Bucharest City Report Q1 2014

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  • Bucharest City Report

    Q1 2014 / T1 2014

    R Q1

  • Bucharest City Report Q1 2014

    COPYRIGHT JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2014. All Rights Reserved 2

    Economy/Investment

    Economic Climate

    After a strong 2013, in which the Romanian economy

    outperformed expectations with a GDP growth of 3.5%, the

    country is likely to continue its ascendant trend in 2014, when

    GDP is projected to increase by 3.3%, according to EIU. In the

    first three months of 2014, growth was driven not only by the

    industrial sector, as was the case in the previous quarters, but

    also by retail sales that increased by 8.3% y-o-y (12.3% in the

    non-food category). Consequently, in January and February,

    exports were up by 9.2% and imports up by 9.4% when

    compared to the same period in 2013. However, the

    construction sector continued to struggle mainly because of the

    decrease in infrastructure works. According to the latest EIU

    reports GDP growth is expected to accelerate in 2015 to 3.8%,

    with all sectors of the economy having a positive contribution.

    GDP Growth (%) / Cretere PIB (%)

    Source/Surs: INS & EIU, April 2014

    Annual average HICP inflation rate (April 2013 March 2014)

    decreased to a historic low level of 2.3%. As a result, the

    monetary policy rate of the National Bank of Romania reached

    yet another historic low, 3.5% starting from February 2014, a

    move aimed at further encouraging the credit market, which

    showed positive signs since the beginning of the year, and at

    supporting the current economic growth. The exchange rate

    remained stable in Q1 2014, oscillating between 4.43 and 4.54

    Ron for 1.

    Government debt remains low at a level below 39% of GDP,

    the fourth lowest in the European Union, while the targeted

    government deficit for 2014 is 2.4% of GDP.

    The recent events in neighbouring Ukraine have had little

    impact on the Romanian economy in Q1 and we expect this will

    not change in the following months, unless there will be a major

    escalation of the conflict.

    Investment Climate

    The property investment volume recorded in Q1 2014 is

    estimated at a record 337 million, higher than the total volume

    in 2013. The largest transaction was the sale of the BOB and

    BOC office buildings together with 446 apartments and 25 retail

    spaces in an adjacent residential project - Upground Towers,

    for 210 million by RREEF to Globalworth. Globalworth was

    also the purchaser of Tower Center International, an office

    tower in the CBD of Bucharest, for 58 million. The industrial

    segment is once again starting to attract the interest of

    investors. The acquisition of the 17,000 m Innovation Logistic

    Park by Secure Property Development & Investment was the

    first significant industrial transaction in Bucharest since the

    beginning of 2011.

    In Q1, transactional activity in Romania was focused on the

    office sector which accounted for 80% of the total volume.

    Source/Surs: JLL

    The start of 2014 has consistently seen more evidence that

    Romania is back on the map of foreign investors. Transaction

    activity was dominated by (re)structuring tied deals, but with

    several quality assets currently on the market, it is expected

    that transaction volumes will grow markedly in 2014. Moreover,

    a higher degree of diversity on the buy side can be expected,

    which is important for the perceived exit liquidity among

    investors. High investor demand is also facilitated by an

    increasing appetite of banks to provide debt financing. Even if

    conditions offered in Romania still reflect the perceived country

    risks, the simple fact that the number of banks offering real

    estate financing has increased is an important improvement

    that will facilitate more liquidity.

    Due to the strong economic growth and the increasing interest

    shown by investors towards the Romanian market and the

    advantages that it offers (significantly higher yield spread), we

    have strong reason to expect that 2014 will set new

    benchmarks for the post-recession domestic investment

    market.

    -2

    -1

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F

    Yields /

    Randamente

    Office /

    Birouri

    Shopping

    Centers /

    Centre

    Comerciale

    Industrial /

    Industrial

    Q1/T1 2014 8.25% 8.25% 10.0-10.5%

  • Bucharest City Report Q1 2014

    COPYRIGHT JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2014. All Rights Reserved 3

    Economie / Investiii

    Mediul economic

    Dup un an 2013 n care economia Romniei a depit

    ateptrile i a nregistrat o cretere a PIB de 3,5%, se

    estimeaz ca trendul ascendent pe care ara se afl s

    continue i n 2014 cnd PIB se preconizeaz la un nivel

    asemntor 3,3% potrivit EIU. n primele trei luni ale lui 2014,

    creterea s-a datorat nu doar industriei cum a fost cazul n

    trimestrele anterioare ci i comerului cu amnuntul, a crui

    cifra de afaceri a crescut cu 8,3% (12,3% la vnzrile de

    produse nealimentare) n perioada similar din 2013. n

    consecin, n ianuarie i februarie 2014 att exporturile ct i

    importurile au crescut cu 9,2% respectiv 9,4%, n comparaie

    cu aceeai perioad din 2013. Totui, sectorul construciilor a

    continuat s scad, n principal datorit reducerii numrului de

    lucrri de infrastructur. Conform ultimelor rapoarte ale EIU

    (Econ Intelligence Unit), se ateapt ca PIB-ul Romniei s

    accelereze puternic la 3,8% n 2015.

    Rata anual a inflaiei a atins n perioada aprilie 2013 martie

    2014 un nivel sczut record 2,3%. Ca o consecin Banca

    Naional a Romniei (BNR) a continuat s ajusteze rata

    dobnzii de politic monetar, ce a ajuns din februarie la un

    nou minim istoric de 3.5% o micare ce urmrete n

    continuare ncurajarea creditrii, ce a dat deja semne pozitive

    nc de la nceputul anului, dar i stimularea creterii

    economice. Rata de schimb valutar a fost relativ stabil n

    primul trimestru din 2014, cursul oscilnd ntre 4,45 i 4,53 Ron

    pentru un Euro.

    Datoria guvernamental de sub 39% din PIB a fost a patra cea

    mai redus la nivelul Uniunii Europene, iar noua int de deficit

    bugetar pentru 2014 este de 2,5% din PIB.

    Monetary Policy Rate of NBR / Rata dobnzii de politic monetar a

    BNR

    Source/Surs: BNR

    Mediul de investiii

    Volumul tranzaciilor imobiliare nregistrat n T1 2014 este

    estimat la 337 milioane de Euro, mai mare dect ntreaga

    activitate din anul 2013. Cea mai mare tranzacie a fost

    achiziia de ctre Globalworth a cldirilor de birouri BOB i

    BOC dar i a 446 de apartamente i 25 de spaii comerciale n

    proiectului rezidenial alturat, Upground Towers, pentru 210

    milioane de Euro din portofoliul RREEF. Globalworth a fost de

    asemenea i cumprtorul Tower Center International, un turn

    de birouri in CBD-ul din Bucureti pentru suma de 58 de

    milioane de Euro. Piaa spatiilor industriale ncepe s atrag

    din ce n ce mai mult interesul investitorilor. Achiziia Innovation

    Logistic Park de 17.000 m de ctre Secure Property

    Development & Investment a fost prima tranzacie

    considerabil de la nceputul anului 2011.

    Volumul tranzacionat n primele 3 luni ale anului s-a axat pe

    piaa de birouri ce a reprezentat 80% din ntreaga activitate.

    Startul lui 2014 a artat din ce n ce mai multe dovezi c

    Romnia s-a ntors ca o zon important pe harta marilor

    investitori. Activitatea nregistrat a fost dominat de tranzacii

    derivate din restructurri, dar, cu un numr important de cldiri

    de calitate disponibile pe pia, se atept ca volumele s

    creasc puternic n acest an. Mai mult, un numr mai mare i

    divers de cumprtori este de ateptat, un lucru important

    pentru felul in care investitorii percep lichiditatea la momentul

    vnzrii Cerea poate fi alimentat de asemenea i de un apetit

    din ce in ce mai crescut al bncilor pentru a oferi finanare.

    Chiar dac condiiile oferite n Romnia nc reflect riscul de

    ar perceput, simplul fapt c numrul de bnci ce ofer

    finanri imobiliare s-a ameliorat reprezint o important

    mbuntire ce va facilita o lichiditate mai crescut.

    Datorit creterii economice puternice dar i interesului tot mai

    acut artat de ctre investitori pentru piaa imobiliar din

    Romnia si avantajele pe care aceasta le ofer (yield-uri mai

    bune) avem motive ntemeiate s credem c 2014 va fi un an

    de referin pentru piaa imobiliar de dup recesiune.

    Annual Inflation Rate / Rata anual a inflaiei

    Source/Surs: Eurostat

    0.00%

    2.00%

    4.00%

    6.00%

    8.00%

    10.00%

    12.00%

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q12014

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q1 2014

  • Bucharest City Report Q1 2014

    COPYRIGHT JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2014. All Rights Reserved 4

    Office Market

    Supply

    Two significant office buildings were completed in Q1 2014:

    Hermes Business Campus by Atenor Group and the extension

    of Metropolis Center by Soravia, which together added 23,300

    m2 of A class offices to the market. The modern office stock in

    Bucharest is currently around 2.10 million m2. For the rest of

    the year, the pipeline is estimated at roughly another 120,000

    m2. Four large projects represent over 70% of the total

    remaining pipeline to be delivered in 2014 (AFI Park 2, City

    Offices, Green Gate and Green Court).

    The most active sub-markets, considering the projects planned

    for 2014 and 2015, are Floreasca Barbu Vacarescu, Center

    West, Dimitrie Pompeiu and South. The Center West market

    in particular is rapidly emerging as a key office location of the

    city, despite its current smaller size. The area enjoys a number

    of advantages such as the excellent accessibility by car and

    public transport, proximity to the Polytechnic University, the

    main student campuses in the city, and some of the most

    densely populated residential neighbourhoods. It has mainly

    attracted the attention of IT companies and the vacancy rates

    here are among the lowest in the city.

    The overall vacancy rate in Bucharest is estimated at 14.7%,

    which represents a quarter-on-quarter increase of almost 30

    basis points. This increase is due to the new supply and is

    expected to continue in the next quarter, given the large office

    surface planned to be delivered. Vacancy rates continue to be

    uneven between the sub-markets of the city, which is reflected

    in the evolution of the rental levels. While in Baneasa and

    Pipera Nord vacancy is around 35%, in the Center West and

    West, vacancy is below 5%.

    Office Stock in Bucharest (Class A&B) and Vacancy Rate / Stoc spaii

    birouri n Bucureti (clase A&B) i rata de neocupare

    Source/Surs: JLL

    Demand

    In Q1 2014, gross take-up reached almost 61,000 m2, a similar

    value to the one recorded in the same period of 2013. New

    demand (including new leases, expansions and pre-leases)

    accounted for 48,700 m2 of the quarterly leasing activity and

    12,200 m2 were renegotiations. The largest transactions in Q1

    were the pre-lease of Vodafone in Bucharest One (16,000 m2),

    the relocation of Intesa Bank in ART BC 6 (3,500 m2) and the

    pre-lease of Schneider Electric in Green Court (3,100 m2). By

    geography, Floreasca Barbu Vacarescu was the most active

    sub-market with over 43% of the total take-up, mainly due to

    the preleases of Vodafone and Schneider Electric, followed by

    the CBD and Center West. By industry, IT&C and Telecom

    companies were the most active, together generating more

    than 50% of the total leasing activity, with professional services

    and manufacturing & industrial as runners-up.

    Rents

    Prime headline rents remained unchanged at 18.5 m2/month

    during Q1 2014. Over the last quarter, incentive packages

    remained consistent, with landlords usually offering both rent

    free periods and fit-out contributions. Incentive packages vary

    in value according to the terms of the requirements and

    become especially attractive for deals larger than 2-3,000 m2.

    Bucharest continues to be a tenants market, which we estimate

    will characterise the office sector for the next quarter as well.

    Forecast

    The supply pipeline for 2015 is expected to be around 110,000

    m2. Take-up is forecasted to increase from the level of the

    previous years and the overall vacancy rate should start to

    decrease towards the end of 2014 - beginning of 2015, after a

    temporary rise next quarter. We are of the opinion that prime

    rental levels will remain unchanged for the rest of 2014.

    Prime Office Headline Rent Evolution / Evoluia chiriei contractuale

    prime pentru spaii de birouri

    Source/ Surs : JLL

    00%

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    20%

    0.00

    500.00

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    2000.00

    2500.00

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Q1

    Thou

    sand

    s m

    Total Stock (left) Vacancy Rate (right)

    0

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    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F

    Euro

    /m2 /m

    onth

  • Bucharest City Report Q1 2014

    COPYRIGHT JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2014. All Rights Reserved 5

    Piaa spaiilor de birouri

    Oferta & rata de neocupare

    Dou cldiri de birouri importante au fost livrate n primele tei

    luni ale lui 2014, Hermes Business Campus al lui Atenor Group

    i o extensie a Metropolis Center al lui Soravia, ce mpreun au

    adugat o suprafa 23,300 m de spaiu clas A la oferta

    total iniial. Stocul modern de spaii de birouri din Bucureti a

    ajuns n prezent la 2,10 milioane m2. Pentru restul anului se

    estimeaz a fi finalizai nc 120.000 m2. Patru proiecte majore

    vor reprezenta 70% din ntregul stoc ce va fi finalizat n 2014

    (AFI Park 2, City Office, Green Gate i Green Court).

    Annual Office Completions & Pipeline (m2) /

    Spaii noi de birouri finalizate anual & proiecte n construcie (m2)

    Source/Surs: JLL

    Cele mai active sub-piee n care vor fi livrate proiecte n 2014

    i 2015 sunt Floreasca Barbu Vcrescu, Center West,

    Dimitrie Pompeiu i South. Piaa Center West, n mod

    particular, se dezvolt rapid n o zon cheie pentru piaa de

    birouri din Bucureti n ciuda mrimii sale nc reduse. Zona se

    bucur de mai multe avantaje precum o excelent

    accesibilitate fie prin intermediul transportului public sau privat,

    apropierea de Universitatea Politehnic, de cele mai mari

    campusuri universitare din ora dar i de cele mai dens

    populate cartiere rezideniale bucuretene. Zona a atras n

    principal chiriai din domeniul IT, iar rata medie de neocupare

    aici este una din cele mai mici din ora.

    Rata medie de neocupare este estimat la 14,7%. Aceasta

    reprezint o uoar cretere, de 0,3% fa de trimestrul

    anterior, i se ateapt ca trendul s continue s fie ascendent

    i n trimestrele urmtoare n mare parte datorit dezvoltrilor

    recente i viitoare. Rata de neocupare este foarte diferit ntre

    sub-piee, pornind de la sub 5% n Center West i West i

    ajungnd la 35% n Bneasa i Pipera Nord, lucru ce se

    reflect i n evoluia chiriilor.

    Cererea

    n trimestrul 1 din 2014, preluarea total de spaii de birouri a

    fost de aproximativ 61.000 m2, o valoare similar cu cea

    nregistrat in aceeai perioad din 2013. Cererea nou de

    spaii (incluznd contractele noi, extinderile i pre-nchirierile) a

    fost de peste 48.700 m2. Cele mai mari tranzacii din primele

    trei luni ale anului trecut au fost pre-nchirierea Vodafone n

    Bucharest One (16.000 m2), relocarea Intesa Bank n ART BC

    6 (3,500 m) i pre-nchirierea Schneider Electric in Green

    Court (3.100 m2). n funcie de zona geografic, Floreasca

    Barbu Vcrescu a fost cea mai dinamic sub-pia cu peste

    43% din totalul prelurilor, n mare parte datorit pre-

    nchirierilor Vodafone i Schneider Electric, urmat de CBD i

    Center West. n funcie de domeniul de activitate, companiile

    din sectorul IT&C i Telecom au fost de departe cele mai

    active, fiind implicate n mai mult de 50% din volumul

    tranzaciilor, urmate de cele din servicii i producie i

    industrial.

    Chirii

    Chiriile contractuale prime pentru spaii de birouri au rmas

    neschimbate n trimestrul 1 din 2014, fiind cotate la 18,5

    Euro/m2/lun. Stimulentele financiare au continuat s fie

    consistente, proprietarii oferind att luni libere de plat a chiriei,

    ct i contribuii pentru amenajarea spaiilor. Pachetele de

    stimulente financiare variaz n funcie de tipul de cerere i

    devin importante n special pentru suprafee mai mari de 2.000

    3.000 m2. Piaa de birouri din Bucureti a continuat s fie una

    dominat de chiriai, ceea ce ne ateptm s rmn valabil i

    pentru urmtorul trimestru al anului 2014.

    Previziuni

    Oferta de noi spaii de birouri previzionate a fi finalizate n 2015

    se estimeaz n jurul a 110,000 m. Ne ateptm ca preluarea

    total de spaii s creasc fa de nivelul anilor anteriori iar rata

    medie de neocupare s nceap s scad ctre finalul anului

    2014, nceputul lui 2015, dup ce va nregistra o uoar

    cretere n trimestrul urmtor. Prerea noastr este c chiriile

    contractuale prime vor rmne neschimbate pe parcursul lui

    2014.

    0

    50,000

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    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F

  • Bucharest City Report Q1 2014

    COPYRIGHT JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2014. All Rights Reserved 6

    Retail Market

    Supply

    The modern retail stock remained unchanged at 1.66 million m2

    in Romania as no retail projects were inaugurated in Q1 2014.

    The previous quarter (Q4 2013) was rich in supply, when

    95,000 m2 were added to the market. The stock in Bucharest is

    estimated at almost 890,000 m2.

    Two new shopping centers are planned to be delivered by the

    end of the year, both developed by the South-African

    investment fund, NEPI: Vulcan Value Center (35,000 m2) in the

    south-west of Bucharest and Shopping City Targu Jiu (27,000

    m2) in Targu Jiu. Therefore, 2014 retail supply in Romania will

    be at the lowest level since 2005.

    Modern Retail Stock in Bucharest & Pipeline (m2) /

    Stocul de spaii comerciale moderne n Bucureti & proiecte (m2)

    Source/Surs: JLL

    Demand

    According to the National Institute of Statistics, after a weak

    performance in 2013 (+0.4%), retail sales registered a 8.3% y-

    o-y growth in Q1 2014. Non-food sales increased even more

    sharply, by an impressive 12.3%. We expect this trend will

    continue, supported by the strong economic growth, the revival

    of the credit market and increasing consumer confidence. The

    recent performance is likely to have a positive influence on

    retailers expansion plans.

    Given the lack of new projects, those who consider opening

    new units are mainly looking at existing shopping centers with

    proven good performance. The gap between demand for

    prime and secondary stock continues to be significant.

    International retailers are assessing the possibility of entering

    the Romanian market or, taking over the local operations of

    franchise partners, encouraged by the growing retail sales.

    Jysk, the Danish retail chain specialized in selling furniture,

    decorations and mattresses, is opening a new concept store in

    April in the Coloseum Retail Gallery, after taking over their

    Romanian stores, formerly operated by a franchisee.

    Carrefour announced the new concept that they will introduce

    in Romania, the hard discounter Superco, focus on fresh

    products, with surface of 1,000 to 2,000 m2.

    The Romanian DIY market has been very eventful during Q1

    2014. Kingfisher rebranded two of the fifteen stores they

    acquired last year into Brico Depot. The local operation of

    Praktiker comprising 27 units was taken over by Turkish owned

    Search Chemicals, but will continue to operate under the same

    brand. Baumax announced it will exit Romania, either by selling

    or by closing down their stores.

    Rents

    Rental levels for prime shopping centres grew to 60-70

    m2/month, showing the first signs of recovery of the Bucharest

    retail market. The highest rents are achieved in Baneasa

    Shopping City and AFI Palace Cotroceni, which are considered

    the two most dominant retail schemes in Romania. Rental

    levels for prime high street units remained at 55-65 m2/month.

    Prime Shopping Center Rents in CEE capitals /

    Nivelul chiriei prime n centre comerciale n capitalele din CEE

    Source/Surs: JLL

    Forecast

    The pipeline in Bucharest for 2015 is likely to increase to up to

    150,000 m2, in areas that are currently lacking major shopping

    centers, and to 45,000 m2 in Brasov, one of the largest cities in

    the country that does not yet have a dominant retail scheme.

    0

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    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F

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  • Bucharest City Report Q1 2014

    COPYRIGHT JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2014. All Rights Reserved 7

    Piaa spaiilor comerciale

    Oferta

    Stocul de spaii comerciale moderne a rmas neschimbat la

    aproape 1,66 milioane de m2 n Romnia dup ce nici un

    centru comercial nu a fost inaugurat n primul trimestru din

    2014, dar dup un trimestru patru din 2013 bogat n livrri

    atunci cnd 95.000 m2 au fost finalizai. Din acetia mai mult de

    890.000 m2 se afla n Bucureti.

    Dou centre comerciale sunt previzionate a fi inaugurate pn

    la finalul anului, ambele dezvoltate de ctre fondul de investiii

    sud-african NEPI: Vulcan Value Center (35.000 m2) n partea

    de sud-vest a Bucuretiului i Shopping City Trgu Jiu (27.000

    m2) n Trgu Jiu. n consecin oferta ce va fi livrat n 2014 n

    Romnia va atinge cel mai sczut nivel de dup 2005.

    Cererea

    Conform Institutului Naional de Statistic, dup ce n 2013, a

    nregistrat o cretere modest de doar 0,4%, cifra de afaceri n

    comerul cu amnuntul a crescut puternic n primul trimestru

    din 2014, cu 8,3% n comparaie cu aceeai perioad anul

    trecut. Vnzarea produselor non-alimentare a fost ns cea

    care a impresionant cu o cretere de 12,3%. Ne ateptm ca

    acest trend s continue, susinut de creterea economic

    puternic, resuscitarea pieei creditelor i ncrederea din ce n

    ce mai mare consumatorilor. Este probabil ca performanele

    recente vor avea o influen pozitiv asupra planurilor de

    expansiune ale retailerilor.

    Avnd n vedere numrul redus de proiecte noi, retailerii

    interesai s deschid magazine noi analizeaz n special

    centrele comerciale performante deja existente. Distana dintre

    cererea pentru centrele comerciale prime i cele secundare

    continu s fie semnificativ.

    Muli retaileri internaionali evalueaz posibilitatea intrrii pe

    piaa din Romnia dar i preluarea reelelor de magazine sub

    franciz locale, ncurajai de creterea vnzrilor. Jysk, lanul

    de retail danez, specializat n comerul cu mobila si decoraiun

    i va deschide n aprilie un nou concept de magazin in

    Coloseum Retail Gallery, dup ce au preluat toate francizele

    din ar.

    Carrefour au anunat noul concept hard discount pe care l vor

    introduce n Romnia, Superco, ce se va aa pe produse

    proaspete i cu suprafee de 1.000 2.000 m2.

    Piaa de DIY a fost extrem de bogat n evenimente n primul

    trimestru din 2014. Kingfisher a reuit s rebranduiasc dou

    dintre cele 15 uniti pe care le-au achiziionat anul trecut.

    Operaiunile locale Praktiker, ce constau n 27 de magazine au

    fost preluate de ctre o companie cu capital turcesc, Search

    Chemicals, dar vor continua s funcioneze sub acelai brand.

    Baumax i-a anunat ieirea din Romnia, fie prin vnzarea

    magazinelor ori prin nchiderea acestora.

    Chirii

    Nivelul chiriilor prime, a crescut la 60-70 Euro/m2/lun

    demonstrnd primele semne ale redresrii pieei Bucuretene

    de retail. Cele mai mari chirii sunt obinute n AFI Palace

    Cotroceni i Bneasa Shopping City, considerate a fi centrele

    comerciale dominante din Romnia.

    Previziuni

    Volumul livrrilor pentru 2015 va ajunge pn la 150,000 m2 n

    Bucureti, n special n zonele n care nu existau centre

    comerciale majore, i la 45,000 m2 n Braov, unul din cele mai

    mari orae din tar fr o schem de retail dominant.

    Prime Shopping Center Rent Evolution /

    Evoluia chiriei prime n centrele comerciale

    Source/Surs: JLL

    50

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    Q42008

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  • Bucharest City Report Q1 2014

    COPYRIGHT JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2014. All Rights Reserved 8

    Industrial Market

    Supply

    Two speculative industrial facilities were officially opened in Q1

    2014 in Romania. In March 2014, Lear Corporation

    inaugurated an automotive seating plant of 12,000 m in Solo

    Industrial Park, located in Letcani, near Iasi. VGP added 7,200

    m to their industrial park in Timisoara. In Q4 2013, JLL

    reported the completion of a 11,000 m production unit built in

    Ploiesti West Park for Coficab and of another 10,000 m

    delivered by VGP in Timisoara that are now fully occupied.

    Several projects are expected to be finalized by the end of the

    year. In May, Bosch will inaugurate a 38,000 m automotive

    electronics production facility and research center in Tetarom

    III, in Jucu, near Cluj-Napoca. The Cluj County Council, owner

    of the Tetarom industrial parks, has also started the

    development of Tetarom IV on an 80 hectare plot in Feleacu.

    Another 25,000 m are under construction in Ploiesti West

    Park. TRW Automotive Holdings Corp. is planning to open a

    4,000 m plant in Roman, where they will manufacture airbags

    for cars. In Timisoara, VGP is planning to extend their project

    by further 10,000 m.

    As of Q1 2014, the modern industrial stock is estimated at

    approximately 1.8 million m, with more than 1 million m in the

    industrial hubs in and around Bucharest.

    Prime Rents for Multi-let / Light Industrial in CEE Capitals/

    Nivelul chiriei prime n spaii industriale n capitalele din CEE

    Source/Surs: JLL

    Demand

    In Q1 2014, gross take-up in Romania totaled approximately

    48,000 m. Almost half of this is net take-up, while the other

    half is renegotiations and renewals. Activity was recorded in:

    Bucharest, Deva, Arad and Timisoara. In the first three months

    of the year, Bucharests gross take-up is estimated at almost

    19,000 m, 40% of the entire demand in Q1. The largest

    transaction in Q1 was the renewal of Carrefour (20,700 m) in

    Deva Logistic Center.

    Rents

    Rents for prime distribution facilities are estimated at 3.6 to

    4.0 m2/month. Rents for prime light industrial facilities are

    quoted between 3.5 and 4.25 m2/month. Larger distribution

    units (exceeding 20,000 m2) record rents of about 3.5

    m2/month. However, incentive packages continued to be

    significant, especially for large surfaces and long leases.

    Forecast

    The automotive sector has become the most important branch

    of Romanian industry. New production facilities will continue to

    open, especially in the western part of the country due to its

    obvious advantages (proximity to Central and Western Europe

    Romanias main export market, present and planned

    highways and well prepared labour force). Due to the

    forecasted increase in retail sales, we expect that 3PL

    companies will soon be in search of spaces to develop.

    Given the restrictive access to credit, most future industrial

    developments will be built-to-suit.

    Prime Industrial Rents and Yields /

    Chirii spaii industriale i randamente

    Source/Surs: JLL

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    Warsaw Prague Bucharest Budapest

    Euro

    /m2 /m

    onth

    8.0%

    8.5%

    9.0%

    9.5%

    10.0%

    10.5%

    11.0%

    4546474849505152535455

    Q42008

    Q42009

    Q42010

    Q42011

    Q42012

    Q42013

    Q12014

    Annual rents Yields

  • Bucharest City Report Q1 2014

    COPYRIGHT JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2014. All Rights Reserved 9

    Piaa spaiilor industriale

    Oferta

    Dou proiecte industriale speculative importante au fost

    inaugurate oficial n trimestrul 1 din 2014 n Romnia. n martie

    2014, Lear Corporation a deschis o unitate de producie de

    scaune destinate industriei auto, de 12.000 de m2 n Solo

    Industrial Park n Lecani, lng Iai. VGP a finalizat nc 7.200

    m2 n Timioara. Jones Lang LaSalle a raportat de asemenea

    finalizarea n trimestrul 4 din 2013 construciilor depozitului de

    11.000 m2 dezvoltat n Ploieti West Park i depozitului de

    10.000 m2 inaugurat de VGP n Timioara, ambele acum

    ocupate integral.

    Un numr de proiecte importante sunt n construcie i se

    preconizeaz a fi finalizate pn la finalul anului. Bosch va

    inaugura in mai o unitate de producie i un centru de cercetare

    n Tetarom III n Jucu, lng Cluj-Napoca. Consiliul Judeean

    Cluj, proprietarul parcurilor industriale Tetarom, a nceput de

    asemenea lucrrile la Tetarom IV pe un teren de 80 de hectare

    n Feleacu. Ali 25.000 de m2 vor fi livrai n Ploieti West Park.

    TRW Automotive Holdings Corp. plnuiete sa inaugureze o

    unitate de producie de airbaguri destinate autovehiculelor, de

    4.000 m2 n Roman. n Timioara, VGP au planificat extinderea

    proiectelor cu nc 10.000 m2.

    La finalul primului trimestru din 2013, stocul de spaii industriale

    moderne era estimat la aproximativ 1,8 milioane m, cu mai

    mult de 1 milion din total fiind localizai n proiectele din

    Bucureti i zonele nvecinate.

    Industrial Take-Up Activity in Romania in 2013 /

    Activitatea de nchiriere n Romnia n 2013

    Source/Surs: JLL

    Cererea

    n primul trimestru din 2014, estimm c n Romnia s-au

    nchiriat aproximativ 48.000 m2 de spaii industriale. Mai mult

    de jumtate din totalul nchirierilor a fost reprezentat de cerea

    nou., cu restul fiind reprezentat de renegocieri i nnoiri.

    Cererea s-a concretizat n contracte semnate n Bucureti,

    Deva, Arad i Timioara. n Bucureti, n aceeai perioad,

    suprafaa total de spaii industriale nchiriate a fost de

    aproximativ 19.000 m2, 40% din ntreaga suprafa total

    nchiriat la nivel de ar. Cea mai mare tranzacie din primele

    trei luni ale anului a fost nnoirea contractului Carrefour (20,700

    m2) n Deva Logistic Center.

    Chirii

    Chiriile spaiilor de logistic prime sunt cuprinse ntre 3,6-4,0

    Euro/m2/lun. Chiriile spaiilor dedicate industriei uoare sunt la

    nivelul de 3,5-4,25 Euro/m2/lun. n cazul spaiilor industriale

    de mari dimensiuni, de peste 20.000 m2, chiriile sunt mai mici,

    n jurul a 3,5 Euro/m2/lun. Volumul stimulentelor financiare a

    continuat s fi semnificativ, n special pentru suprafee mari i

    durate lungi.

    Previziuni

    Industria automotiv ncepe s devine cel mai important sector

    de activitate al industriei romneti. Noi uniti de producie vor

    continua s se deschid, n special in partea de vest a rii

    datorit avantajelor clare pe care le are i anume apropierea

    de Europa Central si de Vest cea mai important pia de

    export a Romniei, infrastructura prezent i plnuit i

    disponibilitatea unei fore de munc bine pregtit. Ne

    ateptm ca, datorit previziunilor extrem de pozitive ale

    comerului cu amnuntul, companii de 3PL vor deveni din ce n

    ce mai interesate de spaii unde se vor putea dezvolta. Datorit

    accesul anevoios la credite, cele mai multe proiecte viitoare vor

    fi construite doar n baza unor pre-contracte.

    Modern Industrial Stock in Bucharest by Location /

    Spaii industiale moderne n Bucureti dup locaie

    Source/Surs: JLL

    Deva; 43%

    Bucharest; 39%

    Arad; 13%

    Timisoara; 5%

    West Bucharest

    North Bucharest

    North-westBucharestSouth Bucharest

    North-eastBucharestEast Bucharest

  • Bucharest City Report Q1 2014

    COPYRIGHT JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2014. All Rights Reserved 10

    Market Practice

    Office market

    Lease length: 3-5 years

    Payment terms: Rents denominated in Euro, but paid in Ron

    Frequency: Monthly or quarterly in advance

    Deposit: 3 months

    Indexation: Annually, in general Euro CPI

    Rent reviews: Optional, not yet a practice

    Agency fees: 15-25% from the yearly rent, excluding any incentives offered by

    landlord to tenants

    Retail market (shopping centers)

    Lease length: 5 years, 10-15 years for the larger anchors

    Rent: fixed and/or turnover rent

    Payment terms: Rents denominated in Euro but paid in Ron

    Frequency: Monthly or quarterly in advance

    Deposit: 3 months

    Indexation: Annually, in general Euro CPI

    Rent reviews: rare

    Landlords fit-out contribution: available only for larger anchor tenants

    Agency fees: 12-15% from the yearly rent, excluding any incentives offered by

    landlord to tenants

    Industrial market

    Lease length: 3-5 years for logistics; 5-7 years for production facilities

    Rents: industrial area plus additional handling services

    Payment terms: Rents denominated in Euro but paid in Ron

    Frequency: Monthly in advance

    Deposit: 3 months for logistics; 6 months for production facilities

    Indexation: Annually, in general Euro CPI

    Rent reviews: rare

    Fit-out: on tenants cost

    Agency fees: 12-20% from the annual rent

    Piaa spaiilor de birouri

    Perioad de nchiriere: 3-5 ani

    Metode de plat: chiriile exprimate n Euro, dar pltite n moneda local, Ron

    Frecvena de plat: n avans, lunar sau trimestrial

    Garanie: echivalentul a 3 luni de chirie

    Indexare: anual, n general cu inflaia din Zona Euro

    Renegocierea chiriei: opional, nu este nc o procedur comun

    Comisionul de agenie: 15-25% din chiria anual (nu sunt considerate facilitile

    financiare, lunile libere de chirie)

    Piaa spaiilor comerciale (centre comerciale)

    Perioad de nchiriere: 5 ani, 10-15 ani pentru chiriaii tip ancor

    Chiria: fix i/sau chirie n funcie de cifra de afaceri

    Metode de plat: chiriile exprimate n Euro, dar pltite n moneda local, Ron

    Frecvena de plat: n avans, lunar sau trimestrial

    Garanie: echivalentul a 3 luni de chirie

    Indexare: anual, de obicei cu inflaia din Zona Euro

    Renegocierea chiriei: rar

    Contribuia proprietarului pentru amenajarea spaiului: acordat doar chiriailor

    care ocup spaii mari

    Comisionul de agenie: 12-15% din chiria anual (nu sunt considerate facilitile

    financiare, lunile libere de chirie)

    Piaa spaiilor logistice

    Perioad de nchiriere: 3-5 ani pentru spaii logistice; 5-7 ani pentru spaii de

    producie

    Chiria: pentru spaiile industriale plus serviciile de manevr

    Metode de plat: chiriile exprimate n Euro dar pltite n moneda local, Ron

    Frecvena de plat: n avans, lunar

    Garanie: echivalentul a 3 luni de chirie pentru spaii logistice; 6 luni pentru spaii de

    producie

    Indexare: anual, n general cu inflaia Zonei Euro

    Renegocierea chiriei: rar

    Contribuii pentru amenajarea spaiului: pe costul chiriailor

    Comisionul de agenie: 12-20% din chiria anual

  • Bucharest City Report Q1 2014

    COPYRIGHT JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2014. All Rights Reserved 11

    Map: Office Buildings

  • Bucharest City Report Q1 2014

    COPYRIGHT JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2014. All Rights Reserved 12

    Map: Retail Developments

  • Bucharest City Report Q1 2014 OnPoint reports from Jones Lang LaSalle include quarterly and annual highlights of real estate activity, performance and specialised surveys and forecasts that uncover emerging trends

    www.jll.ro

    COPYRIGHT JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2014. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written consent of Jones Lang LaSalle. It is based on material that we believe to be reliable. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot offer any warranty that it contains no factual errors. We would like to be told of any such errors in order to correct them.

    Jones Lang LaSalle Romania

    Victoria Center

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    10th Floor

    Bucharest

    +40 21 302 3400

    +40 21 302 3401

    Gijs Klomp

    Managing Director

    Bucharest +40 21 302 3400

    [email protected]

    Andrei Vacaru

    Head of Research & Consultancy

    Bucharest +40 21 302 3400

    [email protected]

    Andrei Drosu

    Junior Consultant, Research & Consultancy

    Bucharest +40 21 302 3400

    [email protected]