Assignmnet Gr5 FRM

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    FRM Assignment

    Submitted by:

    Mukesh Sahu (NMP22)

    Manush Maken (NMP19)

    Abhishek Sinha (NMP39)

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    Assignment Submission Deadline: 09.00PM Nov 01, 2014

    1. At MCX-SX currency futures in US dollar are traded. Today is 12 December and January

    futures would expire on 28 January. Spot rate in the exchange market for dollar is Rs.

    45.45. The yields in the T-bills markets of India and USA are 5.90% and 2.40% respectively.

    a.

    At what price January futures would be traded?

    b. What would be the price of February futures if its expiry is on 24 February?

    Ans:

    (a) Given S0=45.45, Rd=5.90%, Rf = 2.40%, and t= 47 days (From 12 December to 28

    January)

    F =S0* e^(rd-rf)t = 45.45* e^(0.059 -0.024)47/365 = 45.6552

    (b) For February futures, the time to expiry would be 47+27=74 days. The price of

    February futures would be:

    F= S0* e^(rd-rf)t = 45.45* e^(0.059 -0.024)74/365 = 45.7736

    2. In June an Indian importer buys a machine at US $50, 000. Payment is due after six

    months in December. The spot exchange rate is Rs. 45.5625 while December futures is

    trading at Rs. 46.6500 indicating an appreciation of dollar by about 2.4% in six months.

    The importer feels that dollar will appreciate much more. What shall he do? Assumefutures contract in rupees are available for $1,000.

    Ans:

    Number of contracts bought by importer= (Exposure amount)/ (Value of one

    contract)= 50000/1000= 50

    Suppose the USD appreciates to 48.5000 and a futures contract sells for 48.6500

    The importer exits the futures contract at 48.6500 and buys foreign currency in thespot market at the prevailing spot rate.

    Cost= 50,000*48.5000= 24,25,000

    Sell 50 future contracts booked earlier at 48.6500;

    Net gain on futures (48.6500-46.6500)* 50,000= 1,00,000

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    a)

    Since there is an expected decline in the market value of the USD, Multiplex

    Ltd should book a 3m-forward contract for its payment with a short

    position(52.5/$) .

    b)

    Benefits:

    3m-forward bid rate: Rs 52.5/$Firm assumed spot rate: Rs 45/$

    Gain= (52.5-45)*10 mill= Rs 75 mill

    Risk

    If the dollar rate goes down to (45-7.5) i.e. Rs 37.5/$, then the firm would be

    at risk of losing money.

    c) Cash flow after hedging= 52.5*10 mill= 525 million rupees

    4. Explain carefully the relationship between convenience yieldand cost of carry. Assume that the

    risk-free interest rate is 9% per annum with continuous compounding and that the dividend yield

    on a stock index varies throughout the year. In February, May, August, and November, dividends

    are paid at a rate of 5% per annum. In other months, dividends are paid at a rate of 2% per

    annum. Suppose that the value of the index on July 31 is 1,300. What is the futures price for a

    contract deliverable in December 31 of the same year?

    Ans:

    Total cost of carry= risk free rate+ storage cost rate- convenience yieldConvenience yield measures the extent to of the benefits obtained due to physical

    ownership or storage of the commodity which the future contracts owners dont

    get.

    R= 9/12*5= 3.75%

    Q= (5*2/12) + (2*3/12)= 1.33%

    F= S*e^(r-q)t= 1300*e^(.0375-.0133)*1= 1300*1.0245= 1331.84