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NEDBANK GROUP LIMITED
ANNUAL RESULTS
for year ended 31 December 2014
2
Delivering value in a volatile macro environment
STRATEGY & OVERVIEW MIKE BROWN
3
3,2 2,6
1,8 1,4
0
2
4
6
Aug 13 Feb 14 Aug 14 Feb 15
Nedbank 2014 GDP growth forecast
Growth currently slow in SA, but longer term
opportunities in both SA & rest of Africa
Rest of Africa growing off a low base
(IMF GDP growth forecasts, %)
SA GDP expectations revised downward
Global & local economy remains volatile, uncertain, complex & ambiguous
Source: Nedbank Group Economic Unit, IMF
2,2
1,4 2,1
2,5
5,2 4,8 4,9
5,2
0
2
4
6
13 14 15 16SA Sub Saharan Africa
Lower oil & commodity prices to play out
Volatility has increased
0
200
400
600
800
00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
All Commodities Index
Nonfood Agriculturals Price Index ($)
Oil per barrel ($ indexed)
0
50
100
150
200
Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15
SA Banks indexJSE All Share indexNigerian Banks index
4
Wholesale credit growth ahead of retail, but
lower inflation to benefit consumers
Wholesale credit growth ahead of retail (%)
Source: Nedbank Group Economic Unit
Consumers remain under pressure
Low inflation & interest rates lower for longer
-10
0
10
20
30
40
00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Households
Companies
SA Capex investment muted
0
250
500
750
93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13
Public sector
Private sector
CPI & Prime (%)
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14
Consumer spending: Q-o-q change
Personal Disposable Income: Q-o-q change
-1
2
5
8
11
14
17
07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
CPI (%)
Prime (%) Forecast
5
9 8
31
10
75
3
11
72
1
13 1
43
14 3
95
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Continued focus on drivers of shareholder value
creation
480
605
752
895
1 0
28
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
13,4
15,3
16,4
17,2 17,2
14,2
13,0 13,1 13,0 13,5
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
ROE (excl GW) Cost of equity
NAV per share
(cents)
ROE & Cost of Equity
(%)
Full-year dividend per share
(cents)
NAV ROE > COE
9,5%
EP
Dividends
14,9%
Underpinned by solid CET1, surplus liquidity & high coverage
6
STAFF
Created 380 new permanent jobs in SA
Top 3 corporate values of accountability,
client satisfaction & brand
reputation align with strategy
High staff morale
COMMUNITIES
REGULATORS
Strong capital, liquidity &
coverage ratios
Commitment to
sustainable banking
practices
One of SA’s largest tax
contributors: R8,0bn
CLIENTS
New loan payouts R167bn
AUM up 11% to R212bn
– top 3 rated SA fund manager
Upgraded 174 ‘branch of the
future’ stores, 22 new outlets
& 304 new owned ATMs
Total client numbers up 7% to
7,1m
Digitally enabled clients up 48%
& value of AppSuiteTM
transactions up 66% to R58bn
Fair Share 2030 pilot successes
2014 FT & Banker Magazine SA
Bank of the year
SHAREHOLDERS
ROE (excl goodwill): 17,2%
Full-year dividend of 1028c, up 14,9%
Invested R5,9bn to become a c20%
shareholder in ETI (Ecobank)
Up to R8,2bn value created for SA
BBBEE shareholders
Total shareholder return: 23,2%
Made banking more accessible & affordable
Sourcing 87% or R8,5bn of our procurement locally
Maintained level 2 BBBEE for 6th year & one of the
most transformed companies on the JSE
For 9th consecutive year included in the Dow Jones
Sustainability Index
Leader in socially responsible banking (African Banker
awards)
BY OUR:
TO BE AFRICA’S
MOST ADMIRED
BANK
Delivering value to all stakeholders
7
Strategic positioning - 2014 a milestone year
Leadership &
Board changes
Seamless Group Exco transition enabled by good succession
planning & depth of leadership
Board appointments & scheduled retirements
Pan African
Banking Network
Invested R6,3bn in the rest of Africa:
c20% shareholding in ETI (Ecobank)
Initial 36,4% shareholding in Banco Unico
Integrated
Corporate &
Investment Bank
Improve client service
Unlock future revenue growth opportunities
8
Strategic positioning - 2014 a milestone year
Optimisation
Initiatives
Retail & Business Banking back office optimisation
External cost optimisation review of Shared Services
SAP ERP implementation
Live on 1 Jan 2015 (Procurement & Finance)
HR module planned for Sept 2015 implementation
IT systems rationalisation – decommissioned a further 18 core
systems in 2014 (74 since 2010 as we move from 250 to 60)
Old Mutual SA Group (OMSA, Nedbank & M&F) synergies on
track for pre-tax run rate of R1bn in 2017
Strategic
Choices
No fee increases, selected fee reductions & personal loans
slowdown
Impacted NIR growth by ~3,5% in 2014
Well positioned to continue to grow our transactional
banking franchise
9
A strong performance across all clusters
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW RAISIBE MORATHI
10
Key performance indicators
2014 2013
ROE (excl goodwill) 17,2% 17,2%
Diluted HEPS growth 13,0% 15,0%
Credit loss ratio 0,79% 1,06%
NIR : expense ratio 82,8% 86,4%
Efficiency ratio1 56,5% 55,1%
Common equity tier 1 CAR 11,6% 12,5%
Dividend per share (cents) 1 028 895
Note 1: Efficiency ratio includes associate income
11
0,82%
0,99%
1,15% 1,23% 1,27%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
4 900 6 184
7 483 8 670
9 880
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
13,4%
15,3%
16,4%17,2% 17,2%
10%
11%
12%
13%
14%
15%
16%
17%
18%
19%
20%
4 year-CAGR: 19,2%
14,0%
Headline earnings (Rm)
ROE (excl. goodwill) Return on assets
Strong earnings growth trend, ROE & ROA uplift
12
Full year ended (Rm)
% change
2014
2013
Net interest income 8,2 22 961 21 220
Impairments (19,0) (4 506) (5 565)
Income from lending activities 17,9 18 455 15 655
Non-interest revenue 4,9 20 312 19 361
Total expenses 9,4 (24 534) (22 419)
Indirect taxation 5,7 (635) (601)
Associate Income 106,4 161 27
Headline profit before taxation 14,4 13 759 12 023
Direct taxation 15,0 (3 487) (3 033)
Minorities & preference shares 22,5 (392) (320)
Headline earnings 14,0 9 880 8 670
Attributable earnings 13,4 9 796 8 637
Consolidated statement of comprehensive income
BOOKLET ONLY SLIDE
13
8 670 8 670
11 470
9 880 9 880
1 741
1 059
951 2 115
134
560
2013 NII Impairments NIR Expenses AssociateIncome
Direct tax &other
2014
Headline earnings growth drivers
Headline earnings (Rm)
14,0%
8,2%
(19,0%)
4,9%
9,4%
>100%
Excluding
ETI 13,4%
14
Cluster headline earnings &
ROEs
Headline earnings
(Rm)
ROE
(%)
Year ended %
change 2014 2013 2014 2013
Nedbank Capital 23,3 2 128 1 726 30,9 29,4
Nedbank Corporate 15,8 2 599 2 245 24,5 26,4
Nedbank Business Banking 17,8 1 094 929 20,1 19,4
Nedbank Retail 15,7 2 937 2 539 13,3 11,6
Nedbank Wealth 15,8 1 042 900 36,8 36,2
Rest of Africa Division 106,4 357 173 10,1 8,7
Line clusters 19,3 10 157 8 512 19,7 18,7
Centre >(100,0) (277) 158
Group 14,0 9 880 8 670 15,8 15,6
Group (excl goodwill) 17,2 17,2
BOOKLET ONLY SLIDE
15
1 726 2 245
929
2 539
900 173
2 128 2 599
1 094
2 937
1 042 357
Capital Corporate Business Banking Retail Wealth Rest of AfricaDivision
29,4 26,4 19,4
11,6
36,2
8,7
30,9 24,5
20,1 13,3
36,8
10,1
Capital Corporate Business Banking Retail Wealth Rest of AfricaDivision
2013 2014
23,3%
15,8%
17,8%
15,8%
Strong performance across all clusters
Headline earnings (Rm)
ROE (%)
106,4%
15,7%
Note: Cost of equity 2013: 13,0%, 2014: 13,5%
16
% of daily average interest-earning banking assets % Rm
December 2013 3,57 21 220
Growth in banking assets - 2 051
Asset margin pricing & mix movements (0,15) (998)
Impact due to pricing (0,03) (188)
Impact due to mix change (0,12) (810)
Endowment 0,10 662
Capital 0,02 138
Deposits 0,08 524
Liability pricing and mix movements (0,01) (61)
Change in marginal cost of funding 0,00 19
Cost of enhancing liquidity risk profile (Basel III) 0,00 4
Liability pricing and mix (0,01) (84)
Other 0,01 87
December 2014 3,52 22 961
NII – margin analysis BOOKLET ONLY SLIDE
17
Net interest margin: endowment benefit more than offset by asset mix & pricing
Net interest margin (bps)
357
352
10
(3) (1) 1
(12)
2013 Endowment oncapital &deposits
Asset mix &pricing
Liability marginpricing & mix
Prime/Jibarreset & Other
2014
(15)
Mix
Pricing
18
Average Interest Earning Asset mix contribution
driving change in NIM
34,9 33,7 32,5 30,4
44,9 46,3 45,6 47,7
16,6 16,4 16,2 16,6
3,6 3,6 5,7 5,3
2011 2012 2013 2014
Retail Wholesale
Business Banking Other
5,41% 5,68% 5,81% 5,91%
1,82% 1,88% 1,89% 1,90%
3,29% 3,20% 3,24% 3,24%
3.48% 3.53% 3,57% 3,52%
2011 2012 2013 2014
Retail Wholesale
Business Banking Group
Contribution to AIEA (%) Net interest margin (%)
100% 100% 100% 100%
Note: Wholesale includes Nedbank Corporate & Nedbank Capital | Other represents the balance of AIEA
19
CLR (%)
% of avg
banking
advances
FY
2014
H2
2014
H1
2014
FY
2013
Through-the-
cycle target
ranges
Nedbank Capital 12,8 0,14 0,32 (0,04) 0,51 0,10 – 0,55
Nedbank Corporate 33,1 0,21 0,21 0,22 0,23 0,20 – 0,35
Nedbank Business Banking 11,4 0,42 0,39 0,44 0,65 0,55 – 0,75
Nedbank Retail 36,0 1,70 1,50 1,90 2,16 1,90 – 2,60
Nedbank Wealth 4,2 0,17 0,13 0,21 0,28 0,20 – 0,40
Rest of Africa 2,6 0,23 0,06 0,42 0,37
Group 0,79 0,74 0,83 1,06 0,80 – 1,20
Credit loss ratio BOOKLET ONLY SLIDE
20
Lower CLR reflective of quality portfolio & reduction in higher risk portfolios
136 113
105 106
79
118
89
59 55
46
Group CLR (bps)
Group CLR excl. PLs (bps)
Impairment charge (Rm)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Personal loans Homeloans Wholesale Other
6 188
4 506
Group credit loss ratio (bps)
21
Defaulted advances declining & coverage increasing
Defaulted advances (Rm)
Defaulted advances as % of book (%)
33,9% 37,7% 38,6% 42,3% 43,1%
5 523 5 701 6 692
5 867 5 808
763 641
866 888 941
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Total & specific coverage (%)
Write-offs (Rm)
Post write-off recoveries (Rm)
70,0% 64,2%
56,4% 49,5%
41,9%
Note: 2013 Total & specific coverage restated
26
76
5
23
21
0
19
27
3
17
84
8
15
84
6
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
(11,2%)
9,1%
5,6%
4,8% 3,1%
1,6%
1,3%
5,5%
3,0%
2,5%
Retail Wholesale Nedbank Group
22
Non-interest revenue
Full year (Rm)
% change
2014
2013
Commission & fees 3,9 14 570 14 023
Insurance income 3,1 1 986 1 927
3,8 16 556 15 950
Trading income 3,3 2 648 2 564
Private equity income 88,0 423 225
Other income 11,7 650 582
4,9 20 277 19 321
Fair value adjustments (12,5) 35 40
Credit spread on Nedbank bonds (38) (6)
Designated asset & liability hedged portfolios 73 46
4,9 20 312 19 361
BOOKLET ONLY SLIDE
Note: Other income includes investment & sundry income
23
19 361 19361
19908 19967 20051
20249 20 312 547
59 84 198
63
2013 Comm. & fees
Insurance Trading Privateequity
Otherincome
2014
NIR (Rm)
72%
10%
13%
5%
Comm. & fees Insurance incomeTrading income Other income
43%
8% 11%
16%
17%
5%
Retail BB CorporateCapital Wealth Other
Non-interest revenue drivers
Contribution (%) Contribution
Product
Cluster
88,0% 3,9% 3,1% 3,3% 10,1%
4,9%
82,8%
86,4%
NIR : expenses ratio
24
Strong growth in H2 2014, supported by good volume growth
(0,6)
10,2
2,9 4,8
(3,5)
9,4
1,3
5,3
1,3
H1 2014 H2 2014
NIR Commission & fees Insurance Trading Other NIR
NIR growth (%)
160,3
4,9%
25
19 361
20 045
2013 PL slowdown& Credit life
Maintain fees at 2013levels & selected
reductions
2014
329
355
Credit life
pricing &
benefits
PL volume
Selected fee
reductions
0% fee
increases
Non-interest revenue impacted by strategic choices
3,5%
NIR (Rm)
1,7%
1,8%
NIR : expense ratio
impact of 2,8%
26
Expenses
Full year ended (Rm) %
change
2014
2013
Staff costs 9,6 13 838 12 629
Remuneration & other staff costs 8,8 11 132 10 242
STI 14,6 2 100 1 833
LTI 7,4 595 554
Computer processing 13,9 3 097 2 720
Marketing & PR 4,5 1 517 1 451
Fees & insurance 10,7 2 260 2 042
Other 6,8 3 822 3 577
Total operating expenses 9,4 24 534 22 419
…efficiency ratio 56,5% (FY 2013: 55,2%)
BOOKLET ONLY SLIDE
Note 1: Efficiency ratio includes associate income
27
22 419
24 534
901
377
66 218
245
308
2013 StaffCost
ComputerProcessing
Marketing&
PR
Fees&
Insurance
Other 2014
9,4%
Expenses growth led by investment in franchise, volume-driven growth & cost optimisation
Expenses (Rm) Key initiatives
Continued investment in
the franchise
- Electronic & physical
channels
- Regulatory requirements
- Rest of Africa expansion
Group wide synergies
- R&BB back office
integration
- Cross cluster optimisation
programmes
- SAP ERP programme
- Rationalise, standardise &
simplify IT strategy
Incentives
Staff costs
9,6% 13,9% 4,5% 10,7%
28
Year ended (Rm)
Annualised
% change 2014 2013
Cash & securities 12,9 122 661 108 615
Advances 5,8 613 021 579 372
Other 19,5 73 631 61 607
Total assets 8,0 809 313 749 594
Ordinary shareholders’ equity 10,6 67 024 60 617
Minorities & preference shareholders 4,5 3 887 3 719
Deposits 8,4 653 450 602 952
Long-term debt instruments 7,1 35 638 33 268
Other 0,6 49 314 49 038
Total equity & liabilities 8,0 809 313 749 594
Consolidated statement of financial position
…Strengthened loan-to-deposit ratio to 93,8% (2013: 96,1%)
29
Year ended (Rm) Annualised
% change 2014 2013
Home loans 0,9 137 449 136 156
Commercial mortgages 16,3 123 652 106 325
Properties in possession (22,8) 596 772
Term loans 8,9 106 175 97 528
Personal loans (13,2) 18 346 21 145
Other term loans 15,0 87 829 76 383
Leases & instalment sales 10,8 94 237 85 038
Credit cards 17,2 13 404 11 441
Overnight loans 20,7 21 638 17 927
Overdrafts 7,3 16 141 15 048
Other (8,1) 110 824 120 593
Banking advances 83 876 83 163
Trading advances 26 948 37 430
Impairment of advances (3,2) (11 095) (11 456)
5,8 613 021 579 372
Advances BOOKLET ONLY SLIDE
30
Advances up 5,8% – aligned to portfolio tilt
Advances (Rbn)
Contribution (%)
YoY
Growth (%)
10,8
0,9
15,0
(13,2)
16,3
Other
Tradingadvances
Credit cards
Vehicle finance
Other term loans(wholesale)
Personal loans
Commercialmortgages
Home loans
2014 2013
17,2
22,0%
19,8%
2,9% 2,1%
14.1%
15,1%
6,1%
18,0%
HL Comm Prop
PL Card
Other term loans VAF/MFC
ONL & Overdrafts Other
(28,0)
5,4
Note : Other advances include Overdrafts, Overnight loans | Note 1 includes other types of asset-based finance
1
31
Deposits
Period ended (Rm)
Annualised
% change
2014
2013
Current accounts 11,0 65 170 58 704
Savings accounts 12,2 25 386 22 631
Term deposits & other 10,3 449 705 407 593
Call & term deposits 8,5 257 634 237 393
Fixed deposits 11,8 42 800 38 289
Cash management deposits 7,5 60 820 56 571
Other deposits 17,4 88 451 75 340
Foreign currency liabilities >100 30 153 14 309
NCDs (19,5) 70 377 87 457
Deposit repurchase agreements 3,3 12 659 12 258
8,4 653 450 602 952
BOOKLET ONLY SLIDE
32
15,5%
10,8%
4,6%
9,3%
6,5%
39,4%
13,9%
Other NCDs
Foreign currency Cash management
Fixed Call & term
CASA
Deposits up 8,4% – growing quality deposits
Deposits (Rbn)
Contribution (%)
YoY
Growth (%)
>100
11,3
7,5
11,8
8,5
Other
NCDs
Foreign currency
Cashmanagement
Fixed deposits
Call & termdeposits
Current & savingsaccounts
2014 2013
(19,5)
Note : Other deposits include overnight loans & deposits placed under repurchase agreements
33
41,7 45,6
69,7
82,6
2013 2014
Required Statutory Liquid Assets & Cash Reserves
Total Qualifying Statutory Liquid Assets & Cash Reserves
12,5
11,6
2,4
1,2
1,2
0,9
Dec2013
Generationof
reserves
Dividends Increasein RWA
Impact ofinvestments
Dec2014
Capital Only 2015
Balance sheet metrics remain sound
Common equity tier 1 ratio (%)
Liquidity & funding
R2,5bn Basel III compliant tier 2 capital
subordinated debt issued
R1,7bn old-style tier 2 capital subordinated
debt redeemed in 2014
Basel III target range:
10,5% -12,5%
Additional Tier 1 & Tier 2 capital
Qualifying statutory liquid assets (Rbn)
Min. 60% LCR exceeded from 1 January 2015
Ave. Q4 LT funding ratio: 25,4%
(ahead of industry average)
R4,5bn senior unsecured debt issued
NSFR remains work in progress
34
Continued growth momentum
NEDBANK CORPORATE MFUNDO NKUHLU
35
Nedbank Corporate – financial highlights
Year ended
%
change 2014
2013
Headline earnings (Rm) 15,8 2 599 2 245
Operating income (Rm) 14,8 5 838 5 084
Preprovisioning operating profit (Rm) 16,5 3 836 3 294
Margin (%) 2,06 2,03
Credit loss ratio (%) 0,21 0,23
NIR : expense ratio (%) 93,7 89,7
Efficiency ratio (%) 38,6 39,6
Average banking advances (Rm) 12,2 188 271 167 817
Average deposits (Rm) 8,8 181 251 166 658
Allocated economic capital (Rm) 24,6 10 606 8 514
Headline economic profit (Rm) 2,5 1 167 1 138
ROE (%) 24,5 26,4
Nedbank Corporate
Assets
Other clusters
Headline earnings
26%
74%
26%
74%
36
Segmental analysis BOOKLET ONLY SLIDE
* Other includes Nedbank Investor Services, International Financial Institutions, Transactional Banking, Corporate Shared Services & Central costs
Headline earnings
(Rm) ROE
(%)
Average
banking advances
(Rbn)
Year ended
%
change 2014 2013 2014 2014
%
change
Corporate Banking 1,1 1 210 1 197 23,5 85 933 5,6
Property Finance 39,5 1 318 945 27,5 99 644 18,1
Subtotal 18,0 2 528 2 142 25,5 185 577 11,9
Other* (31,1) 71 103 10,5 2 694 32,1
Nedbank Corporate total 15,8 2 599 2 245 24,5 188 271 12,2
37
Corporate Banking – good returns despite flat
earnings
NII (Rm)
1 311 1 567
1 877 2 059
2 242
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
697 746 834
957 1 077
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Core NIR (Rm)
8,9%
12,5%
HE at R1 210m; ROE at 23,5%
Advances growth of 5,6% in an intensely competitive market
Deposits increased 8,9%
Impairments up R37m off a low base. Defaulted advances 0,85% of portfolio
Core transactional NIR growing 12,5% - cash (22% up), electronic banking (13% up) & global trade (9% up)
Negative y-o-y fair-value movement of R76m
Expenses increased due to higher transactional volumes
Well rated on client service
Earnings flat in a slowed growth
environment
.
Core NIR = NIR less fair value income
38
HE at R1 318m (up 39,5%); ROE at 27,5%
NII growth largely driven by lending volumes due to strong advances growth
Market share 34% (Group 41%)
CLR at 0,21%; LTV<50%
NIR boosted by growth in property investment income of R602m, offset by a FV loss of R24m
Low efficiency ratio - improved to 25,1%
Exceptional & long-standing client relationships
Property Finance – another strong performance
Maintained market
leadership position
NII (Rm)
1 432 1 461 1 470 1 499
1 770
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
18,1%
Property Investments (Rbn)
3,1 2,7
Property Investment NIR (Rm)
76
(78)
126
(24)
163
680
-200
0
200
400
600
800
2013 2014 2013 2014
239
602
Fair Value NIR (Rm)
Realised
Unrealised
39
Strong platform for integration
Strong growth momentum (Headline earnings CAGR of 17,6% since 2010)
Market leader in Property Finance (34% market share, Group 41%)
Highly rated on levels of client services
Advanced & highly-competitive transactional banking offering
120 transactional client gains since 2010
Quality book (CLR at 21bps at the lower end of target range)
Highly engaged staff (entropy at worldclass levels)
Consistent contributor to group earnings
40
Strong performance across all businesses
NEDBANK CAPITAL BRIAN KENNEDY
41
Nedbank Capital – financial highlights
Year ended
%
change Dec
2014
Dec
2013
Headline earnings (Rm) 23,3 2 128 1 726
Operating income (Rm) 15,0 5 037 4 380
Preprovisioning operating profit (Rm) 12,0 2 806 2 505
NIR : expense ratio (%) 142,1 142,7
Efficiency ratio (%) 43,9 46,0
Credit loss ratio (%) 0,14 0,51
Average banking advances (Rm) 21,0 73 154 60 469
Average deposits (Rm) 23,3 121 145 98 272
Headline economic profit (Rm) 24,4 1 198 963
Allocated economic capital (Rm) 17,5 6 891 5 863
ROE (%) 30,9 29,4
Nedbank Capital
Assets
Other clusters
Headline earnings
22%
78%
21%
79%
42
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
0%
100%
200%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
South Africa Outside South Africa
Lending Margin (RHS) CLR (RHS)
Exporting sector expertise to help develop the African continent together with our clients
Deal activity in 24 countries across Africa IB average loans & advances
NIM & CLR (%)
IET1 average loans & advances (Rbn)
GOI (Rm)
Resource Finance average loans & advances (Rbn)
GOI (Rm)
-
300
600
0%
100%
200%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
South Africa Outside South AfricaRevenue (RHS)
-
400
800
0%
100%
200%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014South Africa Outside South Africa
Revenue (RHS)
Note 1: IET – Infrastructure, Energy & Telecommunications
43
Markets income distribution
Market business – focusing on flow
Trading revenue (% change yoy)
2012 2013 2014
Value at Risk(1) (Rm) 14,7 6,6 10,7
Days profit (%) 90% 96% 98%
Note 1: Average VaR (99%, one day)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
<-2
5
-20 to
-1
5
-15 to
-1
0
-10 to
-5
-5 to
0
0 to
5
5 to
10
10 to
15
15 to
20
20 to 2
5
25 to
30
30 to
35
>3
5
% o
f tr
ad
ing d
ays
FY 2012
FY 2013
FY 2014
Value at risk
2012 2013 2014
Forex Debt securities
Equities Commodities
2 263 2 347 2 404
(1,2%)
4,2%
44
Nedbank Corporate & Investment Bank – powerful, scalable client facing wholesale business
Nedbank Corporate & Investment Bank
Relationship management & client coverage
Tra
nsa
ctio
na
l S
erv
ice
s
Fin
ancin
g &
ad
vis
ory
Mark
ets
Pro
pe
rty f
ina
nce
Strategic partners:
Ecobank, Banco Único, Bank of China, CIBC
Rationale
Combines the respective strengths of Nedbank
Capital & Corporate to build a market leading
franchise with a stronger client-centred focus
Combined headline earnings (Rm) & ROE (%)
1 202 1 228 1 431 1 726 2 128
1 496 1 571 1 817
2 245
2 599
21,7% 23,6% 23,7%
27,6% 27,0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Capital Corporate ROE
2 698 2 799
3 248
3 971
4 727
45
Prospects for Corporate & Investment Bank
Transactional services pillar to focus on client growth & retention, & extract
synergies though collaboration & cross-sell across the group Grow transactional
banking franchise
Support functions to be centralised, eliminating duplication, ensuring prudent
management of costs & investment in integrated systems to enhance
business productivity & regulatory compliance
Optimise
& invest
Capture opportunities in rest of Africa utilising our sector expertise & offering
holistic solutions as our client expand into the rest of Africa, in conjunction
with working closely with our strategic partners
Pan-African
banking network
Client coverage & relationship team to create focus to ensure that our clients
are at the centre of our wholesale universe by offering a full spectrum of
products & solutions
Client-centred
innovation
Utilise the power of our balance sheet to originate & lead ‘big-ticket’ sector
deals, whilst capturing all of the opportunities available across the group Strategic portfolio
tilt
46
Strong strategic momentum with improving risk profile
NEDBANK RETAIL & BUSINESS BANKING PHILIP WESSELS
47
16% increase in headline earnings to R4bn
41bps improvement in CLR to 139bps
Significantly lower defaults – down 10,7% to
R12bn, with highest ever total coverage of 3,2%
Muted NIR growth of 1,5%
ROE of 14,6%
Resilient
performance
…driven by
strategic
choices
Assets
40%
60%
41%
59%
Headline earnings
Nedbank Retail &
Business Banking
Other clusters
Proactive de-risking of business & prudent
provisioning
No fee increases & selective reductions benefitting
clients
Consistent investment for sustainable growth -
distribution, marketing & innovation
Active cost management
Nedbank Retail & Business Banking – highlights
48
Nedbank Business Banking – financial highlights
Year ended
%
change 2014
2013
Headline earnings (Rm) 17,8 1 094 929
Operating income (Rm) 11,5 4 935 4 427
Preprovisioning operating profit (Rm) 5,8 1 791 1 693
Margin (%) 3,24 3,24
Credit loss ratio (%) 0,42 0,65
NIR : expenses ratio (%) 50,5 55,4
Efficiency ratio (%) 65,1 64,5
Average banking advances (Rm) 3,9 63 969 61 590
Average deposits (Rm) 12,3 102 265 91 085
Allocated economic capital (Rm) 14,1 5 456 4 780
Headline economic profit (Rm) 16,2 358 308
ROE (%) 20,1 19,4
Assets
Headline earnings
14%
86%
11%
89%
Nedbank Business
Banking
Other clusters
49
Maintaining strong momentum in quality advances
& deposit growth
Average deposits excl CAC
Balances, Rbn
1 Restated for rule refinements
Avg. Current Account Creditors (CAC)
Asset payouts
Credit Loss Ratio
9,8 10,7 12,1 13,5 14,7
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
+9%
40 53 34
65 42
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
bps
12,0 16,8 19,1
22,9 23,3
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Rbn Balances, Rbn
67,1 71,7 74,9 77,6 87,6
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
+13%
1
50
NIR growth muted by macro factors &
strategic choices…
Low growth economy impacting
overall business volumes
R120m in NIR through selective price
reductions, benefiting long term
growth (adding 6,9% to NIR)
…with sustained momentum in client
growth & cross-sell
Maintained high level of quality client
gains over the past five years
4,9% increase in product holding
NIR growth muted by no fee increases & selected
fee reductions
NIR growth
#
Rm
Net new primary banked clients
1 342 1 486 1 578 1 729 1 710
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
(1%)
601 748 775
965 752
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
51
Nedbank Retail – financial highlights
Year ended
%
change 2014 2013
Headline earnings (Rm) 15,7 2 936 2 539
Operating income (Rm) 9,9 17 040 15 502
Preprovisioning operating profit (Rm) (4,1) 7 572 7 897
Margin (%) 5,91 5,81
Credit loss ratio (%) 1,70 2,16
NIR : expenses ratio (%) 69,5 73,9
Efficiency ratio (%) 61,8 58,9
Average banking advances (Rm) 2,6 197 968 192 933
Average deposits (Rm) 9,6 110 541 100 897
Allocated economic capital (Rm) 0,9 22 109 21 903
Headline economic profit (Rm) 84,4 (48) (308)
ROE (%) 13,3 11,6
Assets
Headline earnings
26%
74%
30%
70%
Nedbank Retail
Other clusters
52
647 717 831
2 636 2 971
3 227
3 577 3 837
3 905
1 102
1 126 857
2012 2013 2014
5 566 6 152
6 675
328
271 213
2012 2013 2014
Client & NIR growth influenced by risk appetite
& pricing choices
1 Single product clients
2 Adjusted for MFC client migration
3 Total growth excluding personal loans. 2014 Includes the impact of selected fee reductions (R40m) & no price increases (R195m)
#000 Rm
Card
Trans-
actional
Secured
Personal
Loans
8 651 8 820
6 888
6 423
+7,2%
+9,0% 7 962
Personal
Loans1
Total Client Base NIR
Retail
excl
Personal
Loans1
+10,5%
+8,5%
Total
Total
+2,0%
+8,7%
+9,2%3
+9,7%3
5 894
2
53
Client-centred strategy driving growth in all
segments
Total client base,
# 000
Kid
s &
Yo
uth
E
ntr
y L
evel
1
Mid
dle
1,
2
Pro
fessio
na
l2
Sm
all
Bu
sin
ess
1 000 944
3 629 3 307
2013 2014
1 736 1 662
79 87
215 224
2014 2013
1 ELB and Middle segment growth is negatively impacted by reduction
in Personal Loans
2 Bases readjusted due to Professional’s migration to Consumer
segments in Feb’14 of ~6k
Note: Non-residential, Non-individual segment not shown
+6%
+10%
+4%
+10%
+4%
54 1 Client premium relative to prime with home loans excluding staff & re-advances
Asset pay-outs aligned to risk appetite & pricing
dynamics
YoY % Rbn %
2,42 2,49 2,36 2,41 2,30 2,43
0,48 0,51 0,65 0,84 0,70 0,57
H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2
MFC
Home
Loans
Personal
Loans
Other
2012 2013
0,5 0,8 0,7 0,7 0,6 1,1
4,7 4,9 5,3 6,1 5,6 7,5
12,1 14,0 14,7
15,9 15,0
16,6
8,0 7,5 5,1
4,1 3,6
3,9 25,4 27,1
25,8 26,8
24,7
29,1
H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2
2014 2012 2013 2014
11,2 13,0 14,9 17,5 17,6 16,9
Asset payouts Book growth New business pricing1
12,1
1,0
(16,3)
55
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Home Loans Personal Loans VAF
MFC Card Retail Total
HL Back HL Front Prime
H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Defaults reducing across all asset class
2005
Defaults by asset class
% of total advances
56
Underlying business showed an improved performance & contributed to Retail’s growth
1 Profitability relates to the advances book & excludes some transactional, deposit & insurance income derived from strong Personal Loans positioning in the market
2 Excludes lending products in RRB
Headline Earnings
Personal
Loans1
Card
Rm
413 432 624
MFC2 1 193 1 152 1 134
Home
Loans2 153 308 485
RRB 161 222 323
2012 2013 2014
778 859 863
12,2 11,2 17,9
18,0 15,9 15,7
3,6 7,8 12,4
7,9 11,4 15,1
2012 2013 2014
28,8 30,9 28,2
ROE
%
57
2015 run-rate impact of selective fee reductions
Continued investment in physical & digital distribution
Cost optimisation
Focus on simplifying client on boarding & ongoing service
Building sustainable, profitable businesses through the cycle
Prospects for Retail & Business Banking
Innovative, competitively priced products
Vastly improved distribution channels
Quality advances supported by proactive risk management
Momentum in client gains & cross-sell
Operating
environment
Strategic
choices
Strong
fundamentals
Constrained by economic fundamentals
Regulatory changes & enhanced compliance
Heightened competition not only from banks
58
Strong growth & momentum off a high base
NEDBANK WEALTH DAVE MACREADY
59
Nedbank Wealth – financial highlights
Year ended
%
change Dec
2014
Dec
2013
Headline earnings (Rm) 15,8 1 042 900
Operating income (Rm) 12,2 3,986 3,553
Pre-provisioning operating profit (Rm) 12,1 1,441 1,286
Margin (%) 1,94 1,93
Credit loss ratio (%) 0,17 0,28
NIR : expense ratio (%) 136,9 138,9
Efficiency ratio (%) 61,7 61,4
Assets under management (Rm) 11,4 212 013 190 341
Life embedded value (Rm) 12,0 2 393 2 137
Life value of new business (Rm) (27,0) 257 352
Allocated economic capital (Rm) 13,8 2 830 2 487
Headline economic profit (Rm) 14,4 660 577
ROE (%) 36,8 36,2
Nedbank Wealth
Headline earnings
Other clusters
AUM net
inflows R8,5bn
Life APE (22,6%)
ST GWP +2,5%
11%
89%
60
NIR increased by 10,3% to R3,4bn
Highlights & KPI’s
Wealth Management Asset Management Insurance
Relative divisional NIR contribution & growth
2013 2014
WM Asset Management Insurance
10,6%
11,0%
9,8%
61
-2 000 000
3 000 000
8 000 000
13 000 000
18 000 000
23 000 000
2
5 000 002
10 000 002
15 000 002
20 000 002
25 000 002
30 000 002
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Liabilities Advances
Wealth Management – strong performance & growth
Record YoY HE growth
Strong growth in banking
Record growth in AuA
Momentum in Financial Planning
Top quartile performance
Single, integrated international HNW
proposition
Operational overview
+27,8%
+13,3%
Wealth Management: Liabilities & Advances
+3,3% +36,7%
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
+36,7%
Stockbroking AuA
62
Asset Management – scale & momentum
Top 3 Raging Bull company
Strong netflows internationally
Leading in passive
Momentum in Best of Breed™
Excellent fund performance
Investment in mobile, digital & brand
Operational overview Assets Under Management (Rbn)
Net flows (Rbn)
9,8 6,5
24,4
15,5
8,5
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
International Local
212,0 190,3
150,5
112,2
102,6
63
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
+12,0%
Insurance – back to basics
Rebasing of traditional volumes
Strong growth in funeral & niche
offerings
Launch of Green Property Fund
Innovation in mobile & digital
Investment in a single client centric
system
Operational overview Life EV & VNB (Rm)
Short-term GWP (Rm) & claims ratio (%)
Embedded value Value of new business
+1
0,7
%
Gross written premium Claims ratio
50,0%
47,1%
31%
36%
41%
46%
51%
56%
61%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
+2,5%
(27,0%)
64
Prospects
Growth in new clients & NCCF
Investment in specialist IP & capacity
Strong traction in single integrated proposition
Wealth
Management
Grow international, wholesale & passive
Maintain excellence in long-term performance track record
Continued momentum in BoB & Cash
Asset
Management
Refocus to simple bancassurance
Investment in Nedbank Insurance brand profile
Systems & solutions
Insurance
Broaden our financial services franchise
Increasing cross-sell opportunities
Leverage group collaboration
Overall Nedbank
Wealth
65
Building our Pan-African Banking Network
REST OF AFRICA DIVISION GRAHAM DEMPSTER
66
Building our pan-African banking network & governance structures
A client-centred, risk-mitigated, capital-efficient, longer-term strategy
SADC & East Africa (A)
Grow presence from 6 to 10 countries in the
medium-term
Standardised operating model & IT system
Banco Unico (Mozambique): acquired 36,4%
stake for R252m (with pathway to control)
Coverage bankers in East & West Africa
West & Central Africa (B)
Acquired 20% equity stake in ETI for $493m
in October 2014
Ecobank strengthening its franchise
‒ Presence in 36 countries
‒ #1 in 6, top 3 in 14 countries
‒ New Board, Chairman & CEO
70 Nedbank wholesale banking clients now
bank with Ecobank
‘One bank’ experience for clients across 39 countries & >2 000 staffed outlets
67
Rest of Africa division - financial highlights
Year ended
%
change 2014
2013
Headline earnings (Rm) 106,4 357 173
Operating income (Rm) 14,4 1 631 1 426
Preprovisioning operating profit (Rm) 66,2 477 287
Margin (%) 4,75 4,66
Credit loss ratio (%) 0,23 0,37
NIR : expense ratio (%) 61,2 59,9
Efficiency ratio1 (%) 69,2 76,3
Average banking advances (Rm) 9,6 14 821 13 520
Average deposits (Rm) 21,9 16 830 13 801
Allocated economic capital (Rm) 77,6 3 549 1 998
Headline economic profit (Rm) (40,2) (122) (87)
ROE (%) 10,1 8,7
Rest of Africa division
Assets
Other clusters
Headline earnings
3%
97%
4%
96%
Note 1: Efficiency ratio includes associate income
68
SADC & East Africa banking subsidiaries
Financial performance
Continued investment in the franchise
new senior executives
added 5 branches (& 17 from
Banco Unico)
increased IT spend
Increased economic capital allocation
(change in methodology) – impacting
ROE
Strong advances growth, up 17%
Increasing margin
CLR remaining flat at 39bps
underpinned by an improved risk profile
Solid NIR growth of 8,8%
165
224
13,5%
10,3%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2013 2014
Headline earnings (Rm)
ROE (%)
35,8%
Key drivers
69
Q4 2014: Nedbank has made its own associate
earnings accrual for Q4 2014 on a prudent
mechanical basis as ETI reports after Nedbank
Future accounting: Report earnings from ETI a
quarter in arrears
ETI attributable income for 9 months to
30 September 2014
$277m
Average of first three quarters $92,3m
Nedbank shareholding in ETI c20%
Q4 2014 Rand : US$ exchange rate 11,23
Associate income for 3 months to 31 Dec
14 after Nedbank prudency discount
R146m
Funding of investment carried in NII (R99m)
Strategic Associate investments
8
133
-10
10
30
50
70
90
110
130
150
2013 2014
Headline earnings (Rm)
Financial performance Equity accounting ETI
Invested to become c20% ETI & 36,6% Banco Unico shareholder
ETI investment (31 Dec 2014):
Cost: R5,9bn
Book value: R6,2bn
Market value: R5,5bn
Entry price of less than 1,0x NAV
Long-term strategic shareholding &
alliance
70
Prospects
SADC & East
Africa banking
subsidiaries
Rest of Africa
division
Increase market share & revenues
Explore expansion opportunities in SADC & East Africa
Flexcube IT system implementation in 2015
Deepen & strengthen our level of activity & technical services to enhance value propositions for clients
All clusters have roles & a contribution to make to increase the value of the investments
Risks arising from political, social & economic factors (lower oil price & currencies)
Strategic
Associate
investments
Continue adding management capability & investing in our people to embed a culture of client centricity
Leverage off & collaborate with the greater Nedbank Group
Targeting ROE of well above Nedbank Group cost of equity
71
Nedbank Group in good shape for a volatile & uncertain environment
SUMMARY & PROSPECTS MIKE BROWN
72
Macro & industry environment
Global
macro
environment
Domestic
macro
environment
SA banking
industry
2015 GDP growth: 2,5% with downside risk
Inflation to remain below 6%
Repo rate lower for longer: 25bps increase forecast in November 2015
Consumers highly indebted but some potential relief from lower inflation
Electricity constraints continue to impact business confidence
Mixed outlook for developed economies
Emerging market volatility likely to continue
Impact of oil & commodity prices to play out
Rest of Africa higher growth trajectory intact, but short term volatility
Low asset growth (wholesale > retail) & margin pressure
Corporate volumes holding up
Consumer advances & transactional volume growth to remain muted
Focus on bank fees, interchange remain
Capital market volatility to continue
Regulatory change remains intense
73
2015 guidance
Advances to grow at mid-single digits
Margin below the 2014 level NII
At the lower end of our target range of 80 – 120bps
Above mid-single digit growth (excluding fair-value adjustments)
Above mid-single digit growth
CLR
NIR
Expenses
Volatile economic
environment
Forecast risk
increased
Building our franchise
for the long-term
Growth in DHEPS greater than growth in nominal GDP DHEPS
growth
74
THANK YOU
75
Medium-to-long-term targets
Metric 2014 Medium-to-long-term
target 2015 outlook1
ROE
(excl goodwill) 17,2% 5% above COE Below target
Diluted HEPS growth 13,0% ≥ CPI + GDP growth + 5% > CPI + GDP growth
Credit loss ratio 79bps 80 – 120 bps At the lower end
of our target range
NIR : expenses 82,8% > 85% Below target
Efficiency ratio2 56,5% 50% - 53% Above target
CET 1 CAR
Tier 1 CAR
Total CAR
B III
11,6%
12,5%
14,6%
Basel III basis:
10,5% - 12,5%
11,5% - 13,0%
14,0% - 15,0%
Within target range
Dividend cover 2,07 1,75 to 2,25 times
BOOKLET ONLY SLIDE
1 2015 outlook based on current economic forecasts
2 Efficiency ratio includes associate income & going forward this target will be reviewed in line with this change
76
Key trends over time
477 499
527
579 613
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
492 524
551
603
653
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
3,36
3,48 3,53
3,57 3,52
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1,36
1,13 1,05 1,06
0,79
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
79,6
81,5
84,2
86,4
82,8
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
55,7 56,6 55,6 55,2
56,6
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Advances (Rbn): 6,5% CAGR Deposits (Rbn): 7,3% CAGR NIM (%): +16bps
CLR (%): -57bps NIR : expenses (%): +320bps
Efficiency ratio (%): +90bps
BOOKLET ONLY SLIDE
77
Full year ended
% change
2014
2013
Headline earnings (Rm) 14,0 9 880 8 670
Economic profit (Rm) (0,1) 2 112 2 114
HEPS (cents) 12,9 2 127 1 884
Diluted HEPS (cents) 13,0 2 066 1 829
Preprovisioning operating profit (Rm) 3,5 17 873 17 268
ROA (%) 1,27 1,23
ROE (excluding goodwill) (%) 17,2 17,2
ROE (%) 15,8 15,6
Tangible NAV per share (cents) 10,6 12 553 11 346
Assets under management (Rbn) 11,4 212,0 190,3
Common equity Tier 1 capital ratio (%) 11,6 12,5
Dividend per share (cents) 14,9 1 028 895
Financial highlights BOOKLET ONLY SLIDE
78
Nedbank Retail Building more enduring client relationships through increased levels of transactional products cross-sell
3,4
10,5
5,2
(11,4)
0,1
Card
Personal
Loans
MFC
Home Loans
Total Retail
clients as at Dec’14
Investments
% YOY
Growth
TP 5,4
1,9
11,1
4,7
(15,6)
(2,4)
9,8
326
546
555
1,034
1,193
5 358
% YOY
Growth
# ‘000
Transactional clients with
product line
914
77%
827
77%
497 523
51% 50%
46%
257 290
44%
128 124
23% 23%
121
36% 37%
121
2014
1,459
27%
2013
1,385
28%
H2
Number of product line clients
with transactional products
79
Nedbank Retail No fee increases assist in slowing client attrition & the switch to lower priced bundled offerings
Personal Loans
Other
Card
Secured Lending
Mix & activity
Fee increases
Total
Transactional Volume
gains
Lending
related
Comparison of YoY NIR growth
Rm 2013
324
277
(269)
26
(34)
(211)
56
2014
449
299
24
39
196
(351)
33
+689 +169
R95m reduction
for lower credit
pricing with
enhanced
benefits
R235m
opportunity cost
of pricing
decisions
80
Nedbank Retail Embedding effective risk culture with adequate impairments - CLR impacted by advances mix, methodology changes & credit cycle
4,0 4,9 8,8 10,1 8,9 7,5
1 Actual CLR re-calculated assuming 2014 asset mix
2 Percentage defaulted advances including legal & non legal
6,3
Comparable CLR1
Retail CLR
(%)
1,21 1,15 1,35
2,70
3,27
2,72
1,98 2,01 2,16
1,70
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
4,6 NPLs2 (%)
1,9
Other
Personal Loans
Home Loans
Extreme volatility
2,2 3,1 3,7 3,9 4,0 4,0 Total
coverage3 (%) 2,3 3,6
3 2005 to 2008 numbers exclude MFC
4 Income statement impairments
5,6
4,1
4 959 1 512 3 559 5 644 1 040 3 729 887 3 927 I/S4 (Rm) 4 355
2,6
4,8
3,6
3 500
Target
range
81
Defaulted advances & specific impairments
Rbn
Portfolio impairments
Rbn
29 30 36 41 45 Specific
coverage (%) 50
0,6 0,5 0,8 1,0 1,2 1,3 Performing
book (%)
0,3 0,3 0,5 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,7 0,2 0,1 0,1
0,3 0,6
0,8 0,7
0,3 0,5 0,7
0,8
1,0 1,0 1,1
0,9 0,9
1,3 1,7
2,3 2,6 2,6
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Other
Personal Loans
Home Loans
Defaulted advances
Specific impairments
12,8
20,1 17,7
14,4 12,4 11,4 10,2
3,6 5,9 6,2 5,9 5,6 5,7 5,0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1
Nedbank Retail Defaulted advances reduced - coverage at highest levels
1,1
0,7
1
49
1,3
2
2
1 Restated to include acquisition of Imperial Bank; restatement effect on portfolio impairments is minimal, hence not explicitly shown
2 Restated due to an incorrect split in MFC between defaulted restructured accounts & performing restructured accounts. Restated R393m of defaulted
restructured accounts & R73m of related provisions which were incorrectly classified in Dec 2013 as performing & have now been correctly classified as
defaulted to better reflect the underlying nature
1
82
Nedbank Retail– Personal loans Personal loans operating within strategic intent & lowered risk profile
-20
0
20
40
5
10
15
20
25
30
1 Asset growth reflects the 6 months on the preceding 6 months growth annualised 2 GOI margin is the total gross operating income (Net Interest Income & Non Interest Revenue) divided by average advances, before Wealth related income 3 PD is the probability of loan going into default based on early warning risk indicators
Early, comprehensive actions
taken since late 2011 have
successfully mitigated risk
Outcome achieved:
Book R3bn lower than
December 13
Negative growth rate slowing
in H2 2014
Portfolio expected to stabilise
in 2015
Better quality risk, within
desired risk appetite at higher
pricing
Default Rate peaked in H1’13,
now back in line with
expectations
Impairment Methodology
changes raised from 2012 to
address risk of higher write-
offs than forecast by models
PL asset
growth1
Nedbank growth (%)
Rest of market (%)
R3bn reduction in
2014
Expected PD model calibration 3 (%)
Actual / Predicted PD 3 (%)
Avg GOI margin2(%)
GOI
margin &
risk over
time
2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
83
HL’s embedded in CVP’s
Priced for risk & better quality
Origination via own channels (79% from
existing clients; 10% online)
R1.2bn restructures (still on book) with
13% coverage (R0,8bn performing)
Total balance sheet impairments 1,2%:
Portfolio 0,6%; Specific 22,7%
R16bn (36%) good quality1, but mis-priced
by 125bps
R0,7bn in defined processes with 29%
coverage
R4,4bn restructures (still on book) with
12% coverage (R3,3bn performing)
Total balance sheet impairments 3,1%:
Portfolio 1,2%; Specific 27,8%
RoE dilution: 1,8% as no insurance
commission received & 7% from mis-
priced advances
Back book2
R43bn:
Loss of
R732m since
2009
Front book2
R38bn:
Profit of
R789m since
2009
RoE, %
1 Loans which would pass current credit policy utilising current pricing
2 Average Retail Home loan book excluding Retail Relationship Banking & Business Banking
3 Dec 2013 ROE restated due to due to changes in ALM risk management cost allocation
Nedbank Retail – Home Loans Fundamental redesign of home loans business model to address underperformance on risk & sources of competitive distinctiveness
(46,8) (36,7)
(6,4)
1,2 2,2 6,3
0
(8,6)
1,2
7,7
16,1 19,3
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20143
84
Nedbank Retail – Home Loans Early actions taken since mid 2009 to resolve 2006-2008 vintages with adequate coverage, while judiciously growing new business
2010 FY
2014 FY
Average advances (Rbn)1
Defaulted Loans (%)1 Credit Loss Ratio (%)1
Vintages Vintages
1 Retail Home loan book excluding Retail Relationship Banking & Business Banking
2 Based on Nedbank MMFTP, Liquidity & Balance Sheet Management charges, excluding endowment on ECAP
3 Margin required for 06-08 profile to be EP neutral in 2010, assuming no drop-off due to higher price
4 LTV based on original loan amount & valuation at point of registration
>100
90-100
LTV Distribution (%)4 Dec ‘14 Lending margin (%)2
~300bps higher
margin required3
80-90
0-80
44 22 26
13
12
38
37
39
34 7
27 2
Pre-06 06-08 09-14
14
62
16
8
36 38
Pre-06 06-08 09-14
1.5 1.2 1.2
1.5
1.0
1.9
Pre-06 06-08 09-14
7,2
14,7
3,4 5,1
7,5
2,6
Pre-06 06-08 09-14
2,2 2,5
1,0
0,1 0,1 0,2
Pre-06 06-08 09-14
Headline Earnings (Rm)1
Vintages
(111)
(748)
(45)
44 86
355
Pre-06 06-08 09-14
85
Plan
R2.1bn distribution investment over 3 years (2015
to 2017), including 278 branch reformats, 63 new
points of presence and 300 Intelligent Depositor
devices (IDs)
64 branch reformats, 23 new points of presence
and 23 closures in the next 12 months
Nedbank has redesigned the branches to provide
a distinctive client experience ,including improved
queuing and self service options such as video
banking and cash deposit functionality at ATMs.
Nedbank Retail The investment in the reformat of branches to our “Branch of the future” format
(BoF) is meeting client experience as well as financial expectations
Implementation Progress (per 31 December 2014)
171 branches reformatted
456 Intelligent Depositors installed
Reduction in retail floor space of 10,418sqm
Impact
Sales of transactional products have increased by
10% when compared to a control cell
39% of deposit transactions have shifted to self-
service (intelligent depositor ATMs) which exceed
354k transactions per month
20k transactions per month are being processed
through the video banker capability
22% of the Nedbank client base has been exposed
to the “branch of the future” formats
86
Disclaimer
Nedbank Group has acted in good faith & has made every reasonable effort to ensure the accuracy &
completeness of the information contained in this document, including all information that may be defined as
'forward-looking statements' within the meaning of United States securities legislation.
Forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as ‘believe’, 'anticipate', 'expect', 'plan',
'estimate', 'intend', 'project', 'target', 'predict' & 'hope'.
Forward-looking statements are not statements of fact, but statements by the management of Nedbank Group
based on its current estimates, projections, expectations, beliefs & assumptions regarding the group's future
performance.
No assurance can be given that forward-looking statements will prove to be correct & undue reliance should
not be placed on such statements.
The risks & uncertainties inherent in the forward-looking statements contained in this document include, but
are not limited to: changes to IFRS & the interpretations, applications & practices subject thereto as they apply
to past, present & future periods; domestic & international business & market conditions such as exchange
rate & interest rate movements; changes in the domestic & international regulatory & legislative environments;
changes to domestic & international operational, social, economic & political risks; & the effects of both current
& future litigation.
Nedbank Group does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements contained in this document &
does not assume responsibility for any loss or damage whatsoever & howsoever arising as a result of the
reliance by any party thereon, including, but n limited to, loss of earnings, profits, or consequential loss or
damage.