AIACC LA 26: Component - PIRNA of social...AIACC LA 26: Component SOCIAL VULNERABILITY, CLIMATIC CHANGE AND FLOODS ... La Matanza 4 3 3 1 11 General Sarmiento 4 3 5 1 13 General San

Dra. Claudia E. Natenzon, Lic. Silvia González, Lic. Elvira Dra. Claudia E. Natenzon, Lic. Silvia González, Lic. Elvira Gentile, Lic. Diego Ríos y Srta. Cecilia BoudínGentile, Lic. Diego Ríos y Srta. Cecilia Boudín

PIRNA PIRNA –– FFyL FFyL –– UBAUBA

AIACC LA 26:AIACC LA 26:

ComponentComponent

SOCIAL VULNERABILITY, SOCIAL VULNERABILITY, CLIMATIC CHANGE AND CLIMATIC CHANGE AND

FLOODSFLOODS

Component of social vulnerability, climatic change and floods, Advance Report of the Project AIACC LA26.Natenzon, Claudia E., Silvia González, Diego Ríos and Cecilia Boudín. PIRNA-Programa de Investigaciones en Recursos Naturales y Ambiente, Facultad de Filosofía y Letras-UBA.

AIACC LA26: AIACC LA26: Impact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la PlImpact of Global Change on the Coastal Areas of the Rio de la Plata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effectsata. Sea Level Rise and Meteorological Effects

Social Vulnerability in Relation to:Social Vulnerability in Relation to:

1. Identification of people (number of) that can be affected in a direct way (located between the sea leavel and 5 metres).

2. Elaboration of a social vulnerability index (SVI) for the area in study.

3. Analysis of land use and inventory of goods/infrastructure that could be affected directly.

4. Case studies: La Boca/ Avellaneda and Gral. Lavalle.



1.1.Number of Number of people living people living in the area of in the area of possible possible affectation: affectation: AMBAAMBA Sector.Sector.Source: Preliminar Data, Source: Preliminar Data, from INDECfrom INDEC

Remainder units: 18.Ensenada,19.Berisso, 20.Magdalena, 21.Punta Indio, 22.Chascomús, 23.Castelli, 24.Tordillo, 25.Gral. Lavalle y 26.La Costa

1.469.7911.469.791TOTAL of AMBA

22.17117. Berazategui

68.14616. Quilmas

274.12115. Avellaneda

159.84514. Lanús

176.88913. Lomas de Zamora

20.00312. Esteban Echeverría

3.34811. Ezeiza

43.84310. La Matanza

343.1999. Capital Federal

8.9678. Vicente López

30.5537. San Isidro

95.1516. San Fernando

46.8245. San Martín

25.2354. Tres de Febrero

2.8503. Hurlingham

6.1462. San Miguel

142.5001. Tigre

Inhabitants(CNP 1991)

Political-administrative Units





2. Social Vulnerability Index2. Social Vulnerability Index

• The SVI is a statistical evaluation for a preliminary identification of administrative units with a conjunction of indicative features that allow us to characterize high social vulnerability situations.

• The selection of indicators is a result of the relationship between the representativeness of basic social, demographic and economic aspects, and the availability, free of charge of the data.



The indicators have been clustered into sub-indexes:

a. demographic indicators b. conditions of life indicators c. work/ production/ consumption

indicators



• Total population

• Population's density

• Index of potential dependence: the young

• Index of potential dependence:the elderly

a. Demographic Indicators:a. Demographic Indicators:



a. Demographic Indicators :a. Demographic Indicators :Component of social vulnerability, climatic change and floods, Advance Report of the Project AIACC LA26.

Natenzon, Claudia E., Silvia González, Diego Ríos and Cecilia Boudín. PIRNA-Programa de Investigaciones en Recursos Naturales y Ambiente, Facultad de Filosofía y Letras-UBA.


a. Demographic Indicators :a. Demographic Indicators :

124143Vicente Lopez

113143Tres de Febrero

113134Moron

113143Lanus

103124La Plata

111334La Matanza

131534General Sarmiento

113143General San Martin

111523Esteban Echeverria

155145Capital Federal

101423Berazategui

113143Avellaneda

DEMOGRAPHIC SUB -INDEX

Index of potential dependence: the

eldery

Index of potential dependence: the

young

Population density

(inhab/km2)

Total population

Administrative units of the area in study



• Population’s % in homes with unsatisfiedbasic needs (NBI).

• % of homes with boss woman

• Total rate of infantile mortality

• Population’s % without access to healthservices

b. Conditions of Life Indicators:b. Conditions of Life Indicators:



b. Condition of Life Indicators:b. Condition of Life Indicators:Component of social vulnerability, climatic change and floods, Advance Report of the Project AIACC LA26.



b. Conditions of Life Indicators:b. Conditions of Life Indicators:

3

122343Avellaneda

123342Tres de Febrero

144325Tigre

164345San Fernando

133334Quilmes

133334Lomas de Zamora

133343Lanus

121353La Plata

134324La Matanza


13334General San Martin


122334Ensenada

142543Castelli

132344Berisso

134324Berazategui

LIFE CONDITIONS SUB-INDEX

Population without health service (%)

Infantile Mortality Rate

Woman boss homes (%)

Population in NBI homes (%)




• Unemployment Rate

• “Valor agregado bruto total”

• Total of registred cars rate

• % of salaried of 14 years or more,without previsional taxes.

c. Work, Production, Consumption Indicators:c. Work, Production, Consumption Indicators:



c. Work, Production, Consumption:c. Work, Production, Consumption:Component of social vulnerability, climatic change and floods, Advance Report of the Project AIACC LA26.



c. Work, Production, Consumption Indicators:c. Work, Production, Consumption Indicators:

143434Tigre

133334San Fernando

133235Quilmes

144325La Matanza

174553La Costa



143155Ensenada

143155Berisso

144235Berazategui

WORK/ PRODUCTION/ CONSUMPTION

SUB -INDEX

Total registred cars rate

Salaried (14 y. &+) without previsional

Total production brute value ($)

Unenployment rate




3. Soil Uses, Goods and Infrastructure Exposed3. Soil Uses, Goods and Infrastructure Exposed

* Agriculture * Cattle raisingAgricultural Area

* Electricity * Water* Telephon * Gas

Services

* Route and main access * Train* Busses (comunal) * Airport

Traffic and Transport

* PortsPort Area

* Squares and parksGreen Space

* Sport * Cultural Activity* Outdoor activity

Recreation Area

* Industrial Park * Isolated Industry

Industrial Area

* Segurity (Military, police, etc.)Area of Security

* Public Office * Social Security * Helth Center * Education * Residential

Urban / Residential Area

CategoryCategorySoil UsesSoil Uses



4. Case studies4. Case studies

Issues under consideration:

a. Current situation (“normal”) of social vulnerabilityb. Social vulnerability in disastersc. Proposal of strategies to diminish the vulnerability, and to mitigate the impactsd. Real conditions to carry out that proposal (a, b, c, comparison = range of capacities to cope the disaster cycle consequence of climatic change)


Documents

AIACC LA 26: Component - PIRNA of social...AIACC LA 26: Component SOCIAL VULNERABILITY, CLIMATIC CHANGE AND FLOODS ... La Matanza 4 3 3 1 11 General Sarmiento 4 3 5 1 13 General San