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SFEI LOOKING BACK :
LOOKING FORWARD
The RMP has always been composed The RMP has always been composed of a diverse (odd ?) set of individualsof a diverse (odd ?) set of individuals
SCIENTISTSSCIENTISTS
ENGINEERSENGINEERS
INDUSTRY
ENVIRONMENTALISTS
SUMMARY FIRST RMP ANNUAL MEETING
“IT’S BEEN A LOVE FEST”
(Steve Ritchey: SF RWQCB)
15 YEARS LATERSF BAY : NATIONAL
MODEL
(Sañudo-Wilhelmy et al., 2004. Environmental Science & Technology)
THE PROBLEM - ELSEWHERE
Literature Survey metals in US estuaries 1975-2002
Results only 83 published articles no data ~ 1/2 US estuaries Only long term metal
studies SF Bay
Most studies in other Most studies in other estuaries being done by estuaries being done by RMP alumniRMP alumni
Sañudo-Wilhelmy et al., 2004
RMP ALUMNI * CONDUCTING RMP ALUMNI * CONDUCTING ESTUARINE STUDIES ESTUARINE STUDIES
ELSEWHEREELSEWHEREEast Coast:East Coast:
Sergio Sañudo *Sergio Sañudo * Stony BrookStony Brook Mark WellsMark Wells MaineMaine
Greg Cutter *Greg Cutter * ODUODU John DonatJohn Donat ODUODU
Gulf Coast:Gulf Coast:Gary Gill *Gary Gill * Texas A&MTexas A&MBill LandingBill Landing Florida StateFlorida State
Far East Coast:Far East Coast:Kuria Ndung’u *Kuria Ndung’u * SwedenSweden
* still involved in SF Bay-Delta studies* still involved in SF Bay-Delta studies* incomplete * incomplete listinglisting
RMP ALUMNI * RMP ALUMNI * REGULATING ESTUARINE REGULATING ESTUARINE
STUDIESSTUDIES
Priya GanguliPriya Ganguli SF RWQCBSF RWQCB
Peter KozelkaPeter Kozelka US EPAUS EPA
Jon PhinneyJon Phinney NOAANOAA
Ignacio RiveraIgnacio Rivera US NavyUS Navy
Doug StedingDoug Steding Supreme Supreme Court*Court*
* incomplete listing* incomplete listing * circa 2010* circa 2010
THE PROBLEM IN SF BAY150 YEARS OF POLLUTION 15 YEARS OF RMP DATA*
Gold RushGold RushMercury MinesMercury Mines
Golden GateGolden GateRed LeadRed Lead
Silver EstuarySilver EstuaryIndustrial DischargesIndustrial Discharges
Urban EstuaryUrban EstuaryPeriodic TablePeriodic Table
* prenascent RMP data collection began in 1989
MERCURY IN SF BAY
SFEI Summary Time Series Data
OTHER PROBLEMS WITH SF BAY
Physical Complexity Hydrologic ComplexityPhysical Complexity Hydrologic Complexity
RMP DATA QUANTIFY TEMPORAL CHANGESAg & Pb in the South Bay (1989-
2000)Dissolved Ag:
40% declineDissolved Pb:
no decline
Total Ag: 70% decline
Total Pb: 40% decline
Squire et al., 2002. ES&TSquire et al., 2002. ES&T
RMP DATA ENABLE PROJECTIONS
Cooke et al., URS & Monismith et al., StanfordSchubel et al., 2003
RMP DATA MODEL LIMITATIONS
Small data setSmall data setLimited spatial coverageLimited spatial coverageAssumptions of constancy in an inconstant worldAssumptions of constancy in an inconstant world
Flegal et al., 1991
It is safer to interpolate than It is safer to interpolate than extrapolateextrapolate
RMP DATA FOSTER RMP DATA FOSTER COLLABORATIONS & INNOVATIONSCOLLABORATIONS & INNOVATIONS
MEANINGFUL WATER QUALITY MEANINGFUL WATER QUALITY CRITERIACRITERIA
EMERGING CONCERNSPopulation growth
water demandscontaminant inputs
Urbanizationsurface runoff
Negative sediment budgetcontaminant re-exposure
Global warmingreduced fresh water flowsreduced sediment flows
Sewall and Sloan, 2004, JGR
SUMMARY 15 YEARS OF RMP
“IT’S STILL GROOVY”
Russ Flegal, Aging Hippie
““TOTAL DISSOLVED” : “FREE” TOTAL DISSOLVED” : “FREE” COPPERCOPPER
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