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Comprehension worksheet
Question Answer
How did Kirsty come to own Green Farm?
She inherited it from her father in the early 1990s
What is the main business of Green Farm?
Crop farming (barley, wheat, oil seed etc) – the core business Poultry farming – small scale (sideline)
Describe how Kirsty sources the workforce of the farm
Mixture of employees: Permanent staff Temporary staff Many roles taken by low-paid migrant labour
What were the three areas of concern that Keith had identified in relation to the farming operations?
Wastage Labour efficiency Crop yields
Describe the key features of Phase One for the wind power project
Install one, small wind turbine to provide farm with free electricity + potentially generate a small surplus to sell Get specialist support from engineers re turbine installation Obtain planning permission Gain support of local residents (stakeholders)
OPTION ONE Answer the following questions about Option One
Describe the new product opportunity for Option One
Farming - new hybrid oil seed Crop well suited to Green Farm conditions Can be used in production of biofuel
What are the main business issues raised by this Option?
Crop yields for oil seed Who would process the oil seed? Investment requirement Likely selling price & costs Environmental credentials of the petrol replacement Distribution channels
OPTION TWO Answer the following questions about Option Two
How does Kirsty plan to expand the existing wind turbine operation?
Add three big turbines
The main operational challenges facing Kirsty with Option Two are?
Obtaining planning permission (Appendix 3) Need to be more professional in setting up a distribution mechanism (selling) Insurance Maintenance & technical support
Question Answer
OPTION THREE Answer the following questions about Option Three
The business venture being considered is?
Operating a paintball centre
Describe the investment requirement for Option Three
£50,000 for the paintballing equipment Capital cost of building an arena and support facilities
The main attractions of Option Three as viewed by Roger include what?
Low investment requirement Low risk Year –round activity = less seasonal demand Weak competition Low break-even point with potential for good profits
Green Wind Farm - Exam-style Exercise
© Tutor2u (www.tutor2u.net)
Ansoff Matrix
Tasks
(1) (a) List the four quadrants in the Ansoff Matrix below (use dotted line)
(b) Insert each of the three options available to GWF into the correct quadrant
Products
Existing New
Markets Existing Market penetration
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Option One
Already producing wind power – albeit on a small scale
Phase Two is about scaling up the existing product
Product development
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
New Market development
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Option One
A new market use for an existing crop – oil seed
Diversification
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Option Three
Although described as “low risk”, this is a new product in a new market
(2) Explain, using the Ansoff Matrix as a guide, which of the three options presents the greatest risk to GWF
Option One An activity that GWF is already good at – arable farming
Involves growing a different variety of seed – but no major changes to farming processes
Marketing issues need to be addressed – as with any crop.
Relatively low risk and low investment
Option Two The most complex project and the option that is likely to require the biggest investment – all of which adds to the risk
Explicit mention of “risks and huge financial resources required” [line 67-68]
Risk can be managed by using experienced contractors – but this will reduce the profits/returns
Risk could be shared by obtaining financial investment (e.g. neighbouring farmers)
Green Wind Farm - Exam-style Exercise
© Tutor2u (www.tutor2u.net)
Need to obtain local stakeholder support too
GWF has existing experience of wind-farm operation – but on a much smaller scale
Overall risk – high because of financial investment and operational complexity
Option Three Diversification – normally associated with a higher risk strategy
GWF has no experience of operating a leisure attraction – will be easy to under-estimate the quality and service required
However, the capital investment required is low
Main risk is in the marketing and the threat from the economic downturn – what will need to be spent in order to build a customer base? How will local competitors respond?
Medium risk overall
Green Wind Farm - Exam-style Exercise
© Tutor2u (www.tutor2u.net)
Breakeven
As part of her business plan for Option Two, Sue has identified the following data in relation to the sales and costs of the Phase two wind farm extension.
Sue has found out that the average selling price for supplying generated units of electricity to the National Grid is £90 per ‘000 kwh. Other data in Sue’s plan is as follows:
Units of electricity produced and sold ('000) 3,000
Selling price per '000 units (kwh) £90
Variable costs per '000 units £5
Fixed costs (£'000) £350
Tasks:
(1) Calculate the contribution per ‘000 units of electricity produced and sold (show your workings)
(2) Calculate the breakeven output and margin of safety using the data provided
(3) Sue believes that a government grant of £100,000 may be available to finance the investment in Option Two. Explain what the effect on the breakeven level of output would be if GWF were able to obtain this grant and the other business plan assumptions remained the same
(4) Assess the extent to which breakeven analysis is useful to the strategic decision-making by GWF
Workings:
Units of electricity sold ('000) 3,000
Selling price per '000 units (kwh) £90
Variable costs per '000 units £5
Fixed costs (£'000) £350
Contribution per '000 units (£90 - £5) £85
Breakeven output (‘000) £350k / £85 4,118
Margin of safety (3,000k units less breakeven output) -1,118
Grant available (£'000) 100
Breakeven output if obtained (reduces fixed costs by £100K) 2,941
Usefulness of breakeven to GWF on Option Two:
The project involves substantial fixed costs and a significant investment
Green Wind Farm - Exam-style Exercise
© Tutor2u (www.tutor2u.net)
There is also much uncertainty about the selling price that can be achieved and the volume of electricity that will be generated (wind conditions etc)
Breakeven analysis is hugely useful because it focuses Kirsty and the team on the viability of the project. It takes account of the sensitivity of selling prices and volumes and focuses them on minimising the fixed costs of the project.
The availability of a grant, for example, significantly reduces the breakeven output in the first year. But will this be available in subsequent years?
Green Wind Farm - Exam-style Exercise
© Tutor2u (www.tutor2u.net)
Investment Returns
Using figures supplied by Keith, Sue and Roger, Kirsty calculated the likely net cash-flow for each of the three options:
New Crop Wind Phase 2 Paintball
Time (year) Option 1 Option 2 Option 3
0 -75,000 -350,000 -50,000
1 50,000 25,000 25,000
2 50,000 50,000 40,000
3 40,000 100,000 50,000
4 40,000 100,000 50,000
5 40,000 100,000 50,000
Tasks
(1) Calculate, showing your workings, the Payback Period for Option 1 (show your workings)
Payback occurs half way through the second year.
In year 2, the cash flow is £50,000, which turns a negative cumulative total of £25,000 (end year 1) into a positive net cash flow of £25,000 by the end of year 2
I.e. payback = 1.5 years
Note: this assumes that the cash flows from Option 1 arise evenly during each year.
(2) Calculate, showing your workings, the ARR for each option (show your workings)
Option 1 Option 2 Option 3
Total returns (Years 1-5) 220,000 375,000 215,000
Initial investment 75000 350000 50000
Average return per year 44000 75000 43000
Avg return / investment 58.7% 21.4% 86.0%
Green Wind Farm - Exam-style Exercise
© Tutor2u (www.tutor2u.net)
(3) Describe one advantage and one disadvantage of using each of the Payback Period and the ARR as investment appraisal techniques
Advantages Disadvantages
Payback It is simple to use and gives an immediate view on how long it will take to recoup an investment
Focuses on cash flows
Ignores cash flows that arise once payback has been achieved (which may be substantial)
Not concerned with the overall return on investment
Does not address the risk of an investment and the investor’s required rate of return
Can be overly simplistic
Ignores qualitative aspects of the decision
ARR Provides a measure of the overall return on investment
ARR can be compared with investor’s required rate of return – which will take some account of the risk of the investment
Not necessarily focused on cash flows, rather the profits earned
Ignores qualitative aspects of the decision
Green Wind Farm - Exam-style Exercise
© Tutor2u (www.tutor2u.net)
Labour efficiency
Keith is concerned about some aspects of the farm’s performance. He has produced some data for Kirsty to review:
Green Farm - Performance Data
Data by type of staff
Permanent Temporary
Number of farm labourers (avg per month) 20 40
Farmed output (tonnes per month) 50 35
Wastage (tonnes per month) 1.0 1.4
Leavers (per month) 1 6
Working days per month (avg) 25 25
Unauthorised absences (days per month) 0.8 3.0
Tasks
(1) What is meant by the terms “wastage” and “staff efficiency”?
Wastage:
Can be of two types for GWF:
a) The proportion of finished output that is not suitable for sale (e.g. a crop that does not meet the quality standards of the customer)
b) Excess use of inputs into the farming process – e.g. excessive use of fertilizers
Staff efficiency:
A measure of the productivity of each employee – how much output is produced by each employee
Note – not all employees will be as “efficient” as others – it will depend on what roles they perform, what farming technology they use, their skill and experience etc
Green Wind Farm - Exam-style Exercise
© Tutor2u (www.tutor2u.net)
(2) Complete the following calculations for temporary workers at Green Farm
Permanent Staff
Temporary Staff
Wastage level (%) 2.0%
4.0%
Staff turnover 5.0%
15.0%
Absenteeism 3.0%
12.0%
(3) Explain why, from a strategic perspective, Kirsty should take the performance data produced by Keith seriously
The core business of GWF remains arable farming (despite the three alternative projects under consideration). The farm is doing well [line 41], but there is a concern that the income from farm subsidies might fall (appendix 1).
It is essential, therefore, that GWF focuses on the efficiency/productivity of its business.
Labour costs will be a substantial part of GWF’s operating costs – arable farming remains a labour-intensive operation, despite the use of technology.
Green Wind Farm - Exam-style Exercise
© Tutor2u (www.tutor2u.net)
Marketing Strategy
Kirsty decides to go ahead with Option Three and invest in a paintball facility at Green Farm.
Task
(1) Outline a suitable marketing strategy for the launch of the GWF paintball business
A good framework to use in a question like this is the marketing mix.
The starting point for a marketing strategy will be the marketing objectives:
- What sales and profits does Kirsty wish to achieve from the Paintballing project?
- Over what timescale will the marketing objectives be measured?
An outline marketing strategy:
Product Place
Variety of paintballing zones and challenges within GWF “arena”. May require substantial part of spare land and wooded area
Core product – “pay as you play” – full-day; half-day or hourly sessions
Options to book for hen, stag and children’s parties
Full protective clothing provided within inclusive play package
Product extras to be bought at the venue (e.g. extra paintballs, grenades, smokebombs)
Creation of zoned paintballing arena at GWF
Create dedicated visitor facility – reception, catering & equipment stores
Potential to add additional venues once business is established
Promotion Price
Launch aim is to encourage trial use
Direct marketing using online and printed materials
Promote on online paintballing websites and social networks
Local sales promotions – leaflets and vouchers
Limited advertising – e.g. local papers
Offer range of gift vouchers as part of sales promotion
Pricing tactic has to encourage customer trial
Encourage full-day attendance to maximise catering sales - e.g. £9.99 for a full day; £7.99 for half-day
Corporate group rates
Party rates
Green Wind Farm - Exam-style Exercise
© Tutor2u (www.tutor2u.net)
Option Evaluation
(1) Complete the following analysis of the three options open to GWF
Option One
Biofuel crop
Option Two
Wind farm extension
Option Three
Paintball
Level of investment
(Low | Medium | High) Low High Medium
Fit with existing activities
(Low | Medium | High) High Medium Low
Potential for profits
(Low | Medium | High) Medium / High Medium / Low Low
Strength of competition
(Low | Medium | High) Medium Medium Medium
Operational complexity
(Low | Medium | High) Low High Medium
Overall risk to GWF
(Low | Medium | High) Low High Low
(2) Recommend and fully justify which option GWF should choose.
The answer – over to you! However…
Notes:
The three options are not mutually exclusive – it is possible for Kirsty to do more than one. Much depends on the financial resources required.
Kirsty also has the option of doing none of the options – she is financially-astute: if the business plans do not suggest that any of the options are viable, or that they meet her required return, then she can choose not to proceed
GWF is already a successful arable farm – the options presented are designed to add additional income to the business, not save the business
In the exam you will be presented with some additional data about the three options (e.g. a break-even calculation, or some payback ARR data) which you should use as part of your evaluation of the three options.
Don’t forget the importance of strategic objectives. We are not told much about Kirsty’s objectives for the business – however, these play a key role in determining which option she may choose.
Green Wind Farm - Exam-style Exercise
© Tutor2u (www.tutor2u.net)
Also consider sources of finance – only Option Two seems to be of a size that requires additional external sources of finance (proposal is to set up a limited company and perhaps sell shares to local farmers). But consider the alternatively – e.g. a bank loan or seeking out government grants.
Your analysis of the Ansoff Matrix can help shape your decision. Option three (paintballing) is the diversification option, which might suggest a higher risk. Option one and two represent GWF getting involved with existing products.
Green Wind Farm - Exam-style Exercise
© Tutor2u (www.tutor2u.net)
PEST Analysis
Tasks
(1) Explain what is meant by PEST analysis
PEST analysis is concerned with the external environmental influences on a business.
The acronym stands for the Political, Economic, Social and Technological issues that could affect the strategic development of a business.
(2) Explain why PEST analysis might be useful in GWF’s strategic decision-making
GWF identification of PEST influences would be a useful way of summarising the external environment in which the business operates. However, it must be followed up by consideration of how a business should respond to these influences.
For example, the research into Option Two has identified a number of significant political and legal issues which GWF needs to address if it is to successfully develop its wind-farm operations. The planning permission regime in the UK is complex and rapidly changing. GWF needs to take account of this as part of its business plan for Option Two.
Similarly, whilst the long-term trend in consumer spending on more leisure activities is positive for Option Three [appendix 4], the effect of the economic downturn in the UK is a significant negative influence. Will businesses and private groups cut back on paintballing trips during the recession? What are the implications of this for Roger’s business plan assumptions?
Green Wind Farm - Exam-style Exercise
© Tutor2u (www.tutor2u.net)
(3) Complete a PEST analysis for GWF
POLITICAL / LEGAL ECONOMIC
Changes to method of subsidising and paying farmers – may reduce overall level of subsidy (threat to existing arable activities of GWF)
Planning permission regime (environmental use of farmland) [appendix 3]
Conflicts with stakeholder groups opposed to proliferation of renewable energy projects
Availability and price (wages) of permanent and temporary labour force
Price pressure from food manufacturers and supermarkets on farm-gate prices
Long-term increase in consumer spending on leisure activities [appendix 4]
Economic downturn / recession likely to mean lower corporate spending on hospitality events like paintballing – will put pressure on pricing
SOCIAL / ETHICAL TECHNOLOGICAL
Changing flows of migrant labour across European Union
Attitudes of local communities to installing wind farms
Changes in farming technology – impact on efficiency, productivity
Alternative uses for arable crops – e.g. biofuels
Green Wind Farm - Exam-style Exercise
© Tutor2u (www.tutor2u.net)
Strategic and Tactical Objectives
Tasks
(1) What is meant by the terms “strategic objective” and “tactical objective”?
Firstly – what is an objective? An objective is a statement of a specific outcome that is to be achieved. These are often set in financial terms (e.g. sales, profits), but don’t have to be.
Strategic objective Set by senior management. Strategic objectives set out what the business as a whole needs to achieve. These are goals for the entire business
Tactical objective A more details objective that translates a strategic objective into a series of more detailed, operational objectives
(2) Identify one possible strategic objective and one tactical objective for each of the three options under review
Option Strategic Objective Tactical Objective
1 Achieve a return on investment in oil seed crops of 20% within 2 years
Agree supply contracts with 5 major biofuel processors within 12 months
2 Achieve a 1% share of the market for wind-turbine energy within 3 years
Achieve a selling price per kwh of at least £10
3 Become the marketing leading paintballing destination in the region by 2012
Achieve a minimum of 25 group bookings from the launch direct marketing activity
Green Wind Farm - Exam-style Exercise
© Tutor2u (www.tutor2u.net)
SWOT Analysis
Tasks
(1) What is meant by the term SWOT analysis?
SWOT analysis is a way of analysing the competitive position of a business
SWOT stands for:
Strengths What the business does better than the competition – core competencies. These are sources of competitive advantage
Weaknesses Areas where the business is weaker than the competition – a source of disadvantage
Opportunities External opportunities which they business could exploit in order to achieve its objectives
Threats External threats to the competitive position of the business – a business needs to respond to significant external threats
(2) Explain how a SWOT analysis could assist GWF in formulating its strategic objectives
SWOT analysis is an important tool for auditing the overall strategic position of a business and its environment. It helps highlight the key strategic issues that GWF needs to address.
Once key strategic issues have been identified, they feed into business objectives, particularly marketing objectives. SWOT analysis can be used in conjunction with other tools for audit and analysis, such as PEST analysis and Porter's Five-Forces analysis.
SWOT analysis would help Kirsty identify the successful, core activities of GWF and provide a strategic context for evaluating the three options under review.
Green Wind Farm - Exam-style Exercise
© Tutor2u (www.tutor2u.net)
(3) Complete a SWOT analysis for GWF
S W
GWF operates successfully as an arable farm (range of crops + small-scale poultry rearing)
Kirsty is experienced and financially astute
Farm assistant team are high quality and specialists
Use of up-to-date farming technology (impact on efficiency)
Project management skills
Concerns raised about wastage, labour efficiency and crop yields
O T
Alternative uses of arable crops – e.g. biofuels
Further diversification of the farm land and facilities
Extension of the wind farm operation
Changing political attitudes and approaches to subsidies of arable farming
Uncertain planning permission regime towards wind power
Variability in prices & returns for biofuel crops
Attitude of local stakeholders if growth projects are pursued
OCR AS Applied Unit 9 – Exam Topics
Recent key topics examined in Unit 9 are:
Specification Area Jan 2007 June 2007 Jan 2008 June 2008
Mission Statements, Aims and Objectives
Definition and benefits of mission statements Definition & identification of stakeholders Potential conflicts between stakeholders
Defining business objectives Identifying strategic objectives for the case study business
Identification of stakeholders Issues causing conflict between stakeholders Strategic objectives of a partnership over time
Definition of mission statement Stating a strategic objective for a small firm
Business Planning, Strategy and Decision-Making
Analysis of case study business using Ansoff Matrix Evaluation of usefulness of Ansoff Matrix in making strategic decisions
Evaluation of the usefulness of Porter’s work in assessing strategic options
Application of Porter’s generic strategies to achieve competitive advantage
Labelling Ansoff’s matrix Entry of strategic options onto matrix Evaluation of strategic options
Financial Business-Planning
Completion of critical path analysis Evaluation of usefulness of critical path analysis in supporting decisions Calculation of payback period and ARR for the three business options under review
Completion of decision tree and recommendations for best option Usefulness of decision trees Drawing break-even chart; calculation of break-even output and margin of safety Calculation of the profit from one option using data provided
Calculation & interpretation of break-even & margin of safety Limitations of break-even analysis Calculation & interpretation using critical path analysis Investment appraisal calculation using NPV
Calculation of payback & ARR using data supplied in exam paper Completion of decision-tree and assessment of usefulness of decision-trees to strategic options Sources of finance for expansion
Human-Resource Planning
Define labour turnover & productivity Calculation & interpretation of labour efficiency ratios
Definition of labour productivity HRM implications of a potential merger
Calculations and problems of labour turnover
Specification Area Jan 2007 June 2007 Jan 2008 June 2008
Integrated Marketing Planning/Strategy
Recommendation & justification of which strategic options to chose
Recommendation of which of three strategic options to chose
Evaluation of strategic options Marketing strategy for one of the options
Contingency Planning and Crisis Management
How might contingency planning help the case study business?
The main themes in the EETL case study for June 2008 are:
Point