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KENTUCKY 2015 PHOTO: Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

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Page 1: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

KENTUCKY2015

PHOTO: Pat McDonoghThe Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

Page 2: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

OKLAHOMA CITY2013

Photo: News 9, Oklahoma City, OKwww.news9.com

Page 3: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

ATLANTA

2014

PHOTO:Channel 11 News, http://archive.11alive.com/news/article/320140/0/Atlanta-area-weather-Snow-in-Georgia-Jan-28

Page 4: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

Each year

1,312,000 crashes480,000 injured

6,250 killedU.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration, “How Do Weather Events Impact Roads?”

April 9, 2015http://www.ops.fhwa.dot.gov/weather/q1_roadimpact.htm

Page 5: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

January 2014ALABAMA

NOAA, National Weather Service Forecast Office, Birmingham, Alabama, January 28, 2014http://www.srh.noaa.gov/bmx/?n=winter_01282014

9 deaths

731 accidents

Page 6: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

WITCHITA FALLS, TEXAS 1979

11 of 16 who diedleft homes that were

undamaged

42 fatalities25 inside vehicles16 of 25 left their Homes to escape tornado

NOAA. National Weather Service Forecast Office, Norman OklahomaThe April 10, 1979 Severe Weather Outbreak by Don Burgess, National Severe Storm Laboratory [Ret.]

Page 7: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

WHY?

PHOTO: NOAA, National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office, Birmingham, Alabamahttp;//www.srh.noaa.gov/images/bmx/significant_events/2014/snow_01282014/6.jpg

Uninformed?Misinformed?

Unduly optimistic?

Desensitized?

Panic stricken?Complacent?

Page 8: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

PERSUASIONWORKS

WHEN

1. Driver receives WARNING message

Page 9: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

MULTPLE CHANNELS

Page 10: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

2. CLEARMESSAGE

a. Legibleb. Concisec. Cleard. Date/time

Page 11: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

LANGUAGEConcrete

NOTABSTRACT

Page 12: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

CONCRETE WORDSClearly understoodRefer to something that can be perceived with our senses

Smell natural gas if line breaksTaste hot chocolateFeel icy rainSound of tornado sirenSight of car pileup

Page 13: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

CONCRETE WORDSin WEATHER

“Everyone in Tuscaloosa needsto be underground now.”

---Jim Cantore, April 27, 2011

Page 14: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

ABSTRACT WORDSRefer to something that cannot be perceived with our senses

SafeCautionDangerRiskShelter

ABSTRACTLanguage is important in

certain contexts

Page 15: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

“The public is more likely to trust and comply with

weather warnings if authorities give their

warnings as a probability estimate”

SOURCE: Society for Risk Analysis (SRA), ‘Bad Weather Warnings Most Effective if Probability Included, New Research Suggests.” Science Daily,January 27, 2015, ,www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/01/150127104844.htm.>

Page 16: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

EXAMPLESa. 30% chance of severe thunderstormsb. TOR-CON 3Scattered severe thunderstorms along and ahead of a cold front in MN, extreme east SD, extreme east ND, east NC\E, norhteast and north-central KS, northwest MO, west and central IA, northwest WI, extreme west upper MI. TOR:CON – 3.

SOURCE: The Weather Channel, Dr. Greg Forbes, August 21, 2015,<www.weatherchannel.com>

Page 17: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

ABSTRACT WORDSin WEATHER

“You need to be in your safe place.”

Page 18: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

COGNITIVE DISSONANCE

use judiciouslyi.e., motivate drivers to change behavior

by creating unpleasant

psychological tensionJ. Dan Rothwell, In the Company of Others, An Introduction to Communication

Mayfield Publishing Company, 2000 p. 502

Page 19: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

PHOTO SOURCE: www.srh.noaa.gov

Page 20: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

If you are stuck in gridlock

during the storm, who

will take care of your

(AP PHOTO: David Tulis

Page 21: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

best friend?

PHOTO SOURCE;https://daybreaksdevotions.wordpress.com /2015/03/02/daybreaks-for-30215-and-so-we-wait/

Page 22: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

If you’re

stuck in gridlock and

PHOTO SOURCE: history.howstuffworks.com+snowstorm&client=safari&hl=en&source=Inms&tbm=isch&sa=X&ved=0CAoQ_AUoA2oVCh

MI9eGhpPOkyAIVwhY-Ch1fmQHo&biw=1024&bih=672#imgrc=mDsvRZqQoaiNRM%3A

Page 23: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

your daughter is injured while sled

ridingPHOTO SOURCE: Mass Live,

http://media.masslive.com/breakingnews/photo/2011/01/9186911-large.jpg

Page 24: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

How will the

paramedics transport her to the hospital?

PHOTO SOURCE: University Corporation of Atmospheric Research, http://www2.ucar.edu

Page 25: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

NEEDSSELFACTUALIZATION

SELF ESTEEM

LOVESAFETY

PHYSIOLOGICAL

Page 26: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

FEAR1. Strong threat to loved one2. Communicator is respected3. Convince drivers threat is real4. Increasing fear increases response Steven A. Beebe, Susan J, Beebe, Diana K. Ivy, Communication Principles

for a Lifetime, (2007) Allyn and Bacon, p. 388

Page 27: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

POSITIVEKnow what drivers valueWhat good things will happen if the

driver is not in gridlock?SAFE WITH FAMILYUNDAMAGED VEHICLEWARMRESTFOODSATISFACTION THAT S/HE IS NOT BLOCKING FIRST RESPONDERSROADS CLEARED SOONER

PHOTO SOURCE:Photo: Catherine Yeulet/istock

This Old House, http://img2-2.timeinc.net/toh/i/g/11/misc/11-fireplace-prep/00-fireplace-safety.jpg

Page 28: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

CONTRAST

http://www.fordf150.net/forums/viewtopic.php?t=5499

http://www.fordf150blog.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/2015-Ford-F-150-Blue-on-Road.jpg

PHOTO SOURCE: Ford Net Forum

PHOTO SOURCE: Ford 150 Blog

$33,130

Page 29: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

2014 winter storms caused $2.3 billion in insured losses

PROPOSITION OF FACT

SOURCE: Insurance Information Institute, http://www.iii.org/fact-statistic/winter-storms

PHOTO SOURCE: The Reading Eagle, http://www.readingeagle.com/storyimage/RE/20131228/NEWS/312289976/AR/0/AR-312289976.jpg&q=80&MaxW=550&MaxH=400&RCRadius=5

Page 30: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

PROPOSITIONS OF POLICY

PHOTO SOURCE: Hutchinson News,http://www.hutchpost.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/snowstorm.jpg

Driversshould stay

off theroadduringsevere weather

Page 31: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

LOGIC AND EMOTION

BALANCEPHOTO SOURCE: NSSL,

http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/abouthistory/may3rd/PHOTO SOURCE: CNN, http://www.cnn.com/2012/10/31/living/pets-superstorm-sandy/

Page 32: 2015 PHOTO : Pat McDonogh The Courier-Journal, Louisvile, KY

CLEAR THE ROADSso the ones who

need to get throughCAN GET THROUGH!