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Emerging markets are the startups of the world disruption. Their disruption of industrialized countries has reached the point of no return. The definition of markets is changing. The definition of jobs is changing. The definition of who we are is changing. It's a peer to peer world, enhanced by the internet and technological advancements. More than a crisis, it's a catharsis and countries like Greece should adopt an emerging market philosophy to rebound. Keynote address, TEDx Athens Salon, Athens, Greece, July 2, 2013.
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GREECE IS A STARTUP:THE EMERGING
MARKET ADVANTAGE
Paul Papadimitriou — TEDx Athens Salon — Athens — July 2013
GREECE SUCKS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/sudhamshu/3202963823/sizes/l/
DO YOU HAVE A JOB?
http://www.flickr.com/photos/sudhamshu/3202963823/sizes/l/
64.2%
http://www.flickr.com/photos/sudhamshu/3202963823/sizes/l/
YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT
Source: Eurostat, 18-25 y.o
DO YOU WANT TO BECOME A PUBLIC SERVANT?
http://www.flickr.com/photos/sudhamshu/3202963823/sizes/l/
JOBS ARE GONE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/sudhamshu/3202963823/sizes/l/
GREECE SUCKS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/sudhamshu/3202963823/sizes/l/
NO BROADBAND
http://www.flickr.com/photos/sudhamshu/3202963823/sizes/l/
NO INDUSTRY
NO MONEY
NOT ALWAYS ON
http://www.flickr.com/photos/sudhamshu/3202963823/sizes/l/
NOT TECH SAVVY
NOT RICH
LIMITED RESOURCES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/sudhamshu/3202963823/sizes/l/
GREECE SUCKS?
http://www.flickr.com/photos/sudhamshu/3202963823/sizes/l/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/yo_tuco/3873775866/sizes/o/
JOBS #FAIL WORLDWIDE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/yo_tuco/3873775866/sizes/o/
2008 CRISISWAS DIFFERENT
FROM PREVIOUS CRISIS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/yo_tuco/3873775866/sizes/o/
POST-CRISISGDP RECOVERY
NOT JOBS RECOVERY
http://www.flickr.com/photos/yo_tuco/3873775866/sizes/o/
THE WORLD HASBEEN DISRUPTED
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
DISRUPTIONIS A DEFLATION GAME
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
DISRUPTIONMEANS FALLING PRICES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
THINKYOUTUBE V. TELEVISION
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
1,000,000,000UNIQUES/MONTHS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
YOUTUBE PROVIDESMASS SCALE
DRAMATICALLY LOWER PRICE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
TVIS ADDICTED TOLARGE MARGINS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
INCUMBENTSARE ADDICTED TOLARGE MARGINS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
NOW THINKEMERGING V. INDUSTRIALIZED
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
EMERGING MARKETS PROVIDEMASS SCALE
DRAMATICALLY LOWER PRICE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
EMERGING MARKETS PROVIDEMASS WORKFORCE
DRAMATICALLY LOWER PRICE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
THE “WEST”IS ADDICTED TOLARGE MARGINS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
WE HAD ITTOO GOOD
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
BUILT ONABUNDANCE OF RESOURCES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
ABUNDANCE OFJOBS
MONEY, RAW MATERIALS,…
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
THIS IS GONE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
WE ARE BEING DISRUPTED
http://www.flickr.com/photos/annamagal/4697076085/sizes/l/
WE ARE BEING DISRUPTEDBY EMERGING MARKETS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
YOU LOVE YOURTECHNOLOGY
GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY
MS
FB
Yahoo
0 375 750 1125 1500
US World
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
Source: Comscore Global 2013
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
YOU LOVE YOURMOBILE TECHNOLOGY
MOBILE EXPLOSION
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
PCs Smartphones & tablets
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
Source: Benedict Evans, Mobile is Eating the World
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
Source: Benedict Evans, Mobile is Eating the World
71%OF LITERATE PEOPLE WILL
HAVE A SMARTPHONE IN 2017
BIGGEST TECH SHIFT EVER
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2015
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
Source: Mary Meeker Internet Trends
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
YOU LOVE YOURWEARABLE TECHNOLOGY
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
YOU LOVE YOURDATA TECHNOLOGY
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
EVERYTHING WILLBE CONNECTED
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
EVERYTHING WILLTALK TO EACH OTHER
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
REMEMBER HOW YOUFLEW
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
HUMAN ENTRYHUMAN TO HUMAN
PAPER TICKET
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
HOW DO YOU FLYTODAY?
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
MACHINE ENTRYMACHINE TO MACHINE
ELECTRONIC TICKET
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
HOW DO YOU DRIVETODAY?
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
HUMAN DRIVENHUMAN TO HUMAN
HUMAN DRIVING
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
HOW WILL YOU DRIVETOMORROW?
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
DATA DRIVENMACHINE TO MACHINE
ELECTRONIC DRIVING
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
ROBOTIZATION,…I COULD GO ON
AUTOMATIZATION,
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
THIS IS A REVOLUTION
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
AN EFFICIENCY REVOLUTION
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
NO MORE JOBSWHO NEEDS HUMANS?
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
WITHOUT FULL ACCESS?PROSPERITY
http://www.flickr.com/photos/anantns/7979597377/sizes/l/
WE ARE BEING DISRUPTED
http://www.flickr.com/photos/theqspeaks/6243039829/sizes/l/
SO WHAT NOW?
http://www.flickr.com/photos/theqspeaks/6243039829/sizes/l/
EMERGING IDEAS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
AREEMERGING
NEW IDENTITIES
EMERGED COMMUNITIESTWITTER
FACEBOOKDEVIANTART,…
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
ARE ENABLING TRUST & OPENNESS
MASS SCALE NETWORKS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
TOP2P IDENTITIES
FROM TOP-DOWN
TRIBALISMDIFFERENTIATED LIVING
NEW GROUPS DETERMINATIONSHARED ACTUALIZATION
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
NOMADISMMOBILITY
AUGMENTED LIVING
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
SINGULARISMSELF-CONSTRUCTNODAL LIVING
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
NEW SELVES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
NEW CONSUMERS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
EMPOWERED& AWARE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
LOOKING FOR
ENGAGEMENTCONVENIENCE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
PERSONALIZATION
MEANING
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
NOT DEFINED BY THINGS
NOT BUYINGTHINGS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
DEFINED BY ACCESS TOEXPERIENCES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
BUYINGEXPERIENCES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
SHARINGEXPERIENCES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
DEFINED BY ACCESS TOTHINGS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
EMERGING MARKETPLACESAIRBNB
RELAYRIDELENDINGCLUB
ANGEL LISTUDEMY,…
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/
IDEA #1:P2P MARKETPLACES FOR EMERGING IDENTITIES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/almostinfamous/5063718679/sizes/l/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
WILL HAVE 18 JOBSBY THE AGE OF 36
YOUTH TODAY
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
AND THAT’S OK
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
OF JOBIS CHANGING
DEFINITION
GLOBAL WORKFORCEODESK
ELANCE,…
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
WOMENWILL ENTER THE WORKFORCE
1,000,000,000
Source: Booz & CO
IN THE NEXT 10 YEARS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
BIGGER WORKFORCEBIGGER PLANET
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
ALONE WHEN HE SHOUTEDEUREKA
ARCHIMEDES WASN’T
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
IN THE CITYOF SYRACUSE
HE WAS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
AT THE CENTER OFINNOVATION
CITIES ARE
SUPER-LINEARITY
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
Source: MIT
PEOPLE ONLINE
1995 2000 2005 2010 2012 2020
5000000000
2029000000
201900000101900000411000004400000
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
Source: World Bank
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
AT THE CENTER OFINNOVATION
THE INTERNET IS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
THE NEWCITY
THE INTERNET IS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/pedromourapinheiro/2559028008/sizes/l/
A GLOCALCITY
IDEA #2:LEVERAGE THE EMERGING
NODAL WORKFORCEhttp://www.flickr.com/photos/almostinfamous/5063718679/sizes/l/
ALWAYS ON
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
TECH SAVVY
RICHSILICON VALLEY IS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
OF TRADERSWITH LIMITED RESOURCES
IN A WORLD
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
OF SHARERSWITH LIMITED RESOURCES
IN A WORLD
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
ALWAYS DEALTWITH LIMITED RESOURCES
EMERGING MARKETS
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
AND PEOPLE DEALTWITH LIMITED RESOURCES
JOBS WERE HARDER TO GET
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
WITH LIMITED RESOURCESCOMES NO CHOICEBUT TO ACCELERATE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
BREAKING CONVENTIONSACCELERATE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
IDEASACCELERATE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
0
1
2
3
4
2008
2.4
3.43.7
MARKET ACCESSTECH KNOW HOWCOST
EMERGING FACTORS
Source: Roland Berger
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
IDEASACCELERATE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
IDEASREPLICATION
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/ and http://www.flickr.com/photos/koreanet/8559421022/sizes/l
ORIGINAL?
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
HATING COPY IS INSANITY
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
IDEASV. EXECUTION
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
ADAPTTO LIMITED RESOURCES
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
Attributes CharacteristicsCharacteristicsCharacteristicsCharacteristics
Performance Low-low-end Low-end Mid-end High-end
Simplicity SimpleSimple ComplexComplex
Robustness Robust/maintenance-friendlyRobust/maintenance-friendly Fragile/laborious to maintainFragile/laborious to maintain
Economies of scale High volume High to medium volume Medium to low volume Low volume
Pricing Low price Medium price High price Premium price
EMERGING CHARACTERISTICS
Source: Roland Berger
NOT ALWAYS ON?
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
NOT TECH SAVVY?
NOT RICH?
DIFFERENT MODEL
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
CONSTRAINED MODEL
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
EFFICIENT MODEL
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
0
20
40
60
80
2008 2012
3125
6975
INDUS EMERGING
INNOVATION OUTPUT
REPLICABLE MODEL
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
ACROSS CULTURES
RADICAL MODEL
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
CORPORATE INVESTMENT
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
> VC INVESTMENT
SOCIALLY GOOD
http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/
MODEL
IDEA #3:ADOPT THE EMERGING MARKET
CREEDhttp://www.flickr.com/photos/almostinfamous/5063718679/sizes/l/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
GREECESUCKS?
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
PERCEIVED DISADVANTAGESBECOME A FORCE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
MYTHS OF LAZINESSBECOMES A FORCE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
GREEKS SLEEP ALL THE TIMESLEEP EMPOWERS CREATIVITY
Source: University of North Carolina
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
GREEKS ARE DREAMERSDAY DREAMING PUSHES
Source: British Psychological Society of Occupational Psychology
CREATIVITY
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
GREEKS ARE ROMANTICSFICTION FUELS CREATIVITY
Source: University of Toronto
& RESISTANCE TO DISORDER
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
GREEKS ARE NOISYHUMAN NOISE
Source: University of Illinois
FUELS CREATIVITY
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
GREEKS STAY OUTDOORSGOING OUT
Source: University of Kansas
FUELS CREATIVITY
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
GREECESUCKS?
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
GREECEIS A STARTUP
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
GREECECAN BEAT THEPIONEER GAP
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
BY ADOPTING THEEMERGING CREED
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
GREECEHAS THE TALENT
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
GREECEHAS THE PASSION
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
GREECEHAS THE CREATIVITY
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
GREECEIS BUILT FOR
ENGAGEMENTCONVENIENCE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
PERSONALIZATION
MEANING
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
GREECEHAS NO CHOICE
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonk/7396078358/sizes/l/
GREECEHAS TO EMERGE
FROM CRISIS TO CATHARSIS
THANK YOU.@papadimitriou
FB/LI: paulpapadimitrioupaulpapadimitriou.com
http://www.flickr.com/photos/boklm/9059701815/sizes/l