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Finpron 24.4.2012 Kiinan paperi- ja selluteollisuus uudistuu – mahdollisuudet suomalaisyrityksille seminaarin esitysmateriaali. Doing business in China, Jari Hietala, Finpro.
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Doing Business in China
Jari HietalaJari HietalaHelsinki 24.4.2012
Expertise Areas– Market access consulting, sales channel
development– International business development– General management– Asian markets– Western European markets
Position– Vice President, Head of Region Asia, location
Hong Kong
Education– M. Sc (Economics)– CMC (Certified Management Consultant)
International Experience– UK (7 years), Belgium (3 years), Thailand (8
years, China 1 year)
CV Jari Hietala
12/12/2011
Industry Sector Experience– Cleantech- industries
– Forest
– Machinery
– Metal engineering
– Industrial equipment
Previous Employments– Finpro, various management positions in Asia,
Finland and Western Europe since 1994– Rocla Oyj, Marketing Director 1994– GWS Mertens N.V. Belgium, Managing Director
1991-1994– GWS (UK) Ltd, Managing Director 1990-1991– GWS Shop Equipment Division, Marketing
Manager Finland 1988-1990 – Partek Oyj, Marketing Planning Manager 1985-
1988
years, China 1 year)
Professional Experience– 25 years
Content
• The Importance of China for Finnish Companies• Market Entry Modes & Nature of the Business Environment• Recommendations• Finpro in China
25/04/2012 3© Finpro
The Importance of China For Finnish Companies
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Asia looks set to return to its natural“half share” of the world economy
5
Source: Angus Madison’s “Historical Statistics for the World Economy:1-2004AD”, Deutsch Bank Global Market Research
Asia, Middle East and Finland in 2010
China
India
1
1,2
1,4
1,6
billi
ons
)
Asia and Middle East in 2010
The bubble size indicates GDP based on PPP in 2010. The bubble size indicatesalso the country's share of the total GDP
of all countries included in the graph.
25/04/2012 © Finpro 6
Australia
HongKong
IndonesiaJapan
Korea
Malaysia
Philippines
SingaporeThailandVietnam
Finland
-0,2
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
-10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Pop
ulat
ion
(bi
llion
s
GDP based on PPP per capita (thousands)
Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, September 2011Note: Amounts in current international dollar
Maailmantalouden kasvun jakautuminen 2011e
6
7
8
9
10
11
Kiina
Intia
Muu
Muu
itäi
nen
Eur
oopp
a
Ven
äjä
Mek
siko
-itä
ja A
frik
ka
BKT:n kasvu 2011, %
25/04/2012 7© Finpro
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Pohjois-Amerikka
Länsi-EurooppaJapani
Muu Aasia
Muu
itäi
nen
Eur
oopp
a
Ven
äjä
Bra
silia
Mek
siko
Lähi
-itä
ja A
frik
ka
Pylvään leveys kuvaa osuutta (ostovoimapariteetilla korjatusta) maailman bkt:stä vuonna 2010, %
Kasvu keskimäärin: +4,4 %
5-year plan – estimated growth
Forecast summary
(% unless otherwise indicated)
2010a 2011b 2012b 2013b 2014b 2015b
Real GDP growth 10.3 9 8.7 8.4 8.1 8.2
Industrial production growth 15.7 13 12.5 12 11.7 11.1
Gross agricultural production growth 4.3 2.6 3 2.7 2.8 2.8
Unemployment rate (av) 6.1 6.5 6.4 6.6 7 6.3
Consumer price inflation (av) 3.2 5 4 4.1 4 3.8
Consumer price inflation (end-period) 4.8 4.1 3.8 4.5 3.7 3.8
25/04/2012 8© Finpro
Consumer price inflation (end-period) 4.8 4.1 3.8 4.5 3.7 3.8
Short-term interbank rate (end-period) 5.8 6.8 7.3 7.1 7.3 7.3
Government balance (% of GDP) -1.6 -1.7 -1.7 -1.5 -0.9 -0.8
Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) 1,581.50 1,783.90 1,990.90 2,226.40 2,482.40 2,781.20
Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) 1,327.50 1,615.90 1,813.40 2,074.90 2,344.00 2,638.80
Current-account balance (US$ bn) 306.2 268.9 299.9 275.6 259.6 257
Current-account balance (% of GDP) 5.2 3.9 3.7 2.9 2.3 2
External debt (end-period; US$ bn) 401c 477.8 536 613.3 689.7 782
Exchange rate Rmb:US$ (av) 6.77 6.49 6.23 5.98 5.77 5.61
Exchange rate Rmb:US$ (end-period) 6.62 6.34 6.12 5.87 5.7 5.54
Exchange rate Rmb:¥100 (av) 7.7 7.96 7.7 7.39 7.03 6.72
Exchange rate Rmb:€ (end-period) 8.99 7.99 7.47 7.1 7.09 7.14
a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Economist Intelligence Unit estimates
11th Five-Year Plan target and achievement until 2010
Index 2005 2010 E 2010 real CompletionEconomic
growthGDP (Trillion RMB) 18.2 26.1 39.8 Over-achievedPer capita GDP (RMB) 14185 19270 29748 Over-achieved
EconomicStructure
Service added value proportion (%) 40.3 43.3 43 UnmetR&D expenditure (% of GDP) 1.3 2 1.75 UnmetUrbanization rate(%) 43 47 47.5 Over-achieved
Population
The country's total population (10,000) 130756 136000 134100 Over-achievedReduction rate of energy consumption per unit of GDP (%) 20 19.1 UnmetReduction rate of water consumption per unit of industrial added value (%) 30 36.7 Over-achieved
Effective utilization rate of agricultural irrigation water 0.45 0.5 0.5 Achieved
9
n&Resourc
e&Environ
ment
Effective utilization rate of agricultural irrigation water 0.45 0.5 0.5 AchievedThe comprehensive utilization rate of industrial solid waste(%) 55.8 60 69 Over-achievedThe total amount of cultivated land(10 billion hectares) 1.22 1.2 1.212 Over-achieved
Emission reduction rate sulfur dioxideof selected pollutants (%) chemical oxygen demand
1010
14.2912.45
Over-achievedOver-achieved
Forest coverage rate (%) 18.2 20 20.36 Over-achieved
Publicservice
&People's life
National average education (year) 8.5 9 9 AchievedThe number of urban basic endowment insurance coverage(10 billion people) 1.74 2.23 2.57 Over-achievedThe new rural cooperative medical insurance coverage rate (%) 23.5 >80 96.3 Over-achievedRural new employment in 5 years (10,000 people) 4500 5771 Over-achievedTransfer of agricultural labor force in 5 years (10,000 people) 4500 4500 AchievedRegistered urban unemployment rate(%) 4.2 5 4.1 Over-achievedDisposable income of urban residents per capita (RMB) 10493 13390 19109 Over-achieved
Disposable income of rural residents per capita (RMB) 3255 4150 5919 Over-achieved
Source: China Statistic Year Book; Analyst report; Roland Berger
Finnish Companies in China(estimate)
• 300+ Finnish companies in more than 340 locations
• 100+ companies with own local manufacturing operati ons
• Employees > 60,000
• Investments ~ 10 billion EUR; growing
• Turnover ~ 15 billion EUR; growing• Turnover ~ 15 billion EUR; growing
25/04/2012 10© Finpro
What is China’s role in Finnish companiesbusiness?
• Ericsson 53%• Nokia (APAC) 40%• Outotec 32%• Wärtsilä 30%
• Metso 20%• SKF 18%• Kone 14%
The share of Aasia of the turnover of some selected Nordic companies in 2008 (estimates)
25/04/2012 11© Finpro
• Wärtsilä 30%• Alfa Laval 28%• ABB 25%• Vestas 25%• Atlas Copco 22%• Cargotec 22%• Sandvik 22%
• Konecranes 13%• UPM 10%• Assa Abloy 9%• M-Real < 9%• Volvo 8%• Stora Enso 5%
25/04/2012 12© Finpro
FBCS Survey 2012 Key Points
25/04/2012 13© Finpro
FBCS Survey 2012 Key Points
25/04/2012 14© Finpro
Market Entry Modes & Nature of the Business Environment
25/04/2012 15© Finpro
Comparison of international market entrymodes
Co-operation
Join Venture
Foreign Subsidiary
Inve
stm
ent
Franchising
High
25/04/2012 16© Finpro/ © / 25.4.2012 / 16
Indirect Exports
Outsourcing Sales Channel
Direct Sales Internet
Co-operation
CommitmentControllability
Inve
stm
ent
Ris
k
Source: Adapted from Ahokangas & Pihkala, 2002
Licensing
Franchising
Low High
The most typical partnering pitfalls
• We expect that we can get additional sales with no cost • We expect that we are automatically an interesting
discussion partner for them – only because we have arranged a meeting...
• We expect them to see the future as we do • We expect that they know as much as we do and updat e • We expect that they know as much as we do and updat e
themselves constantly • We expect that by telling once the responsibility h as shifted
from us to them • We expect them to understand their role fully • We expect their interest to be aligned with ours • In a partnership model no single entity is in charg e of the
total value chain – can we live with this?
Source: Pekka Rissanen, Teleste Oy
25/04/2012 17© Finpro
Topic Embryonic business Growth business Mature busine ss
Markets Markets/clients do not exist in advance
Market is growing in volume Long term growth of the market has stopped
Number of competitors Hardly any direct competitors Many and growing number of competitors, but not necessarily at all markets or product segments
Big number of competitors, but not increasing. Lots of take-overs and mergers. Both local and global competitors
Market segments Difficult to decide to which market segment to focuss the product development based on market potential (difficultto find clients)
Growing markets and/or niches can be identified
Markets have been divided between competitors, difficult to find niches ornew opportunities
Product differences No direct comparisons in Differences can be found in No fundamental differences
Nature of the business environment in China
/ 25.4.2012 / 18
Product differencesin the markets
No direct comparisons in terms of technical characteristics; company is often alone in the market
Differences can be found in technical characteristics (which will even out in time)
No fundamental differencesin technical characteristicsof products
Successful productstrategy and basisof competitiveness
OEM- strategy is better than production of the end product (pioneer of the business); technological know-how related to the innovation
Technology leader: technology driven strategy; from the client view we have superior technical characteristicsTechnology follower: competition situation- driven strategy: we will fill the gaps left by competitors
Strategy focusing on service: superior service when compared to competitors (take benefit of the service weaknessesof competitors)
Price setting Pricing principle stillunclear (market based,cost based or other
Technology leader: relatively high priceTechnology follower: market price, low price in the entry phase
Market price; low priceprobably in the entry phaseof industrial markets
Parameters of competitiveness favor local presence
Product factors
Service factors• easiness to buy• product support (incl.
Price factors• purchase price• delivery costs• assembly costs• usage costs
Communicationfactors• identification of
client needs• foreseeing changes
in demand
/ 25.4.2012 / 19
Product factors• performance• adaptability• reliability• durability• user friendliness• easy maintenance• design/looks• quality image• complementing range
of products
• product support (incl.training, help desks etc.)
• assembly service• after sales service• flexibility• delivery reliability• delivery time•JOT- deliveries• financial services
• usage costs• service costs• training costs• payment terms• guarantee• finance terms• price reductions
in demand• physical proximity
with clients• co-operation with
clients• other business networks• personal client care• face to face sales• marketing communication• references• language skills• company image
Can you have the same clock frequency whenoperating from Finland?
25/04/2012 20© Finpro
Conclusions & Recommendations
25/04/2012 21© Finpro
Recommendations
• Localising operations in China is a must for long term success– To be close to customers and understand their needs– To speak the same language– To get access to the local innovation and business eco-systems– To establish your own Guanxi– To lower your production costs– To be a credible player
• Operating mode options:• Operating mode options:– Fully owned subsidiary (green field or acquistion)
• Sales & marketing• Sourcing• Local manufacturing/assembly• After sales
– (JV with Chinese companies)– Get Chinese ownership– Alliance with local companies (partnership- model)?– OEM- model with Finnish ”integrators”
25/04/2012 22© Finpro
Finpro’s Global Network – Asia and Russia
25/04/2012 23© Finpro
Finpro’s Global Network – Australia, Malaysia, Philippines and Singapore
25/04/2012 24© Finpro
Finpro’s Network in China
Sep 2009 © Finpro ry
FINCHI – a platform of optimizing your value in China entrance
� Plug & Play style of equipped office space
� State-of-art services assist your daily operation
� Full access to local contacts and bussiness networki ng
No Registration or Injection Capital needed, but al l local activities could
4/25/2012 Copyright @ 2010 FinChi26
No Registration or Injection Capital needed, but al l local activities could
be realized with FinChi turn-key solution. www.finchi .cn
FinChi Innovation Center - www.finchi.cn
Thank You!
25/04/2012 28© Finpro