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Cooperative Research Program
Ingrid Guch
CoRP Symposium
August 2006
•NOAA’s Center for Satellite Applications and Research (STAR) has teamed with academic partners across the country via four Cooperative Institutes and one Cooperative Center.
•CIRA @ Colorado State University•CIMSS @ University of Wisconsin•CIOSS @ Oregon State University•CICS @ University of Maryland•CREST – consortium of universities managed by CUNY
•Three branches of STAR are in the Cooperative Research Program and collocated with a Cooperative Institute
• The Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch at CIRA/CSU• The Advanced Satellite Products Branch at CIMSS/UW• The Satellite Climate Studies Branch at CICS/UM
NOAA/NESDISCooperative Research Program
Desired Research Results for 2025
Dramatic Improvements in
Forecasting Extreme Events
Highly Skillful
Seasonal to Decadal Climate
Predictions
Improved Understanding of
Physical, Chemical,
Biological, and Societal
Interactions
National Suite of Air Quality Services
Ocean Exploration for
Humankind
Global Earth Observation System of Systems
MODIS Polar Winds in NCEP GFS
NCEP began using the MODIS polar winds product in the Global Forecast System (GFS) on November 29, 2005. Six other numerical weather prediction centers currently use the MODIS winds in operational forecast system: the ECMWF, NASA GMAO, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), the Canadian Meteorological Centre (CMC), U.S. Navy FNMOC, and the UK Met Office.
Improving Volcanic Cloud WarningsFrom the 1544 UTC VAAC message:
“REMARKS: WE HAVE RECEIVED A REPORT FROM NAVY AVIATION IN THE AREA INDICATING AN ERUPTION OF SANTA ANA TO FL460. THE ERUPTION CANNOT BE SEEN IN THE 1515Z IMAGE POSSBILY BECAUSE OF WEATHER CLOUDS IN THE AREA. MODEL DATA SUGGESTS ANY ASH NEAR FL460 WILL MOVE TOWARD THE WEST”
From the 1601 UTC VAAC message:
“REMARKS: THE ERUPTION IS NOW BELIEVED TO HAVE STARTED AT ABOUT 1400Z AND AN AREA PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT TO BE THUNDERSTORMS IS NOW IDENTIFIED AS THICK ASH. A FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE”The automated Pavolonis et al. technique (JTECH) would have identified the Santa
Ana ash cloud in the 1445 UTC image (one of the first images capturing the eruption). This product would have likely helped the Washington Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) issue a more timely warning statement.
IR image
Ash product
SSMI Climate Time Series
• Monthly mean products derived from SSM/I since July 1987:– Precipitation rate and
frequency– Snow cover frequency– Sea-ice concentration– Oceanic total precipitable water– Oceanic cloud liquid water and
frequency– Ocean surface wind speed
• Products are archived at NCDC
• Used by NCEP/CPC, JMA, GEWEX/GPCP
Warm Phase
Cold Phase
Neutral Phase
Chesapeake Bay Ecosystem Modeling
• Initiate development of fully integrated ecosystem model of Chesapeake Bay– Implement Regional Ocean
Modeling System for bay– Implement NCEP Weather
Research & Forecast (wRF) Modeling System for Bay
• Chair IOCCG Working Group to finalize “Why Ocean Color?” Report
• Upcoming Events– AGU Ocean Sciences
Meeting, Honolulu, HI February 20 – 24, 2006
SeaWiFS true-color image of Mid-Atlantic Regionfrom April 12, 1998.
Image provided by the SeaWiFS Project, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center and ORBIMAGE
Global Precipitation Climatology Project• GPCP is a project that is part of
the WCRP/GEWEX program– Comprises of various “centers”,
several of which are NOAA/Climate Program supported
• Current product suite (1979 – present)– Monthly mean 2.5°x2.5°
latitude/longitude– Merged satellite and gauge, error
estimates– Satellite components: microwave
and infrared estimates, error estimates
– Gauge analysis, error estimates– Intermediate analysis products,
e.g., merged satellite estimates– Daily 1 x 1 degree, Pentad
Global Precipitation Climatology Project
EUROPE
Data Processing Centres
GMS Meteosat GOES NOAA
JAPAN UNITED STATES
scattering(ocean)
Precipitation Data CentrePolar Satellite
emission(land+ocean)
NASA-GSFC NOAA-NESDIS
GPC Merge Development CentreMerged Global Analysis
Precipitation Data CentreGeostationary Satellite
Global TropicsNOAA - National Weather Service
NASA - GSF C
MW ComponentCAL/VAL Component
IR Component
Station Observations(CLIMAT, SYNOP National Collections)Gauge - Only Analysis
Global Precipitation Climatology Centre
DWD - GERMANY
Algorithm Intercompararison ProgramNew Observations
Surface Reference Data Centre
(EVAC - U.OK)
EUROPE
GPCPGPCP
RAMM / CIRA TROPICAL CYCLONE IR ARCHIVE-- IR images, 640 x 480 with 4 km resolution in Mercator projection
-- began in 1998 with goal of documenting entire hurricane life cycles at 30-min interval
-- all Atlantic hurricanes since 1995, all named storms since 1996
-- all eastern Pacific named storms since 1997
-- automated, global coverage since late 2004, with 2 complete SH seasons
-- as of 15 March 2006:
464 tropical cyclones
125,000+ images
APPLICATIONS:
- improvements to the Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS)
- inner core wind algorithm for the CIRA/RAMM tropical cyclone satellite surface wind analysis
- objective wind radii estimates
- long period animations and TC comparison studies
- center relative average images
- development on improved Objective Dvorak Technique intensity estimates
< Atlantic hurricanes 4-km X 2 zoom 4-km: NWPac, EPac, > SPac, NIO, SIO
GOES-R ABI Product Development
• New product development for GOES-R Risk Reduction• Initial focus on fog/stratus and
dust detection products• Thee-color techniques• Utilizing MODIS and MSG data
• Web-based demonstration planned• Quasi-operational forum
Thee-Color Product Name
Red component
Green component
Blue component
MSG “natural” color product
1.6 µm 0.86 µm 0.6 µm
MSG “day snow-fog” product
0.8 µm* 1.6 µm* 3.9 µm (solar/reflected
part only)*
Modified thee-color fog/stratus
product
0.6 µm albedo 1.6 µm albedo Shortwave (3.9 µm) albedo
Operational and near-operational satellites sensors supportedAssume 1 Primary POES AM, 1 Backup POES AM, 1 Primary POES PM, 1 Backup POES PM, 1 GOES East, 1
GOES West
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1990-1994 1995-1999 2000-2004 2005-2009 2010-2014 2015-2020
# o
f S
en
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rs
GOES-R
GOES N/P
GOES I/M
GOES-H
NPOESS
NPP
METOP
NOAA N/N'
NOAA KLM
NOAA-G/H/I/J
Earth Observing Satellites Launched/Planned as of July 2006
59
22
64
3
3
8
7
2
5
5
8
0
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1990-1994 1995-1999 2000-2004 2005-2009
International NASA NOAA USGS
Expected Data Growth