Capitalization and upgrade of the GIS maps on vulnerability (act. 3.3): drivers and needed

information to empower the database

CNR – IRSA

Eng. Michele Vurro, dr Raffaella Matarrese, dr Nicola Palmisano

Kick off meeting – Bari, January 21-22, 2013

WP 3.3

• This task consists in the analysis of the data collected in 3.1 & the upgrade of the maps of the existing sources of risks and environmental, social, economic sensitive areas in each region participating in the project, according to common standards defined in the previous task.

• The preparation of an Adriatic ATLAS of vulnerable areas represents the conceptual basis to drive correct prevention policy for any type of environmental and technological disaster.

• This act. is based on the capitalization of the already existing GIS map covering the whole Adriatic (definition 1:50.000, shared & validated at international level and based on WGS84) & carried out in SecurSea project (INTERREG III A Adriatic). The core outcomes are the risky scenarios

Collect data and harmonize datasets

A questionaire will be sent to each partner in order to:

• review all the existing data/maps• Create an homogeneuos database• Empower the webgis

Hazard, Vulnerability, Risk• Hazard is a phenomenon, an event or occurrence that has the potential for causing injury to life or damage to property or

the environment (e.g. flood, tornado , volcano eruption, earthquake, landslide or man-made hazards). The magnitude of the phenomenon, the probability of its occurrence, and the extent and severity of its impact may vary. In many cases, these effects can be anticipated or estimated. Through careful study and understanding of the nature and prevalence of hazards, a community or public authority could anticipate future hazards and their impact and minimize the risk of a disaster.

• Vulnerability refers to the susceptibility of a community to a hazard and the prevailing condition, including physical, socio-economic and political factors that adversely affect its ability to respond to hazards or disaster events. The community and its members may or may not be contributing intentionally or directly to the prevailing conditions. However, altogether, they create factors and situations that define the vulnerability of the community. Vulnerabilities can be manifested as physical, social, or attitudinal vulnerability. The disruption of a community can reduced if it is better prepared, e.g. if there is suitable infrastructure and human systems and coordination. Poor countries and citizens are always more prone to disasters through their greater vulnerability to hazard and risk than higher income countries and citizens. For example, epidemics within poor communities often increase during and after hazardous events such as floods, droughts and cyclones.

• Risk, essentially, is the probability that injury to life or damage to property and the environment will occur. However, in disaster management, risk refers to the combined susceptibility and vulnerability of the community to potential damage caused by a particular hazard within a specified future time period. Risk is rooted in conditions of physical, social, economic and environmental vulnerability that need to be assessed and managed on a continuing basis.

Haza

rd Possible inputs for hazard

• Maritime traffic • Oil and gas platform• Adriatic sea characteristics• Analysis of historical accidents in the Adriatic

sea

Marine traffic classified by

NameShip Type

Passenger vessel

Tankers

Cargo vessel

High speed craft

Tug, pilot

YachtFishing

Haza

rd

Marine traffic classified by

NameShip TypeFlag

Haza

rd

Marine traffic classified by

NameShip TypeFlag

Haza

rd

Vessel’s track

Marine traffic classified by

NameShip TypeFlagVessel’s trackAge of the vesselDate of last maintaince…

Hazard level of the ship

Haza

rd

Levels of hazard – 3 or more

Haza

rdLocation of the main gas and oil field in the Adriatic Sea

Structural setting of the Adriatic basin and the main related petroleum exploration plays.

Casero & Bigi,Università La Sapienza, Roma. In press on Marine and petroleum geology.

Oil & gas platform

Haza

rdAdriatic characteristics

Hydrodynamics features of the Adriatic sea at very high resolution, in space and in time.

Adriatic characteristics

• Wave heigh anddirection

Haza

rd

Adriatic characteristics

• Meteo forecast(if avaible)

Haza

rd

Statistical analysis of the 174 accidents recorded in Adriatic sea

Haza

rd

Possible inputs for vulnerability

• Shoreline features• Plants & Animals• Protected Areas• Economic• Culture & Heritage• Social, Amenity & Recreational• Maritime routes

Vuln

erab

ility

Shoreline featuresCobble beach

Sandy beach

CliffsWave-cut platform

Rocky shoreline

Vuln

erab

ility

Plants & animals

Several biocenosis caracteristic of Adriatic sea. Meadow seagrass (nursery areas), coralligenous (Habitat directive), fine sands, muds, etc.All kind of population associated to the actual biocenosis.

Vuln

erab

ility

Adriac Protected AreasVu

lner

abili

ty

Vuln

erab

ility Economic, Culture & Heritage, Social,

Amenity & Recreational

Adriatic routesVu

lner

abili

ty

Risk mapsThe framework for assessing the consequences of accidents on coastlines can be rated using a order-of-magnitude scale and considers the effect of accident and the longevity of that effect (across seasons). Each region can be rated based upon the worst-case (time of year) using a scale that assesses the sensitivity of the area to the accident in terms of environmental factors (i.e. shoreline character, plants and animals) and human factors (i.e. economic, cultural and amenity value).

These ratings produce a vulnerability profile for each section of coast and, when combined with the hazard, are used to derive a risk rating.

Risk management

Accident alarm

• Identify the accident and the associated risk• Location of the accident• Diffusion forecast by hydrodynamic model• Alert to all the involved institutions

Need to locate the ready-to-useresponse equipment overall thewhole Adriatic.

Database of response equipment location: drivers and needed information to empower the

database (act. 4.1)

• The objective of this activity is implementing the common database for the entire Adriatic area (act. 3.4) gathering data on the state of readiness of response equipment. Each partner shall receive a questionnaire to collect data on the state of readiness and spatial distribution of their spill response equipment. The data shall then be entered into a joint digital database which shall be accessible from the project website. The result of this activity contributes at completing the picture over the most endangered Adriatic vulnerable zones (act. 3.3), the responses procedures applied in every countries & partners'regions (act. 3.2) and the where the response equipment is stored and ready-to use across the whole Adriatic area (act. 4.1)

Collect data and harmonize datasets

• Interview all the institutions devoted to marine protection

• Review of all available response equipment in each county

• Empower the web gis with position and features of all available response equipment

COAN - Comando Operativo Aeronavale (Guardia di Finanza)

More than 200 response equipment among ships and helicopters.

Other possible inputs

• list of possible enterprises to contact in order to clean up the sea