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CONTENTS
Bulkcarrier Freight Market
Sale & Purchase Market
Demolition Market
Shipbuilding Market
Vessel Tracking and Bunkers
Commodities Markets
Weekly Commodity Updates
Broker's Meeting Point - Available Cargoes
LATEST COMMODITY NEWS
Iron Ore- CHINESE TOP STEEL MANUFACTURERS BELIEVE DEMAND WOULD REMAIN STRONG FOR THE FORESEEABLE
Coal - AUSTRALIAN COAL EXPLORATION SPENDING DOWN, ASIA-PACIFIC DEMAND TO DRIVE
- COAL TRADE GROWTH 13 COAL SHIPS TO CALL AT SECOND LARGEST US COAL EXPORT PORT BY MARCH
Grains- CHINA TO RAISE MINIMUM PURCHASE PRICE OF WHEAT - CHINA PURCHASES OF US CORN APPROACH RECORD 19MN T WHILE JAPAN BUYS 30% OF 2021-22 US CORN EXPORTS
Other News- CHINA'S PRIEMER ANNOUNCES GROWTH TARGET OF MORE THAN 6 PERCENT
Timecharter Hire RatesSize PF2tc LF2tc CFtc
W%2tc 2020tc Y%tc
CAPESIZE6 M1 Y2 Y
PANAMAX6 M1 Y2 Y
ULTRAMAX6 M1 Y2 Y
SUPRAMAX6 M1 Y2 Y
HANDY6 M1 Y2 Y
16,37517,00017,125 14,75013,75015,375 14,37513,50015,000 14,12512,87514,125 11,00010,75011,125
17,37517,00017,125 19,87516,25015,625 16,12515,00014,750 15,87514,12514,125 12,50011,75011,125
18,00017,50017,500
21,00016,25015,625
19,12515,25015,125
18,87515,12515,125
16,25014,25014,250
3.6%2.9%2.2%
5.7%0.0%0.0%
18.6%1.7%2.5%
18.9%7.1%7.1%
30.0%21.3%28.1%
16,65317,00017,347
15,00714,04214,435
13,51412,81912,972
13,26412,16712,403
10,98610,61110,806
18.1%15.2%9.2%
31.7%25.9%28.4%
32.0%25.4%21.0%
36.5%26.6%20.9%
32.4%29.3%11.9%
Commercial Class Wk 7 Wk 8 Wk 9 WoW% Avg. 2021 YoY%
Capesize Spot Routes
5
10
15
20
Nov 2020 Jan 2021 Mar 2021
Index C17 C2 C3 C5 C7
DRY BULK WEEKLY
WEEK 09 | Monday, 8 March 2021
/
Bulkcarrier Freight Market
2000
4000
Nov 2020 Jan 2021 Mar 2021
Index BCI BDI
The Capesize market seems unwilling to settle back while helping the BDI Index to stay positive. The BDI Index (+9.2%), after a declining week (8th week), rebounded and showed for one more time the ‘’rock-solid’’ period of the dry bulk market.
The BCI gained 345 points and closed last Friday at 1.784, an increase of 24% compared to the previous week (8th week). The voyages that benefited the most by the strength of the Capesize spot market were the routes West Australia to China (C5) and the S.Africa to China (C17), which closed the week to $8.96 (+24.0%) and $13.58(+16%) respectively. The Capesize’s tripcharter route Trans-Pacific (C10), saw an increase of 65.1% and locked on last Friday at $18.992.
The market prospects of the Capesize segment showimprovement, the levels of freights for the first quarter of 2021 showed a severe increase compared to the last five years. Many shipowners believe that 2021 has all the requirements to be the best year of the last decade. Furthermore, iron ore prices are at their highest levels in a decade. In fact, commodity prices are one of the leverages that show us the way of freight levels.
Spot Route ptpfsp pfsp lfsp cvsp
WoW% 2019 2020 2021 YoY% 2Y%
Tubarao-Qingdao - C3Saldanha Bay-Qingdao - C17Bolivar-Rotterdam - C7West Australia-Qingdao - C5Tubarao-Rotterdam - C2
14.9110.359.165.837.09
17.3812.9510.067.058.48
15.4911.719.497.177.92
16.7813.589.708.968.43
8.3%16.0%2.2%
25.0%6.5%
18.613.89.67.78.2
14.811.38.16.76.6
17.212.810.97.58.7
15.9%13.5%34.2%12.5%30.7%
-7.7%-7.4%13.4%-3.2%6.0%
Capesize Spot Rates 12/02/2021 19/02/2021 26/02/2021 05/03/2021 WoW% Avg. 2019 Avg. 2020 Avg. 2021 YoY% 2Y%
Tripcharter PTPF2 PF2
LF2 CF2 W%2 2019.2 2020.2 2021.2 YoY%2 2Y%2
Continent-Mediterranean/ China-Japan - C9Gibraltar-Hamburg/ Transatlantic RV - C8China-Brazil RV - C14China-Japan/ Transpacific RV - C10
17462770666095944
30325175751199111838
2729515025865011500
28700152151070918992
5.1%1.3%23.8%65.1%
35045184031721517175
27699137521173113042
33898216271313914379
22.4%57.3%12.0%10.2%
-3.3%17.5%-23.7%-16.3%
0
20000
40000
Nov 2020 Jan 2021 Mar 2021
Index C5TC HS7TC P5TC S10TC
Index PF8 LF8 CF8 WoW%I
BDIBCIBPIBSI
BHSIC5TCP5TCS10TCHS7TC
1,6981,7152,3321,513901
14,22420,99116,64816,223
1,6751,4392,1401,8781,07011,93419,25620,66219,254
1,8291,7842,2411,9171,13114,79420,16521,08920,357
9.2%24.0%4.7%2.1%5.7%24.0%4.7%2.1%5.7%
Index 19/02/2021 26/02/2021 05/03/2021 WoW%
0
2000
Jul 2019 Jan 2020 Jul 2020 Jan 2021
Index BHSI BPI BSI
Capesize Tripcharter Rates 12/02/2021 19/02/2021 26/02/2021 05/03/2021 WoW% Avg.2019 Avg.2020 Avg. 2021 YoY% 2Y%
/
Bulkcarrier Freight Market
Tripcharter PTPF2 PF2 LF2 CF2 W%2 2019.2 2020.2 2021.2
YoY%2 2Y%2
Skaw-Gib/ HK-S. Korea-Taiwan - P2ASkaw-Gib/ Transatlantic RV - P1ASingapore RV via Atlantic - P6HK-S. Korea-Taiwan/ Transpacific RV -HK-S. Korea- Taiwan/ Skaw-Gib - P4
17866100791125891683211
307272365020710207576036
277142009019615199475912
271591904022550213085971
-2.0%-5.2%15.0%6.8%1.0%
210381262212946112164824
1801695021066591012714
256121879416636150854946
42.2%97.8%56.0%65.8%82.3%
21.7%48.9%28.5%34.5%2.5%
Tripcharter PTPF2 PF2
LF2 CF2 W%2 2019.2 2020.2 2021.2 YoY%2 2Y%2
Rio de Janeiro-Recalada/ Skaw-Passero -HS3USG via USG-ECSA/ Skaw-Passero - HS4Skaw-Passero/ Boston-Galveston - HS2Skaw-Passero/ Rio de Janeiro-Recalada -HS1S. East Asia/ Singapore-Japan - HS5N. China-S- Korea-Japan/ N.China-S. Korea-Japan - HS6N. China-S. Korea-Japan/ S. East Asia - HS7
10709
1128983458366
73796904
6518
23028
199041703617000
1383113000
12356
30111
232211921419214
1612515525
14544
30717
233861971119693
1812516906
16625
2.0%
0.7%2.6%2.5%
12.4%8.9%
14.3%
13465
1085385988390
86298068
7858
10398
1001485578213
72316481
6129
18183
178521448414500
1270011563
10969
74.9%
78.3%69.3%76.5%
75.6%78.4%
79.0%
35.0%
64.5%68.5%72.8%
47.2%43.3%
39.6%
Tripcharter PTPF2 PF2 LF2 CF2
W%2 2019.2 2020.2 2021.2 YoY%2 2Y%2
USG/China-S. Japan - S1CCanakkale via Med-BI Sea/ China-S. Korea -S1BUSG/ Skaw-Passero - S4AW.Africa via ECSA/ N. China - S5W.Africa via ECSA/ Skaw-Passero - S9S.China via Indonesia/ S.China - S10Skaw-Passero/ USG - S4BN. China/Australia-Pacific RV - S2S.China via Indonesia/ EC.India - S8N. China/ W. Africa - S3
1829114913
1428110131561858956066619958482898
3266731050
305292131217042144361767514029114337310
3593334032
3391825648207162021420347173211664211780
3519734039
3279326618217952097920369183861720812060
-2.0%0.0%
-3.3%3.8%5.2%3.8%0.1%6.1%3.4%2.4%
2112418278
1462614593928388117623893588324670
1986917591
1326612844695167357570717859812613
2796125522
248511884813300129101465112069111646749
40.7%45.1%
87.3%46.7%91.3%91.7%93.5%68.1%86.7%158.3%
32.4%39.6%
69.9%29.2%43.3%46.5%92.2%35.1%26.4%44.5%
Spot Route ptpfsp pfsp lfsp cvsp WoW% 2019
2020 2021 YoY% 2Y%2
Santos - Qingdao - P8USG - Qingdao - P7
40.8652.37
45.7356.44
45.0755.21
48.1155.20
6.7%-0.0%
34.540.2
28.439.6
39.449.9
38.8%26.0%
30.0%30.0%
The Panamax segment improved from Week 7’s end, with the BPI rising by 101 points (4.7%) w-o-w. However, changes in rates showed a mixed picture with Spot Rates mildly positive as route P8 increased by 6.7% w-o-w but route P7 remained practically unchanged. Regarding Tripcharter Rates, table leaders P2A and P1A decreased (-2% and -5.2% respectively) as mineral activity reduced in the north Atlantic. On the other hand, charter P6 showed the most positive change (15%) followed by the rest of Asian charters while market sentiment remains positive.
One more week of positive changes in the Supramax segment, as the BSI gained a further 2.1% w-o-w. Yet, the improvement was not seen in all charters as table leader S1C and S4C decreased -2% and -3.3% respectively. Those with weekly increments showed mild changes, the highest being S2 with a 6.1% improvement w-o-w. The Handysize segment continued the upward trend with the BHSI up by another 61 points (5.7%) w-o-w. Once again positive changes characterised the segment with charter HS7 rising 14.3% w-o-w, while the rest of the table improved by 0.7%-12.4% approximately. The overall review of the smaller segments is still positive although a growth slowdown was noted when compared to the previous week’s jump.
Panamax Spot Rates 12/02/2021 19/02/2021 26/02/2021 05/03/2021 WoW% Avg.2019 Avg.2020 Avg.2021 YoY% 2Y%
Panamax Tripcharter Rates 12/02/2021 19/02/2021 26/02/2021 05/03/2021 WoW% Avg.2019 Avg.2020 Avg.2021 YoY% 2Y%
Supramax Tripcharter Rates 12/02/2021 19/02/2021 26/02/2021 05/03/2021 WoW% Avg.2019 Avg.2020 Avg.2021 YoY% 2Y%
Handysize Tripcharter Rates 12/02/2021 19/02/2021 26/02/2021 05/03/2021 WoW% Avg. 2019 Avg. 2020 Avg. 2021 YoY% 2Y%
/
Sale & Purchase Market
Ship Sales by Age and Size (Week 9)
0
5
Handysize
Supramax
Ultramax
Panamax
Kamsar
max
Capesize
Age Group 0-5 years 10-15 years 15-20 years 20+ years 5-10 years
Latest TransactionsWeek Ships Sold Age DWT
Price (US$) Notes Owner Country/Region of
Buyer
999999999
999999999
BOLEROALAM SEJAHTERAOCEAN BARI-STARPAPAYIANNISAVRAFORTUNE BIRDLUMINOUS NOVAMYKALIEASTERNEDELWEISSWINNING ANGELWINNING BRIGHTGH SEABIRDROBIN WINDSHER-E PUNJABTHARKEYVEENUSRR AUSTRALIACAPE SATURN
245
102017118
109
9958
1011101018
25,00833,29738,24351,02953,80655,60056,10056,10056,800
58,80058,80063,99778,22879,22479,22479,22481,600175,775
$2,800,000$14,800,000$11,000,000$5,400,000$7,200,000
$12,700,000$15,000,000$13,700,000$11,800,000
$14,100,000$14,100,000$19,400,000$18,400,000
$16,200,000$10,000,000
$30,300,000 en bloc$30,300,000 en bloc$30,300,000 en bloc
POLFORCE SHIPPINGBLUE PLANET SHIPPINGCIDO SHIPPINGAONO MARINESAMOS STEAMSHIP
WINNING INTERNATIONAL GROUPWINNING INTERNATIONAL GROUPUNION APEX SHIPPINGTOHMEI SHIPPING OAKTREE CAPITALSIVA BULKRIMORCHIATORI RIUNITIU MING MARINE TRANSPORTSINGAPORE
Middle EastGreece
ChinaChina
IndonesiaIndiaChina
GreeceGreece
GreeceGreeceGreece
China
On the dry bulk side, the good momentum in terms of acquisitions during the past weeks continues. A fair number of transactions came to light in the 9th week of the year. Eighteen vessels in overall changed hands.
We noticed the shipowners’ attention did not focus on a specific segment or vessel age, as there was interest in all vessel sizes. If we had to underline any ship segment, the Supramax would be a step ahead of the other segments regarding the owners’ preferences. Eight purchases of the specific vessel size (Supramax) were reported in the past week by various buyers.
Over half of the fleet sold is less than ten years old, twelve vessels belonged to the age vessel category of 5-10 years old, and only one sale of an older vessel was reported, the MV Bolero, a 24-years-old Handysize sold in the Middle East for $2.8M. Sale of the week: A Greek buyer was behind the purchase of the three Panamax; MV Tharkey (built 2010), MV Sher-E Punjab (built 2011) and MV Veenus (built 2011). The vessels were built at the Chinese shipyard Dalian were acquired en bloc for $ 30.3 million. The transaction deal was good, as the agreed price was relatively low.
Annual Volume of SalesSize Group 2019
2020
2021
SupramaxHandysizePanamaxKamsarmaxUltramaxCapesizeHandymaxPost PanamaxVLBC
1251198635442526158
1251285652465312919
503023242713242
Total 483 500 175
Weekly Volume of SalesSize 7
8
9
Total
SupramaxHandysizeKamsarmaxPanamaxUltramaxCapesizePost PanamaxVLBC
45212
547 1 11
831411
17121054111
Total 14 19 18 51
/
Demolition Market
Demolition Prices (US$/LDT)
200
400
2018 2019 2020 2021
Market Bangladesh India Pakistan
Demolition Prices for Bulkcarriers- WeekAverage (USD/LDT)
Market PLVw LVw
CVw WoW%w
Pakistan
Bangladesh
India
Turkey
425
430
415
255
440
435
415
250
470
470
425
250
6.8%
8.0%
2.4%
0.0%
Location of Delivery - No. Vessels 2020& 2021
36
Pakistan 30
India 11
Other 6 Bangladesh
Deals were struck for 3 Iron Ore Carriers in the demolition market this week. 2 of the sales were 24-year-old vessels namely: MV The Merciful built by in Japan by Tsuneishi Shipbuilding, Tokyo, and MV Sinomerchant built in South korea by Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering Co Ltd.
The Sea Lion Shipmanagement, Mumbai owned MV The Merciful was sold to Pakistan Ship breakers for USD480/LDT, while the 37,479 LDT MV Sinormerchant was sold for USD473 /LDT to Bangladesh. Furthermore, MV Sinocarrier has also been reported sold to shipbreakers. The 29-year-old 38,306 LDT was sold for USD478 /LDT to an unidentified buyer.
Bangladesh, in a bid to win back tonnage after losing out to Pakistan last week, increased LDT rates by 8% to USD470/LDT. Prevailing rates for LDT in Pakistan increased 6.8% from last week to match Bangladesh LDT price. India LDT prices also increased 2.4% to USD425/LDT while Turkey maintained price at USD250 for the consecutive week.
Competition amongst shipbreakers and increasing steel demand due to quick rebound of China from Lunar New year holidays has led to continuous increase in LDT rates over the past month.
Demolition Age (years) of Vessels in 2020 & 2021(%)
Over 30 25
Less than or 20
23
24
27 26
29 28
20%
15%
15% 11%
11% 10% 8%
5% 4%
Latest Transactions
Week
Vessel Vessel Age Location of Delivery USD / LDT LDT (MT) Sale Price
999
MV SinocarrierMV SinomerchantMV The Merciful
292424
N/ABangladesh
Pakistan
478473480
38306374799796
$18,310,268$17,727,567$4,702,080
Demolition Activity in the Last 3 Months
0K
50K
100K
150K
200K
LDT
(M
T)
Jan 2021 Feb 2021 Mar 2021
Market Wk 7 Wk 8 Wk 9 WoW%
3%
/
Shipbuilding Market
Delivery Year by SizeSize Group 2021
2021/2022
2022
2023
Total
KamsarmaxHandysizeUltramax
VLBCSupramaxCapesize
HandymaxPost Panamax
Panamax
2816265114
93 4
30352921122 34
63 7 2
646358261310854
Total 81 16 136 18 251
Newbuilding Market Price by Size (Week 9)Year
Average of HP Average of UP Average of PP Average of KP Average of CP
2021202020192018
$23,000,000$26,000,000$26,000,000$22,150,000
$25,000,000$32,000,000$31,000,000$24,500,000
$26,000,000$33,000,000$32,000,000$25,000,000
$27,000,000$34,000,000$33,000,000$26,000,000
$49,000,000$53,000,000$51,000,000$44,750,000
After an intense week (8th week) when several transactions were reported, the market slowed down and only one order was placed at DACKS shipyard in China. The agreement included one unit of 61,000 dwt (Ultramax). The order, from Turkey’s Akmar Shipping and Trading, is expected to be delivered in 2022 and is the second purchase from Turkey this year. Shipowners and investors continue to approach the newbuilding market with caution as expected, due to issues discussed in our reports since the turn of the year. Furthermore, prevailing strong freight rates and the relative boom in the S&P market means newbuild investments are being held back. Shipyards retained newbuild prices across all vessel sizes from last week.
Shipbuilding orders are at an all-time low even lower than in the 1990s for all types of ships. The estimation is that the reduced capacity will probably help shipping companies to establish better deals in the freight market.
Latest OrdersWeek
Size Class DWT Units Delivery Buyer Shipbuilder
9 Ultramax 61,000 1 2022 Akmar Shipping & Trading, Turkey DACKS, China
Year Handysize Ultramax Panamax Kamsarmax Capesize
Units by Year and Size Group
0
100
200
300
2018 2020
3-year Average
Size GroupCapesize
Handymax
Handysize
Kamsarmax
Panamax
Post Pana…
Supramax
Ultramax
VLBC
Orders by Country of Buyer - 2021
0 2 4 6 8 10Units
Cou
ntry
of
Buy
er
UK
Greece
Bangladesh
China
Japan
Taiwan
Turkey
Singapore
Size Group Capesize Handymax Kamsarmax Ultramax VLBC
/
Bunker Prices & Port Activity
No. of Calls by Week and 2020PORT
8
9
Bahia blancaDampierGhentHay pointHoustonNew orleansNewcastleParanaguaPonta da madeiraPort hedlandPortland orRichards bayRotterdamRouenSaldanhaSan lorenzoSantosTubaraoVancouverYuzhny
8197
179
36391413472
18658
1936102910
7219
191745471513569
296118
1635193612
PORT
2020
Bahia blancaDampierGhentHay pointHoustonNew orleansNewcastleParanaguaPonta da madeiraPort hedlandPortland orRichards bayRotterdamRouenSaldanhaSan lorenzoSantosTubaraoVancouverYuzhny
7188
176
5933811408
2246
1018198
3010
*2020 Port Calls refer to week 9 of that year
Time at Port (TAP) and Time at Anchorage(TAA) - Difference WoW
Bunker PricesPort VLSFO MGO IFO380 IFO180
Fujairah14/02/202120/02/202126/02/202105/03/2021
Hong Kong14/02/202120/02/202126/02/202105/03/2021
Houston14/02/202120/02/202126/02/202105/03/2021
LA/Long Beach14/02/202120/02/202126/02/202105/03/2021
New York14/02/202120/02/202126/02/202105/03/2021
Rotterdam14/02/202120/02/202126/02/202105/03/2021
Santos14/02/202120/02/202126/02/202105/03/2021
Singapore14/02/202120/02/202126/02/202105/03/2021
496.00506.50524.50522.50
486.50501.50516.00514.50
453.00483.00497.00534.00
507.00506.50533.50540.50
581.00602.50623.50621.00
498.50518.00532.00525.00
529.00565.00584.50592.00
551.00581.00610.50628.50
361.50373.00379.50394.00
377.00392.00407.50411.00
337.50384.00384.50413.50
423.50431.00446.50458.00
350.00350.00350.00350.00
423.00423.00423.00423.00
375.00375.00375.00
529.00529.00529.00529.00
477.50489.50514.00511.50
459.00478.00493.00502.00
490.00495.00516.00522.00
506.00503.00519.00522.00
545.00555.00570.50588.50
500.50529.50543.50550.50
562.00631.00632.00637.00
520.50534.00544.50546.00
377.00368.50398.50385.00
356.50363.50385.00396.00
379.50386.50401.50407.50
383.50383.50383.50383.50
375.00
Average bunker PricesDate VLSFO MGO IFO380 IFO180
14/02/202120/02/202126/02/202105/03/2021
484.38495.38514.13521.13
535.94564.50580.13586.06
373.21385.50400.43409.29
412.10412.10412.10412.10
Main Iron Ore and Coal PortsPORT TAP (hrs) - WoW TAA (hrs) -
WoWDampierHay pointNewcastlePonta da madeiraPort hedlandRichards baySaldanhaTubaraoYuzhny
7.202.400.00-7.200.00
28.80-24.00-7.202.40
-33.60-7.20-4.80-79.20-96.0028.8088.8040.80-31.20
Main Grain PortsPORT TAP (hrs) - WoW TAA (hrs) -
WoWBahia blancaGhentHoustonNew orleansParanaguaPortland orRotterdamRouenSan lorenzoSantosVancouver
-9.6038.4012.002.40
-40.80-40.8074.40-36.0014.40-12.00-7.20
-86.40-7.2069.60
-120.00220.80-86.40-43.20
-2.40
-110.40
PORT 2020 PORT 8 9
/
Vessel Tracking
Average Speed of Vessels in Ballast by Arrival Week (100,000+ dwt)
11.5
12.0
Week
Ave
rage
of
Spe
ed
4 6 8 10
Top 5 Destination Countries of Ships in Ballast by Vessel Size(Week 10 Arrivals*)
Size Group Capesize Handysize Panamax Supramax
© 2021 TomTom, © 2021 Microsoft Corporation© 2021 TomTom, © 2021 Microsoft Corporation
A rise in Port Calls was observed in West Australian ports. Port Hedland and Dampier saw an increased number of vessels that arrived at the port compared to the 8th week of the year. The fact is that West Australia to China C5 route was strong, as we witnessed a 25% increase in freight rates. On the other hand, Tubarao also saw a rise in terms of calls, while the positive tone in terms of freight levels affected the area positively. On the opposite side, the same behaviour was noted in the port of Hay Point and Newcastle, where the week completed with increased calls compared to the previous week, however, we expect reduced activity in Australian ports in the forthcoming days, while the arrivals in Brazil will be increased by the end of the 10th week.
Overall, bunker prices continue to increase; VLSFO average increased 1.3% this week to USD521.13 /t. Rotterdam VLSFO price remained the lower priced at USD502/mt even though it increased by USD9/mt w-o-w. As to MGO, the average MGO price increased USD5.93 from last week. Similarly, average price of IFO380 increased to USD409.29 this week, while average IFO180 price remains USD412.1/t.
*Next Week Arrivals based on calculated ETA by MarineTraffic
Top 5 Destination Countries of Ships inBallast by Vessel Size and Arrival Week
Destination Country
8
9
10
Total
AU
CapesizeHandysizePanamaxSupramax
BR
CapesizeHandysizePanamaxSupramax
CA
CapesizeHandysizePanamaxSupramax
US
CapesizeHandysizePanamaxSupramax
ZA
CapesizeHandysizePanamaxSupramax
1638118559
70167
416
3116
159
592
19308
1658521481174218
432
3093
108
622
212712
1425814571391255
565
3047
172
525
13259
47022453160332356220140139114164219173
9538229
34153
133
2613 94
351519
10
95434
3117
Total 357 357 350 1064
Average Speed of Vessels in Ballast by Arrival Week (10,000 - 100,000dwt)
11.4
11.5
11.6
Week
Ave
rage
of
Spe
ed
4 6 8 10
Average Speed of Vessels -Ballast Arrivals - Week 10*Size Group
Average of Speed
CapesizeHandysizePanamaxSupramax
11.4311.0611.8311.46
Total 11.48
Average Speed of Vessels -Ballast Arrivals - Week 9Size Group Average of Speed
CapesizeHandysizePanamaxSupramax
11.7411.0811.8311.35
Total 11.51
Destination Country 8 9 10 Total
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Commodities Markets
Top 5 Destinations of Loaded Vessels (dwt) Departing on Week 9 - Shipsunder 100,000 dwtOrigin Port CN
EG
JP
KR
PA
Total
PARANAGUASANTOSSEATTLEPORTLAND ORCORPUS CHRISTIROUENHOUSTONNEW ORLEANSVANCOUVER
75,13175,83476,61955,64881,791
401,089
76,596164,089
62,623
252,532
58,83156,933
230,644
39,810
289,206330,617372,611
75,13175,834
135,450152,391158,387164,089289,206393,240
1,256,876Total 766,112 303,308 252,532 346,408 1,032,244 2,700,604
GRAINS
Similar levels were noted in terms of shipments to Top 5 destinations by loaded vessels (dwt). Although the tonnage destined directly to China decreased 23% w-o-w, shipments going through Panama picked up little over the difference to increase the total loaded tonnage by 13% w-o-w.
Corn and Soybean prices increased by 1% and 2% respectively, while wheat prices fell by US$18.5/ton w-o-w on ample global supply after reaching a 4-week high.
Corn Price ($/bl)
5.4
5.6
09 Feb 05 Mar
Top 5 Destinations of Loaded Vessels (dwt) Departing on Week 9 - Shipsover 100,000 dwtOrigin Port CN
IN
JP
KR
OM
Total
PORT HEDLANDPORT WALCOTTDAMPIERPONTA DA MADEIRANEWCASTLERICHARDS BAYHAY POINTTUBARAO
8,085,6701,645,6612,227,8461,124,242
93,271
324,689
169,031771,363
543,295899,975
181,249859,195
181,494
1,535,656226,415
509,611
262,354
402,285
10,164,6212,772,0512,227,8461,707,7761,537,837
864,634443,848324,689
Total 13,501,379 940,394 2,665,208 2,534,036 402,285 20,043,302
Iron Ore Price This Month ($/t)
160
170
09 Feb 05 Mar
Coal Price This Month ($/t)
66
68
09 Feb 05 Mar
IRON ORE & COAL
Two of the three main iron ore ports in West Australia significantly improved their shipments last week.
Port Hedland noticed a growth of almost 1.7M mt in its shipments to China, while Dampier achieved a rise of nearly 1M mt.
On the opposite side, Port Walcott saw a decline of over a 1M mt in China's shipments.
Iron ore prices skyrocketed in the 9th week, increased by $7.51 to $173.12/mt, while coal prices saw a slight decrease of 90 cents w-o-w to $65.25/mt.
Wheat Price ($/t)
220
240
09 Feb 05 Mar
Soybean Price ($/bl)
13.5
14.0
09 Feb 05 Mar
\ Destination
\ Destination
/
Weekly Commodity Update
IRON ORE
CHINESE TOP STEEL MANUFACTURERS BELIEVE DEMAND WOULD REMAIN STRONG FOR THE FORESEEABLE Brazilian Iron Ore exports received a boost in February as Vale’s production capacity rebounded after resumption of operations after the removal of emergency level at Itabira complex. Data released by the country’s economic ministry show that Iron Ore exports grew increased 10.9% to 24.05 million tonnes from same period last year. Exports are expected to continue to grow due to a drier weather Brazil's trade ministry’s deputy secretary of trade intelligence and statistics Herlon Brandão, said in a statement, saying “high demand, favours the shipments of the extractive industry and the prices of exported products,”. The commodity has been credited for helping Brazil avoid a trade deficit even though trade surplus fell 50.4% to USD1.15bn year on year. Meanwhile the Australian Bureau of Statistics monthly export data for January 2021 show there a 9% drop in shipments from Port Hedland in Western Australia compared with December. Total Iron Ore shipments for the month were 67.72 million tonnes, the lowest since February 2020’s 57.97 million tonnes. China still accounted for 80.5pc of the total iron ore shipments in January, which were slightly down from the monthly average of 81.8pc for 2020. Total iron ore shipments to China were 53.1mn t in January, down from 60.23mn t in December and above the 52.88mn t a year earlier. It was the lowest monthly shipments to China since the 48.53mn t in February 2020. Fines and lumps shipments to China were also at 11-month lows in January. In further boost to Iron ore trade, China top steel manufacturers believe demand would remain strong for the foreseeable future Xinyu Iron & Steel Chairman, Xia Wenyong said in an interview that “On the one hand, the price of raw materials has been strong – the price of iron ore has been around US$170 per ton since the start of the year – but on the other, demand for steel remains strong,” adding “Downstream customers have very full export orders with a large number of mechanical and electrical and home appliances due to be exported.” Local governments with access to local special purpose bonds would continue to focus on infrastructure spending which would invariably stimulate steel demand. Although demand form the construction industry could be depressed (due to government cuts to easy credit), Li Lijian chairman of Anyang Iron & Steel believes mid to high end steel product used in the manufacturing of cars, home appliance and equipment production could become a major driving force behind steel demand this year. The average price for Australian fines exports was $135.18/t in January from $124.21/t in December and up from $72.83/t in January 2020. It was the highest monthly average for fines exports since Argus started compiling ABS iron ore export data in July 2012. The January export average was below theexport price average of $145.72/t in 2011. The Argus ICX iron ore price assessment average of $168.39/t cfr Qingdao on a 62pc Fe basis in January was the highest monthly average since it started in May 2013. Sources: bnamericas, Argus Media, South China Morning Post
COAL
AUSTRALIAN COAL EXPLORATION SPENDING DOWN, ASIA-PACIFIC DEMAND TO DRIVE COAL TRADE GROWTH Latest figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics' quarterly exploration data show Australian coal spending fell 30.4% during the October-December quarter to A$54mn from A$77.6mn in October-December 2019 and A$19.1mn from A$73.1mn for July-September. Coal investments dipped as China’s informal ban of coal imports from Australia stalled exports and squeezed demand. This has pushed miners like BHP to implement cost cutting measures while seeking ways to divest their investments. Although ABS data suggest there was an increase in Australian coal exploration spending in 2020, the increase was fuelled by strong spending in the first half of 2020 before Beijing imposed its ban on Australian coal exports from around October. Meanwhile Asian-Pacific coal trade will boost coal demand in 2021 as per Argus Consulting's Seaborne Coal Outlook. The forecasts see Indian import demand recovering by around 17mn t to 170mn t in 2021. The Asia-Pacific demand had weakened in 2020 led by a 30.7mn t year-on-year fall in India. In northeast Asia, aggregate coal imports in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan decreased by 28.7mn t on the year as a result of lower overall power demand, greater nuclear availability and a steep drop in oil-linked LNG prices which supported some fuel switching later in the year. Nevertheless, the drop was partly offset by a 5.7mn t increase in Chinese imports, following record high receipts in December amid tight domestic availability and unusually cold winter.
Imports by southeast Asian countries remained resilient despite the pandemic, with Vietnam taking record-high fourth-quarter seaborne volumes on the back of a sharp economic expansion. Combined coal deliveries to Vietnam, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Thailand increased by 15.9mn t last year, according to Argus analysis, enough to offset the 15.9mn t decline to South Korea.
Coal consumption in southeast Asia is likely to increase further this year as economic growth is projected to return to pre-pandemic levels. The IMF forecasts that Asean economies will expand by 6.2pc in 2021, and Argus Consulting projects that thermal coal imports to southeast Asia will jump by 25.2mn t — or 17.1pc — on the year to 172.5mn t in 2021. Source: Argus Media
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Weekly Commodity Update
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13 COAL SHIPS TO CALL AT SECOND LARGEST US COAL EXPORT PORT BY MARCH 7
1.04 million dwt of coal departed Baltimore in the week ending February 28. The total dead-weight tonnage of the departures was up 682,634 dwt in the prior week. Nine Coal laden ships departed from United States’ second largest coal exporting port of Baltimore up from 7 the previous week. The vessels have varying destinations with 1 vessel headed to New York while others amounted to exports. Europe will receive the largest share of the shipments as Las Palmas, Spain, Bremerhaven, Germany, and Rotterdam was expected to welcome 1 ship each on March 7, 9 and 10, respectively while Gibraltar will expect 3 vessels to unload coal at its port on March 10, 12 and 13. Other destinations for the Baltimore exports include Kandla, India and Sydney, Nova Scotia with one vessel each. Meanwhile 13 coal ships will call at East Coast Port of Baltimore by March 7 up from 11 last week. Ten of the expected coal carriers are unladen, two are partially laden and one is laden. In the prior week, nine were unladen, one was partially laden, and one was laden. S&P Global Platts assessed FOB Baltimore 6,900 kcal/kg NAR 3% sulfur coal, for 15–60-day loading, at $68.10/mt on March 1, up 65 cents from Feb. 26. Source: S&P Global Platts
GRAINS
CHINA TO RAISE MINIMUM PURCHASE PRICE OF WHEAT
China plans to raise the minimum purchase price of Wheat in 2021 as part of moves to ensure food security for its population. This was part of the address delivered to National Peoples Congress by Premier Li Keqiang where he reiterated Beijing’s commitments saying “Ensuring that our people have enough food remains a top priority for our government. We are resolved to ensure food security for our 1.4 billion people, and we know we can achieve this,”.
The government has also increased the minimum price for wheat for the first time since 2014. China supports food production by purchasing staple food grains such as Wheat and Rice at minimum price when the market price falls below the set minimum price ensuring farmers do not run at a loss. A budget of 122.5 billion yuan has been reserved for spending on stockpiling of grains and edible oils just as it was last year. China’s push for self-reliance and food security comes as exporting countries such as Russia implement measure to cushion the effect of soaring food prices on its populace. Source: Reuters
CHINA PURCHASES OF US CORN APPROACH RECORD 19MN T WHILE JAPAN BUYS 30% OF 2021-22 US CORN EXPORTS US corn export sales for the marketing year edge closer to nearly 19mn t despite a 74% drop in sales for the 19-25 February week. However, USDA data show Chinese buyers bought 1.05mn t of US corn, in the week to 25 February, making it a record 18.7mn t of US corn for the current season, a huge increase from the 194,000 t bought last year. China is expected to import 24mn t of corn in the 2020-21 marketing year, according to the USDA's latest forecast, amid rising animal feed demand combined with a shortage in domestic corn supply. The USDA forecast expect Japan to keep importing US corn, increasing US corn Asia market share amid reduced competition from other exporters. Japan's corn imports from the US totalled 3.72mn t on 1 September-18 February, up from 2.49mn t a year earlier USDA latest show. Japan has so far bought 4.57mn t in the 2020-2021 marketing year, up from 2.64mn t a year earlier. While Agreed sales for 2021-22 now total 404,100t, after the USDA reported a 175,000t sale yesterday amounting to an estimated 30% of 2021-22 US corn exports. Japan imports, 15.5mn-16.0mn t/yr making her the world's third-largest importer. Source: Reuters, Argus Media
SOYBEAN MARKET UPDATE
China imports of Soybeans in January and February fell 0.8% from 13.51 million tonnes last year to 13.41 million tonnes according to China’s customs data. Meanwhile, USDA reported China has purchased 35.8mn t US soybean in the current marketing year up by 193pc from the previous year. Chinese buyers also purchased 198,000t of 2021-22 US soybean from 19-25 February, which accounted for 99.3pc of the US total weekly net sales for the next marketing season. This is in fulfilment of bilateral Phase 1 trade deal reached in January 2020 to boost purchases of U.S. farm products, including soybeans. China’s imports have grown as the country ramps up effort to rebuild its hog herd, that was decimated by the deadly African swine fever disease. Unfortunately, there have been recent outbreaks of the disease reported this week in the southwestern province of Yunnan. in Aba prefecture, 38 pigs were killed on a farm in the country’s largest producing province of Sichuan the ministry of agriculture and rural affairs said. While in Hubei’s Xiangyang, 10 piglets been transported in a truck of 165 were found to be infected with five deaths. The outbreaks are hurting pig production in some northern and northeastern provinces, dampening demand for soymeal, a key ingredient in feed. Source: Reuters, Argus Media
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Weekly Commodity Update
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OTHER NEWS
CHINA'S PRIEMER ANNOUNCES GROWTH TARGET OF MORE THAN 6 PERCENT
Chinese government officials have set economic growth target at 6 percent a sign the country will not relent on its strategy to spend its way out of Coronavirus induced pandemic slow growth. The Chinese premier Li Keqiangin a statement delivered at the opening of the National People’s congress. Xi government bent on increasing military spending at 7 percent amidst a continued battle with Great Britain and America on Hong Kong’s status as a democratic semi-autonomous enclave. Although the set goal of 6 percent is below analysts' 8 percent forecast, China is still way ahead of the world’s other economies. The Chinese government plan include increased military spending a sign the communist country is not ready to shift ground in its battle to become the world’s leading superpower. Mr Li’s statement show the country is confident its push back against Coronavirus economic slump is working. Even though the country’s plan to move towards a Consumer driven economy is stalling, the government premier understands this; “Although remarkable achievements have been made in China’s economic and social development, we still have quite a way to go and a lot of hard work to do before we can achieve modernization in all respects,” Mr Li told the assembly. A signal that the country will continue to boost infrastructure spending albeit at a slower pace as it tries to narrow its budget deficit. The outbreak of the pandemic has thrown a spanner in the works for the China’s 5-year plan to infrastructure as the pandemic continues to limit the transformation to reliance on domestic consumption. risk of the pandemic. The premier acknowledged the pandemic continues to be a threat telling the congress “As the coronavirus continues to spread around the world, instability and uncertainty are mounting on the international landscape, and the global economy continues to face grave challenges,”. Source: New York Times
1
Broker's Meeting Point - Available Cargoes 08/03/2021
Loading Port Discharging Port Cargo Laycan Extra Info Contact
PORT SUDAN CHITTAGONG PORT GYPSUM RAW STONES IN BULK 25000-30000 MTS
AGED GEARED BULK VSL ACCEPTED. LOADING QUAY PORT AND NOT ANCHORAGE AREA OR STS . PART CARGO ALLOWED . NO FLAG RESTRICTIONS AT BOTH POL/POD . COMMS: 2.5PCT OUR END
Contact
NIKOLAYEV MARMARA MINERALS IN BULK 10.000/15.000 MTS 15 Mar - 20 Mar 15/20 MARCH Contact
NOVOROSSIYSK - RUSSIA BATUMI OR POTI CHOPT STEEL REBARS IN BUNDLES 12M LENGTH 4100MT MIN +50MT 08 Mar - 15 Mar 08-15 MARCH Contact
1SPB BIK, IRAN 1SPB SHUAIBA, KUWAIT (RESTRICTED WITH 12.0 M DRAFT MOLOO CLINKER IN BULK 44,000 MT +/-10% Contact
1 P EGYPT RED SEA 1-2 P INDONESIA - MALAYSIA RANGE BULK PHOSPHATE 25,000 -30,000 MTS Early March LAYCAN EARLY MARCH - TRY VLS DTES Contact
1SBP PORT SUDAN 1SBP QINGDAO CHINA PEANUT CAKES IN BAG 10,000MT 25 Feb -05 Mar
LYCAN 25 FEB - 05 MARCH 2021 CQD BENDS SOLE CARGO FREIGHT PLS ADV PMT ON FIOS BSS 1/1 PART CARGO FREIGHT PLS ADV PMT ON FIOS BSS 1/1 OWNER AGENT AT BENDS
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BINTULU & PORT KLANG ADEN PLYWOOD CRATES & SAWN TIMBER 6,000 TONS ContactGARONGKONG, INDONESIA CHATTAGRAM/MONGLA, BANGLADESH CLINKER 40,000 MTS Contact
NGHI SON ,VIETNAM NANTONG ,CHINA CLINKER IN BULK 20000-45000MT PPTLYCN: PPT /TRY VSL DATE IN MAR INVITE OWNERS BEST FRT RATE FIOST BSS 1/1 GEARED VSL REQUIRED
Contact
1 SAP GSEZ MINERAL PORT OF LIBREVILLE, GABON 1SBP BATUMI, GEORGIA MANGANESE ORE IN BULK 10,000~20,000MT 05 Mar - 10 Mar -LYCN:05TH-10TH MAR,2021 -FIOST BSS 1/1 Contact
1 SAP GSEZ MINERAL PORT OF LIBREVILLE, GABON 1SBP QINZHOU AND/OR TIANJIN ,CHINA MANGANESE ORE IN BULK 50000MT 01 Mar - 10 Mar -LYCN: 01TH MAR -10TH MAR , 2021 -INVITE
OWNERS BEST FRT RATE FIOST BSS 1/1~2 Contact
CAMPHA, VIETNAM ZHANJIANG , CHINA CEMENT IN BULK 8000MT-14000MT 10-Mar LYCN: 10 MARCH INVITE OWNERS BEST FRT RATE FIOST BSS 1/1 GEARED VSL REQUIRED Contact
NGHI SON PORT,VIETNAM MACUN PORT,CHINA CEMENT IN BULK 20,000MT MOL 10% 15 Mar - 18 Mar 15 - 18 MARCH 2021 CEMENT HOLES REQUIRED FIOST Contact
1 SBP KEMAMAN , MALAYSIA 1SBP QINZHOU ,CHINA MANGANESE ORE IN BULK 15000MT-20000MT 1 Mar - 10 Mar-LYCN: 1ST-10TH MARCH,2021 -INVITE OWNERS BEST FRT RATE FIOST BSS 1/1 -GEARED VSL REQUIRED
Contact
1 SBP KEMAMAN OR KUANTAN, MALAYSIA 1SBP TIANJIN ,CHINA MANGANESE ORE IN BULK 10000MT-35000MT Mid March -LYCN: MID MARCH,2021 -INVITE OWNERS BEST FRT RATE FIOST BSS 1/1 -GEARED VSL REQUIRED Contact
BARRANQUILLA (PUERTO DE BARRANQUILLA - SOCIEDAD PO ISDEMIR, TURKEY METALURIGICAL COKE MIN 27.000 / MAX 30. 11 Mar - 15 Mar L/C 11 / 15 MARCH Contact
1 SBP PENGLAI ,CHINA (DRAFT LIMIT 11M) 1SBP DONGHAE,KOREA GYPSUM 20,000-30000MT PPT -LYCN: TRY VSL'S DATE ,2020 -FIOST BSS 1/1 -FRT IDEA 4 Contact
1 SBP ILO OR CHIMBOTE,PERU 1SBP ZHENJIANG OR LIANYUNGANG,CHINA IRON ORE IN BULK 30000MT 9 Mar - 13 Mar -LYCN: 9TH-13TH MAR,2021 -FIOST BSS 1/1 Contact1 SAP GSEZ MINERAL PORT OF LIBREVILLE,
GABON1SBP BATUMI(10-20K) AND 1SBP POTI(30K),
GEORGIA MANGANESE ORE IN BULK 50000MT 05 Mar - 10 Mar -LYCN:05TH-10TH MAR,2021 -FIOST BSS 1/2 Contact
1 SAP KOSHICHANG,THAIL/ 1SBP LIANYUNGANG OR TAIZHOU OR ZHENJIAN , CHINA TAPIOCA IN BULK 20,000MT 5% MORE IN 10 Mar - 20 Mar -LYCN:10TH-20TH MAR,2021 - FIOST BSS 1/1 Contact
1 SAP KOHSICHANG,TAIWAN 1SBP SHATIAN, CHINA TAPIOCA IN BULK 10,000MT 10% MORE IN 25 Feb - 05 Mar -LYCN:25TH FEB-05TH MAR,2021 -INVITE OWNER'S FRT RATE FIOST BSS 1/1 Contact