Pakistan, a leaderless leader in economic growth potential among emerging markets paper

Pakistan, a leaderless leader in economic growth

potential among Emerging Markets… Pakistan’s Image and Repositioning Pakistan

When those who are given the mandate to govern, make the country ungovernable then the only way out for the civil society is to lead the way to show the leaders that those who are mislead can lead too when the time comes. It is far more important to self-govern than handing over the right to govern to those who cannot see beyond their nose.

Pakistan’s only hope is the country’s youth. Ironically, youth is allowed to work and vote for political parties but they are not allowed to form student societies and unions in colleges and universities. The college and university students exit the educational institutions and enter into a bigger university of practical life. Whatever they learn helps them in laying the foundation of their personal career and family life around that. Politics is very much a part of their lives too. In the past, when student unions were not banned in colleges and universities, the students played an important role in country’s politics too. How they do that in advanced countries is a very important subject for research.

ZHK

2013

Zahid Hussain Khalid

ICMR 2013 International Conference on Emerging Markets, Superior University, Lahore, Pakistan

ZHK 2013

Pakistan Leaderless Leader in Economic Growth Potential Among Emerging Markets Page 2

POSITIONING PAKISTAN NATIONAL IMAGE

Introduction: Questioning Pakistan’s Economic Growth Potential………………………………………………….……..………03

Pakistan’s Real Economic Growth Potential…………………………………………………………………………………………………..….04

Global Perspective: Future Work Skills and Six Drivers of Change……………………………………………………………………………………………………….……..05

Seven Key Corporate Challenges and Actions……..……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..06

Global State of Talent………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….07

The Value Chain of Talent……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………07

A Major Concern: Employability………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….08

Contextual Aspects of Governance, Capacity Levels and Evaluation………………………………………………………………….09

Positioning Pakistan on the World Economic Map of the Rapid Growth Economies………………………………………….10

How is Pakistan looked at?.........................................................................................................................................................................10

The Causes and Consequences of the Negative National Image………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..11

Nine unattended flaws in the System of Governance….……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..11

Three Immediate Challenges…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….11

The First Step: Put the House in Order………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..12

From Where to Begin: …Repositioning Pakistan………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….12

Five Territories on the National Activity Map…………………………………………………………………………………………………….12

Why Five Territories on National Activity Map?.................................................................................................13

Social Activity………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………13

Political Activity…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..14

Economic Activity………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..15

Diplomatic Activity………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………16

Military Activity…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..18

National Activity Plan from Civil Society’s Perspective………………………………………………………………………………………18

Social Activity: Action………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….18

Political Activity: Action………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………20

Economic Activity: Action……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………21

Diplomatic Activity: Action………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….22

CONCLUSION…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….24

AUTHOR’S PROFILE……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………24

READING LIST……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………25


Pakistan, a leaderless leader in economic growth potential among Emerging Markets…

By Zahid Hussain Khalid

INTRODUCTION: Questioning Pakistan’s Growth Potential

We fail to see Pakistan among the top 25 rapid growth markets, Pakistan is neither a contributor nor a

beneficiary of ten years of massive growth reflected in an investment of US$2.9 trillion by Asian

companies in regional and global expansion during 2003 to 2011 and Pakistan is also not among 25

countries which have been placed by Earnst and Young’s Rapid-growth Markets at the highest, medium

and the lowest risk levels respectively. Is this situation in Pakistan permanent? Will it never change? Is

there any room for optimism? CFO Innovation Asia Business Outlook Survey of first quarter 2013 notices

sharp increase in optimism on the growth prospects in Asia based on a cautious listing of strengths,

willingness and concerns of Asian corporate leaders. Do Pakistani people and political and corporate

leaders also have any reason to be optimist of their country’s and corporate sector’s growth prospects?

Pakistan has more than one reason to be optimist: Country’s ideal geographical location; a

predominantly young population and demographic dividend for timely absorbing the economic shock

waves across different social and economic

segments of the society during the most critical

period of Pakistan’s social, political, economic,

diplomatic and military history spanned over a

period of more than a decade; people of

Pakistan’s response to diplomatic and military

provocation as well as ongoing clearly visible

foreign military action other than war within its

boundaries compounded by a state of lawlessness and complete failure of law enforcement agencies

with patience; and Pakistan’s more than humble nuclear capability posture are more than convincing to

believe that room for optimism will always remain there for Pakistani leaders and the people to get up,


go and get counted not only in Asian but global growth markets and five territories on the national and

global activity maps, a term coined and introduced by author of this paper.

PAKISTAN’S REAL ECONOMIC GROWTH POTENTIAL:

Pakistan is one of the few ideally located human and natural resource rich countries of the world. Very

few countries have such a rich profile of the tangible and intangible elements of national power: ideal

geographical location; highest percentage of youth in the population mix; immense potential in social,

economic, political, diplomatic and military leadership; the most challenging and promising diplomatic

horizon displaying a rainbow of the possibility of extension and the fear of contraction of borders in at

least three sides of the country’s boundary lines; and one of the mightiest military force in the world.

POSITIONING PAKISTAN

Pakistan’s Regional GDP, keeping the four out of five overwhelmingly positive aspects of country’s

tangible and intangible elements of national power in mind, makes it one of the most attractive places

for regional strategic investment in South Asia. Regional GDP, according to Euromoney magazine,

assesses a country’s catchment area in terms of the GDP of all economies within 500 kilometers of its

borders.

While Pakistan remains hanged between dismal performance and more than a dozen reasons for

optimism, “Between 2012 and 2017, the share of world CP market growth coming from emerging Asia,”

according to Earnst and Young’s analysis from Euromonitor data, June 2013, ‘Brand New Order – Profit

or lose Balancing the growth-profit paradox for global consumer products companies and retailers in

Asia’s emerging markets,’ “will rise from 29% to 38%.”Pakistan evidently has the potential to contribute

more than any other country in the region by drawing and re-drawing natural and human resources

maps and seriously working on them to make them appear on the world economic map.

Socially, 70 percent population under 30 years

Economically, one of few countries with world’s highest Regional GDP

Politically, genuine national security-risk free patriotic leadership?

Geographically, the posibility of territorial expansion and contraction in all directions cannot be ruled out

Militarily, one of the world’s less than a dozen most powerful countries


TIMELINE OF TAKEOVER BY CHINA AND INDIA AS GLOBAL ECONOMIC LEADERS

It is rightly perceived that China is moving

ahead cautiously as a global economic growth

leader; India’s claim to third position in global

economic leadership is clouded with doubts at

present, though not out of reach yet, and

Pakistan is striving for an “externally borrowed”

breathing space. Will Pakistan be able to even

join the race for leadership among globally

acknowledged leaders?

Yes, Pakistan can by relying on its own natural and human resources governed and managed by

responsible and cautiously responsive political and corporate leaders.

GLOBAL SCENARIO: FUTURE WORK SKILLS AND SIX DRIVERS OF CHANGE

Future Work Skills 2020 Report has listed Six Drivers of Change: extreme longevity; rise of smart Six Drivers of Change

machines and systems; computational world;

new media ecology; super-structured organiza-

tions; and globally connected world. The

message in this report for 70% young Pakistanis

is to grow up; familiarize with smart machines

and systems; connect with computational

world; try to know the architects and

understand the reach and impact of new media

ecology, found or become part of super-

structured organizations and prepare to

become active citizens of globally connected

world. SOURCE: Future Work Skills 2020, Institute for the Future for the University of

Phoenix Research Institute 2011

Professional proficiency, according to Future Work Skill 2020 report, requires ten skills: sense- making;

social intelligence; novel and adaptative thinking; cross-cultural competency; computational thinking;

new media literacy; transdisciplinarity; design-mindset; cognitive load management; and virtual

collaboration.

Young Pakistanis have the ability to understand the dynamics and pace of innovation in today’s hyper-

connected world and find a place for their genuine intellectual, professional and entrepreneurial

1: Extreme Longevity

Increasing global life-spans change the nature of careers

and learning

2: Rise of smart machines and systems

Workplace automation nudges human workers out of

rote, epetitive tasks

3: Computational world

Massive increases in the sensors and processing power

make the world a programmable system

4: New Media Ecology

New communication tools require new media literacies

beyond text

5: Super-structured organizations

Social technologies drive new forms of production and

value creation

6: Globally connected world

Increased global interconnectivity puts diversity and

adaptability at the center of organizational structures


capabilities in the global markets. Thousands of young Pakistanis are seen well placed in global

conglomerates and they are the real hope of tomorrow’s Pakistan.

FUTURE WORK SKILLS 2020

SOURCE: Future Work Skills 2020, Institute for the Future for the University of Phoenix

Research Institute 2011

Pakistani youth needs to focus on developing a

sense of inquisitive observation, meaningful

probe, clear understanding, consistent

experimenting, convincingly concluding,

patiently pre-testing, conclusively succeeding,

aesthetically packaging, extensively networking,

selectively communicating, and technically

collaborating.

SEVEN KEY CORPORATE CHALLENGES AND ACTIONS:

Accenture in their report, “Growth Journeys: Helping Asian companies realize the value of their

international expansion strategies,” have highlighted seven key corporate challenges: decision-making

processes and authority are over-concentrated in global headquarters; overseas offices' lack of respect

for the leadership authority of headquarters; lack of clear structure in top leadership roles and

processes; leadership across functions and geographies lacking alignment on the common goals of the

global organization; governance structures are not clearly understood by staff outside of the home

country; lack of ability to hold overseas offices accountable for not complying with processes and

procedures; weak cross-border collaboration and listed seven actions to continue moving on smoothly

KEY CORPORATE CHALLENGES AND ACTIONS

on growth track emphasizing the need for:

mentoring and coaching programs focused on

global leadership; personality and leadership

assessment for global leadership; cultural

sensitivity training; regular global video-

conferencing or other advanced communica-

tions; connecting talent across the global

company into teams or workshops; 360-degree

feedback for global leadership team members;

offering international assignments and global

rotation programs.

SOURCE: “Growth Journeys: Helping Asian companies realize the value of their international expansion strategies,” Accenture

Decision-making processes and authority are over-concentrated in global headquarters

Overseas offices' lack of respect for the leadership authority of headquarters

Lack of clear structure in top leadership roles and processes

Leadership across functions and geographies lacking alignment on the common goals of the global organization

Governance structures are not clearly understood by staff outside of the home country

Lack of ability to hold overseas offices accountable for not complying with processes and procedures

Weak cross-border collaboration

KEY

C

H

A

L

L

E

N

G

E

S

Mentoring and coaching programs focused on global leadership

Personality and leadership assessment for global leadership

Cultural sensitivity training

Regular global videoconferencing or other advanced communicat-ions

Connecting talent across the global company into teams or workshops

360-degree feedback for global leadership team members

Offering international assignments and global rotation programs

ACTIONS


Pakistanis are capable of accepting the challenges and always found ready to come into action

whenever they were assigned the task to do so in the interest of their country. But, instead of country

benefitting from their actions, the rewards ended up in foreign bank accounts of corrupt political

leaders, criminal corporate mafias, bureaucrats and army generals.

PEOPLE WANT CHANGE! TO BEGIN WITH, FOCUS ON COUNTRY’S HIGHLY TALENTED YOUTH…

GLOBAL STATE OF TALENT:

For that the OECD’s “Education at a Glance” has

prepared a Global State of Talent with Right

Skills Projections Map 2030 highlighting

medium and strong employability challenges,

talent shortage and reduced demand and

greater talent availability and demand. This

map also indicates that Pakistan is among

countries with greater talent availability and

demand. The greater availability and demand of

The present global state of talent with the right skills, Projected to 2030

SOURCE: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Education at a Glance (Paris: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, 2006), 155./ “Investment in Global Education: A strategic Imperative for Business,” Center for Global Education at Brookings, September 2013

talent in Pakistan underlines the need for the development of Pakistan’s Human Resource Maps and

their scientific alignment of demand and supply of world class talent well-equipped with national and

global competencies.

THE VALUE CHAIN OF TALENT:

THE VALUE CHAIN OF TALENT

SOURCE: “Investment in Global Education: A strategic Imperative for Business,” Center for Global Education at Brookings, September 2013

The Value Chain of Talent published in “Investment in Global Education: A strategic Imperative for

Business,” Center for Global Education at Brookings, needs slight amendment to incorporate , Shakes-

peare’s “Seven Stages of Life” in the value chain.


In Pakistan’s case, the Value Chain of Talent demands planning for a citizen’s “Seven Stages of Life” from

early childhood to either entrepreneurship or employment and a post-retirement concern-free life.

A MAJOR CONCERN: EMPLOYABILITY

The Importance of Equitable Access and Good-Quality Education to the Private Sector (Non-exhaustive list)


“Global employability studies rightly indicate

that from 2011 to 2030, the availability and

demand for talent will increase in emerging

market economies such as China, India,

Indonesia, South Africa and Brazil. However, in

these emerging market economies, despite a

rising pool of available workers, ‘employability’

will appear as a major concern. Employability

refers to an individual’s readiness for work with

foundational skills (i.e., literacy and numeracy) and transferable skills, such as problem solving,

communication and critical thinking” concluding that, “Unless education enrollment and completion are

strengthened in these economies, the eligible working age population may continue to experience a

denial of more productive and remunerative opportunities, which will have a negative impact on their

standard of living, the growth potential of businesses in these locations and the overall growth of these

economies.” The report has also emphasized the need for “The Importance of Equitable Access” and

“Good-Quality Education” to the Private Sector judiciously demanding the reduction in the “talent

acquisition and retention” and “learning and development” costs. Ironically, the talent acquisition and

retention costs are gradually decreasing un-proportionately to cost of learning and pre-recruitment

development self-financed by young people and their parents. Have a look:

MONTHLY HHOUSEHOLD BUDGET ALLOCATIONS ON EDUCATION “I CANNOTAFFORD EDUCATIONAL OPPORTUNITIES WHERE I LIVE.”

SOURCE: Nielsen Global Survey of Consumer Demand, Q1 2013 SOURCE: Nielsen Global Survey of Consumer Demand, Q1 2013


So, what the governments need to do is to bring down the enrollment and tuition fee through a mix of

corporate sponsorships and government subsidiaries in the developing world to an affordable level and

improve the quality of education for all irrespective of the social and economic status of the students

and their parents. The present system of education across the globe is evidently producing classes of

different levels of employees who rarely move from lower managerial level to higher managerial levels

and this will be noticed not in the distant but the near future.

The most important aspect of this ironic situation is the need for understanding the seriousness of the

psychological and social dimensions of this issue before it’s too late.

ANALYZING POTENTIAL RETURNS TO THE PRIVATE SECTOR FROM INVESTMENT IN EDUCATION

Does this yardstick to measure “profitability of

investment in education: concepts and

methods,” have a module to evaluate the

return on investment to Pakistan or to that

matter any other country?


CONTEXTUAL ASPECTS OF GOVERNANCE, CAPACITY LEVELS AND EVALUATION:

The Framework for Institutional Performance Evaluation consists of Four Cycles of Preparedness:

Four Cycle of Preparedness

5 Motivations

6 Environments

7 Capacity linkages

and

4 Performance parameters.

This frame work prepared by Universalia (1985)

and IDRC (1995) provides a simple to follow

guideline for political and corporate governance

and its evaluation.

SOURCE: Universalia 1985; IDRC 1991; Influencing Change: Building Evaluation Capacity to Strengthen Governance, The World Bank 2011.

Do our systems of political and corporate governance and education meet any of the criteria such as

motivation, environment, capacity and performance in any walk of life?


PROCESS CUSTODIANSHIP AND GOVERNANCE IN DIFFERENT CONTEXTS:

SOURCE: Mohammad A. Jaljouli, “Evaluation Systems as Strategy Management Tools: Building Dubai’s Institutional Learning Capacity,/Influencing Change: Building Evaluation Capacity to Strengthen Governance, The World Bank 2011.

Mohammad A. Jaljouli, author of “Evaluation Systems as Strategy Management Tools: Building Dubai’s Institutional Learning Capacity,” published in “Influencing Change: Building Evaluation Capacity to Strengthen Governance,” has illustrated process custodian-ship and governance in different contexts revolving around:

National Agenda

Government Strategy Map and

Sector Strategy Maps covering Health, Education, Social Development and Economic Development

Does the government of Pakistan have an Integrated “Contextual National Agenda,” and a “Set of

Natural and Human Resource Maps?”

This paper will discuss the demand of Five Territories on National Activity Map emphasizing the need for the preparation of an Integrated District, Provincial and National Agenda and a set of “Natural and Human Maps.”

THREE LEVELS OF CAPACITY

Caroline Heider, in her paper, “A Conceptual

Framework for Developing Evaluation

Capacities: Building on Good Practice,” has also

illustrated and discussed Three Levels of

Capacity: enabling environment; institutional

framework and knowledgeable, skilled and

competent individual.

SOURCE: Caroline Heider, A Conceptual Framework for Developing Evaluation Capacities: Building on Good Practice, “Influencing Change: Building Evaluation Capacity to Strengthen Governance,” The World Bank 2011.

POSITION PAKISTAN ON THE WORLD ECONOMIC MAP OF RAPID-GROWTH ECONOMIES:

HOW IS PAKISTAN LOOKED AT?

POSITIONING PAKISTAN NATIONAL IMAGE

STEP 1: Positioning Pakistan on the world

economic map

STEP 2: How is Pakistan looked at?

Lack of national consensus

Crime mafias and terrorist groups Communication deadlock

…Pakistan’s National Image


THE CAUSES AND THE CONSEQUENCES OF THE NEGATIVE NATIONAL IMAGE:

Pakistan’s national image is result of a Cycle of Nine Social and Economic evils:

Illiteracy and Ignorance result in

Unemployment results in

Poverty results in

Deprivation results in

Psychological and Physical Stress result in

Crime and Corruption result in

Injustice and Violation of Human Rights result in

Religious, Ethnic and Political Prejudices result in

Sectarianism and Terrorism.

NINE UNATTENDED FLAWS IN THE SYSTEM OF GOVERNANCE

This is the dilemma of the world’s most powerful human and natural resource rich leaderless country of

the leaderless Muslim world..!

Read the details here: http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/the-end-of-the-independent-muslim-world

THREE IMMEDIATE CHALLENGES:

Disconfigured System of Governance Lack of Consensus and The Way Out

Read the details here: http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/the-greatest-media-and-advertising-challenge-of-the-most-powerful-human-and-resource-rich-country-of-the-muslim-world

ILLITERACY

AND

IGNORANCE

UNEMPLOY-MENT

POVERTY

DEPRIVATION

PSYCHO-LOGICAL STRESS

CRIME

AND

CORRUPTION

INJUSTICE AND

VIOLATION OF HUMAN

RIGHTS

RELIGIOUS, ETHNIC AND

POLITICAL PREJUDICES

SECTARIANISM AND

TERRORISM

CARELESS RULERS SELF-SERVING

PUBLIC SERVANTS

IRRESPONSIBLE CORPORATE CONGLOME-

RATES

PARALYZED LAW ENFORCEMENT

AGENCIES

INCOMPETENT FISCAL AND MONETARY MANAGERS

INEFFECTIVE DEBT

MANAGEMENT

EXTERNAL RELIANCE FOR BUDGETARY

TARGETS

ECONOMIC STRANGULATION

AND IN-DOUBT SOVEREIGNTY

PERPETUAL STATE OF UNCERTAINTY

AND IRRESPONSIBLE MEDIA OWNERS

AND JOURNALISTS

With no plan in

hand and funds

available

to break this

Cycle of Nine

Social and

Economic Evils

http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/the-end-of-the-independent-muslim-world

http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/the-greatest-media-and-advertising-challenge-of-the-most-powerful-human-and-resource-rich-country-of-the-muslim-world



THE FIRST STEP: PUT THE HOUSE IN ORDER

What you see here is a disconfigured system of governance

Entire nation is entrapped in something that is not part of any plan! Read the details here: http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/a-review-of-the-five-territories-on-the-national-activity-map

FROM WHERE TO BEGIN? … REPOSITION PAKISTAN

An integrated district, provincial and federal

Governance Plan based on a set of natural and

human resource maps in line with country’s

tangible and intangible elements of national

power and Strategic National Economic Vision

and its alignment with the demands of

Globalization for safeguarding national interest

and benefitting from resulting gains of keeping

pace with Global Economic Growth.

FIVE TERRITORIES ON THE NATIONAL ACTIVITY MAP:

See where the pieces of the puzzle will ultimately fit in… WHY FIVE TERRITORIES ON THE NATIONAL ACTIVITY MAP?

CIVIL SOCIETY?

Geographic

Location

Demographic

Mix

Economic

Growth Leadership

Military

Strength

http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/a-review-of-the-five-territories-on-the-national-activity-map

http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/a-review-of-the-five-territories-on-the-national-activity-map


National Activity Map consists of social,

political, economic, diplomatic and military

thematic territories. Each thematic territory

needs a leader and leadership failure in any one

or more than one of the thematic territories on

National Activity Map results in nothing but

social unrest. The social unrest demands a

review of its dimensions proportionately linked

with the nature and seriousness of failure in any

one or more than one of the remaining four

territories. When the causes of social unrest are

discussed in the corridors of power, the political leaders discuss the political; economic leaders highlight

the economic; diplomatic leaders present bilateral and/or multilateral diplomatic; and military leaders

emphasize the military perspectives highlighting their respective roles, needs and plans of actions minus

the perspective and needs of the people who have entrusted them with a leadership role for the

protection of their interests. What do we find missing here? Who is supposed to highlight the social

sector perspective? Yes, federal and provincial social sector related ministers and genuine civil society

leaders supposedly represent the people but isn’t their social sector development agenda prepared and

financed by international donors? Consequently, who will they represent and report to? The will

obviously represent and report to those who holds the purse!

Read the details here: http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/pakistans-independence-day-message-to-government-and-people-of-pakistan

SOCIAL ACTIVITY:

Social territory is a nucleus around which the other four territories on the national activity map revolve.

A family, therefore, is a focal point with reference to social and civil rights and responsibilities. It is,

therefore, necessary to understand its role in national politics and national planning needs to focus on

an individual’s seven stages of life.

CIVIL SOCIETY AND THE SEVEN STATGES OF LIFE

SOCIAL

Civil Society

Political

Economic

Diplomatic

Military

http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/pakistans-independence-day-message-to-government-and-people-of-pakistan


Each transition of an individual’s life from one

stage to the other till his death reflects a change

in his role, his rights and his responsibilities as

member of his family, society and the state. The

family, the society and the government are

supposed to design rights and obligations

keeping in view a human beings needs and

ability to contribute to family, society and the

government.

How do the families, societies and governments maintain balance between needs and obligations of an

individual? The answer is focus on Delivery System. And media has a great responsibility to do that.

Read the details here: http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/the-greatest-media-and-advertising-challenge-of-the-most-powerful-human-and-resource-rich-country-of-the-muslim-world

POLITICAL ACTIVITY:

Politics has become subservient to an “adjustable” party agenda on “day-to-day basis” instead of

“manifesto focused” governance to represent the voters in democratic as well as non-democratic

political systems across the globe. Agenda adjustability is a necessity that dawn on political leaders and

dictators after they are voted in to wear the crown or the crown finds their heads in a country like

Pakistan. They come to know only then that demands of the corridors of power are totally different

from the demands of the street power.

The social, political, economic, diplomatic and

military confusion visible in the capitals of

different continents, including Pakistan, clearly

indicates that the political leaders across the

globe are unsuccessfully struggling to create a

workable balance between their party

manifestos, the expectations of their

disappointed voters and long term national

strategic vision/goals and genuine external pressures of globalization. Political situation in Pakistan is far

more disturbing in view of the fact that the country is in a mess on all fronts of governance.

HOW TO REMAIN

FOCUSED?

PARTY

MANIFESTO

EXPECTATIONS OF VOTERS

COALITION CONCERNS AND DAY-TO-DAY DEMANDS AND

PRESSURES

PRESSURES OF GLOBALIZATION




ECONOMIC ACTIVITY:

New financial world order in a globalized economy has exposed the economies of the countries to

internal threats compounded by external visible and invisible pressures. Unhindered flow of money

across borders has created a new breed of non-state entrepreneurs who do not believe in nationalism

or patriotism, as the employees don’t believe in loyalty to their companies. They invest the money

where the return is the highest. They are, in a way, justified in doing that because in business any-

where in the world, the single most important

priority is to maximize return on investment.

The investors take their money to the countries

where the ease of doing business, availability of

cheap labor, no or minimum regulatory

interventions, no or the lowest tax regimes are

guaranteed to them. Consequently, we find

more than $30 trillion parked in offshore banks!

These non-state entrepreneurs have created an

economic havoc in developed economies of the

world by exporting jobs, creating unemploy-

ment back home and reducing GDP growth

rates in their own countries turning the task of

running a developed country’s economy into a

nightmare. The economic mess Europe and USA

find themselves in is self-explanatory evidence

of what is happening on global economic front. They are struggling to escape from the Domino Effect…

Fortunately, Pakistan is one of the top listed emerging market’s economies with higher Regional GDP

than the most preferred emerging economies in different continents of the world

(http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/potential-of-investment-in-pakistan-12752206). Why Pakistan has failed to take any

small or significant advantage of its globally acknowledged pro-investment inflow position on Global

Investment Flows Map of the World? The answer is carefully engineered disconfiguration of Pakistan’s

elements of national power with the connivance of the pawns of enemies of Pakistan placed at different

management levels in almost every pillar of the state as well as corporate sector. These allegedly known

and unknown pawns in every pillar of the state and corporate sector have perpetuated a state of

permanent uncertainty in such a way that nothing in any area of economy can be planned and

CAPITAL

FLIGHT

EASE OF DOING BUSINESS

AVAILABILITY OF CHEAP LABOR

NO OR MINIMUM REGULATORY

INTERVENTION

NO OR NOMINAL TAX REGIMES

http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/potential-of-investment-in-pakistan-12752206


implemented with foreseeable, dependable or predictable timeline. On the policy making front the

government has become stooge of a number of criminal business cartels that are evidently inflicting

loses of billions of dollars in different sectors of economy bringing Pakistan to the edge of bankruptcy.

DIPLOMATIC ACTIVITY:

In today’s globally and economically

interconnected world, diplomacy is an art that

keeps a country on the safe side economically

and militarily in a highly unpredictable world.

Diplomatic activity, therefore, is the most

sensitive of all other activities on the National

Activity Map. If we look at what is happening on

the economic and military fronts in Pakistan, we

clearly see a glimpse of the professional capability of the people who are managing the foreign affairs of

the country. The situation in and around Pakistan was never unpredictable even decades ago for an

average student of international relations in early 1970s! That was almost four decades ago

(http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/hang-together-or-you-will-be-hanged-individually and http://www.slideshare.net/ 19540201/the-

end-of-the-independent-muslim-world. Diplomacy is not a day-to-day affair. It is considered as the backbone of a

country’s National Strategic Vision and Goals. Governments come and go but the National Strategic

Vision and Goals do not change with the changes in and around a country.

A country’s vigilant leaders always remain fully cognizant of developments in and around borders of

their countries. The only but controversial visionary statesman par excellence and expert in diplomacy

was Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto who knew what was happening, what was expected and how to prepare for any

eventuality. The irony of international relations is that he failed to envision his own unfortunate abrupt

political and physical end. After him Pakistan has become a “Diplomatic Orphan” taking summersaults

with developments in and around its borders.

Zia-ul-Haq played his diplomatic cards fairly well

to take full advantage of political, economic and

military developments in and around Pakistan.

Internally, he had succeeded in partially

damaging the vote bank of Pakistan Peoples’

Party in Sind, Punjab, Baluchistan and NWFP

and creating his own political squad.

Externally, he did not compromise on economic cost of his country’s military involvement in

Afghanistan. His diplomatic and strategic military skills were negatively overshadowed by his political

PAKISTAN

AFGHANISTAN

MIDDLE

EAST

IRAN

CHINA AND SOUTH ASIA

http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/hang-together-or-you-will-be-hanged-individually

http://www.slideshare.net/%2019540201/the-end-of-the-independent-muslim-world

http://www.slideshare.net/%2019540201/the-end-of-the-independent-muslim-world


blunders and known and unknown reasons behind mysterious Ojhri blasts. After the removal of Junejo

as Prime Minister he was told by those for whom he was working that his days were over!

The political regimes prior to Musharraf’s take

over, were internally struggling to keep their

feet on ground politically. They had little to do

on the external front except for a brief

interaction of Nawaz Sharif with British Prime

Minister and American President who wanted

him to review his declared intention to make

Pakistan a confirmed nuclear state. Pakistan did

not comply and this was the point from where Pakistan’s days of skillfully engineered political and

economic doom started. With the nuclear explosion Pakistan had become allegedly, but NOT in reality

“The Only Nuclear Fort of Islam.” Even that was

not to be tolerated at any cost in any capital of

the non-Muslim world for obviously known

reasons. This is when Pakistan’s economic

strangulation was seriously planned and put

into operation not covertly but overtly. Another

controversial diplomatic as well as military

event was Nawaz Sharif’s visit to United States

of America for seeking support to put an end to India-Pakistan Kargil clash. That is the history of

Pakistan’s “political and economic diplomacy.”

The dismissal of Nawaz Sharif’s government by

Pervez Musharraf had diplomatically isolated

Pakistan until the attack on Twin Towers in

September 2001 opening a new chapter in the

history of diplomacy in Pakistan and rest of the

world. After 9/11 Pakistan’s armed forces

played a decisive role in both diplomatic as well

as military affairs of Pakistan.

ZIA-UL-HAQUE MACHIAVELLI'S

"PRINCE"

MUJAHEDEEN IN KABUL AND ANP IN PESHAWAR

MQM IN SIND

FIRST PHASE OF MILITARY MULLAH ALLIANCE

NAWAZ SHARIF IN PUNJAB

NAWAZ SHARIF'S

DILLEMAS

NUCLEAR EXPLOSION

ECONOMIC STRANGULATION

IRRESPONSIBLE GOVERNANCE

KARGIL

MISHAP


MILITARY ACTIVITY: 9/11 is a turning point in the history of diplomacy and military affairs. The unilateral and multilateral

application of the theory of preemptive strikes and the concept of military operation other than war in

war theaters in almost all continents of the world have exposed the political and military leaders to

extremely serious new challenges.

The political leaders have to justify the social,

economic and diplomatic consequences of

involvement in externally ill-advised or flawed

internally planned military actions within and

outside a country. Similarly, military leaders

have to seek parliamentary cover prior to

involvement in war against terror in and around

a country. Consequently, the political leaders

and military commanders are under tremend-

ous pressures to justify their actions and the

impact of those actions on five territories of

National Activity Map. This is not Pakistan

specific, political, diplomatic and military deve-

lopment. “You are either with us or against us” and the “League of Democracy” are two other areas of

global concern that have disturbed the political, diplomatic and military balance to an extent that their

adverse social and economic fallout is witnessed in every corner of the world.

These are indeed difficult times. Exceptionally extraordinary situations underline the need for innovative

re-invention of state management systems based on scientific analysis of ground realities. The question

is how to either renegotiate or get out of bilateral and multilateral obligations and alliances that are

evidently destabilizing Pakistan and disconfiguring and damaging its system of governance to an

irreparable extent.

NATIONAL ACTION PLAN FROM CIVIL SOCIETY’S PERSPECTIVE:

SOCIAL ACTIVITY: ACTION

PSY-OPS AND

MILITARY WEB

THEORY OF PREEMPTION

CONFUSING MILITARY

AND

POLITICAL TACTICS

MILITARY OPERATION

OTHER THAN

WAR

NEED FOR

LEGISLATIVE

COVER


In order to make its voice heard, the civil society needs to create public pressure groups and personal

security platforms.

EXAMPLES: An irresponsible and irresponsive ministry of water and power has made the life of people

miserable in every walk of life by launching a country-wide unscheduled and unannounced load-

shedding plan instead of controlling politically motivated leakage and attempting other available

management options strictly and honestly. The people came out in the streets to protest against this

brutal practical demonstration of ministerial and bureaucratic incompetence. What was witnessed?

An angry mob was seen and reported attacking everything that came in its way turning a genuine

expression of displeasure and the right to protest into a violent criminal act and an activity without an

outcome. What did this activity without an outcome convey? The conversion of civil society into an

unruly mob without a well defined goal and invisibility of a civil society leader to guide them for

agitating for a purpose in a way to get the problem solved. So, in a situation like this people need to first

nominate someone from among themselves to lead them when their elected representatives go

into hiding and then agree on a plan of action to make sure that their problem is not temporarily but

permanently solved. Media on its part failed to honestly investigate the genuine reasons for shortfall in

electricity generation and exposing the real culprits behind the crime with facts, figures and evidence.

How civil society can point out media’s failure or to come up with its own investigative research by

young college and university students declaring media as a “silent partner in crime” and demanding

action against the ministry officials, the power generation and distribution companies and their corrupt

staff, the politicians with evidence of supporting criminals involved in “power theft” and the media

staff’s failure in doing justice to the assigned beat.

The people need to get organized, create social response platforms and pick up their politically

uninfluenced and unbiased civil society leaders.

Pakistan’s only hope is the country’s youth. Ironically, youth is allowed to work and vote for political

parties but they are not allowed to form student societies and unions in colleges and universities. The

college and university students exit the educational institutions and enter into a bigger university of

practical life. Whatever they learn helps them in laying the foundation of their personal career and

family life around that. Politics is very much a part of their lives too. In the past, when student unions

were not banned in colleges and universities, the students played an important role in country’s politics

too. How they do that in advanced countries is a very important subject for research.


POLITICAL ACTIVITY: ACTION

Civil society has to discard any individual who seeks public office for personal benefit and pick the

public office holders themselves brushing aside all those internal and external intelligence agencies

sponsored politicians who appear in two to three television programs in a single day and are

introduced by print and electronic media as genuine political leaders particularly sons of army

generals, daughters of politicians and technocrats of dubious political and personal character and

retired bureaucrats, judges and army generals. They were repeatedly voted into power by people

and they did nothing except betraying trust of the voters. What they are good in is nothing but

talking and talking a lot without making any sense. This is what they and their party leaders are doing

for the last so many decades. All of them must be permanently discarded and thrown out of

country’s politics for good.

Civil society needs to come up with its own selection process and create platforms for the

nomination of candidates for national and provincial assemblies and the senate. The right of

selecting a candidate must be taken back from the political party leaders who have developed an

army of visionless incompetent and corrupt political idiots promoted by equally unprofessional and

now publically condemned criminally obliged print and electronic media journalists, anchors and

analysts.

All those politicians who have criminal charges against them or are being tried in the courts of law

ought to be disqualified from contesting election for any public office until they are proven not guilty.

Civil Society has to develop a mechanism for the investigation of public complaints against the office

holders of the four pillars of the state and take the culprits to courts and judicial council no matter

how highly placed and important they are and see that the justice is done.

Presently ongoing superior court proceedings in NRO and other cases have established beyond any

doubt that the constitution of Pakistan is seriously flawed and evidently provides shameful cover to

criminals once they are elected. These flaws need to be pointed out by the civil society for immediate

review and appropriate correction.


ECONOMIC ACTIVITY: ACTION

The government of Pakistan does not have a National Economic Vision, Natural and Human Resource

Potential and Performance Map and rationalized Public Administration Expenditure Manuel. The

bureaucracy does not have a “Public Service Code of Conduct” that binds it to remain open and

available to ideas and projects of national importance. Presidential immunity is used by section

officers and federal secretaries for hiding incompetence, negligence, indifference and corruption at

every level of state management operation. Civil society has to create platforms for addressing the

highlighted state management loopholes.

The civil society, first of all, needs to make the government accountable for the direct and indirect

taxes that are paid by people but are not accounted for in FBR’s records through unlawful connivance

of FBR’s staff with corporate criminals.

Annual increase in the salaries of government employees has to be linked with their transparent

public dealing and professional performance. None of the government ministries as well as staff of

the Prime Minister and President secretariats have done anything for the country and the people to

be proud of. Therefore, there is no justification for across the board increase in their salaries. Their

failure to perform their duties has been shamefully rewarded. Nothing can be more insulting and

obnoxious than this act of ignorance on record by the finance ministers and Prime Ministers’ entire

cabinets that goes un-noticed and un-condemned to the level it deserves.

All the facilities regarding accommodation, payment of utility bills, personal security and domestic

staff have to be withdrawn with immediate effect irrespective of the official positions of the

beneficiaries in three pillars of the state. When tax payers are not receiving any service against the

taxes they are paying, the government officials must be ashamed of using those services being


servants of the people. These unlawful perks and privileges have made them criminally negligent of

their duties and irresponsive to the genuine problems of the people.

DIPLOMATIC ACTIVITY: ACTION

Pakistan’s ideal geographical location makes it one of the most fortunate countries in the world but the

situation in and around Pakistan has made it the most unfortunate and rightly or wrongly the most

ridiculed piece of land on the map of the world. Who is responsible for turning Pakistan’s good

diplomatic fortune into shameful ridicule?

Without an attempt to give a controversial

answer to this question it will be hopefully

more appropriate to look into the possibility of

reversing the situation to Pakistan’s advantage.

The key for that is the proper evaluation of

Pakistan’s tangible and intangible elements of

national power and their reconfiguration for

proper positioning and utilization of country’s

ideal geographical location, its rich natural and

human resources, and its incomparably unique

economic and overseas investment potential.

MILITARY ACTIVITY: ACTION

It will not be inappropriate and out of place to blame Pakistan’s military commanders for the overall

mess Pakistan is in. So far Pakistan’s military commanders have repeatedly jumped in to put the

country’s democracy back on track but always gifted Pakistanis a much bigger mess before they left.

They made failed attempt after attempts to covertly and overtly reform Pakistan’s overall system of

governance making it far more ungovernable through their hand-picked politicians and “Kalam Kabila”

(The media owners and their artificially over-pampered writers and anchors who are now getting

POLITICAL & CIVIL SOCIETY

LEADERSHIP?

GEOGRAPHICAL LOCATION

NATURAL & HUMAN

RESOURCES

ECONOMIC & INVESTMENT POTENTIAL

DEFENCE CAPABILITY


exposed and appearing in their true colors). Now instead of trying another way out in an old manner it

will be advisable to use the civil society giving them military cover in getting their right to self-govern

back to them in its true sense. How that can be done? That can be done only by mobilizing “Influence

Groups” in every walk of life through “Specific Self-Governance Tasks” within a given timeline. The

commanders need to command and see what the followers do when they are on their way to become

masters of their own destiny instead of getting enslaved by political demagogues with dual and multiple

nationalities and loyalty to none. Why is it necessary? It is necessary because Pakistan’s security is NOT

threatened by external conspiracies or possible aggression. Pakistan’s very survival is threatened by

internal lawlessness, incompetence of political leaders with criminal background and evidently

vulnerable to external anti-state pressures and complete irreparable collapse of the system of

governance if the affairs of the state are continued to be managed in the way they are managed now.


CONCLUSION:

When those who are given the mandate to govern make the country ungovernable then the only way

out for the civil society is to lead the way to show the leaders that those who are mislead can lead too

when the time comes. It is far more important to self-govern than handing over the right to govern to

those who cannot see beyond their nose.

Pakistan’s only hope is the country’s youth. Ironically, youth is allowed to work and vote for political parties but they are not allowed to form student societies and unions in colleges and universities. The college and university students exit the educational institutions and enter into a bigger university of practical life. Whatever they learn helps them in laying the foundation of their personal career and family life around that. Politics is very much a part of their lives too. In the past, when student unions were not banned in colleges and universities, the students played an important role in country’s politics too. How they do that in advanced countries is a very important subject for research.

Zahid Hussain Khalid has worked for national and international media groups not as a journalist but a marketing practitioner, researcher and analyst. He successfully initiated and completed the assigned managerial and country tasks for such publications as Arab News, Financial Times, Jang Group, Euromoney magazine, Petroleum Economist, South China Morning Post, Asiamoney magazine, Innovation Management and Hong Kong Standard except Forbes Inc, Forbes Global, Forbes Europe, Forbes Asia. He will always remain thankful to Mr. William Adamapolous and Mr. Steve Forbes of Forbes Inc and Mr. Tony Shale CEO, Euromoney Institutional Investor Group (Jersey) Limited for their personal encouragement and support in initiating and marketing Pakistan-specific innovative integrated media packages for investment promotion. He also worked as Associate Producer, Current Affairs, Pakistan Television Corp.

His articles have appeared in the Daily Jang, Daily Mashriq, the Nawa-e-Waqt and daily The Muslim on social, economic, political, diplomatic and military subjects which are available here http://zahidhkhalid.wordpress.com/ and here http://www.slideshare.net/19540201

He had co-produced more than hundred episodes of the most popular weekly program “Hafta-e-Rafta” and was nominated for Best Producer’s award for documentaries on Afghan Refugees and Year of the Aged.

His work reflects a visible difference because he strongly believes in innovative approach in everything that he does. He was co-owner of International Media Sales from 1991 to 2012 and is owner of SUN&FZ Associates since 1994.

http://zahidhkhalid.wordpress.com/

http://www.slideshare.net/19540201


READING LIST:

1. Growing Beyond: Rapid growth market, Winter Edition - January 2013,” Earnst & Young

2. “Growth Journeys: Helping Asian companies realize the value of their international expansion strategies,” Accenture 2013

3. Earnst & Young Rapid-Growth Markets Forecast – October 2013

4. CFO innovation Asia, Business Outlook Survey, First Quarter 2013

5. “Brand New Order – “Profit or lose Balancing the growth-profit paradox for global consumer products companies and retailers in Asia’s

emerging markets,” Earnst & Young, June 2013

6. Future Work Skills 2020, Institute for the Future for the University of Phoenix Research Institute 2011

7. Education at a Glance (Paris: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, 2006), 155.

8. “Investment in Global Education: A strategic Imperative for Business,” Center for Global Education at Brookings, September 2013

9. Nielsen Global Survey of Consumer Demand, Q1 2013

10. Universalia 1985; IDRC 1991; Influencing Change: Building Evaluation Capacity to Strengthen Governance, The World Bank 2011

11. Mohammad A. Jaljouli, “Evaluation Systems as Strategy Management Tools: Building Dubai’s Institutional Learning Capacity,” /

“Influencing Change: Building Evaluation Capacity to Strengthen Governance,” The World Bank 2011

12. Caroline Heider, A Conceptual Framework for Developing Evaluation Capacities: Building on Good Practice, “Influencing Change: Building

Evaluation Capacity to Strengthen Governance,” The World Bank 2011.

13. Zahid Hussain Khalid, Potential of Investment in Pakistan: http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/potential-of-investment-in-pakistan-

12752206

14. Zahid Hussain Khalid, Pakistan’s Independence Day Message to Government and the people of Pakistan:

15. http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/pakistans-independence-day-message-to-government-and-people-of-pakistan

16. Zahid Hussain Khalid, America, the Great Game and the Greater Middle East – an un-discussed perspective unveiling the birth of

conspiracies, http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/america-the-great-game-and-the-greater-middle-east-an-undiscussed-perspective-

unveiling-the-birth-of-conspiracy-theories

17. Zahid Hussain Khalid, Malala Mishap and Global Media Scenario in Retrospect, http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/malala-mishap-and-

global-media-scenario-in-retrospect-taliban-and-pakistan

18. Zahid Hussain Khalid, The Weaknesses and the only Strength of the Muslims, http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/the-weaknesses-of-

the-muslims



http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/pakistans-independence-day-message-to-government-and-people-of-pakistan

http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/america-the-great-game-and-the-greater-middle-east-an-undiscussed-perspective-unveiling-the-birth-of-conspiracy-theories

http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/america-the-great-game-and-the-greater-middle-east-an-undiscussed-perspective-unveiling-the-birth-of-conspiracy-theories

http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/malala-mishap-and-global-media-scenario-in-retrospect-taliban-and-pakistan

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http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/the-weaknesses-of-the-muslims

http://www.slideshare.net/19540201/the-weaknesses-of-the-muslims