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•Daily Operations Briefing Wednesday, August 7, 2013
As of 8:30 a.m. EDT
2
Significant Activity: Aug 6 – 7 Significant Events:
• Flooding – Kansas & Missouri
Tropical Activity:
• Atlantic – Area 1
• Eastern Pacific – Hurricane Henriette
• Central Pacific – Post-Tropical Cyclone Gil
• Western Pacific – No activity threatening U.S. territories
Significant Weather:
• Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – Central/Southern Plains; Ohio Valley to Great Lakes
• Flash flooding – Central Plains to Tennessee Valley
• Critical Fire Weather Areas: OR & ID
• Red Flag Warnings: OR, CA & AK
• Space Weather: No storms occurred past 24 hrs; none predicted next 24 hrs
Earthquake Activity: No significant activity
Declaration Activity: None
3
Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT
Atlantic – Tropical Outlook
4
Atlantic – Area 1
As of 8:00 a.m. EDT
• Cloudiness & showers associated with weak area of
low pressure
• Moving West into Eastern Caribbean Sea
• Conditions forecast to be unfavorable for development
• LOW chance (0%) of becoming a tropical cyclone
during next 48 hours
5
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml
This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and
11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be
issued as conditions warrant.
Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook
6
Eastern Pacific – Hurricane Henriette
As of 5:00 a.m. EDT (Advisory 16)
• Located 1,425 miles E of Hilo, Hawaii
• Moving WNW at 10 mph
• This motion expected to continue through tonight
followed by turn toward W on Thurs
• Max sustained winds 85 mph
• Little change in strength expected next 24 hours;
weakening forecast by Thurs
• Hurricane force winds extend 25 miles; tropical storm
force winds extend 80 miles
7
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/
This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and
11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be
issued as conditions warrant.
Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook
8
Central Pacific – Post-Tropical Cyclone Gil
As of 11:00 p.m. EDT (Advisory 31 - FINAL)
• Located 935 miles ESE of Hilo, Hawaii
• Moving WNW at 7 mph
• Maximum sustained winds 30 mph
• No longer a tropical cyclone
• Last Public Advisory
9
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf
National Weather Forecast
10
Active Watches/Warnings
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php
11
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_fill.gif
Precipitation Forecast Days 1-3
DAY 1
DAY 2
DAY 3
12
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Excessive Rainfall Outlooks
Day 1 Day 2
Day 3
13
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood¤t_type=all&fcst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_map
River Forecast – 7 Day
14
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood¤t_type=all&fcst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_map
Significant River flood Outlook
15
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3
Day 1 Day 2
Day 3
16
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html
Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8
Day 1
Day 3-8
Day 2
17
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php
Hazard Outlook: August 9 – 13
20
www.spaceweather.com
http://www.swpc.noaa.n/index.html
http://
Space Weather
NOAA Scales Activity Range 1 (minor) to 5 (extreme)
Past 24 Hours Current Next 24 Hours
Space Weather Activity: None None None
• Geomagnetic Storms None None None
• Solar Radiation Storms None None None
• Radio Blackouts None None None
HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/
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Flooding – Kansas & Missouri Situation
• Torrential rain and major flash flooding occurred Aug 3-4 in KS & Aug 5-6 in MO
▲Near record-breaking rainfall occurred in southwestern MO
• Minor to moderate flooding occurring or forecast
Missouri
▲Severe storms possible next 24 hours; 2-4 inches of rain, winds & large hail forecast
▲Newburg (Phelps County): creek rose 2 ft in one hour, expected to rise 5.5 ft today
▲Evacuations ongoing for 200-300 people; 100 homes & businesses damaged
▲Waynesville (pop. 4,830) (Pulaski County): mandatory evacuations; 75 homes reported
flooding; numerous water rescues; 1 confirmed fatality
▲ 2 shelters open overnight with 13 occupants (NSS 0400 EDT Aug 7)
▲Governor declared State of Emergency on Aug 6
▲MO EOC activated to Level 1 (Monitoring) 24/7 until further notice
Kansas
▲Additional 2-4 inches of rainfall expected next 72 hours
• Hutchinson (Reno County) hardest hit; 150 residents of eldercare facility evacuated
▲ 15 counties declared local county declarations
• No shelters open; no mandatory evacuations in effect
• KS EOC activated to Watch Level (Monitoring); will remain activated until Aug 9
FEMA Response
• Region VII RRCC is at Level III with ESF-15
• No requests for FEMA assistance Waynesville, MO Middle School
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge2/RFC_Precip/
22
SPC Storm Report – August 6
23
U.S. Wildland Fire Preparedness Levels
As of August 6, 2013
National Preparedness Level: 3 Description: Two or more Geographic Areas are experiencing wildland or prescribed fire activities requiring a major commitment
of national resources. Additional resources are being ordered & mobilized through the National Interagency Coordination Center
(NICC). Type 1 & Type 2 Incident Management Teams (IMT) are committed in two or more Geographic Areas & crew
commitment nationally is at 50 percent.
PL 4
PL 3
PL 2
PL 3
PL 2
PL 1 PL 5
Minimal Extreme
PL 2
PL 2
PL 1
PL 1
PL 1
PL 3
24
http://activefiremaps.fs.fed.us/lg_fire2.php
As of Aug 7, 2013:
• National Preparedness Level: 3
• Initial Attack Activity: Light (119 new fires)
• New Large Fires: 2
• Large Fires Contained: 0
• Uncontained Large Fires: 24
• Area Command Teams committed: 0
• NIMOs committed: 1
• Type 1 IMT(s) Committed: 3
• Type 2 IMT(s) Committed: 11
National Fire Activity
26
Wildfire Summary
Fire Name
(County) FMAG #
Acres
burned
% Contained Est. Containment
date
Evacuations
(Residents)
Structures
Threatened Structures Destroyed
Fatalities /
Injuries
Oregon (1)
Douglas Complex (Douglas County)
FEMA-5037-FM-OR
July 28, 2013
40,135
(+1,729) 17% Mandatory 545 4 0/6 (+1)
California (1)
Falls Fire (Riverside County)
FEMA-5040-FM-CA
August 6, 2013
1,416
(-84)
30%
(+30) Mandatory 310 (-740) 2 (+2) 0/0
28
Disaster Requests & Declarations
Declaration Requests in Process Requests
APPROVED (since last report)
Requests DENIED
(since last report)
3 Date Requested 0 1
AZ – DR Yarnell Hill Fire Request: July 9, 2013
Amend: July 12, 2013
San Carlos Apache Tribe – Power Outage July 12, 2013 Denied
August 5, 2013
PA – DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding
and Mudslides
July 25, 2013
WI – DR Severe Storms, Flooding, and Mudslides August 1, 2013
31
Open Field Offices as of August 7, 2013
32
Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total
25 2 9 1 37
OFDC Cadre Member Status
Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4
11* 2 5 2 2
As of: 08/5/2013
* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event
Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions
7 2 1 9 10
Federal Coordinating Officer
Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator
33
MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status
Fully Mission Capable 50 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 5 Total Not Deployed 55
MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS
Location Units
Assigned Available
FMC Deployed
Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON
En
Route Unit Prep
Open
Request Notes:
MERS Maynard 3 1 0 0 2 0 0 0
MERS Frederick 8 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
MERS Thomasville 14 13 0 0 1 0 0 0
DC Ft Worth 20 18 0 0 2 0 0 0
MERS Denver 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
MERS Bothell 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sacramento 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL 55 50 0 0 5 TOTAL 0 0 0 0
Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in. 0 0
Data as of: 08/06/13 @ 1500
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Active IA Disasters - Referral Status & Awards
Data as of: 08/06/13 @ 1500 # Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($31,900 as of FY 2013)
35
IA Registration Statistics
IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of August 6, 2013 @ 1500
DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved
Applicants Total HA Approved
Total ONA
Approved Total IHP Approved
4116 - IL 93,916 60,814 $129,465,829 $20,893,171 $150,359,000
4117 - OK 14,968 3,476 $9,486,050 $4,209,779 $13,695,829
4122 - AK 345 223 $958,204 $1,238,940 $2,197,144
Totals 109,229 64,513 $139,910,083 $26,341,890 $166,251,973
24 hour change +263 +132 +$476,094 +$115,735 +$591,828
NPSC Call Data for August 5, 2013
Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 4,026
Average time to answer call 15 seconds
Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 1 minute, 1 second / 10 seconds
36
Housing Inspection Statistics
Inspection Data as of August 6, 2013 @ 1500
DR # - State Inspectors Inspections
Assigned
Inspections
Completed
Inspection %
Complete
Turnaround Time
(Days)
4116 - IL 36 89,872 88,998 99.03% 1.7
4117 - OK 7 8,053 7,965 98.91% 1.9
4122 - AK 1 359 342 95.26% 2.8
TOTAL 44 98,284 97,305 99.00% 1.7
24 hour change +8 +311 +187 -0.12% 0.0
37
Workforce Type Total Available To
Deploy Deployed
Committed To
Other Activities
or Exempt from
Deployment
Operational Readiness
Reservist 6,359 3,541 (53%) 2,159 (35%) 659 (12%) Mission Capable
Cadre of On-Call Response
Employees (CORE) 2,562 991 (40%) 1,563 (60%) 8 (0%) Mission Capable
Permanent Full Time (PFT) 4,992 2,011 (40%) 489 (10%) *2,492 (50%) Mission Capable
FEMA Corps 309 0 (0%) 168 (54%) 141 (46%) Mission Capable
DHS Surge Capacity Force 3,876 1,622 (40%) 0 (0%) ** 2,254 (60%) Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation
Workforce Totals 18,098 8,165 (45%) 4,379 (24%) 5,554 (31%)
= <70% Deployed/Mission Capable = 70% - 79% Deployed/Partially Mission Capable
= >80% Deployed
= >80% Committed to Other Activities- Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation
FEMA Workforce Status Report
Data as of 8/6/13
*This number will continue to be refined as Directorates/Regions identify and solidify the number
of personnel required to support “mission critical home station”, and Emergency Relocation Group personnel
**Deployable based on FEMA’s need for DHS activation
Employees may be committed to other activities or exempt from deployment based on: leave status, training, travel related issues, or
personnel status as ERG or mission critical home station employee
39
IMAT Status National Teams
Team Status Team Status Team Status
Blue/White East West
Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status
Region I Region V Region VIII ND/SD/SRST*
Region II Region VI-1 OK Region IX-1
Region III Region VI-2 AR Region IX-2
Region IV-1 Region VII Region X
Region IV-2 *SRST – Standing Rock Sioux Tribe
= Assigned/Deployed
= Not Mission Capable
= Available/Mission Capable
= Available/Partially Mission Capable
40
Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
WEST CENTRAL EAST
Team Status Team Status Team Status
CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available
CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available
CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available
CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available
CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available
CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Non-operational PA-TF1 Conditionally
Available
CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditionally
Available VA-TF1 Available
CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available
WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available
UT-TF1 Available
= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service
= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable
41
Region RRCC Regional Watch Center
I Watch/Steady State Maynard MOC (24/7)
II Watch/Steady State 24/7
III Watch/Steady State 24/7
IV Watch/Steady State 24/7
V Watch/Steady State 24/7
VI Watch/Steady State Denton MOC (24/7)
VII Level III 24/7
VIII Watch/Steady State Denver MOC (24/7)
IX Watch/Steady State 24/7
X Watch/Steady State Bothell MOC (24/7)
RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status
42
National Team Status
Team/Status Current Location Remarks
National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State
NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated
HLT Miami, FL Activated
DEST Washington, DC Not Activated
Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable
44