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FIRST QUARTER 2013 RESULTS14 MAY 2013
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
2
DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based.There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.
3
AGENDA
1Q 2013 Highlights✓ Key Figures
Results Review✓ Business Environment✓ 1Q 2013 Group EBITDA✓ Results by Segments
Key Financials✓ Profit & Loss✓ Investments ✓ Cash Flow Statement
2013 Guidance and ConclusionsAppendix
4
RC Ebitda Adj (€mn)
HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES
27%
47%
Leverage
RC Net Profit (€ mn)
Strong Renewables and Power, still weak R&M bottom line extremely positive
POWER & GAS
RENEWABLES
REFINING & MARKETING
CORPORATE
722
1,799
031/03/2013
DERIVATIVESNFP EXCL. DERIVATIVES
1,597
(1) Adjusted Net Financial Position does not include NFP of ISAB Srl
202
111
1Q 2012 1Q 2013
173
0
90
92
(2)(7)
92
41
(15)(6)
638
84
31/12/2012
1Q 2012 1Q 2013
27
0
1
(1)
5
RESULTS REVIEW
FINANCE DIRECTOR
PAOLO MERLI
6
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 1Q 2013
ITALIAN PRICE ZONAL PRICE SICILY CIP6
Electricity Prices (€/Mwh)
114 115
95
8781
64
1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 1Q 2013
EMC Margin ($/bbl)
(1.39)
(0.85)
1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 1Q 2013
Industry Retail Fuels Volumes (M tons)
5.625.31
Results Review
1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 1Q 2013
Renewables: Electricity Prices (€/Mwh)158
154
8990
96 96 ● 95
(1) Italian price is theoretical price based on National Average Electricity Price (PUN) + GC
FRANCE ITALY BULGARIA GERMANY● (1)
7
1,292
1Q 2012
0
111
51 (2) 14 (1)
Power & GasRenewables Refining & Marketing Corporate 1Q 2013
173
1Q 2013 GROUP EBITDA
Ebitda growth driven by Renewables and improvement in R&M
Results Review
8
RC Ebitda (€ mn)
RENEWABLES RESULTS
44
339
809
Volumes (Gwh)
Strong growth mainly driven by ERG Wind acquisition
41
922
85
0
0
Results Review
1Q 20121Q 2013
1Q 20131Q 2012
3 16
(1) Bulgaria: ERG ‘s stake = 50%
307715
1
39
2
ITALY FRANCEBULGARIA(1)GERMANY
34
32
ERG Wind
49414ERG Wind
9
RC Ebitda (€ mn)
POWER RESULTS
Volumes (Gwh)
Solid figures in Power
Results Review
32
25
6065
92 90
1Q 2012
1Q 2013
ERG POWERISAB ENERGY
0
767721
1,802 1,793
1Q 20121Q 2013
0
1,0351,072
10
RC Ebitda (€ mn)
MARKETING RESULTS
4Q 2012
EOS TOTALERG
Market Share (%)
Improvement in a tough environment
1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012
11.8%11.1%
1.0%0.9%
Results Review
2
1
2
9
RC Ebitda (€ mn)
4
9
1Q 20121Q 2013
EOSTOTALERG
0
1Q 2013
11
RC Ebitda (€ mn)
REFINING RESULTS: COASTAL AND INLAND
1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 1Q 2013
Margins ($/bbl)
(0.10)
2.82
(1.39)
1.54
1.19
Volumes(2) (k tons)
Lower exposure to a still negative Refining(1) Inland Refining EBITDA includes Logistics(2) Volumes relate to 100% of TOTALERG stake in Rome (100%) and Sarpom (24%)
Results Review
EMC MARGIN
COASTAL REFINING MARGIN
INLAND REFINING MARGIN
INLAND REFININGCOASTAL REFINING
(1)
(0.85)
(11)
1Q 2012 1Q 2013
(4)
(7)
0
(19)
3
(22)
815
1Q 20121Q 2013
341474
0
2,398
1,150
1,248
12
KEY FINANCIALS
13
4Q 2012 Euro millions 1Q 2013 1Q 2012
128 RC Adjusted EBITDA 173 111
(57) Amortization and depreciation (70) (61)
70 RC Adjusted EBIT 103 50
(13) Net financial income (expenses) (24) (16)
1 Net income (loss) from equity investments 1 1
58 RC Results before taxes 79 35
(34) Income taxes (38) (21)
24 RC Results for the period 41 14
(14) Minority interests (14) (13)
10 RC Net profit 27 1
PRO-FORMA REPLACEMENT COST P&L
Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures
Key Financials
14
ADJUSTED INVESTMENTS
(1) Renewables adjusted for LUKERG Renew (50%).(2) R&M adjusted for TOTALERG (51%) and for ISAB Srl (40% from January to August 2012).
Key Financials
1Q 2013
CORPORATEREFINING & MARKETINGRENEWABLESPOWER & GAS
(2)(1)
11
6
9
10
6
4
26
20
(€ mn)
0
1Q 2012
15
1,510
27%
47%
43%
Adj. Net Debt
31/12/2012
Cash Flowfrom operation
WorkingCapital CAPEX Financial
Charges
Adj. Net Debt
31/03/2013
NFP 51% TotalErg and
50% LUKERG Renew
Net Debt31/03/2013reported
Leverage
1Q 2013 ADJUSTED CASH FLOW STATEMENT
(73)
(289)
0
Taxesand Other
438
Key Financials
Dividends Consolidation of ERG Wind
811
(152)
1,799
722
20 24 7
16
2013 GUIDANCE AND CONCLUSIONS
CEO
LUCA BETTONTE
17
173
>500
1Q 2013
2013 GUIDANCE AND CONCLUSIONS
2013 FCST
20
≈175
2013 FCST(1)
1Q 2013 2013 FCST(2)
LIQUIDITY PF OTHER AT MLT
1,799≈1,300
EBITDA:
CAPEX:
NFP:
Strong growth and delivery in line with new business model
RENEWABLES CORPORATER&MP&G
0
0
0
✓Economic guidance confirmed after Q1 results
✓Renewables & Power to contribute for more than 90% of
gg2013 EBITDA
✓R&M to slightly improve, also in light of lower exposure to
ggRefining
✓FY Capex guidance confirmed
✓For 9M we expect spending acceleration (vs Q1),
particularly in Renewables: advancement in Romania and
in Palazzo San Gervasio wind farm construction
✓Guidance confirmed
1Q 2013
(1) It does not include 20% ISAB investments (ca. €15mn) (2) It assumes put exercise on ISAB refinery within 31.12.2013
18
APPENDIX
19
4Q 2012 Euro millions 1Q 2013 1Q 2012
2,652 Adjusted Revenues 2,294 3,576
128 RC EBITDA Adjusted 173 111
37 - Renewables 92 41
89 - Power & Gas 90 92
10 - Refining & Marketing (2) (15)
(9) - Corporate (7) (6)
1Q 2013 RESULTS
Appendix
20
4Q 2012 1Q 2013 1Q 2012
596 Installed capacity (end-period, MW) 1,232 552
of which:
512 - Italy 1,062 487
64 - France 64 64
20 - Bulgaria(1) 20 n.a.
n.a. - Germany 86 n.a.
350 Electricity Production (GWh) 809 339
of which:
293 - Italy 715 307
43 - France 34 32
13 - Bulgaria(1) 16 n.a.
n.a. - Germany 44 n.a.
142 ERG Renew price - Italy (Eu/MWh) 150 152
62 Electricity price (Eu/MWh) 60 76
80 Green Certificates price (Eu/MWh) 90 77
37 RC EBITDA (Eu mn) 92 41
(18) Depreciation (Eu mn) (31) (15)
20 RC EBIT (Eu mn) 60 26
RENEWABLES: KEY FIGURES
Appendix(1) Bulgaria: ERG ‘s stake = 50%
21
4Q 2012 1Q 2013 1Q 2012
1,037 Sales (Gwh) 1,072 1,035
162 Sales (€ mn) 161 153
64 RC EBITDA (Eu mn) 65 60
52 RC EBIT (Eu mn) 53 47
88% Net capacity utilization (%) 94% 90%
123 CIP6 tariffs (Eu/MWh) 115 114
44 EBITDA IT GAAP (Eu mn) 43 37
ISAB ENERGY: KEY FIGURES
Appendix
22
4Q 2012 Euro millions 1Q 2013 1Q 2012
728 Electricity Production (GWh) 721 767
25 RC EBITDA 25 32
(7) Depreciation (7) (6)
18 RC EBIT 18 26
ERG POWER: KEY FIGURES
Appendix
23
4Q 2012 Euro millions 1Q 2013 1Q 2012
11 Adjusted RC EBITDA 5 7
14 - Marketing 9 4
(3) - Inland refining and logistics (4) 3
(14) Adjusted Depreciation (14) (15)
(3) Adjusted RC EBIT (9) (9)
13 Investments 6 6
12.1% TOTALERG retail market share(2) 11.1% 11.8%
0.8% EOS retail market share 0.9% 1.0%
INTEGRATED DOWNSTREAM: KEY FIGURES(1)
Appendix
(1) Figures include 51% stake inTOTALERG and 100% EOS(2) Estimated market share referring to 100% of TOTALERG
24
4Q 2012 Euro millions 1Q 2013 1Q 2012
21 Gross refining margin 12 17
(1) Adjusted RC EBITDA (7) (22)
(6) Adjusted Depreciation (5) (11)
(7) Adjusted RC EBIT (12) (33)
0 Investments(2) 0 4
COASTAL REFINING: KEY FIGURES(1)
Appendix
(1) Figures are adjusted for ERG’s stake in ISAB Srl (40% from January to August 2012, 20% afterwards)(2) Investments do not include 20% ISAB investments