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DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

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Page 1: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management
Page 2: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN

Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence

for Actionable Intelligence

Page 3: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

INTEGRATING AI WITH FOUNDATION INTELLIGENCE

FOR ACTIONABLE INTELLIGENCE

Page 4: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

“…in an arms race for artificial intelligence”

- Dr. Anthony Vinci, NGA

Page 5: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Cloud ML

New Products

Azure MLCognitive ServicesAzure Bot Service

Watson ML ServiceDSXCognitive Computing

Amazon ML Cloud AICloud ML (TF)

LeonardoSAP Analytics Cloud

ML Server SPSSML for z/OS

-- --

LeonardoSAP Predictive Analytics

Office 365PowerPointOutlook..

Predictive MaintenanceTargeted Marketing..

Demand Forecasting,Recommendations, Search, Merchandising Placement, Fraud..

Search, Ads, Gmail, Translation, YouTube, Maps..

Fraud Mgmt, SAPHIRE, S/4HANA, Fieldglass, Total Workforce Insight

Cortana Assistant -- Alexa, Prime Air Delivery Drones, Grocery Stores

Google Assistant --

On-premise ML

Enhanced Products

MICROSOFT IBM AMAZON GOOGLE SAP

Page 6: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Neural Networks

TensorFlow

CNTK

Natural Language Processing

Cognitive Computing

GeoAI

Computer Vision

Dimensionality Reduction

Object Detection

Support Vector Machines

Object Tracking

Keras

Theano scikit-learn

T-SNE

Random Forest Machine Learning

Deep Learning

Artificial IntelligenceCaffe

Page 7: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management
Page 8: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management
Page 9: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Machine Learning

Deep Learning

Artificial Intelligence

1950’s

1960’s

1970’s

1980’s

1990’s

2000’s

2010’s

Page 10: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Machine Learning

Deep Learning

Artificial Intelligence

CNTK TensorFlowTheano

Natural Language Processing

Video game behavioral AI

Robotics

Keras

ConvolutionalNeural Networks

IBM Watson

scikit-learn

Computer Vision

Page 11: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Applications of Machine Learning

eCommerce Spam Filtering

Fraud Detection Transportation Management Facial Recognition

Cyber Intrusion Detection

Page 12: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Why Now?

3. Better Algorithms1. More Data 2. More Compute

Page 13: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

ML ValuePrediction

Automation Anomaly Detection Root-cause Identification

Page 14: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

GIS users have been doing machine learning

GIS

Classification

Clustering

Prediction

Page 15: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Integration of Machine Learning and Deep Learning with GIS

GIS

Page 16: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Amazing Rate of Improvement

Image Recognition

IMAGENETPedestrian Detection

CALTECHObject Detection

KITTI

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs)

Deep Learning

Page 17: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Real-Time

Land Cover Classification

Microsoft Cognitive Toolkit

Page 18: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Use Artificial Intelligence to find system faults

Predictive Maintenance

IBM Watson

Page 19: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Real-Time Object Recognition from Video

TensorFlow

Page 20: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

GIS and Natural Language Processing Integration

Page 21: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management
Page 22: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

“This is not eitherhuman analysis or artificial intelligence, it's got to be

some combination of the two.”

Adm. Mike Rogers, Director, National Security Agency & Commander of U.S. Cyber Command

Page 23: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Technology Drivers for Advanced Analytics

3. Better Algorithms1. More Data 2. More Compute

Page 24: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Categories of Machine Learning in GIS

GIS

Classification

Clustering

Prediction

Page 25: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Machine Learning Tools in GIS

• Maximum Likelihood Classification

• Random Trees• Support Vector Machine

Clustering

• Empirical Bayesian Kriging

• Areal Interpolation• EBK Regression

Prediction• Ordinary Least Squares

Regression and Exploratory Regression

• Geographically Weighted Regression

• Spatially Constrained Multivariate Clustering

• Multivariate Clustering• Density-based Clustering• Image Segmentation• Hot Spot Analysis• Cluster and Outlier Analysis• Space Time Pattern Mining

Classification Prediction

Page 26: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Using the known to estimate the unknown

Use Case: Accurately predict impacts of climate change on local temperature using

global climate model data

Prediction

In ArcGIS: Empirical Bayesian Kriging, Areal Interpolation, EBK Regression Prediction, Ordinary Least Squares

Regression and Exploratory Regression, Geographically Weighted Regression

Page 27: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

The grouping of observations based on similarities of values or locations

Use Case: Given the nearly 50,000 reports of traffic between 5pm and 6pm in Los Angeles (from

Traffic Alerts by Waze), where are traffic zones that can be used to elicit feedback from current

drivers in the area?

Clustering

In ArcGIS: Spatially Constrained Multivariate Clustering, Multivariate Clustering, Density-based Clustering, Image Segmentation,

Hot Spot Analysis, Cluster and Outlier Analysis, Space Time Pattern Mining

Page 28: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

The process of deciding to which category an object should be assigned based on a training dataset

Use Case: Classify impervious surfaces to help effectively prepare for storm and flood

events based on the latest high-resolution imagery

Classification

In ArcGIS: Maximum Likelihood Classification, Random Trees, Support Vector Machine

Page 29: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Integration of Machine Learning and Deep Learning

with GIS

GIS

Page 30: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Demo: Transfer Learning

Page 31: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Enterprise Approach to Machine LearningLeveraging Geography for Improved Understanding

Distributed Analytics

VectorRasterReal-Time

Analyst Tools

ModelingData Conditioning and

Management

Visualization andExploration

Page 32: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Vector

UnstructuredText

Imagery

Data Lakes

FoundationData

Point Clouds

Sensor Feeds

Data ConditioningExtract, Transform, Enrich, Georeference, Validate

Making Data Ready for AnalysisAnd Use in Apps

Page 33: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Visualization and ExplorationExploratory

Data Analysis

Visualization

Page 34: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Modeling and Spatial AnalyticsDevelop and Capture new tradecraft

Python

Data ScienceSpatio-TemporalModeling

Analytic Services

Machine Learning& Artificial Intelligence

Page 35: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Real-Time Analytics Workflow

Real-Time

Analytics

Situational

Awareness

Analysis Alerting

Big Data

Archive

Visualization

Collection

Contextualization

• GeoFencing

• Aggregation

• Detection

• Filter

Page 36: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Raster Analytics Workflow

Dynamic Image

ProcessingCollection

Visualization

Change

Detection

Feature

Extraction

• Ortho-on-the-fly

• Classification

• Feature Extraction

• Mosaicking

Page 37: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Vector Analytics Workflow

Classification, Clustering, Prediction

Big Data

Archive

Pattern-

of-Life

Link

Analysis

Trend

Analysis

• Space-Time

• Hot Spots

• Density

• Proximity

Big Data

Analytics

Predictive

Analytics

Page 38: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Demo: Event Prediction

Page 39: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Applying to Intelligence Problems

Research Search

Monitor Discover

Known

Unknown

Kn

ow

n

Un

kno

wn

Locations and Targets

Be

hav

iors

an

d S

ign

atu

res

Page 40: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

The Intelligence Cycle

Requirements

Tasking

Collection

Processing

Exploitation

Dissemination

Modern Emphasis Traditional Emphasis

Page 41: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Leveraging Foundation Intelligence

Cultural Data

Landscape Data

Social Data

Observations

Page 42: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Observe

Orient

Decide

Act

Actionable Intelligence

OODA loopSpeed is the key

Speed is relative

Page 43: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Cert

ain

ty

0%

100%

Time & Resources0

Data

Intelligence

X

Page 44: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Cert

ain

ty

0%

100%

Time & Resources0

Data

X

Intelligence

Reduce Time to Action

Page 45: DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN - Esri · DANIEL WILSON AND BEN CONKLIN Integrating AI with Foundation Intelligence for Actionable Intelligence. ... Fraud Detection Transportation Management

Impacts on Entire Organization

Implementing Analytic Platform

Plan for

Evolving Structure

Collaborate with

Industry

Prepare Infrastructure

Enhance Analyst

Tradecraft

Focus on

Verification and

Validation