Indonesia’s Urban Development and Governance Sharing Development Solutions for an Emerging Indonesia Peter D. Ellis Lead Urban Economist Pakistan Urban

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • Slide 1
  • Indonesias Urban Development and Governance Sharing Development Solutions for an Emerging Indonesia Peter D. Ellis Lead Urban Economist Pakistan Urban Forum January 10, 2014 The World Bank 1
  • Slide 2
  • Structure of the Presentation 2 Urbanization Trends Growth of Major Cities Decentralization Local Governance
  • Slide 3
  • Compound Annual Growth Rates of Urban Population, 1970-2010 Source: United Nations World Urbanization Prospects, 2010 Indonesia has the fastest growth rate 3
  • Slide 4
  • China47 % India30 % Pakistan36% Indonesia54 % Philippines49 % Thailand34 % Vietnam31 % 4 Indonesia also has the Largest Share of Urban Population (2010) 4
  • Slide 5
  • Indonesia as we know it 5
  • Slide 6
  • Java has the highest population density 58% of total population Size shows proportion of provincial population relative to national population 6
  • Slide 7
  • Highest Economic Density in Java 7 Major metropolitan areas of Jakarta and Surabaya are dominant in Java. Off Java, economic activity is also concentrated in major urban areas.
  • Slide 8
  • Based on population and economic densities alone, Java appears to be highly urbanized However, when we use the Agglomeration Index 8
  • Slide 9
  • 9 Java is not completely urbanized
  • Slide 10
  • Metropolitan Areas Dominate Especially Jakarta Metropolitan Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) share to Non-oil GDP 10
  • Slide 11
  • Population is De-Concentrating from all Major Indonesian Metropolitan Areas 11
  • Slide 12
  • Population growth is primarily in periphery, not in core city 12 Metro name 2005CAGR 1995 - 2005 CorePeripheryMetroCorePeripheryMetro Jakarta 8,820,603 12,799,559 21,620,1620.44%2.47%1.56% Surabaya 2,611,506 5,974,090 8,585,5960.33%1.46%1.10% Bandung 2,270,969 5,079,430 7,350,3990.66%3.13%2.26% Semarang 1,446,533 4,335,017 5,781,5500.97%1.15%1.10% Medan 2,029,797 1,812,196 3,841,9931.07%0.10%0.59% Palembang 1,369,239 1,122,731 2,491,9701.20%-2.67%-0.85% Makassar 1,194,583 1,106,362 2,300,9451.58% Denpasar 574,610 1,208,004 1,782,6143.97%1.07%1.87% Source: Indonesia Bureau of Statistics (BPS)
  • Slide 13
  • 13 Cities are expanding beyond political boundaries (Example: Jakarta Metro Area)
  • Slide 14
  • Performance of Agglomerations 14
  • Slide 15
  • 15 Indonesias Rural Regions are Benefitting from Urbanization 15 Districts with better connectivity have higher income growth Not all districts have good connectivity to Benjarmasin city
  • Slide 16
  • Population: 240 million Decentralization Big-bang started in 2001 33 Provinces and over 550 Districts / Municipalities Population growth: 1.3% (annual) Urban population 54% 16 Indonesia Decentralization
  • Slide 17
  • Since decentralization, provincial and districts governments have experienced substantial increases in financial resources. Local Governments now manage nearly 40% of total public expenditures and carry out more than 50% public investments. 17 Resources and Responsibilities shifted to the local governments
  • Slide 18
  • Own-source revenue (PAD) accounts for 17% of LG revenue. Local governments rely heavily on inter-government transfers: Block grants, DAU Capital grants, DAK Shared revenue, DBH Own-source Revenue Still Low
  • Slide 19
  • Largest Cities are Financially Self-reliant 19 CityPopulation (million) OSR (% rev) Transfers (% rev) Capex (% exp) Credit Rating Jakarta10.18633228AA+ Surabaya 2.77 504914AA- Makassar 1.34 20771010A- Medan2.09365222n.a. Balikpapan 0.56 128819A+ Palembang 1.46 197819n.a
  • Slide 20
  • More Autonomy and Money to LGs More money to LGs More Autonomy Central government has insufficient information particularly on the usage of intergovernmental fund and quality of delivered outputs Lack on reporting of the utilization of intergovernmental fund Inadequate monitoring and evaluation of intergovernmental fund Local Government and Decentralization Program 20
  • Slide 21
  • Results focused Reward performance with grants Strengthen Government Systems Central government verification Strengthen LG Internal Controls Web-based Reporting Systems (WBRS). WBRS was launched in May 2011 and districts submit their financial and technical reports electronically. Budget transparency Ease of reporting and monitoring 21 Key Features of LG Strengthening
  • Slide 22
  • Web-Based Reporting System (WBRS) Uploading Contract Data 22
  • Slide 23
  • WBRS Photograph of Output 23
  • Slide 24
  • Planning Framework 24 Planning Framework
  • Slide 25
  • DKI Jakarta Mass Rapid Transit Trans Jakarta Busway; 13 corridors already established (total 15 planned). Will be integrated with MRT. The city has started the bidding for MRT. Integration with commuter train system in greater metro regionLoop Line Railway and Toll Road. Flood Mitigation Government focus for this period to maintain flood canals to reduce the run off. Jakarta Urgent Flood Mitigation Project (JUFMP). Has started ground breaking for dredging canals. 25
  • Slide 26
  • Jakarta Improving Coordination Metropolitan management across many cities. Jakarta metro area covers 7 cities and 3 Provinces. Institutional coordination is a big challenge. The national planning agency (Bappenas) is creating an institution to manage the metro area. Bond issuance. DKI Jakarta is planning on issuing a bond. There are still some challenges regarding regulations between the MOF and MOHA. The bonds will finance a bus terminal, market, low-income housing, and a hospital. 26
  • Slide 27
  • Surabaya (East Java) 27 Urban Transportation. Develop Tram way (north-south) and Monorail (east- west). Pre-FS and demand modeling supported by the Bank and CDIA. Currently the city is in the process of starting a FS. City Planning Labs. The Bank is supporting the city on developing a planning lab within the local planning agency (Bappeko) and Dinas Human Settlement to improve planning system and management of the city.
  • Slide 28
  • Surabaya Increasing Transparency E-Governance. Surabaya received an award on early December 2013 for being one of the most transparent cities in East Asia Pacific. This include e-procurement, e-budgeting, and web-based reporting system for intergovernmental transfer. Citizen Feedback. Complaint and handling mechanism has been developed by the Mayor, to allow for citizens to report on any issues in the city. This has been done since 2011 through an online system, text message, radio station, and even facebook. 28
  • Slide 29
  • Conclusion Strong ownership by city leaders and communities Establish technical partnerships between cities, leading global and Indonesian universities, and relevant national government ministries Proposals and priorities for transformative investments urban renewal, waterfront redevelopment, bus rapid transit, solid waste treatment, and land readjustment schemes Each city conducted detailed fiscal assessment 29
  • Slide 30
  • 30 Thank You