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•Daily Operations Briefing Tuesday, August 13, 2013

As of 8:30 a.m. EDT

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Significant Activity: Aug 12 – 13 Significant Events: No activity

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – Area 1 (10%)

• Eastern Pacific – Area 1 (40%)

• Central Pacific – Area 1 (20%)

• Western Pacific – No activity threatening U.S. territories

Significant Weather:

• Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – Mid-Atlantic

• Heavy rain and flash flooding – Lower Mississippi Valley

• Critical Fire Weather Areas: None

• Red Flag Warnings: WA, ID and OR

• Space Weather: Past 24 hours – Minor, R1 activity; Next 24 hours – None

Earthquake Activity: No significant activity

Declaration Activity: FMAG approved for Elk Complex Fire – August 12, 2013

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Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT

Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

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Atlantic – Area 1

As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Cloudiness and showers extending from SW Caribbean

Sea northeastward to near Jamaica

• Associated with a tropical wave and a broad area of

low pressure

• Expected to become more favorable for development over

next couple of days

• Moving toward Yucatan Peninsula and southern Gulf of

Mexico

• Probability of Tropical Cyclone Development:

• Next 48 hours: Low chance 10% of becoming a

tropical cyclone

• Next 5 days: Medium chance 30% of becoming a

tropical cyclone

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Eastern Pacific – Area 1

As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Low pressure system is producing disorganized

showers and thunderstorms

• Located 1,500 miles WSW of Mexico

• Moving W at 15 to 20 mph

• Environmental conditions marginally conducive for

development during the next couple of days

• Probability of Tropical Cyclone Development

• Next 48 Hours: Medium chance 40%

• Next 5 days: Medium chance 40%

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http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Central Pacific – Area 1

As of 8:00 a.m. EDT

• Area of low pressure located about 900 miles

southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continues to

produce showers and thunderstorms

• Conditions are hindering development around a single

dominant center

• If development occurs, it will be slow

• Moving westward at about 15 mph

• Probability of Tropical Cyclone Development

• Next 48 hours: Low chance 20%

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Tweet Chat with National Hurricane Center

Overview

Ahead of the peak of the 2013 hurricane season (mid Aug

through late Oct), NHC Director Dr. Rick Knabb & senior

hurricane specialist Daniel Brown will answer questions

regarding:

• Tracking and forecasting potentially damaging storms and

how best to be prepared

Details

• Use Twitter to chat live online with NOAA's National Hurricane

Center

• Tuesday, August 13 at 2:00 p.m. EDT on the @NOAALive

Twitter feed

• Tweet your questions to @NOAALive using hashtag

#HurriChat (or just follow the conversation hashtag)

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

National Weather Forecast

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Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_fill.gif

Precipitation Forecast Days 1-3

DAY 1

DAY 2

DAY 3

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http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood&current_type=all&fcst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_map

River Forecast – 7 Day

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http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

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http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html

Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3-8

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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: August 15 – 19

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www.spaceweather.com

http://www.swpc.noaa.n/index.html

http://

Space Weather

NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)

Past

24 Hours Current

Next

24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: Minor None None

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts R1 None None

Sunspot Activity

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/

HF Communication Impact

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U.S. Wildland Fire Preparedness Levels

As of August 13, 2013

National Preparedness Level: 4 Description: Three or more Geographic Areas are experiencing incidents requiring Type 1 and 2 IMTs. Competition exists

between Geographic Areas. Nationally, 60 percent of Type 1 and 2 IMTs and crews are committed.

PL 4

PL 4

PL 2

PL 5

PL 2

PL 1 PL 5

Minimal Extreme

PL 2

PL 4

PL 1

PL 1

PL 1

PL 3

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http://activefiremaps.fs.fed.us/lg_fire2.php

Monday, August 13, 2013

• National Preparedness Level: 4

• Initial Attack Activity: Light (170 new fires)

• New Large Fires: 3

• Large Fires Contained: 1

• Uncontained Large Fires: 37

• Area Command Teams committed: 0

• NIMOs committed: 1

• Type 1 IMT(s) Committed: 6

• Type 2 IMT(s) Committed: 17

National Fire Activity

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Elk Complex Fire – Idaho

Fire

Name Location Acres burned

%

Contained

Est. Full

Containment FMAG Approved

Structures Lost /

Threatened

Fatalities /

Injuries

Elk Complex Elmore County 221,000 5% TBD August 12, 2013 0 / 518 0 / 0

Situation

• Fires began August 8, due to an evening lightning strike on federal, state &

private lands

• Burning near the community of Pine (pop 700); fire has burned through

communities of Prairie and Falls Creek

• Fire is threatening 500 homes (200 primary, 300 secondary); a senior citizens

facility, power lines, a watershed and secondary roads

• Heavy loss of livestock

• Evacuations are in effect (no. unknown); no open shelters

Response

• 416 personnel including a Type-1 IMT are assigned

• ID State EOC is not activated

• Region X RRCC at Watch/Steady State; Bothell MOC is monitoring

= Elmore County

Photo Credit: Inciweb

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Wildfire Summary

Fire Name

(County) FMAG #

Acres

burned

% Contained Est. Containment

date

Evacuations Structures

Threatened Structures Destroyed

Fatalities /

Injuries

Oregon (1)

Douglas Complex (Douglas County)

FEMA-5037-FM-OR

July 28, 2013

45,483

(+72) 50% (+2) Voluntary 545 4 0/7

Idaho (1)

Elk Complex

(Elmore County) Approved Aug 12, 2013 221,000 5% Mandatory 518 0 0/0

Washington (1)

Milepost 10 (FINAL) (Chelan County)

FEMA-5042-FM-WA

August 10, 2013

5,684

(-316)

70%

(+55) Lifted 230 0 0/0

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FMAG Requests and Declarations

Action (since last report) Total FMAG No. and State

Requests DENIED 0

Requests APPROVED 1 Elk Complex Fire, Idaho

Approved Aug 12, 2013

As of August 9, 2013 FY2013 FY2012*

FMAGs Approved 22 32

FMAGs Denied 7 15

* Cumulative FMAG figures as of this date in FY2012

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Open Field Offices as of August 13, 2013

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OFDC Cadre Member Status

Federal Coordinating Officer

Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total

24 2 10 1 37

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

12* 2 6 2 2

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions

7 2 1 9 10

As of: 08/9/2013

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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 50 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 5 Total Not Deployed 55

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units

Assigned Available

FMC Deployed

Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON

En

Route Unit Prep

Open

Request Notes:

MERS Maynard 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0

MERS Frederick 8 8 0 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Thomasville 14 13 0 0 1 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 20 18 0 0 2 0 0 0

MERS Denver 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Bothell 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0

Sacramento 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0

TOTAL 55 50 0 0 5 TOTAL 0 0 0 0

Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in. 0 0

Data as of: 08/12/13 @ 1500

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Active IA Disasters - Referral Status & Awards

Data as of: 08/12/13 @ 1500 # Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($31,900 as of FY 2013)

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IA Registration Statistics

IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of August 12, 2013 @ 1500

DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved

Applicants Total HA Approved

Total ONA

Approved Total IHP Approved

4117 - OK 15,070 3,504 $9,536,852 $4,284,905 $13,821,756

4122 - AK 348 237 $1,045,391 $1,426,914 $2,472,305

Totals 15,418 3,741 $10,582,243 $5,711,819 $16,294,061

24 hour change +23 +2 +$1,086 +$7,237 +$8,324

NPSC Call Data for August 11, 2013

Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 649

Average time to answer call 13 seconds

Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 34 seconds / 10 seconds

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Housing Inspection Statistics

Inspection Data as of August 12, 2013 @ 1500

DR # - State Inspectors Inspections

Assigned

Inspections

Completed

Inspection %

Complete

Turnaround Time

(Days)

4117 - OK 6 8,129 8,038 98.88% 1.9

4122 - AK 1 368 349 94.84% 3.0

TOTAL 7 8,497 8,387 98.71% 2.0

24 hour change 0 +14 +4 -0.12% 0.0

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Workforce Type Total Available To

Deploy Deployed

Committed To

Other Activities

or Exempt from

Deployment

Operational Readiness

Reservist 6,352 3,685 (53%) 2,016 (35%) 651 (12%) Mission Capable

Cadre of On-Call Response

Employees (CORE) 2,564 970 (40%) 1,590 (60%) 4 (0%) Mission Capable

Permanent Full Time (PFT) 4,991 1,976 (40%) 524 (10%) *2,491 (50%) Mission Capable

FEMA Corps 309 0 (0%) 161 (54%) 148 (46%) Mission Capable

DHS Surge Capacity Force 3,907 1,712 (40%) 0 (0%) ** 2,195 (60%) Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation

Workforce Totals 18,123 8,343 (45%) 4,291 (24%) 5,489 (31%)

= <70% Deployed/Mission Capable = 70% - 79% Deployed/Partially Mission Capable

= >80% Deployed

= >80% Committed to Other Activities- Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation

*This number will continue to be refined as Directorates/Regions identify and solidify the number of personnel required to support “mission critical home station”, and Emergency Relocation Group personnel **Deployable based on FEMA’s need for DHS activation Employees may be committed to other activities or exempt from deployment based on: leave status, training, travel related issues, or personnel status as ERG or mission critical home station employee

FEMA Workforce Status Report

Data as of 8/12/13

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IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Blue/White East West

Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V Region VIII ND/SD/SRST*

Region II Region VI-1 OK Region IX-1

Region III Region VI-2 AR Region IX-2

Region IV-1 Region VII Region X

Region IV-2 *SRST – Standing Rock Sioux Tribe

= Assigned/Deployed

= Not Mission Capable

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Non-operational PA-TF1 Conditionally

Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditionally

Available VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Available

= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Region RRCC Regional Watch Center

I Watch/Steady State Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Watch/Steady State 24/7

III Watch/Steady State 24/7

IV Watch/Steady State 24/7

V Watch/Steady State 24/7

VI Watch/Steady State Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Level III 24/7

VIII Watch/Steady State Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Watch/Steady State 24/7

X Watch/Steady State Bothell MOC (24/7)

RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

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National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

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Date Exercise Event Capability Focus Target Audience/

FEMA Participation Location

8/10-16 Vibrant Response 13.2 Functional Exercise Type I, IND

ARNORTH, FEMA

Region V, Denver MERS,

FEMA HQ NRCC SimCell

(limited staffing)

Camp Atterbury,

IN and FEMA HQ

8/13-15

National Exercise

Program (NEP)

Capstone Exercise* /

Alaska Shield 14

Midterm Planning

Meeting/MSEL Writing Multiple

State of Alaska,

FEMA HQ, FEMA Region

X, inter-agency reps

Anchorage, AK

8/14

NEP Capstone

Exercise* / Eagle

Horizon 14

Initial Planning Meeting COOP/COG

FEMA National Continuity

Programs, inter-agency

reps

Washington, DC

8/22 NEP Capstone

Exercise* / NUWAIX 14

Incident Management

Workshop Consequence Management

DOE/NNSA, inter-agency

reps TBD, Colorado

* The 2013 NEP Capstone Exercise will be held from March 27-April 10, 2014 and consists of five main exercises: Alaska

Shield 2014, Ardent Sentry 2014, Nuclear Weapon Accident Incident Exercise (NUWAIX) 2014, Eagle Horizon 2014, and

Long-Term Recovery Tabletop Exercise

FEMA Exercise Branch 30-day Outlook

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