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I-6 Traffic Response Program Arterial Service Patrol Mobility Strategy Evaluation Tom Ryan, HDR Carlos Sun, MU. 64. 70. 44. 55. 370. 270. 270. 170. 180. D. 67. 366. N. 30. Legend. Tier I Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4. 21. 340. 100. 141. 364. Two-Year Full Roadway Closure Evaluation. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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I-6 Traffic Response ProgramArterial Service Patrol
Mobility StrategyEvaluation
Tom Ryan, HDRCarlos Sun, MU
270
270
170
64
141
100
340D
180
366
30
21
Clayton
Hanl
ey
King
shig
hway
Forest ParkHa
mpt
onBrentwood
Ladue
Ashb
y
Tier I Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Legend
70
N
67
370
Mississippi R
iver
Mis
sour
i Riv
er
Meramec River
44
55
364
• Areas of Study
– Tier 1– Tier 2– Tier 3– Tier 4
Two-Year Full Roadway Closure Evaluation
Arterial Service Patrol
Assessment Factors
• Reduction in traffic delay
• Reduction in fuel and emission
• Reduction in secondary crashes
• Reduction in response staff (emergency and operations)
• Improved public support
Arterial Service Patrol Public Support
I-64 Traffic Response Program is
Definitely Probably
Valuable 788 9
I-64 Traffic Response Program overall Very Satisfied Satisfied Very Dissatisfied
Percentage of Very Satisfied or
SatisfiedEffectiveness 754 29 1 99.9%
I-64 Traffic Response Operators are
Very Satisfied Satisfied Very Dissatisfied
Knowledgeable 739 42 1 99.9%
Courtesy 775 19 1 99.9%
Professionalism 772 23 1 99.9%
Safety Procedures 770 27 1 99.9%
Arterial Service Patrol Traffic Delay and Emission
Model Traffic Data Incident/ImpactBaseline 2007 No Incident
Post-construction 1a 2007 No IncidentPost-construction 2a 2007 Incident 5 minutes lane blockage Post-construction 1b 2007 Incident 15 minutes lane blockagePost-construction 2b 2008 Incident 15 minutes lane blockagePost-construction 3a 2007 Incident 30 minutes lane blockagePost-construction 3b 2008 Incident 30 minutes lane blockage
Response Time Mail-in Survey Information
Percent Accumulative Percent
Assists in 2008
Estimated Lane Closure
< 5 minutes 253 32.3% 32.3% 2074 20
5 to 10 minutes 250 31.9% 64.2% 2050 25
10 to 20 minutes 177 22.6% 86.7% 1451 30
20 to 30 minutes 61 7.8% 94.5% 500 40
30 to 40 minutes 24 3.1% 97.6% 197 50
> 40minutes 19 2.4% 100.0% 156 > 50
Total 784 6428
Arterial Service Patrol Secondary Crash
• 2004 St. Louis Study By MU
• 5% Secondary Crash Factor
• Spatial and Temporal Thresholds
• 2007 Crash Data – Draft Report
• National Safety Council - Average Comprehensive Cost
Arterial Service Patrol Response Staff Savings
Highway Assist Multi-Organizations Assist Driver Assist
Debris Removal 1921 Spill 34 Tire 1346
I-70 Express Lane 4 Abandoned Vehicle 2211 Dispense Fluid 992
Signal/Lighting 209 Crash 2327 Lost Motorist 954
Signing 359 Mechanical 2811
Pavement 92
CMS/DMS 132
Construction Zone 77
Special Lighting 1
Dead Animals 315
Flooding 51
Ice/Snow 103
Total 3264 Totals 4572 Totals 6103
Arterial Service Patrol Results
Response Time Mail-in Survey Information
PercentIncidents in 2008
Estimated Lane Closure
Potential Savings
< 5 minutes 253 32.3% 2074 20 $3,170,433
5 to 10 minutes 250 31.9% 2050 25 $3,167,219
10 to 20 minutes 177 22.6% 1451 30 $2,339,754
20 to 30 minutes 61 7.8% 500 40 $806,356
30 to 40 minutes 24 3.1% 197 50 $317,255
> 40minutes 19 2.4% 156 > 50 $251,160
Total 784 6428 $10,052,176
St. Louis St. Louis County Potential Potential
Secondary Cost per Estimated
Type of Crash County 2007 % by Type Crashes Crashes by Type Crash Type Savings
Fatal 17 0.2% 6 0.3 $4,100,000 $1,161,667
Serious Injury 168 1.7% 56 2.8 208,500 $583,800
Minor Injury 2228 22.6% 743 37.1 53,200 $1,975,493
Property Damage 7593 75.5% 2531 126.6 9,990 $1,264,235
Total 10006 3335 $4,985,195
Arterial Service Patrol Results
Total Savings
Traffic Delay and Congestion Savings $1,266,574
Secondary Crash Savings $2,991,117
Response Staff Savings $57,977
Total Savings $4,315,668
Benefit/Cost 5.9
Program Cost 2008
Equipment Cost $23,520
Annual Cost - Labor, gas, etc. $703,980
$727,500
Where Do We Go From Here?Current Research and
Challenges
Assessment of Safety: Crash Analysis
• Challenges with attributing safety benefits
• How do we know which crashes were secondary? – MUAR 16. Traffic Conditions? – wrt Primary Incidents?
Secondary wrt Primary: Zone of Influence
• 2004
Distribution of Crash Severity
fatal injury pdo
I-70 3.00 271.00 670.00
I-270 3.00 219.00 555.00
total 6.00 490.00 1225.00
% 0.35 28.47 71.18
crash cost (1999) 3390000 44100 3220
Traffic Incident Management/ITS
• Everyone has a role: police, fire, EMS, HAZMAT, towing, MA/traffic response, TMC, media, the public
• What is the baseline in an evaluation?– How do we establish that baseline?
• Benefits in: detection, verification, traffic control, clearance? – Do benefits come from non-independent
sources?
Data Issues
• Self-selected samples, reliability– MA survey letters vs. randomized sample
• Resolution compatible with detail required– ITS: real-time, dynamic, fine resolution
• I think the data is there, but alas!
Include Us (Evaluators) Early, Please
• ITS evaluations are intensely data driven
• Include the evaluators ahead of time– to get baseline data– to ascertain if data currently being
collected is adequate– to make recommendations on what data
to archive