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7/31/2019 93 Jeong
1/11
Engineering Structures 29 (2007) 21722182
www.elsevier.com/locate/engstruct
Fragility relationships for torsionally-imbalanced buildings usingthree-dimensional damage characterization
Seong-Hoon Jeonga,, Amr S. Elnashaib,1
aDepartment of Architectural Engineering, Inha University, Incheon, Republic of KoreabDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States
Received 17 June 2006; received in revised form 13 November 2006; accepted 13 November 2006
Available online 21 December 2006
Abstract
In this paper, a methodology for the derivation of fragility relationships for three-dimensional (3D) structures with plan irregularities is
developed. To illustrate the procedure, fragility curves are derived for an irregular reinforced concrete (RC) building under bi-directional
earthquake loadings. In order to represent the damage state of irregular structures, a spatial (3D) damage index is employed as the salient response
parameter. The feasibility of using a lognormal distribution for the bounded response variables, as in the case of structural fragility analysis, is
investigated. Through the comparison between the fragility curves derived using the spatial and the previously-existing damage indices, it is shown
that the proposed method provides realistic results and is therefore recommended for fragility analysis of buildings with significant torsional and
bi-directional responses.c 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Fragility curves; Earthquake response; Irregularity; Torsion; Bi-directional; Damage index
1. Introduction
Fragility curves, used for the assessment of seismic
losses, are in increasing demand, both for pre-earthquake
disaster planning and post-earthquake recovery and retrofitting
programs. This is due to the difficulties associated with
analyzing individual structures and the importance of obtaining
a global view of anticipated damage or effects of intervention,
before and after an earthquake, respectively. Analytically-
derived, mechanics-based fragility relationships result in
reduced bias and increased reliability of assessments compared
to the fragilities based on post-earthquake observations [1] or
on expert opinion (e.g. HAZUS [2]). Since analytical methods
are based on statistical damage measures from analyses of
structural models under increasing earthquake loads, employing
Corresponding address: Department of Architectural Engineering, InhaUniversity, 253 Yonghyun-dong, Nam-gu, Incheon, 402-751, Republic ofKorea. Tel.: +82 32 860 7580; fax: +82 32 866 4624.
E-mail addresses: [email protected] (S.-H. Jeong), [email protected](A.S. Elnashai).
1 2129e Newmark CE Lab. 205 North Mathews Ave, Urbana, Illinois, 61801,USA. Tel.: +1 217 265 5497; fax: +1 217 265 8040.
an appropriate damage assessment method is central to deriving
fragility curves.
For the seismic assessment of structures with planar
irregularities, a damage measure should be able to reflect 3D
structural response features such as torsion and bi-directional
response. In this study, a 3D damage characterization is
utilized to represent the damage states of buildings with
plan irregularities. The latter method accounts for the
multi-directionality of earthquake motions as well as the
asymmetry of the structure. It therefore captures the true
three-dimensional inelastic effects that govern the response
of structures. The adoption of such a damage measure opensthe door to the derivation of spatial fragility relationships of
irregular structures which have 3D responses, bi-directional
deformation and torsion. In deriving fragility curves with
the proposed damage measure, the validity of the statistical
manipulation methods is carefully investigated. A systematic
methodology to exclude unrealistic analyses results from the
statistical treatment of response variables is proposed, and
the feasibility of using lognormal distributions for bounded
response variables, such as in the case of fragility derivation,
is investigated.
0141-0296/$ - see front matter c
2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.engstruct.2006.11.010
http://www.elsevier.com/locate/engstructmailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2006.11.010http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2006.11.010mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.elsevier.com/locate/engstruct7/31/2019 93 Jeong
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Fig. 1. Plan of an irregular building and frames used in planar decomposition.
2. Damage assessment method for spatially-responding
buildings
The seismic assessment of buildings with irregular plans
requires special attention, while regular structures can be
readily idealized and assessed using the conventional 2Ddamage measures. Plan irregularities cause non-uniform
damage levels among the members within a story and thus
story-level damage indicators are inadequate in such cases. For
instance, interstory drift cannot capture the localized variation
in demand because the drift of columns varies according to their
positions in their plane, due to torsion. In order to overcome
the limitations of conventional damage measures, a 3D damage
assessment method for torsionally imbalanced buildings is
proposed, as described in subsequent sections of this paper.
2.1. Planar decomposition and local damage measure
To account for the torsional effects, a 3D structure is
decomposed into planar frames that are considered to be the
basic elements of lateral resistance, as shown in Fig. 1. Planar
decomposition (Fig. 1) is not a method that physically separates
structural components, but rather an approach that conceptually
limits the response monitoring scope to a basic component
(planar frame) in an integrated 3D structure. Therefore, while
the geometry of a planar frame is defined in 2D, the response
of the frame is not constrained to two-dimensional space. A
planar frame may respond out-of-plane and be subjected to
forces from other members orthogonally connected to it. Thus,
the damage measure for planar frames (local damage measure)
should be sensitive to these out-of-plane responses.The comparison of the response of an RC column under
unidirectional and bi-directional static loading is depicted in
Fig. 2. Curves A and B are obtained from pushover analyses
on the RC column subjected to unidirectional and bi-directional
loadings, respectively. It is shown that the out-of-plane response
(Curve B: bi-directional loading) leads to a strength reduction
compared to the in-plane response (Curve A: unidirectional
loading). Since the backbone envelope curve is obtained by
a 2D pushover analysis, the differences from the latter curve
mean that there exist additional damage-inducing factors other
than in-plane monotonic deformation, which is the only source
of damage featured in Curve A or the backbone curve.
Fig. 2. Comparison of responses with and without out-of-plane loadings.
Thus the strength reduction below the latter curve can be a
measure of additional damage due to the out-of-plane response
(bi-directional loading). In cases of cyclic loading, strength
reduction may also be caused by the effect of load reversals.
Therefore, at a given deformation value, the strength reduction
from the backbone envelope curve reflects the combined effects
of out-of-plane actions and cyclic loading.
Based on the above discussion, the damage level (D) of a
planar frame is defined as a combination of the damage due
to in-plane monotonic displacement and the strength reduction
from the backbone envelope curve, as given in Eq. (1).
D =
p
u+
1 pu
F0 Fp
F0 Fffor p u
p
u
for p > u.
(1)
The parameters used in Eq. (1) are explained in Fig. 3,
where a typical forcedisplacement relationship of an RC frame
under bi-directional loading and its backbone envelope curve
are presented.p andu are the displacement at peak response
and the ultimate displacement, respectively. The peak response
point (p) is not necessarily the maximum displacement.
Instead, the damage level (D) needs to be monitored at several
candidate peak response points (p) that may lead to the
maximum damage level. Since the maximum value of D
represents the maximum damage level of a planar frame during
its response history, it is defined as the damage index (Di ) of
the planar frame i .
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Fig. 3. Parameters to define damage due to strength degradation.
At a given displacement (p), the term F0 Fp representsstrength degradation due to bi-directional and cyclic loading
effects while Ff is the corresponding failure strength. The
failure strength is assumed to be a linear function ofthe displacement which connects the origin and ultimate
displacement (u ). The latter definition has been used as an
upper-bound for the failure strength of RC members [3,4]. It
is conceptually similar to the stiffness at ultimate state used in
secant stiffness damage indices [5,6].
In the study of Park [7], the post-peak displacement
corresponding to a small reduction in load (about 15%) is one
of the most realistic definitions of the ultimate displacement
(u ) for a ductile system. For non-ductile frames, using
displacements corresponding to brittle failure for predicting the
ultimate displacement is recommended. For the cases examined
in this paper, the ultimate displacement is defined as the post-
peak displacement corresponding to 85% of the peak strength,which is a common practice for systems without significant
capacity reduction after their peak strengths [7].
Structural components acting in 3D may have various
forcedisplacement curves according to the response mon-
itoring directions. However, for a planar frame, the re-
sponse monitoring direction is predetermined, and a single
forcedisplacement relationship in the latter direction is mean-
ingful to its damage assessment. For instance, the Frame y1 in
Fig. 1 is considered as the basic element of the lateral load re-
sistance in the y direction. Therefore, the damage assessment of
the Frame y1 is performed based on the forcedisplacement
curve in the y direction (the plot of y-directional force vs. they-directional displacement) only. Its interdependence on the
forcedisplacement curve in the other direction is represented
by the strength drop-off as shown in the formulation (Eq. (1)),
i.e., at a given displacement, the strength is lower than the back-
bone envelope due to the interdependence.
2.2. System damage measure
The local damage measures for planar frames are combined
to formulate a system-wide global damage index. For a given
direction, all planar frames in the direction of consideration
participate in the unidirectional global damage index. After
obtaining a global damage index in one direction, the process
is repeated for the other direction, and the overall damage
state of a story is determined by the damage index of the
critical direction. The proposed combination method adopts
two important assumptions that have been generally used in
formulating weighted average damage indices [8,4]. These
assumptions involve (i) placing emphasis on severely damaged
local elements, and (ii) using the gravity loads supportedby each local component for its weighting factor. The latter
assumptions are justified on the grounds of the criticality of
members that are supporting high levels of axial force to the
gravity load stability of the frame.
Based on the above assumptions, the weighting (Wi ) of local
damage is defined as:
Wi = wi ACi (Di ) (2)where, wi is the gravity load on the contribution area (ACi ). The
contribution area is defined as a function of the local damage
level (Di ) and determined by inspecting the floor area affected
by the local damage, as illustrated in Fig. 4. In the latter figure,
D1 and D2 are the damage levels of Frame 1 and Frame 2,
respectively. The influence area (Ai ) of each frame changes
from Ai,min to Ai,max according to the damage level of the
corresponding planar frame. Definitions of the various areas
used in the proposed combination method are given in Table 1.
The first row of the influence area matrix in Fig. 4 represents
the influence areas of Frame 1. The influence area in each
element of the first row is determined as follows:
(a) Case A: When the damage level of Frame 1 is minor (Dm),
the local contribution of a planar frame is determined by its
own tributary gravity load. In this case, the influence area
of the local damage is termed the tributary area (Ai,min).
(b) Case B: The influence area (A1) is determined by
interpolating between the two cases (Case A and Case C).
The value of A1 is between the tributary area (Case A) and
the failure consequence area (Case C). It is expressed as:
A1 = A1,min + (A1,max A1,min) D1 (3)where, A1,min and A1,max are the tributary area and failure
consequence area, respectively. D1 is the damage index of
Frame 1. In the latter formulation, the minor damage level
in Case A is assumed as Dm = 0.(c) Case C: If Frame 1 fails (D1 1.0), then the consequence
is not limited to the tributary area but extends to the
neighboring planar frame. In this case, the whole areashared by the two frames is used for the influence area of
Frame 1. The area is referred to as the failure consequence
area (Ai,max).
The second row represents the influence area of Frame 2 and
the calculation method is the same as that of Frame 1, which
is presented above. Finally, the third row of the influence area
matrix (Fig. 4) represents local contribution areas (ACi ). They
are determined based on the influence areas (Ai ) of individual
frames, which are tentatively used for deriving the contribution
area (ACi ). In order that the sum of all contribution areas
is equal to the total area, any overlapping areas should be
subtracted. The overlapping influence areas of Frame 1 and
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Fig. 4. Influence area matrix.
Table 1
Description of areas used in the proposed combination method
Areas Description Symbols
Influence area The area affected by local damage AiTributary area The minimum influence area when the local damage is minor Ai,minFailure consequence area The maximum influence area when the local component has failed Ai,maxCommon influence area The area shared by the influence areas of two neighboring local components Acm,i jContribution area The area for determining the local damage contribution to the overall damage level ACi
When Di < D j
ACi = Ai Acm,i j , AC j = AjCommon failure consequence area The area shared by the failure consequence areas of two neighboring local components; maximum common area AC F,i j
Frame 2 is termed common influence area (Acm,12), expressedin Eq. (4).
Acm,12 = (A1,max A1,min) D1 + (A2,max A2,min) D2.(4)The common influence area is regarded as part of the
influence area of the more damaged local component, i.e., the
common influence area is governed by the damage level of the
critical component. If Frame 1 is less damaged than Frame 2(D1 < D2), their contribution areas (ACi ) can be calculated as
follows:
AC1 = A1 Acm,12 = A1,min (A2,max A2,min) D2
= A1,min AC F,12
2 D2 (5)
AC2 = A2 = A2,min + (A2,max A2,min) D2= A2,min +
AC F,12
2 D2 (6)
where AC F,12 is the common region between the failure
consequence areas of the two neighboring planar frames(A1,max, A2,max). It is referred to as the common failure
consequence area. In Case A (the first column of Fig. 4),
Frame 2 has failed and its tributary region will be the failure
consequence area (the whole area between two frames), and
there is no contribution area for Frame 1. Case C is the opposite
of the latter case.
Using the local contribution (Wi ) in Eq. (2), the global
damage index (Dg) of the example structure in Fig. 4 is written
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Fig. 5. Plan of the example structure for the damage assessment comparison.
as:
Dg =W1 D1 + W2 D2
Wtotal= w1 AC1 D1 + w2 AC2 D2
Wtotal(7)
where w1 and w2 are the gravity loads on contribution areas
(AC1, AC2). Assuming that the gravity loads are uniformly
distributed, Eq. (7) may be rewritten as
Dg =AC1 D1 + AC2 D2
Atotal. (8)
The latter relationship gives general formulations of the
global damage index (Dg) for the case of uniformly distributedgravity loads, as shown below:
Dg =
DiAi,min
Atotal
+i=j
AC F,i j
2 Atotal Max(Di , Dj ) |Di Dj |
(9)
where the subscripts i and j identify the individual local
components. Di and Ai,min are the local damage index and the
tributary area of the local component i , respectively. AC F,i jis the common region between the failure consequence areas
of two neighboring planar frames and is termed the common
failure consequence area.
2.3. Limit state
The assessment results obtained using the spatial damage
index are compared with those from previous studies. For
the comparison, the Park and Ang [8] and interstory drift
damage indices [9] are selected, because they are the two most
extensively used damage measures. The damage assessment
was performed on the single-story RC frame shown in Fig. 5.
Columns C2 and C4 have larger sections than the other
columns, and their strong axes are along the global x and
y directions, respectively. All other columns have the same
(a) Unidirectional loading, 2D.
(b) Unidirectional loading, 3D.
Fig. 6. Comparison of damage assessment results by the proposed damage
index, Park and Angs damage index, and the interstory drift-damage index.
section sizes. The masses are uniformly distributed over the
plan, and the center of rigidity changes according to the
distribution of inelasticity. The distance between the center of
mass and the center of rigidity varies between 0.6 m and 1.0 mwith an average of 0.8 m, under an earthquake with a PGA of
0.3g.
Damage assessment comparisons for two different cases:
(i) unidirectional loading and 2D responses (i.e. out-of-plane
responses restrained) and (ii) unidirectional loading and 3D
responses are represented in Fig. 6(a) and (b), respectively.
Since the spatial and Park and Ang damage indices are
very similar in cases of unidirectional earthquake loadings,
the damage scale proposed in Park et al. [8] is considered
to be viable for the spatial damage index. The suggested
classification of the limit states is as follows.
D < 0.25 no damage or Minor damage light
cracking0.25 D < 0.4 moderate damage severe cracking,
localized spalling0.4 D < 1.0 severe damage crushing of concrete,
reinforcement exposedD 1.0 collapsed.
As reported in previous studies [8,10], the variation in
the value of a damage index for a given damage condition
is significant. Therefore, it is not feasible to estimate the
damage condition using deterministic limit states. The limit
state uncertainty can be calculated, for example, from the
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Fig. 7. Probabilistic damage scale.
statistical data in Park et al. [11], for which the total coefficient
of variation (COV) is 0.6 and the COV reflecting only the
inherent randomness in the damage index is 0.5. Based on the
latter data, Singhal and Kiremidjian [10] calculated the COV
due to uncertainty (u ) as follows:
u =
2T 2r =
0.62 0.52 = 0.33 (10)
where, T and r are the total COV and the COV due to inherent
randomness, respectively.
Based on the above, in this study, a probabilistic index
versus limit state relationship is used to account for the
uncertainties in definition of the limit state (Fig. 7). In deriving
the latter relationship, it is assumed that for a given limit state,
the associated damage index follows a lognormal probability
distribution with the mean value of the above limit states and
a COV of 0.33. Additional details on the three-dimensional
damage index are given in Jeong and Elnashai [12].
3. Derivation of fragility curves
The proposed approach of constructing fragility curves
for buildings with plan irregularities is presented through an
example derivation in the following sub-sections. The main
differences between the proposed and the conventional fragility
assessment procedures involve: (i) applying bi-directional
earthquake loading to the structure, (ii) using the spatial
index to capture the damage state of a structure with an
asymmetric plan, and (iii) filtering out of the unrealistic analysis
results during the statistical manipulation. Additionally, thefeasibility of using the lognormal distribution, intrinsically
relevant to unbounded problems, for the damage index, a
bounded response variable, is investigated.
3.1. Example structure and input ground motions
A three-story, 2 2 bay RC frame with an asymmetricplan is used for the example derivation of fragility curves. The
structure was designed for a full-scale pseudo-dynamic test at
the Joint Research Center, Ispra, Italy under the auspices of
the European Union project Seismic Performance Assessment
and Rehabilitation (SPEAR) [13]. The layout of the structure
is represented in Fig. 8. The large column (C6) in Fig. 8
(a) 3D view of the test structure.
(b) Plan of the test structure.
Fig. 8. Overview and plan of the test structure.
(b) contributes significantly higher stiffness and strength in
the y direction than in the x direction. The thickness of the
slab is 150 mm and the total beam depth is 500 mm. The
sectional dimension of C6 is 750 250 mm, whereas all othercolumns are 250 250 mm. The structure is a strong-beamweak-column system, and the second story is a soft story. The
finite element analysis program Zeus NL [14] was utilized to
perform the analyses necessary for the assessment. A detailed
description on the structure and its analytical modeling are
given in Jeong and Elnashai [15]. The application of the planar
decomposition to the SPEAR test structure, its capacity curves
and the calculation of ultimate displacements of individual
planar frames are described in Jeong and Elnashai [16].
Since the aim of this study is to develop an approach
for the probabilistic fragility analysis of structures with plan
irregularities, issues of seismic hazard are not considered in the
example derivations using the spatial damage index. Therefore
a set of randomly selected records are used for the simulation.
The list of the earthquake records used is given in Table 2.
Each of the records consists of two orthogonal components
(Longitudinal and Transverse) of horizontal accelerations, and
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(a) Components applied in the x direction.
(b) Components applied in the y direction.
Fig. 9. Elastic response spectra of the applied records (5% damping).
Table 2
List of earthquake records with two orthogonal components
No. Earthquake Station
1 Montenegro 1979 Ulcinj2 Montenegro 1979 Herceg Novi
3 Friuli 1976 Tolmezzo
4 Imperial Valley 1940 El Centro Array #9
5 Kalamata 1986 Prefecture
6 Loma Prieta 1989 Capitola
7 Imperial Valley 1979 Bonds Corner
8 Athens 1999 Metro
9 Parkfield 1969 Temblor
10 Duzce 1999 Duzce
is modified from the natural record to be compatible to a smoothcode spectrum (Eurocode 8, Type 1, Soil C, 5% damped design
spectrum) [17]. The response spectra of the applied records are
shown in Fig. 9. The three main structural response periods arealso shown in the figure.
In order to obtain response variables as functions of
earthquake intensities, inelastic response history analyses were
performed with the records in Table 2 by scaling their PGAsfrom 0.05 to 0.4g with a step of 0.05g. It is emphasized here
that this is a reference implementation of 3D fragility analysis;
hence strong motion selection and scaling are not the focus of
the work presented.
3.2. Exclusion of unrealistic analytical results
In constructing analytical fragility curves, the damage state
of a structure is estimated from simulation results. If the
demand is far larger than the capacity of the structure, analytical
simulations often lead to erroneous response estimates due to
numerical instability. The latter situation yields unrealistically
large response values. Such results should be excluded
from the statistical data set of structural responses, because
they distort the statistical parameters (mean and variation).
Therefore, it is proposed that response parameters largerthan a certain threshold value should be filtered out in
calculating the statistical parameters, which cannot therefore
be fully automated. The filtering threshold is determined as
a spatial damage index of 2.0, since this value corresponds
to deterministic structural failure (with more than 99%
confidence, from Fig. 7). The values of the damage indices
obtained from the example simulation in Section 3.1 and the
filtering threshold used (DI = 2.0) are shown in Fig. 10(a).The means of the post-filtering values (DI < 2.0) are
represented as a function of earthquake intensities; this is a
3rd order polynomial equation between 0.05 to 0.4g PGA. The
probability of failure calculated by Eq. (11) is represented in
Fig. 10(b).For a given earthquake intensity, the procedure of calculating
a probability of damage index exceeding a given limit state (LS)
is described as follows:
(1) The probability of failure is separately calculated using theresponses larger than the filtering threshold value (DI >2.0).
PFailure
= number of analyses where the structure is assumed to have failedtotal number of analyses
.
(11)
(2) For values of the damage index between 0 and 2.0, the
conditional probability of exceeding a limit state (LS)
is calculated by Eq. (12), which is the product of the
probability of non-failure and the limit state probability
under this condition.
P((DLS D < 1)|s) = (1 PFailure) (1 F(DLS)|s )(12)
where, F(DLS)|s is the cumulative probability of obtainingthe damage index (D) between 0 and DLS when the
earthquake intensity is s. DLS is a threshold response
quantity (threshold damage index) for a limit state. The
statistical parameters (mean and variation) to obtain thecumulative probability F(DLS)|s are calculated for damageindices less than 2.0.
(3) Finally, the probability of the maximum response exceeding
a predetermined limit state is calculated by the total
probability theorem, combining the probability of failure
and the probability of structures suffering a certain level of
damage (calculated with the damage index values between
0 and 2.0), and is given by:
P((DLS D)|s) = PFailure+(1 PFailure) P((DLS D < 2)|s)
= PFailure + (1 PFailure) (1 F(DLS)|s ) (13)
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Fig. 10. Response distribution and mean damage index as functions of earthquake intensity and probability of failure: (a) Filtering threshold and mean of post
filtering responses; (b) Probability of failure.
Fig. 11. Viability of using the lognormal probability distribution: (a) Comparison of fragility curves using Beta and lognormal distributions; (b) Lognormal
probability paper.
where, s is a given earthquake intensity. The fragility curve
for a limit state is obtained by plotting the total probability
from Eq. (13) over a range of earthquake intensities.
3.3. Probability distribution
The response variable used in this study is the damage
index, which is bounded between 0 and 2.0. Therefore, strictly
speaking, the Beta distribution is suitable for its probabilistic
treatment. However, the use of the lognormal probability
distribution is preferred, because it is simple in formulation and
convenient to deal with in terms of implementing uncertainties.
The question does not arise when using drift as the assessment
measure, since it is, at least theoretically, unbounded.
Below, the feasibility of using lognormal distributions for the
probability distributions of damage indices after filtering (0
0.2, (ii) damage index (DI) > 0.4, and (iii) damage index (DI)
> 0.6.
In Fig. 11(b), two sets of sample data from the example
simulation are plotted on the lognormal probability paper with
the vertical axis as the logarithm of the damage index. The
horizontal axis is the standard normal variate, which is the
inverse of the standard normal cumulative probability. The
cumulative probability of the mth value among the N data
points (x1, x2, . . . ,xN, arranged in increasing order) of the
logarithm of the damage index is determined by m/(N+1) andits basis is discussed in Gumbel [18]. The linear relationship
between the vertical and horizontal ordinates guarantees thatthe vertical axis can be used as a random variable with a normal
distribution [19]. Therefore, the linearity of the sample data sets
in Fig. 11(b) shows that the logarithm of the damage index
is normally distributed. Based on the above discussion, it is
concluded that assuming lognormal probability distribution is
feasible for damage indices between 0 and 2.0.
3.4. Effect of randomness in material properties on fragility
curves
In order to estimate the effects of material randomness on
the fragility analysis results, dynamic response history analyses
were performed on 30 analytical models that nominally
represent the example frame (Fig. 5) with 30 sets of random
material properties using the bi-directional earthquake records
in Table 2. Each set of the material properties are randomly
sampled from normal distributions described as the mean of
concrete compressive strength ( fc) and steel yield strength ( fy )of 26.4 MPa and 474 MPa, respectively. The yield stress of
steel is assumed to be normally distributed with a coefficient
of variation (COV) of 5.2% based on the investigation by Pipa
and Carvalho [20]. The Youngs modulus of steel is assumed as
deterministic because only a small variability of this parameter
has been observed in the latter reference. For concrete, Mirza
et al. [21] suggested a COV for the normal distribution of
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(a) Mean of responses.
(b) Variance of responses.
Fig. 12. Comparison of full and reduced simulations.
compressive strength equal to 12%, 15% and 18% for precast,
ready-mix and in situ concrete, respectively. In the present
simulation, 18% is adopted for the COV of the concretes
strength distribution.
The mean and variation of the response from the latteranalyses are compared with those from the example structures
with deterministic mean material properties ( fc = 26.4 MPa;fy = 474 MPa), as shown in Fig. 12. For comparison, thespatial damage index is employed as the response variable. The
statistical parameters based on the mean material properties
show very good agreement with those of the frames with the
30 random material strength values. This indicates that the
fragility curves, at least under the current set of conditions,
are little affected by material randomness, and thus they can
be derived considering only the randomness in ground motions.
This observation was also reported in Kwon and Elnashai [22].
The observation is attributed to the fact that the mean capacity
of a structure is marginally affected by the random material
properties, which is a very slightly skewed normal distribution
around the mean properties. Moreover, the effect of the material
randomness on the response variation is overshadowed by the
randomness in the earthquake record set. Based on the above
discussion, material randomness is not accounted for hereafter,
and earthquake ground motion is considered as the only random
aspect.
3.5. Fragility curves
Fragility curves for the three-story example frame (Fig. 8)
subjected to bi-directional earthquake loadings (records in
Table 2) are derived. Based on the assumption that a critical
story governs the overall damage state of the building, the 3D
damage measure of a critical story (often the 2nd story, and less
frequently the 1st story) is employed as the response variable.
The amplitudes of acceleration are from 0.05 to 0.4g. The
probability of exceedance of a limit state at a given earthquake
intensity is calculated from Eq. (13), which can be rewritten asfollows.
Prob(DL S D) = PFailure + (1 PFailure)
1
ln(DLS)
2R+ 2LS
(14)
where, () represents the cumulative standard normal
distribution and = ln(/
1 + 2). is the mean of responsevariables and is the coefficient of variation, equal to the ratio
of the standard deviation to the mean value of the damage
index at an earthquake intensity, i.e. /. R and LS are
response variabilities due to inherent randomness and limitstate uncertainty, respectively. The latter parameters can be
calculated as follows:
R =
ln(1 + 2), LS =
ln(1 + 0.332). (15)As discussed in Section 3.4, the effect of material
randomness is negligible and thus, only the response variation
caused by randomness in the earthquake record set is used for
R .
Since the number of ground motions at each earthquake
intensity level is relatively small, the uncertainty due to the
use of a limited number of samples is accounted for. This
uncertainty is represented by the confidence interval of themean values. The confidence interval is determined by the
t-distribution [19] assuming that the 10 earthquake records are a
randomly selected set of samples from all possible earthquakes
at a given intensity. Fig. 13(a) shows the lower and upper bound
of mean values with a 90% confidence level and their regression
functions. Fragility curves based on the latter mean estimation
(Fig. 13(b)) shows that the effect of uncertainty due to the
limited sample size is significant for the collapse limit state.
In Fig. 14, fragility curves derived by the proposed damage
assessment method are compared with those obtained using
the Park and Ang damage index. For a clearer presentation,
the confidence intervals in Fig. 13(b) are omitted. The latter
damage index is utilized with planar decomposition, i.e., thePark and Ang damage index is applied to individual planar
frames and the local damage measures are combined by
the following method [8]: the overall damage of a building
is calculated by averaging the local damage indices (Di ),
weighted by the ratio of local energy absorptions to the global
energy absorption (Ei /Ei ), as shown in Eq. (16).
Dg =
DiEiEi
. (16)
While the Park and Ang damage index with planar
decomposition is sensitive to torsion, it is not sensitive to out-
of-plane response [12]. Therefore, fragility curves using the
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Fig. 13. Mean values and fragility curves with a 90% confidence interval: (a) Mean values and regression functions; (b) Fragility curves for various limit states.
Fig. 14. Comparison of fragility curves derived by thespatial and Park & Angs
damage indices.
spatial damage index represent higher risk than those using
the Park and Ang damage index, as shown in Fig. 14. The
difference between the two sets of fragility curves becomeslarger as the limit state represents more significant damage
levels.
4. Conclusions
In the derivation of analytical fragility curves, the response
of a structure is represented by a single local, or more
often global, quantity to enable the statistical treatment of
simulation results. Examples of response quantities are steel
strain, curvature ductility, interstory drift, roof drift or some
damage index. However, the absence of a single quantity to
measure the three-dimensional response taking into account
torsion and bi-directional responses has hitherto hampered thereliable fragility assessment of irregular structures under bi-
directional loadings. The spatial damage measure presented
in this study broadens the application of analytical fragility
curves to the important domain of 3D structures with significant
torsional and bi-directional effects. Below, the methodological
considerations needed to incorporate this spatial damageindex into the framework for deriving fragility curves are
summarized:
Comparing fragility curves obtained using the lognormaland Beta distributions confirmed the feasibility of using
the lognormal distribution to represent bounded response
measures.
The limit state probability is calculated by combiningthe conventional method of calculating the probability of
exceeding a certain damage level and the probability of
failure. The latter probability is separately calculated by
dividing the number of damage indices larger than the
threshold value by the total number of response points at agiven earthquake intensity.
In addition to the variability of the response due toinherent randomness, uncertainties due to errors in defining
limit states and using a limited number of samples are
incorporated into the study.
Through the comparisons between the fragility curves
derived by the new spatial damage index and damage indices
used in the published literature, it has been shown that the
proposed method provides realistic results. It is further noted
that using the conventional damage index is less conservative
for structures responding in 3D. Therefore, the proposed
method of deriving fragility curves is recommended for theprobabilistic seismic assessment of buildings with significant
torsional and bi-directional responses.
Acknowledgements
The work presented above was undertaken as part of
the Mid-America Earthquake (MAE) Center research project
CM-4: Structural Retrofit Strategies, which is under the
Consequence Minimization Thrust Area. The MAE Center
is a National Science Foundation Engineering Research
Center (ERC), funded through contract reference NSF Award
No. EEC-9701785. This paper was supported by the Inha
University.
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