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Case Study 4 New York State Alternate Route 7. Key Issues to Explore:. Capacity of the mainline sections of NYS-7 Adequacy of the weaving sections Performance of the interchange ramps Queuing Speed changes. After Working Through this Case Study You Should be able to:. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Case Study 4 New York State Alternate Route 7
Key Issues to Explore:
Capacity of the mainline sections of NYS-7
Adequacy of the weaving sections
Performance of the interchange ramps
Queuing
Speed changes
Determine the appropriate analyses required to address a similar problem.
Understand what input data are required and the assumptions that are commonly made.
Understand when and how to apply the methodologies.
Understand the limitations of the HCM procedures.
Reasonably interpret the results from an HCM analysis.
After Working Through this Case Study You Should be able to:
Network to be Studied
Alternate Rte. 7
I-787
23rd Street
North
US-9
I-87
NY-2
Exit6
Exit7
NY 7: Basic Freeway Section
I-87 / NY 7 Interchange
I-787 / NY 7 Interchange
Observations?
Problem 1: Basic Freeway Sections
1a: Traffic Flow Patterns Variation in volumes Variations in the PHF Speed-flow relationship Flow-Occupancy
1b: Basic Freeway Section Analysis (EB) Selection of Appropriate Data Basic Freeway Analysis
1c: Analysis of WB Freeway Section Number of Travel Lanes Truck Climbing Lanes Effect of Grades on Analyses
Peak Hour Volumes
What time periods should be selected? What are the most important characteristics of this
subarea? Do the defining characteristics differ by direction? How is the configuration of each basic freeway
section likely to affect downstream system elements?
AM PM AADTEB 3250 2400 29700WB 2400 3500 30000
Observations? Length of basic freeway section = 3 miles
Sub-problem 1a
Determining traffic flow patterns using atypical conditions, where traffic data along the study roadway has been monitored for years.
How many volume studies would need to be completed for the same degree of confidence?
How else to account for the variability between data samples and typical roadway conditions?
Observations?
Westbound Volumes in 2001
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
0 5 10 15 20 25
Hour of the Day (0-23)
Ho
url
y V
olu
me
(vp
h)
Flow PatternsEastbound Volumes in 2001
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
0 5 10 15 20 25
Hour of the Day (0-23)
Ho
url
y V
olu
me
(vp
h)
Min flow between 2-3 am
AM Peak: 7-8
EB ~3500 vph
WB ~ 2500 vph
PM Peak: 4-5
EB ~2900 vph
WB ~ 4000 vph
Observations?
Peak Hour Factor (PHF)
What is the relationship between hourly volumes and the peak hour factors?
When is there more variation in the PHF?
Westbound PHF
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000
Westbound Volume (vph)
Wes
tbou
nd P
HF
Speed Flow
What is the typical mean speed?
What happens as the flow increases?
Speed-Flow, EB-First Lane
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
15-Minute Flow (vph)
15
-Min
ute
Me
an
Sp
ee
d (
mp
h)
Observations?
Flow Occupancy
Is this what should be expected?
What volume should we select as being “typical” for the peak period analysis?
Flow-Occupancy, EB-First Lane
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
0 20 40 60 80 100
15-Minute Mean Occupancy (%i)
15-M
inu
te M
ean
Flo
w (
veh
/hr)
Trends in the Traffic Volume
15-Minute Peak Hour Flow Rate Distribution
0.000
0.200
0.400
0.600
0.800
1.000
1.200
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000
15-Minute Peak Hour Flow Rate (veh/hr)
Cu
mu
lati
ve P
rob
abil
ity
Observations?
Mean = 2,916 vph
50th Percentile = 3,096 vph
90th Percentile = 3,340 vph
95th Percentile = 3,385 vph
Which value is the right one to pick?
Let’s say 90th percentile
Sub-problem 1b
Perform basic freeway analysis of the eastbound section of Alternate Route 7.
Basic Freeway Section Analysis Methodology
Observations?
What inputs are required? Geometric Data Free-flow Speed
(FFS) Volume
Information
EB Segment Characteristics
The EB section has 2 lanes & is divided into 3 segments: a one-mile segment with a 1-2% upgrade to the
vicinity of Miller Road a one-mile segment with a 1-2% downgrade a final one-mile segment with a 5-7% downgrade
ending at the I-787 interchange.
Which segment should be chosen to do the analysis?
The HCM says: use the section that will produce the most conservative estimate of the LOS. That is, worst case governs.
Obtaining the Free-Flow Speed
FFS can be obtained from: Field measurements Estimate from Chapter 23 of HCM
Obtaining FFS using Field Data
Speed-Flow, EB-First Lane
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
15-Minute Flow (vph)
15
-Min
ute
Me
an
Sp
ee
d (
mp
h)
say ~55 MPH
Observations?
From Sub-problem 1a we have:
What is a good choice for the FFS?
Obtaining FFS Chapter 23 of HCM
The basic free flow speed (BFFS) is how fast vehicles are traveling when the volumes are light.
The HCM assumes the BFFS is 70 / 75 mph in urban / rural settings. (Field data shows that these values are too high)
The HCM allows us to use a local value rather than the
defaults. Therefore use BFFS = 60 mph.
After using the HCM method in Chapter 23 what is the FFS?55.5 MPH
Free Flow Speed
FFS from Field Observations = 55 MPH FFS from HCM Chapter 23 = 55.5 MPH
Conclusion: Both methods provide similar results
Additional Data
V = 3,340 veh/hr (HCM Eqn 23-2)
PHF = 0.90 N = 2 PT = 0.05 (field
observations) PR = 0 (field observations) ET = 1.5 ER = 1.2 fp = 1.0
What is the average 15-minute passenger-car equivalent flow rate?
vp = 1,902 passenger cars / hour / lane
What additional data is needed to compute the LOS of this segment?
Use the HCM to compute the average passenger car speed
HCM Equations for Speed-Flow Relationship
If (55 ≤ FFS ≤ 75 mph) & (vp ≤ 3,400 – 30*FFS), then
(from HCM Exhibit 23-3) S = FFS
If (55 ≤ FFS ≤ 70 mph) & (3,400 – 30*FFS <vp≤ 1,700 + 10*FFS), then
(from HCM Exhibit 23-3)
And if (70 < FFS ≤ 75 mph) & (3,400 – 30*FFS) < vp ≤ 2,400, then
(from HCM Exhibit 23-3)
Then what does S equal?
S = 54.8 MPH
Level of Service
LOS defined by the HCM for passenger cars /mile/lane: A: 0-11 B: 11-18 C: 18-26 D: 26-35 E: 35-45 Above 45 is LOS F
Calculating the average density:D = vp / SD = 1,902 pcphpl / 54.8 mphD = 34.7 pcpmpl
What does this mean using the 90th percentile to evaluate?
- 10% of the time in the peak hour the EB LOS is D or worse- 90% of the time it is better than D during the peak hourObservations?
What is the performance of this facility like during a reasonably heavy AM peak hour?
LOS Max D # Hours Percent
A 11 7 2.70%
B 18 7 2.70%
C 26 17 6.60%
D 35 208 81.30%
E 45 13 5.10%
F - 4 1.60%
Exhibit 4-13. Peak Hour LOS Distribution
Do these match the field observations?
Mainly LOS D
Distribution of AM Eastbound Peak 15-Minute Density
0.000
0.200
0.400
0.600
0.800
1.000
1.200
0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00
Eastbound AM Peak 15-Minute Density
Cu
mu
lati
ve P
rob
ab
ilit
yRange between the bars = LOS D (~80%)
Yes, field data matches!!!
Sub-problem 1c
Perform basic freeway analysis of the westbound section of Alternate Route 7.
This sub-problem is similar to 1b.
Think about why conditions on the westbound section would be different than those on the eastbound section?
Consider roadway users, physical conditions, and heavy vehicle needs.
Observations?
WB Segment Characteristics
The WB section has 3 lanes and is divided into 3 segments: 6-7% upgrade 1-2% upgrade 1-2% downgrade
Which segment should be chosen to do the analysis?
The HCM says: use the section that will produce the most conservative estimate of the LOS. That is, worst case governs.
Additional Data
V = 3,240 veh/hr PHF = 0.90
N = 3 FFS = 55 MPH (calculated
similar to sub-problem 1b) PT = 0.05 (field
observations) PR = 0 (field observations) ET = 1.5 ER = 1.2 fp = 1.0
What is the average 15-minute passenger-car equivalent flow rate?
vp = 1,440 passenger cars / hour / lane
What is the average passenger car speed?
S = 55 MPH
Level of Service
LOS defined by the HCM for passenger cars per mile per lane (pcpmpl): A: 0-11 B: 11-18 C: 18-26 D: 26-35 E: 35-45 Above 45 is LOS F
Calculating the average density:D = vp / S
D = 1,440 pcphpl / 55.0 mph
D = 26 pcpmpl
LOS = D
Observations?
Is the 3rd Lane Needed?
How would the system perform if only 2 lanes were available? Vp = 2,160 pcphpl D = 42 pcpmpl S = 52 MPH LOS = E
The 3rd lane has a huge impact!!!
Truck Climbing Lane
What is the effect of the climbing lane?
5% trucks = 162 trucks/hr
From HCM Exhibit 23-9:
162 trucks/hr = 810 passenger cars/hr
What does this mean?
~ ½ lane worth of passenger car capacity is devoted to the trucks
Should it be enforced that trucks can only use the climbing lane?
Truck Lane: V=810 pcph * 2 = 1,620
pcphD=16.4 pcpmplLOS = B Good
Other 2 Lanes (no trucks):vp = 1,711 pcphpl, D=
31.1 pcpmpl, & LOS = D
If all lanes used by all the traffic:
D= 26.2 pcpmpl If trucks separated into
climbing lane:Dtruck = 26.2 pcpmpl
Dpass = 31.1 pcpmpl
What does this mean?Enforcing a truck only
lane is not a good idea!!!
Observations?
Questions
What if the truck percentage increased to 10%? ET would drop from 5 to 3.5
Why? When there are more trucks they
begin to fill in the voids other trucks create
The density would increase to 27.3 pcpmpl
LOS for the 256 peak hours of the year (weekdays only)
What is the predominate LOS for the peak hour?
Is this reasonable?
Westbound PM Peak Level of Service Distribution
0
50
100
150
200
250
A B C D E
Level of Service
Nu
mb
er o
f P
eak
Ho
urs
LOS = C
Observations?
Level of Service
What effect would “regular drivers” vs. “vacationers” have on the system?
How likely are these situations?
NHr Pct NHr PctA 11 8 3.1% 7 2.7%B 18 7 2.7% 2 0.8%C 26 195 76.2% 20 7.8%D 35 37 14.5% 210 82.0%E 45 4 1.6% 11 4.3%F >45 5 2.0% 6 2.3%
LOS MaxDRegDriv Vacation
Regular drivers mainly provide a LOS = C and Vacationers mainly provide a LOS = D.
Neither exactly describes the facility, probably somewhere in between
Observations?