The Future's So Bright

The Future’s So Bright…(I gotta wear shades)

5 technologies coming into the mainstream

The Brief• New Technologies• Having Commercial Impact• On Digital space• In 12-18 months

“The ability to foretell what is going to happen tomorrow, next week, next month, and next year. And to have the ability afterwards to explain why it didn’t happen.”

Sir Winston Churchill describing desirable qualifications in a politician

Why me?

Into the valley of death…

Gartner

GeoffreyMoore

Gartner:

Mainstream is when adoption reaches 20%

5 (7) to prepare for…1. Internet of Things – let’s get that out of the way

i. Convergenceii. Analyticsiii. Machine Learningiv. Artificial Intelligence

2. Additive manufacturing3. Augmented & Virtual Reality4. Programmatic and anti-Programmatic5. Security, privacy & identity

The Internet of ThingsWhat? Super-connectivity – we’ll stop calling

it IoT soon. Not a technology, definitely a trend

Why now? Convergence

Impact? Vast

Convergence: Hardware, sensors, software

Hardware Unbound• Storage – close to unlimited• Processor Speed – Moore’s law still applies• Mobil ity – devices are getting BIGGER & l ighter

Sensors creating data• Activity Data• Environment Data• Location Data

Software learning to analyse and act• Analytics• Machine Learning• Artificial Intel l igence

Analytics & Machine LearningWhat? Insight from data

Why now? Algorithms, know-how, h/w speed, storage

Impact? Insight can predict, make decisions and has value

Convergence: Tsunami of data, algorithms, s/w techniques

Analytics• Discovery of patterns in data• Determining meaning, predicting actions• Improving business performance

Machine Learning• Algorithm = Step-by-step description of a

process• Make them adaptive – so a “machine” can

alter the steps based on “experience”• Inference and deduction (this leads to AI)• Everyone has an algorithm it seems…

Practical uses• Netflix competition in 2006 – won in 2009

– Predict user ratings for films, making recommendations– 60m+ subscribers, 10bn hours per month, 61% binge watch at

least every 4 weeks• Predicting the future – given enough data

– Weather, people’s actions, the future!• Object recognition – faces, cars, automatic shopping?• Profiling – mobile companies know a lot about you!

Artificial IntelligenceWhat? Predictive, intelligent, responsive systems –

perception, vision, robotics, expert

Why now? Learning & experience, hardware, need

Impact? Decision support, intelligent filters, speed, volume of decisions

Convergence: IT power, processor speed, sensors, our need for help (we can’t cope with the world we created…)

Total Recall (1990)

Now (2015)

Practical usesFebruary 2013: IBM announced that Watson software system's first commercial application would be for utilization management decisions in lung cancer treatment at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center in conjunction with health insurance company WellPoint.

Practical uses• Next generation searching & discovery– How do you find something when you don’t know

the name for what you want?– Inferential searching– Ontology rather than syntax– Patent searching example

Additive ManufacturingWhat? 3D Printing has grown up

Why now? Maturity of the hardware

Impact? JIT, logistics, quicker, more complex

Convergence: Design software, printer technology

UAV Wings

Jet Engine Parts

Digital Dentistry (NimroDENTAL)

Houses

Body parts

Bloodhound

Augmented & Virtual Reality• What? Enhancing the real world

• Why now? Maturity of the hardware

• Impact? Education, medicine, tourism

• Convergence: Smartphone, “glasses” & software

Glass?Privacy?

Future?Terminator?

Practical?

Google Cardboard

Re-live the most memorable moments from the most amazing places

4 September 1666The Great Fire of London near St. Paul’s Cathedral

GET THE APP VISIT THE SITE RE-LIVE THE MOMENT1 2 3

Disney

Programmatic EverythingWhat? The automated auction of media opportunities

matched to spend

Why now? H/W Speed, price erosion, salary costs, profiling

Impact? Brands will find new ways to reach us quicker and more effectively – and we’ll find ways to stop them!

Convergence: Mobile device, personal data, software speed

How it works in 0.36 secs or less

In simple terms – 0.1 second• You click on a URL or equivalent• An auction is held for the ad space• Based on your profile, website category and

“safety”, bids are placed for the ad space• Winning bidder’s ad is served• (You block it)

Security, Privacy, IdentityWhat? Who are you? How much money do you have?

Why now? As we move online, data integrity and synchronisation becomes an imperative. Data breaches increasing.

Impact? Technology to verify WITHOUT personal data

Convergence: Fear, uncertainty & doubt

Get ready for…1. Internet of Things – convergence– Analytics, Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence

2. Additive manufacturing3. Augmented & Virtual Reality4. Programmatic and anti-Programmatic5. Security, privacy & identity

Thank you!

stuart@concap.cc

swhillston

@ipinvestor