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Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 1
Contents
Introduction 2
The Key Facts 3
1 Overall Size of the Visitor Economy (STEAM) 4 1.1 Number of visitors (volume) 4 1.2 Total spend by visitors (value) 5 1.3 Jobs supported by the visitor economy 6 1.4 Change over time 7 1.5 STEAM Methodology 9
2 Local data from the Visitor Economy 10 2.1 Hotel occupancy 10 2.2 Hotel stock 13 2.3 Visitor attractions 14 2.4 Sport 15 2.5 Events 16 2.6 Transport data 17 2.7 Business Performance 22
3 Visitor profile data 27 3.1 Visitor Origin 27 3.2 Mode of transport 31 3.3 Purpose of visit 32 3.4 Demographics 33 3.5 Group type 35
4 National data 36 4.1 Occupancy trends 36 4.2 Visits to attractions trends 37 4.3 Domestic visitors (GBTS) 38 4.4 Inbound visitors (IPS) 40
5 Forecasts 43 5.1 Trends from the Liverpool City Region 3-year Action Plan 43 5.2 Economic outlook 2012 44
6 Articles 45 6.1 The Importance of Events 45 6.2 Tourism Business Confidence - Nationally 49 6.3 News 52
Appendices 54 Further reference sources 54 SIC codes defining the visitor economy 55 Crude guide to statistical confidence levels 56 Details of available publications 57
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 2
Introduction
Welcome to the latest edition of the Digest of Tourism Statistics.
The Digest is written about Tourism Research in the Liverpool City Region and is intended for all users of
tourism research data; whether businesses, consultants or students. Each edition sees a presentation of
key tourism statistics – which may change only once during a year – together with the latest data and any
recent research that the tourist board has commissioned or sponsored. There are also links for further
information. Given the state of both the UK and economies around the globe, in response to requests, we
include brief information on this in section 5.2.
This Digest presents STEAM1 data for 2011 – that is, the estimated visitor numbers recorded by the city
and wider city region. Overall, visitor levels were lower than in Capital of Culture Year, but higher than in
earlier years, a pattern we see in other data sources. Indeed, although 2008 represented a „spike‟ in
visitor numbers we see evidence of ongoing growth.
Currently, the whole economy of the Liverpool City Region is performing below national levels, with Gross
Value Added per head at £14,914 in 2009 (£20,231 nationally). The visitor economy is one of four key
growth sectors, building on the strengths and potential the area offers, to drive a step change in the
economic performance of the Liverpool City Region. The four growth sectors in full are:
Culture and the Visitor Economy
Liverpool Superport
Low Carbon Economy
The Knowledge Economy
For more information on each of these, see the details of available publications in the appendix.
We welcome feedback on this document; if you feel there is some aspect of research it should cover,
please do let us know on [email protected].
The Liverpool City Region
We describe the geography covered by the tourist board as being the “Liverpool City Region” (not to be
confused with the Liverpool Local Authority area or the City Centre). Although there are a number of
definitions, for our purposes this covers the six districts comprising „Merseyside and Halton‟; the same
area as covered by the Liverpool City Region Local Enterprise Partnership:
1 Scarborough Tourism Economic Activity Monitor, the primary method used by the Liverpool LEP and many tourist
boards in the UK to measure the value and volume of tourism.
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 3
Key Facts about the visitor economy in the Liverpool City Region
1. In 2011 there were 55m visitors to the Liverpool City Region.
2. In 2011 the visitor economy was worth £3.1bn to the Liverpool City Region.
3. In 2011 approximately 43,300 jobs were supported by visitor spend.
4. Liverpool is in the top 10 of all UK towns or cities visited by overseas visitors
(and is now placed 5th).
5. Five attractions drew in over ½ m visitors in 2012; the new Museum of Liverpool, Tate
Liverpool, Merseyside Maritime Museum, Mersey Ferries and World Museum Liverpool,
6. Average hotel room occupancy in 2012 was 72%.
7. Over 1.2m hotel rooms were sold in Liverpool City Centre in 2012.
8. 4,646,185 passengers passed through Liverpool John Lennon Airport in 2012.
9. Some 600,000 passengers arrived or departed the City Region on one of the three
ferry routes in 2012.
10. Liverpool One, the retail and leisure development in the City Centre, recorded a footfall
of almost 26m people in 2012 – this is 5% up on 2011.
England‟s Northwest Research Service
The Digest is produced by the research team at The Liverpool City Region Local Enterprise
Partnership, who are also responsible for the annual Economic Review and conducting many of
the local tourism surveys, including Destination Benchmarking, the Airport Gateway study and a
quarterly Tourism Business Performance survey.
Under the banner of England‟s Northwest Research Service, the team conducts commercial
research in a range of different sectors across the Northwest, with a particular specialism in the
tourism industry and event impact evaluation.
Amongst the research packages we can offer are:
Customer profiling and segmentation
Customer satisfaction studies
Economic impact studies
Gap analysis
Marketing / branding evaluation and assessment
Performance monitoring
For more information, contact [email protected] .
Size of the Visitor Economy
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 4
1 Overall size of the visitor economy (STEAM)
1.1 Number of visitors (Volume)
In total there were an estimated 55m visitors to the Liverpool City Region in 2011; this
includes 50.5m day visitors and 4.5m staying visitors.
For the city of Liverpool itself, this equated to a total of 30.5m visitors (28.5m
day visitors and 2.0m staying visitors).
Thousands of visitors 2011 Liverpool
Liverpool City
Region
Serviced Accommodation 1,154.7 2,122.1
Non-Serviced Accommodation 127.5 228.3
Staying with Friends and Relatives 701.9 2,131.2
Day Visitors 28,511.4 50,506.3
TOTAL 30,495.5 54,987.9
Source: STEAM
Liverpool, 28,511.4
Sefton, 7,657.9
Wirral, 6,026.5
Halton, Knowsley, St.Helens,
8,310.4
Day Visitors (000s)
Liverpool, 1,984.1
Sefton, 711.3
Wirral, 752.7
Halton, Knowsley, St.Helens,
1,033.6
Staying Visitors (000s)
Statistical Note:
Although in the charts above we provide data for each district, a certain amount of
caution should be exercised. STEAM is very much an input-based model (see
section 1.5), and whilst a good range of inputs are available for the whole city
region and Liverpool itself, this is less the case at district level.
Hence, although figures for the whole area and Liverpool are statistically robust,
the exact split of visitor numbers and impact amongst the other five districts has a
lower level of statistical reliability.
Size of the Visitor Economy
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 5
1.2 Total spend by visitors (Value)
Total spend by visitors is shown in the table below. Note that this covers both the direct spend by
visitors and the indirect spend resulting (for example, spend within the local economy by
businesses using local goods and services).
In 2011 the visitor economy was estimated as being worth £3.1bn to the Liverpool City
Region - £898m of this coming from staying visitors.
The visitor economy was worth £2bn to Liverpool itself.
Economic impact of visitors 2011 (£m) Liverpool
Liverpool City
Region
Serviced Accommodation £325.2 £525.7
Non-Serviced Accommodation £114.5 £158.6
Staying with Friends and Relatives £93.1 £214.1
Day Visitors £1,504.1 £2,245.4
TOTAL £2,037.0 £3,143.8
Source: STEAM
The sectors where spend occurs are detailed below.
Economic impact of visitors 2011 (£m) Liverpool
Liverpool City
Region
Accommodation £101.7 £174.5
Food and drink £417.5 £587.5
Recreation £131.6 £177.1
Shopping £440.9 £750.7
Transport £177.5 £245.7
Total Direct Revenue £1,269.3 £1,935.4
Indirect Expenditure £513.9 £821.3
VAT £253.9 £387.1
TOTAL £2,037.0 £3,143.8
Source: STEAM
Liverpool, £2,037.0
Sefton, £428.5
Wirral, £289.0
Halton, Knowsley, St.Helens,
£389.2
Economic Impact (£m)
Size of the Visitor Economy
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 6
1.3 Jobs supported by the visitor economy
In terms of jobs in the visitor economy, there are two broad approaches to estimating this. The
first is to estimate the jobs supported by visitor spend (as adopted by the STEAM model). The
second is to decide which SIC2 codes are applicable to tourism and use survey data from the
Office for National Statistics (ONS) to determine „actual‟ jobs. Neither method is an exact
estimate, as using STEAM is clearly not counting direct jobs, whilst using ONS data does not
count the jobs that may be supported by spend made with sectors outside the SIC codes – nor
does this approach allow for the calculation of indirect jobs being supported.
a) Using STEAM data.
This estimates that there were 43,316 jobs supported by tourism expenditure throughout
the Liverpool City Region – 33,300 of these were direct jobs.
In Liverpool there were 27,637 jobs supported by tourism spend.
Jobs supported by visitor spend (FTE) 2011 Liverpool
Liverpool City
Region
Accommodation 1,388 3,164
Food and drink 7,882 11,090
Recreation 3,016 4,056
Shopping 7,587 12,918
Transport 1,497 2,072
Total Direct Revenue 21,369 33,300
Indirect Expenditure 6,267 10,016
TOTAL 27,637 43,316
Source: STEAM
Source: STEAM
2 Standard Industrial Classification – the list of codes used by ONS to allocate all industries into specific sectors, last
revised in 2007. Typically, many economic activity sectors – such as „tourism‟ do not fit neatly into the codes used by ONS, but are instead assumed to involve a range of sectors and sub-sectors.
Liverpool, 21,369
Sefton, 4,308
Wirral, 3,338
Halton, Knowsley, St.Helens,
4,285
Direct Jobs
Liverpool, 27,637
Sefton, 6,010
Wirral, 4,212
Halton, Knowsley, St.Helens,
5,458
Total Jobs (Incl. indirect)
Size of the Visitor Economy
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 7
b) Using data from ONS
A selection of SIC codes have been chosen as providing the closest fit possible in terms of the
visitor economy sector and these are listed in the appendix.
This suggests that there were 46,700 direct jobs in visitor economy-related SIC codes; including
27,200 part-time jobs and 17,400 full-time jobs. As indicated above though, this is likely to
significantly undervalue the jobs connected to the visitor economy; an easy example to illustrate
the point is that this data does not cover jobs in the retail sector, when STEAM suggest that over
a third of visitor spend was made on „shopping‟, thus supporting jobs in this sector.
Jobs in the visitor economy, Liverpool City Region
Full time
Employees
Part Time
Employees
All
Employment3
Accommodation 2,800 2,500 5,400
Food and drink 10,900 21,800 34,100
Transport & travel 1,100 500 1,800
Culture, attractions, entertainment, other 2,600 2,400 5,300
TOTAL 17,400 27,200 46,700
Source: Business Register & Employment Survey 2010, ONS.
Even using this limited ONS data demonstrates the importance of the sector, with the above jobs
accounting for 8% of all employment within the Liverpool City Region – although this will vary by
district, as indicated below:
3 “All employment” includes both employees and self employed such as sole traders.
6.1%
Halton employment
Visitor economy
Other
4.2%
Knowsley employment
Visitor economy
Other
8.4%
Liverpool employment
Visitor economy
Other
10.6%
Sefton employment
Visitor economy
Other
7.4%
St.Helens employment
Visitor economy
Other
7.2%
Wirral employment
Visitor economy
Other
Size of the Visitor Economy
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 8
1.4 Change over time
Although the headline figures produced by STEAM are useful, it is perhaps even more helpful in
illustrating growth or decline in the visitor economy. In the series of charts below, data is tracked
back to 20054.
Source: STEAM
Both day and staying visitor numbers show an increase from last year; day visitors are at their
highest ever level excluding Capital of Culture year, whilst staying visits across the whole city region
reached a new record level.
In terms of the economic impact of the sector, despite the „spike‟ generated by Capital of Culture
there is a clear ongoing growth trend. Over the last year, economic conditions have seen a reduction
in per capita spending – notable especially in terms of accommodation spend – which means that the
sector has shown only a relatively small growth.
Source: STEAM
4 Note: where economic data is traced back to 2005, all figures shown are “at 2011values”.
22
,12
4
22
,47
6
23
,28
0
31
,70
7
25
,89
0
28
,11
2
28
,51
1
44
,19
3
45
,16
7
46
,09
8
55
,42
9
48
,20
9
50
,08
8
50
,50
6
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
(00
0s
)
Numbers of day visitors
Liverpool Liverpool City Region1
,49
1
1,6
28
1,7
03
1,9
13
1,7
35
1,9
58
1,9
84
3,9
54
4,1
88
4,2
96
4,4
53
4,1
08
4,4
19
4,4
82
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
(00
0s
)
Numbers of staying visitors
Liverpool Liverpool City Region
£3
86
.0m
£4
06
.0m
£4
34
.0m
£4
90
.0m
£4
92
.0m
£5
38
.0m
£5
33
.0m
£1
,16
9.0
m
£1
,20
7.0
m
£1
,25
0.0
m
£1
,67
3.0
m
£1
,36
6.0
m
£1
,48
3.0
m
£1
,50
4.0
m
£m
£500m
£1,000m
£1,500m
£2,000m
£2,500m
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Economic impact - Liverpool
Staying visitors Day visitors
£7
90
.0m
£8
26
.0m
£8
63
.0m
£8
92
.0m
£8
59
.0m
£9
06
.0m
£8
98
.0m
£1
,99
1.0
m
£2
,06
3.0
m
£2
,09
7.0
m
£2
,47
9.0
m
£2
,11
9.0
m
£2
,22
5.0
m
£2
,24
5.0
m
£m
£500m
£1,000m
£1,500m
£2,000m
£2,500m
£3,000m
£3,500m
£4,000m
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Economic impact - Whole City Region
Staying visitors Day visitors
Size of the Visitor Economy
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 9
1.5 STEAM Methodology
To estimate the volume and value of tourism, the Liverpool City Region uses the STEAM5 model
– this model is widely (though not universally) used across the UK, including other tourist boards
in Northwest England. STEAM is owned and operated by Global Tourism Solutions (UK) Ltd.
STEAM relies on local-level data to drive the estimates, principally6:
o Accommodation stock
o Local occupancy surveys
o Visits to attractions / events
o Visits to Tourist Information Centres
o Hotel Occupancy in the City Region
A key component of the way in which STEAM works is its definition of „day visitors‟; this is
defined as a person travelling to a district other than that in which they live, for a non-routine
purpose, with a stay of over 3 hours. Thus, someone making a trip to Southport Pier from
Liverpool could be classed as a day visitor, but not someone making a similar trip who lived in
Formby. The important note to make here is that the number of the day visits recorded by
STEAM for the Liverpool City Region will contain a certain amount of intra-city region tourism.
Local data for the preceding year is gathered by the research team in January-March each year.
This data is passed to Global Tourism Solutions, with reports typically available by mid-year.
Currently the most recently available data is that for 2011.
Note:
GTS-UK has utilised research conducted on behalf of the Northwest Regional Development
Agency (NWDA) in 2007/2009 to update the initial baseline estimates which the model has
used – much of this information having not previously been available. This change has
resulted in significant alterations to data and this affects not just the Liverpool City Region
but also the whole of the Northwest. Therefore, the figures used within this Digest replace
completely any STEAM figures from 2009 or before.
For more guidance on this change (if required), please contact the research team:
5 Scarborough Tourism Economic Activity Monitor – so-called because Scarborough was the first UK location where
the model was applied. 6 Notice that STEAM uses a further range of inputs, although the components which have the biggest influence on
the model are listed here.
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 10
2 Local data from the Visitor Economy
2.1 Hotel occupancy
Hotel occupancy data is drawn from the LJ Forecaster®7. Currently, 36 establishments take part
in LJ Forecaster in the Liverpool City Region; although predominantly reflective of larger hotels
and serviced apartments in Liverpool City Centre, it includes a number of establishments based
in the districts.
Room occupancy,
Liverpool City Region 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2012
Weekday average (Mo-Th) 70.5% 76.5% 66.3% 66.3% 66.7% 69.0%
Weekend average (Fr-Sa) 83.9% 85.8% 83.8% 83.9% 85.8% 87.6%
Sunday 48.2% 54.1% 51.1% 53.5% 54.9% 56.3%
Total average 71.3% 75.8% 69.2% 69.5% 70.4% 72. 4%
Source: LJ Forecaster
In 2012 room occupancy in the city region averaged 72%. Current trends suggest that
2013 will be higher.
Although occupancy levels are lower overall than in 2008, two factors should be
remembered;
o 2008 was Capital of Culture Year.
o There has been significant growth in actual rooms since 2008 (see section 2.2).
A particular feature of the Liverpool City Region is that it records high weekend
occupancy levels with lower levels during the week. In part this is a reflection of the lower
business base of the Liverpool City Region – though the growing conference market is
beginning to redress this. This does point to the strength of the leisure market, with
weekend occupancy now as high as was recorded during 2008.
Below, the latest occupancy data is compared with earlier years.
Source: LJ Forecaster
7 LJ Forecaster is a tool run by Lynne Jones Research Ltd that allows hotel and tourism managers to see an up-to-
date picture of room occupancy and availability in their city.
53
.9%
67
.0%
71
.1%
70
.4%
68
.8%
69
.8%
74
.8%
73
.4%
75
.5%
76
.1%
71
.8%
61
.9%
54
.4%
68
.9%
65
.9%
74
.9%
68
.3%
71
.5%
77
.2%
73
.3%
75
.7%
75
.6%
73
.5%
65
.7%
57
.9%
67
.7%
70
.3%
73
.1%
72
.7%
76
.1%
76
.8%
76
.4%
79
.8%
77
.3%
77
.9%
62
.7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Occupancy monthly tends
2010 2011 2012
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 11
Most establishments8 also complete a section of the LJ Forecaster dealing with revenue analysis.
This gives the Average Room Rate (ARR) and Revenue Per Available Rooms (RevPAR) – the
latter tending to be the preferred measure in terms of economic performance.
Room revenue,
Liverpool City Region 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
ARR weekday average (Mo-Th) £66.28 £70.74 £62.47 £55.73 £53.38 £50.96
ARR weekend average (Fr-Sa) £74.65 £77.33 £69.62 £69.22 £71.02 £73.48
ARR average £68.71 £72.39 £64.70 £60.43 £59.67 £58.84
REVPAR weekday average (Mo-Th) £48.60 £54.75 £41.47 £37.25 £35.84 £35.42
REVPAR weekend average (Fr-Sa) £63.81 £67.45 £58.98 £58.64 £61.37 £64.61
REVPAR average £48.90 £55.60 £44.88 £42.38 £42.32 £42.74
Source: LJ Forecaster
The average room yield (RevPAR) in the city region in 2012 was £42.74
Although weekday yield tends to show a reduction on previous years, weekend yield
appears above that seen in 2009-2011.
Both weekday and weekend yields are still lower than that seen pre-2009; reflecting
reduced levels of business travel, the pressure on leisure visitor spend and increased
competition from expanded stock levels.
Source: LJ Forecaster
Major events are an important factor in generating higher performance for accommodation
providers in the Liverpool City Region; for example:
The Grand National Weekend 2012 saw:
average occupancy levels of 91% and an average room yield of £126.13.
The Mathew Street Festival 2011 saw:
average occupancy levels of 87% and an average room yield of £66.49.
The Labour Party Conference9 period saw:
average occupancy levels of 86% and an average room yield of £79.53.
All hotel performance – both in terms of occupancy levels and yield – needs to be viewed in the
light of the hotel room stock in the city (see section 2.2).
8 Note: this does not mean all hotels; for example in the most recent monthly survey, 35 out of the 37 supplied
revenue figures. 9 Held in the city for the first time, from 25/09/2011to 29/09/2011.
£2
9.8
1
£4
0.5
0
£4
2.7
6
£4
8.5
5
£4
3.5
6
£4
0.8
4
£4
2.4
4
£4
1.0
9
£4
8.3
5
£4
8.1
4
£4
4.9
4
£3
7.6
0
£2
8.4
6
£3
8.4
6
£3
8.4
5
£5
2.3
9
£4
1.5
4
£4
0.4
0
£4
4.2
4
£4
3.4
9
£5
1.9
4
£4
7.0
6
£4
3.4
5
£3
8.0
0
£3
0.0
1
£3
7.4
1
£4
1.6
1
£4
8.4
7
£4
4.1
7
£4
5.8
2
£4
3.6
6
£4
4.2
6
£4
8.2
3
£4
6.8
1
£4
6.7
3
£3
5.7
4
£0
£10
£20
£30
£40
£50
£60
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Room yield monthly tends
2010 2011 2012
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 12
In the table below, known city centre hotel stock is overlaid by the occupancy levels shown in the
LJ Forecaster to produce an estimate of the actual number of hotel rooms that have been sold:
Source: LJ Forecaster / Tourist board room stock data
This indicates a growth in the numbers of visitors staying in hotels in the city and in 2012 over
1.2m rooms were sold in the city centre. This is higher than in any previous year (including
Capital of Culture year) and shows Liverpool‟s ongoing growth as a destination. We note that the
year to date figure suggest a growth 11% above last year at the same time.
Importantly, besides the attractiveness of the destination, this is also a product of increasing
stock levels; below we see the monthly results, with each month indicating record numbers of
rooms being sold on the year before.
Source: LJ Forecaster / Tourist board room stock data
10
Figures rounded to the nearest 000.
67
,00
0
75
,00
0
90
,00
0
87
,00
0
88
,00
0
83
,00
0
93
,00
0
93
,00
0
94
,00
0
10
0,0
00
93
,00
0
83
,00
0
72
,00
0
81
,00
0
86
,00
0
98
,00
0
91
,00
0
91
,00
0
10
7,0
00
10
0,0
00
10
0,0
00
10
5,0
00
10
1,0
00
92
,00
0
81
,96
4.8
7
92
,29
5.6
8
10
1,4
60
.12
10
2,5
30
.08
10
4,0
65
.24
10
5,3
21
.28
11
0,2
05
.88
10
8,4
84
.64
11
1,0
00
.00
11
8,0
00
.00
11
4,0
00
.00
94
,00
0.0
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
City Centre rooms sold
2010 2011 2012
Hotel rooms sold10
Liverpool
City Centre
2004 720,000
2005 705,000
2006 694,000
2007 725,000
2008 910,000
2009 897,000
2010 1,046,000
2011 1,124,000
2012 1,244,000
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 13
2.2 Hotel stock
Hotel room stock is (as seen in 2.1) an important component behind performance; in the charts
below we show growth both in the room stock and the number of establishments. Note that in
order to simplify this visually, we present the data split between Liverpool City Centre and
elsewhere in the city region (including the Liverpool suburbs).
Source: Tourist board room stock data
Since 2005, the city centre stock has grown by 80%: from 2,612 rooms to 4,698 rooms.
This includes the most recent openings:
o The 155 room Days Inn Hotel on James Street (opened March 2011).
o The 151 room Hotel Indigo on Chapel Street (opened June 2011).
o The 141 room Travelodge on The Strand (opened February 2012)
o The 183 room Premier Inn on Hanover Street (October 2012)
This rate of growth is slightly lower when viewed across the entire Liverpool City Region.
With fewer developments outside the city centre, total stock has grown by 49% (from
6,229 rooms to 9,291 rooms). Most recent developments include:
o The 66-room Travelodge in New Brighton (opened July 2011).
o The 56-room Holiday Inn Express in Hoylake11
(opened in May 2012)
In terms of hotel grading, the chart below details for both the city centre and the whole city region
the number of rooms and establishments available for each rating.
Rooms Budget 1* 2* 3* 4*
City Centre 1,241 39 39 1,413 1,611
Elsewhere City Region 1,165 30 65 1,018 1,024
Total 2,406 69 104 2,431 2,635
Establishments Budget 1* 2* 3* 4*
City Centre 11 2 2 13 13
Elsewhere City Region 24 1 3 18 15
Total 35 3 5 31 28
Source: Liverpool LEP Room Stock
11
Might be considered a „reopening‟, being a reconstruction of the former Kings Gap Court Hotel.
2,6
12
2,6
39
2,7
87
3,4
32
3,9
32
4,2
51
4,5
57
4,6
98
3,6
17
3,7
14
3,7
12
3,8
51
4,2
35
4,3
86
4,4
52
4,5
93
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
Hotel room stock
Liverpool City Centre Elsewhere City Region
25
27
30
32
36
40
42
43
73
74
72
76
78
81
82
83
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
Hotel establishments
Liverpool City Centre Elsewhere City Region
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 14
2.3 Visits to Attractions
In the table below, we show the top attractions in the Liverpool City Region in 2012; this shows
the diverse range of attractions, both free and paid, that the city region offers. It should be noted
that this excludes some major attractions in the area where it is not possible to obtain accurate
counts, such as the Albert Dock, Wirral Coastal Park and Another Place.
Note that we can only show those attractions who respond to our annual attractions survey and
who permit us to show their data.
We specifically note here that during 2011 the new Museum of Liverpool opened on the
waterfront; a major new attraction for the city. In the 20 months since its July opening, the venue
has seen over 1.5m visitors.
Top “free” attractions
Attraction Type District
Attendance 2012
1 Museum of Liverpool Museum / gallery Liverpool 1,011,058
2 Merseyside Maritime Museum Museum / gallery Liverpool 845,709
3 World Museum Liverpool Museum / gallery Liverpool 716,579
4 Tate Liverpool Museum / gallery Liverpool 620,124
5 Bluecoat Museum / gallery Liverpool 615,824&
6 Liverpool Cathedral Place of worship Liverpool 471,044
7 International Slavery Museum Museum / gallery Liverpool 444,070
8 FACT Museum / gallery Liverpool 360,361*
9 Walker Art Gallery Museum / gallery Liverpool 337,799
10 Southport Pier Other Sefton 317,007*
11 Liverpool Metropolitan Cathedral Place of worship Liverpool 313,744
12 National Trust, Formby Nature / wildlife / zoo Sefton 267,375&
13 Lady Lever Art Gallery Museum / gallery Wirral 200,759
14 Tam O‟Shanter Urban Farm Farms Wirral 108,000*
15 Sudley House Historic Property Liverpool 65,053
Source: Tourist board annual Visitor Attractions Survey
Top “paid” attractions
Attraction Type District
Attendance 2012
1 Mersey Ferries Other Liverpool
&Wirral 637,312
2 Echo Arena Liverpool Entertainment Liverpool 574,748&
3 Knowsley Safari Park Nature / wildlife / zoo Knowsley 530,691@
4 Liverpool Philharmonic Entertainment Liverpool 262,382
5 Beatles Story Museum / gallery Liverpool 241,188
6 Liverpool Football Club Museum & Tour Museum / gallery Liverpool 143,122#
7 New Palace Family Amusement Centre Leisure / theme parks Wirral 140,000#
8 Croxteth Hall & Country Park Historic Property Liverpool 117,361@
9 Yellow Duckmarine Tour Liverpool 107,271&
10 Ness Botanic Gardens Gardens Wirral 101,701*
11 Speke Hall, Gardens & Estate Historic Property Liverpool 105,771&
12 Port Sunlight Museum Museum / gallery Wirral 35,178&
13 Beatles Magical Mystery Tour Tour Liverpool 33,757*
14 World of Glass Visitor Centre St.Helens 33,191
15 Norton Priory Historic Property Halton 29,673*
Source: Tourist board annual Visitor Attractions Survey
& 2011 figures
* 2010 figures
@ 2009 figures
# 2008 figures
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 15
An important analysis in terms of visits to attractions is to view changes over time. For our core
attractions, the chart below on the left shows the change indexed to 2005; whilst on the right it shows the
distribution of visits during 201012
; in part at least some of this may owe to the opening of the new
Museum of Liverpool, but given ongoing pressures on disposable household income it is likely that a
growth in „daycations‟ has taken place in 2011.
Source: Liverpool Tourist board Key Performance Indicators
This suggests – as with the STEAM and hotel occupancy data – an underlying trend of growth in
the visitor market. Even ignoring the impact of the new museum, visits in April – June were higher
than seen in any year besides Capital of Culture.
The peak of visitation to attractions occurs in July and August but there are still substantial levels
occurring at all other times of the year – including the October period.
2.4 Sport
As well as visitor attractions, „sport‟ is a key driver behind visits to the city region; the following
are the attendance figures recorded at key venues for the most recent sporting year13
.
Venue District Attendance
1 Liverpool FC Liverpool 929,994
2 Everton FC Liverpool 819,409
3 St.Helens Saints RLFC St.Helens 228,810
4 Aintree Racecourse Liverpool 177,506
5 Haydock Park Racecourse St.Helens 170,183
6 Tranmere Rovers FC Wirral 127,765
7 Widnes Vikings RLFC Halton 76,832
Source: Media / publicity
12
We use 2010 for distribution of visits, to allow for the possible „distortion‟ from the opening of the new Museum of Liverpool. 13
For racecourses this is a calendar year; for others this relates to the 2010/11 sport season.
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Core attractions - visit trends
4.1
%
7.4
%
7.4
%
8.2
%
8.5
%
9.2
%
12
.0%
14
.5%
7.8
%
9.6
%
7.0
%
4.3
%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
Ja
n
Fe
b
Ma
r
Ap
r
Ma
y
Ju
n
Ju
l
Au
g
Se
p
Oct
Nov
Dec
2010 - monthly visits12
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 16
2.5 Events
In addition to the list of top attractions we also record the top 10 free and paid events. Where
local authorities or event organisers have published a figure we use this; other than that, use is
made of figures quoted in the press.
A higher degree of reliability is associated with visitor numbers at paid events, as the ticketed
data provides a robust measure. Again, as with attractions, we can only show those events
where organisers respond to our request for figures and permit us to publish their data.
Top “free” events 2012
Event District Attendance
1 Mathew Street14
Liverpool 160,000
2 Brazilica Liverpool 80,000
3 Liverpool Pride Liverpool 52,000
4 Hope Street Festival Liverpool 30,000
5 Southport Food & Drink Sefton 24,000
6 Festival of Transport Wirral 35,000
7 Hoylake RNLI Open Day Wirral 20,000
8 Wirral Kite Festival Wirral 18,500
9 Wirral Egg run Wirral 12,000
10 Halloween Lantern Carnival Sefton 10,000
Source: Media / publicity
Top “paid” events 2012
Event District Attendance 1 Grand National Liverpool 150,000
2 Southport Air Show Sefton 150,000
3 Southport Flower Show Sefton 70,000
4 Creamfields Halton 60,000
5 Liverpool Food and Drink Festival Liverpool 36,000
6 Wirral Food and Drink Festival Wirral 20,000
7 Liverpool International Tennis Tournament Liverpool 20,000
8 RunLiverpool Marathon15
Liverpool / Wirral 10,000
9 NW Masters – Haydock St Helens 10,000
10 Port Sunlight Christmas Fayre Wirral 6,000
Source: Media / publicity
14 Saturday figure only, due to event being cancelled because of bad weather
15
Figure covers >10,000 runners
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 17
2.6 Transport data
a) Passenger levels LJLA
A range of airlines provide routes out of Liverpool John Lennon Airport (LJLA) including the
scheduled operators EasyJet, FlyBE, Ryanair and Wizz Air.
Source: CAA Airport Statistics
During 2012 just under 5m passengers travelled through LJLA; this is a slight downturn on
figures recorded during the previous 2 years. However, there are a number of considerations to
be taken into account here:
The above data represents both inbound16
and outbound17
travellers; there being no
contiguous source disaggregating changing tourism levels from (potentially lower)
domestic outbound travellers18
.
2009 saw the full impact of the recession, which is likely to have dampened travel
demand, in particular amongst UK residents making outbound trips19
.
The relatively recent cessation of the KLM link to Schiphol is likely to have an impact on
traffic levels in 2012.
One point that we would draw is the relative growth in traffic at LJLA to the end of 2011 when
compared to national data (represented top right); the airport showed historic growth stronger
than the UK air travel total and a stronger recovery from the recessionary period. However, as
indicated about, the cessation of the KLM service may mean an end to this trend.
16
“Inbound” = Overseas visitors to the UK. 17
“Outbound” = UK nationals travelling overseas. 18
Every two/three years The Liverpool LEP conducts the Gateway Survey, which provides an analysis of outbound visitors and includes a measure of what the split is between inbound and outbound travellers. The 2009 study suggested 24% were inbound travellers; the 2007 study estimated 16% were inbound travellers. 19
As suggested by research from VisitBritain
4,4
16
,75
1
4,9
71
,36
1
5,5
17
,66
7
5,4
02
,98
2
4,9
42
,98
1
5,0
08
,45
5
5,2
47
,10
9
4,6
46
,18
5
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
LJLA passenger numbers
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11C
ha
ng
e (
ind
ex
ed
to
20
00
)
Passenger levels
ALL UK airports LJLA
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 18
Source: CAA Airport Statistics
The change on a monthly basis can be seen above; whilst below we show in the year to date the
number of passengers by route of destination/origin. Again do bear in mind that this covers both
inbound and outbound travellers, and is not necessarily an indication of the strength of different
visitor markets.
Source: CAA Airport Statistics
32
1,0
00
36
3,0
00
42
1,0
00
36
3,0
00
41
5,0
00
46
5,0
00
52
0,0
00
55
6,0
00
48
8,0
00
48
1,0
00
31
3,0
00
30
1,0
00
30
9,0
00
34
2,0
00
39
3,0
00
48
6,0
00
48
5,0
00
48
6,0
00
55
1,0
00
57
5,0
00
51
2,0
00
48
8,0
00
30
2,0
00
31
7,0
00
29
5,0
00
31
1,0
00
35
2,0
00
39
0,0
00
38
9,0
00
41
6,0
00
45
4,0
00
48
5,0
00
43
3,0
00
40
7,0
00
26
7,0
00
26
6,0
00
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Monthly Terminal Pax, LJLA
2010 2011 2012
1,100,893
460,084
378,921
336,929
246,467
238,979
199,819
134,763
92,150
69,471
44,703
53,138
47,636
44,633
50,355
35,113
36,086
26,174
23,080
20,472
11,583
8,122
Spain
Eire
Poland
France
Netherlands
Portugal
Canary Islands
Switzerland
Germany
Italy
Belgium
Norway
Slovak Republic
Greece
Lithuania
Gibraltar
Latvia
Malta
Estonia
Turkey
Austria
Sweden
Passengers - International Route analysis
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 19
b) Irish Sea Ferry passengers
Until recently, four passenger routes were operated from the Liverpool City Region:
Liverpool – Isle of Man (Steam Packet)
Liverpool – Dublin (P&O)
Birkenhead – Dublin (Norfolkline DFDS)
Birkenhead – Belfast (Norfolkline DFDS Stena)
In 2010, DFDS acquired Norfolkline; unfortunately, despite strong market potential DFDS
disposed of the Irish Sea part of the Norfolkline group within a year – this decision may
particularly have been influenced by the condition of the Irish economy. The Belfast link was sold
to Stena and the Dublin link closed as at January 2011. Stena have since undertaken significant
refurbishment of the ships on their „new‟ Belfast link, with strong marketing promotion.
Source: Sea Passenger Statistics, DfT
In 2012, some 600,000 passengers arrived in Liverpool by one of the four ferry routes.
2010 saw a significantly higher level of traffic on all routes, partially benefitting from the
disruption to aviation caused by the eruption of Eyjafjellajokull; however a quarterly
analysis of route data indicates a level of modal shift, with growth in ferry passengers
across the whole year.
2011 has seen growth on the Belfast route (some of this being traffic „abstracted‟ from
the closure of the competing Fleetwood-Larne link at the end of 2010).
Liverpool-Douglas figures were affected in 2011 by technical problems, meaning fewer
sailings were offered during the summer / autumn.
The much smaller passenger capacity now offered to Dublin is evident, despite P&O
introducing a third vessel onto their route (weekly passenger capacity is now c5,700,
compared to c10,900 in 2010). An expansion / reopening or an improved offer is here
unlikely until both UK and Irish economies improve.
16
1.7
17
1.0
26
5.0
17
3.3
18
7.2
29
0.0
17
2.1
18
9.9
27
8.8
17
1.0
18
7.1
27
6.0
18
9.5
22
1.2
27
8.4
11
7.5
24
5.5
25
9.3
12
1.3
20
6.6
27
0.3
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Liverpool - Dublin Liverpool - Belfast Liverpool - Douglas
(00
0s
Pa
x)
Liverpool Sea Passengers
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 20
c) Cruise Ship Passengers
Since Liverpool‟s Cruise Terminal was inaugurated in September 2007, allowing vessels to berth
alongside the waterfront (rather than mid-river or in the North Docks), the cruise market has
shown significant growth. In 2012 those which are on a cruise originating or terminating in
Liverpool were permitted to this facility for the first time, having previously been located in the
Langton Dock; temporary terminal check-in and baggage facilities have been constructed on
adjoining land.
The charts below show both cruise ship calls and originating/terminating cruises; both in terms of
passenger numbers20
and vessel trips.
Source: Port / operator publicity
In 2012 it was estimated that there would be potentially 23,644 passengers on cruise
ships visiting the city and an estimated 9,600 on cruise ships departing the city.
The estimated number of passengers on „cruise calls‟ at the terminal in 2012 is slightly
reduced on last year, though broadly comparable.
2012 saw a slight increase in cruises/pax originating or terminating in the city. Partially
this is due to the ability to now use the Liverpool Cruise Terminal (operators had
expressed dissatisfaction with the location, facilities and the need to „lock in and out‟ at
the Langton Dock terminal, especially in comparison with the Liverpool Cruise Terminal).
However, with many operators planning their schedules some years in advance, it is
likely to be some time before the real benefit of the new facility becomes apparent.
20
Passengers shown is for the “potential pax”, i.e., if each ship were operating at capacity, (based on the listed passenger capacity on the operators‟ websites) and hence may not fully reflect actual passenger numbers.
8,1
59
6,1
46
17
,70
0
15
,99
5
24
,38
4
10
,99
0
26
,42
2
10
,16
0
26
,47
0
8,4
00
23
,64
4
9,6
00
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Cruise calls Originating / terminating cruises
Cruise Passengers
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
9 14
13
29
15
25
17
12
15
10
15
12
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Cruise calls Originating / terminating cruises
Vessel trips
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 21
d) Rail Passengers
Data on rail passengers is hard to come by; despite rail operation in the UK being operated
through government-supported franchises, less information is available than in the private
sectors of shipping and aviation.
Possibly the only usable data comes from the Rail Regulator‟s monitor of station usage. This only
covers total passengers not just visitors. Nevertheless we show on the left the top UK stations21
compared to other major UK cities and on the right usage levels of other key stations22
within the
Liverpool City Region.
Most recent data comes from the 2010-11 financial year and the estimated change is calculated
on the increase/decrease over 2009-10.
Key destinations Exits
Estimated
change:
Selected key city region
stations Exits
Estimated
change:
Glasgow Central 12,475,490 4.8% Liverpool James Street 1,659,872 -1.4%
Birmingham New St 12,348,172 -2.3% Southport 1,443,224 -2.1%
Leeds 12,245,808 11.4% Formby 797,945 1.2%
Manchester Piccadilly 10,639,228 7.2% New Brighton 512,822 4.5%
Edinburgh 9,978,673 3.3% West Kirby 407,653 3.7%
Brighton 7,246,505 5.5% St.Helens Central 361,905 5.7%
Liverpool Lime St 5,905,753 9.0% Port Sunlight 337,769 4.9%
Cardiff Central 5,629,984 4.8% Liverpool South Parkway 320,831 10.3%
Bristol Temple Meads 4,204,670 6.8% Hoylake 294,729 4.1%
Cambridge 4,122,708 7.6% Runcorn 309,941 15.8%
Source: Station usage data, Office of the Rail Regulator.
21
Excluding London & key commuter terminals 22
Stations are selected based on their central locations or proximity to key visitor attractions.
Statistical note:
As data is drawn from ticket sales data from the rail industry, trips
undertaken using multi-modal ticket in former metropolitan areas (such
as “Merseyside”) are estimated and included within these figures.
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 22
2.8 Business performance
Throughout the year the research team at the Local Enterprise Partnership conducts the „how‟s business‟ survey, in order to monitor performance of the visitor economy locally and to identify any emerging concerns that businesses may have. A web-based survey is currently used. All the LEPs tourism and conference members are sent an email inviting them to participate in the research, highlighting the reasons for the survey. Unfortunately response rates are currently relatively low with an average „strike rate‟ of less than 5% typically yielding c.50 responses. This means that although we are able to gauge the overall „mood‟ amongst businesses, we are not able to view to any depth what is happening in sub-sectors of the visitor economy. (Broadly speaking, 52% of the sample came from accommodation providers, 10% from visitor attractions, 24% from catering and 14% from „others‟). This report presents the findings from the latest survey, conducted during January.
a) Industry performance over the past three months
Businesses were asked how their performance had been over the last few months, compared
with the same period a year ago.
A majority of businesses stated that their costs had increased (over half, at 65%). There is
something of an ambivalence regarding visitor numbers; as many businesses reported a drop as
reported a rise. Note 44% indicated that their profitability was down, with just 17% reporting this
as up; this may be either due to the factors of increased costs or more cautious spending by
consumers; and especially in the case of accommodation providers, the increased levels of
competition.
-30%-9%
35%
-44%
44%26%
44%
39%
26% 65%
22%
17%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Turnover Costs Visitor numbers Profitability
How has business been generally during the second part of this year compared to the same time in 2011
Up
Level
Down
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 23
Businesses were then asked to indicate changes in their level of trade from different market
segments, compared to the same time in 2011.
Below this is „balanced (the proportion of businesses reporting an increase, less the proportion
reporting a decrease):
UK visitors -9%
Overseas visitors -23%
Group trade -35%
Business trade -39%
Conferences -53%
Although results for the domestic market suggest a pattern largely reflective of that seen in 2011,
we note that the data indicates growth in the overseas markets.
Business and conference trade numbers are down significantly – although at least partially this
could reflect on the city hosting the Labour Party conference in 2011.
-27%-36%
-45% -52% -58%
55% 50% 45% 38% 37%
18%14%
10%14%
5%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
UK Visitors Overseas visitors
Group trade Business trade Conferences
And have you experienced any changes in the following types of business compared to the same period last year
Up
Level
Down
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 24
b) Industry Forecast
Businesses were then asked how they would forecast their overall profitability over the next three
months – compared to the same period last year (note that during the recession this survey ran
more frequently).
The result in this suggests a recent swing towards a more negative aspect – this could be a result
of the ongoing economic climate and continuing public sector cuts although equally may be a
result of the poor weather conditions earlier in the year or concerns over negative impacts from
the Olympics.
The “balance” currently is -11%, a small worsening from the „ambivalent‟ perspective seen in the
previous two surveys (and a significantly more negative outlook than in December 2011). Overall
though, the mood is not as negative as that seen throughout 2009 and 2010.
53%67%
59% 57% 53% 50% 52%42% 45% 41%
56%
24%35% 35% 35% 35%
27%17%
28% 13% 27% 25% 28%38% 35% 35%
22%
35%31% 31%
41% 30%
20% 17% 24%30%
21% 25% 21% 21% 20% 24% 22%
41% 35% 35%24% 24%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Ja
nu
ary
20
09
.
Fe
bru
ary
20
09
.
Ma
rch
20
09
.
Ma
y 2
00
9.
Ju
ne
20
09
.
Au
gu
st 2
00
9.
Se
pte
mb
er
20
09
.
Nove
mb
er
20
09
.
Ma
rch
20
10
.
Ju
ly 2
01
0.
Ja
nu
ary
20
11
.
Se
pte
mb
er
20
11
.
Dece
mb
er
20
11
.
Ma
rch
20
12
Au
gu
st 2
01
2
Dece
mb
er
20
12
Change in profitability; time series
Down Level Up
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 25
c) Branding Marketing
A new question asked for this edition of the Tourism Digest, is what people think about all the
different brands that are important to the City Region.
The most common responses for this question were that people thought the most important
brands for the City Region were the „Football‟ (17%) and the „Beatles‟ (17%).
We would note though that respondents indicated that the „Golf‟ (7%) brand wasn‟t that important
to the City Region. This is after taking into account that the City Region has two Royal Golf
courses, which has held the Open Golf Championship several times over the past few years and
has many more courses spread about the City Region.
7%
8%
8%
14%
15%
16%
17%
17%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18%
Golf
World Heritage Site
Maritime
Retail Destination
Festival events
Culture
Beatles
Football
Which of these brands do you think are important for the LCR
Local Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 26
d) Awareness of International Festival for Business
The International Festival of Business is a global gathering of the world‟s most inspiring businesses; an arena where pivotal industries converge to trade ideas, products and contacts.
The festival will be an Olympics for business with hundreds of world-class events from June to July 2014 in Liverpool, attract a million visitors from across the globe, and bring £100 million worth of investment.
It is an urban festival of commerce, bringing together cities from the North to the South, East to West in 61 days of events, exhibitions, showcases and celebrations.
More than two thirds of Visitor Economy businesses are aware of the International Festival of
Business
Respondents who answered „Yes‟ to the previous question were then asked, if the festival would
create new opportunities for their business
As you can see 53% of respondents, indicated that new opportunities could be created during the
festival. This is compared to the 46% of respondents that agreed that the festival would create
new opportunities for the City Region.
71%
29%
International Festival for Business
Yes
No
5.9%
11.8%
29.4%
52.9%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Don't know
Not at all
Longer term
During the festival …
Do you think the International Festival for Business will create new opportunities for
your business?
13.6%
40.9%
45.5%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Don't know
Longer term
During the festival itself
Will the International Festival for Business create new opportunities for
Liverpool City Region?
Visitor Profile
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 27
3 Visitor Profile data
A number of major surveys are conducted periodically by The Liverpool LEP, which aids the
tourism intelligence of the area. These include the Liverpool City Region Visitor Survey23
and the
Destination Benchmarking24
survey. Within this section we present key data from both – be
aware the former represents the profile of visitors to the whole area, the latter just that of visitors
to the city centre.
3.1 Visitor origin
a) Day Visitors
Visitors to the
whole City Region
% of day
visitors
Visitors to
Liverpool City Centre
% of day
visitors
City Region residents 36% City Region residents 37%
Cheshire 13% Cheshire 8%
Greater Manchester 16% Greater Manchester 19%
Lancashire 13% Lancashire 15%
Cumbria <1% Cumbria 1%
Northeast <1% Northeast <1%
Yorkshire 5% Yorkshire 5%
East Midlands 3% East Midlands 1%
West Midlands 8% West Midlands 6%
London & Southeast 2% London & Southeast 2%
Southwest <1% Southwest 1%
Wales 4% Wales 2%
Scotland 1% Scotland <1%
Northern Ireland <1% Northern Ireland <1%
23
The Merseyside Visitor Survey is conducted every 5 years. Latest data is for 2010. 24
The Liverpool Destination Benchmarking study is conducted on alternate years. Latest data is for 2012
Visitor Profile
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 28
Besides those living elsewhere in the city region, there were strong levels of day visits from
Lancashire and Cheshire. To some extent these form part of the City Region‟s natural hinterland.
Other major day visitor markets included Greater Manchester and Yorkshire (the latter thanks in
part to good Trans-Pennine links); but we also see relatively high levels of day visitors from the
West Midlands.
For Wales, day visitors tend to be a reflection of visitors from the North Wales area; this
extending as far as Gwynedd, rather than the whole principality.
As indicated in the previous Digest, the timings now offered on the upgraded West Coast Main
Line mean that there were day visitors from Greater London evident too.
28%37% 39%
26% 30%
44%
64%
32% 31% 59% 56% 32%
8%
31% 29%
15% 14%24%
1% 1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Ha
lto
n
Kn
ow
sle
y
Liv
erp
oo
l
Se
fto
n
St.
He
len
s
Wirra
l
Day Visitor Origins - Summary
Overseas
Further afield UK
Elsewhere NW
Elsewhere City Region
Visitor Profile
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 29
b) Staying Visitors
Visitors to the
whole City Region
% of
staying
visitors
Visitors to
Liverpool City Centre
% of
staying
visitors
City Region residents 6% City Region residents 1%
Cheshire 5% Cheshire 2%
Greater Manchester 3% Greater Manchester 2%
Lancashire 5% Lancashire 1%
Cumbria <1% Cumbria 2%
Northeast 5% Northeast 2%
Yorkshire 7% Yorkshire 5%
East Midlands 9% East Midlands 4%
West Midlands 8% West Midlands 3%
London & Southeast 17% London & Southeast 13%
Southwest 4% Southwest 5%
Wales 2% Wales 2%
Scotland 3% Scotland 6%
Northern Ireland 5% Northern Ireland <1%
Overseas 22% Overseas 49%
Visitor Profile
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP April 2013 Page 30
There is a relatively low level of staying visitors from the Southwest, Northeast or Scotland; this
may owe much to relatively poor direct transport links from these locations.
There is strong evidence of London & the South East being important markets; in total, over a
fifth of all staying visitors to Liverpool (21%) came from these areas. As evidence of a growing
market, this was 15% in 2006 (more information on growth / decline by geography can be found
in the previous Digest).
Notice that overseas visitors form a very important part of the staying visitor market in Liverpool;
less so elsewhere in the city region.
c) Key Overseas Markets
As evidenced above, overseas markets form a
very important part of the inbound visitor market
for Liverpool.
Data from our Destination Benchmarking study
suggests that the following were the top origins
visiting Liverpool itself in 2012. Although
Australia may be a surprise being placed so
high on this list, data from Visit Britain has
confirmed something of a boost for visits to the
UK from that location during recent periods,
partially a result of beneficial economy
performance / exchange rates.
9%1% 2%
39%
3%
50%
18%
4%
15%
8%
13%
50%
64%
52%
71%
31%
69%
9%
43%
12%23%
15%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Ha
lto
n
Kn
ow
sle
y
Liv
erp
oo
l
Se
fto
n
St.
He
len
s
Wirra
l
Staying Visitor Origins - Summary
Overseas
Further afield UK
Elsewhere NW
Elsewhere City Region
% of all staying visitors
Eire 7%
USA 1%
Australia 3%
Germany 5%
Spain 6%
Netherland 1%
France 2%
Switzerland 1%
Austria 1%
Italy 2%
Norway <1%
Poland <1%
Visitor Profile
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 31
3.2 Mode of transport
Transport mode is an important aspect of understanding the visitor market. On the one hand, it
may reflect where good linkages exist, with the potential for further visit generation; on the other
hand, coupled with visitor origin, it may reveal where markets are underperforming due to lower
than ideal levels of connectivity. This is especially important in the current climate, where twin
pressures of costs and environmental concerns influence modal choice. Below we summarise
transport choices both for day and staying visitors from key markets.
a) Modal Choice: Day Visitors
b) Modal Choice: Staying Visitors
Note: percentages may add up to more than 100% as more than one mode of transport may have been
involved in the trip. Also note that ‟ferry‟ covers both Mersey Ferry and Irish Sea routes, and that whilst
„plane‟ may relate to Liverpool John Lennon Airport, it may also reflect on other UK gateways.
39%
78% 72% 67%
47%
73% 71%
40%
34%
15%9% 22%
23%
6% 11%
50%
21%14%
6%
15%10%
15% 12% 14% 10%4%
Within LCR Cheshire Lancs. Greater Manchester
West Midlands
Yorks N Wales London & Southeast
Car/van/etc Train Scheduled Bus / Coach
Coach tour / Private hire Ferry Plane
Other
57% 49%
70%61% 65%
23%
20% 29%
16%17% 5%
11%
24%
9% 10%8%
6%10%
5%
10%
10% 14%10%
7%
42%
5%
55%40%
10%10%
6%
11%
NW England / N Wales
London & SE Midlands Yorks & NE SW England & S Wales
Ireland Overseas
Car/van/etc Train Scheduled Bus / Coach
Coach tour / Private hire Ferry Plane
Other
Visitor Profile
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 32
3.3 Purpose of visit
The data shows the key reasons behind the visit to the area. Note that this data shows the main
reasons; the survey length unfortunately means that „contributory‟ reasons were not asked. It is
worth noting that due to the survey methodology, the data shown probably „undervalues‟ the level
of business and golf/sporting trips to the city region.
Notice also that especially in the case of St.Helens, “Events” includes sporting events, such as
horse racing at Haydock Park.
a) Purpose: Day Visitors
Halton Knowsley Liverpool
Attractions 89%
VFR 3%
Explore area 3%
Attractions 82%
Events 14%
VFR 2%
Explore area 2%
Sightseeing 41%
Shopping 22%
VFR 13%
Attractions 5%
Events 5%
Sefton St.Helens Wirral
Explore area 68%
Attractions 15%
Events 4%
Shopping 8%
VFR 3%
Attractions 63%
Events 20%
Shopping 10%
VFR 5%
Explore area 2%
Attractions 46%
Explore area 45%
VFR 6%
Events 4%
Shopping 1%
b) Purpose: Staying Visitors
Halton Knowsley Liverpool
VFR 50%
Attractions 50%
Attractions 92%
VFR 8%
Sightseeing 60%
VFR 13%
Attractions 9%
Events 7%
Conferences 2%
Sefton St.Helens Wirral
Explore area 66%
VFR 15%
Events 9%
Attractions 6%
Golf 2%
VFR 60%
Events 20%
Attractions 7%
Shopping 7%
Attractions 40%
Explore area 27%
VFR 27%
Events 2%
Cycling 2%
Visitor Profile
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 33
3.4 Visitor Demographics
In terms of the visitor age / gender composition, the data comes from asking about both the
respondent and all the people in the group they were visiting the Liverpool City Region with.
a) Day visitors
Visitors to the
whole City Region
% of day
visitors
Visitors to
Liverpool City Centre
% of day
visitors
Children (<16) 31% Children (<16) 8%
16-24 6% 16-24 12%
25-44 28% 25-44 25%
45-64 21% 45-64 39%
65+ 15% 65+ 16%
The proportion of children amongst day visitors was relatively high (31% across the whole city
region, 8% in Liverpool City Centre) – showing especially the importance of the family market,
although clearly this is of greater significance to parts of the region outside the city centre.
Note that there was a higher level of young adults (aged 16-24 – 12%) in the city centre.
The city centre day visitor profile also showed a much higher female bias and a greater presence
in the age 45-64 groups.
15.7%
2.4%
4.3%
8.0%
5.9%
4.3%
6.7%
15.3%
3.3%
6.2%
9.1%
5.6%
5.3%
7.9%
0-15
16-24
25-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
Male Female
4.4%
2.8%
4.7%
4.7%
6.9%
9.1%
5.8%
3.9%
9.4%
6.9%
8.8%
10.2%
12.7%
9.9%
0-15
16-24
25-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
Male Female
Visitor Profile
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 34
b) Staying visitors
Visitors to the
whole City Region
% of day
visitors
Visitors to
Liverpool City Centre
% of day
visitors
Children (<16) 14% Children (<16) 4%
16-24 6% 16-24 20%
25-44 32% 25-44 32%
45-64 35% 45-64 29%
65+ 13% 65+ 15%
14% of visitors staying in the city region were children; at the other end of the scale there were
relatively low proportions aged 65 or older (13%). We see that „just‟ 4% of visitors staying in the
city itself were children, although likewise a relatively high proportion of the staying audience
were aged 65 or older (15%).
Note that just 6% of visitors staying across the whole city region were aged 16-24, although this
group is of far more importance in the city itself (20%).
The 25-44 age bracket forms a very important part of those staying in the city, an estimated 32%.
7.5%
2.6%
9.1%
8.6%
6.3%
11.2%
5.4%
7.0%
3.3%
7.0%
7.5%
8.0%
9.3%
7.3%
0-15
16-24
25-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
Male Female
4.4%
2.8%
4.7%
4.7%
6.9%
9.1%
5.8%
3.9%
9.4%
6.9%
8.8%
10.2%
12.7%
3.6%
0-15
16-24
25-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
Male Female
Visitor Profile
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 35
3.5 Group Type
Besides raw demographics, there is also the question as to which type of group visitors were
with. Those visiting with their children made up over half of the total day trip market in the area
(53%); those on a staying trip were most likely to be with their partner or spouse (41% - and this
is even more likely in Liverpool itself, at 50%).
a) Day visitors
b) Staying visitors
9%
53%
7%
22%
12%
1%
9%
39%
10%
24%
13%
6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
On my own With family (incl. children)
With family (excl. Children)
With partner / spouse
With friends Organised group
Whole City Region Liverpool City Centre
6%
27%
10%
41%
20%
3%
8%
16%
11%
50%
22%
3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
On my own With family (incl. children)
With family (excl. Children)
With partner / spouse
With friends Organised group
Whole City Region Liverpool City Centre
National Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 36
4 National data
Within this section of the report we turn to what national data tells us is happening in the visitor
economy across the country. This helps us benchmark the city region‟s current performance and
understand emerging trends. Much of this information comes from Visit Britain and Visit
England‟s tourism intelligence pages, and links to a full range of data sources are provided within
the appendix. In all cases, the data should be compared with the relevant local data, as provided
earlier in this Digest.
4.1 Occupancy trends
Source: England Occupancy Survey
National data indicates that overall for this year to date occupancy figures are slightly up
on last year (68% for August to December, compared to 65%in 2011).
This is only of course the national picture; regions most likely to have seen an ongoing
improvement were the Midlands, Southeast and East of England; London and the
Northeast both appeared to show a drop in occupancy levels in the year to date figures.
The Northwest region as a whole appeared relatively static; given the „local‟ occupancy
results reported in section 2.1, this suggests a better performance by the Liverpool City
Region than its nearby competitors.
Growth in the year to date has mainly been recorded by small towns, with what appears
to be a drop in occupancy levels for large towns and countryside locations.
Source: England Occupancy Survey
42
%
52
%
50
%
58
%
64
%
72
%
76
%
72
%
74
%
67
%
58
%
49
%
46
%
56
%
59
%
63
%
67
%
75
%
77
%
72
%
75
%
67
%
61
%
52
%
47
%
54
%
59
%
63
%
68
%
73
%
72
%
73
%
77
%
71
%
64
%
56
%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
England Hotel Room Occupancy Monthly Trends
2010 2011 2012
70% 53% 51% 51%73% 60% 54% 56%64% 51% 43% 45%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
City / Large town Small town Seaside Countryside
Room occupancy (Aug - Dec)
2010 2011 2012
National Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 37
4.2 Visits to attractions trends
The chart below highlights changes in visitor growth to different attraction genres across the
country. We note first of all that overall there have been three consecutive years where
attractions have recorded growth in visits – a net 5% of all attractions showed growth increasing
visitor numbers from 2010 to 2011, building on a 3% rise the previous year and 5% in the year
before that.
Source: Annual England Attractions Survey
The graph suggests that over the last year growth across England has been strongest in
visits to, Gardens, Historic Houses, Other Historic Properties and Places of worship. In the
case of the former group, it is possible that this is connected to the current ongoing popularity
of costume dramas such as “Downton Abbey”. There has also been strong growth in visitor
numbers at Wildlife attractions.
Growth has been weakest for Steam / Heritage Railways – and a relatively neutral
experience for Museums and Art Galleries.
Note that despite the economic climate, +6% of paid attractions recorded a rise in
admissions, against +1% of free attractions.
5%
2%
6%
10% 12%
1%
1%
3%
7%
5%
2%
2%
6%
9%
3% 4%
-5%
-6%
1%
15
%
-1%
5%
1%
-3%
-3%
4%
4%
2%
5%
4% 5%
9%
6%
9%
2%
-1%
-3%
2%
9%
0%
7%
3%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
En
gla
nd
ave
rag
e
Cou
ntr
y p
ark
s
Fa
rms
Ga
rde
ns
His
tori
c h
ou
se
s/c
astles
Oth
er
his
tori
c p
rop
ert
ies
Le
isu
re/t
he
me
pa
rks
Mu
se
um
s/a
rt g
alle
rie
s
Ste
am
/he
rita
ge
ra
ilwa
ys
Vis
ito
r/h
eri
tage
ce
ntr
es
Wild
life
att
ractio
ns/z
oo
s
Work
pla
ces
Pla
ce
s o
f w
ors
hip
Oth
er
% o
f a
ttra
cti
on
s r
ep
ort
ing
a r
ise
/dro
p in
ad
mis
sio
ns
Year on year change in visits to attractions, England
2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011
National Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 38
4.3 Domestic visitors (GBTS)
a) Overall results
The Great Britain Tourist Survey (GBTS) is
the main measure of the national volume of
domestic tourism and is supported by the
national tourist boards. GBTS25
measures
overnight trips, rather than the total domestic
market.
Data from the Great Britain Tourism Survey
(GBTS) indicates that Liverpool was the 9th
most visited town/city in England by domestic
tourists26,
with an estimated 1,428,000
overnight trips. This is an increase in one
rank position from that seen in 2010.
It is worth noting that as an absolute volume,
this places Liverpool as being statistically
similar to those destinations in 7th and 8
th
place in the rankings.
Top 20 most visited English Cities & Towns by UK residents
2009 2010 2011
Town/City
Visits
(000s) Town/City
Visits
(000s) Town/City
Visits
(000s)
1 London 10,795 1 London 11,580 1 London 11,093
2 Manchester 2,743 2 Manchester 2,177 2 Manchester 2,613
3 Birmingham 2,358 3 Birmingham 2,059 3 Birmingham 2,251
4 Scarborough 1,765 4 Blackpool 1,717 4 Bristol 1,828
5 Bristol 1,761 5 Scarborough 1,495 5 Scarborough 1,645
6 Blackpool 1,504 6 Bristol 1,490 6 York 1,615
7 York 1,418 7 Leeds 1,478 7 Leeds 1,493
8 Leeds 1,378 8 York 1,374 8 Blackpool 1,478
9 Newcastle-upon-Tyne 1,351 9 Newcastle-upon-Tyne 1,244 9 Liverpool 1,428
10 Brighton and Hove 1,302 10 Liverpool 1,194 10 Newcastle upon Tyne 1,303
11 Isle of Wight 1,218 11 Isle of Wight 1,042 11 Sheffield 1,293
12 Liverpool 1,204 12 Skegness 1,012 12 Brighton and Hove 1,096
13 Nottingham 1,047 13 Nottingham 928 13 Nottingham 1,066
14 Sheffield 1,042 14 Bournemouth 925 14 Isle of Wight 1,053
15 Skegness 1,035 15 Brighton and Hove 921 15 Bournemouth 1,051
16 Bournemouth 922 16 Norwich 842 16 Skegness 992
17 Southampton 892 17 Sheffield 816 17 Southampton 973
18 Great Yarmouth 826 18 Southampton 759 18 Norwich 934
19 Oxford 811 19 Bath 710 19 Cambridge 769
20 Plymouth 724 20 Oxford 700 20 Plymouth 745
Source: GBTS, Visit England
25
Note that the GBTS is primarily a national survey and not as accurate at destination level; whilst we would use our STEAM numbers at local level, the rank order is useful. 26
Defined as staying visitors from England, Scotland and Wales; those from Northern Ireland are no longer included in the survey (to reflect this, the survey is now known as “GBTS” – previously it was “UKTS”).
11
,09
3
2,6
13
2,2
51
1,8
28
1,6
45
1,6
15
1,4
93
1,4
78
1,4
28
1,3
03
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Lo
nd
on
Ma
nch
este
r
Bir
min
gh
am
Bri
sto
l
Sca
rbo
rou
gh
Yo
rk
Le
ed
s
Bla
ckp
oo
l
Liv
erp
oo
l
New
ca
stle
up
on
Tyn
e
Top Towns: Staying visits (000s) by GB residents
Source: GBTS, Visit England
National Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 39
b) Results from different markets
The data shows that Liverpool is ranked 10th for “pure holiday visits” – this is the same rank as
achieved last year but the information within the survey suggests significant increase in visits.
The city is ranked 8th though for business visits – this is a big uplift from last year (when it was
ranked 10th) and may reflect on major conferences in the city.
Source: GBTS, Visit England
c) Trends
Looking at the national trends observed by
the GBTS, it appears that there has been
strong growth in holiday overnight visits
(possibly including the „staycation‟ impact).
Against this, during the recession period, it
seems that both „VFR‟ and staying business
trips showed significant drops. These
markets showed strong recovery during
2011, although both remained below
historic levels.
Early messages for 2012 indicate that “pure
holiday trips” may have been affected by
the poor weather conditions experienced
during the middle part of the year.
Source: GBTS, Visit England
A fuller briefing note on key messages from the GBTS is
available on request from the LEP.
3,704
1,256
1,209
924
902
816
738
686
553
549
0 500 1,000 1,500
London
Scarborough
Blackpool
Manchester
Skegness
York
Isle of Wight
Bournemouth
Great Yarmouth
Liverpool
Top Towns: Pure holiday staying trips (000s)
2,860
786
630
514
357
273
244
243
232
211
0 200 400 600 800
London
Birmingham
Manchester
Bristol
Newcastle upon Tyne
Nottingham
York
Liverpool
Leeds
Cambridge
Top Towns: Business staying trips (000s)
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011Ch
an
ge
fro
m 2
00
6 (
10
0 =
"N
o c
ha
ng
e")
GBTS: Trends
Holidays VFR Business
National Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 40
15
,28
9
1,3
42
93
4
73
3
54
5
47
5
48
5
43
0
38
7
30
6
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
Lo
nd
on
Ed
inb
urg
h
Ma
nch
este
r
Bir
min
gh
am
Liv
erp
oo
l
Gla
sg
ow
Oxfo
rd
Bri
sto
l
Ca
mb
rid
ge
Le
ed
s
Top towns: Staying Visits (000s) by overseas visitors (IPS)
4.4 Inbound visitors (IPS)
a) Overall results
The International Passenger Survey is conducted
by ONS on behalf of Visit Britain. Passengers
arriving through major airports (including LJLA),
seaports and the Channel Tunnel are surveyed.
The survey shows that Liverpool‟s ongoing
growth as a visitor destination means it is now the
5th
-most visited city in Britain by overseas
residents. This is the highest position the city has
attained, having been 6th since 2005.
The city recorded approximately 545,000
overseas staying visits in 2011, and is only
behind London, Edinburgh, Manchester and
Birmingham.
In terms of geographically close „competitors‟
(who might also feed our day visits market),
Manchester recorded an estimated 936,000
overseas staying visits and Chester 135,000.
Source: IPS, VisitBritain / ONS
Top 20 most visited UK Cities & Towns by Overseas residents
2009 2010 2011
Town/City
Visits
(000s) Town/City
Visits
(000s) Town/City
Visits
(000s)
1 London 14,211 1 London 14706 1 London 15289
2 Edinburgh 1,324 2 Edinburgh 1305 2 Edinburgh 1342
3 Manchester 800 3 Manchester 811 3 Manchester 934
4 Birmingham 709 4 Birmingham 740 4 Birmingham 733
5 Glasgow 623 5 Glasgow 551 5 Liverpool 545
6 Liverpool 458 6 Liverpool 452 6 Glasgow 475
7 Bristol 421 7 Oxford 412 7 Oxford 465
8 Oxford 416 8 Bristol 377 8 Bristol 430
9 Cambridge 400 9 Cambridge 367 9 Cambridge 387
10 Brighton / Hove 330 10 Brighton / Hove 303 10 Leeds 306
11 Cardiff 313 11 Bath 263 11 Brighton / Hove 304
12 Inverness 248 12 Cardiff 260 12 Cardiff 291
13 Nottingham 244 13 Inverness 238 13 Aberdeen 250
14 Leeds 231 14 Newcastle-upon-Tyne 224 14 Nottingham 244
15 Aberdeen 216 15 Nottingham 224 15 Newcastle-upon-Tyne 239
16 York 215 16 York 224 16 Bath 232
17 Newcastle-upon-Tyne 213 17 Leeds 213 17 York 222
18 Bath 212 18 Aberdeen 168 18 Inverness 215
19 Canterbury 197 19 Southampton 164 19 Windsor 211
20 Reading 187 20 Windsor 162 20 Canterbury 191
Source: IPS, VisitBritain / ONS
National Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 41
b) Results from different markets
It is always useful to view the information by purpose of visit, and this shows that Liverpool is
currently placed 5th in terms of pure holiday visits – with c.188,000 staying visits it is not that far
behind Manchester in this regards.
The city is currently ranked 6th
in terms of “Visiting Friends and relatives”
It is, however, placed lower in terms of business trips, being ranked 7th
; an undoubted impact of
the city‟s lower business base, although this is an improvement on earlier years.
It is also worth noting that Liverpool is ranked 3rd
for international staying visits when viewing the „other‟ visit purpose category. What this topic actually includes is varied, but amongst items to be considered here are: Attending events (including sports); Trips where both work and holiday are the main reason; connecting to other ferries / flights / cruises.
Source: IPS, VisitBritain / ONS
7,577
898
251
212
188
183
180
148
143
143
0 200 400 600 800 1,000
London
Edinburgh
Glasgow
Manchester
Liverpool
Inverness
Oxford
Birmingham
Bath
Brighton / Hove
Top Towns: Pure holiday staying trips (000s)
3,399
248
246
175
162
153
130
122
110
108
0 50 100 150 200 250 300
London
Manchester
Edinburgh
Birmingham
Bristol
Liverpool
Cambridge
Oxford
Nottingham
Leeds
Top Towns: VFR staying trips (000s)
2,980
357
318
158
106
105
101
100
98
98
0 100 200 300 400
London
Birmingham
Manchester
Edinburgh
Bristol
Cambridge
Liverpool
Leeds
Oxford
Aberdeen
Top Towns: Business staying trips (000s)
1,122
149
100
44
29
27
27
22
19
17
0 50 100 150 200
London
Manchester
Liverpool
Birmingham
Edinburgh
Oxford
Leeds
Cambridge
Glasgow
Newcastle
Top Towns: "Other purpose" (000s)
National Data
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 42
c) Trends
Looking at the trends reported nationally by
the survey, this suggests an ongoing growth in
„pure holiday‟ overseas visits to the UK.
Much as with the domestic market though
(see section 4.3) the level of staying visits
generated by both VFR and business
purposes showed large drops during the
recession period. Again, these now show
significant levels of recovery, but currently
remain below historic levels.
Future growth may depend not just on
success in attracting these markets to the UK,
but also on the performance of origin markets‟
economies, and this is explored in section 5.2.
Source: IPS, VisitBritain / ONS
Over the last few years, key growing markets have tended to be led by those countries with the
strongest economies – with recent evidence of growth from some of the emerging economies.
Germany and the Netherlands – both countries with relatively strong economic performance –
have generated growth in the Liverpool City Region visitor market. However amongst the
„emerging economies‟ we also see growth from Russia and India (the sample size for China and
Brazil is too low to determine local trends with any accuracy).
A fuller briefing note on key messages from the IPS is
available on request from the LEP.
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011Ch
an
ge
fro
m 2
00
6 (
10
0 =
"N
o c
ha
ng
e")
IPS: Trends
Holiday VFR Business
Growth markets - local
Fastest growing City Region visitor markets
2009-11 (current levels shown in brackets):
Russia >100% (2,700)
Denmark 25% (5,100)
Germany 15% (35,500)
Netherlands 14% (32,100)
India 10% (3,000)
Ireland 8% (130,900)
UAE 8% (4,700)
Japan 2% (3,900)
Growth markets - national
Fastest growing UK „pure holiday‟ markets 2009-11
By growth rate By volume change
South Korea >50% Italy +146,000
Brazil >50% Australia +144,000
Russia >50% Sweden +100,000
China >50% Brazil +92,000
India >50% Belgium +60,000
Chile >50% Norway +51,000
Singapore 50% South Korea +47,000
Argentina 50% India +46,000
Finland 46% Russia +42,000
Sweden 42% Canada +40,000
Forecasts
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 43
5 Forecasts
5.1 Trends from the Liverpool City Region 3-year Action Plan
The visitor economy has seen strong growth over the last few years, as evidenced earlier in this
Digest. Despite current economic conditions, strong growth is still expected from the sector. The
graph below shows the expected trends (indexed to 2006). Figures have been updated from the
previous Digest, following the latest STEAM data (as noted in section 1) and known hotel
developments.
Source: Destination Management Plan
Certain components of change we already know; below we summarise the key hotel
developments, both currently under way and those planned over the next few years.
Source: Tourist board hotel stock data
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
20
23
Ch
an
ge
(in
de
xe
d t
o 2
00
6)
Tourism growth trend - Liverpool City Region
Staying Visitors Day Visitors
5,0
62
5,7
17
6,0
67
4,6
11
4,8
05
4,8
65
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
2012 2013 2014
Hotel room stock
Liverpool City Centre Elsewhere City Region
43
45
52
85
88
89
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2012 2013 2014
Hotel establishments
Liverpool City Centre Elsewhere City Region
Forecasts
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 44
5.2 Economic outlook 2012
A key driver of what happens in the visitor economy is clearly going to be that of the wider
economy. For this, we turn to the outlook from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This is a
tool updated twice a year – latest data is shown as updated at April 2012. There are a number of
different measures which can be used, but in order to gain a view as to overall economic health,
we view changes in the unemployment rate and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita.
In the tables below, we show details for this indexed to 2007 (i.e., pre-recession), both for the UK
and key inbound markets. In the case of the unemployment rate, this should be expected to
decrease in an improving economy and GDP per capita would be expected to increase.
(Figures colourised where greater than 5% positive / negative change relative to 2007)
Unemployment rate
Year UK Eire Spain France Germany USA Netherlands Poland Norway Italy Australia
2007 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 2008 102.9 138.3 137.1 93.3 86.5 125.6 85.7 74.1 103.3 111.0 97.7 2009 138.1 258.5 218.0 113.5 88.1 200.9 104.3 85.0 125.6 127.4 128.1 2010 145.5 298.0 242.8 117.2 80.4 208.5 124.7 100.2 142.6 137.0 119.6 2011 148.3 314.6 261.9 115.6 68.1 193.8 125.8 100.5 130.5 136.8 116.8
2012 153.0 315.9 292.9 118.7 63.5 176.7 153.8 97.7 143.3 155.3 118.8
2013 151.4 302.6 289.2 120.3 62.4 170.6 153.8 94.9 139.3 158.9 119.1 2014 144.9 283.4 275.9 117.1 60.4 161.9 148.2 92.1 139.3 160.6 110.5 2015 136.3 263.1 265.0 112.9 59.9 150.6 139.8 89.2 139.3 153.9 107.6 2016 129.2 244.9 249.3 109.3 59.4 137.4 125.8 86.4 139.3 145.1 107.6 2017 125.8 229.1 229.9 105.6 58.9 125.3 111.9 93.0 139.3 132.0 107.6
Source: IMF World Outlook, IMF / Visit Britain
GDP per capita
Year UK Eire Spain France Germany USA Netherlands Poland Norway Italy Australia
2007 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 2008 100.4 97.3 101.3 101.5 103.2 100.9 103.7 107.4 100.8 100.2 102.5 2009 96.4 90.7 97.4 99.3 99.3 97.6 100.6 110.2 99.0 95.0 103.1 2010 98.9 91.1 98.1 101.6 104.2 100.9 102.9 115.8 99.5 97.4 105.5 2011 100.9 91.5 100.5 105.0 109.6 104.1 105.9 124.2 102.0 99.4 108.5
2012 102.4 93.3 99.5 106.4 111.9 106.7 106.3 130.2 103.9 98.3 111.9
2013 105.3 97.6 100.7 108.6 115.5 109.9 108.5 136.7 106.5 99.1 116.1 2014 108.9 102.2 103.0 111.7 119.0 113.7 111.3 144.1 109.1 100.7 120.4 2015 112.8 107.5 105.9 115.2 122.7 118.2 114.9 152.4 112.1 103.0 125.1 2016 116.9 112.8 109.0 118.8 126.5 123.1 118.7 161.1 115.1 105.6 129.9 2017 121.8 118.9 112.7 122.9 130.9 128.5 123.1 170.8 118.5 108.6 135.4
Source: IMF World Outlook, IMF / Visit Britain
Thus, at the moment, in terms of GDP growth, the UK looks like returning to pre recession levels
around 2013, whilst other economies – notably Ireland, but also Spain and Italy – may take a
longer time. This could impact on inbound visitors; but likewise a poor-performing domestic
economy is likely to see the continued strength of „staycations‟ – although of course the poorer
weather conditions seen in 2012 may now mitigate against this.
Articles
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 45
6 Articles
6.1 The importance of events
As indicated in sections 2.5 and 3.3, events are an important part of what the City Region offers
as a visitor destination. The tourist board maintains a database of key events where research has
been conducted, and the following section of the Digest provides a summary of what this event
„benchmark‟ tells us about the importance of the events market. Again, as with much of visitor
research, this data excludes those who were residents of the district where the event was held.
Note: For event organisers, England‟s Northwest Research Service can provide a service
benchmarking their own event against details of this database, including satisfaction scores, visitor
profiles, origins, marketing channels used and economic impact.
a) Audience Origin
Obviously, much will depend on the genre of event,
but it is clear that the events held in the city region
see a wide audience from different geographies.
Naturally, there is a strong attendance from within
the city region and its hinterland (including North
Wales), but we also see visitors from further afield.
Especially strong here are the London and
Southeast areas, but in truth visitors from all areas of
the UK were recorded at the events.
Note that an estimated 9% of all event attendees
came from overseas. This reflects on the wide range
of visitors indicated as visiting the destination (see
section 3.1), and covers (amongst others) Ireland,
North America and Western Europe.
Cheshire, 10%Greater
Manchester, 11%
Lancashire, 11%
Elsewhere UK, 22%
Overseas, 9%
Halton, 3%Knowsley, 5%
Liverpool, 5%
Sefton, 10%
St.Helens, 4%
Wirral, 10%
Liverpool City Region,
37%
Origin - all event attendees
Articles
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 46
b) Demographics
There are also a wide range of visitors evident from different age groups attending the city region
events, and this is highlighted below. Again, we would emphasise that this is an overall
benchmark, and we would expect significant variance by event genre.
As in the overall visitor profile, we can see
that the family audience is clearly strong
(13% of all event attendees being children
under the age of 16). This is an aspect
which we may have expected to be higher
than in previous years, given the ongoing
trend for „Staycations‟ and „Daycations‟; the
squeeze on household budgets means
families look for free and value for money
activities/trips closer to home.
Age Group % of all event
attendees
Children (<16) 13%
Aged 16-24 16%
Aged 25-44 31%
Aged 45-64 27%
Aged 65+ 12%
c) Satisfaction with events in the City Region
Overall event attendees showed high satisfaction levels – and this was especially the case
regarding the suitability of venues and overall enjoyment.
Two areas that consistently emerge as messages for event organisers are levels of publicity and
promotion (this especially being mentioned by visitors staying in the area who „happened‟ upon
the event, not realising it was taking place) and signposting. For out-of-town events, signposting
was commented on by motorists; for those based in town centres, inadequate signage from
public transport terminals was the main issue.
36% 92% 89% 29% 86% 84% 73% 43% 37% 32%
-1% -1% -1% -1% -1% -2% -3% -5% -24% -32%
Pu
blic
tra
nsp
ort
Su
ita
bili
ty o
f e
ve
nt
ve
nu
e
Ove
rall
en
joym
en
t
Eve
nt q
ua
lity
Va
lue
fo
r m
on
ey
Org
an
isa
tio
n &
sta
ff
Oth
er
facili
tie
s
Pa
rkin
g fa
cili
tie
s
Pu
blic
ity &
pro
mo
tio
n
Eve
nt sig
np
ostin
g
Negative
Positive
1.9%
2.4%
2.3%
8.2%
6.9%
8.0%
7.2%
6.0%
5.4%
2.2%
2.5%
2.1%
8.2%
7.3%
8.6%
7.3%
6.8%
6.7%
0 to 5
6 to 10
11 to 15
16 to 24
25 to 34
35 to 44
45 to 54
55 to 64
65+
Male Female
Articles
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 47
d) The Geographical ‘draw’ of events
We have already seen above the origin of all
attendees, but a crucial part of understanding the
impact of any event is to view the origin of those
drawn to the destination specifically by the event.
Perhaps as might be expected, the „draw‟ is more
likely to include those who are local to the area and
its hinterland; 45% of those attending events came
from within the City Region, with a further 32%
coming from other parts of Northwest England.
This should not be to deny the significant numbers
coming from further afield though. In terms of those
associated with the day visitor markets, events drew
in numbers from the West Midlands, Yorkshire and
North Wales; whilst looking at staying visitors we
see a significant presence of visitors from London
and overseas (6% of event attendees attracted to
the city region primarily by events came from
overseas markets).
Cheshire, 11%
Greater Manchester, 10%
Lancashire, 10%
Elsewhere UK, 17%
Overseas, 6%
Halton, 3%
Knowsley, 6%
Liverpool, 5%
Sefton, 12%
St.Helens, 5%
Wirral, 12%
Liverpool City Region, 45%
Origin - attendees 'drawn' by events
Articles
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 48
e) Spend of event visitors
Undoubtedly, events can have a significant economic impact on an area, and at least partially
this comes from the expenditure that they made during their visit. Here we focus on the spend
made by those groups of visitors who indicated that the event had been their main reason for
visiting the area; with many events in the area taking place in the public realm, there can often be
many “passers-by” amongst those attending, including shoppers and sightseers to name two; it
would be an unfair evaluation to count these towards an economic impact.
Staying visitors drawn to the city region by events spent (on average) £141.77 per
person on their trip.
Day visitors drawn to the city region by events spent (on average) £33.80 per person
on their trip.
As a general comment, in the current economic climate these spend levels may be depressed
below what otherwise would be seen. Also be aware that the staying visitor average expenditure
will include those staying „for free‟ with friends and family, as well as those using „paid‟
accommodation such as hotels and serviced apartments.
£38.71
£25.60
£39.77
£10.43
£14.94
£17.24
£10.26
£11.46
£3.05
£4.40
£3.42
£0 £10 £20 £30 £40 £50
Accommodation
Shopping
Food & drink
Entertainment & attractions
Travel & transport
Other spend
Mean spend per person drawn by event
Ca
teg
ory
of
ex
pe
nd
itu
re
Staying visitors Day visitors
Articles
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 49
6.2 Tourism Business Confidence – Nationally
Data from Visit England provides a barometer in terms of national business performance; at
different points in the year 500 accommodation providers and 300 visitor attractions are asked for
their recent performance and expectations for the short-term. To some extent this can be
contrasted with the LEPs own „How‟s Business‟ survey (see section 2.8).
a) Performance of the Domestic Visitor market
Source: Visit England Tourism Business Monitor, Wave 4 2012
The data seems to suggest that nationally visitor
attractions have seen a more optimistic year
than accommodation providers in terms of
domestic visitors. For both market sectors the
period up to and including the summer showed a
drop in domestic trade – this may be connected
both to the Olympics and weather conditions.
Significantly, September suggested a return to a
more positive trend.
Note also that the result within the Liverpool City
Region tended to mirror the national levels for
domestic visitors, with a net „ambivalent‟ mood.
Sources: Visit England Tourism Business Monitor
/ LEP “How‟s Business” Survey
26% 22% 14% 18% 24%
-28% -35% -41% -38% -35%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Accommodation providers
Down
Up
28% 30% 17% 23% 26%
-11% -20% -29% -18% -14%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Attractions
Down
Up
24% 26% 22%
-35% -14% -35%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
En
gla
nd
Acco
m.
En
gla
nd
Att
ractio
ns
LC
R B
usin
esse
s
Comparison:
Down
Up
Articles
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 50
b) Performance of the Overseas Visitor market
Source: Visit England Tourism Business Monitor, Wave 4 2012
When switching to look at the experience of the
overseas visitor market, data seems to suggest
that nationally performance has dropped
throughout the year (although as we saw when
looking at domestic visitors, the experience of
visitor attractions has been more positive than
accommodation providers.) Verbatim comments
seem to associate some of this downturn with
the Olympics.
Comparing the results with the local data
suggests that the Liverpool City Region has
tended to outperform national levels in terms of
growth of overseas visitors.
Sources: Visit England Tourism Business Monitor
/ LEP “How‟s Business” Survey
25% 23% 22% 19% 21%
-21% -30% -32% -34% -33%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Accommodation providers
Down
Up
21% 28% 25% 23% 25%
-22% -24% -22% -30% -23%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Attractions
Down
Up
21% 23% 14%
-33% -25% -36%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
En
gla
nd
Acco
m.
En
gla
nd
Att
ractio
ns
LC
R B
usin
esse
s
Comparison:
Down
Up
Articles
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 51
c) Business confidence
Source: Visit England Tourism Business Monitor, Wave 4 2012
When asked about their expectations for the next period, businesses nationally – both
accommodation and attractions – appeared significantly more likely in September to have
positive expectations, after falling confidence levels in the early surveys. This may suggest a
return to levels of growth.
41% 32% 28% 32% 25%
42%
48%46%
50%48%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Ea
ste
r 2
01
2
Ju
n-1
2
Ju
l-1
2
Se
p-1
2
No
v-1
2
Accommodation providers
Very confident Fairly confident
29% 24% 16% 27% 34%
58%60%
65%
58%51%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Ea
ste
r 2
01
2
Ju
n-1
2
Ju
l-1
2
Se
p-1
2
No
v-1
2
Attractions
Very confident Fairly confident
Articles
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 52
6.3 News
In response to requests from some of our businesses, within this section of the report we present
some of the key aspects that have impacted on the local visitor economy over the last 12 months
and look at some of the known milestones in the year ahead. We also indicate some of the
current activity by the research team, which may be of interest.
Clearly we cannot cover every single one of the many items involved, but if you know of
something which should be included here, do let us know about it.
a) The Past 12 Months
Hotel Openings
Jun 2011 Hotel Indigo, Chapel Street, opens – 151 rooms.
Jul 2011 Travelodge, New Brighton, opens – 66 rooms.
Feb 2012 Travelodge, The Strand, opens – 141 rooms.
May 2012: Holiday Inn Express, Hoylake, opens – 56 rooms
Major new events:
Oct 2011: Inaugural Liverpool Marathon:
The first ever Liverpool Marathon, starting in Birkenhead Park and finishing on
the Liverpool Waterfront, recorded over 5,000 runners and was cheered on by
thousands of spectators.
Apr 2012: Giant Spectacular:
A three-day piece of street theatre featuring three giant puppets and inspired by
the Titanic, watched by an estimated 600,000 people.
May-Aug 2012: Rolf Harris: Can you tell what it is yet?
A major retrospective of the artist / musician / TV personality, featuring
paintings, memorabilia and more at the Walker Art Gallery; recording very high
visitor numbers.
Other:
Nov 2011: Open Eye Gallery moves to key waterfront location
Mar 2012: KLM air link to Amsterdam closes.
Jan 2012: Wirral officially opens the “Wirral Circular Trail”, a 35-mile cycling and walking
trail skirting the coastline and taking in key parts of Wirral‟s countryside.
Apr 2012: Stena complete £4m upgrade of passenger ferries on its Liverpool
(Birkenhead)-Belfast route
May 2012 First „turnaround‟ cruise departs Liverpool Cruise terminal, following DfT
approval and construction of check-in facilities.
Articles
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 53
b) The next 12 months
Hotel Openings
Mar 2013: Adagio, Lewis‟s Building, due to open (126 rooms)
Apr 2013: Signature Hotel, due to open (12 units)
Apr 2013: Travelodge, Exchange Street East, due to open (125 rooms)
Apr 2013: The Richmond, Hatton Gardens, due to open (51 rooms)
Apr 2013: 2 Liverpool Hotels, due to open
July 2013: Hoax, 5 star, hostel, Stanley Street (282 rooms)
Aug 2013: Ibis Dale Street due to open (122 rooms)
Oct 2013: Doubletree by Hilton, due to open (87 rooms)
Major events:
Mar 2013: Festival of Enterprise
April 2013 John Smiths Grand National, Aintree
May 2013: 70th Anniversary, Battle of the Atlantic
Jun 2013: UNISON Conference at the BT Convention Centre
Jun 2013: Mersey River Festival
Jun-Oct 2013: Mark Chagall exhibition at Tate Liverpool
August 2013: Liverpool International Music Festival
Other:
Apr 2013: Norwegian Airlines inaugural service from Copenhagen to Liverpool
May 2013: The Atkinson, Southport opens
c) Research Activity
The following is activity underway by the research team on behalf of the tourist board:
Hotel Occupancy interpretation
STEAM data collection
Appendices
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 54
Appendix i: Further reference sources
http://liverpoollep.org/
The homepage of the Liverpool City Region Local Enterprise
Partnership, with links to all the documents we produce.
http://www.visitengland.org/insight-statistics/
The research part of the VisitEngland website; includes many
useful research elements included the short-term tourism tracker,
England Occupancy Survey (EOS) and attractions monitor.
http://www.visitbritain.org/
The trade website for VisitBritain; you can follow a link on this
page to “Insights & Statistics” for the national market research
they gather, which includes inbound visitor statistics and domestic
tourism statistics, as well as useful country profiles.
http://www.caa.co.uk/airportstatistics
The Civil Aviation Authority has pages containing details of all
UK airport passenger numbers (including Liverpool John Lennon
Airport) both in total and by route.
http://www.etc-corporate.org/
The European Travel Commission; aimed at industry,
government and educational personnel interested in tourism to
Europe, with link to market intelligence reports and studies.
http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/eurostat/home
Eurostat – the official statistics website from the European
Commission, including a section of the website devoted to
tourism with statistics and publications.
http://www.liv.ac.uk/impacts08/
Impacts 08 – European Capital of Culture research programme
evaluating the social, cultural, economic and environmental
effects of Liverpool‟s hosting the European Capital of Culture title
in 2008. Reports available for download.
http://www.statistics.gov.uk/
The UK Statistics Authority; contains details and links to a
range of information resources across all topics and areas.
For transport-related data visit www.dft.gov.uk
For labour market data visit www.nomisweb.co.uk
Appendices
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 55
Appendix ii: SIC codes defining the visitor economy
The Standard Industrial Classification Codes (SIC) shown below are those which are chosen as best
representing the visitor economy. Inevitably, there will be some overlap, with some businesses in these
sectors performing wholly non-tourism related functions and some businesses in sectors not included
having a tourism focus.
4932 : Taxi operation
5010 : Sea and coastal passenger water transport
5030 : Inland passenger water transport
5510 : Hotels and similar accommodation
5520 : Holiday and other short stay accommodation
5530 : Camping grounds, recreational vehicle parks and trailer parks
5590 : Other accommodation
5610 : Restaurants and mobile food service activities
5621 : Event catering activities
5629 : Other food service activities
5630 : Beverage serving activities
7711 : Renting and leasing of cars and light motor vehicles
7721 : Renting and leasing of recreational and sports goods
7912 : Tour operator activities
7990 : Other reservation service and related activities
8230 : Convention and trade show organizers
9001 : Performing arts
9002 : Support activities to performing arts
9003 : Artistic creation
9004 : Operation of arts facilities
9102 : Museum activities
9103 : Operation of historical sites and buildings & similar visitor attractions
9104 : Botanical and zoological gardens and nature reserve activities
9311 : Operation of sports facilities
9321 : Activities of amusement parks and theme parks
9329 : Other amusement and recreation activities
For full detail of all SIC codes and their structure, the following document may be of use:
http://www.statistics.gov.uk/methods_quality/sic/downloads/sic2007explanatorynotes.pdf
Appendices
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 56
Table 1. Confidence in a single percentage result.
The +/- figures show the variation around the result (left hand column) that applies for each chosen
sample size. Thus a survey result of 40% from a sample of 500 would mean that we were 95%
confident that the true result across the whole population lies between 35.7% and 44.3%.
% result Sample Size
100 200 500 1,000 5,000
50% +/- 9.8% +/- 6.9% +/- 4.4% +/- 3.1% +/- 1.4%
40% / 60% +/- 9.6% +/- 6.8% +/- 4.3% +/- 3.0% +/- 1.4%
30% / 70% +/- 9.0% +/- 6.4% +/- 4.0% +/- 2.8% +/- 1.3%
20% / 80% +/- 7.8% +/- 5.5% +/- 3.5% +/- 2.5% +/- 1.1%
10% / 90% +/- 5.9% +/- 4.2% +/- 2.6% +/- 1.9% +/- 0.8%
5% / 95% +/- 4.3% +/- 3.0% +/- 1.9% +/- 1.4% +/- 0.6%
Table 2. Confidence in a difference between two percentage results.
The +/- figures show the difference from the first result (left hand column) that the second result needs
to display. Thus if the first survey result was 40% from a sample of 500, the second result would have
to be either over 46.1% or under 33.9% for us to be 95% confident that there was a true difference in
the population at large.
% result Sample Size
100 200 500 1,000 5,000
50% +/-13.9% +/- 9.8% +/- 6.2% +/- 4.4% +/- 2.0%
40% / 60% +/-13.6% +/- 9.6% +/- 6.1% +/- 4.3% +/- 1.9%
30% / 70% +/-12.7% +/- 9.0% +/- 5.7% +/- 4.0% +/- 1.8%
20% / 80% +/-11.1% +/- 7.8% +/- 5.0% +/- 3.5% +/- 1.6%
10% / 90% +/- 8.3% +/- 5.9% +/- 3.7% +/- 2.6% +/- 1.1%
5% / 95% +/- 6.0% +/- 4.3% +/- 2.7% +/- 1.9% +/- 0.9%
Appendix iii: Crude guide to statistical confidence levels
In much of the survey data that is presented within the Digest and other research publications, the results
are indicative of the views, activities and behaviour of respondents. The question arises at some point as
to how likely are these results to apply to the “universe”; what is the potential that those surveyed are not
truly representative of the population as a whole?
There are two tables shown. The first gives the range around a particular percentage result within which
one can be confident that the true result across the whole population lies; the second shows the minimum
difference you would need between two results to be confident that there was really a difference.
These tables are based on the following assumptions:
o The samples have been randomly drawn (in actuality this is never true in survey research,
because there is always an element of refusal to cooperate - but, for practical purposes it is
standard to assume that it is true).
o The degree of confidence is 95%. This means that there is still a 5% chance that the result is
outside of the range by chance. 95% is used as it has become the convention in balancing
degree of confidence against cost of data collection.
27
27
Footnote to this table. These are approximations - for guidance only. The precise difference required for the
second percentage will vary with whether it is below or above the first percentage)
Appendices
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 57
Appendix iv: Details of available publications
A. Tourism publications
The following documents are available to download by going to the visitor economy section of our
website at http://liverpoollep.org/priorities/visitor_economy.aspx
Destination Plans:
Liverpool City Region 3 year Action Plan
Liverpool City Region Visitor Economy Strategy to 2020
Research:
The latest research publications, including the Digest will also be kept here.
Other news:
“The Biz” – publication featuring news and views for tourism businesses across the
Liverpool City Region,
B. Other publications
The following documents are available to download from the Key Documents section of the
website at http://liverpoollep.org/about_lep/key_documents.aspx
You can also Visit the Facts and Figures section of VisitLiverpool.biz:
http://visitliverpool.biz
Research:
Economic Review 2012
Sectors
Visitor Economy 3 Year Action Plan
Low Carbon Economy Action Plan
Superport Action Plan
Knowledge Economy Plan
Please note: content on the website is subject to updates and restructure; downloads available by the time
this Digest is issued may reflect more recent version of the above.
Digest of Tourism Statistics The Liverpool LEP March 2013 Page 58
England's Northwest Research Service provides a comprehensive service designed
to provide the best intelligence for businesses within the City Region and further
afield, with a particular focus on sectors connected to tourism and economic
development.
The in-house research agency provides a wide
range of market research services to an array of
clients across the Northwest of England. The service
produces exceptional bespoke market research
tailored to organisations‟ needs which is value
driven. Effective research can provide the foundation
for understanding your customers/clients, gathering
up-to-date market information, reviewing options,
allowing for objective and informed decision making.
Amongst our services are:
• Satisfaction surveys
• Marketing impact studies
• Economic impact assessment
• Branding and positioning research
• Customer segmentation
• Event evaluation
• Benchmarking
• Economic reviews
• Proposition testing
• Geographic-based research
Research is undertaken in a variety of ways
dependant on the project and may include face-to-
face fieldwork, web/email surveys, postal surveys,
omnibus studies, depth interviews, desk research,
focus groups and hall tests.
Over the past five years the research service has
conducted more than 200 studies, with clients
including: Tate Liverpool, MerseyBio, The National
Trust, National Museums Liverpool, Merseytravel,
Heineken and Albert Dock (Gower St Estates).
Research Opportunities
Priced on request dependant on requirements
Sponsored Questions
There are also opportunities to buy into dedicated
visitor surveys which include:
• Gateway survey
• Destination benchmarking
• Tourism business performance survey
This Digest has been compiled by England‟s Northwest Research Service, the in-house research team
at the Liverpool City Region Local Enterprise Partnership. The team produce numerous key publications
for the region, including the annual Economic Review, as well as managing many regular research
projects including Liverpool Destination Benchmarking and the Liverpool John Lennon Airport Gateway
study.
England‟s Northwest Research Service is operated by: The Liverpool City Region Local Enterprise Partnership 12 Princes Parade Liverpool L3 1BG 0151 227 2727 [email protected]