2011 11 23 Migbank Daily Technical Analysis Report

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  • 8/3/2019 2011 11 23 Migbank Daily Technical Analysis Report

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    MIG BANK / Forex Broker14, rte des Gouttes dOr CH-2008 Neuchtel Switzerland

    Tel +41 32 722 81 00 Fax +41 32 722 81 01 [email protected] www.migbank.com

    Please note: None of the strategies below represent trading advice or trading recommendations of any kind. Please refer to our full disclaimer.

    WINNER BEST SPECIALIST RESEARCH

    MA

    S-TERMMULTI-DAY

    L-TERMMULTI-WEEK

    STRATEGY/POSITION

    ENTRYLEVEL

    OBJECTIVES/COMMENTS STOP

    EUR/USD SHORT 3 1.3480 1.3140/1.3000/1.2860 (Entered 16/11/2011) 1.3650GBP/USD Await fresh signal.USD/JPY Await New Buy Trade Setup.USD/CHF Await fresh signal.USD/CAD LONG 2 1.0250 1.0480/1.0670 (Entered on 10/11/2011) 1.0250AUD/USD Exited Short Position. All 3 Objectives met.GBP/JPY Await fresh signal.EUR/JPY Look to see how 103.41-104.00 fares.EUR/GBP Awaiting Fresh Signal.EUR/CHF Sell stop 3 1.2130 1.2030/1.1526/1.1002 1.2230GOLD Sell Stop 3 1680 1595/1450/1300 1740SILVER SHORT 3 34.1300 29.9700/26.0700/23.3400 (Entered 01/11/2011) 35.6880

    DISCLAIMER &DISCLOSURESPlease read the disclaimer and thedisclosures which can be found atthe end of this report

    DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT23 November, 2011

    Ron William, CMT, MSTA

    Bijoy Kar, CFA

    Notes: Entries are in 3 units and objectives are at 3 separate levels where 1 unit will be exited. When the first objective (PT 1) has been h it the stop will be moved to the entry

    point for a near risk-free trade. When the second objective (PT 2) has been hit the stop will be moved to PT 1 locking in more profit. All orders are valid until the next report is

    published, or a trading strategy alert is sent between reports.

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    Bearish decline targets 1.3146.

    EUR/USD is resuming its sharp decline from key overhead resistance

    (primarily an important 2 year trend and its 200-day average).

    Bearish momentum remains anchored by heightened contagion fears driven

    from greater European sovereign debt risk.

    Expect further downside scope into 1.3146 (Oct swing low) and

    psychological level at 1.3000, then 1.2870 (2011 major low).

    Further pressure may also weigh from broad risk-related proxies. The euro

    continues to share a high correlation with the S&P500 and AUD/USD.

    Inversely, the USD Index is holding its recovery above long-term 200-day

    MA. The bulls are likely to recapture the recent 9-month highs near 80.

    Speculative (net long) liquidity flows have unwound from recent spike highs

    (3 standard deviations from the yearly average). This will likely remain

    strong and help resume the USDs major bull-run from its historic oversold

    extremes (momentum, sentiment and liquidity).

    Special Report:EUR/USD A Fall From Grace ? Decline Targets 1.3770/1.3410. VIDEO

    MIG Bank Webinar: Why the US dollar is likely to gain up to 30% in 6-12 months.US Dollar Interview on Bloomberg

    S-T TREND L-T TREND STRATEGY

    SHORT 3: 1.3480, Objs:1.3140/1.3000/1.2860, Stop: 1.3650

    EUR/USD

    Ron William, Technical Strategist, E-mail:[email protected], Phone: +41 32 7228 454

    EUR/USD

    EUR/USD daily chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    USD Index daily, weekly chart and COT Liquidity, Bloomberg Finance LP

    200-DMA(1.4101)

    BERMUDATRIANGLE FAILED

    BREAKOUTS

    UPTREND(2 YEARS)

    EUR/USD (Daily)

    BREAKOUTZONE(1.4000)

    1.3000 (PSYCHOLOGICAL)1.2870 (2011 MAJOR LOW)

    +

    -

    USD INDEX(4 YEARS)

    DEMARKBUY SIGNAL

    +27% +19%

    TRIGGER(15000)

    COT LIQUIDITY

    +10%SO FAR

    EXTREME NETUS $ SHORTPOSITIONS

    9 KEY SUPPORT(73.50-73.00)

    13

    USD INDEX

    200-DMA(75.71)

    DEMARKBUY SIGNALS

    BREAKOUT ZONE

    EUR 57.6%, JPY 13.6%, GBP 11.9%CAD 9.1%, SEK 4.2%, CHF 3.6%

    9 MONTHHIGH

    http://www.migbank.com/research/howard/2011-06-17_migbank_daily-technical-analysis-report_special-focus-EURUSD.pdfhttp://www.migbank.com/research/howard/2011-06-17_migbank_daily-technical-analysis-report_special-focus-EURUSD.pdfhttp://www.migbank.com/research/howard/2011-06-17_migbank_daily-technical-analysis-report_special-focus-EURUSD.pdfhttp://www.migbank.com/research/howard/2011-06-17_migbank_daily-technical-analysis-report_special-focus-EURUSD.pdfhttp://www.migbank.com/research/howard/2011-06-17_migbank_daily-technical-analysis-report_special-focus-EURUSD.pdfhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8JxLscMBUHY&feature=player_embeddedhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8JxLscMBUHY&feature=player_embeddedhttp://www.fxstreet.com/webinars/sessions/session.aspx?id=8e1265eb-a0b4-4b43-87d3-e5be91699f54http://www.fxstreet.com/webinars/sessions/session.aspx?id=8e1265eb-a0b4-4b43-87d3-e5be91699f54http://www.fxstreet.com/webinars/sessions/session.aspx?id=8e1265eb-a0b4-4b43-87d3-e5be91699f54http://www.fxstreet.com/webinars/sessions/session.aspx?id=8e1265eb-a0b4-4b43-87d3-e5be91699f54http://www.bloomberg.com/video/75644864/mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.bloomberg.com/video/75644864/http://www.fxstreet.com/webinars/sessions/session.aspx?id=8e1265eb-a0b4-4b43-87d3-e5be91699f54http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8JxLscMBUHY&feature=player_embeddedhttp://www.migbank.com/research/howard/2011-06-17_migbank_daily-technical-analysis-report_special-focus-EURUSD.pdf
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    DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT23 November, 2011

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    Extending decline lower.

    GBP/USD saw a clear break under the 1.5871-77 floor that had been

    containing weakness off the recent 1.6167 high. The recent failure to

    realise a return to 1.6200, to complete the rising phase off 1.5272, is

    another warning sign of a messy sideways market, with impulsive moves

    failing to materialise where expected.

    Continued settlement beneath the 1.5632 region will favour further downside

    scope. Failure to hold above this level will warn that strength from 1.5272 is

    complete, keeping downside pressure on this market.

    The falling wedge that has been developing in the hourly timeframe is

    suggestive of an exhaustion of the recent down phase.

    S-T TREND L-T TREND STRATEGY

    Await fresh signal.

    GBP/USD

    Bijoy Kar, Technical Strategist, E-mail:[email protected], Phone: +41 32 7228 424

    GBP/USD hourly chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    GBP/USD daily chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    200-DayAverage

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Probability favours retracement to pre-intervention levels.

    USD/JPY is continuing to edge lower, with the growing probability of another

    price retracement back to pre-intervention levels (PIR) and potentially even

    a new post world war record low beneath 75.35 (PINL).

    Furthermore, sentiment in the option markets continues to suggest that

    USD/JPY buying pressure remains overcrowded as everyone in the market

    continues to try and be the first to call the market bottom.

    This may inspire a temporary, but dramatic, price spike through

    psychological levels at 75.00 and perhaps even sub-74.00. Such a move

    would help flush out a number of downside barriers and stop-loss orders,

    which would create healthy price vacuum for a potential major reversal.

    The medium/long-term view remains bullish, as USD/JPY verges toward a

    major long-term 40 year cycle upside reversal. Expect key cycle inflection

    points to trigger into November-December this year, offering a sustained

    move above our upside trigger level at 80.00/60, then 82.00 and 83.30.

    Keep in mind that such a scenario would help reactivate the longer-term

    technical bias, including prior monthly DeMark exhaustion signals, within

    the ending diagonal pattern, launching a powerful recovery into 91.00.

    Please select the link below to review our special coverage on USD/JPY.

    Special Report: USDJPY Verging on a major 40 year cycle reversal

    Webinar: USD/JPYs Long-Term Structural Change CNBC Report

    S-T TREND L-T TREND STRATEGY

    Awaiting Renewed Buy Trade Setup.

    Ron William, Technical Strategist, E-mail:[email protected], Phone: +41 32 7228 426

    USD/JPY

    USD/JPY daily, weekly chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    82.00

    83.30

    USD/JPY(Daily

    1 YEAR)

    QUAKESHOCK!

    POST INTERVENTIONRETRACEMENT (PIR I)

    POSTG7

    MOVE (I)HIGH

    PIR II

    80.24

    POSTBOJ

    MOVE (II)HIGH

    DEMARK BUY SIGNAL AHEADOF NEW POST WWII LOW (75.35)

    POSTBOJ

    MOVE (III)HIGH

    PIR III

    MONTHLYDEMARK

    USD/JPY Weekly(2007 2011)

    ENDINGDIAGONAL

    PATTERNANTICIPATES

    BREAKOUT(85-79)

    http://www.migbank.com/research/howard/USDJPY_Verging_on_a_Major_40_Year_Cycle_Reversal.pdfhttp://www.fxstreet.com/webinars/sessions/session.aspx?id=d77a35a0-4a11-44fa-a883-c95e01661d21http://www.fxstreet.com/webinars/sessions/session.aspx?id=d77a35a0-4a11-44fa-a883-c95e01661d21http://www.fxstreet.com/webinars/sessions/session.aspx?id=d77a35a0-4a11-44fa-a883-c95e01661d21http://www.cnbc.com/id/45301945http://www.cnbc.com/id/45301945mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.cnbc.com/id/45301945http://www.fxstreet.com/webinars/sessions/session.aspx?id=d77a35a0-4a11-44fa-a883-c95e01661d21http://www.migbank.com/research/howard/USDJPY_Verging_on_a_Major_40_Year_Cycle_Reversal.pdf
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    Below 0.9316 suggests a corrective phase is more likely.

    USD/CHF is unwinding from the hourly channel which we have been

    highlighting. A fall back down to 0.9110, after pushing over 0.9200, would

    lead to a break down in positive structure, giving any long trade a weaker

    probability of success.

    In fact while below 0.9316 a return to the region close to 0.8242 remains

    possible. However, if a break above 0.9316 can be achieved without

    breaking under 0.8568, a structural change will occur, increasing the

    probability of further gains ahead.

    Focus still remains on Italian and Spanish sovereign yields. Also of interest

    is that French government bonds are widening across the whole curve

    versus their German counterparts, when compared to the spread just one

    month ago. This is a further warning sign.

    S-T TREND L-T TREND STRATEGY

    Await fresh signal.

    USD/CHF hourly chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    Bijoy Kar, Technical Strategist, E-mail:[email protected], Phone: +41 32 7228 424

    USD/CHF

    USD/CHF daily chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    200-DayAverage

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Bulls charging higher into 1.0658.

    Stop raised to breakeven, thereby ensuring a risk-free trade. USD/CADs

    short-term price activity remains positive, following the sharp bullish reversal

    from the psychological 1.0000 level (prior trading range).

    Positive momentum needs to hold above 1.0400 (on a daily close) to rebuild

    the potential major upside reversal higher above the old resistance level at

    1.0673 (August high & Congestion zone).

    A strong directional confirmation above here will open a much larger

    recovery into 1.0850 plus. This would extend the upside breakout from the

    rates ending triangle pattern, which was part of a major Elliott Wave cycle.

    Only a sustained close beneath parity will unlock bearish setbacks into the

    long-term 200-day MA at 0.9835 and 0.9726 (31st Aug low).

    EUR/CAD is extending above its 200-day MA, within a large multi-month

    trading range. Key resistance continues to hold at 1.4379 (June swing high),

    which has for some time marked a strong distribution pattern.

    CHF/CAD continues to hold beneath the 200-day MA at 1.1347, following

    the dramatic price slide lower (triggered by the SNB intervention). The

    cross-rate has now retraced more than half of its 2011 gains.

    S-T TREND L-T TREND STRATEGY

    Long 2: 1.0250, Objs: 1.0480/1.0670, Stop: 1.0250Ron William, Technical Strategist, E-mail:[email protected], Phone: +41 32 7228 454

    USD/CAD

    USD/CAD daily, weekly chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    EUR/CAD and CHF/CAD daily chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    USD/CAD (Weekly)

    CONFIRMATIONABOVE 1.0680

    OPENSLARGER

    DEMARKBUY SIGNAL

    USD/CAD (Daily)

    AugustHigh

    200-DMA(0.9838)

    MAJOR RESISTANCE

    50%(1.3570)

    61.8%(1.3379)

    EUR/CAD (Daily)

    REVERSALPATTERN

    CHF/CAD (Daily)

    200-DMA1.1341

    50%(1.1488)

    61.8%(1.0893)

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Extending decline into 0.9611.

    Exited Short position. All 3 objectives met. AUD/USD is extending its

    decline, having recently broken through the 1.0000 psychological level.

    The sustained move below 1.0000 is now compounding downside pressure

    on the rates multi-year uptrend and push back towards 0.9611.

    Elsewhere, the Aussie dollar remains strong against the New Zealand

    dollar. The pair is now is within a temporary positive cycle structure while it

    holds above its 200-day MA.

    The Aussie dollar has reversed gains against the Japanese yen and is now

    trading back below the long-term 200-day MA which is currently at 82.80.

    Watch for further downside scope into 72.00 which would signal further

    unwinding of risk appetite.

    S-T TREND L-T TREND STRATEGY

    Exited short position. All 3 Objective met (0.9710)

    AUD/USD

    Ron William, Technical Strategist, E-mail:[email protected], Phone: +41 32 7228 454

    AUD/USD daily, weekly chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    AUD/NZD and AUD/JPY daily chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    AUD/USD(Weekly)

    38.2%(0.9144)

    50%(0.8546)

    61.8%(0.7947)

    3 YEARUPTRENDISUNDER

    PRESSURE

    KEYZONE

    AUD/USD(1 YEAR) DEMARK

    SELLSIGNALS

    200-DMA(1.0405)

    STRUCTURALLEVEL

    200-DMA

    (82.76)

    13

    38.2%(76.70)

    61.8%

    (68.47)

    50%(72.58)

    AUD/JPY(Daily)

    DEMARKSELL SIGNAL

    RESUMPTION OF

    BREAKDOWNADDS TO

    RISK AVERSION

    HOLDINGABOVE

    200-DMA

    AUD/NZD(Daily)

    KEY SUPPORT1.2319 / 1.2100

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Hourly falling wedge warns of downside exhaustion.

    GBP/JPY has broken clearly under the 122.38/65 platform, which warns of a

    breakdown in positive structure. However, the hourly timeframe is currently

    exhibiting a falling wedge formation which is suggestive of a degree of

    downside exhaustion. We will thus await a bounce higher ahead of the

    possible formulation of a short strategy.

    Strictly speaking the break under 120.85 breaks down the positive structure

    seen since 116.84.

    However, the bulls would need to turn back above the 122.38/65 platform to

    suggest that an interim low has been seen.

    S-T TREND L-T TREND STRATEGY

    Await fresh signal.

    GBP/JPY

    GBP/JPY daily chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    Bijoy Kar, Technical Strategist, E-mail:[email protected], Phone: +41 32 7228 424

    GBP/JPY hourly chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    200-DayAverage

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Initial signs of support seen close to 104.00.

    EUR/JPY is testing support 103.41-104.00. Failure to hold above here will

    lead to a complete breakdown in positive structure, with a return to 100.76

    then favoured.

    A move back over 106.74 is required to neutralise the outlook in the short-

    term.

    A sustained hold over the 200 day moving average will turn the medium-

    term outlook more bullish.

    We will now monitor the price action close to 103.41-104.00 to try and

    determine if a short-term buying opportunity will present itself.

    S-T TREND L-T TREND STRATEGY

    Look to see how the 104.00 region fares.EUR/JPY hourly chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    Bijoy Kar, Technical Strategist, E-mail:[email protected], Phone: +41 32 7228 424

    EUR/JPY daily chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    EUR/JPY

    200-DayAverage

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Short-term outlook is neutralised.

    EUR/GBP is undergoing a near-term recovery, which has neutralized the

    outlook once again.

    Resistance can be found at 0.8744 and 0.8784. Only a sustained breakunder 0.8486 will open up a return to the January 2011 low at 0.8285.

    If a large move to the downside were to materialise in this environment, it is

    likely to be associated with Sterling being perceived as a safe haven. In this

    respect we need to monitor the yields on Italian, French and Spanish

    government bonds, noting that the ten year yield in both Italian and Spanish

    sovereigns are trading above 6.00%.

    Failure to hold under the old double bottom and trend-line will warn of a

    false break lower, with a danger that trade returns back into the old range.

    S-T TREND L-T TREND STRATEGY

    Await Fresh Signal.EUR/GBP hourly chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    EUR/GBP daily chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    EUR/GBP

    Bijoy Kar, Technical Strategist, E-mail:[email protected], Phone: +41 32 7228 424

    200-DayAverage

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Approaches the 1.2500 region once again.

    EUR/CHF is maintaining its tight trading range just under the 1.2500 level.

    It is anticipated that this zone may see a degree of resistance, particularly in

    light of the movement in periphery yield spreads versus bunds. Over time,

    this may lead to a renewed desire for a safe haven, with downside pressure

    returning to EUR/CHF.

    We would prefer to trade this from a momentum perspective, awaiting a

    return to the 1.2000 region. Should a re-test of the 1.2000 region take place

    with a fall under 1.1973 also following, this would warn of the end of the

    recovery seen since 1.0075, increasing the probability of a return to this

    level.

    It remains to be seen if the SNB will be able to hold back the possible flow of

    funds into Swiss Francs, that may occur, if further stresses lead to yet

    higher yields in Italian government bonds.

    S-T TREND L-T TREND

    Sell stop 3 at 1.2130, Objs: 1.2030/1.1526/1.1002, Stop: 1.2230.

    EUR/CHF weekly chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    EUR/CHF

    EUR/CHF hourly chart, Bloomberg Finance LP

    Bijoy Kar, Technical Strategist, E-mail:[email protected], Phone: +41 32 7228 424

    50-weekAverage

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Weakening from resistance at $1800.

    Short-term price activity is weakening from resistance at 1800. This may

    start to weigh on constructive recovery that we have seen over the last few

    weeks, following Golds dramatic 20% capitulation.

    Speculative (net long) flows remain a concern having recently breached a

    key downside level which may threaten over 2 years of sizeable long gold

    positions.

    There is heightened risk for a much larger decline if we confirm a weekly

    close beneath $1600 and $1592-30 (200-day MA/swing low), which has not

    been breached in 3 years!

    A number of bargain hunting trend-followers will be watching this

    benchmark line in the sand for repeat support or a potential big squ eeze

    lower into $1300 and perhaps even $1040-1000. Remember, this would still

    offer a unique buying opportunity in the near future.

    Please select links for in-depth Gold coverage:

    Special ReportGolds mountainous peak at riskbeneath $1600 VIDEO

    Bloomberg Countdown CNBC Squawk Box MIG Bank Gold Webinar video(BLOOMBERG&CNBCREPORTS)

    S-T TREND L-T TREND STRATEGY

    Sell stop 3: 1680, Obj:1595/1450/1300, Stop: 1740

    GOLD

    Gold weekly, daily chart and COT Liquidity, Bloomberg Finance LP

    Ron William, Technical Strategist, E-mail:[email protected], Phone: +41 32 7228 454

    TRENDCHANNEL(12 YEARS)

    I

    RISK ZONE III

    CONFIRMATION BELOW $1530UNLOCKS LARGER DECLINEINTO $1300 & $1040-1000

    26%

    34%

    20%SO FAR

    25%

    II

    COT NET LONGSPECULATORPOSITIONS

    OVER 2 YEARS OFSIZEABLE LONG

    GOLD POSITIONSUNDER THREAT

    IF KEY LEVEL BREAKS

    200-DMANOT BROKENIN 3 YEARS!

    DEMARK SIGNALWARNED OF GOLDSOVERBOUGHTCONDITIONS

    BREAKOUT

    $1704

    $1600

    DOWNSIDE: $1600 / $1530 UPSIDE: $1760 / $1844

    GOLD KEY TRIGGER LEVELS

    $1532

    DOUBLETOP

    $1760

    http://www.migbank.com/research/howard/2011-09-13_Gold_Special_Report_(RW).pdfhttp://www.migbank.com/research/howard/2011-09-13_Gold_Special_Report_(RW).pdfhttp://www.migbank.com/research/howard/2011-09-13_Gold_Special_Report_(RW).pdfhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=haKdlGKWyjQ&feature=player_embedded&list=PL953E96C7BE48D2FAhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=haKdlGKWyjQ&feature=player_embedded&list=PL953E96C7BE48D2FAhttp://www.bloomberg.com/video/78409176/http://www.bloomberg.com/video/78409176/http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000042202http://www.fxstreet.com/webinars/sessions/session.aspx?id=8f81a2e3-e29b-4031-b370-a85149271145http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-09-11/gold-may-fall-below-1-700-before-extending-bull-rally-technical-analysis.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-09-11/gold-may-fall-below-1-700-before-extending-bull-rally-technical-analysis.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-09-11/gold-may-fall-below-1-700-before-extending-bull-rally-technical-analysis.htmlhttp://www.cnbc.com/id/44310840http://www.cnbc.com/id/44310840http://www.cnbc.com/id/44310840mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.cnbc.com/id/44310840http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-09-11/gold-may-fall-below-1-700-before-extending-bull-rally-technical-analysis.htmlhttp://www.fxstreet.com/webinars/sessions/session.aspx?id=8f81a2e3-e29b-4031-b370-a85149271145http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000042202http://www.bloomberg.com/video/78409176/http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=haKdlGKWyjQ&feature=player_embedded&list=PL953E96C7BE48D2FAhttp://www.migbank.com/research/howard/2011-09-13_Gold_Special_Report_(RW).pdf
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    Weakening into key support at $26.0700.

    Silver is weakening back into its previous swing low at 26.0700. Macro price

    structure continues to focus on the downside risks, following the major sell-

    off in September.

    Such a dramatic move traditionally produces volatile trading ranges. This

    allows the market to have enough time to recover and accumulate renewed

    buying interest.

    Expect a large trading range to hold between $37.0000-26.0700 over the

    multi-week/month horizon, with downside macro risk into $21.5165 (61.8%

    Fib-1999 bull market) and $20.0000. This would still maintain silvers long-

    term uptrend and help offer a potential buying opportunity for the eventual

    resumption higher.

    Continue to watch the gold-silver mint ratio which has now accelerated

    higher by 67%, suggesting further risk aversion over the next few weeks.

    S-T TREND L-T TREND STRATEGY

    SHORT 3: 34.1300, Obj: 29.9700/26.0700/23.3400, Stop: 35.6880

    SILVER

    Spot Silver daily, weekly chart and Gold/Silver mint ratio, Bloomberg Finance LP

    Ron William, Technical Strategist, E-mail:[email protected], Phone: +41 32 7228 454

    BULLMARKET

    FROM1999

    Silver Monthly (since 1980)

    13

    38.2%(32.3135)

    50%(26.9150)

    61.8%

    (21.5165)

    I

    II

    OVER 30YEAR BASE PATTERN

    Silver HITS 1980 Spike High! DEMARKSELL SIGNAL

    13 YEAR LEVEL

    UNWINDING 67%FROMOVERSOLD TERRITORY

    Gold/Silver "Mint" Ratio

    KEYSUPPORT(26.0700)

    DEMARKSELL SIGNALS

    Silver (Daily)

    200 DMA(36.5125)

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    DAILY TECHNICAL REPORT23 November, 2011

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