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DETERMINANTS OF DIVIDEND
Thesis submitted to:
Department of Management SciencesSuperior University Lahore
In partial fulfillment of the Requirement for the degree of masters inManagement Sciences
Supervisor:Prof. Shahid Ghori
Submitted BY:Imran AzeemRoll Number: MBP 10406 Session 2009-2011
Department of Management Sciences
Superior University Lahore
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Thesis Title:
Determinants of Dividend
Research By:
Imran Azeem
Research Supervisor:
Signature: _________________________ Date: __________________
Prof. Shahid Ghori
Submitted as the requirement of master of Business Administration
Department of Management Sciences
Superior University Lahore
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Our Parents, Teachers, Friends andthose who inspired me and whom I
will inspire.
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Declaration of Originality
I hereby declare that this project is entirely my own work and that any additional sources of
information have been duly cited. I hereby declare that any Internet sources published or
unpublished works from which I have quoted or draw references fully in the text and in the
content list. I understand that failure to prove this will result in failure of this project due to
plagiarism. I understand I may be called for viva and if so must attend. I acknowledge that this
is my responsibility to check whether I am required to attend and that I will be available during
the viva periods.
Signed
Date.
Name of Supervisor
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Abstract
The purpose of this study is conduct a researcher on determinants of dividend that compares the
independent variables namely return on equity , corporate taxes , liquidity to the dependent
variable dividend . I had successfully researched various research articles and journals
referenced comprehensively throughout the literature review and thus have established that
theres positive evidence in support of my opinion that theres indeed a relationship established
amongst the aforementioned independent and dependent variable respectively, as is evident in all
other previous researches carried out so far. I used the quantitative approach for this research,
which is based on positivism paradigm. The sample size of 15year data is taken. And SPSS
software is exclusively used for the analysis and verification of data is confirmed through
descriptive statistics, histogram, scatter plot, correlation and regression.
Key words: return on equity, corporate taxes, liquidity and dividend
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First of all I acknowledge ALMIGHTY ALLAH whose blessings
lead us towards successes accomplishing in every sphere of life.
All respects for HAZARAT MUHAMMAD (peace be upon him),
who is forever a torch of knowledge and guidance to humanity
and enable us to shape our lives according to the teachings of
Islam.
It is matter of great pleasure and honor for us to express our deep
sense of gratitude for the continues guidance , indispensable
advice and precious time devoted to us by our advisor and teacher
SHAHID GHORI , superior university , Lahore.Finally, I extendmy cordial and my special regards to my most respectful
affectionate and loving parents, who have always prayed for my
success and betterment.
Imran Azeem
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Dedication........................................................................................................................... 3
Declaration of Originality................................................................................................. 4
Abstract................................................................................................................................ 5Acknowledgment................................................................................................................... 6
Chapter 1: Introduction....................................................................................................... 8
1.0 Introduction....................................................................................................... 8
1.1Back ground of the study................................................................................... 11
1.2 Purpose statement............................................................................................. 13
1.3Objectives......................................................................................................... 13
1.4Significance....................................................................................................... 14
1.5 Research questions and hypothesis................................................................... 14
Chapter 2: Literature Review.............................................................................................. 17
Chapter 3: Theoretical Foundations................................................................................. 44
Chapter 4:Data/Methodology............................................................................................. 49
4.0Data................................................................................................................... 49
4.1Methodology..................................................................................................... 50
Chapter5: Analysis............................................................................................................... 51
5.1Data screening................................................................................................ 51
5.2DescriptiveStatistics......................................................................................... 52
5.3Histogram..........................................................................................................
5.4 Scatter plot........................................................................................................
53
54
5.5Correlations....................................................................................................... 55
5.6Regressions....................................................................................................... 57
Chapter 6: Summary/Conclusion and recommendation.................................................. 60
6.1Summary.......................................................................................................... 60
6.2Conclusion....................................................................................................... 62
6.3Recomendations............................................................................................... 62
References............................................................................................................................. 64
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Chapter 1
1.0 Introduction
The word dividend comes from the Latin word dividendum meaning the thing which is to be
divided. Dividends are payments made by a corporation to its shareholder members. It is the
portion of corporate profits paid out stockholders when a corporation earns a profit or surplus
that money can be put to two uses: it can either be re-invested in the business called retained
earnings or it can be paid to the shareholders as a dividend. According to the Ross (2008)
Westerfield and Jordan dividend can be defined as cash paid out from current or accumulated
retained earnings rather than other sources. This payment of dividend to shareholders depends
on the company managements willingness to distribute their surplus of cash from their net
income to shareholders or to retain it for other re-investment opportunities. Many
corporations retain a portion of their earnings and pay the remainder as a dividend. For a joint
stock company, a dividend is allocated fast as a fixed amount per share. Therefore, a
shareholder receives a dividend in proportion to their shareholding. For the joint stock
company paying dividends is not an expense rather it is the division of an asset among
shareholders. Public companies usually pay dividends on a fixed schedule but may declare a
dividend at any time, sometimes called a special dividend to distinguish it from a regular one.
Cooperatives on the other hand, allocate dividends according to members activity so their
dividends are often considered to be a pre-tax expense. Dividends are usually settled on a
cash basis, as a payment from the company to the shareholder. They can take other forms
such as store credits common among retail consumers cooperatives and shares in the
company either newly-created shares or existing shares bought in the market. Further many
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public companies offer dividend reinvestment plans, which automatically use the cash
dividend to purchase additional shares for the shareholder. An important part of your
investment return is dividends. Usually a cash payment to shareholders, dividends are most
often paid on a quarterly basis. When the performance of dividend-paying stocks is compared
to non-dividend-paying stocks, the difference from total return perspective capital
appreciation dividends can be quite surprising. But keep in mind that not all companies pay
out dividends. Some keep all of their profit and reinvest it back into the company while others
pay out a portion to shareholders.
Types of dividend
Special dividend
Cash dividend
Stock dividend
Property dividend
Special Dividend
Normally public companies declare their dividend on a specific schedule. However, they also
have a option to declare a dividend at anytime. This type of dividend is referred as special
dividend.
Cash Dividend
Cash Dividend normally paid in checks; this is a basic form of dividend. Cash Dividend
considered a type of investment earnings and is taxable.
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Stock Dividend
This type of dividend given in the form of bonus shares or stocks of the issuing company or a
subsidiary company. In routine this type of dividend offered on the basis of prorates allocation.
Property Dividend
This type of dividend is distributed in the form of assets by the issuing company or a subsidiary
company.
Other dividends
It can be used in structured finance. Financial assets with a known market value can be
distributed as dividends; warrants are sometimes distributed in this way. For large companies
with subsidiaries, dividends can take the form of shares in a subsidiary company. A common
technique for "spinning off" a company from its parent is to distribute shares in the new
company to the old company's shareholders. The new shares can then be traded independently.
Importance and Benefits of Dividends:
It is important for investors to consider the benefits that dividends offer and how easy it is to
include dividend-paying stocks in any portfolio. Dividend paying stocks offer numerous
advantages, including:
Attractive Returns: Dividends paid are part of total return. Companies that pay
dividends are usually historically stable.
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Less Volatility: Dividends help lessen the potential fall of a companys stock price
thereby reducing volatility.
Increased Yield: Dividends provide income (however they are only a small part of
an investments total return.
Favorable Tax Treatment: Canadian dividends receive more favorable tax
treatment than interest incomes which is fully taxed like employment income.
Companies that manage their cash flow effectively tend to sustain and grow their dividend
payouts over time. Successful growth of earnings usually pays off for investors in the form of
higher share prices.
Dividend Timeline:
Dividends must be declared by a companys Board of Directors before they are paid out this
is known as the declaration date or announcement date. A stock is said to tradecum dividend
with dividend before the ex-dividend date, meaning investors will receive the dividend if they
own the stock before this date. The ex-dividend date is usually set two days before the date of
record; this allows all stock trades made on previous dates to be properly settled and the
shareholder list on the date of record to accurately reflect the current owners. On the record
date, a company determines its shareholders or "holders of record." The payment date is when
the dividend chaque are mailed to the shareholders of a company or their brokers.
1.1Background of the study
I will discuss the different researchers studies in my thesis about the dividend. The earliest
major attempt to explain dividend behavior of companies has been credited to John Linter
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(1956) who conducted his study on American Companies in the middle of 1950. Black (1976)
finds no convincing explanation of why companies pay cash dividends to their shareholders.
Since that introduction of the dividend puzzle (1996) Gomes (1998) Fluck (1984) Myers and
Majluf recognize that dividend policies address agency problems between corporate insiders
and shareholders Grossman and Hart (1980) point out that the dividend payouts mitigate
agency conflicts by reducing the amount of free cash flow available to managers, who do not
necessarily act in the best interests of shareholders. In line with that, Jensen (1986) argues that
a company with substantial free cash flows is inclined to adopt investment projects with
negative net present values. Jensen (1986) and Chariot and Vafeas (1998). hypothesize that
the relationship between the traditional determinants and dividend behaviour of Nigerian
firms depend on growth prospects, level of gearing and firms size. Rozeff (1982) presents
evidence that the dividend payout level for unregulated firms is negatively related to its level
of insider holdings. Ho (2003) presented a comparative study of dividend policies in Australia
and Japan. Aivazian et al. (2003) are considered to be the leading scholars in investigating the
dividend policy in developing markets. Goaied (2002) conducted a study on the relationship
between dividend policy, financial structure, profitability and firm value. AnilKapoor (2008)
conducted a study on the determinants of dividend pay-out ratios. Pruitt and Gitman (1991)
asked 1000 U.S financial managers and concluded that current and paet years profits are
important factors influencing dividend payments. Baker and Powell (2000) survey of NYSE-
listed firms. DSouza (1990) also finds statistically significant and negative relationship
between beta and dividend payout. Alli et.al (1993) reveal that dividend payments more on
cash flows. (2007) Kowalewski, Stetsyuk and Talavera conducted a study on the the
Corporate Governance and Dividend Policy in Poland. Gomes (1996) Fluck (1998) Myers
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and Majluf (1984) recognize that dividend policies address agency problems between
corporate insiders and shareholders. (1980) Grossman and Hart point out that the dividend
payouts mitigate agency conflicts by reducing the amount of free cash flow available to
managers who do not necessarily act in the best interests of shareholders. Collins Saxena and
Wansley (1996) conducted a study on the role of insiders & dividend policy. Erioris (2005)
conducted a study on the effect of distributed earnings and size of the firms to its dividend
policy. Naceur and Belanes (2006) conducted a study on the determinants and dynamic of
dividend policy. Ferris Noronha and Unlu (2007) conducted a study on The More the Merrier
an International Analysis of the Frequency of Dividend Payment.
1.2 Purpose Statement (Aim of investigation)
The main purpose of the study will be to find out what factors determine the dividend in the
banking sectors of Pakistan. This study will also investigate what factors considered more
important for the determination of dividend polices. Therefore purpose of this study will be take
the data of the related variables which is already exist and quantify findings in the context of
Pakistan.
1.3 Objectives of the Study
Our main objective of this study will be determining the determinants of dividend in banking
sector of Pakistan.
1. To determine the relationship between (D) dividend (ROE) return on equity (CT)
corporate taxes and (L) liquidity in the banking sector of Pakistan.
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2. To facilitate the policymaking bodies to evolve a comprehensive view determinants of
dividend and thus undertake necessary administrative adjustments.
1.4 Significance of the Study
This study is very important as its subject matter shows that it is addressing extremely
fundamental factor of determinants of dividend. This study is providing a way to know what
factors is much influence on the determinants of dividend. Further more this study needs more
consideration because this study is more significant to the Pakistan banking sector to improve the
dividend policies .this study will provide the information concerning factor effect positively and
negatively to dividend polices. Lastly this study is significant in a way thats its gives a
conceptual understanding of the relationship of corporate taxes, return on equity, liquidity and
dividend in banking sector of Pakistan.
1.5 Research Question and Hypotheses:
1.4.1 Main Question
What factors determine the dividend in the banking sector of Pakistan?
1.4.2 Sub Questions
1. What is the impact of return on equity, corporate taxes, and liquidity position on
determinations of dividend?
2.
Is return on equity, corporate taxes, liquidity and dividend are mutually correlated?
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HYPOTHESIS:
Hypothesis I
Ho: There is no association between dividend payout and return on equity.
H1: There is an association between dividend payout and return on equity.
Hypothesis II
Ho: There is no association between dividend payout and corporate taxes.
H1: There is an association between dividend payout and corporate taxes
Hypothesis III
Ho: There is no association between dividend payout and liquidity.
H1: There is association between dividend payout and liquidity.
Key terms Defined
Dividend (D)
A portion of a publicly-traded company or fund's earnings that is distributed to shareholders. The
amount of earnings distributed as dividends is usually determined by the board of directors and
divided by the number ofshares, but preferred stockoften has guaranteed dividends. Dividends
exist in order to encourage investment in the company and to allow shareholders who are really
co-owners to participate in the profits. A rapidly expanding company often pays little or nothing
in dividends, as most of its earnings are reinvested in the company. On the other hand, a well-
established company with solid profits likely pays relatively high dividends.
Return on equity (ROE)
The amount of net income returned as a percentage of shareholders equity. Return on
equity measures a corporation's profitability by revealing how much profit a company
http://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Publicly-Traded+Companyhttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Fundinghttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Shareholdershttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Board+of+Directorshttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Shareshttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Preferred+Stockhttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Investmenthttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Profithttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Reinvestedhttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Reinvestedhttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Profithttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Investmenthttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Preferred+Stockhttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Shareshttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Board+of+Directorshttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Shareholdershttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Fundinghttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Publicly-Traded+Company7/31/2019 Azeem Complete Thesis Imran Azeem
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generates with the money shareholders have invested. ROE is expressed as a percentage and
calculated as: Return on Equity Net Income/Shareholder's Equity Net income is for the full
fiscal year before dividends paid to common stock holders but after dividends to preferred
stock. Shareholder's equity does not include preferred shares. Also known as "return on net
worth (RONW). The ROE is useful for comparing the profitability of a company to that of
other firms in the same industry.
Corporate taxes (CT)
A tax that must be paid by a corporation based on the amount ofprofit generated. The amount of
tax, and how it is calculated, varies depending upon the region where the company is located.
Many countries impose corporate tax or company tax on the income or capital of some types of
legal entities. A similar tax may be imposed at state or lower levels.
Liquidity (L)
The degree to which an asset or security can be bought or sold in the market without affecting
the asset's price. Liquidity is characterized by a high level of trading activity. Assets that can be
easily bought or sold are known as liquid assets. The ability to convert an asset to cash
quickly Also known as "marketability". It is safer to invest in liquid assets than illiquid ones
because it is easier for an investor to get his/her money out of the investment.
. Examples of assets that are easily converted into cash include blue chip and money market
securities.
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Chapter 2
Literature Review
Investment and dividend decisions are the basic components of corporate financial
management policy. The basic research related to the determination of the dividend policy is
related to the linter model (1956) after that the work was refined by the Fama and Babiak
(1968). It has been observed that during last 52 years the series of empirical and theoretical
studies have been done. The summarize form of those empirical studies conclude three
important things. Firstly when the dividend payout increases that affect positively to the
market value of the firm. Secondly, when the dividend decreases then it affects the firms
value. Finally the third suggest that dividend policy of the firm does not effect the firm value.
According to the old Linter Model (1956) the level of current and expected future earnings
and the pattern of the last dividends are the most important factors influencing the dividend
decision. It should be noted that John Linter developed this model based on two vital things
that he accounted in dividend policy. Firstly he said that firms go for long term dividend to
earning ratios with the positive NPV available to them. Secondly the dividend policy is not
changed unless the manager finds that the new earnings are sustainable as increase in earnings
can not be assumed to be sustainable always.
Mahapatra and Sahu (1993) also finds the determinants of dividend policy by using the
different model linter (1956) darling (1957) and Brittain (1966). For the study they took
sample of 90 Indian companies for the period (1988-89). Conclude in their studies that cash
flow is the biggest determinant of the dividend policy after net earning. Further their research
shows that past dividend is an important factor in decision making about dividend than the
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past earning of a firm 23. The other empirical work has been done by DeAngelo and Skinner
(1992) Baker Powell (2000) they also support the Linter thoughts and give the same
conclusion. Later in the( 2001) Baker Veit and Powell also study the factors influencing the
dividend policy and gave the conclusion that there are none but four factors which effect the
dividend policy those factors can be sum up as the linter proven factor known as earning
stability, future expected and current level of earnings, the pattern of past dividends. There are
many other studies done on the dividend topic one of the famous research was done by Rozeff
(1982) in which he found out that the determinants of dividend policy are Growth, Agency
Cost and Beta.
Rozeff (1982) Lloyd et al. (1985) and Collins et al. (1996) used beta value of a firm as an
indicator of its market risk. They found statistically significant and negative relationship
between beta and the dividend payout. Their findings suggest that firms having a higher level
of market risk will pay out dividends at lower rate.
DSouza (1999) also finds statistically significant and negative relationship between beta and
dividend payout. Rozeff (1982) presents evidence that dividend payout level is negatively
related to its level of insider holdings. Jensen et al. (1992) and Collins et al. (1996) confirm
that the relationship between dividend payout and insider holding is negatively related.
Xinlei Zhao and Kai Li (2006) found out the firms information environment calculated by
analyst is the important factor in dividend policy. They said that firms with the greater analyst
coverage are recurring with a less proclivity to create dividend payments and initiate it. It was
observed that the amount of dividend was negatively related to the greater analyst coverage in
the profitable and non-profitable companies. This occurred to be negative after the controlling
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for share repurchases, institutional shareholdings, firm risk, across sample sub-periods and
size sub-samples. Frankel and Li (2004) conclude in their research that increased analyst
relates to the reduction of profitability of insider trades. Xinlei Zhao and Kai Li (2006)
conclude that firms choose their dividend policy while taking the presence of asymmetric
information into account.
Luciana et al. (2006) study the relationship between the dividend and ownership structure of
the company. Their research reveals the firms opt for the lower payout as ownership structure
of largest shareholder increases. Moreover they also explain that the presence of agreement
among large shareholder may also limit the monitoring power of strong non-controlling
shareholders. Luciana et al. (2006) study the relationship between the dividend and ownership
structure of the company. Their research reveals the firms opt for the lower payout as
ownership structure of largest shareholder increases. Moreover they also explain that the
presence of agreement among large shareholder may also limit the monitoring power of
strong non-controlling shareholders.
According to Mougoue and Rao (2003) the small companies can face greater information
asymmetry as compare to the big companies. As these companies use dividends as the
conveyor mechanism. Further more dividend policy for small companies can be amenable
signaling tool as compare to other alternative methods.
Ooi, (2001) believe that during the same time small companies can face sever condition to
raise the capital from external sources thus like to purse such dividend retention strategy in
which they face higher growth. It is another factor which can influence the dividend policy
decision in a company. A company with high profit, expected to have high payout of
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dividends. Han et al. (1999) and Jensen et al. (1992) find positive relation between
profitability and dividend payout. Stock Exchange Status: The stock market status of a firm
may influence corporate dividend decisions to the extent that firms listed on the AIM tend to
be newer and younger firms, and consequently more likely to suffer from high information
asymmetry and agency problems. Moreover AIM firms may also be inclined to favor the
residual dividend strategy since raising funds on the AIM for future investment is more
expensive than on the LSE (Clatworthy and Peel 1997). It is another factor which can
influence the dividend policy decision in a company. A company with high profit expected to
have high payout of dividends.
Han et al. (1999) and Jensen et al. (1992) find positive relation between profitability and
dividend payout. Baker and Powell (1999) conducted a survey on dividend policy. Most
respondents think dividend policy affects firm value.
Kumar and Lee (2001) examined the determinants of dividend smoothing. Dividend
smoothing is the method of maneuvering the time profile of earnings or earnings reports to
make the reported income stream less variable. They found that by making the stream of
dividend payments constant shareholders are not disappointed or upset by changes in
dividend payout. The earliest major attempt to explain dividend behavior of companies has
been credited to John Linter (1956) who conducted his study on American Companies in the
middle of (1950). Brittain (1964) Modigliani and Miller (1961) Pettit (1972) Black and
Scholes(1973) Michael Thaler and Womack (1995) Dhillon and Johnson (1994)Amibud
and Murgia (1997) Charitou and Vafeas (1998) Naceur (2002) conducted a study on the
relationship between dividend policy financial structure profitability and firm value. The topic
investigates the value creation process in the Tunisia stock exchange. There are many reforms
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since 1889 such as privatization of the stock exchange creation of a Tunisian SEC and a
cleaning house introduction of new financial instruments etc. The value creation process in
the Tunisia stock exchange is measured by a dichotomous response; the econometric
procedure uses probity models estimated on unbalanced panel data. The data was extracted
from the annual reports of 28 listed companies covering the period (1990-1997) the variables
of interest Incorporated in the analysis of market book ratio dividend policy factors Debt,
profitability and its size. All the variables of interest are positively correlated with MBR, with
a correlation exceeding 40% for profitability 40.9%. There is also a high correlation between
debt & size 82.8%.The value creation is also affected by nature of property. This finding
suggests that the progressive reforms of the Tunisian stock exchange have attracted new
investors, who have contributed by their purchase to the appreciation of the value of listed
shares.
Bhat and Pandey (1994) examined the managers perception about the dividend decision for
the company in the period of (1986-87 to 1990-91). The research concludes the study of the
425 Indian companies, the result reflect that on an average the profitable Indian companies
have distributed one-third of their net earnings which has an average dividend payout ratio
comes to be 43.6%.
Mishra and Narender (1996) analyze the dividend policies of 39 state-owned enterprises in
India for the period (1984-85 to 1993-94.) Concluded that earning per share is the important
determinant of dividend policy.
Lazo's survey (1999) revealed that 87% of dividend paying companies believe that dividends
do signal information regarding future earnings of the company. 110 senior financial officers
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from S&P 500 companies responded to the survey, representing a response rate of 22%.
Results show that of corporations having a buyback program in place in the last two years,
72% increased their dividend payout. 25% used cash flow to fund repurchase programs, rather
than to increase dividend payments. 93% of the responding officers felt that initiating a stock-
buyback program is believed to be more effective than raising dividends in providing
downside stock-price protection in a falling market. 79% of respondents stated that stock
repurchase programs do not receive a higher priority use of corporate cash flow than
dividends, even if corporate profitability were to come under pressure. Carlson (2001)
discusses the factors that affect the dividend decision. He concludes that stock repurchases
explain a small part of the decline in dividend yield.
Anil Kapoor (2008) conducted a study on the determinants of dividend pay-out ratios-A study
of Indian Information Technology sector. The harder we look at the dividend the more it
seems to likes puzzle with pieces thatjust dont fit together.
Black (1976) concluded with this question. What should the corporation do about dividend
policy? We dont know. Among theories some factors are identified in previous empirical
studies that influence dividend policy such as profitability risk cash flows, agency cost,
growth, taxes, price earning ratio etc. Linton (1965) conducted a classic study on U.S
managers dividend decision. He develops compact mathematical model & survey 28 well
established industries. According to him the dividend payment pattern of a firm is influenced
by the current year earnings & previous year dividends. Baker Farrelly and Edelman (1986)
surveyed 318 New York Exchange firms and concluded that major determinants of dividend
payments are anticipated level of future earnings and pattern of past dividends.
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Pruitt and Gitman (1991) asked 1000 U.S financial managers and concluded that current and
peat years profits are important factors influencing dividend payments. Baker and Powell
(2000) survey of NYSE-listed firms & concluded that determinants are industry specific and
anticipated level of future earnings is major determinant. Pruitt and Gitman (1991) find that
risk also determinant of dividend policy. Rozeff (1982) used beta value as an indicator of
market risk and found statistically significant and negative relationship between beta and
dividend payout. They suggest that firms having higher level of market risk will payout
dividends al lower rate. D Souza (1990) also finds statistically significant and negative
relationship between beta and dividend payout.
Alli (1993) reveal that dividend payments more on cash flows. They claim current earnings
do not really reflect the firm s ability to pay dividends. DSouza (1990) however shows a
positive but insignificant relationship in the case of growth and negative but insignificant
relationship in the case of market to book value. The data of Indian IT sector (2000-2006) had
chosen it has been source from Prowess database of CMIE. Hinduja TMT Ltd and I-Gate
Global Solutions Ltd. Have been excluded from aalysis due to non-availability of data. The
following variables are identified which are: dividend payout ratio. EBIT total assets, cash
from operations, annual sales growth, corporate tax profit before tax, Market to book value
ratio. The statistical techniques of correlations & regression were used to explore the
relationship between these variables. The dividend payout was used as dependent variables
and other variables were used as independent. The result of study show positive and
significant association between dividend payout and cash flows. There is insignificant
relationship with corporate taxes, sales growth and MTBV ratio. So these are not important
factors that influence the dividend payment behavior of firms in IT sector. The existing
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variables explain just 27 % of Indian IT dividend behavior future research can be focused on
discovering variables that explain the remaining 70 % of the behavior.
jayesh Kumar review that there is a relationship between ownership structure, corporate
governance and firms dividend payout policy in the emerging market India. For this research
he examines the Indian corporate firms over the period 1994-2000 for payout behavior of
dividends and the association of ownership structure. Explain the analysis with the help of
well established dividend models of Linter (1956) Waud (1966) and Fama and Babiak (1968).
Narasimhan and Vijayalakshmi (2002) observe the effect of ownership structure of 186
manufacturing firms on dividend payout. The empirical research (regression analysis) shows
that the promoters holding of 2001 has no effect on average dividend payout for the period of
(1997-2001)
S.Dhatt conducted a study on the financial leverage, ownership concentration and the
dividend payout ratio. There are many studies that focused on investigating the relationship
between investment financing and dividend policy decisions of firms and found conflicting
evidence. This study uses regression analysis to estimate the relationship. The estimates of
regression coefficients indicates that there is a relationship between debt and equity and
payout ratio in air transport, chemicals, drugs, paper & forest products and the semi-
conductor industries. The relationship positive up to a certain level of debt and equity ratio
and after it becomes negative. It indicates that at higher level of the debt and equity ratio the
management is concerned about their financial risk. The industries with higher business risk
have lower tolerance level of debt and equity ratio.
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Adelegan conducted a study to examine the impact of growth prospect, leverage and firm size
on dividend behavior of corporate firms in Nigeria. John linter (1956) make earliest attempt to
explain dividend behavior of companies, who conducted his study on American companies in
middle of 1950s. Oyejida (1876) empirically tested for company dividend policy in Nigeria
using linters model as modified by brittain. He concluded that the available evidence
provides a strong and unequivocal support for the conventional devices for explaining the
dividend behavior of Nigeria limited liability business organization.
Odife (1977) criticized Oyejidas study for failing to adjust for stock dividend. He empirically
analyzing the determinants of dividend policy on a sample of 63 quoted firms in Nigeria over
a period from 1984-1997 and also introduced dummy variables to capture economic policy
changes. Dividend behavior was tested using the linter-brittain model and its variants on the
pooled cross sectional time series data for the full sample of observations from 1984-
1994.The models are estimated using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The result
shows that there are no significant interactions between the conventional Linter and Brittain
model and dividend decisions of Nigeria firms. Jensen (1986) and Chariot and Vafeas (1998)
hypothesize that the relationship between the traditional determinants and dividend behavior
of Nigerian firms depends on growth prospects, level of gearing and firms size. The
empirical results revealed that the dividend policies of Nigerian companies are influenced by
after tax earnings, economic policy changes, growth potentials and long term debt. However,
the validity of the model and its variants on dividend policy of Nigerian firms which is
somehow remote, party depends on the growth prospect firm size and level of gearing of
corporate firms. Kowalewski, Stetsyuk and Talavera (2007) conducted a study on the
Corporate Governance and Dividend Policy in Poland and explore the determinants of the
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dividend policy in.& test whether corporate governance practices determine the dividend
policy in the non-financial companies listed on Warsaw Stock Exchange. Black (1976) finds
no convincing explanation of why companies pay cash dividends to their shareholders. Since
that introduction of the dividend puzzle a voluminous amount of research offers alternative
and appealing approaches to solve it.
Gmes (1996) Fluck (1998) Myers and Majluf (1984) recognize that dividend policies
address agency problems between corporate insiders and shareholders. Grossman and Hart
(1980) point out that the dividend payouts mitigate agency conflicts by reducing the amount
of free cash flow available to managers, who do not necessarily act in the best interests of
shareholders. Jensen (1986) argues that a company with substantial free cash flows is inclined
to adopt investment projects with negative net present values. LLSV (2000) argue that
differences among countries in the structure of laws and their enforcement may explain the
prevailing differences in financial markets and also show that financial market development is
promoted by better protection of investors The financial data comes from Euro money ISI
Emerging Market and NotoriaS data bases as well as from the annual reports of the
companies listed on the WSE. Our sample consists of 110 non-financial publicly traded firms
with 760 observations over a seven-year period. It is divided into three sub-samples (1998-
2001) and (2002-2004).In order to analyze the determinants, they estimate pooled Tobit
regression model similar to the study of Bebczuk (2005) our results suggest that large and
more profitable companies have a higher dividend payout ratio. Further more riskier and more
indebted firms prefer to pay lower dividends. The findings based on the period (1998-2004)
demonstrate that an increase in the sub-indices that represent corporate governance practices
brings about a statistically significant increase in the dividend-to-cash-flow ratio. Moreover
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the estimates prove to be significant after the inclusion of standard additional controls Saxena
and Wansley (1996) conducted a study on the role of insiders & dividend policy. The purpose
of this study is to examine the role of insiders in determining dividend policy for unregulated
firms, utilities, and financial-services firms. (1982) Rozeff presents evidence that the
dividend payout level for unregulated firms is negatively related to its level of insider
holdings & result is that firms with higher levels of insider holdings have less need to signal
firm value through dividends.
Myers and Majluf (1984) show that the level of insider holdings is itself a signal oSf firm
value. Other studies reveal that dividend policy is significantly intertwined with other
corporate policy choices .Most recently Hansen Kumar and Shome (1994) find that payout
ratios of electric utilities respond in much the same fashion as unregulated firms when the
concentration of ownership changes. Their findings suggest that as the concentration of
ownership increases, the level of monitoring increases and the need for a higher dividend
payout decreases. Our sample consists of observations on 500 firms drawn randomly. The
unregulated firms cover 21 different industries where the number of firms representing a
particular industry ranges from 8 to 50. Of the 45 utilities, there are 29 electric utilities and 16
natural gas firms. Of the 53 financial-services firms, there are 38 commercial banks BHCs
and 15 insurance companies. Rozeff (1982) a regression model is developed that relates the
firm average payout ratio to its past and expected future growth rate, its level of systematic
risk, the number of shares outstanding as a proxy for firm size and its level of insider
holdings. Results indicate that the payout ratio is negatively related to the firms past and
expected future growth rates in earnings its level of systematic risk and its insider holdings.
Payout levels are positively related to the number of shareholders. The regression model is
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expanded to include binary variables for whether or not the firm under consideration is a
financial-services firm or a utility. Under the Smith (1986) hypothesis utilities will possess
larger payouts than unregulated firms. For financial-services firms, no such difference is
anticipated. The regression model also captures any differences in the behavior of these two
regulated groups based on insider holdings. If fixed-rate deposit insurance increases equity
risk, then financial firms will have dividend policies that respond more drastically to changes
in insider holdings. If regulatory commissions act as low-cost monitors for utility
shareholders, then changes in insider holdings will not produce significant changes in
dividend policy for these firms.
Erioris (2005) conducted a study on "the effect of distributed earnings and size of the firms to
its dividend policy. The objective of this paper is to examine the corporate dividend policy for
the Greek market. John Lintner (1956) conducted a series of interviews with corporate
managers about dividend policies of their companies. The total number of companies that he
used was 600 from which he finally has chosen only 28 to survey and interview. One of the
most important conclusions is that companies have a long-run target dividend payout ratio.
That meant that companies aim to distribute, in the long run, a constant portion of their
earnings each year. Another interesting remark of Lintners study concerns the managers that
proved to be more interested on changes on dividend than on absolute levels. Fama and
Babiak (1968) undertook a more comprehensive study of Lintner models performance. Their
starting point was the work of Lintner (1956). Their sample consists of 392 industrial firms
over the period (1946) through (1964). Fama and Babiak tested the Lintner s model with their
data and methodology and found that it performed well but it can be improved by introducing,
as an additional explanatory variable, the earnings from the previous year without the
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constant term. This paper is based on the work of Vasiliou and Eriotis (2003) and Eriotis &
Vasiliou (2003). Vasiliou and Eriotis (2003) test the model of Lintner and suggest two
different versions that improve the original model introduced by Lintner. In their first version
of the Lintners model they consider as dependent variable the change in dividend between
time t and as independent variables the change in the earnings of the firm between time and
the change in dividend between time and the findings of Vasiliou and Eriotis (2003) suggest
that the Greek firms follow a discrete dividend policy. That is the dividend payout of a firm
depends upon the firms long-run target dividend that is adjusted according to the net earnings
of the firm. The empirical investigation conducted for a large sample of the companies listed
in the Athens Stock Exchange market during the period (1996 2001). For a firm to be
included in the sample two criteria had to be met. First, the firm had to be listed in the Stock
Exchange market for the whole of the period under consideration. Second, the firm would be
required to be listed in the year (1995). The final sample consists of 149 firms in a 5 year
period; that is, a panel of data with 718 observations, since some data were missing. The key
variables of interest are the: measures of dividends distributed earnings sales and changes in
this years distributed earnings and dividend from this year to the year before (DE and D).
for the analysis panel data was used. This models is a powerful research instrument, since it
combines the cross-sectional data with time-series data, and provides results that could not be
estimated and studied if only time-series or cross-section data were used. e empirical results
verified the hypothesis that the Greek companies prefer to distribute, each year a rather
constant dividend, which they adjust from year to year according to their distributed earnings
and size. Omran Pointon (2003) conducted a study on "dividend policy trading
characteristics and share prices. The dividend policy of a firm is a significant aspect of
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corporate financial management, for it has potential implications for share prices and hence
returns to investors the financing of internal growth through retentions the size of the equity
base within the firm again through retentions and hence its gearing leverage ratio. For
developing economies growth through the realization of investment opportunities is likely to
be an important element of an economic reform program. There are three issues we attempt to
address: Shares price determinations. Dividend payout ratios Dividend stability. For a sample
of 94 firms using data up to (1999) we find that retentions are more significant than dividends
in determining prices of shares that are actively traded on the Egyptian stock market.
However for non-actively traded shares the accounting book value is the most important
determinant. Reductions in dividends are associated with a lack of liquidity and profitability.
Dividend increases are linked to higher pre-tax operating profit effects which outweighed
post-tax effects. As to aspects that influence dividend payout ratios of actively traded firms,
important factors are gearing and the market to book value, the latter a surrogate for
investment opportunities. For non-actively traded firms, a more complex pattern emerges
.Aivazia Booth and Clearly (2003) use the return on capital employed as a measure of
profitability, although they do not distinguish between a dividend increase and a dividend
decrease.
D'Souza and Saxena (1999) although they do not find significant relationship between
dividends and investment opportunities. Aivazian et al. (2003) also use the market to book
value, i.e. q-ratio, but find that emerging market firms do not exhibit the expected sign in their
regressions unlike in their study of the US. Ramcharran (2001) finds support for the aspect of
pecking order theory (Myers 1984) that retentions lower dividend desire associated with
greater growth. According to the pecking order theory Myers (1984) o firms should prefer to
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finance investment by retentions rather than by debt. The data were drawn from the financial
information provided by the Kopsas Egypt Financial Year Book (1999/2000) Fiani and
Partners (2000).
DeAngelo et al (2004), conducted the study on dividend policy, agency cost and earned
equity. The study consists on why firms pay dividends? If they didnt have their assets and
capital structure, would eventually become unsustainable as the earnings of successful firms
exceed their investment opportunities. The gives the analysis of 25 largest long standing in
2002 dividend payers firms would have cash holdings of $ 1.8 trillion which is 51% of total
assets, up from $ 160 billion 6 % of assets and $ 1.3 trillion in excess of their collective $ 600
billion in long term debt .
They find that their dividend payments prevented significant agency problems since the
retention of the earnings would have given the managers command over an additional $1.6
trillion with out access to better investment opportunities and without any monitoring. This
sense suggests that firms with high retained earnings are especially like to pay dividends. In
this view firms pay high dividend when earned equity to total equity is high, and decline
when this ratio decline and when this ratio is zero or near to zero, it means firms dont have
the earned equity. The finally found that the highly significant association between the
decision to pay dividends and the ratio of earned equity to total equity controlling for size of
the firm, profitability, growth, leverage, cash balance and history of dividends. The
methodology can be explained in terms of three stages to the research multiple regression
analyses are performed to explain the share price in terms of three attributes namely the
retention the dividend and the book value per share. Comparisons are made between firms
that are actively traded on the Egyptian Stock Market and those that are not further multiple
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regression analyses are performed to assess a range of possible determinants of the dividend
payout ratio. The choice of variables is consistent with other empirical work reviewed in the
previous section. Once again, comparisons are made according to stock market trading. The
stability of dividends, comparing dividends for the current year with those for the previous
year, is analyzed by means of logistic regressions.
The first logistic regression assesses the relevance of various factors, including profitability
and liquidity, to the decision to decrease dividends, or to let them remain fixed. On account of
the smaller data-set see later firms are not distinguished according to stock market activity.
The second logistic regression follows a similar approach, but classis firms according to
whether dividends increased or remained the same. The right-hand side of each logistic
regression looks the same as a standard multiple regression equation. However each logistic
regression assesses the logarithm of the odds ratio as a linear function of the explanatory
variables. In the first logistic regression the odds ratio is chosen to represent the ratio of the
probability that the dividend stayed the same to second the probability that it decreased. In the
second logistic regression, the ratio refers to first the probability of an increased dividend, to
third the probability of the dividend staying the same. In each respective spreadsheet the
binary variable, to represent each firm's dividend choice, is assigned a zero or one. So in the
first logistic regression the value one represents the dividend staying the same, whereas in the
second the value one arbitrarily represents the dividend increasing. The logic for our choice is
that the higher the value of the binary variable, the higher the dividend. Right-hand side
variables with positive coefficients would then be associated with a higher dividend
propensity. This paper has addressed three issues concerning dividend policy of Egyptian
firms: its role in share price determination; the identification of key factors affecting dividend
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payout ratios and the importance of factors that would cause a shift from keeping the
dividends at a stable level. Share Price Determination. For a wide portfolio of both actively
and non-actively traded shares on the Egyptian Stock Market, dividends are more important
than earnings. However, for actively traded shares, retentions are more significant than
dividends. But for non-actively traded shares, the accounting book value is the most important
determinant of the share price, and not dividends or earnings.
Dividend Payout Ratios For a wide portfolio of actively and non-actively traded shares,
gearing and firm size affect the dividend payout ratio. The sign of the regression coefficient
for gearing suggests that the traditional pecking order of retentions being preferred to debt
may not hold for Egyptian firms. Small firms pay out less for actively traded firms important
factors are gearing and the q-ratio, the latter a surrogate for investment opportunities. The
result suggests a role for reducing dividends and retaining more in order to finance investment
opportunities. For non-actively traded firms, a more complex pattern emerged. In particular,
the sign of the coefficient for the q-ratio suggests that, as far as investment opportunities in
such firms are concerned, dividend policy patterns contrast with those of actively traded
firms. In order to finance investment opportunities, firms whose shares are not actively traded
tend not to pay out a smaller proportion of earnings as dividends. Dividend Stability.
Dividend stability is denned as maintaining the same level of dividends as for the previous
year. To de-stabilize dividends by decreasing them is associated with a lack of both liquidity
and overall profitability. Finally, to de-stabilize dividends by actually increasing them is
associated with higher overall profitability. In terms of that overall profitability, pre-tax
operating profit effects outweighed post-tax operating profit effects. Al- Najjar conducted a
study on dividend behavior and smoothing new evidence from Jordanian panel data. This
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paper aims to investigate the dividend policy behavior in Jordan. In which Amman Stock
Exchange is considered to be one of the updated emerging markets in the region. Miller and
Modigliani (1961) provided their irrelevance theory of dividend policy; this theory is based
on the assumptions of perfect markets. They concluded that dividend policy has no effect on
either the price of firm's stock or its cost of capital. Research in the area of dividend policy
has been concerned with relaxing the assumptions of MM model. Ho (2003) presented a
comparative study of dividend policies in Australia and Japan. He examined a 10-year panel
dataset, consisted of 332 firms in the Australian and Japanese markets from (1992 to 2001).
He found the following relationships: dividend policy is positively affected by size in
Australia and by liquidity in Japan, and negatively by risk only in Japan. These results
supported the agency, signaling, and transaction cost theories of dividend policy. Aivazian et
al. (2003) found that emerging market companies exhibit dividend behavior similar to US
companies, in the sense that dividends are explained by profitability, debt, and the market-to-
book ratio. Their empirical results (using pooled data) revealed that for both US companies
and emerging market companies, profitability affects dividend payments; high ROE (return
on equity) lead to high dividend payments.
Crutches and Hansen [1989] examine the relationship between ownership, dividend policy,
and leverage and conclude that managers make financial policy tradeoffs to control agency
costs in an efficient manner. More recently, researchers have attempted to establish the link
between firm dividend policy and investment decisions. Smith and Watts [1992] investigated
the relations among executive compensation, corporate financing, and dividend policies. They
conclude that a firm's dividend policy is affected by its other corporate policy choices. In
addition, Jensen, Solberg, and Zorn [1992] linked the interaction between financial policies
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(dividend payout and leverage) and insider ownership to informational asymmetries between
insiders and external investors. They employed a simultaneous system of equations and found
that corporate financial decisions and insider ownership are interdependent. Despite this rich
literature, most prior work implicitly recognizes differences in determinants of financial
decisions between regulated and unregulated firms by excluding regulated firms from the
analysis.
Rozeff [1982] was among the first to explicitly recognize the role of insiders as one of
monitoring the managers. He finds that dividend policy for unregulated firms is negatively
related to its level of insider holdings. One interpretation of his result is that firms with higher
levels of insider holdings have less need to signal firm value through dividends than
comparable firms with lower levels of insider holdings. Additionally, in the context of the
investment and financing decision, Myers and Majluf [1984] showed that the level of insider
holdings is itself a signal of firm value. In a study of electric utilities, Hansen, Kumar, and
Shome [1994] focused on the role that dividends play in the monitoring process to reduce
equity agency costs. Hansen et al. focusd on electric utilities since they do not seem to fit
current dividend theory explanations in the literature. They act differently, perhaps because
they are subject to regulatory oversight and insulated from most market disciplines like
takeovers.
Their paper concludes that the use of higher payout raises the likelihood of monitoring by
both management and the regulatory authority. If the regulator sets the rate of return to
shareholders (dividend yield) below that required by market, then assuming efficient markets,
the marginal investors will drop out. This lowering of the demand for the company's stock
will adversely affect its price reflecting greater difficulty in raising equity funds. Moreover,
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the associated costs (e.g., transactions and opportunity costs) will go up. Therefore, even if
one assumes that this does not affect the costs of other sources of financing, the increased cost
of equity financing will result in a higher overall cost of capital for the firm.
Rao and Moyer [1994] developed a theoretical model to study the role of regulatory climate
in capital structure decisions of regulated electric utilities. Their model predicts that utilities
will react to their regulatory climate by adjusting capital structure. They also provide cross
sectional and time series empirical support for their model from their data. They do not,
however, comment on the dividend policy issues of (regulated) public utilities that are an
integral part of a firm's capital structure decisions.
Omran and Pointon (2004) investigated the role of dividend policy in determining share prices,
the determinants of payout ratios, and the factors that affect the stability of dividends for a
sample of 94 Egyptian firms. They found that retentions are more important than dividends in
firms with actively traded shares, but that accounting book value is more important than
dividends and earnings for no actively traded firms.
he current study investigates the issue of dividend behavior in emerging markets using Jordanian
non-financial companies. The dataset is drawn from the Jordanian Shareholding Companies
Guide (1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, and 2003). From this dataset, 86 firms are selected these firms
maintained their identity and reported their financial accounts without any significant gaps, for
the period from (1994 to 2003). However due to missing observations the total number of
observations in the estimated models is 743. This study applies pooled and panel to bit models to
investigate the dividend policy. The paper finds that the dividend policy in Jordan as a
developing country is influenced by factors similar to those relating to developed countries such
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as leverage ratio, institutional ownership, profitability, business risk, asset structure growth rate
and firm size. Furthermore the factors affecting the likelihood of paying dividends are similar to
those affecting the dividend policy. Finally the results show that the Lintner model is valid for
Jordanian data and that Jordanian firms have target payout ratios and they adjust to their target
relatively faster than those in developed countries.
Dobrisan conducted a study on monetary policy and capital market efficiency. Howe and Lee
(2004) examine three corporate governance characteristics of preferred stock issuers relative to
non-issuer managerial equity ownership, board size, and block shareholder ownership. Stieglitz
(2002) explains that one must keep in mind that in post-1989 Russia there wan no housing
market nor was there any real social safety net. He discusses the nexuses between institutions,
privatization, and the impact of suggested economic remedies on the most vulnerable sections of
Russian society.
(2004) Giudici and Roosenboom examine the determinants of the long run stock price
performance of Initial Public Offerings on Europes new stock markets. Habra (2002) examine
the underlying factors which influence and cross-sectionals explain differences in the degree of
dividend smoothing of firms. Differences in corporate dividend smoothing are documented by
estimating the sensitivity of corporations dividend payout ratios to changes in earnings.
Theoretical determinants of dividend smoothing are investigated by cross-sectionals regressing
the degree of dividend smoothing of firms against firm characteristics.
Kontonikas and Ioannidis (2005) analyze the relationship between monetary policy and asset
prices using a structural rational expectations open economy model that allows for the effect of
asset prices and exchange rates on aggregate demand. Sundaram et al. (2001) find that wealth
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effects are significantly and positively related to board size and to share ownership by
independent outside directors and inside directors. Sub-samples based on board size reveal that
for small boards. Williamson shows that equilibrium credit rating may be a result of optimal
contract under the ex post type of information asymmetry; in a dynamic setting, the repeated
game between banks and borrowers is considerably harder to model. Using the Flow of Funds
data Christiano et al show that var impulse responses of business liability increase for about a
year after a monetary contraction, possibly because facing a fall in sales and a rise in inventories
firms find it necessary to raise funds to cover expenses they are unable to cut in the short-run; as
recessions deepen firms scale back in production and net borrowing declines. Under the ex post
type of information asymmetry Carlstrom and Fuerst simulate a general equilibrium model
assuming loan contract depends only on a borrowers net wealth instead of the history of loan
repayment. Townsend proves that if there is a cost of verification then the optimal structure of
the loan contract is risky debt. Mazur argues that globalization is about more than actual trade
openness and penetration of the economy with FDI; globalization imposes a particular set of neo-
liberal policies on countries.
Bhagwati (2004) finds that FDI and trade benefit society on dimensions other than just the
narrowly economic. Brown (2001) notes that the bulk of the evidence supports the argument that
skill-biased technological change is more important than trade as an explanation. (2006)Naceur
Goaied and Belanes conducted a study on the determinants and dynamic of dividend policy.
Fisher Black (1976) wrote that the harder we look at the dividend picture, the more it seems like
a puzzle with pieces that just do not fit together. More recently Brealey and Myers (2005) list
dividends as one of the top 10 important unresolved problems in finance. The situation is pretty
much the same today and the words of Fisher Black (1976) may well apply in todays context. In
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a recent survey Allen and Michaely (2003) conclude that much more empirical and theoretical
research on dividends is required before a consensus can be reached. Tunisian case presents at
least three interesting features that make its study relevant in terms of policy recommendations
for this country and others in the Middle East and North Africa region. First the Tunisian
ownership structure is highly concentrated and ultimate ownership identification is opaque.
Second there are no taxes on dividend and capital gains contrary to other developing and
emerging markets. Third the Tunisian Stock Exchange has witnessed several reforms, especially
the introduction of an electronic system for transactions in phase with international standards,
and this innovation is expected to have an impact on the way firms set their dividend policy. The
data used are provided by the TSE and the Council of Capital Market through respectively, their
official bulletins and their annuals reports covering the period (19962002). The sample is made
up of 48 firms of which 29 belong to regulated industries financial institutions, transport and
telecommunication firms. The period of study covers seven years from (1996 to 2002) which
appears according to Rozeff (1982) a period long enough to smooth out variables fluctuations.
Linters model is applied using static and dynamic panel data regressions. Our results show that
Tunisian firms rely more on current earnings those past dividends to fix their dividend payments
in the way that dividends tend to be more sensitive to current earnings rather than prior
dividends. Any variability in the earnings of the corporation is directly reflected in the level of
dividends. This is confirmed by the high value of adjustment speed, which is around 96%
86.68% when excluding the non-dividend-paying firms and 75.4% when excluding the regulated
ones. Tunisian managers, just like their counterparts in other emerging markets, do not smooth
their dividend payments. Additionally, the target dividend payout ratio is too low 14% for the
full sample and 32% with the dividend-paying firms using gmm estimations. Therefore a low
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target ratio and high adjustment speed indicate the low smoothing and instability of dividend
policy in Tunisia. We also highlight some determinants that may influence the dividend policy
pattern. First the results indicate that highly profitable firms with more stable earnings can afford
larger free cash flows and thus pay out larger dividends. Moreover fast-growing firms distribute
larger dividends so as to appeal to investors. This agrees with the informative content of
dividends. On the other hand ownership concentration does not have any impact on dividend
payment. In fact being closely held Tunisian firms witness less agency conflicts and shareholders
do not resort to dividends in order to reduce managerial discretion and protect their interests.
Moreover the liquidity of the stock market has a negative influence which confirms that the
implementation of the electronic transaction system in the TSE has facilitated the realization of
capital gains which has reduced the need for dividend payments. Finally the negative coefficient
on size found in the full sample has disappeared when regulated firms are excluded, which
reduces the robustness of this factor Ferris Noronha (2007) conducted a study on The More the
Merrier An International Analysis of the Frequency of Dividend Payment. The previous
literature in corporate payout policy examines the decision to pay or not to pay dividends
DeAngelo et al. (2004) Baker and Wurgler (2004) how much to pay Rozeff (1982) Miller and
Rock (1985) or how to pay repurchases versus dividends (Stephens and Weisbach, 1998
Jagannathan et. al. 2000). But no study examines how frequently the firm should pay dividends
once the decision to pay has been made.
Thaler (1980) subsequently describes the process of mental accounting by which investors
evaluate their gains separately from their losses, and thereby increase their overall utility. These
arguments suggest that an investor receives a higher level of utility from a sequence of smaller
discrete payments than a single aggregate payment. Barberis and Thaler (2003) describe how the
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concave utility function of prospect theory allows an investor to receive greater utility from a $2
dividend and an $8 capital gain compared to a $10 capital gain in spite of an identical dollar
increase in shareholder wealth.
(2003) Barberis and Thaler note that this differential bundling of the shareholder distribution
produces two different levels of investor utility. The investor that receives the ten dollars
bundled as a $2 dividend and a $8 capital gain experiences a higher level of utility compared to
the investor who receives only a $10 capital gain. Barberis and Huang (2001) make the case that
if a stocks recent performance is good, an investors utility increase from the gain leads that
investor to become less concerned about future losses from the stock and, consequently, to view
the stock as less risky. Thus, the investor is willing to discount future cash flows from the stock
at a lower rate. To the extend that investors code more frequent dividends as more frequent
gains, a situation which closely parallels the bird-in-the-hand argument, we should expect stocks
paying dividends more frequently to have higher valuations because investors perceive them to
be less risky, other things equal. Kahneman and Tversky (1979) and the confirming simulations
and modeling of Barberis and Thaler (2003) and Barberis and Huang (2001) imply that a more
frequent payment of dividends increases total investor utility we nevertheless observe that there
is significant international cross-sectional variability in the frequency of dividend payment.
LaPorta ET. al. (2000), find that firms in strong investor protection countries pay more dividends
than those incorporated in less favorable regimes.
LaPorta et.al. (2000) argues that shareholders in these countries are better able to force cash
disgorgement, thus precluding insiders from using a high percentage of the firms earnings for
personal benefits. Lintner (1956) establishes in the literature that firms are reluctant to cut
dividends for their shareholders. Subsequent studies Ghosh and Woolridge (1988) Denis et al.
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(1994) show that firms are penalized in the marketplace when they do reduce them. The data
used in this study are drawn from a variety of sources. We obtain annual financial and
accounting data from the Compustat Global Industrial database while monthly market return
information is collected from the Composted Global Issues database. From the research
conducted by Al-Twaijry and Abdulrahman Ali (2007) on the dividend policy and payout ratio
for Kuala Lumpur stock exchange (KLSE) during the period of year 2001 to 2005, the
companies size were considered as an independent variable that has an effect on the dividend per
share .The difference between large companies and small companies gave significantly (p