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GREECE IS A STARTUP: THE EMERGING MARKET ADVANTAGE Paul Papadimitriou — TEDx Athens Salon — Athens — July 2013

Greece Is A Startup: The Emerging Market Advantage

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Emerging markets are the startups of the world disruption. Their disruption of industrialized countries has reached the point of no return. The definition of markets is changing. The definition of jobs is changing. The definition of who we are is changing. It's a peer to peer world, enhanced by the internet and technological advancements. More than a crisis, it's a catharsis and countries like Greece should adopt an emerging market philosophy to rebound. Keynote address, TEDx Athens Salon, Athens, Greece, July 2, 2013.

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Page 1: Greece Is A Startup: The Emerging Market Advantage

GREECE IS A STARTUP:THE EMERGING

MARKET ADVANTAGE

Paul Papadimitriou — TEDx Athens Salon — Athens — July 2013

Page 2: Greece Is A Startup: The Emerging Market Advantage

GREECE SUCKS

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DO YOU HAVE A JOB?

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64.2%

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YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT

Source: Eurostat, 18-25 y.o

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DO YOU WANT TO BECOME A PUBLIC SERVANT?

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JOBS ARE GONE

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GREECE SUCKS

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NO BROADBAND

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NO INDUSTRY

NO MONEY

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NOT ALWAYS ON

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NOT TECH SAVVY

NOT RICH

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LIMITED RESOURCES

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GREECE SUCKS?

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JOBS #FAIL WORLDWIDE

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2008 CRISISWAS DIFFERENT

FROM PREVIOUS CRISIS

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POST-CRISISGDP RECOVERY

NOT JOBS RECOVERY

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THE WORLD HASBEEN DISRUPTED

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DISRUPTIONIS A DEFLATION GAME

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DISRUPTIONMEANS FALLING PRICES

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THINKYOUTUBE V. TELEVISION

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1,000,000,000UNIQUES/MONTHS

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YOUTUBE PROVIDESMASS SCALE

DRAMATICALLY LOWER PRICE

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TVIS ADDICTED TOLARGE MARGINS

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INCUMBENTSARE ADDICTED TOLARGE MARGINS

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NOW THINKEMERGING V. INDUSTRIALIZED

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EMERGING MARKETS PROVIDEMASS SCALE

DRAMATICALLY LOWER PRICE

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EMERGING MARKETS PROVIDEMASS WORKFORCE

DRAMATICALLY LOWER PRICE

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THE “WEST”IS ADDICTED TOLARGE MARGINS

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WE HAD ITTOO GOOD

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BUILT ONABUNDANCE OF RESOURCES

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ABUNDANCE OFJOBS

MONEY, RAW MATERIALS,…

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THIS IS GONE

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WE ARE BEING DISRUPTED

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WE ARE BEING DISRUPTEDBY EMERGING MARKETS

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YOU LOVE YOURTECHNOLOGY

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GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY

Google

MS

FB

Yahoo

0 375 750 1125 1500

US World

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Source: Comscore Global 2013

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YOU LOVE YOURMOBILE TECHNOLOGY

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MOBILE EXPLOSION

0

250

500

750

1000

1250

1500

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

PCs Smartphones & tablets

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Source: Benedict Evans, Mobile is Eating the World

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Source: Benedict Evans, Mobile is Eating the World

71%OF LITERATE PEOPLE WILL

HAVE A SMARTPHONE IN 2017

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BIGGEST TECH SHIFT EVER

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2015

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Source: Mary Meeker Internet Trends

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YOU LOVE YOURWEARABLE TECHNOLOGY

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YOU LOVE YOURDATA TECHNOLOGY

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EVERYTHING WILLBE CONNECTED

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EVERYTHING WILLTALK TO EACH OTHER

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REMEMBER HOW YOUFLEW

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HUMAN ENTRYHUMAN TO HUMAN

PAPER TICKET

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HOW DO YOU FLYTODAY?

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MACHINE ENTRYMACHINE TO MACHINE

ELECTRONIC TICKET

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HOW DO YOU DRIVETODAY?

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HUMAN DRIVENHUMAN TO HUMAN

HUMAN DRIVING

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HOW WILL YOU DRIVETOMORROW?

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DATA DRIVENMACHINE TO MACHINE

ELECTRONIC DRIVING

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ROBOTIZATION,…I COULD GO ON

AUTOMATIZATION,

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THIS IS A REVOLUTION

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AN EFFICIENCY REVOLUTION

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NO MORE JOBSWHO NEEDS HUMANS?

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WITHOUT FULL ACCESS?PROSPERITY

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WE ARE BEING DISRUPTED

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SO WHAT NOW?

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EMERGING IDEAS

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AREEMERGING

NEW IDENTITIES

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EMERGED COMMUNITIESTWITTER

FACEBOOKDEVIANTART,…

http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/

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ARE ENABLING TRUST & OPENNESS

MASS SCALE NETWORKS

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TOP2P IDENTITIES

FROM TOP-DOWN

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TRIBALISMDIFFERENTIATED LIVING

NEW GROUPS DETERMINATIONSHARED ACTUALIZATION

http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/

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NOMADISMMOBILITY

AUGMENTED LIVING

http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/

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SINGULARISMSELF-CONSTRUCTNODAL LIVING

http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/

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NEW SELVES

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NEW CONSUMERS

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EMPOWERED& AWARE

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LOOKING FOR

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ENGAGEMENTCONVENIENCE

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PERSONALIZATION

MEANING

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NOT DEFINED BY THINGS

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NOT BUYINGTHINGS

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DEFINED BY ACCESS TOEXPERIENCES

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BUYINGEXPERIENCES

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SHARINGEXPERIENCES

http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/

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DEFINED BY ACCESS TOTHINGS

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EMERGING MARKETPLACESAIRBNB

RELAYRIDELENDINGCLUB

ANGEL LISTUDEMY,…

http://www.flickr.com/photos/dabok/6029437743/sizes/l/

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IDEA #1:P2P MARKETPLACES FOR EMERGING IDENTITIES

http://www.flickr.com/photos/almostinfamous/5063718679/sizes/l/

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WILL HAVE 18 JOBSBY THE AGE OF 36

YOUTH TODAY

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AND THAT’S OK

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OF JOBIS CHANGING

DEFINITION

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GLOBAL WORKFORCEODESK

ELANCE,…

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WOMENWILL ENTER THE WORKFORCE

1,000,000,000

Source: Booz & CO

IN THE NEXT 10 YEARS

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BIGGER WORKFORCEBIGGER PLANET

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ALONE WHEN HE SHOUTEDEUREKA

ARCHIMEDES WASN’T

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IN THE CITYOF SYRACUSE

HE WAS

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AT THE CENTER OFINNOVATION

CITIES ARE

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SUPER-LINEARITY

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Source: MIT

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PEOPLE ONLINE

1995 2000 2005 2010 2012 2020

5000000000

2029000000

201900000101900000411000004400000

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Source: World Bank

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AT THE CENTER OFINNOVATION

THE INTERNET IS

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THE NEWCITY

THE INTERNET IS

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A GLOCALCITY

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IDEA #2:LEVERAGE THE EMERGING

NODAL WORKFORCEhttp://www.flickr.com/photos/almostinfamous/5063718679/sizes/l/

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ALWAYS ON

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TECH SAVVY

RICHSILICON VALLEY IS

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OF TRADERSWITH LIMITED RESOURCES

IN A WORLD

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OF SHARERSWITH LIMITED RESOURCES

IN A WORLD

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ALWAYS DEALTWITH LIMITED RESOURCES

EMERGING MARKETS

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AND PEOPLE DEALTWITH LIMITED RESOURCES

JOBS WERE HARDER TO GET

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WITH LIMITED RESOURCESCOMES NO CHOICEBUT TO ACCELERATE

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BREAKING CONVENTIONSACCELERATE

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IDEASACCELERATE

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0

1

2

3

4

2008

2.4

3.43.7

MARKET ACCESSTECH KNOW HOWCOST

EMERGING FACTORS

Source: Roland Berger

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IDEASACCELERATE

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IDEASREPLICATION

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HATING COPY IS INSANITY

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IDEASV. EXECUTION

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ADAPTTO LIMITED RESOURCES

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Attributes CharacteristicsCharacteristicsCharacteristicsCharacteristics

Performance Low-low-end Low-end Mid-end High-end

Simplicity SimpleSimple ComplexComplex

Robustness Robust/maintenance-friendlyRobust/maintenance-friendly Fragile/laborious to maintainFragile/laborious to maintain

Economies of scale High volume High to medium volume Medium to low volume Low volume

Pricing Low price Medium price High price Premium price

EMERGING CHARACTERISTICS

Source: Roland Berger

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NOT ALWAYS ON?

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NOT TECH SAVVY?

NOT RICH?

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DIFFERENT MODEL

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CONSTRAINED MODEL

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EFFICIENT MODEL

http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/

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0

20

40

60

80

2008 2012

3125

6975

INDUS EMERGING

INNOVATION OUTPUT

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REPLICABLE MODEL

http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/

ACROSS CULTURES

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RADICAL MODEL

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CORPORATE INVESTMENT

http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/

> VC INVESTMENT

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SOCIALLY GOOD

http://www.flickr.com/photos/michmutters/8165243392/sizes/l/

MODEL

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IDEA #3:ADOPT THE EMERGING MARKET

CREEDhttp://www.flickr.com/photos/almostinfamous/5063718679/sizes/l/

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GREECESUCKS?

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PERCEIVED DISADVANTAGESBECOME A FORCE

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MYTHS OF LAZINESSBECOMES A FORCE

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GREEKS SLEEP ALL THE TIMESLEEP EMPOWERS CREATIVITY

Source: University of North Carolina

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GREEKS ARE DREAMERSDAY DREAMING PUSHES

Source: British Psychological Society of Occupational Psychology

CREATIVITY

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GREEKS ARE ROMANTICSFICTION FUELS CREATIVITY

Source: University of Toronto

& RESISTANCE TO DISORDER

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GREEKS ARE NOISYHUMAN NOISE

Source: University of Illinois

FUELS CREATIVITY

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GREEKS STAY OUTDOORSGOING OUT

Source: University of Kansas

FUELS CREATIVITY

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GREECESUCKS?

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GREECEIS A STARTUP

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GREECECAN BEAT THEPIONEER GAP

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BY ADOPTING THEEMERGING CREED

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GREECEHAS THE TALENT

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GREECEHAS THE PASSION

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GREECEHAS THE CREATIVITY

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GREECEIS BUILT FOR

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ENGAGEMENTCONVENIENCE

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PERSONALIZATION

MEANING

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GREECEHAS NO CHOICE

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GREECEHAS TO EMERGE

FROM CRISIS TO CATHARSIS

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THANK YOU.@papadimitriou

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