Cigarette Market Research 2008

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    CIGARETTE MARKET 2008

    RUSSIA

    ALLIANCE MAJOR

    SOUTH FEDERAL DISTRICT

    research by

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    ALLIANCE MAJORALLIANCE MAJOR

    GENERAL

    MARKETPERFORMANCERUSSIA

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    ALLIANCE MAJORALLIANCE MAJOR

    CONSUMER BASE*

    MALE

    FEMALE

    31%31%

    6565%%

    MALE &FEMALE

    46%46%

    * data of Rospotrebnadzor, early 2008

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    ALLIANCE MAJORALLIANCE MAJOR

    early start of consumption*

    * data of Rospotrebnadzor, early 2008

    80%ofmen

    and50%ofwomenstarted to smoke

    before they were18

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    ALLIANCE MAJORALLIANCE MAJOR

    RUSSIAN CIGARETTE MARKET

    MATUREgrowing inVALUEfaster than in VOLUME

    SATURATEDshowing distinctOVERPRODUCTION

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    KEY

    MARKETTRENDS2008

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    SLOW-DOWN of

    INCOME GROWTHdriven by global financial crisis

    - slower uptrade (youngconsumers) or evendowntrade (elderconsumers)

    - reducingconsumptionfrequency/volume

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    WHO FCTCaccessioned by Russiain 2008

    - heavier controlover advertising

    and sales

    - higher excises

    - training of anti-smoking publicopinion

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    HEALTH & WELLNESSgetting increasingly popular in Russia

    - increasingly highpopularity of super lightofferings

    especially among young female consumers

    - amplified impact of anti-tobacco social programs

    - alleviating of smokingtakeup influence factors suchas peer pressure, parental smokingand advertising

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    HOWEVER, IMPORTANTPSYCHOLOGICAL ASPECTSofSMOKING

    - anti-stress

    - indulging

    make it a lasting habit hard to quit

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    CONSUMER

    PREFERENCES

    in South Federal Districtof Russia

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    PURCHASE REGISTER*

    * representative sample; details on sample size, geography andregister methodology available on request

    wave 1held inMARCH 2008

    covered CONVENIENCE RETAIL(kiosks, independent stores, etc)

    wave 2

    held inAUGUST 2008

    covered RETAIL CHAINS(supermarkets)

    THE REVIEW IS BASED ON

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    male

    59% female

    41%

    GENDER / AGE*

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    16-

    20

    21-

    25

    26-

    30

    31-

    35

    36-

    40

    41-

    45

    46-

    50

    51-

    55

    56-

    60

    61-

    65

    66-

    70

    71-

    75

    over75

    age groups

    male female

    * total sample wave 1; deviations in wave 2 insignificant

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    AGE GROUPS*

    * total sample wave 1; deviations in wave 2 insignificant

    0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15%

    over 75

    71-75

    66-70

    61-65

    56-60

    51-55

    46-50

    41-45

    36-40

    31-35

    26-30

    21-25

    16-20

    agegroups

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    CIGARETTE TYPES*

    * total sample wave 1; deviations in wave 2 insignificant

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    16-

    20

    21-

    25

    26-

    30

    31-

    35

    36-

    40

    41-

    45

    46-

    50

    51-

    55

    56-

    60

    61-

    65

    66-

    70

    71-

    75

    over75

    age groups

    super lights lights full flavor

    lights

    26%

    super

    lights

    46%full flavor

    28%

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    CIGARETTE TYPES*

    * wave 1; deviations in wave 2 insignificant

    male smokers

    full flavor33%

    super

    lights38%

    lights

    29%

    female smokers

    lights

    22%

    super lights

    56%

    full flavor

    22%

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    PRICE CATEGORIES

    convenience

    retail

    above

    premium

    22%

    value

    19%

    medium

    32%

    low filter

    5%

    non filter

    2%

    premium

    20%

    supermarket chains

    value

    10%

    above

    premium

    33%

    premium

    20%

    non filter

    0,4%

    low filter2%

    medium

    35%

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    PRICE CATEGORIES*

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    16-20

    21-25

    26-30

    31-35

    36-40

    41-45

    46-50

    51-55

    56-60

    61-65

    66-70

    71-75

    over 75

    age

    groups

    non filter low filter

    value medium

    premium above premium

    * total sample wave 1;deviations in wave 2 mainly relate tovalue and super premium segmentshowever general trend is the same

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    KEYOPERATORS*

    KT&G

    1%

    IT/ Reemtsma3%

    Donskoj

    Tabak

    5%

    BAT

    28%

    Gallaher/ JTI12%

    JTI

    28%

    Philip Morris

    31%

    * total sample wave 2;deviations in wave 1 relate to larger shares

    ofGallaher and Donskoj Tabakwith correspondinglysmaller shares ofPhilip Morris,JTI and BAT

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    12%

    8%

    6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5%3%

    3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1%

    9%

    21%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    Winston

    Kent

    Parliament

    M

    arlboro

    Vogue

    Chesterfield

    Virginia

    PallMall

    Bond

    Alliance

    Glamour

    DonskojTabak

    Muratti

    LD

    LM

    ZolotajaJava

    21Vek

    RusskijStil

    other(17

    brands)

    KEY BRANDS*

    * total sample wave 2;deviations in wave 1 relate to smaller shares of abovepremium, premium and some medium brands (mainly Winston)with respectively larger shares of value, low filter and most of medium brands

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    CHANGE OF CONSUMPTION PATTERN

    earlier smoking startup;

    even gender distribution ofyoung consumer base (under30) while in senior age groups

    male smokers increasinglydominate;

    higher popularity ofsuper lightand light cigarettes ofabove

    premium, premium andmedium price categoriesamong young consumers(under 40).

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    please contact

    ALLIANCE MAJORat

    [email protected]

    www.allianc.ru

    CREDITSall wonderful pictures are taken

    from Flickr.com

    great thanks to the artists and their models

    FOR MORE DETAILS ON THIS RESEARCH PROJECT