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    DETERMINANTS OF DIVIDEND

    Thesis submitted to:

    Department of Management SciencesSuperior University Lahore

    In partial fulfillment of the Requirement for the degree of masters inManagement Sciences

    Supervisor:Prof. Shahid Ghori

    Submitted BY:Imran AzeemRoll Number: MBP 10406 Session 2009-2011

    Department of Management Sciences

    Superior University Lahore

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    Thesis Title:

    Determinants of Dividend

    Research By:

    Imran Azeem

    Research Supervisor:

    Signature: _________________________ Date: __________________

    Prof. Shahid Ghori

    Submitted as the requirement of master of Business Administration

    Department of Management Sciences

    Superior University Lahore

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    Our Parents, Teachers, Friends andthose who inspired me and whom I

    will inspire.

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    Declaration of Originality

    I hereby declare that this project is entirely my own work and that any additional sources of

    information have been duly cited. I hereby declare that any Internet sources published or

    unpublished works from which I have quoted or draw references fully in the text and in the

    content list. I understand that failure to prove this will result in failure of this project due to

    plagiarism. I understand I may be called for viva and if so must attend. I acknowledge that this

    is my responsibility to check whether I am required to attend and that I will be available during

    the viva periods.

    Signed

    Date.

    Name of Supervisor

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    Abstract

    The purpose of this study is conduct a researcher on determinants of dividend that compares the

    independent variables namely return on equity , corporate taxes , liquidity to the dependent

    variable dividend . I had successfully researched various research articles and journals

    referenced comprehensively throughout the literature review and thus have established that

    theres positive evidence in support of my opinion that theres indeed a relationship established

    amongst the aforementioned independent and dependent variable respectively, as is evident in all

    other previous researches carried out so far. I used the quantitative approach for this research,

    which is based on positivism paradigm. The sample size of 15year data is taken. And SPSS

    software is exclusively used for the analysis and verification of data is confirmed through

    descriptive statistics, histogram, scatter plot, correlation and regression.

    Key words: return on equity, corporate taxes, liquidity and dividend

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    First of all I acknowledge ALMIGHTY ALLAH whose blessings

    lead us towards successes accomplishing in every sphere of life.

    All respects for HAZARAT MUHAMMAD (peace be upon him),

    who is forever a torch of knowledge and guidance to humanity

    and enable us to shape our lives according to the teachings of

    Islam.

    It is matter of great pleasure and honor for us to express our deep

    sense of gratitude for the continues guidance , indispensable

    advice and precious time devoted to us by our advisor and teacher

    SHAHID GHORI , superior university , Lahore.Finally, I extendmy cordial and my special regards to my most respectful

    affectionate and loving parents, who have always prayed for my

    success and betterment.

    Imran Azeem

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    Dedication........................................................................................................................... 3

    Declaration of Originality................................................................................................. 4

    Abstract................................................................................................................................ 5Acknowledgment................................................................................................................... 6

    Chapter 1: Introduction....................................................................................................... 8

    1.0 Introduction....................................................................................................... 8

    1.1Back ground of the study................................................................................... 11

    1.2 Purpose statement............................................................................................. 13

    1.3Objectives......................................................................................................... 13

    1.4Significance....................................................................................................... 14

    1.5 Research questions and hypothesis................................................................... 14

    Chapter 2: Literature Review.............................................................................................. 17

    Chapter 3: Theoretical Foundations................................................................................. 44

    Chapter 4:Data/Methodology............................................................................................. 49

    4.0Data................................................................................................................... 49

    4.1Methodology..................................................................................................... 50

    Chapter5: Analysis............................................................................................................... 51

    5.1Data screening................................................................................................ 51

    5.2DescriptiveStatistics......................................................................................... 52

    5.3Histogram..........................................................................................................

    5.4 Scatter plot........................................................................................................

    53

    54

    5.5Correlations....................................................................................................... 55

    5.6Regressions....................................................................................................... 57

    Chapter 6: Summary/Conclusion and recommendation.................................................. 60

    6.1Summary.......................................................................................................... 60

    6.2Conclusion....................................................................................................... 62

    6.3Recomendations............................................................................................... 62

    References............................................................................................................................. 64

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    Chapter 1

    1.0 Introduction

    The word dividend comes from the Latin word dividendum meaning the thing which is to be

    divided. Dividends are payments made by a corporation to its shareholder members. It is the

    portion of corporate profits paid out stockholders when a corporation earns a profit or surplus

    that money can be put to two uses: it can either be re-invested in the business called retained

    earnings or it can be paid to the shareholders as a dividend. According to the Ross (2008)

    Westerfield and Jordan dividend can be defined as cash paid out from current or accumulated

    retained earnings rather than other sources. This payment of dividend to shareholders depends

    on the company managements willingness to distribute their surplus of cash from their net

    income to shareholders or to retain it for other re-investment opportunities. Many

    corporations retain a portion of their earnings and pay the remainder as a dividend. For a joint

    stock company, a dividend is allocated fast as a fixed amount per share. Therefore, a

    shareholder receives a dividend in proportion to their shareholding. For the joint stock

    company paying dividends is not an expense rather it is the division of an asset among

    shareholders. Public companies usually pay dividends on a fixed schedule but may declare a

    dividend at any time, sometimes called a special dividend to distinguish it from a regular one.

    Cooperatives on the other hand, allocate dividends according to members activity so their

    dividends are often considered to be a pre-tax expense. Dividends are usually settled on a

    cash basis, as a payment from the company to the shareholder. They can take other forms

    such as store credits common among retail consumers cooperatives and shares in the

    company either newly-created shares or existing shares bought in the market. Further many

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    public companies offer dividend reinvestment plans, which automatically use the cash

    dividend to purchase additional shares for the shareholder. An important part of your

    investment return is dividends. Usually a cash payment to shareholders, dividends are most

    often paid on a quarterly basis. When the performance of dividend-paying stocks is compared

    to non-dividend-paying stocks, the difference from total return perspective capital

    appreciation dividends can be quite surprising. But keep in mind that not all companies pay

    out dividends. Some keep all of their profit and reinvest it back into the company while others

    pay out a portion to shareholders.

    Types of dividend

    Special dividend

    Cash dividend

    Stock dividend

    Property dividend

    Special Dividend

    Normally public companies declare their dividend on a specific schedule. However, they also

    have a option to declare a dividend at anytime. This type of dividend is referred as special

    dividend.

    Cash Dividend

    Cash Dividend normally paid in checks; this is a basic form of dividend. Cash Dividend

    considered a type of investment earnings and is taxable.

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    Stock Dividend

    This type of dividend given in the form of bonus shares or stocks of the issuing company or a

    subsidiary company. In routine this type of dividend offered on the basis of prorates allocation.

    Property Dividend

    This type of dividend is distributed in the form of assets by the issuing company or a subsidiary

    company.

    Other dividends

    It can be used in structured finance. Financial assets with a known market value can be

    distributed as dividends; warrants are sometimes distributed in this way. For large companies

    with subsidiaries, dividends can take the form of shares in a subsidiary company. A common

    technique for "spinning off" a company from its parent is to distribute shares in the new

    company to the old company's shareholders. The new shares can then be traded independently.

    Importance and Benefits of Dividends:

    It is important for investors to consider the benefits that dividends offer and how easy it is to

    include dividend-paying stocks in any portfolio. Dividend paying stocks offer numerous

    advantages, including:

    Attractive Returns: Dividends paid are part of total return. Companies that pay

    dividends are usually historically stable.

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    Less Volatility: Dividends help lessen the potential fall of a companys stock price

    thereby reducing volatility.

    Increased Yield: Dividends provide income (however they are only a small part of

    an investments total return.

    Favorable Tax Treatment: Canadian dividends receive more favorable tax

    treatment than interest incomes which is fully taxed like employment income.

    Companies that manage their cash flow effectively tend to sustain and grow their dividend

    payouts over time. Successful growth of earnings usually pays off for investors in the form of

    higher share prices.

    Dividend Timeline:

    Dividends must be declared by a companys Board of Directors before they are paid out this

    is known as the declaration date or announcement date. A stock is said to tradecum dividend

    with dividend before the ex-dividend date, meaning investors will receive the dividend if they

    own the stock before this date. The ex-dividend date is usually set two days before the date of

    record; this allows all stock trades made on previous dates to be properly settled and the

    shareholder list on the date of record to accurately reflect the current owners. On the record

    date, a company determines its shareholders or "holders of record." The payment date is when

    the dividend chaque are mailed to the shareholders of a company or their brokers.

    1.1Background of the study

    I will discuss the different researchers studies in my thesis about the dividend. The earliest

    major attempt to explain dividend behavior of companies has been credited to John Linter

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    (1956) who conducted his study on American Companies in the middle of 1950. Black (1976)

    finds no convincing explanation of why companies pay cash dividends to their shareholders.

    Since that introduction of the dividend puzzle (1996) Gomes (1998) Fluck (1984) Myers and

    Majluf recognize that dividend policies address agency problems between corporate insiders

    and shareholders Grossman and Hart (1980) point out that the dividend payouts mitigate

    agency conflicts by reducing the amount of free cash flow available to managers, who do not

    necessarily act in the best interests of shareholders. In line with that, Jensen (1986) argues that

    a company with substantial free cash flows is inclined to adopt investment projects with

    negative net present values. Jensen (1986) and Chariot and Vafeas (1998). hypothesize that

    the relationship between the traditional determinants and dividend behaviour of Nigerian

    firms depend on growth prospects, level of gearing and firms size. Rozeff (1982) presents

    evidence that the dividend payout level for unregulated firms is negatively related to its level

    of insider holdings. Ho (2003) presented a comparative study of dividend policies in Australia

    and Japan. Aivazian et al. (2003) are considered to be the leading scholars in investigating the

    dividend policy in developing markets. Goaied (2002) conducted a study on the relationship

    between dividend policy, financial structure, profitability and firm value. AnilKapoor (2008)

    conducted a study on the determinants of dividend pay-out ratios. Pruitt and Gitman (1991)

    asked 1000 U.S financial managers and concluded that current and paet years profits are

    important factors influencing dividend payments. Baker and Powell (2000) survey of NYSE-

    listed firms. DSouza (1990) also finds statistically significant and negative relationship

    between beta and dividend payout. Alli et.al (1993) reveal that dividend payments more on

    cash flows. (2007) Kowalewski, Stetsyuk and Talavera conducted a study on the the

    Corporate Governance and Dividend Policy in Poland. Gomes (1996) Fluck (1998) Myers

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    and Majluf (1984) recognize that dividend policies address agency problems between

    corporate insiders and shareholders. (1980) Grossman and Hart point out that the dividend

    payouts mitigate agency conflicts by reducing the amount of free cash flow available to

    managers who do not necessarily act in the best interests of shareholders. Collins Saxena and

    Wansley (1996) conducted a study on the role of insiders & dividend policy. Erioris (2005)

    conducted a study on the effect of distributed earnings and size of the firms to its dividend

    policy. Naceur and Belanes (2006) conducted a study on the determinants and dynamic of

    dividend policy. Ferris Noronha and Unlu (2007) conducted a study on The More the Merrier

    an International Analysis of the Frequency of Dividend Payment.

    1.2 Purpose Statement (Aim of investigation)

    The main purpose of the study will be to find out what factors determine the dividend in the

    banking sectors of Pakistan. This study will also investigate what factors considered more

    important for the determination of dividend polices. Therefore purpose of this study will be take

    the data of the related variables which is already exist and quantify findings in the context of

    Pakistan.

    1.3 Objectives of the Study

    Our main objective of this study will be determining the determinants of dividend in banking

    sector of Pakistan.

    1. To determine the relationship between (D) dividend (ROE) return on equity (CT)

    corporate taxes and (L) liquidity in the banking sector of Pakistan.

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    2. To facilitate the policymaking bodies to evolve a comprehensive view determinants of

    dividend and thus undertake necessary administrative adjustments.

    1.4 Significance of the Study

    This study is very important as its subject matter shows that it is addressing extremely

    fundamental factor of determinants of dividend. This study is providing a way to know what

    factors is much influence on the determinants of dividend. Further more this study needs more

    consideration because this study is more significant to the Pakistan banking sector to improve the

    dividend policies .this study will provide the information concerning factor effect positively and

    negatively to dividend polices. Lastly this study is significant in a way thats its gives a

    conceptual understanding of the relationship of corporate taxes, return on equity, liquidity and

    dividend in banking sector of Pakistan.

    1.5 Research Question and Hypotheses:

    1.4.1 Main Question

    What factors determine the dividend in the banking sector of Pakistan?

    1.4.2 Sub Questions

    1. What is the impact of return on equity, corporate taxes, and liquidity position on

    determinations of dividend?

    2.

    Is return on equity, corporate taxes, liquidity and dividend are mutually correlated?

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    HYPOTHESIS:

    Hypothesis I

    Ho: There is no association between dividend payout and return on equity.

    H1: There is an association between dividend payout and return on equity.

    Hypothesis II

    Ho: There is no association between dividend payout and corporate taxes.

    H1: There is an association between dividend payout and corporate taxes

    Hypothesis III

    Ho: There is no association between dividend payout and liquidity.

    H1: There is association between dividend payout and liquidity.

    Key terms Defined

    Dividend (D)

    A portion of a publicly-traded company or fund's earnings that is distributed to shareholders. The

    amount of earnings distributed as dividends is usually determined by the board of directors and

    divided by the number ofshares, but preferred stockoften has guaranteed dividends. Dividends

    exist in order to encourage investment in the company and to allow shareholders who are really

    co-owners to participate in the profits. A rapidly expanding company often pays little or nothing

    in dividends, as most of its earnings are reinvested in the company. On the other hand, a well-

    established company with solid profits likely pays relatively high dividends.

    Return on equity (ROE)

    The amount of net income returned as a percentage of shareholders equity. Return on

    equity measures a corporation's profitability by revealing how much profit a company

    http://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Publicly-Traded+Companyhttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Fundinghttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Shareholdershttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Board+of+Directorshttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Shareshttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Preferred+Stockhttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Investmenthttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Profithttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Reinvestedhttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Reinvestedhttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Profithttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Investmenthttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Preferred+Stockhttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Shareshttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Board+of+Directorshttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Shareholdershttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Fundinghttp://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/Publicly-Traded+Company
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    generates with the money shareholders have invested. ROE is expressed as a percentage and

    calculated as: Return on Equity Net Income/Shareholder's Equity Net income is for the full

    fiscal year before dividends paid to common stock holders but after dividends to preferred

    stock. Shareholder's equity does not include preferred shares. Also known as "return on net

    worth (RONW). The ROE is useful for comparing the profitability of a company to that of

    other firms in the same industry.

    Corporate taxes (CT)

    A tax that must be paid by a corporation based on the amount ofprofit generated. The amount of

    tax, and how it is calculated, varies depending upon the region where the company is located.

    Many countries impose corporate tax or company tax on the income or capital of some types of

    legal entities. A similar tax may be imposed at state or lower levels.

    Liquidity (L)

    The degree to which an asset or security can be bought or sold in the market without affecting

    the asset's price. Liquidity is characterized by a high level of trading activity. Assets that can be

    easily bought or sold are known as liquid assets. The ability to convert an asset to cash

    quickly Also known as "marketability". It is safer to invest in liquid assets than illiquid ones

    because it is easier for an investor to get his/her money out of the investment.

    . Examples of assets that are easily converted into cash include blue chip and money market

    securities.

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    Chapter 2

    Literature Review

    Investment and dividend decisions are the basic components of corporate financial

    management policy. The basic research related to the determination of the dividend policy is

    related to the linter model (1956) after that the work was refined by the Fama and Babiak

    (1968). It has been observed that during last 52 years the series of empirical and theoretical

    studies have been done. The summarize form of those empirical studies conclude three

    important things. Firstly when the dividend payout increases that affect positively to the

    market value of the firm. Secondly, when the dividend decreases then it affects the firms

    value. Finally the third suggest that dividend policy of the firm does not effect the firm value.

    According to the old Linter Model (1956) the level of current and expected future earnings

    and the pattern of the last dividends are the most important factors influencing the dividend

    decision. It should be noted that John Linter developed this model based on two vital things

    that he accounted in dividend policy. Firstly he said that firms go for long term dividend to

    earning ratios with the positive NPV available to them. Secondly the dividend policy is not

    changed unless the manager finds that the new earnings are sustainable as increase in earnings

    can not be assumed to be sustainable always.

    Mahapatra and Sahu (1993) also finds the determinants of dividend policy by using the

    different model linter (1956) darling (1957) and Brittain (1966). For the study they took

    sample of 90 Indian companies for the period (1988-89). Conclude in their studies that cash

    flow is the biggest determinant of the dividend policy after net earning. Further their research

    shows that past dividend is an important factor in decision making about dividend than the

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    past earning of a firm 23. The other empirical work has been done by DeAngelo and Skinner

    (1992) Baker Powell (2000) they also support the Linter thoughts and give the same

    conclusion. Later in the( 2001) Baker Veit and Powell also study the factors influencing the

    dividend policy and gave the conclusion that there are none but four factors which effect the

    dividend policy those factors can be sum up as the linter proven factor known as earning

    stability, future expected and current level of earnings, the pattern of past dividends. There are

    many other studies done on the dividend topic one of the famous research was done by Rozeff

    (1982) in which he found out that the determinants of dividend policy are Growth, Agency

    Cost and Beta.

    Rozeff (1982) Lloyd et al. (1985) and Collins et al. (1996) used beta value of a firm as an

    indicator of its market risk. They found statistically significant and negative relationship

    between beta and the dividend payout. Their findings suggest that firms having a higher level

    of market risk will pay out dividends at lower rate.

    DSouza (1999) also finds statistically significant and negative relationship between beta and

    dividend payout. Rozeff (1982) presents evidence that dividend payout level is negatively

    related to its level of insider holdings. Jensen et al. (1992) and Collins et al. (1996) confirm

    that the relationship between dividend payout and insider holding is negatively related.

    Xinlei Zhao and Kai Li (2006) found out the firms information environment calculated by

    analyst is the important factor in dividend policy. They said that firms with the greater analyst

    coverage are recurring with a less proclivity to create dividend payments and initiate it. It was

    observed that the amount of dividend was negatively related to the greater analyst coverage in

    the profitable and non-profitable companies. This occurred to be negative after the controlling

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    for share repurchases, institutional shareholdings, firm risk, across sample sub-periods and

    size sub-samples. Frankel and Li (2004) conclude in their research that increased analyst

    relates to the reduction of profitability of insider trades. Xinlei Zhao and Kai Li (2006)

    conclude that firms choose their dividend policy while taking the presence of asymmetric

    information into account.

    Luciana et al. (2006) study the relationship between the dividend and ownership structure of

    the company. Their research reveals the firms opt for the lower payout as ownership structure

    of largest shareholder increases. Moreover they also explain that the presence of agreement

    among large shareholder may also limit the monitoring power of strong non-controlling

    shareholders. Luciana et al. (2006) study the relationship between the dividend and ownership

    structure of the company. Their research reveals the firms opt for the lower payout as

    ownership structure of largest shareholder increases. Moreover they also explain that the

    presence of agreement among large shareholder may also limit the monitoring power of

    strong non-controlling shareholders.

    According to Mougoue and Rao (2003) the small companies can face greater information

    asymmetry as compare to the big companies. As these companies use dividends as the

    conveyor mechanism. Further more dividend policy for small companies can be amenable

    signaling tool as compare to other alternative methods.

    Ooi, (2001) believe that during the same time small companies can face sever condition to

    raise the capital from external sources thus like to purse such dividend retention strategy in

    which they face higher growth. It is another factor which can influence the dividend policy

    decision in a company. A company with high profit, expected to have high payout of

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    dividends. Han et al. (1999) and Jensen et al. (1992) find positive relation between

    profitability and dividend payout. Stock Exchange Status: The stock market status of a firm

    may influence corporate dividend decisions to the extent that firms listed on the AIM tend to

    be newer and younger firms, and consequently more likely to suffer from high information

    asymmetry and agency problems. Moreover AIM firms may also be inclined to favor the

    residual dividend strategy since raising funds on the AIM for future investment is more

    expensive than on the LSE (Clatworthy and Peel 1997). It is another factor which can

    influence the dividend policy decision in a company. A company with high profit expected to

    have high payout of dividends.

    Han et al. (1999) and Jensen et al. (1992) find positive relation between profitability and

    dividend payout. Baker and Powell (1999) conducted a survey on dividend policy. Most

    respondents think dividend policy affects firm value.

    Kumar and Lee (2001) examined the determinants of dividend smoothing. Dividend

    smoothing is the method of maneuvering the time profile of earnings or earnings reports to

    make the reported income stream less variable. They found that by making the stream of

    dividend payments constant shareholders are not disappointed or upset by changes in

    dividend payout. The earliest major attempt to explain dividend behavior of companies has

    been credited to John Linter (1956) who conducted his study on American Companies in the

    middle of (1950). Brittain (1964) Modigliani and Miller (1961) Pettit (1972) Black and

    Scholes(1973) Michael Thaler and Womack (1995) Dhillon and Johnson (1994)Amibud

    and Murgia (1997) Charitou and Vafeas (1998) Naceur (2002) conducted a study on the

    relationship between dividend policy financial structure profitability and firm value. The topic

    investigates the value creation process in the Tunisia stock exchange. There are many reforms

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    since 1889 such as privatization of the stock exchange creation of a Tunisian SEC and a

    cleaning house introduction of new financial instruments etc. The value creation process in

    the Tunisia stock exchange is measured by a dichotomous response; the econometric

    procedure uses probity models estimated on unbalanced panel data. The data was extracted

    from the annual reports of 28 listed companies covering the period (1990-1997) the variables

    of interest Incorporated in the analysis of market book ratio dividend policy factors Debt,

    profitability and its size. All the variables of interest are positively correlated with MBR, with

    a correlation exceeding 40% for profitability 40.9%. There is also a high correlation between

    debt & size 82.8%.The value creation is also affected by nature of property. This finding

    suggests that the progressive reforms of the Tunisian stock exchange have attracted new

    investors, who have contributed by their purchase to the appreciation of the value of listed

    shares.

    Bhat and Pandey (1994) examined the managers perception about the dividend decision for

    the company in the period of (1986-87 to 1990-91). The research concludes the study of the

    425 Indian companies, the result reflect that on an average the profitable Indian companies

    have distributed one-third of their net earnings which has an average dividend payout ratio

    comes to be 43.6%.

    Mishra and Narender (1996) analyze the dividend policies of 39 state-owned enterprises in

    India for the period (1984-85 to 1993-94.) Concluded that earning per share is the important

    determinant of dividend policy.

    Lazo's survey (1999) revealed that 87% of dividend paying companies believe that dividends

    do signal information regarding future earnings of the company. 110 senior financial officers

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    from S&P 500 companies responded to the survey, representing a response rate of 22%.

    Results show that of corporations having a buyback program in place in the last two years,

    72% increased their dividend payout. 25% used cash flow to fund repurchase programs, rather

    than to increase dividend payments. 93% of the responding officers felt that initiating a stock-

    buyback program is believed to be more effective than raising dividends in providing

    downside stock-price protection in a falling market. 79% of respondents stated that stock

    repurchase programs do not receive a higher priority use of corporate cash flow than

    dividends, even if corporate profitability were to come under pressure. Carlson (2001)

    discusses the factors that affect the dividend decision. He concludes that stock repurchases

    explain a small part of the decline in dividend yield.

    Anil Kapoor (2008) conducted a study on the determinants of dividend pay-out ratios-A study

    of Indian Information Technology sector. The harder we look at the dividend the more it

    seems to likes puzzle with pieces thatjust dont fit together.

    Black (1976) concluded with this question. What should the corporation do about dividend

    policy? We dont know. Among theories some factors are identified in previous empirical

    studies that influence dividend policy such as profitability risk cash flows, agency cost,

    growth, taxes, price earning ratio etc. Linton (1965) conducted a classic study on U.S

    managers dividend decision. He develops compact mathematical model & survey 28 well

    established industries. According to him the dividend payment pattern of a firm is influenced

    by the current year earnings & previous year dividends. Baker Farrelly and Edelman (1986)

    surveyed 318 New York Exchange firms and concluded that major determinants of dividend

    payments are anticipated level of future earnings and pattern of past dividends.

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    Pruitt and Gitman (1991) asked 1000 U.S financial managers and concluded that current and

    peat years profits are important factors influencing dividend payments. Baker and Powell

    (2000) survey of NYSE-listed firms & concluded that determinants are industry specific and

    anticipated level of future earnings is major determinant. Pruitt and Gitman (1991) find that

    risk also determinant of dividend policy. Rozeff (1982) used beta value as an indicator of

    market risk and found statistically significant and negative relationship between beta and

    dividend payout. They suggest that firms having higher level of market risk will payout

    dividends al lower rate. D Souza (1990) also finds statistically significant and negative

    relationship between beta and dividend payout.

    Alli (1993) reveal that dividend payments more on cash flows. They claim current earnings

    do not really reflect the firm s ability to pay dividends. DSouza (1990) however shows a

    positive but insignificant relationship in the case of growth and negative but insignificant

    relationship in the case of market to book value. The data of Indian IT sector (2000-2006) had

    chosen it has been source from Prowess database of CMIE. Hinduja TMT Ltd and I-Gate

    Global Solutions Ltd. Have been excluded from aalysis due to non-availability of data. The

    following variables are identified which are: dividend payout ratio. EBIT total assets, cash

    from operations, annual sales growth, corporate tax profit before tax, Market to book value

    ratio. The statistical techniques of correlations & regression were used to explore the

    relationship between these variables. The dividend payout was used as dependent variables

    and other variables were used as independent. The result of study show positive and

    significant association between dividend payout and cash flows. There is insignificant

    relationship with corporate taxes, sales growth and MTBV ratio. So these are not important

    factors that influence the dividend payment behavior of firms in IT sector. The existing

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    variables explain just 27 % of Indian IT dividend behavior future research can be focused on

    discovering variables that explain the remaining 70 % of the behavior.

    jayesh Kumar review that there is a relationship between ownership structure, corporate

    governance and firms dividend payout policy in the emerging market India. For this research

    he examines the Indian corporate firms over the period 1994-2000 for payout behavior of

    dividends and the association of ownership structure. Explain the analysis with the help of

    well established dividend models of Linter (1956) Waud (1966) and Fama and Babiak (1968).

    Narasimhan and Vijayalakshmi (2002) observe the effect of ownership structure of 186

    manufacturing firms on dividend payout. The empirical research (regression analysis) shows

    that the promoters holding of 2001 has no effect on average dividend payout for the period of

    (1997-2001)

    S.Dhatt conducted a study on the financial leverage, ownership concentration and the

    dividend payout ratio. There are many studies that focused on investigating the relationship

    between investment financing and dividend policy decisions of firms and found conflicting

    evidence. This study uses regression analysis to estimate the relationship. The estimates of

    regression coefficients indicates that there is a relationship between debt and equity and

    payout ratio in air transport, chemicals, drugs, paper & forest products and the semi-

    conductor industries. The relationship positive up to a certain level of debt and equity ratio

    and after it becomes negative. It indicates that at higher level of the debt and equity ratio the

    management is concerned about their financial risk. The industries with higher business risk

    have lower tolerance level of debt and equity ratio.

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    Adelegan conducted a study to examine the impact of growth prospect, leverage and firm size

    on dividend behavior of corporate firms in Nigeria. John linter (1956) make earliest attempt to

    explain dividend behavior of companies, who conducted his study on American companies in

    middle of 1950s. Oyejida (1876) empirically tested for company dividend policy in Nigeria

    using linters model as modified by brittain. He concluded that the available evidence

    provides a strong and unequivocal support for the conventional devices for explaining the

    dividend behavior of Nigeria limited liability business organization.

    Odife (1977) criticized Oyejidas study for failing to adjust for stock dividend. He empirically

    analyzing the determinants of dividend policy on a sample of 63 quoted firms in Nigeria over

    a period from 1984-1997 and also introduced dummy variables to capture economic policy

    changes. Dividend behavior was tested using the linter-brittain model and its variants on the

    pooled cross sectional time series data for the full sample of observations from 1984-

    1994.The models are estimated using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The result

    shows that there are no significant interactions between the conventional Linter and Brittain

    model and dividend decisions of Nigeria firms. Jensen (1986) and Chariot and Vafeas (1998)

    hypothesize that the relationship between the traditional determinants and dividend behavior

    of Nigerian firms depends on growth prospects, level of gearing and firms size. The

    empirical results revealed that the dividend policies of Nigerian companies are influenced by

    after tax earnings, economic policy changes, growth potentials and long term debt. However,

    the validity of the model and its variants on dividend policy of Nigerian firms which is

    somehow remote, party depends on the growth prospect firm size and level of gearing of

    corporate firms. Kowalewski, Stetsyuk and Talavera (2007) conducted a study on the

    Corporate Governance and Dividend Policy in Poland and explore the determinants of the

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    dividend policy in.& test whether corporate governance practices determine the dividend

    policy in the non-financial companies listed on Warsaw Stock Exchange. Black (1976) finds

    no convincing explanation of why companies pay cash dividends to their shareholders. Since

    that introduction of the dividend puzzle a voluminous amount of research offers alternative

    and appealing approaches to solve it.

    Gmes (1996) Fluck (1998) Myers and Majluf (1984) recognize that dividend policies

    address agency problems between corporate insiders and shareholders. Grossman and Hart

    (1980) point out that the dividend payouts mitigate agency conflicts by reducing the amount

    of free cash flow available to managers, who do not necessarily act in the best interests of

    shareholders. Jensen (1986) argues that a company with substantial free cash flows is inclined

    to adopt investment projects with negative net present values. LLSV (2000) argue that

    differences among countries in the structure of laws and their enforcement may explain the

    prevailing differences in financial markets and also show that financial market development is

    promoted by better protection of investors The financial data comes from Euro money ISI

    Emerging Market and NotoriaS data bases as well as from the annual reports of the

    companies listed on the WSE. Our sample consists of 110 non-financial publicly traded firms

    with 760 observations over a seven-year period. It is divided into three sub-samples (1998-

    2001) and (2002-2004).In order to analyze the determinants, they estimate pooled Tobit

    regression model similar to the study of Bebczuk (2005) our results suggest that large and

    more profitable companies have a higher dividend payout ratio. Further more riskier and more

    indebted firms prefer to pay lower dividends. The findings based on the period (1998-2004)

    demonstrate that an increase in the sub-indices that represent corporate governance practices

    brings about a statistically significant increase in the dividend-to-cash-flow ratio. Moreover

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    the estimates prove to be significant after the inclusion of standard additional controls Saxena

    and Wansley (1996) conducted a study on the role of insiders & dividend policy. The purpose

    of this study is to examine the role of insiders in determining dividend policy for unregulated

    firms, utilities, and financial-services firms. (1982) Rozeff presents evidence that the

    dividend payout level for unregulated firms is negatively related to its level of insider

    holdings & result is that firms with higher levels of insider holdings have less need to signal

    firm value through dividends.

    Myers and Majluf (1984) show that the level of insider holdings is itself a signal oSf firm

    value. Other studies reveal that dividend policy is significantly intertwined with other

    corporate policy choices .Most recently Hansen Kumar and Shome (1994) find that payout

    ratios of electric utilities respond in much the same fashion as unregulated firms when the

    concentration of ownership changes. Their findings suggest that as the concentration of

    ownership increases, the level of monitoring increases and the need for a higher dividend

    payout decreases. Our sample consists of observations on 500 firms drawn randomly. The

    unregulated firms cover 21 different industries where the number of firms representing a

    particular industry ranges from 8 to 50. Of the 45 utilities, there are 29 electric utilities and 16

    natural gas firms. Of the 53 financial-services firms, there are 38 commercial banks BHCs

    and 15 insurance companies. Rozeff (1982) a regression model is developed that relates the

    firm average payout ratio to its past and expected future growth rate, its level of systematic

    risk, the number of shares outstanding as a proxy for firm size and its level of insider

    holdings. Results indicate that the payout ratio is negatively related to the firms past and

    expected future growth rates in earnings its level of systematic risk and its insider holdings.

    Payout levels are positively related to the number of shareholders. The regression model is

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    expanded to include binary variables for whether or not the firm under consideration is a

    financial-services firm or a utility. Under the Smith (1986) hypothesis utilities will possess

    larger payouts than unregulated firms. For financial-services firms, no such difference is

    anticipated. The regression model also captures any differences in the behavior of these two

    regulated groups based on insider holdings. If fixed-rate deposit insurance increases equity

    risk, then financial firms will have dividend policies that respond more drastically to changes

    in insider holdings. If regulatory commissions act as low-cost monitors for utility

    shareholders, then changes in insider holdings will not produce significant changes in

    dividend policy for these firms.

    Erioris (2005) conducted a study on "the effect of distributed earnings and size of the firms to

    its dividend policy. The objective of this paper is to examine the corporate dividend policy for

    the Greek market. John Lintner (1956) conducted a series of interviews with corporate

    managers about dividend policies of their companies. The total number of companies that he

    used was 600 from which he finally has chosen only 28 to survey and interview. One of the

    most important conclusions is that companies have a long-run target dividend payout ratio.

    That meant that companies aim to distribute, in the long run, a constant portion of their

    earnings each year. Another interesting remark of Lintners study concerns the managers that

    proved to be more interested on changes on dividend than on absolute levels. Fama and

    Babiak (1968) undertook a more comprehensive study of Lintner models performance. Their

    starting point was the work of Lintner (1956). Their sample consists of 392 industrial firms

    over the period (1946) through (1964). Fama and Babiak tested the Lintner s model with their

    data and methodology and found that it performed well but it can be improved by introducing,

    as an additional explanatory variable, the earnings from the previous year without the

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    constant term. This paper is based on the work of Vasiliou and Eriotis (2003) and Eriotis &

    Vasiliou (2003). Vasiliou and Eriotis (2003) test the model of Lintner and suggest two

    different versions that improve the original model introduced by Lintner. In their first version

    of the Lintners model they consider as dependent variable the change in dividend between

    time t and as independent variables the change in the earnings of the firm between time and

    the change in dividend between time and the findings of Vasiliou and Eriotis (2003) suggest

    that the Greek firms follow a discrete dividend policy. That is the dividend payout of a firm

    depends upon the firms long-run target dividend that is adjusted according to the net earnings

    of the firm. The empirical investigation conducted for a large sample of the companies listed

    in the Athens Stock Exchange market during the period (1996 2001). For a firm to be

    included in the sample two criteria had to be met. First, the firm had to be listed in the Stock

    Exchange market for the whole of the period under consideration. Second, the firm would be

    required to be listed in the year (1995). The final sample consists of 149 firms in a 5 year

    period; that is, a panel of data with 718 observations, since some data were missing. The key

    variables of interest are the: measures of dividends distributed earnings sales and changes in

    this years distributed earnings and dividend from this year to the year before (DE and D).

    for the analysis panel data was used. This models is a powerful research instrument, since it

    combines the cross-sectional data with time-series data, and provides results that could not be

    estimated and studied if only time-series or cross-section data were used. e empirical results

    verified the hypothesis that the Greek companies prefer to distribute, each year a rather

    constant dividend, which they adjust from year to year according to their distributed earnings

    and size. Omran Pointon (2003) conducted a study on "dividend policy trading

    characteristics and share prices. The dividend policy of a firm is a significant aspect of

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    corporate financial management, for it has potential implications for share prices and hence

    returns to investors the financing of internal growth through retentions the size of the equity

    base within the firm again through retentions and hence its gearing leverage ratio. For

    developing economies growth through the realization of investment opportunities is likely to

    be an important element of an economic reform program. There are three issues we attempt to

    address: Shares price determinations. Dividend payout ratios Dividend stability. For a sample

    of 94 firms using data up to (1999) we find that retentions are more significant than dividends

    in determining prices of shares that are actively traded on the Egyptian stock market.

    However for non-actively traded shares the accounting book value is the most important

    determinant. Reductions in dividends are associated with a lack of liquidity and profitability.

    Dividend increases are linked to higher pre-tax operating profit effects which outweighed

    post-tax effects. As to aspects that influence dividend payout ratios of actively traded firms,

    important factors are gearing and the market to book value, the latter a surrogate for

    investment opportunities. For non-actively traded firms, a more complex pattern emerges

    .Aivazia Booth and Clearly (2003) use the return on capital employed as a measure of

    profitability, although they do not distinguish between a dividend increase and a dividend

    decrease.

    D'Souza and Saxena (1999) although they do not find significant relationship between

    dividends and investment opportunities. Aivazian et al. (2003) also use the market to book

    value, i.e. q-ratio, but find that emerging market firms do not exhibit the expected sign in their

    regressions unlike in their study of the US. Ramcharran (2001) finds support for the aspect of

    pecking order theory (Myers 1984) that retentions lower dividend desire associated with

    greater growth. According to the pecking order theory Myers (1984) o firms should prefer to

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    finance investment by retentions rather than by debt. The data were drawn from the financial

    information provided by the Kopsas Egypt Financial Year Book (1999/2000) Fiani and

    Partners (2000).

    DeAngelo et al (2004), conducted the study on dividend policy, agency cost and earned

    equity. The study consists on why firms pay dividends? If they didnt have their assets and

    capital structure, would eventually become unsustainable as the earnings of successful firms

    exceed their investment opportunities. The gives the analysis of 25 largest long standing in

    2002 dividend payers firms would have cash holdings of $ 1.8 trillion which is 51% of total

    assets, up from $ 160 billion 6 % of assets and $ 1.3 trillion in excess of their collective $ 600

    billion in long term debt .

    They find that their dividend payments prevented significant agency problems since the

    retention of the earnings would have given the managers command over an additional $1.6

    trillion with out access to better investment opportunities and without any monitoring. This

    sense suggests that firms with high retained earnings are especially like to pay dividends. In

    this view firms pay high dividend when earned equity to total equity is high, and decline

    when this ratio decline and when this ratio is zero or near to zero, it means firms dont have

    the earned equity. The finally found that the highly significant association between the

    decision to pay dividends and the ratio of earned equity to total equity controlling for size of

    the firm, profitability, growth, leverage, cash balance and history of dividends. The

    methodology can be explained in terms of three stages to the research multiple regression

    analyses are performed to explain the share price in terms of three attributes namely the

    retention the dividend and the book value per share. Comparisons are made between firms

    that are actively traded on the Egyptian Stock Market and those that are not further multiple

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    regression analyses are performed to assess a range of possible determinants of the dividend

    payout ratio. The choice of variables is consistent with other empirical work reviewed in the

    previous section. Once again, comparisons are made according to stock market trading. The

    stability of dividends, comparing dividends for the current year with those for the previous

    year, is analyzed by means of logistic regressions.

    The first logistic regression assesses the relevance of various factors, including profitability

    and liquidity, to the decision to decrease dividends, or to let them remain fixed. On account of

    the smaller data-set see later firms are not distinguished according to stock market activity.

    The second logistic regression follows a similar approach, but classis firms according to

    whether dividends increased or remained the same. The right-hand side of each logistic

    regression looks the same as a standard multiple regression equation. However each logistic

    regression assesses the logarithm of the odds ratio as a linear function of the explanatory

    variables. In the first logistic regression the odds ratio is chosen to represent the ratio of the

    probability that the dividend stayed the same to second the probability that it decreased. In the

    second logistic regression, the ratio refers to first the probability of an increased dividend, to

    third the probability of the dividend staying the same. In each respective spreadsheet the

    binary variable, to represent each firm's dividend choice, is assigned a zero or one. So in the

    first logistic regression the value one represents the dividend staying the same, whereas in the

    second the value one arbitrarily represents the dividend increasing. The logic for our choice is

    that the higher the value of the binary variable, the higher the dividend. Right-hand side

    variables with positive coefficients would then be associated with a higher dividend

    propensity. This paper has addressed three issues concerning dividend policy of Egyptian

    firms: its role in share price determination; the identification of key factors affecting dividend

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    payout ratios and the importance of factors that would cause a shift from keeping the

    dividends at a stable level. Share Price Determination. For a wide portfolio of both actively

    and non-actively traded shares on the Egyptian Stock Market, dividends are more important

    than earnings. However, for actively traded shares, retentions are more significant than

    dividends. But for non-actively traded shares, the accounting book value is the most important

    determinant of the share price, and not dividends or earnings.

    Dividend Payout Ratios For a wide portfolio of actively and non-actively traded shares,

    gearing and firm size affect the dividend payout ratio. The sign of the regression coefficient

    for gearing suggests that the traditional pecking order of retentions being preferred to debt

    may not hold for Egyptian firms. Small firms pay out less for actively traded firms important

    factors are gearing and the q-ratio, the latter a surrogate for investment opportunities. The

    result suggests a role for reducing dividends and retaining more in order to finance investment

    opportunities. For non-actively traded firms, a more complex pattern emerged. In particular,

    the sign of the coefficient for the q-ratio suggests that, as far as investment opportunities in

    such firms are concerned, dividend policy patterns contrast with those of actively traded

    firms. In order to finance investment opportunities, firms whose shares are not actively traded

    tend not to pay out a smaller proportion of earnings as dividends. Dividend Stability.

    Dividend stability is denned as maintaining the same level of dividends as for the previous

    year. To de-stabilize dividends by decreasing them is associated with a lack of both liquidity

    and overall profitability. Finally, to de-stabilize dividends by actually increasing them is

    associated with higher overall profitability. In terms of that overall profitability, pre-tax

    operating profit effects outweighed post-tax operating profit effects. Al- Najjar conducted a

    study on dividend behavior and smoothing new evidence from Jordanian panel data. This

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    paper aims to investigate the dividend policy behavior in Jordan. In which Amman Stock

    Exchange is considered to be one of the updated emerging markets in the region. Miller and

    Modigliani (1961) provided their irrelevance theory of dividend policy; this theory is based

    on the assumptions of perfect markets. They concluded that dividend policy has no effect on

    either the price of firm's stock or its cost of capital. Research in the area of dividend policy

    has been concerned with relaxing the assumptions of MM model. Ho (2003) presented a

    comparative study of dividend policies in Australia and Japan. He examined a 10-year panel

    dataset, consisted of 332 firms in the Australian and Japanese markets from (1992 to 2001).

    He found the following relationships: dividend policy is positively affected by size in

    Australia and by liquidity in Japan, and negatively by risk only in Japan. These results

    supported the agency, signaling, and transaction cost theories of dividend policy. Aivazian et

    al. (2003) found that emerging market companies exhibit dividend behavior similar to US

    companies, in the sense that dividends are explained by profitability, debt, and the market-to-

    book ratio. Their empirical results (using pooled data) revealed that for both US companies

    and emerging market companies, profitability affects dividend payments; high ROE (return

    on equity) lead to high dividend payments.

    Crutches and Hansen [1989] examine the relationship between ownership, dividend policy,

    and leverage and conclude that managers make financial policy tradeoffs to control agency

    costs in an efficient manner. More recently, researchers have attempted to establish the link

    between firm dividend policy and investment decisions. Smith and Watts [1992] investigated

    the relations among executive compensation, corporate financing, and dividend policies. They

    conclude that a firm's dividend policy is affected by its other corporate policy choices. In

    addition, Jensen, Solberg, and Zorn [1992] linked the interaction between financial policies

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    (dividend payout and leverage) and insider ownership to informational asymmetries between

    insiders and external investors. They employed a simultaneous system of equations and found

    that corporate financial decisions and insider ownership are interdependent. Despite this rich

    literature, most prior work implicitly recognizes differences in determinants of financial

    decisions between regulated and unregulated firms by excluding regulated firms from the

    analysis.

    Rozeff [1982] was among the first to explicitly recognize the role of insiders as one of

    monitoring the managers. He finds that dividend policy for unregulated firms is negatively

    related to its level of insider holdings. One interpretation of his result is that firms with higher

    levels of insider holdings have less need to signal firm value through dividends than

    comparable firms with lower levels of insider holdings. Additionally, in the context of the

    investment and financing decision, Myers and Majluf [1984] showed that the level of insider

    holdings is itself a signal of firm value. In a study of electric utilities, Hansen, Kumar, and

    Shome [1994] focused on the role that dividends play in the monitoring process to reduce

    equity agency costs. Hansen et al. focusd on electric utilities since they do not seem to fit

    current dividend theory explanations in the literature. They act differently, perhaps because

    they are subject to regulatory oversight and insulated from most market disciplines like

    takeovers.

    Their paper concludes that the use of higher payout raises the likelihood of monitoring by

    both management and the regulatory authority. If the regulator sets the rate of return to

    shareholders (dividend yield) below that required by market, then assuming efficient markets,

    the marginal investors will drop out. This lowering of the demand for the company's stock

    will adversely affect its price reflecting greater difficulty in raising equity funds. Moreover,

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    the associated costs (e.g., transactions and opportunity costs) will go up. Therefore, even if

    one assumes that this does not affect the costs of other sources of financing, the increased cost

    of equity financing will result in a higher overall cost of capital for the firm.

    Rao and Moyer [1994] developed a theoretical model to study the role of regulatory climate

    in capital structure decisions of regulated electric utilities. Their model predicts that utilities

    will react to their regulatory climate by adjusting capital structure. They also provide cross

    sectional and time series empirical support for their model from their data. They do not,

    however, comment on the dividend policy issues of (regulated) public utilities that are an

    integral part of a firm's capital structure decisions.

    Omran and Pointon (2004) investigated the role of dividend policy in determining share prices,

    the determinants of payout ratios, and the factors that affect the stability of dividends for a

    sample of 94 Egyptian firms. They found that retentions are more important than dividends in

    firms with actively traded shares, but that accounting book value is more important than

    dividends and earnings for no actively traded firms.

    he current study investigates the issue of dividend behavior in emerging markets using Jordanian

    non-financial companies. The dataset is drawn from the Jordanian Shareholding Companies

    Guide (1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, and 2003). From this dataset, 86 firms are selected these firms

    maintained their identity and reported their financial accounts without any significant gaps, for

    the period from (1994 to 2003). However due to missing observations the total number of

    observations in the estimated models is 743. This study applies pooled and panel to bit models to

    investigate the dividend policy. The paper finds that the dividend policy in Jordan as a

    developing country is influenced by factors similar to those relating to developed countries such

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    as leverage ratio, institutional ownership, profitability, business risk, asset structure growth rate

    and firm size. Furthermore the factors affecting the likelihood of paying dividends are similar to

    those affecting the dividend policy. Finally the results show that the Lintner model is valid for

    Jordanian data and that Jordanian firms have target payout ratios and they adjust to their target

    relatively faster than those in developed countries.

    Dobrisan conducted a study on monetary policy and capital market efficiency. Howe and Lee

    (2004) examine three corporate governance characteristics of preferred stock issuers relative to

    non-issuer managerial equity ownership, board size, and block shareholder ownership. Stieglitz

    (2002) explains that one must keep in mind that in post-1989 Russia there wan no housing

    market nor was there any real social safety net. He discusses the nexuses between institutions,

    privatization, and the impact of suggested economic remedies on the most vulnerable sections of

    Russian society.

    (2004) Giudici and Roosenboom examine the determinants of the long run stock price

    performance of Initial Public Offerings on Europes new stock markets. Habra (2002) examine

    the underlying factors which influence and cross-sectionals explain differences in the degree of

    dividend smoothing of firms. Differences in corporate dividend smoothing are documented by

    estimating the sensitivity of corporations dividend payout ratios to changes in earnings.

    Theoretical determinants of dividend smoothing are investigated by cross-sectionals regressing

    the degree of dividend smoothing of firms against firm characteristics.

    Kontonikas and Ioannidis (2005) analyze the relationship between monetary policy and asset

    prices using a structural rational expectations open economy model that allows for the effect of

    asset prices and exchange rates on aggregate demand. Sundaram et al. (2001) find that wealth

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    effects are significantly and positively related to board size and to share ownership by

    independent outside directors and inside directors. Sub-samples based on board size reveal that

    for small boards. Williamson shows that equilibrium credit rating may be a result of optimal

    contract under the ex post type of information asymmetry; in a dynamic setting, the repeated

    game between banks and borrowers is considerably harder to model. Using the Flow of Funds

    data Christiano et al show that var impulse responses of business liability increase for about a

    year after a monetary contraction, possibly because facing a fall in sales and a rise in inventories

    firms find it necessary to raise funds to cover expenses they are unable to cut in the short-run; as

    recessions deepen firms scale back in production and net borrowing declines. Under the ex post

    type of information asymmetry Carlstrom and Fuerst simulate a general equilibrium model

    assuming loan contract depends only on a borrowers net wealth instead of the history of loan

    repayment. Townsend proves that if there is a cost of verification then the optimal structure of

    the loan contract is risky debt. Mazur argues that globalization is about more than actual trade

    openness and penetration of the economy with FDI; globalization imposes a particular set of neo-

    liberal policies on countries.

    Bhagwati (2004) finds that FDI and trade benefit society on dimensions other than just the

    narrowly economic. Brown (2001) notes that the bulk of the evidence supports the argument that

    skill-biased technological change is more important than trade as an explanation. (2006)Naceur

    Goaied and Belanes conducted a study on the determinants and dynamic of dividend policy.

    Fisher Black (1976) wrote that the harder we look at the dividend picture, the more it seems like

    a puzzle with pieces that just do not fit together. More recently Brealey and Myers (2005) list

    dividends as one of the top 10 important unresolved problems in finance. The situation is pretty

    much the same today and the words of Fisher Black (1976) may well apply in todays context. In

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    a recent survey Allen and Michaely (2003) conclude that much more empirical and theoretical

    research on dividends is required before a consensus can be reached. Tunisian case presents at

    least three interesting features that make its study relevant in terms of policy recommendations

    for this country and others in the Middle East and North Africa region. First the Tunisian

    ownership structure is highly concentrated and ultimate ownership identification is opaque.

    Second there are no taxes on dividend and capital gains contrary to other developing and

    emerging markets. Third the Tunisian Stock Exchange has witnessed several reforms, especially

    the introduction of an electronic system for transactions in phase with international standards,

    and this innovation is expected to have an impact on the way firms set their dividend policy. The

    data used are provided by the TSE and the Council of Capital Market through respectively, their

    official bulletins and their annuals reports covering the period (19962002). The sample is made

    up of 48 firms of which 29 belong to regulated industries financial institutions, transport and

    telecommunication firms. The period of study covers seven years from (1996 to 2002) which

    appears according to Rozeff (1982) a period long enough to smooth out variables fluctuations.

    Linters model is applied using static and dynamic panel data regressions. Our results show that

    Tunisian firms rely more on current earnings those past dividends to fix their dividend payments

    in the way that dividends tend to be more sensitive to current earnings rather than prior

    dividends. Any variability in the earnings of the corporation is directly reflected in the level of

    dividends. This is confirmed by the high value of adjustment speed, which is around 96%

    86.68% when excluding the non-dividend-paying firms and 75.4% when excluding the regulated

    ones. Tunisian managers, just like their counterparts in other emerging markets, do not smooth

    their dividend payments. Additionally, the target dividend payout ratio is too low 14% for the

    full sample and 32% with the dividend-paying firms using gmm estimations. Therefore a low

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    target ratio and high adjustment speed indicate the low smoothing and instability of dividend

    policy in Tunisia. We also highlight some determinants that may influence the dividend policy

    pattern. First the results indicate that highly profitable firms with more stable earnings can afford

    larger free cash flows and thus pay out larger dividends. Moreover fast-growing firms distribute

    larger dividends so as to appeal to investors. This agrees with the informative content of

    dividends. On the other hand ownership concentration does not have any impact on dividend

    payment. In fact being closely held Tunisian firms witness less agency conflicts and shareholders

    do not resort to dividends in order to reduce managerial discretion and protect their interests.

    Moreover the liquidity of the stock market has a negative influence which confirms that the

    implementation of the electronic transaction system in the TSE has facilitated the realization of

    capital gains which has reduced the need for dividend payments. Finally the negative coefficient

    on size found in the full sample has disappeared when regulated firms are excluded, which

    reduces the robustness of this factor Ferris Noronha (2007) conducted a study on The More the

    Merrier An International Analysis of the Frequency of Dividend Payment. The previous

    literature in corporate payout policy examines the decision to pay or not to pay dividends

    DeAngelo et al. (2004) Baker and Wurgler (2004) how much to pay Rozeff (1982) Miller and

    Rock (1985) or how to pay repurchases versus dividends (Stephens and Weisbach, 1998

    Jagannathan et. al. 2000). But no study examines how frequently the firm should pay dividends

    once the decision to pay has been made.

    Thaler (1980) subsequently describes the process of mental accounting by which investors

    evaluate their gains separately from their losses, and thereby increase their overall utility. These

    arguments suggest that an investor receives a higher level of utility from a sequence of smaller

    discrete payments than a single aggregate payment. Barberis and Thaler (2003) describe how the

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    concave utility function of prospect theory allows an investor to receive greater utility from a $2

    dividend and an $8 capital gain compared to a $10 capital gain in spite of an identical dollar

    increase in shareholder wealth.

    (2003) Barberis and Thaler note that this differential bundling of the shareholder distribution

    produces two different levels of investor utility. The investor that receives the ten dollars

    bundled as a $2 dividend and a $8 capital gain experiences a higher level of utility compared to

    the investor who receives only a $10 capital gain. Barberis and Huang (2001) make the case that

    if a stocks recent performance is good, an investors utility increase from the gain leads that

    investor to become less concerned about future losses from the stock and, consequently, to view

    the stock as less risky. Thus, the investor is willing to discount future cash flows from the stock

    at a lower rate. To the extend that investors code more frequent dividends as more frequent

    gains, a situation which closely parallels the bird-in-the-hand argument, we should expect stocks

    paying dividends more frequently to have higher valuations because investors perceive them to

    be less risky, other things equal. Kahneman and Tversky (1979) and the confirming simulations

    and modeling of Barberis and Thaler (2003) and Barberis and Huang (2001) imply that a more

    frequent payment of dividends increases total investor utility we nevertheless observe that there

    is significant international cross-sectional variability in the frequency of dividend payment.

    LaPorta ET. al. (2000), find that firms in strong investor protection countries pay more dividends

    than those incorporated in less favorable regimes.

    LaPorta et.al. (2000) argues that shareholders in these countries are better able to force cash

    disgorgement, thus precluding insiders from using a high percentage of the firms earnings for

    personal benefits. Lintner (1956) establishes in the literature that firms are reluctant to cut

    dividends for their shareholders. Subsequent studies Ghosh and Woolridge (1988) Denis et al.

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    (1994) show that firms are penalized in the marketplace when they do reduce them. The data

    used in this study are drawn from a variety of sources. We obtain annual financial and

    accounting data from the Compustat Global Industrial database while monthly market return

    information is collected from the Composted Global Issues database. From the research

    conducted by Al-Twaijry and Abdulrahman Ali (2007) on the dividend policy and payout ratio

    for Kuala Lumpur stock exchange (KLSE) during the period of year 2001 to 2005, the

    companies size were considered as an independent variable that has an effect on the dividend per

    share .The difference between large companies and small companies gave significantly (p