AAF National Survey of Republican Primary Voters Regarding Immigration Reform

8/12/2019 AAF National Survey of Republican Primary Voters Regarding Immigration Reform

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National Survey of Republican Primary VotersRegarding Immigration Reform June 2-5, 2014


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Survey conducted June 2-5, 2014. 1,000 past Republican primary voters interviewed by live

interviewers. Sample obtained from Data Trust. 33 percent of interviews were completed on cell phones. Margin of error is plus-or-minus 3.1 percent. Quotas set for state, gender, and age. Frequent talk radio listeners are 17 percent of the sample;

strong Tea Party supporters are 26 percent of the sample.

Methodology


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Republican primary voters are more supportive of a bill providing

earned legal status (56 percent) than one providing an earnedpathway to citizenship (44 percent). Republican primary voters support every element tested, with more

support for restrictive elements than elements providing for legalstatus.

These voters support a potential step-by-step House plan by a four-to-one margin.

A majority of primary voters would still support a candidate withwhom they disagree on immigration, but the amnesty charge

remains potent.

Key Findings


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Primary voters support earned legal status, but split on c

Would you support or oppose Congress passing an immigrationreform bill that provides an earned pathway to legal status likea worker permit, but does not provide full citizenship for illegal

immigrants currently living in the United States?

All

Support Oppose

All

Support Opp

Would you support or oppose Congress passing reform bill that provides an earned pathway to c

illegal immigrants currently living in the U


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Nearly as many voters say they dont know if they support or opposethe Senate bill as oppose it

Based on what you remember about it, would you say you generally support or oppose the immigration reform billthat was passed by the United States Senate last summer?

All Frequent Talk Radio Strong Tea Pa

Support Oppose Don't Know


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but three-quarters support the bill when described.As you may know, last summer the United States Senate passed legislation to reform the immigration system. The plan has four mainelements: a) One, strengthen border security by putting more resources on the border b) Two, require employers to verify that all

employees are legal c) Three, illegal immigrants already in the United States with no criminal record would be required to register for legstatus, pay nes, learn English, pay taxes, and wait at the back of the line until everyone who is currently in line to legally enter gets in.

d) And four, tie the amount of legal immigration to the state of the economy Overall, would you say you support or oppose that immigration reform plan?


Support Oppose


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The charge of amnesty remains potent, meaning supporters need toemphasize the enforcement elements of the bill.

Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for aRepublican Member of Congress in a primary election if

they voted in favor of that immigration reform plan?

All

Support Oppose

Would you be more likely or less likely to vote fMember of Congress in a primary if they votedimmigration reform plan, which grants amnestillegal immigrants, provides ObamaCare bene

properly secure our borders

All

Support O


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The restrictive elements of a potential plan (prevent,require, block) garner high levels of support

The U.S. House of Representatives may take up the issue of immigration reform this summer. Would you please tell me if you stronglysupport, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose each of the following possible elements of an immigration reform plan:

Allow State/Local to Detain

Require E-Verify

Background, Taxes, Fine, Employment

Wait at Back of Line

Prevent Benet Collection

Learn English

Strongly Support Somewhat Support


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with the least supported restrictive elementsstill gaining two-thirds support.


Prevent Legal Status Change/Border

Block Applications Until Border Secured

Require Fed Gov't to Assume Custody



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A temporary worker plan draws the most support amongthe elements focused on legal status


Temporary Worker Plan/Return Home

Eligible After Honorable Discharge

High Skill Visas for STEM Master Degrees

Eligible Upon Enlisting in Military



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with each of these elements gaining majority support.


Substantial New Guest Worker Program

Green Cards for Advanced Degrees

Eligible Immediately After College



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A potential step-by-step plan enjoys enormous supportamong Republican primary voters.

The House of Representatives could vote this summer on step-by-step immigration reform bills that increasedstrengthened the E-Verify program so employers can quickly identify illegal job applicants, implemented a visa trackiwho is in the country, and allowed illegal immigrants to earn temporary legal status if they passed a criminal backgrou

English, paid a ne, and paid back taxes . In general, would you support or oppose that immigration reform plan?

All

Support Oppose


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The potential plan enjoys enormous support among keysubgroups




Support Oppose


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and a split among opponents of thedescribed Senate bill.



Described Senate Bill Supporters Described Senate Bill Opponents

Support Oppose


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Disagreement on immigration is not a deal-breaker amongRepublican primary voters.

If you agreed with a candidate on most other issues, but disagreed with him or her on immigration reform,would you still vote for that candidate, or not?

All House Plan Supporters House Plan Oppone

Would Still Vote Would Not Vote Don't Know

Documents

AAF National Survey of Republican Primary Voters Regarding Immigration Reform