mate their parameters, and then compare the lists in order to find compatible events, in terms ofrelative amplitudes, arrival times, physical parameters.
Coherent analysis: it consists (for instance) in maximizing the combined likelihood for the pres-ence of a specified signal in the different data streams, and amounts to a vector matched filtering.
It should be clear that the approaches are very different: to say the least, in the first case data neednot to be exchanged. It is also evident that under the assumption of Gaussian noise the coherentanalysis can be made optimal : however, this will not help against non-Gaussian events.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 37
The interferometer network
It is worth recalling positions and orientations of the different ITFs under construction:
the distribution of the ITFs on the northern hemisphere suggests that a network analysis mightgive a better coverage of the sky. This is to some extent true, as we will show later.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 38
Coherent Network DA
The basis of the coherent analysis is very simple[20]: if noises are independent, then the prob-ability of observing data xI on the different detectors (labeled by I) is simply the product of theprobabilities:
P(x1,x2, . . . |s) = ∏I
P(xI|s) (61)
hence the log-likelihood ratio is the sum of the individual LLR and one as
lnΛNW = ∑I
lnΛI = 〈s, x〉NW− 12〈s, s〉NW (62)
where we have introduced vectors of data and templates:
x(t) = (x1(t) ,x2(t) , . . .) . (63)
It is easy to show then the network template s = (s1(t) ,s2(t) , . . .) allows to recover the maximumSNR and generalizes the matched filtering to the network case.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 39
Reference frames
Two issues are crucial: the delays due to the different detector locations, and the differentresponse of the detectors to the two polarizations of the wave.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 40
Signal description
A convenient way[17, 20] to work with network signals is to use a tensor representation: define
w(t) =12
[(h+(t)+ ih×(t))eR+(h+(t)− ih×(t))eL] (64)
as the wave tensor, where h×,h+ are the two wave polarizations, and
eL,R≡12
(eX± i eY)⊗ (eX± i eY) (65)
are helicity states of the wave, in terms of versors eX,Y in the “wave frame”. A detector L is describedby the tensor
dL = n(L)1⊗n(L)1−n(L)2⊗n(L)2 (66)
where n(L)1,2 are versors oriented along the arms of the detector. The signal at each detector is
sL(t) = tr [w(t− τL (α, δ)) ·dL] (67)
where the delay τL at instrument L depends on the source direction, specified by the right ascensionα and the declination δ, in the network frame.
A basis for such tensors exists, the so-called Symmetric Trace Free tensors of rank 2. Therotations of these tensors, and therefore the transformations among frames are described by theGel’fand functions[18, 19], allowing to refer every expression to a common reference, for instancethe network frame.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 41
How does the coherent analysis work?
✘ For each intrinsic parameter of the source (mass, spin, ...) and for each detector I one has twocorrelators CI
0(t) , CIπ/2(t), resulting from the Wiener filtering with the two templates in quadra-
ture.
✘ The network statistic is built combining the correlators with a matrix depending on the sourcedirection
SNR2 = pIJ (φ,θ)[CI
o(t− τI (φ,θ))CJo (t− τJ (φ,θ))+(0⇒ π/2)
]where τi (φ,θ) is the detector dependent delay to be used to take into account the different “timeof arrival” of the signal at each detector location.
✘ Finding an event means scanning not just time t but also the direction φ,θ; this increases thecomputational cost, also because the ambiguity function of the network is narrower than the oneof any single detector[20].
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How some of the matrices pIJ look like
Here are a few diagonal entries
Left: pH4K,H4K Center: pL4K,L4K Right: pVirgo,Virgo
These matrices give an idea of how the detectors have a different sensitivity for different direc-tions in the sky.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 43
Example: the network “energy”
The SNR2 available to the network depends now on the direction of the source, as well as onits orbital parameters. It is interesting to average over inclination and polarization, and plot it againstthe sky direction.
Left: LIGO network. Right: Virgo alone
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 44
The global network
If all the ITFs are included in the network, obviously the most sensible ones should account forthe greatest part of the SNR
and according to the design sensitivities, this role should be played by the LIGOs (note : seismicwall not shown).
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 45
The “energy” available to the global network
We can compare the network made of the three LIGOs (shown at left) with a global networkincluding also Virgo, GEO and TAMA (at right)
we see that the other detectors (with Virgo playing the major role) manage to render the sensi-tivity more spherical, but not fully.
For a better sky coverage, and provided that the current detectors are able to reach the designsensitivities, a second European large scale detector would greatly help.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 46
Comparing with the coincidence analysis
In order to compare coherent and coincidence strategies, it is worth recalling that the SNR2
seen by the individual detectors and by the network obey to different statistics
✔ On a single detector the SNR2 is a χ2 with 2 DOF, hence if ξ is a threshold
PFA(ξ) = e−ξ; PDET (ξ, Esig) =Z ∞
ξe−E−EsigI0
(2√
E ∗Esig
)dE
✔ On the network, the corresponding quantity is a χ2 with 4 DOF, hence
PFA(ξ) = (1+ξ)e−ξ; PDET (ξ, Esig) =Z ∞
ξ
√E
Esige−E−EsigI1
(2√
E ∗Esig
)dE
Therefore interpretation of the SNR clearly depends on the kind of statistic: it is not meaningful to saythat “the network recovers more SNR”, we have to refer to PDET, PFA for a meaningful comparison.
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 47
Rules for the comparison
✔ Set a false alarm rate of the network as a whole (1 event/year)
✔ Generate events with random direction ϑ,ϕ and source parameters ε,ψ, but the same networkSNR. This means turning the response peanut into a sphere, to compare the strategies in a wayindependent from the source direction/polarization.
✔ Set false alarm rates RFA on the individual detectors, and rules to combine the events that leadto the same overall RFA as the “coherent network”.
✔ Compute the SNR seen by each detector, hence local detection probabilities PDET for eachsampled direction/polarization.
✔ Combine with various strategies (OR, AND); obtain the average PDET
✔ Compare with the coherent case, and vary the SNR available to the network.
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Coherent vs AND with 2 detectors
✔ Two detectors must flag the event. Tune local RFA for a fair comparison.
✔ In average, at larger SNR the AND(2) gets close to the coherent case.
✔ The minimum is always zero: there exist directions/polarizations that only one detector is sensi-tive to!
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 49
Coherent vs AND with 3 detectors
✔ Now at least three detectors need to be above the local threshold.
✔ The result is slightly worse, but not qualitatively different: there exist blind directions/polarizations.
In presence of non-gaussian noises, a coincidence analysis will be necessary; such plots help toquantify how much we lose in this way[21].
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 50
Conclusions
We touched just few of the issues involved in the DA for CB: in particular
• no mention was done of sub-optimal methods, like the time-frequency transforms. They shouldbe less sensitive to errors in the filters, but will probably have a smaller PDET.
• We neglected the hierarchical methods: at the price of a slightly reduced detection probability,they will reduce significantly the computational burden[10].
• We didn’t mention the existence of improved templates, like those based on the Padéapproximants[16] and on the effective one-body approach[12, 13, 15], which allow to go closerto the coalescence: however, they don’t change the essentials of the detection strategy.
Despite the limitations, I just hope that this lessons provide a useful introduction to a vast literature.
References
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[3] L. Blanchet, B.R.Iyer, C.M.Will and A.G.Wiseman, Class. Quantum Grav. 13, 575 (1996)
[4] L.Blanchet, Phys. Rev. D 54, 1417 (1996)
Dragon School 2004 Data Analysis for Coalescing Binaries 51
[5] L.Blanchet, Class. Quantum Grav. 15, 1971, (1996)
[6] L.P.Grishchuk, V. M. Lipunov, K. A. Postnov, M. E. Prokhorov and B. S. Sathyaprakash, astro-ph/0008481, (2001)
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[11] B.J.Owen and B.S.Sathyaprakash, Phys.Rev. D 60, 2002 (1999).
[12] A.Buonanno and T.Damour, Phys.Rev. D 59, 084006 (1999).
[13] A.Buonanno and T.Damour, Phys.Rev. D 62, 064015 (2000).
[14] T.Damour, P.Jaranowski and G. Schäfer, Phys. Rev. D 62, 084011 (2000).
[15] T.Cokelaer, P.Jaranowski and J-Y. Vinet, Waveforms from binary black hole coalescences and3PN templates generation, VIR-NOT-OCA-1390-176 (2001).
[16] T. Damour, B. R. Iyer, and B. S. Sathyaprakash, Phys. Rev. D 57, 885 (1998).
[17] S.Dhurandhar and M.Tinto, Mon. Not. R. astr. Soc. 234, 663-676 (1988).
[18] M.Gel’fand, R.A.Minlos and Z.Ye.Shapiro, Representations of the Rotation and Lorentz Groupsand their Applications (Pergamon Press, New York, 1963).
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