2016-05 County Sales & Price Public PPT

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    CALIFORNIA HOUSINGMARKET UPDATE

    Monthly Sales and Price Statistics

    May 2016

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    SALES OF EXISTING DETACHED HOMES

    California, May 2016 Sales: 410,090 Units, +2.2% YTD, -3.2% YTY

    -

    100,000

    200,000

    300,000

    400,000

    500,000

    600,000

    700,000

    *Sales are seasonally adjusted and annualizedSERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family HomesSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    May-16:410,090

    May-15:423,700

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    CALIFORNIA SALES(JAN 2000 PRESENT)

    SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes, Not Seasonally Adjusted

    SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    -60%

    -40%

    -20%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    140%

    Year-over-Year % Chg 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Year-over-Year % Chg)

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    BAY AREA SALES (EXISTING SFH)

    SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally Adjusted

    SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    -30%

    -20%

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    Bay Area 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Bay Area)YoY % chg.

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    SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA (EXISTING SFH)

    SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally Adjusted

    SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    -30%

    -25%

    -20%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    So CA 6 per. Mov. Avg. (So CA)YoY % chg.

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    CENTRAL VALLEY SALES (EXISTING SFH)

    SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally Adjusted

    SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    -30%

    -25%

    -20%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    Central Valley 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Central Valley)YoY % chg.

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    SALES SHARE BY PRICE RANGE

    10%

    16% 16%14%

    21%

    10% 10%

    3%

    12%

    17% 16%14%

    19%

    9% 9%

    3%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    May-16 May-15

    SERIES: Sales of Existing Detached Homes

    SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

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    MEDIAN PRICE OF EXISTING DETACHED HOMES

    California, May 2016: $518,760, +1.8% MTM, +6.3% YTY

    $-

    $100,000

    $200,000

    $300,000

    $400,000

    $500,000

    $600,000

    $700,000 P: May-07

    $594,530

    T: Feb-09$245,230-59% from

    peak

    SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family Homes

    SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    May-16:$518,760

    May-15:$487,960

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    -50%

    -40%

    -30%

    -20%

    -10%

    0%

    10%20%

    30%

    40%

    50% Condo Single-Family Homes

    HOME PRICE APPRECIATIONS HAVEMODERATED SINCE MID 2013

    SERIES: Sales of SFH and Condo Units

    SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    YTY% Chg. in Price

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    CA MEDIAN PRICE (EXISTING SFH)

    SERIES: Median Price, Not Seasonally Adjusted

    SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    Month-to-Month % Chg

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    PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT

    May 2016: $249, Up 2.3% MTM, Up 6.8% YTY

    $0

    $50

    $100

    $150

    $200

    $250

    $300

    $350

    $400PRICE PERSQ.FT.

    SERIES: Median Price Per Square Feet

    SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    May-16:$249

    May-15:$238

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    SALES PRICE -TO-LIST PRICE RATIO

    May 2016: 99.7%, Up 0.4% MTM, Up 0.7% YTY

    86%

    88%

    90%

    92%

    94%

    96%

    98%

    100%

    Sales-to-List Price Ratio

    SERIES: Sales-to-List Ratio

    SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    May-16:99.7%May-15:

    99.0%

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    UII DOWN FROM LAST YEARAS ACTIVE LISTINGS DECLINED

    May 2015: 3.5 Months; May 2016: 3.4 Months

    Note: Unsold Inventory Index represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month inquestion. The remaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were Active, Pending, andContingent (when available) and divide the sum by the number of Sold properties for the month in question.

    0.0

    2.0

    4.0

    6.0

    8.0

    10.012.0

    14.0

    16.0

    18.0

    SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes

    SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

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    INVENTORY DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLYIN THE BAY AREA SINCE 2009

    Note: Unsold Inventory Index represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month inquestion. The remaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were Active, Pending, andContingent (when available) and divide the sum by the number of Sold properties for the month in question.

    2.4

    3.7

    3.4

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    7.0

    8.0

    9.0 Bay Area So CA Central Valley

    SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes

    SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

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    SUPPLY DROPPED IN SO CA AND CENTRALVALLEY, BUT UP IN THE BAY AREA

    -5%

    2% 3%

    9%

    -3%

    -12%

    -20%

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    San Francisco Bay Area Southern California Central Valley

    Sales Active ListingsYear-to-Year%Ch

    SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    May 2016