Incubating Development Impact

Source: Nesta

Source: Nesta

1. Research and analysis- Micro-narratives

- Ethnography- Big data: smoke signals

- Evidence mapping- Horizon scanning- Market intelligence- Systems mapping- Service safaris

2. Ideation and fostering creative thinking

- Crowdsourcing- Challenges- Design tools

- Creativity methods- Open innovation

3. Experiment- Rapid prototyping

- Service and process design- User-design- Co-design

- Behavioural insights- Light-touch evaluation

- Randomised Control Trials- Cost-benefit modelling

4. Business case development- Market sizing and validation

- Business case analysis- Independent replication of

evaluation

5. Replication of impact- Policy design

- Programme design- Business modelling

- Organisational design

6. Scale-up- Organisational growth

- Spreading ideas- Transferring practice

- Legislation- Licensing

- Franchising

7. Systemic impact- Changing behaviour

- Changing laws and regulations- Calibrating markets

- Understanding interaction of technologies

Source: Nesta

Source: Nesta

Ideas Prototype Alpha Beta

Fil

ter

Fil

ter

Fil

ter

Challenges Experiments Small Real-World Evaluations

Theory of change

Correlation

Causation

Graduation

GovernmentEnterprise

NGOUNDP Project

Before and after

EvidenceWho

• 3 staff• few phone calls?

• Staff• Universities• Private sector• Local Partners• Start ups • Individuals• Int. networks

Where

• Office

• Field• Local

partners

When How

Solution identified ex ante

Solution identified ex post

• 1 solution pre-identified

• Internal process

• Top-down

• Linear

• Portfolio approach

• Number of hypothesis tested concurrently

• Co-design

• Open, public process

• Continuous improvement

• Secondary research

• No precedents• No feedback

loops

• Gained through experimentation

• Precedents• Continuous

feedback loops

ANNEX